Global estimates on the number of persons across the Alzheimer's disease continuum.

INTRODUCTION: Global estimates on numbers of persons in early stages of Alzheimer's disease (AD), including prodromal and preclinical, are lacking, yet are needed to inform policy decisions on preventive measures and planning for future therapies targeting AD pathology. METHODS: We synthesized the literature on prevalence across the AD continuum and derived a model estimating the number of persons, stratified by 5-year age groups, sex, and disease stage (AD dementia, prodromal AD, and preclinical AD). RESULTS: The global number of persons with AD dementia, prodromal AD, and preclinical AD were estimated at 32, 69, and 315 million, respectively. Together they constituted 416 million across the AD continuum, or 22% of all persons aged 50 and above. DISCUSSION: Considering predementia stages, the number of persons with AD is much larger than conveyed in available literature. Our estimates are uncertain, especially for predementia stages in low- and middle-income regions where biomarker studies are missing.

Narcolepsy treatment in Sweden: An observational study.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the pharmacological treatments (2005-2017) and the healthcare utilization (1997-2016) for patients with narcolepsy in Sweden in order to create a framework for future organizational and economic analyses. MATERIAL & METHODS: Patients of all ages with a diagnosis of narcolepsy registered in the National Patient Registry in specialist care in Sweden were included and information on treatments for narcolepsy was retrieved from The Swedish Prescribed Drug Register. RESULTS: We collected 2508 patients with narcolepsy, 43,3% men and 56,7% women and 47,9% were prescribed modafenil, 33,8% metylphenidate and 26,2% amphetamine. In total, 3817 treatments were initiated. Patients treated with amphetamine had a higher mean age. More women than men used modafinil, methylphenidate, amphetamine and antidepressants. The narcolepsy population had more outpatient than inpatient healthcare. Patients treated with sodium oxybate had more outpatient visits than other narcolepsy patients, before and during treatment (p = .00). CONCLUSIONS: This study gives valuable information on pharmaceutical treatments and healthcare utilization for patients with narcolepsy and can be used to estimate the healthcare cost in the future. Patients with sodium oxybate treatment had more outpatient visits than other patients before and during treatment which may be due to the need to monitor potentially severe side-effects or may indicate that patients with sodium oxybate treatment have a severe disease. The number of included patients was less than expected; however, this may depend on patients escaping our collection of data, which does not contain information from primary care.

Exposure to duloxetine during pregnancy and risk of congenital malformations and stillbirth: A nationwide cohort study in Denmark and Sweden.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of depression and the exposure to antidepressants are high among women of reproductive age and during pregnancy. Duloxetine is a selective serotonin-norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor (SNRI) approved in the United States and Europe in 2004 for the treatment of depression. Fetal safety of duloxetine is not well established. The present study evaluates the association of exposure to duloxetine during pregnancy and the risk of major and minor congenital malformations and the risk of stillbirths. METHODS AND FINDINGS: A population-based observational study was conducted based on data from registers in Sweden and Denmark. All registered births and stillbirths in the medical birth registers between 2004 and 2016 were included. Malformation diagnoses were identified up to 1 year after birth. Logistic regression analyses were used. Potential confounding was addressed through multiple regression, propensity score (PS) matching, and sensitivity analyses. Confounder variables included sociodemographic information (income, education, age, year of birth, and country), comorbidity and comedication, previous psychiatric contacts, and birth-related information (smoking during pregnancy and previous spontaneous abortions and stillbirths). Duloxetine-exposed women were compared with 4 comparators: (1) duloxetine-nonexposed women; (2) selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI)-exposed women; (3) venlafaxine-exposed women; and (4) women exposed to duloxetine prior to, but not during, pregnancy. Exposure was defined as redemption of a prescription during the first trimester and throughout pregnancy for the analyses of malformations and stillbirths, respectively. Outcomes were major and minor malformations and stillbirths gathered from the national patient registers. The cohorts consisted of more than 2 million births with 1,512 duloxetine-exposed pregnancies. No increased risk for major malformations, minor malformations, or stillbirth was found across comparison groups in adjusted and PS-matched analyses. Duloxetine-exposed versus duloxetine-nonexposed PS-matched analyses showed odds ratio (OR) 0.98 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.74 to 1.30, p = 0.909) for major malformations, OR 1.09 (95% CI 0.82 to 1.45, p = 0.570) for minor malformation, and 1.18 (95% CI 0.43 to 3.19, p = 0.749) for stillbirths. For the individual malformation subtypes, some findings were statistically significant but were associated with large statistical uncertainty due to the extremely small number of events. The main limitations for the study were that the indication for duloxetine and a direct measurement of depression severity were not available to include as covariates. CONCLUSIONS: Based on this observational register-based nationwide study with data from Sweden and Denmark, no increased risk of major or minor congenital malformations or stillbirth was associated with exposure to duloxetine during pregnancy.

Productivity Loss Across Socioeconomic Groups Among Patients With Low Back Pain or Osteoarthritis: Estimates Using the Friction-Cost Approach in Norway.

OBJECTIVES: Our aim was to estimate the productivity loss (PL) among patients with low back pain (LBP) or osteoarthritis (OA) across socioeconomic groups, using the friction-cost approach (FCA). METHODS: A total of 175,550 patients aged 18-65 years were included at their first diagnosis in specialty care between 2011 and 2016. PL was calculated for the year following diagnosis using individual wages, while adjusting for the friction length at 78 days per episode, a team production multiplier at 1.6, compensation mechanisms of 26.8%, and a chain-of-vacancies multiplier at 3.95. We included a simpler FCA model, omitting the latter three parameters, and a human capital approach (HCA) model. Socioeconomic stratifications were created based on education and income. One-way sensitivity analysis was used to assess the influence of the parameters in the full FCA model. RESULTS: The overall mean number of absent days was 23, while it was 25.3 and 20.1 for those with low and high education levels. The per-patient friction costs were €4395 among all patients and when extending the friction length to 98 days costs were €4342. For those with low and high education levels, the costs were €3671 and €4464, respectively. The costs in the simple FCA and HCA models were €1539 and €2088. DISCUSSION: Socioeconomic status and model design are sources of variation in PL. In health economic applications with PL and in patient populations with large socioeconomic differences, adjusting for these factors may be as important as sensitivities in parameters such as the friction length.

Duloxetine Exposure During Pregnancy and the Risk of Offspring Being Born Small for Gestational Age or Prematurely: A Nationwide Danish and Swedish Safety Study.

BACKGROUND: Depression or depressive symptoms are common among pregnant women. The use of antidepressants during pregnancy has grown steadily. The risk of offspring being born small for gestational age or prematurely when exposed to duloxetine during pregnancy is not established. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to investigate the association between duloxetine exposure during pregnancy and offspring being born small for gestational age or prematurely. METHODS: We conducted an observational study including live births in Sweden and Denmark (2004-2016). Duloxetine exposure during early (0-140 days) or late (141 to delivery) pregnancy compared with duloxetine-non-exposed, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor-exposed, venlafaxine-exposed, and duloxetine discontinuers. RESULTS: In total, 2,083,467 pregnancies were identified, where 1589 and 450 were duloxetine exposed in early and late pregnancy, respectively. For small for gestational age, no increased risk was seen for duloxetine across comparators. In the early and late exposure windows, propensity score-matched odds ratios for small for gestational age ranged between 0.64 (95% confidence interval 0.44-0.95) and 1.48 (95% confidence interval 0.85-2.57). For preterm birth, the findings differed across comparators and exposure-time windows, but trended towards an increased risk for duloxetine-exposed when compared with duloxetine-non-exposed, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor-exposed, and duloxetine discontinuers in both early exposure and late exposure. The odds ratios ranged between 1.17 and 2.04, of which some did not reach statistical significance. No clear association was observed when compared with venlafaxine exposed, 0.91 (95% confidence interval 0.73-1.14) for early exposure and 1.26 (95% confidence interval 0.86-1.86) for late exposure. Most preterm births (79.2%) occurred in weeks 33-36 of gestation. CONCLUSIONS: Duloxetine exposure during pregnancy is unlikely to increase the risk of small for gestational age. Although not consequently statistically significant across comparisons, a trend towards an increased risk of preterm birth was observed for duloxetine exposed. Therefore, an increased risk of preterm birth cannot be excluded, especially for women exposed to duloxetine throughout pregnancy.

Duloxetine Exposure During Pregnancy and the Risk of Spontaneous and Elective Abortion: A Danish Nationwide Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: Depression and antidepressant treatment are widespread among women of childbearing age. OBJECTIVE: This study evaluates the association between duloxetine exposure during pregnancy and spontaneous and elective abortions. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The nationwide, observational study based on register data from Denmark included women with a recorded pregnancy in the birth register or an abortion in the patient register between 2004 and 2016. Duloxetine-exposed women were compared with (1) duloxetine non-exposed, (2) selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI)-exposed, (3) venlafaxine-exposed, and (4) women discontinuing duloxetine before pregnancy. Exposure status was based on records of redeemed prescriptions. Cox regression with adjustments and propensity score matching was applied. RESULTS: The data from 1,019,957 pregnancies were used, including 1,212 pregnancies exposed to duloxetine. Duloxetine-exposed women had an increased hazard ratio (HR) for spontaneous abortions compared with SSRI-exposed women: propensity score matched HR 1.25 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.00-1.57]. No increased hazard was observed for duloxetine-exposed women compared with duloxetine non-exposed: 1.08 (95% CI 0.89-1.31); venlafaxine-exposed: 1.08 (95% CI 0.82-1.41); and duloxetine discontinuers: 0.99 (95% CI 0.76-1.30). An increased HR of elective abortions was observed in duloxetine-exposed women compared to duloxetine non-exposed: 1.41 (95% CI 1.25-1.59); SSRI-exposed: 1.32 (95% CI 1.15-1.51); and duloxetine discontinuers: 1.46 (95% CI 1.23-1.75), but not to venlafaxine-exposed women: 1.09 (95% CI 0.93-1.27). CONCLUSION: There was no increased risk of spontaneous or elective abortion associated with exposure to duloxetine. The increase risk observed for women exposed to duloxetine in comparison with SSRI-exposed for spontaneous and in comparison with all groups (except venlafaxine-exposed) for elective abortion suggested confounding.