Association of Low Glomerular Filtration Rate With Adverse Outcomes at Older Age in a Large Population With Routinely Measured Cystatin C.

BACKGROUND: The commonly accepted threshold of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) to define chronic kidney disease (CKD) is less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2. This threshold is based partly on associations between estimated GFR (eGFR) and the frequency of adverse outcomes. The association is weaker in older adults, which has created disagreement about the appropriateness of the threshold for these persons. In addition, the studies measuring these associations included relatively few outcomes and estimated GFR on the basis of creatinine level (eGFRcr), which may be less accurate in older adults. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate associations in older adults between eGFRcr versus eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C levels (eGFRcr-cys) and 8 outcomes. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study. SETTING: Stockholm, Sweden, 2010 to 2019. PARTICIPANTS: 82 154 participants aged 65 years or older with outpatient creatinine and cystatin C testing. MEASUREMENTS: Hazard ratios for all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT); incidence rate ratios for recurrent hospitalizations, infection, myocardial infarction or stroke, heart failure, and acute kidney injury. RESULTS: The associations between eGFRcr-cys and outcomes were monotonic, but most associations for eGFRcr were U-shaped. In addition, eGFRcr-cys was more strongly associated with outcomes than eGFRcr. For example, the adjusted hazard ratios for 60 versus 80 mL/min/1.73 m2 for all-cause mortality were 1.2 (95% CI, 1.1 to 1.3) for eGFRcr-cys and 1.0 (CI, 0.9 to 1.0) for eGFRcr, and for KFRT they were 2.6 (CI, 1.2 to 5.8) and 1.4 (CI, 0.7 to 2.8), respectively. Similar findings were observed in subgroups, including those with a urinary albumin-creatinine ratio below 30 mg/g. LIMITATION: No GFR measurements. CONCLUSION: Compared with low eGFRcr in older patients, low eGFRcr-cys was more strongly associated with adverse outcomes and the associations were more uniform. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Swedish Research Council, National Institutes of Health, and Dutch Kidney Foundation.

Reduced metabolic flexibility is a predictor of weight gain among liver transplant recipients.

Metabolic flexibility is the ability to match biofuel availability to utilization and is inversely associated with increased metabolic burden among liver transplant (LT) recipients. The present study evaluated the impact of metabolic flexibility on weight gain following LT. LT recipients were enrolled prospectively (n = 47) and followed for 6 months. Metabolic flexibility was measured using whole-room calorimetry and is expressed as a respiratory quotient (RQ). Peak RQ represents maximal carbohydrate metabolism and occurs in the post-prandial state, while trough RQ represents maximal fatty acid metabolism occurring in the fasted state. The clinical, metabolic, and laboratory characteristics of the study cohort of lost weight (n = 14) and gained weight (n = 33) were similar at baseline. Patients who lost weight were more likely to reach maximal RQ (maximal carbohydrate oxidation) early and rapidly transitioned to trough RQ (maximal fatty acid oxidation). In contrast, patients who gained weight had delayed time to peak RQ and trough RQ. In multivariate modeling, time to peak RQ (ß-coefficient 0.509, p = 0.01), time from peak RQ to trough RQ (ß-coefficient 0.634, p = 0.006), and interaction between time to peak RQ to trough RQ and fasting RQ (ß-coefficient 0.447, p = 0.02) directly correlated with the severity of weight gain. No statistically significant relationship between peak RQ, trough RQ, and weight change was demonstrated. Inefficient transition between biofuels (carbohydrates and fatty acids) is associated with weight gain in LT recipients that is independent of clinical metabolic risk. These data offer novel insight into the physiology of obesity after LT with the potential to develop new diagnostics and therapeutics.

Albuminuria predicts kidney events in IgA nephropathy.

BACKGROUND & HYPOTHESIS: KDIGO recommends proteinuria <1 g/d as a treatment target in patients with immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) because of high-risk of progression to kidney failure. However, long-term kidney outcomes in patients with low-grade proteinuria remain insufficiently studied. METHODS: We enrolled patients with biopsy-proven primary IgAN from the Swedish Renal Registry and analyzed associations between urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR, in categories < 0.3, ≥0.3-0.5, ≥0.5-1.0, ≥1.0-1.5, ≥1.5-2.0 and ≥ 2.0 g/g) and the occurrence of major adverse kidney events (MAKE, a composite of kidney replacement therapy [KRT] and > 30% decline in eGFR). We also explored the risk of kidney events associated with change in uACR within a year. RESULTS: We included 1269 IgAN patients (74% men, median 53 years, mean eGFR 33 mL/min/1.73m², median uACR 0.7 g/g). Over median follow-up of 5.5 [2.8;9.2] years, 667 MAKE and 517 KRT events occurred, and 528 patients experienced > 30% eGFR decline. Compared with uACR < 0.3 g/g, any higher uACR category was strongly and incrementally associated with the risk of MAKE (adjusted HR ranging from 1.56 [95%CI 1.14-2.14] if uACR 0.3-0.5 g/g to 4.53 [3.36-6.11] if uACR ≥ 2.0 g/g), KRT (HR ranging from 1.39 to 4.65), and eGFR decline > 30% (HR ranging from 1.76 to 3.47). In 785 patients who had repeated uACR measurements within a year, and compared with stable uACR, the risk of kidney events was lower if uACR decreased by 2-fold (HR ranging from 0.47 to 0.49), and higher if uACR increased by 2-fold (HR from 1.18 to 2.56), irrespective of baseline uACR. CONCLUSIONS: There is substantial risk of adverse kidney outcomes among patients with IgAN and uACR between 0.3 and 1.0 g/g, a population currently considered at low-risk of CKD progression. Reduction in uACR is associated with better kidney outcomes, irrespective of baseline uACR.

A tool to predict the risk of lower extremity amputation in patients starting dialysis.

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: Non-traumatic lower extremity amputation (LEA) is a severe complication during dialysis. To inform decision-making for physicians, we developed a multivariable prediction model for LEA after starting dialysis. METHODS: Data from the Swedish Renal Registry (SNR) between 2010 and 2020 were geographically split into a development and validation cohort. Data from NECOSAD between 1997 and 2009 were used for validation targeted at Dutch patients. Inclusion criteria were no previous LEA and kidney transplant and age ≥ 40 years at baseline. A Fine-Gray model was developed with LEA within 3 years after starting dialysis as outcome of interest. Death and kidney transplant were treated as competing events. One coefficient, ordered by expected relevance, per 20 events was estimated. Performance was assessed with calibration and discrimination. RESULTS: SNR was split into an urban development cohort with 4 771 individuals experiencing 201 (4.8%) events and a rural validation cohort with 4.876 individuals experiencing 155 (3.2%) events. NECOSAD contained 1 658 individuals experiencing 61 (3.7%) events. Ten predictors were included: female sex, age, diabetes mellitus, peripheral artery disease, cardiovascular disease, congestive heart failure, obesity, albumin, haemoglobin and diabetic retinopathy. In SNR, calibration intercept and slope were -0.003 and 0.912 respectively. The C-index was estimated as 0.813 (0.783-0.843). In NECOSAD, calibration intercept and slope were 0.001 and 1.142 respectively. The C-index was estimated as 0.760 (0.697-0.824). Calibration plots showed good calibration. CONCLUSION: A newly developed model to predict LEA after starting dialysis showed good discriminatory performance and calibration. By identifying high-risk individuals this model could help select patients for preventive measures.

Clinical impact of the Kidney Failure Risk Equation for vascular access planning.

BACKGROUND: Risk-based thresholds for arteriovenous (AV) access creation has been proposed to aid vascular access planning. We aimed to assess the clinical impact of implementing the kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) for vascular access referral. METHODS: 16,102 nephrology-referred chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients from the Swedish Renal Registry 2008-2018 were included. The KFRE was calculated repeatedly, and the timing was identified for when the KFRE risk exceeded several pre-defined thresholds and/or the estimated glomerular filtration rate <15 ml/min/1.73m2 (eGFR15). To assess the utility of the KFRE/eGFR thresholds, cumulative incidence curves of kidney replacement therapy (KRT) or death, and decision-curve analyses were computed at 6, 12 months, and 2 years. The potential impact of using the different thresholds was illustrated by an example from the Swedish access registry. RESULTS: The 12-month specificity for KRT initiation was highest for KFRE>50% 94.5 (95% Confidence interval [CI] 94.3-94.7), followed by KFRE>40% 90.0 (95% CI 89.7-90.3), while sensitivity was highest for KFRE>30% 79.3 (95% CI 78.2-80.3) and eGFR<15 ml/min/1.73m2 81.2 (95% CI 80.2-82.2). The 2-year positive predictive value was 71.5 (95% CI 70.2-72.8), 61.7 (95% CI 60.4-63.0) and 47.2 (95% CI 46.1-48.3) for KFRE>50%, KFRE>40%, and eGFR<15 respectively. Decision curve analyses suggested the largest net benefit for KFRE>40% over two years and KFRE>50% over 12 months when it is important to avoid the harm of possibly unnecessary surgery. In Sweden, 54% of nephrology-referred patients started hemodialysis in a central venous catheter (CVC) of which only 5% had AV access surgery >6 months before initiation. 60% of the CVC patients exceeded KFRE>40% a median of 0.8 years (interquartile range 0.4-1.5) before KRT initiation. CONCLUSIONS: The utility of using KFRE>40% and KFRE>50% is higher compared to the more traditionally used eGFR threshold <15 ml/min/1.73m2 for vascular access planning.

The safety of a low protein diet in older adults with advanced chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: A low protein diet (LPD) is recommended to patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD), whereas geriatric guidelines recommend a higher amount of protein. The aim of this study was to evaluate the safety of LPD treatment in older adults with advanced CKD. METHODS: The EQUAL study is a prospective, observational study, including patients ≥65 years, incident estimated glomerular filtration rate <20 ml/min/1.73m², in six European countries with follow-up up till six years. Nutritional status was assessed by 7-point subjective global assessment (SGA) every 3-6 months. Prescribed diet (gram protein/kilogram/bodyweight) was recorded on every study visit; measured protein intake was available in three countries. Time to death and decline in nutritional status (SGA decrease by ≥2 points) were analysed using marginal structural models with dynamic inverse probability of treatment and censoring weights. RESULTS: Out of 1738 adults (631 prescribed LPD at any point during follow-up) there were 1319 with repeated SGA measurements of which 267 (20%) declined in SGA ≥ 2 points and 565 (32.5%) died. There was no difference in survival or decline in nutritional status for patients prescribed LPD ≤0.8 g/kg ideal bodyweight (Odds Ratio (OR) for mortality 1.15 (95% Confidence interval (CI) 0.86-1.55) and OR for decline in SGA 1.11 (95% CI 0.74-1.66) in the adjusted models. In patients prescribed LPD <0.6 g/kg ideal bodyweight, the results were similar. There was a significant interaction with LPD and higher age >75 years, lower SGA, and higher comorbidity burden for both mortality and nutritional status decline. CONCLUSIONS: In older adults with CKD approaching end-stage kidney disease, a traditional LPD prescribed and monitored according to routine clinical practice in Europe appears to be safe.

The Kidney Failure Risk Equation: Evaluation of Novel Input Variables including eGFR Estimated Using the CKD-EPI 2021 Equation in 59 Cohorts.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: The kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) uses age, sex, GFR, and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) to predict 2- and 5-year risk of kidney failure in populations with eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 . However, the CKD-EPI 2021 creatinine equation for eGFR is now recommended for use but has not been fully tested in the context of KFRE. In 59 cohorts comprising 312,424 patients with CKD, the authors assessed the predictive performance and calibration associated with the use of the CKD-EPI 2021 equation and whether additional variables and accounting for the competing risk of death improves the KFRE's performance. The KFRE generally performed well using the CKD-EPI 2021 eGFR in populations with eGFR <45 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 and was not improved by adding the 2-year prior eGFR slope and cardiovascular comorbidities. BACKGROUND: The kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) uses age, sex, GFR, and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) to predict kidney failure risk in people with GFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 . METHODS: Using 59 cohorts with 312,424 patients with CKD, we tested several modifications to the KFRE for their potential to improve the KFRE: using the CKD-EPI 2021 creatinine equation for eGFR, substituting 1-year average ACR for single-measure ACR and 1-year average eGFR in participants with high eGFR variability, and adding 2-year prior eGFR slope and cardiovascular comorbidities. We also assessed calibration of the KFRE in subgroups of eGFR and age before and after accounting for the competing risk of death. RESULTS: The KFRE remained accurate and well calibrated overall using the CKD-EPI 2021 eGFR equation. The other modifications did not improve KFRE performance. In subgroups of eGFR 45-59 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 and in older adults using the 5-year time horizon, the KFRE demonstrated systematic underprediction and overprediction, respectively. We developed and tested a new model with a spline term in eGFR and incorporating the competing risk of mortality, resulting in more accurate calibration in those specific subgroups but not overall. CONCLUSIONS: The original KFRE is generally accurate for eGFR <45 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 when using the CKD-EPI 2021 equation. Incorporating competing risk methodology and splines for eGFR may improve calibration in low-risk settings with longer time horizons. Including historical averages, eGFR slopes, or a competing risk design did not meaningfully alter KFRE performance in most circumstances.

Major cardiovascular events and subsequent risk of kidney failure with replacement therapy: a CKD Prognosis Consortium study.

AIMS: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) increases risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Less is known about how CVD associates with future risk of kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT). METHODS AND RESULTS: The study included 25 903 761 individuals from the CKD Prognosis Consortium with known baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and evaluated the impact of prevalent and incident coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, heart failure (HF), and atrial fibrillation (AF) events as time-varying exposures on KFRT outcomes. Mean age was 53 (standard deviation 17) years and mean eGFR was 89 mL/min/1.73 m2, 15% had diabetes and 8.4% had urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) available (median 13 mg/g); 9.5% had prevalent CHD, 3.2% prior stroke, 3.3% HF, and 4.4% prior AF. During follow-up, there were 269 142 CHD, 311 021 stroke, 712 556 HF, and 605 596 AF incident events and 101 044 (0.4%) patients experienced KFRT. Both prevalent and incident CVD were associated with subsequent KFRT with adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of 3.1 [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.9-3.3], 2.0 (1.9-2.1), 4.5 (4.2-4.9), 2.8 (2.7-3.1) after incident CHD, stroke, HF and AF, respectively. HRs were highest in first 3 months post-CVD incidence declining to baseline after 3 years. Incident HF hospitalizations showed the strongest association with KFRT [HR 46 (95% CI: 43-50) within 3 months] after adjustment for other CVD subtype incidence. CONCLUSION: Incident CVD events strongly and independently associate with future KFRT risk, most notably after HF, then CHD, stroke, and AF. Optimal strategies for addressing the dramatic risk of KFRT following CVD events are needed.

A nationwide cohort study comparing the effectiveness of diuretics and calcium channel blockers on top of renin-angiotensin system inhibitors on chronic kidney disease progression and mortality.

It is unknown whether initiating diuretics on top of renin-angiotensin system inhibitors (RASi) is superior to alternative antihypertensive agents such as calcium channel blockers (CCBs) in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). For this purpose, we emulated a target trial in the Swedish Renal Registry 2007-2022 that included nephrologist-referred patients with moderate-advanced CKD and treated with RASi, who initiated diuretics or CCB. Using propensity score-weighted cause-specific Cox regression, we compared risks of major adverse kidney events (MAKE; composite of kidney replacement therapy [KRT], experiencing over a 40% eGFR decline from baseline, or an eGFR under 15 ml/min per 1.73m2), major cardiovascular events (MACE; composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction or stroke), and all-cause mortality. We identified 5875 patients (median age 71 years, 64% men, median eGFR 26 ml/min per 1.73m2), of whom 3165 started a diuretic and 2710 a CCB. After a median follow-up of 6.3 years, 2558 MAKE, 1178 MACE and 2299 deaths occurred. Compared to CCB, diuretic use was associated with a lower risk of MAKE (weighted hazard ratio 0.87 [95% confidence interval: 0.77-0.97]), consistent across single components (KRT: 0.77 [0.66-0.88], over 40% eGFR decline: 0.80 [0.71-0.91] and eGFR under 15ml/min/1.73m2: 0.84 [0.74-0.96]). The risks of MACE (1.14 [0.96-1.36]) and all-cause mortality (1.07 [0.94-1.23]) did not differ between therapies. Results were consistent when modeling the total time drug exposure, across sub-groups and a broad range of sensitivity analyses. Thus, our observational study suggests that in patients with advanced CKD, using a diuretic rather than a CCB on top of RASi may improve kidney outcomes without compromising cardioprotection.

Poor recognition and undertreatment of anemia in patients with chronic kidney disease managed in primary care.

BACKGROUND: Anemia is a common complication of chronic kidney disease (CKD), but limited awareness and treatment options may hinder its management among CKD patients followed in primary care. METHODS: We evaluated adults with CKD stages 3-5 attending primary care in Stockholm, Sweden, 2012-2018. We assessed the incidence of anemia, clinical reactions, and association with subsequent major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and death. RESULTS: We identified 45,637 patients with CKD stages 3-5 free from anemia (mean age 78 years; 64% females; 79% CKD stage 3b). During a median follow-up of 2.4 years, 26% of patients developed anemia, and 10.4% developed severe anemia (hemoglobin <10 g/dL). Within 6 months from the anemia event, iron tests were infrequent; ferritin and transferrin saturation were tested in 27% and 11% of anemia cases, respectively, and 49% and 24% of severe anemia cases. Few patients were recognized with a clinical diagnosis (15% of anemia cases; 68% of severe anemias). Only 19% of patients with anemia received treatment, primarily iron (10%) and blood transfusions (7%); erythropoietin-stimulating agent use was anecdotal (∼1%). Treatment rates for severe anemia were higher, but 43% of patients still failed to receive treatment. Developing anemia was associated with a higher risk of MACE and death. CONCLUSION: Anemia was common and associated with adverse outcomes among patients with CKD stages 3-5 managed in primary care. Iron stores were infrequently tested, and a large proportion of patients with anemia remained untreated/under-recognized.

Evaluation of liver stiffness measurement-based scores in liver transplantation recipients.

Combining bioclinical parameters with liver stiffness measurement (LSM) has improved the diagnostic performance of vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) for detection of advanced fibrosis in patients with chronic liver disease. However, this approach has not yet been tested in liver transplantation (LT) recipients. Thus, the aim of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic performance of combining LSM-based scores with LSM alone for the detection of advanced fibrosis in LT recipients. Adult LT recipients with a liver biopsy, VCTE, and clinical data necessary to construct LSM-based fibrosis models (FibroScan-AST [FAST], AGILE-3+, and AGILE-4) were included ( n = 132). The diagnostic statistics for advanced fibrosis (fibrosis stage 0-2 vs. 3-4) were determined by optimal cut-off using the Youden index. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for LSM was 0.94 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.89-0.99), FAST was 0.65 (95% CI, 0.50-0.79), AGILE-3+ was 0.90 (95% CI, 0.83-0.97), and AGILE-4 was 0.90 (95% CI, 0.83-0.97). No statistically significant differences were noted between the AUROC of LSM versus LSM-based scores. The false-positive rates for AGILE-3+ and AGILE-4 were 14.5% and 11.8% compared with 8.3% for LSM alone. The false-positive rates in LSM-based scores were higher among patients with diabetes mellitus, higher AST levels, and lower platelet counts. The LSM-based scores did not improve the diagnostic performance of LSM alone in LT recipients for the detection of advanced fibrosis. This lack of improvement in diagnostic performance results from the impact of immunosuppression on bioclinical profile and underscores the importance of developing LSM-based scores that are specific to LT patients.

Cardiorenal Outcomes Among Patients With Atrial Fibrillation Treated With Oral Anticoagulants.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) have progressively replaced vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) for stroke prevention in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF). DOACs cause fewer bleeding complications, but their other advantages, particularly related to kidney outcomes, remain inconclusive. We studied the risks of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression and acute kidney injury (AKI) after DOAC and VKA administration for nonvalvular AF. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Cohort study of Swedish patients enrolled in the Stockholm Creatinine Measurements (SCREAM) project with a diagnosis of nonvalvular AF during 2011-2018. EXPOSURE: Initiation of DOAC or VKA treatment. OUTCOME: Primary outcomes were CKD progression (composite of >30% estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] decline and kidney failure) and AKI (by diagnosis or KDIGO-defined transient creatinine elevations). Secondary outcomes were death, major bleeding, and the composite of stroke and systemic embolism. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Propensity score weighted Cox regression was used to balance 50 baseline confounders. Sensitivity analyses included falsification end points, subgroups, and estimation of per-protocol effects. RESULTS: We included 32,699 patients (56% initiated DOAC) who were observed for a median of 3.8 years. Their median age was 75 years, 45% were women, and 27% had an eGFR <60mL/min/1.73m2. The adjusted HRs for DOAC versus VKA were 0.87 (95% CI, 0.78-0.98) for the risk of CKD progression and 0.88 (95% CI, 0.80-0.97) for AKI. HRs were 0.77 (95% CI, 0.67-0.89) for major bleeding, 0.93 (95% CI, 0.78-1.11) for the composite of stroke and systemic embolism, and 1.04 (95% CI, 0.95-1.14) for death. The results were similar across subgroups of age, sex, and baseline eGFR when restricting to patients at high risk for thromboembolic events and when censoring follow up at treatment discontinuation or change in type of anticoagulation. LIMITATIONS: Missing information on time in therapeutic range and treatment dosages. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with nonvalvular AF treated in routine clinical practice compared with VKA use, DOAC use was associated with a lower risk of CKD progression, AKI, and major bleeding but a similar risk of the composite of stroke, systemic embolism, or death.

Discordances Between Creatinine- and Cystatin C-Based Estimated GFR and Adverse Clinical Outcomes in Routine Clinical Practice.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Cystatin C is recommended for measuring estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) when estimates based on creatinine (eGFRcr) are not thought to be accurate enough for clinical decision making. While global adoption is slow, routine cystatin C testing in Sweden has been available for over a decade, providing real-world evidence about the magnitude of differences between eGFRcys and eGFRcr and their association with clinical outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: Observational study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 158,601 adults (48% women; mean age 62 years, eGFRcr 80, and eGFRcys 73mL/min/1.73/m2) undergoing testing for creatinine and cystatin C on the same day in connection with a health care encounter during 2010-2018 in Stockholm, Sweden. EXPOSURE: Percentage difference of eGFRcys minus eGFRcr (eGFRdiff). OUTCOME: Kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT), acute kidney injury (AKI), atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), heart failure, and death. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: Discordances between eGFRcr and eGFRcys were common, with eGFRcys being lower than eGFRcr (negative eGFRdiff) in most cases (65%). Patients with larger negative eGFRdiff were older, more often female, with higher eGFRcr and albuminuria, and more comorbid conditions. Compared with patients with similar eGFRcys and eGFRcr, the lowest quartile (eGFRcys > 27% lower than eGFRcr) had the higher HR of all study outcomes: AKI, 2.6 (95% CI, 2.4-2.9); KFRT, 1.4 (95% CI, 1.2-1.6); ASCVD, 1.4 (95% CI, 1.3-1.5); heart failure, 2.0 (95% CI, 1.9-2.2); and all-cause death, 2.6 (95% CI, 2.5-2.7). Conversely, patients in the highest quartile (positive eGFRdiff) were at lower risk. LIMITATIONS: Observational study, lack of information on indications for cystatin C testing. CONCLUSIONS: Cystatin C testing in routine care shows that many patients have a lower eGFRcys than eGFRcr, and these patients have a higher risk of multiple adverse outcomes. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Clinicians require guidance when there are discrepancies between the estimated glomerular filtration rate based on creatinine (eGFRcr) and based on cystatin C (eGFRcys) in the same individual. Routine cystatin C testing in Sweden for over a decade permits exploration of how common and large these discrepancies are, and their associations with adverse clinical outcomes. In this observational study, we found that discordances between eGFRcys and eGFRcr are common, and 1 in 4 patients tested had an eGFRcys > 28% lower than their eGFRcr. We also show that an eGFRcys that is lower than the eGFRcr consistently identifies patients at higher risk of adverse outcomes, including cardiovascular events, kidney replacement therapy, acute kidney injury, and death.

Serum Potassium and Risk of Death or Kidney Replacement Therapy in Older People With CKD Stages 4-5: Eight-Year Follow-up.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Hypokalemia may accelerate kidney function decline. Both hypo- and hyperkalemia can cause sudden cardiac death. However, little is known about the relationship between serum potassium and death or the occurrence of kidney failure requiring replacement therapy (KRT). We investigated this relationship in older people with chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 4-5. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective observational cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: We followed 1,714 patients (≥65 years old) from the European Quality (EQUAL) study for 8 years from their first estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)<20mL/min/1.73m2 measurement. EXPOSURE: Serum potassium was measured every 3 to 6 months and categorized as≤3.5,>3.5-≤4.0,>4.0-≤4.5,>4.5-≤5.0 (reference),>5.0-≤5.5, >5.5-≤6.0, and>6.0mmol/L. OUTCOME: The combined outcome death before KRT or start of KRT. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: The association between categorical and continuous time-varying potassium and death or KRT start was examined using Cox proportional hazards and restricted cubic spline analyses, adjusted for age, sex, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibition, eGFR, and subjective global assessment (SGA). RESULTS: At baseline, 66% of participants were men, 42% had diabetes, 47% cardiovascular disease, and 54% used RAAS inhibitors. Their mean age was 76±7 (SD) years, mean eGFR was 17±5 (SD) mL/min/1.73m2, and mean SGA was 6.0±1.0 (SD). Over 8 years, 414 (24%) died before starting KRT, and 595 (35%) started KRT. Adjusted hazard ratios for death or KRT according to the potassium categories were 1.6 (95% CI, 1.1-2.3), 1.4 (95% CI, 1.1-1.7), 1.1 (95% CI, 1.0-1.4), 1 (reference), 1.1 (95% CI, 0.9-1.4), 1.8 (95% CI, 1.4-2.3), and 2.2 (95% CI, 1.5-3.3). Hazard ratios were lowest at a potassium of about 4.9mmol/L. LIMITATIONS: Shorter intervals between potassium measurements would have allowed for more precise estimations. CONCLUSIONS: We observed a U-shaped relationship between serum potassium and death or KRT start among patients with incident CKD 4-5, with a nadir risk at a potassium level of 4.9mmol/L. These findings underscore the potential importance of preventing both high and low potassium in patients with CKD 4-5. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Abnormal potassium blood levels may increase the risk of death or kidney function decline, especially in older people with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We studied 1,714 patients aged≥65 years with advanced CKD from the European Quality (EQUAL) study and followed them for 8 years. We found that both low and high levels of potassium were associated with an increased risk of death or start of kidney replacement therapy, with the lowest risk observed at a potassium level of 4.9 mmol/L. In patients with CKD, the focus is often on preventing high blood potassium. However, this relatively high optimum potassium level stresses the potential importance of also preventing low potassium levels in older patients with advanced CKD.

Risk factors for acute kidney injury after pancreatoduodenectomy, and association with postoperative complications and death.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with increased morbidity and mortality after general surgery, although little is known among patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy. The objective was to investigate the association between AKI and postoperative complications and death after pancreatoduodenectomy. METHODS: All patients ≥18 years who underwent a pancreatoduodenectomy 2008-2019 at the Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden, were included. Standardized criteria for AKI, including estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine volume measurements, were used to grade postoperative AKI. RESULTS: In total, 970 patients were included with a median age of 68 years (IQR 61-74) of whom 517 (53.3%) were men. There were 137 (14.1%) patients who developed postoperative AKI. Risk factors for AKI included lower preoperative eGFR, cardiovascular disease and treatment with renin-angiotensin system inhibitors or diuretics. Those who developed AKI had a higher risk of severe postoperative complications, including Clavien-Dindo score ≥ IIIa (adjusted OR 3.35, 95% CI 2.24-5.01) and ICU admission (adjusted OR 7.83, 95% CI 4.39-13.99). In time-to-event analysis, AKI was associated with an increased risk for both 30-day mortality (adjusted HR 4.51, 95% CI 1.54-13.27) and 90-day mortality (adjusted HR 4.93, 95% CI 2.37-10.26). Patients with benign histology and AKI also had an increased 1-year mortality (HR 4.89, 95% CI 1.88-12.71). CONCLUSIONS: Postoperative AKI was associated with major postoperative complications and an increased risk of postoperative mortality. Monitoring changes in serum creatinine levels and urine volume output could be important in the immediate perioperative period to improve outcomes after pancreatoduodenectomy.

Results of the first nationwide cohort study of outcomes in dialysis and kidney transplant patients before and after vaccination for COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Patients on kidney replacement therapy (KRT) have been identified as a vulnerable group during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. This study reports the outcomes of COVID-19 in KRT patients in Sweden, a country where patients on KRT were prioritized early in the vaccination campaign. METHODS: Patients on KRT between January 2019 and December 2021 in the Swedish Renal Registry were included. Data were linked to national healthcare registries. The primary outcome was monthly all-cause mortality over 3 years of follow-up. The secondary outcomes were monthly COVID-19-related deaths and hospitalizations. The results were compared with the general population using standardized mortality ratios. The difference in risk for COVID-19-related outcomes between dialysis and kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) was assessed in multivariable logistic regression models before and after vaccinations started. RESULTS: On 1 January 2020, there were 4097 patients on dialysis (median age 70 years) and 5905 KTRs (median age 58 years). Between March 2020 and February 2021, mean all-cause mortality rates increased by 10% (from 720 to 804 deaths) and 22% (from 158 to 206 deaths) in dialysis and KTRs, respectively, compared with the same period in 2019. After vaccinations started, all-cause mortality rates during the third wave (April 2021) returned to pre-COVID-19 mortality rates among dialysis patients, while mortality rates remained increased among transplant recipients. Dialysis patients had a higher risk for COVID-19 hospitalizations and death before vaccinations started {adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.1 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.7-2.5]} but a lower risk after vaccination [aOR 0.5 (95% CI 0.4-0.7)] compared with KTRs. CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 pandemic in Sweden resulted in increased mortality and hospitalization rates among KRT patients. After vaccinations started, a distinct reduction in hospitalization and mortality rates was observed among dialysis patients, but not in KTRs. Early and prioritized vaccinations of KRT patients in Sweden probably saved many lives.

Clinical and patient-reported trajectories at end-of-life in older patients with advanced CKD.

BACKGROUND: We explore longitudinal trajectories of clinical indicators, patient-reported outcomes, and hospitalizations, in the years preceding death in a population of older patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD). METHODS: The EQUAL study is a European observational prospective cohort study with an incident eGFR <20 ml/min per 1.73 m2 and ≥65 years of age. The evolution of each clinical indicator was explored using generalized additive models during the 4 years preceding death. RESULTS: We included 661 decedents with a median time to death of 2.0 years (IQR 0.9-3.2). During the years preceding death, eGFR, Subjective Global Assessment score, and blood pressure declined, with accelerations seen at 6 months preceding death. Serum hemoglobin, hematocrit, cholesterol, calcium, albumin, and sodium values declined slowly during follow-up, with accelerations observed between 6 and 12 months preceding death. Physical and mental quality of life declined linearly throughout follow-up. The number of reported symptoms was stable up to 2 years prior to death, with an acceleration observed at 1 year prior to death. The rate of hospitalization was stable at around one hospitalization per person year, increasing exponentially at 6 months preceding death. CONCLUSIONS: We identified clinically relevant physiological accelerations in patient trajectories that began ∼6 to 12 months prior to death, which are likely multifactorial in nature, but correlate with a surge in hospitalizations. Further research should focus on how to effectively use this knowledge to inform patient and family expectations, to benefit the planning of (end-of-life) care, and to establish clinical alert systems.

Association between CKD-MBD and mortality in older patients with advanced CKD-results from the EQUAL study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease-mineral and bone disorder (CKD-MBD) is a common complication of CKD; it is associated with higher mortality in dialysis patients, while its impact in non-dialysis patients remains mostly unknown. We investigated the associations between parathyroid hormone (PTH), phosphate and calcium (and their interactions), and all-cause, cardiovascular (CV) and non-CV mortality in older non-dialysis patients with advanced CKD. METHODS: We used data from the European Quality study, which includes patients aged ≥65 years with estimated glomerular filtration rate ≤20 mL/min/1.73 m2 from six European countries. Sequentially adjusted Cox models were used to assess the association between baseline and time-dependent CKD-MBD biomarkers and all-cause, CV and non-CV mortality. Effect modification between biomarkers was also assessed. RESULTS: In 1294 patients, the prevalence of CKD-MBD at baseline was 94%. Both PTH [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.12, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.23, P = .01] and phosphate (aHR 1.35, 95% CI 1.00-1.84, P = .05), but not calcium (aHR 1.11, 95% CI 0.57-2.17, P = .76), were associated with all-cause mortality. Calcium was not independently associated with mortality, but modified the effect of phosphate, with the highest mortality risk found in patients with both hypercalcemia and hyperphosphatemia. PTH level was associated with CV mortality, but not with non-CV mortality, whereas phosphate was associated with both CV and non-CV mortality in most models. CONCLUSIONS: CKD-MBD is very common in older non-dialysis patients with advanced CKD. PTH and phosphate are independently associated with all-cause mortality in this population. While PTH level is only associated with CV mortality, phosphate seems to be associated with both CV and non-CV mortality.

Sex Differences in the Recognition, Monitoring, and Management of CKD in Health Care: An Observational Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: Reported sex differences in the etiology, population prevalence, progression rates, and health outcomes of people with CKD may be explained by differences in health care. METHODS: We evaluated sex as the variable of interest in a health care-based study of adults (n=227,847) with at least one outpatient eGFR<60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 measurement denoting probable CKD in Stockholm from 2009 to 2017. We calculated the odds ratios for diagnosis of CKD and provision of RASi and statins at inclusion, and hazard ratios for CKD diagnosis, visiting a nephrologist, or monitoring creatinine and albuminuria during follow-up. RESULTS: We identified 227,847 subjects, of whom 126,289 were women (55%). At inclusion, women had lower odds of having received a diagnostic code for CKD and were less likely to have received RASi and statins, despite having guideline-recommended indications. In time-to-event analyses, women were less likely to have received a CKD diagnosis (HR, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.42 to 0.45) and visited a nephrologist (HR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.43 to 0.48) regardless of disease severity, presence of albuminuria, or criteria for referral. Women were also less likely to undergo monitoring of creatinine or albuminuria, including those with diabetes or hypertension. These differences remained after adjustment for comorbidities, albuminuria, and highest educational achievement, and among subjects with confirmed CKD at retesting. Although in absolute terms all nephrology-care indicators gradually improved over time, the observed sex gap persisted. CONCLUSIONS: There were profound sex differences in the detection, recognition, monitoring, referrals, and management of CKD. The disparity was also observed in people at high risk and among those who had guideline-recommended indications. PODCAST: This article contains a podcast at https://www.asn-online.org/media/podcast/JASN/2022_10_11_JASN2022030373.mp3.

Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate, Albuminuria, and Adverse Outcomes: An Individual-Participant Data Meta-Analysis.

Importance: Chronic kidney disease (low estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] or albuminuria) affects approximately 14% of adults in the US. Objective: To evaluate associations of lower eGFR based on creatinine alone, lower eGFR based on creatinine combined with cystatin C, and more severe albuminuria with adverse kidney outcomes, cardiovascular outcomes, and other health outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants: Individual-participant data meta-analysis of 27 503 140 individuals from 114 global cohorts (eGFR based on creatinine alone) and 720 736 individuals from 20 cohorts (eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C) and 9 067 753 individuals from 114 cohorts (albuminuria) from 1980 to 2021. Exposures: The Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration 2021 equations for eGFR based on creatinine alone and eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C; and albuminuria estimated as urine albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR). Main Outcomes and Measures: The risk of kidney failure requiring replacement therapy, all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, acute kidney injury, any hospitalization, coronary heart disease, stroke, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and peripheral artery disease. The analyses were performed within each cohort and summarized with random-effects meta-analyses. Results: Within the population using eGFR based on creatinine alone (mean age, 54 years [SD, 17 years]; 51% were women; mean follow-up time, 4.8 years [SD, 3.3 years]), the mean eGFR was 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 (SD, 22 mL/min/1.73 m2) and the median UACR was 11 mg/g (IQR, 8-16 mg/g). Within the population using eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C (mean age, 59 years [SD, 12 years]; 53% were women; mean follow-up time, 10.8 years [SD, 4.1 years]), the mean eGFR was 88 mL/min/1.73 m2 (SD, 22 mL/min/1.73 m2) and the median UACR was 9 mg/g (IQR, 6-18 mg/g). Lower eGFR (whether based on creatinine alone or based on creatinine and cystatin C) and higher UACR were each significantly associated with higher risk for each of the 10 adverse outcomes, including those in the mildest categories of chronic kidney disease. For example, among people with a UACR less than 10 mg/g, an eGFR of 45 to 59 mL/min/1.73 m2 based on creatinine alone was associated with significantly higher hospitalization rates compared with an eGFR of 90 to 104 mL/min/1.73 m2 (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.3 [95% CI, 1.2-1.3]; 161 vs 79 events per 1000 person-years; excess absolute risk, 22 events per 1000 person-years [95% CI, 19-25 events per 1000 person-years]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this retrospective analysis of 114 cohorts, lower eGFR based on creatinine alone, lower eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C, and more severe UACR were each associated with increased rates of 10 adverse outcomes, including adverse kidney outcomes, cardiovascular diseases, and hospitalizations.