Incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in untreated subjects with chronic hepatitis B: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: In the natural history of hepatitis B virus (HBV) chronic infection, the hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk is unclear. We assessed incidence and predictors of HCC by a systematic review and meta-analysis. METHODS: We included longitudinal studies and randomized controlled trials assessing HCC incidence in untreated patients with HBV chronic infection. Incidence rates and their 95% confidence intervals were extracted by each study and pooled together in random effects models. RESULTS: Sixty-six studies were included with a total of 347 859 patients. According to liver disease status, the summary incidence rates were in Europe, North America and East Asia, respectively: (a) asymptomatic carriers: 0.07 (95% confidence interval: 0.05-0.09), 0.19 (0.07-0.31) and 0.42 (0.21-0.63) per 100 person-years, respectively; (b) inactive carriers: 0.03 (0.0-0.10), 0.17 (0.02-0.62) and 0.06 (0.02-0.10), respectively; (c) chronic hepatitis: 0.12 (0.0-0.27), 0.48 (0.22-0.91) and 0.49 (0.32-0.66), respectively; (d) compensated cirrhosis (Child-Pugh A): 2.03 (1.30-2.77), 2.89 (1.23-4.55) and 3.37 (2.48-4.26) respectively. Multivariate meta-regression showed a significant increase in incidence rates for age, and for status of a symptomatic carrier, chronic hepatitis and compensated cirrhosis compared to inactive carrier, but not for geographical area after adjusting for age. An increase in the incidence rates was also observed for alcohol intake ≥60 g/dl, HBV genotype C with respect to B and HBV-DNA serum levels >2000 IU/ml, in Asian studies. CONCLUSIONS: Hepatocellular carcinoma risk in untreated subjects with HBV chronic infection is strongly related with age and liver disease status.

Protease inhibitors-based therapy induces acquired spherocytic-like anaemia and ineffective erythropoiesis in chronic hepatitis C virus patients.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The addition of protease inhibitors, boceprevir (BOC) or telaprevir (TRV), to peg-interferon and ribavirin (PR) increases the incidence of anaemia in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Although genetic variants in inosine triphosphatase (ITPA) gene have been linked to the haemolytic anaemia induced by PR, the mechanism sustaining severe anaemia during triple therapy is still unknown. This study aims to elucidate the molecular mechanisms underlying anaemia in chronic HCV patients with combined therapy. METHODS: We studied 59 patients with chronic HCV genotype-1: 29 treated with TRV/PR and 30 with BOC/PR. We evaluated biochemical and haematological parameters, red cell index at baseline, 4, 12, 16 and 24 weeks of treatment; in a subgroup, we performed functional studies: osmotic fragility, red cell membrane protein separation, mass spectrometry analysis, quantification of erythroid microparticles release. IL28B and ITPA polymorphisms were also evaluated. RESULTS: We found early acute normochromic normocytic haemolytic anaemia (4-8 weeks) followed by a late macrocytic hypo-regenerative anaemia with inappropriate low reticulocyte count (12-24 weeks). Studies on red cells revealed: (i) presence of spherocytes; (ii) increased osmotic fragility; (iii) abnormalities in red cell membrane protein composition; (iv) reduced membrane-cytoskeleton stability; (v) increased release of erythroid microparticles. ITPA polymorphisms impacted only the early phase of anaemia. CONCLUSIONS: The bimodal pattern of anaemia in chronic HCV patients on triple therapy might be because of acquired spherocytic-like anaemia in the early phase, followed by hyporegenerative anaemia, most likely related to the combined effects of PR and TRV or BOC on erythropoiesis.

Reliable prediction of clinical outcome in patients with chronic HCV infection and compensated advanced hepatic fibrosis: a validated model using objective and readily available clinical parameters.

OBJECTIVE: Reliable tools to predict long-term outcome among patients with well compensated advanced liver disease due to chronic HCV infection are lacking. DESIGN: Risk scores for mortality and for cirrhosis-related complications were constructed with Cox regression analysis in a derivation cohort and evaluated in a validation cohort, both including patients with chronic HCV infection and advanced fibrosis. RESULTS: In the derivation cohort, 100/405 patients died during a median 8.1 (IQR 5.7-11.1) years of follow-up. Multivariate Cox analyses showed age (HR=1.06, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.09, p<0.001), male sex (HR=1.91, 95% CI 1.10 to 3.29, p=0.021), platelet count (HR=0.91, 95% CI 0.87 to 0.95, p<0.001) and log10 aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio (HR=1.30, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.51, p=0.001) were independently associated with mortality (C statistic=0.78, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.83). In the validation cohort, 58/296 patients with cirrhosis died during a median of 6.6 (IQR 4.4-9.0) years. Among patients with estimated 5-year mortality risks <5%, 5-10% and >10%, the observed 5-year mortality rates in the derivation cohort and validation cohort were 0.9% (95% CI 0.0 to 2.7) and 2.6% (95% CI 0.0 to 6.1), 8.1% (95% CI 1.8 to 14.4) and 8.0% (95% CI 1.3 to 14.7), 21.8% (95% CI 13.2 to 30.4) and 20.9% (95% CI 13.6 to 28.1), respectively (C statistic in validation cohort = 0.76, 95% CI 0.69 to 0.83). The risk score for cirrhosis-related complications also incorporated HCV genotype (C statistic = 0.80, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.83 in the derivation cohort; and 0.74, 95% CI 0.68 to 0.79 in the validation cohort). CONCLUSIONS: Prognosis of patients with chronic HCV infection and compensated advanced liver disease can be accurately assessed with risk scores including readily available objective clinical parameters.

Identification of naïve HCV-1 patients with chronic hepatitis who may benefit from dual therapy with peg-interferon and ribavirin.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The pool of HCV genotype 1 patients likely to be cured by peg-interferon and ribavirin remains to be quantified. METHODS: In 1045 patients treated with peg-interferon and ribavirin, two therapeutic strategies were confronted: the first one evaluated only baseline variables associated with sustained virological response (SVR), and the second one included the rapid virologic response (RVR) in addition to baseline predictors. An 80% SVR rate was the threshold to retain a strategy as clinically relevant. RESULTS: Overall, 414 patients (39.6%) attained SVR. In the first strategy, the hierarchy of features independently associated with SVR was IL28B CC genotype (OR 5.082; CI 3.637-7.101), low (<400,000 IU) viremia (OR 2.907; CI 2.111-4.004), F0-F2 fibrosis (OR 1.631; CI 1.122-2.372) and type 2 diabetes (OR 0.528; CI 0.286-0.972). In the alternative strategy, SVR was associated with RVR (OR 6.273; CI 4.274-9.208), IL28B CC genotype (OR 3.306; CI 2.301-4.751), low viremia (OR 2.175; CI 1.542-3.070), and F0-F2 fibrosis (OR 1.506; CI 1.012-2.242). Combining the favorable baseline variables, the rates of SVR ranged from 42.4% to 83.3%, but only 66 patients (6.3%, overall) with all predictors could be anticipated to reach the >80% SVR threshold. Only 26.6% of no-RVR patients attained SVR. Among the 255 RVR patients, the likelihood of SVR was 61.8% in those with unfavorable predictors, 80% in the presence of a single predictor, and 100% when both predictors were present. By using this model, 200 patients (19.1%) were predicted to have an 80% chance of being cured with dual therapy. CONCLUSIONS: A consistent subset of naïve HCV-1 patients, identified by some baseline characteristics and RVR, may benefit from dual treatment with peg-interferon and ribavirin.

Vitamin A deficiency is associated with hepatitis C virus chronic infection and with unresponsiveness to interferon-based antiviral therapy.

UNLABELLED: Recent data suggest that vitamin A modulates the expression of type I interferon receptor enhancing the antireplication effect of interferon-α on hepatitis C virus (HCV). This study aimed to investigate the prevalence of vitamin A deficiency among patients with chronic HCV infection and to assess whether vitamin A deficiency could be associated with unresponsiveness to interferon-based antiviral therapy. The analysis included 199 consecutive treatment-naïve chronic HCV patients in whom pretreatment serum vitamin A and 25-OH vitamin D were measured; 119 healthy blood donors were used as controls. Median (interquartile range) serum vitamin A in HCV-positive patients was significantly lower than in controls: 256 ng/mL (128-440) versus 742 (624-942, P<0.0001). Overall sustained viral response was achieved in 122/199 patients, 46/109 infected by difficult to treat HCV genotypes. In these latter, 39/104 (37.5%) were nonresponders. At multivariate analysis, nonresponse to antiviral therapy was predicted by carriage of interleukin (IL)-28B T/* genotypes, baseline serum levels of γGT>60 IU/mL, of HCV RNA>600,000 IU/mL, of vitamin A≤100 ng/mL, and a cumulative dose of ribavirin≤80%. Seventeen patients (9.0%) had both serum levels of vitamin A≤100 ng/mL and of vitamin D≤20 ng/mL; the presence of a combined vitamin A and D deficiency was found to be a strong independent predictor of nonresponse to antiviral therapy. CONCLUSION: A high percentage of patients with chronic HCV infection have serum vitamin A deficiency. This condition is associated with nonresponse to antiviral therapy.

Toll like receptor 4 D299G associates with disease progression in Caucasian patients with chronic HBV infection: relationship with gender.

This study aimed to verify whether rs4986790 A > G single nucleotide polymorphism of toll like receptor 4 (TLR-4) associates with a more severe course of hepatitis B virus (HBV) chronic infection. A cross-sectional study enrolled 191 Caucasian HBV-positive patients: 28 HBsAg + inactive carriers, 121 chronic hepatitis B, 42 HBsAg + transplant candidates. A longitudinal study included 94 patients followed-up for a median time of 19.3 years. TLR-4 rs4986790 A/A genotype was carried less frequently in male HBsAg + inactive carriers than in males with HBsAg + active chronic infection (12/17 Vs 109/121, p = 0.022). At stepwise logistic regression analysis, the carriage of TLR-4 rs4986790 A/A genotype was found to be and independent predictor of liver fibrosis (O.R. 14.8, p = 0.019). In conclusion, in HBV-positive Caucasian patients, the A/A genotype of the rs4986790 polymorphism may influence a worse outcome of chronic HBV infection, mainly through a synergistic interaction with male gender.

Vitamin D binding protein gene polymorphisms and baseline vitamin D levels as predictors of antiviral response in chronic hepatitis C.

UNLABELLED: Vitamin D deficiency seems to predict the unsuccessful achievement of sustained viral response (SVR) after antiviral treatment in hepatitis C virus (HCV) difficult-to-treat genotypes. Vitamin D binding protein (GC) gene polymorphisms are known to influence vitamin D levels. This study was performed to assess whether the interaction between basal circulating vitamin D and the GC polymorphism plays a role in influencing the rate of antiviral responses in patients affected by chronic hepatitis C. In all, 206 HCV patients treated with a combination therapy of pegylated (PEG)-interferon plus ribavirin were retrospectively evaluated. GC rs7041 G>T, GC rs4588 C>A, and IL-28B rs12979860 C>T polymorphisms were genotyped. Frequencies of GC rs7041 G>T and rs4588 C>A polymorphisms were: G/G = 64 (31.1%), G/T = 100 (48.5%), T/T = 42 (20.4%) and C/C = 108 (52.4%), C/A = 84 (40.8%), A/A = 14 (6.8%). Patients were divided into those carrying ≥3 major alleles (wildtype [WT]+: G-C/G-C, G-C/T-C, G-C/G-A, N = 100) and the remaining (WT-: G-C/T-A, T-A/T-C, T-A/T-A, T-C/T-C, N = 106). Four groups were identified: vitamin D ≤20 ng/mL and WT-, vitamin D ≤20 and WT+, vitamin D >20 and WT-, vitamin D >20 and WT+. In difficult-to-treat HCV genotypes the proportion of patients achieving SVR significantly increased with a linear trend from the first to the last group: 6/25 (24.0%), 9/24 (37.5%), 12/29 (41.4%), 19/29 (65.5%) (P = 0.003). At multivariate analysis, having basal vitamin D >20 ng/mL plus the carriage of GC WT+ was found to be an independent predictor of SVR (odds ratio 4.52, P = 0.015). CONCLUSION: In difficult-to-treat HCV genotypes, simultaneous pretreatment normal serum vitamin D levels and the carriage of GC-globulin WT isoform strongly predicts the achievement of SVR after PEG-interferon plus ribavirin antiviral therapy.

Complementary role of vitamin D deficiency and the interleukin-28B rs12979860 C/T polymorphism in predicting antiviral response in chronic hepatitis C.

UNLABELLED: The widely accepted interleukin-28B (IL-28B) rs12979860 C/T polymorphism and the more recently proposed vitamin D serum concentration are two novel predictors of the response to antiviral treatment in chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. This study aimed to verify whether the IL-28B rs12979860 C/T polymorphism and pretreatment serum vitamin D levels have independent or complementary roles in predicting the rates of sustained viral response (SVR). The present study included 211 consecutive, treatment-naïve chronic HCV patients who had their pretreatment serum 25-OH vitamin D level and IL-28B rs12979860 C/T genotype determined. Overall, SVR was achieved by 134/211 (63.5%) patients and by 47/110 (42.7%) patients infected with difficult-to-treat HCV genotypes. On multivariate analysis, SVR was predicted by the HCV genotype, the IL-28B rs12979860 C/T polymorphism, and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase, HCV RNA, cholesterol, and 25-OH vitamin D serum levels, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.827. When difficult-to-treat HCV genotypes were analyzed separately, the SVR was predicted by the IL-28B rs12979860 C/T polymorphism, viral load, and serum vitamin D level, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.836. Moreover, by categorizing these latter patients into four groups-C/C homozygotes with vitamin D levels >20 ng/mL (group A) or ≤20 ng/mL (group B) and C/T heterozygotes or T/T homozygotes with vitamin D levels >20 ng/mL (group C) or ≤20 ng/mL (group D)-a significant linear trend was observed, with SVR rates in the following descending order: group A, 18/21 (85.7%); group B, 6/11 (54.5%); group C, 14/38 (36.8%); and group D, 9/40 (22.5%) (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: Vitamin D serum levels are complementary to the IL-28B rs12979860 C/T polymorphism in enhancing the correct prediction of the SVR in treatment-naïve chronic hepatitis C.

The homeostasis model assessment of the insulin resistance score is not predictive of a sustained virological response in chronic hepatitis C patients.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the independent association between the homeostasis model assessment of the insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) score and rapid virological response (RVR) and sustained virological response (SVR) in chronic hepatitis C (CHC). METHODS: Observational prospective cohort study of 412 CHC patients [59% males; mean age 45 years; genotype 1 (44%), 2 (32%), 3 (19%) and 4 (5%)] treated with pegylated interferon α plus ribavirin. RESULTS: A HOMA-IR ≥2.0 was present in 49% and a metabolic syndrome in 4% of patients. By multivariate analysis, independent predictors of SVR were the lack of advanced fibrosis (≥F3) in genotype 1 and a lower body mass index in genotype 3 patients. In the subgroup of patients in whom HCV-RNA was evaluated at week 4 (n = 281), independent predictors of RVR were HCV-RNA <700,000 IU/ml, age <40 years and lower aspartate aminotransferase:alanine aminotransferase ratio in genotype 1 and baseline HOMA-IR ≤2 in genotype 3 patients. No predictive factor of RVR was identified among genotype 2 patients. RVR was the strongest predictor of SVR among genotype 1 or 3 patients. CONCLUSIONS: In this series of treatment-naïve, Caucasian CHC patients at a low risk for the metabolic syndrome, HOMA-IR is not a predictor of SVR, irrespective of the HCV genotype, although it may predict RVR in genotype 3 infection.

No inflammation? No cancer! Clear HBV early and live happily.

COMMENTARY ON: Clearance of Hepatitis B Surface Antigen and Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in a cohort Chronically Infected with Hepatitis B Virus. Simonetti J, Bulkow L, McMahon BJ, Homan C, Snowball M, Negus S, Williams J, Livingston SE. Hepatology. 2009 Nov 30. [Epub ahead of print]. Copyright 2009. Reprinted with permission of John Wiley and Sons, Inc. Abstract: Some individuals who are chronically infected with hepatitis B virus (HBV) eventually lose hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg). Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been demonstrated to occur in a few patients after loss of HBsAg. Neither factors associated with loss of HBsAg nor the incidence of HCC thereafter have been clearly elucidated. We performed a prospective population-based cohort study in 1271 Alaska native persons with chronic HBV infection followed for an average of 19.6 years to determine factors associated with loss of HBsAg and risk of developing HCC thereafter. HBsAg loss occurred in 158 persons for a rate of HBsAg clearance of 0.7%/year. Older age, but not sex, was associated with clearance of HBsAg, and loss of HBsAg was not associated with any particular HBV genotypes (A-D, and F) found in this population. Participants were followed for an average of 108.9 months after HBsAg loss. Six patients, two with cirrhosis and four without, developed HCC a mean of 7.3 years after HBsAg clearance (range, 2.0-15.5 years). The incidence of HCC after clearance of HBsAg was 36.8 per 100,000 per year (95% CI 13.5-80.0) which was significantly lower than the rate in those who remained HBsAg-positive (195.7 cases per 100,000 person-years of follow-up [95% CI 141.1-264.5; P<0.001). After loss of HBsAg, HBV DNA was detected in the sera of 28 (18%) of those who cleared a median of 3.6 years after clearance. CONCLUSION: HCC can occur in persons with chronic hepatitis B who have lost HBsAg, even in the absence of cirrhosis. These persons should still be followed with periodic liver ultrasound to detect HCC early.

Prediction of oesophageal varices in hepatic cirrhosis by simple serum non-invasive markers: Results of a multicenter, large-scale study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Preliminary data suggest that non-invasive methods could be useful to assess presence of oesophageal varices (OV) in cirrhotic patients. We aimed to further investigate simple serum non-invasive markers for diagnosing and grading OV. METHODS: A retrospective set of 510 cirrhotics and a prospective set of 110 cirrhotics were enrolled consecutively in five centers. Platelets, AST-to-ALT ratio, AST-to-platelet-ratio index, Forns' index, Lok index, Fib-4, and Fibroindex were measured within 2 months from upper endoscopy, taken as a gold standard. Performance was expressed as sensitivity, specificity, positive, and negative predictive values (PPV, NPV), accuracy, and area under the curve (AUC). RESULTS: A combination of Lok index (cutoff=1.5) and Forns' index (cutoff=8.8) had 0.80 AUC (0.76-0.84, 95% CI), and high NPV (>90%) to exclude clinically relevant OV, defined as large OV or small OV with red signs or in Child-Pugh C cirrhosis. By applying this combination, upper endoscopy would have been avoided in 1/3 of our cirrhotics. Large OV could be excluded with 96% NPV by Lok index (cutoff=1.5). A combination of Lok index (cutoff=0.9) and Forns' index (cutoff=8.5) predicted presence of any grade OV with good performance: 0.82 AUC (0.76-0.88, 95% CI), 88% PPV. CONCLUSIONS: Serum non-invasive markers may be useful as a first line tool to identify cirrhotic patients in which the risk of clinically relevant OV is trivial, and to reduce the number of upper endoscopies. However, we are still far from the possibility of replacing upper endoscopy by simple serum non-invasive markers in the vast majority of patients.

A seven-gene signature (cirrhosis risk score) predicts liver fibrosis progression in patients with initially mild chronic hepatitis C.

UNLABELLED: Fibrosis progression is the main determinant of liver disease outcome in chronic hepatitis C, being influenced by environmental and host factors. Recently, a cirrhosis risk score (CRS) based on seven single-nucleotide polymorphisms was proposed as genetic predictor of cirrhosis in hepatitis C. To assess the role of CRS in predicting fibrosis progression in patients with initially no or minimal to moderate fibrosis, we investigated 271 untreated patients with chronic hepatitis C having initial liver biopsy showing METAVIR stage F0 (n = 104), F1 (n = 101), or F2 (n = 59) who had been followed up without antiviral therapies for at least 60 months (mean 108.5 +/- 71.5 months) and had a liver biopsy at the end of this observation period. Of these, 24.4% showed no histologic progression, 75.6% progressed by at least one stage, 45.0% progressed by at least two stages, and 10.3% progressed by more than two stages. The mean CRS was significantly higher (P = 0.005) in patients with fibrosis progression compared with those without progression, and this difference was particularly evident (P = 0.002) with F0 on initial biopsy. Mean CRS scores were not associated with degree of fibrosis progression. The relative risk of fibrosis progression increased with increasing CRS values. This association was significant in males but not in females and was most evident in males with F0 at initial biopsy (odds ratio 16.5, 95% confidence interval 1.6-166; P= 0.02) in the presence of high CRS. Multivariate analysis confirmed the significant association of CRS score with fibrosis progression. The predictive value of CRS was confirmed in hepatitis C virus patients admitting significant alcohol intake. CONCLUSION: Host genetics defined by CRS predict fibrosis progression in males with initially mild chronic hepatitis C and may become a useful parameter for prognostic evaluation and treatment decision.

Genetic polymorphism at the apolipoprotein E locus affects the outcome of chronic hepatitis B.

Apolipoprotein E (ApoE) and H (ApoH) genotypes are known to affect plasma lipoprotein concentrations. By modulating transport and entry of the hepatitis B virus into hepatocytes, apolipoproteins may influence the course of infection. To verify this hypothesis, 105 patients with chronic HBV infection were examined. Sixty-two of the patients were followed-up for a median time of 21 years. One hundred two controls were included. ApoE and ApoH genotypes were determined by the restriction fragment length polymorphism method. A trend was found for progressive overrepresentation of ApoE3/E3 among patients with advanced liver disease: 13/27 (48%) of inactive HBV carriers, 36/61 (59%) of chronic hepatitis B patients and 16/17 (94%) of patients who received liver transplants (P < 0.005). Being an E3/* carrier was associated with a lower probability of loss of HBsAg: 9/56 (16%) versus 3/6 (50%) (P < 0.05); it was also associated with a longer time before HBsAg loss (P < 0.05). No influence of ApoH genotypes on clinical outcomes was found. The probability of disease progression was higher, and that of loss of HBsAg was lower, among patients with the ApoE3 allelic variant. Downregulation and/or reduced binding of the LDL receptor may explain the more benign course of hepatitis B among carriers of ApoE2-E4.

Reduced serum hepcidin levels in patients with chronic hepatitis C.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) often have increased liver iron, a condition associated with reduced sustained response to antiviral therapy, more rapid progression to cirrhosis, and development of hepatocellular carcinoma. The hepatic hormone hepcidin is the major regulator of iron metabolism and inhibits iron absorption and recycling from erythrophagocytosis. Hepcidin decrease is a possible pathophysiological mechanism of iron overload in CHC, but studies in humans have been hampered so far by the lack of reliable quantitative assays for the 25-amino acid bioactive peptide in serum (s-hepcidin). METHODS: Using a recently validated immunoassay, we measured s-hepcidin levels in 81 untreated CHC patients and 57 controls with rigorous definition of normal iron status. All CHC patients underwent liver biopsy with histological iron score. RESULTS: s-hepcidin was significantly lower in CHC patients than in controls (geometric means with 95% confidence intervals: 33.7, 21.5-52.9 versus 90.9, 76.1-108.4 ng/mL, respectively; p<0.001). In CHC patients, s-hepcidin significantly correlated with serum ferritin and histological total iron score, but not with s-interleukin-6. After stratification for ferritin quartiles, s-hepcidin increased significantly across quartiles in both controls and CHC patients (chi for trend, p<0.001). However, in CHC patients, s-hepcidin was significantly lower than in controls for each corresponding quartile (analysis of variance, p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: These results, together with very recent studies in animal and cellular models, indicate that although hepcidin regulation by iron stores is maintained in CHC, the suppression of this hormone by hepatitis C virus is likely an important factor in liver iron accumulation in this condition.

Serum ferritin as a predictor of treatment outcome in patients with chronic hepatitis C.

OBJECTIVES: Antiviral treatment in chronic hepatitis C (CHC) involves ribavirin, a hemolytic agent. We planned a prospective study to evaluate whether drug-induced iron perturbation is clinically relevant as it relates to therapeutic outcome. METHODS: Iron variables were sequentially assessed in 206 CHC patients undergoing antiviral therapy and were correlated with pretreatment iron status and histology, hemolysis, and therapeutic outcome. RESULTS: At week 1 of therapy, serum iron (SI), transferrin saturation (TS), and serum ferritin (SF) increased markedly in all patients. All iron parameters correlated with hemolysis up to week 4; this correlation was lost for SF at later time points. SF rise during treatment was inversely related to baseline SF and iron deposits in hepatic mesenchymal/Kupffer cells. Both baseline SF and mesenchymal iron significantly correlated with fibrosis at multivariate analysis (P=0.015 and 0.008, respectively). Interestingly, baseline SF, despite good specificity (89%), had low sensitivity in predicting siderosis (25%). During therapy, SI, TS, and hemolysis parameters did not correlate with sustained virological response (SVR), whereas SF rise became an independent predictor of therapeutic response: a 2.5-fold increase of SF at week 12 associated with higher likelihood of SVR (odds ratio 1.91, P=0.032). Accordingly, lack of mesenchymal iron deposits at the baseline biopsy correlated with SVR (odds ratio 3.02, P=0.043). CONCLUSIONS: In CHC, SF is a useful marker for assessing disease duration and progression before starting treatment and for predicting therapeutic response while on therapy. SF rise during antiviral therapy is largely independent of hemolysis and likely indicates activation of macrophages in response to antivirals.

Endogenously produced TNF-α contributes to the expression of CXCL10/IP-10 in IFN-λ3-activated plasmacytoid dendritic cells.

The interplay between IFN-λs and dendritic cells is becoming increasingly relevant, particularly in light of their key role in inducing the antiviral state, including in hepatitis C virus infection. In this work, we have analyzed extensively how human plasmacytoid dendritic cells respond to IFN-λ3. We report that plasmacytoid dendritic cells incubated with IFN-λ3 prolong their survival; alter their expression pattern of surface HLA-DRα, CD123, CD86, and CD303; and time dependently produce IFN-α, CXCL10/IFN-γ-induced protein 10, and even modest quantities of TNF-α. Nevertheless, endogenously produced TNF-α, but not IFN-α, was found to be essential for driving the expression of CXCL10/IFN-γ-induced protein 10 in IFN-λ3-treated plasmacytoid dendritic cells, as revealed by neutralizing experiments by use of adalimumab, etanercept, and infliximab. We also observed that based on the kinetics and levels of IFN-α and CXCL10/IFN-γ-induced protein 10 produced by their IFN-λ3-treated plasmacytoid dendritic cells, healthy donors could be categorized into 2 and 3 groups, respectively. In particular, we identified a group of donors whose plasmacytoid dendritic cells produced modest quantities of CXCL10/IFN-γ-induced protein 10; another one whose plasmacytoid dendritic cells produced elevated CXCL10/IFN-γ-induced protein 10 levels, already after 18 h, declining thereafter; and a 3rd group characterized by plasmacytoid dendritic cells releasing very high CXCL10/IFN-γ-induced protein 10 levels after 42 h only. Finally, we report that in plasmacytoid dendritic cells, equivalent concentrations of IFN-λ3 and IFN-λ1 promote survival, antigen modulation, and cytokine production in a comparable manner and without acting additively/synergistically. Altogether, data not only extend the knowledge on the biologic effects that IFN-λs exert on plasmacytoid dendritic cells but also add novel light to the networking between IFN-λs and plasmacytoid dendritic cells in fighting viral diseases.

Progression to cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma and liver-related mortality in chronic hepatitis B patients in Italy.

BACKGROUND: The natural history of chronic hepatitis B is variable. We evaluated some of the risk factors for cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma and liver-related mortality in Italian patients with chronic hepatitis B. METHODS: A cohort of 105 untreated patients with chronic hepatitis B without cirrhosis at diagnosis was followed prospectively for a mean period of 23 years. Clinical, histological and ultrasound examinations, biochemical and virological tests, and causes of death were analyzed. RESULTS: Forty-two (40%) patients became inactive carriers and 63 (60%) showed persistent alanine aminotransferase elevation: 13 (13%) associated with HBeAg persistence, 35 (33%) with detectable serum HBV-DNA but HBeAg-negative, 11 (10%) with concurrent virus infection and 4 (4%) with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Cirrhosis incidence was 1.56/100 person-years. Older age and sustained HBV replication predicted cirrhosis occurrence independently. Hepatocellular carcinoma incidence was 2.1/100 person-years in patients who developed cirrhosis and 0.06 in those who did not. Cirrhosis occurrence was associated with an increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (hazard ratio 20.4, 95% confidence interval 2.54-167.5) and liver-related death (16.5, 2.0-138.8). CONCLUSIONS: In Italian patients with chronic hepatitis B cirrhosis strongly predicts hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence and disease-related mortality, thus indicating that early antiviral treatment should be instituted before cirrhosis occurrence.

Genetic polymorphisms of vitamin D pathway predict antiviral treatment outcome in slow responder naïve patients with chronic hepatitis C.

Vitamin D serum levels seem to influence antiviral response in chronic hepatitis C. Vitamin D pathway is controlled by genes presenting functional single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). Data regarding the association between these polymorphisms and the rate of sustained viral response (SVR) following antiviral treatment in chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection are largely incomplete. Aim of this study was to evaluate if the carriage of different SNPs of these genes could influence the rate of SVR in patients treated with interferon plus ribavirin. Two hundred and six HCV positive patients treated with PEG-interferon plus ribavirin were retrospectively evaluated. Polymorphic loci rs7041 G>T and rs4588 C>A of the vitamin D transporter GC-globulin, rs10741657 G>A of the vitamin D 25 hydroxylase CYP2R1 and rs10877012 G>T of vitamin D 1-hydroxylase CYP27B1 were genotyped. A genetic model named VDPFA (vitamin D Pathway Functional Alleles) was constructed considering for each patient the sum (from 0 to 8), derived from every functional allele carried, associated with the achievement of SVR. Three groups were identified: those carrying ≤4 VDPFA (N=108), those carrying 5-6 VDPFA (N=78) and those carrying ≥7 VDPFA (N=20). Significant associations were found between the rates of SVR and the VDPFA value both in all (61/108, 53/78, 17/20, p=0.009) and in 1/4-5 HCV genotypes (17/56, 23/43, 6/8, p=0.003). Moreover in patients who don't achieve rapid viral response (RVR) SVR and VDPFA were found to be in stronger associations in all (12/55, 17/39, 7/9, p<0.001) and in 1/4-5 HCV genotypes (4/41, 12/31, 5/6, p=0.001). VDPFA value ≥7 could aid to select, among RVR negative difficult to treat 1/4-5 HCV genotypes, those achieving SVR. These observations could permit to extend the indication to adopt dual antiviral therapy beyond RVR positivity rule without reducing the chances of SVR.

Post-load insulin resistance does not predict virological response to treatment of chronic hepatitis C patients without the metabolic syndrome.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The role of insulin resistance in predicting virological response to therapy of chronic hepatitis C is debated. We assessed the association between basal (defined as homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR)>2) and post-load insulin resistance (as oral glucose insulin sensitivity index<9.8 mg/kg/min) with the rapid and sustained virological responses in chronic hepatitis C. METHODS: Observational prospective study of 124 treatment-naïve patients with chronic hepatitis C not fulfilling the metabolic syndrome criteria, adherent to a standard treatment with pegylated interferon alpha plus ribavirin. RESULTS: Insulin resistance was detected in 50% (by HOMA-IR) and 29% (by oral glucose insulin sensitivity index) of patients. Independent predictors of rapid virologic response were hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 2 (odds ratio 5.66; 95% confidence interval 1.88-17.01), HCV genotype 3 (odds ratio 5.23; 95% confidence interval 1.84-14.84) and lower basal ferritin levels (odds ratio 0.99; 95% confidence interval 0.993-0.998). Independent predictors of sustained virologic response were HCV genotype 2 (odds ratio 19.54; 95% confidence interval 2.29-166.41) and HCV genotype 3 (odds ratio 3.24; 95% confidence interval 1.10-9.58). Rapid virologic response was by itself predictive of sustained virologic response (odds ratio 40.90; 95% confidence interval 5.37-311.53). CONCLUSIONS: Insulin resistance, measured by both static and dynamic methods, does not predict rapid or sustained virologic response in chronic hepatitis C patients without the metabolic syndrome.

Natural history of chronic HBV infection: special emphasis on the prognostic implications of the inactive carrier state versus chronic hepatitis.

The evaluation of the natural history of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection requires the precise definition of the various clinical conditions that can be encountered (i.e. inactive carrier state or subject with liver disease activity). This can be achieved by repeat monitoring of ALT, serum HBV-DNA levels (over a period of at least 1 year, according to international guidelines) and/or evaluation of HBsAg titre. Liver biopsy may offer additional information although it is not mandatory. Overall, the natural history of the true inactive carrier is benign: reactivation of hepatitis, especially in Western countries, is rare and is usually due to co-factors (like alcohol or drugs); spontaneous HBsAg loss is frequent (around 1% per year) and HCC development rare. On the other hand, in patients with chronic hepatitis B or cirrhosis, the risk of reactivation, of HCC development and of liver-related mortality is much higher, especially in Eastern countries, and should therefore lead to antiviral therapy.