Predictors of Functional Decline Among Critically Ill Surgical Patients: A National Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Functional decline is associated with critical illness, though this relationship in surgical patients is unclear. This study aims to characterize functional decline after intensive care unit (ICU) admission among surgical patients. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of surgical patients admitted to the ICU in the Cerner Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation database, which includes 236 hospitals, from 2007 to 2017. Patients with and without functional decline were compared. Predictors of decline were modeled. RESULTS: A total of 52,838 patients were included; 19,310 (36.5%) experienced a functional decline. Median ages of the decline and nondecline groups were 69 (interquartile range 59-78) and 63 (interquartile range 52-72) years, respectively (P < 0.01). The nondecline group had a larger proportion of males (59.1% versus 55.3% in the decline group, P < 0.01). After controlling for sociodemographic covariates, comorbidities, and disease severity upon ICU admission, patients undergoing pulmonary (odds ratio [OR] 6.54, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.67-16.02), musculoskeletal (OR 4.13, CI 3.51-4.87), neurological (OR 2.67, CI 2.39-2.98), gastrointestinal (OR 1.61, CI 1.38-1.88), and skin and soft tissue (OR 1.35, CI 1.08-1.68) compared to cardiovascular surgeries had increased odds of decline. CONCLUSIONS: More than one in three critically ill surgical patients experienced a functional decline. Pulmonary, musculoskeletal, and neurological procedures conferred the greatest risk. Additional resources should be targeted toward the rehabilitation of these patients.

Transfusion and Mortality in Acute Care Surgical Patients in Malawi: A Propensity-Matched Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Information on transfusion-associated outcomes is limited in sub-Saharan Africa. We sought to characterize predictors of mortality in transfused patients with acute care surgical conditions in Malawi. METHODS: We performed a retrospective propensity-matched analysis of patients with acute care surgical conditions at Kamuzu Central Hospital in Malawi from 2013 to 2021. We compared outcomes between patients who did and did not receive transfusions. RESULTS: A total of 7395 patients were included. Transfused patients (n = 1086) were older (median 43 y with interquartile range 30-59, versus 39 y [interquartile range 27-53] in the nontransfused group, P < 0.01), had a higher proportion of females (41% versus 27%, P < 0.01), presented earlier to the hospital (median 2.9 versus 3.7 d, P = 0.02), and with lower hemoglobin levels (27% versus 1% < 7 g/dL, P < 0.01). They had a lower rate of surgical intervention (48% versus 59%, P < 0.01) but a higher rate of complications (62% versus 33%, P < 0.01). Crude in-hospital mortality was 25.5% for the transfused group and 12.8% for the nontransfused group (P < 0.01). After propensity matching, transfused patients had three times the odds of mortality compared to nontransfused patients (odds ratio 3.3, 95% confidence interval 2.3, 4.8). CONCLUSIONS: In this propensity-matched study, transfused surgical patients were more likely to experience in-hospital mortality. These results suggest that the transfusion requirement reflects critical illness and warrants further investigation in this low-resource setting.

The Bidirectionality of Global Surgical Research: The Utility of the Malawi Trauma Score in the United States Trauma Population.

INTRODUCTION: Trauma scoring systems provide valuable risk stratification of injured patients. Trauma scoring systems developed in resource-limited settings, such as the Malawi Trauma Score (MTS), are based on readily available clinical information. This study sought to test the performance of the MTS in a United States trauma population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We analyzed the United States National Trauma Data Bank during 2017-2020. MTS uses alertness score: alert, responds to verbal or painful stimuli, or unresponsive (AVPU), age, sex, presence of a radial pulse, and primary anatomic injury location. MTS and an age-adjusted version reflective of the US age distribution, was evaluated for its performance in predicting crude mortality in the National Trauma Data Bank using receiver operating characteristic analysis. We utilized logistic regression to model the odds ratio of death at a particular MTS cutoff. RESULTS: A total of 3,833,929 patients were included. The mean age was 49.3 y (sandard deviation 24.4), with a male preponderance (61.1%). Crude mortality was 3.4% (n = 131,452/3,833,929). The area under the curve for the MTS in predicting mortality was 0.87 (95% CI 0.87, 0.88). The area under the curve for a cutoff of 15 was 0.83 (95% CI 0.83, 0.83). An MTS of 15 higher had an odds ratio of death of 46.5 (95% CI 45.9, 47.1), compared to those with a score of 14 or lower. CONCLUSIONS: MTS has excellent performance as a predictor of mortality in a US trauma population. MTS is simple to calculate and can be estimated in the prehospital setting or the emergency department. Consequently, it may have utility as a triage tool in both high-income trauma systems and resource-limited settings.

Blood Utilization and Thresholds for Mortality Following Major Trauma.

INTRODUCTION: Blood loss is a hallmark of traumatic injury. Massive transfusion, historically defined as the replacement by transfusion of 10 units of packed red blood cells (PRBCs) in 4 h, is a response to uncontrolled hemorrhage. We sought to identify blood transfusion thresholds in which predicted mortality exceeds 50%. METHODS: We analyzed the 2017-2019 National Trauma Database. Inclusion criteria included patients ≥18 y who received ≥1 unit of PRBCs. Statistical analysis included bivariate analysis, logistic regression for mortality, and adjusted predicted probability modeling was utilized. RESULTS: We identified 61,676 patients for analysis. The 50% predicted mortality for all patients was 31 PRBC units. The 50% predicted mortality was 6 units of PRBCs for elderly trauma patients 80 y and older. CONCLUSIONS: Blood remains as scarce resource in hospitals especially with trauma. Patients receiving a massive transfusion over a short period of time may exhaust blood bank supply with diminishing survival benefit. Surgeons should be judicious regarding continued blood usage once the 50% predicted mortality threshold is reached.

Nonoperative Management Versus Laparoscopic Appendectomy in Children: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Nonoperative management (NOM) of acute appendicitis in the pediatric population is highly debated with uncertain cost-effectiveness. We performed a decision tree cost-effectiveness analysis of NOM versus early laparoscopic appendectomy (LA) for acute appendicitis in children. METHODS: We created a decision tree model for a simulated cohort of 49,000 patients, the number of uncomplicated appendectomies performed annually, comparing NOM and LA. We included postoperative complications, recurrent appendicitis, and antibiotic-related complications. We used the payer perspective with a 1-year time horizon. Model uncertainty was analyzed using a probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Event probabilities, health-state utilities, and costs were obtained from literature review, Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project, and Medicare fee schedules. RESULTS: In the base-case analysis, NOM costs $6530/patient and LA costs $9278/patient on average at 1 y. Quality-adjusted life year (QALY) differences minimally favored NOM compared to LA with 0.997 versus 0.996 QALYs/patient. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for NOM over LA was $4,791,149.52/QALY. NOM was dominant in 97.4% of simulations, outperforming in cost and QALYs. A probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed NOM was 99.6% likely to be cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000/QALY. CONCLUSIONS: Our model demonstrates that NOM is a dominant strategy to LA over a 1-year horizon. We use recent trial data demonstrating higher rates of early and late NOM failures. However, we also incorporate a shorter length of index hospitalizations with NOM, reflecting a contemporary approach to NOM and ultimately driving cost-effectiveness. Long-term follow-up data are needed in this population to assess the cost-effectiveness of NOM over longer time horizons, where healthcare utilization and recurrence rates may be higher.

Fall-Related Injuries in Malawi: Outcomes and Trends Over Time.

BACKGROUND: Fall-related injury (FRI) is a leading cause of injuries worldwide. Data on injury patterns and trends over time are lacking in resource-limited settings. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of FRI at Kamuzu Central Hospital in Malawi from 2009 to 2021. Outcomes were compared between patients presenting with FRI and those with other injury mechanisms. Bivariate and multivariate regressions were used to determine predictors of presentation following falls and mortality. We also analyzed time trends. RESULTS: A total of 166,047 patients were included, of which 41,695 were patients presenting after falls (25.7%). Most FRI patients were between 5 and 45 (67.2%) and male (66.9%). Most falls occurred at home (67.3%) and resulted in extremity injuries (51.6%). The predicted probability of hospital presentation after falling is highest for children ≤ 5 years and adults > 60 years and decreases over time. On multivariate analysis, patients between 5 and 15 [adjusted odds ratio (AOR) 1.70, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.63-1.77] and > 60 (AOR 1.14, 95% CI 1.07-1.22) and women (AOR 1.13, 95% CI 1.10-1.16) are more likely to present with FRI. Compared to patients with non-FRI, those with FRI were more likely to have been injured at school (AOR 2.16, 95% CI 2.01-2.32) and during sports and recreation (AOR 4.53, 95% CI 4.24-4.85). CONCLUSION: FRI is the most common injury presentation after motor vehicle injury in this low-resource setting. This study provides essential information about FRI in Malawi over time. Our findings can help inform resource allocation and injury prevention initiatives.

Sex-Based Differences in Survival Among Patients with Acute Abdomen Undergoing Surgery in Malawi: A Propensity Weighted Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Sex disparities in access to health care in low-resource settings have been demonstrated. Still, there has been little research on the effect of sex on postoperative outcomes. We evaluated the relationship between sex and mortality after emergency abdominal surgery. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study using the acute care surgery database at Kamuzu Central Hospital (KCH) in Malawi. We included patients who underwent emergency abdominal surgery between 2013 and 2021. We created a propensity score weighted Cox proportional hazards model to assess the relationship between sex and inpatient survival. RESULTS: We included 2052 patients in the study, and 76% were males. The most common admission diagnosis in both groups was bowel obstruction. Females had a higher admission shock index than males (0.91 vs. 0.81, p < 0.001) and a longer delay from admission until surgery (1.47 vs. 0.79 days, p < 0.001). Females and males had similar crude postoperative mortality (16.3% vs. 15.3%, p = 0.621). The final Cox proportional hazards regression model was based on the propensity-weighted cohort. The mortality hazard ratio was 0.65 among females compared to males (95% CI 0.46-0.92, p = 0.014). CONCLUSIONS: Our results show a survival advantage among female patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery despite sex-based disparities in access to surgical care that favors males. Further research is needed to understand the mechanisms underlying these findings.

Malawi Trauma Score is Predictive of Mortality at a District Hospital: A Validation Study.

BACKGROUND: Trauma scoring systems can identify patients who should be transferred to referral hospitals, but their utility in LMICs is often limited. The Malawi Trauma Score (MTS) reliably predicts mortality at referral hospitals but has not been studied at district hospitals. We sought to validate the MTS at a Malawi district hospital and evaluate whether MTS is predictive of transfer to a referral hospital. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study using trauma registry data from Salima District Hospital (SDH) from 2017 to 2021. We excluded patients brought in dead, discharged from the Casualty Department, or missing data needed to calculate MTS. We used logistic regression modeling to study the relationship between MTS and mortality at SDH and between MTS and transfer to a referral hospital. We used receiver operating characteristic analysis to validate the MTS as a predictor of mortality. RESULTS: We included 2196 patients (84.3% discharged, 12.7% transferred, 3.0% died). These groups had similar ages, sex, and admission vitals. Mean (SD) MTS was 7.9(3.0) among discharged patients, 8.4(3.9) among transferred patients, and 14.2(8.0) among patients who died (p < 0.001). Higher MTS was associated with increased odds of mortality at SDH (OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.14-1.29, p < 0.001) but was not related to transfer. ROC area for mortality was 0.73 (95% CI 0.65-0.80). CONCLUSIONS: MTS is predictive of district hospital mortality but not inter-facility transfer. We suggest that MTS be used to identify patients with severe trauma who are most likely to benefit from transfer to a referral hospital.

Tri-modal Distribution of Trauma Deaths in a Resource-Limited Setting: Perception Versus Reality.

BACKGROUND: Advances in trauma care in high-income countries have significantly reduced late deaths following trauma, challenging the classical trimodal pattern of trauma-associated mortality. While studies from low and middle-income countries have demonstrated that the trimodal pattern is still occurring in many regions, there is a lack of data from sub-Saharan Africa evaluating the temporal epidemiology of trauma deaths. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of the trauma registry at Kamuzu Central Hospital in Lilongwe, Malawi, including all injured patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) from 2009 to 2021. Patients were compared based on timing of death relative to time of injury. We then used a modified Poisson regression model to identify adjusted predictors for early mortality compared to late mortality. RESULTS: Crude mortality of patients presenting to the ED in the study period was 2.4% (n = 4,096/165,324). Most patients experienced a pre-hospital death (n = 2,330, 56.9%), followed by death in the ED (n = 619, 15.1%). Early death (pre-hospital or ED) was associated with transportation by police (RR1.52, 95% CI 1.38, 1.68) or private vehicle (RR1.20, 95% CI 1.07, 1.31), vehicle-related trauma (RR1.10, 95% CI 1.05, 1.14), and penetrating injury (RR1.11, 95% CI 1.04, 1.19). Ambulance transportation was associated with a 40% decrease in the risk of early death. CONCLUSIONS: At a busy tertiary trauma center in Malawi, most trauma-associated deaths occur within 48 h of injury, with most in the pre-hospital setting. To improve clinical outcomes for trauma patients in this environment, substantial investment in pre-hospital care is required through first-responder training and EMS infrastructure.

Arrhythmias in Critically Ill Surgical and Non-surgical Patients: A National Propensity-Matched Study.

BACKGROUND: Arrhythmias are common in critically ill patients, though the impact of arrhythmias on surgical patients is not well delineated. We aimed to characterize mortality following arrhythmias in critically ill patients. METHODS: We performed a propensity-matched retrospective analysis of intensive care unit (ICU) patients from 2007 to 2017 in the Cerner Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation database. We compared outcomes between patients with and without arrhythmias and those with and without surgical indications for ICU admission. We also modeled predictors of arrhythmias in surgical patients. RESULTS: 467,951 patients were included; 97,958 (20.9%) were surgical patients. Arrhythmias occurred in 1.4% of the study cohorts. Predictors of arrhythmias in surgical patients included a history of cardiovascular disease (odds ratio [OR] 1.35, 95% confidence interval [CI95] 1.11-1.63), respiratory failure (OR 1.48, CI95 1.12-1.96), pneumonia (OR 3.17, CI95 1.98-5.10), higher bicarbonate level (OR 1.03, CI95 1.01-1.05), lower albumin level (OR 0.79, CI95 0.68-0.91), and vasopressor requirement (OR 27.2, CI95 22.0-33.7). After propensity matching, surgical patients with arrhythmias had a 42% mortality risk reduction compared to non-surgical patients (risk ratio [RR] 0.58, CI 95 0.43-0.79). Predicted probabilities of mortality for surgical patients were lower at all ages. CONCLUSIONS: Surgical patients with arrhythmias are at lower risk of mortality than non-surgical patients. In this propensity-matched analysis, predictors of arrhythmias in critically ill surgical patients included a history of cardiovascular disease, respiratory complications, increased bicarbonate levels, decreased albumin levels, and vasopressor requirement. These findings highlight the differential effect of arrhythmias on different cohorts of critically ill populations.

The Effect of Angioembolization Versus Open Exploration for Moderate to Severe Blunt Liver Injuries on Mortality.

INTRODUCTION: Blunt liver injury is common and is associated with a high morbidity and mortality. More severe injuries often require either angioembolization or open operative repair, depending on patient factors and facility capacity. We sought to describe patient outcomes based on intervention type. METHODS: We analyzed the National Trauma Data Bank (2017-2019) using ICD-10 codes to identify adult patients with blunt liver injury and their interventions. AIS (Abbreviated Injury Scale) scores were used to group patients based on liver injury severity (AIS 2-6). Logistic regression modeling was used to estimate the adjusted odds ratio of death based on intervention type, excluding patients with severe injury. RESULTS: Of 2,848,592 trauma patients, 50,250 patients had a blunt liver injury. Among patients with AIS 3/4/5 injury, 1,140 had angioembolization, 1,529 had an open repair, and 188 had both angioembolization and open repair. In comparison with no intervention and adjusted for age, sex, shock index, ISS, and transfusion total (first four hours), angioembolization was associated with a significant decrease in the odds of mortality for patients with an AIS 4 (OR 0.68, 95% CI 0.47, 0.99) and AIS 5 injury (OR 0.39, 95% CI 0.24, 0.64). In patients with an AIS 5 injury, open repair had an increased odds of mortality at OR 1.99 (95% CI 1.47, 2.69). CONCLUSION: In an analysis of a national trauma database, patients with a moderate to severe injury (AIS 4 or 5), angioembolization was associated with a significant reduction in the adjusted odds of mortality compared to open repair and should be considered when clinically appropriate.

The Timing of Operative Intervention for Pediatric Burn Patients in Malawi.

BACKGROUND: Defining the optimal timing of operative intervention for pediatric burn patients in a resource-limited environment is challenging. We sought to characterize the association between mortality and the timing of operative intervention at a burn center in Lilongwe, Malawi. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of burn patients (<18 years old) presenting to Kamuzu Central Hospital from 2011 to 2022. We compared patients who underwent excision and/or burn grafting based on the timing of the operation. We used logistic regression modeling to estimate the adjusted odds ratio of death based on the timing of surgery. RESULTS: We included 2502 patients with a median age of 3 years (IQR 1-5) and a male preponderance (56.8%). 411 patients (16.4%) had surgery with a median time to surgery of 18 days (IQR 8-34). The crude mortality rate among all patients was 17.0% and 9.1% among the operative cohort. The odds ratio of mortality for patients undergoing surgery within 3 days from presentation was 5.00 (95% CI 2.19, 11.44) after adjusting for age, sex, % total burn surface area (TBSA), and flame burn. The risk was highest for the youngest patients. CONCLUSIONS: Children who underwent burn excision and/or grafting in the first 3 days of hospitalization had a much higher risk of death than patients undergoing surgical intervention later. Delaying operative intervention till >72 h for pediatric patients, especially those under 5 years old, may confer a survival advantage. More investment is needed in early resuscitation and monitoring for this patient population.

Trends and Outcomes in Management of Thoracic Aortic Injury in Children, Adolescent, and Mature Pediatric Patients Using Data from the National Trauma Data Bank.

BACKGROUND: Thoracic aortic injury (TAI) is rare in the pediatric population. Thoracic endovascular aortic repair (TEVAR) is the recommended standard of care for treatment in the adult population given its association with lower rates of mortality and morbidity than traditional open repairs for treatment of TAI. However, there are unique anatomic challenges in treating pediatric patients with TEVAR which may impact the outcomes and pediatric guidelines. We aimed to compare current management trends and outcomes between different pediatric age groups using data from the National Trauma Data Bank (NTDB). METHODS: We analyzed the NTDB from 2007 to 2019 using International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-9 and -10 codes to identify patients with a TAI. We excluded patients older than 21 years and any patients who died in the emergency department. The pediatric patients were stratified by age group: children (1-11 years), adolescent (12-17 years), and mature (18-21 years) patients. Patient characteristics compared included injury mechanism and severity, TAI intervention, and outcomes between the 3 groups using bivariate analysis (analysis of variance for parametric and Kruskal-Wallis for nonparametric variables). These characteristics and outcomes were also compared by TAI intervention and injury mechanism. ICD-9 and -10 procedural codes were used to identify patients who underwent TEVAR, open aortic repair (OAR), or both. The modified Poisson regression was performed with relative risk (RR) to evaluate our primary outcome measure-mortality during the trauma admission. RESULTS: A total of 2,431 pediatric TAI were identified in the NTDB that met the inclusion criteria. This included 134 children (5.5%), 733 adolescent (30.2%), and 1,564 mature (64.3%) patients. Children had significantly lower median Injury Severity Scores (34.1) than the adolescent (38) or mature population (36.1) (P = 0.001). The mechanism of injury differed between age groups. Children had higher rates of blunt trauma (90.3% children, 89.6% adolescent, and 86.8% mature patients) and mature patients had higher rates of penetrating trauma (6% children, 10.1% adolescent, and 12.5% mature patients) (P < 0.001). TAI management also differed significantly between pediatric age groups. Mature patients had significantly higher rates of TEVAR (3% children, 25.2% adolescent, and 29.2% mature patients) and children were most likely to be treated with nonoperative management (NOM) (94% children, 67.9% adolescent, and 64.8% mature patients) (P < 0.001). Patients who were treated with TEVAR were discharge home most frequently (31.8% NOM, 54.1% TEVAR, 44.3% OAR, 22.2% both TEVAR and OAR). Upon modified Poisson regression analysis, patient age was not associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality. Intervention with TEVAR (RR: 0.22, 95% CI: 0.15-0.33, P < 0.001) and OAR (RR: 0.58, 95% CI: 0.36-0.93, P = 0.024) were associated with a lower risk of mortality than NOM. CONCLUSIONS: TAI is less prevalent in children compared to adults. TEVAR for TAI is associated with lower risk of in-hospital mortality compared to both NOM and OAR without differences between pediatric subgroups. Further studies should be completed to determine the most appropriate management guidelines.

The role of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation in adult kidney transplant patients: A qualitative systematic review of literature.

BACKGROUND: A paucity of evidence exists regarding the risks and benefits of Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation (ECMO) in adult kidney transplantation. METHODS: This was a systematic review conducted from Jan 1, 2000 to April 24, 2020 of adult kidney transplant recipients (pre- or post- transplant) and donors who underwent veno-arterial or veno-venous ECMO cannulation. Death and graft function were the primary outcomes, with complications as secondary outcomes. RESULTS: Twenty-three articles were identified that fit inclusion criteria. 461 donors were placed on ECMO, with an overall recipient 12-month mortality rate of 1.3% and a complication rate of 61.5%, the majority of which was delayed graft function. Fourteen recipients were placed on ECMO intraoperatively or postoperatively, with infection as the most common indication for ECMO. The 90-day mortality rate for recipients on ECMO was 42.9%, with multisystem organ failure and infection as the ubiquitous causes of death. 35.7% of patients experienced rejection within 6 months of decannulation, yet all were successfully treated. CONCLUSIONS: ECMO use in adult kidney transplantation is a useful adjunct. Recipient morbidity and mortality from donors placed on ECMO mirrors that of recipients from standard criteria donors. The morbidity and mortality of recipients placed on ECMO are also similar to other patient populations requiring ECMO.

Time to Cannulation after ICU Admission Increases Mortality for Patients Requiring Veno-venous ECMO for COVID-19 Associated Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: COVID-19 can cause ARDS that is rapidly progressive, severe, and refractory to conventional therapies. ECMO can be used as a supportive therapy to improve outcomes but evidence-based guidelines have not been defined. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Initial mortality rates associated with ECMO for ARDS in COVID-19 were high, leading some to believe that there was no role for ECMO in this viral illness. With more experience, outcomes have improved. The ideal candidate, timing of cannulation, and best postcannulation management strategy, however, has not yet been defined. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective review from April 1 to July 31, 2020 of the first 25 patients with COVID-19 associated ARDS placed on V-V ECMO at our institution. We analyzed the differences between survivors to hospital discharge and those who died. Modified Poisson regression was used to model adjusted risk factors for mortality. RESULTS: Forty-four patients (11/25) survived to hospital discharge. Survivors were significantly younger (40.5 years vs 53.1 years; P < 0.001) with no differences between cohorts in mean body mass index, diabetes, or PaO2:-FiO2 at cannulation. Survivors had shorter duration from symptom onset to cannulation (12.5 days vs 19.9 days, P = 0.028) and shorter duration of intensive care unit (ICU) length of stay before cannulation (5.6 days vs 11.7 days, P = 0.045). Each day from ICU admission to cannulation increased the adjusted risk of death by 4% and each year increase in age increased the adjusted risk 6%. CONCLUSIONS: ECMO has a role in severe, refractory ARDS associated with COVID-19. Increasing age and time from ICU admission were risk factors for mortality and should be considered in patient selection. Further studies are needed to define best practices for V-V ECMO use in COVID-19.

Inter-hospital Transfer Delays to a Tertiary Referral Center and Postoperative Outcomes in Patients with Abdominal Surgical Emergencies in Malawi.

BACKGROUND: In low-income countries (LICs), patients with abdominal surgical emergencies often initially present to primary or district hospitals and are transferred to referral hospitals for surgical management. The transfer process introduces a delay to care, but the relationship between transfer time and outcomes has not been studied in LICs. We sought to evaluate the effect of transfer delays on postoperative outcomes among patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery in Malawi. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of the acute care surgery database at Kamuzu Central Hospital (KCH), a referral hospital in Malawi. Patients were eligible for inclusion if transferred from another facility to KCH for emergency abdominal surgery. We used logistic regression modeling to evaluate the relationship between transfer time and postoperative complications and mortality. RESULTS: The study included 2037 patients. Female patients, patients transferred from district hospitals, and patients with bowel obstructions were most likely to spend over three days at a referring facility before transfer. On regression modeling, each additional day until transfer was associated with an 18% increase in odds of developing a postoperative complication (OR 1.18, 95% CI 1.05-1.31, p = 0.005) and a 19% increase in odds of postoperative mortality (OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.08-1.31, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Among patients requiring emergency abdominal surgery in Malawi, transfer delays are associated with higher postoperative complications and mortality rates. Further research should focus on identifying the factors causing delays so that interventions aimed at improving the transfer process can be developed.

Reallocation of Hospital Resources During COVID-19 Pandemic and Effect on Trauma Outcomes in a Resource-Limited Setting.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has caused unprecedented disruptions to surgical care worldwide, particularly in low-resource countries. We sought to characterize the association between pre-and intra-pandemic trauma clinical outcomes at a busy tertiary hospital in Malawi. METHODS: We analyzed trauma patients that presented to Kamuzu Central Hospital in Lilongwe, Malawi, from 2011 through July 2021. Burn patients were excluded. We compared patients based on whether they presented before or during the pandemic (defined as starting March 11, 2020, the date of the official WHO designation). We used logistic regression modeling to estimate the adjusted odds ratio of death based on presentation. RESULTS: A total of 137,867 patients presented during the study period, with 13,526 patients during the pandemic. During the pandemic, patients were more likely to be older (mean 28 vs. 25 years, p < 0.001), male (79 vs. 74%, p < 0.001), and suffer a traumatic brain injury (TBI) as their primary injury (9.7 vs. 4.9%, p < 0.001). Crude trauma-associated mortality was higher during the pandemic at 3.7% vs. 2.1% (p < 0.001). The odds ratio of mortality during the pandemic compared to pre-pandemic presentation was 1.28 (95% CI 1.06, 1.53) adjusted for age, sex, initial AVPU score, transfer status, injury type, and mechanism. CONCLUSIONS: During the pandemic, adjusted trauma-associated mortality significantly increased at a tertiary trauma center in a low-resource setting despite decreasing patient volume. Further research is urgently needed to prepare for future pandemics. Potential targets for improvement include improving pre-hospital care and transportation, planning for intensive care utilization, and addressing nursing shortages.

Direct Transfer to a Tertiary Care Hospital After Traumatic Injury is Associated with a Survival Benefit in a Resource-Limited Setting.

INTRODUCTION: Trauma is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, and patients in low- and middle-income countries are disproportionately affected. Organized trauma systems, including appropriate transfer to a higher level of care, improve trauma outcomes. We sought to evaluate the relationship between transfer status and trauma mortality in Malawi. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of trauma patients admitted to Kamuzu Central Hospital (KCH), a trauma center in Lilongwe, Malawi, between January 1, 2013, and May 30, 2018. Transfer status was categorized as direct if a patient arrives at KCH from the injury scene and indirect if a patient comes to KCH from another health care facility. We used logistic regression modeling to evaluate the relationship between transfer status and in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: A total of 8369 patients were included in the study. The mean age was 34.6 years (SD 15.8), and 81% of patients were male. The most common mechanism of injury was motor vehicle collision. Injury severity did not significantly differ between the two groups. Crude mortality was 4.8% for indirect and 2.6% for direct transfers. After adjusting for relevant covariates, odds ratio of mortality was 2.12 (1.49-3.02, p < 0.001) for indirect versus direct transfers. CONCLUSION: Trauma patients indirectly transferred to a trauma center have nearly double the risk of mortality compared to direct transfers. Trauma outcome improvement efforts must focus on strengthening prehospital care, improving district hospital capacity, and developing protocols for early assessment, treatment, and transfer of trauma patients to a trauma center.

The role of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation in adult liver transplant patients: A qualitative systematic review of literature.

BACKGROUND: A paucity of evidence exists regarding risks and benefits of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) in adult liver transplantation. METHODS: This was a systematic review conducted from January 1, 2000 to April 24, 2020 of adult liver transplant recipients (pre- or post-transplant) and donors who underwent Veno-arterial or Veno-venous ECMO cannulation. Death was the primary outcome, with graft function and complications as secondary outcomes. RESULTS: Forty-one articles were identified that fit criteria. A total of 183 donors were placed on ECMO, with recipient complication profiles and mortality that mirrored rates from standard criteria donors. Sixty-one recipients were placed on ECMO intraoperatively or postoperatively. Most patients experienced at least one complication with infections as the most common cause and minimal complications specifically related to ECMO use. Multisystem organ failure (MSOF) and infections were more common among liver recipients who died compared to those who survived. Overall mortality at 90 days was 45.9%. Causes of death were most commonly MSOF and infections. CONCLUSIONS: ECMO use in adult liver transplantation is a useful adjunct. Recipient morbidity and mortality from donors placed on ECMO parallel that of recipients from standard criteria donors, and morbidity and mortality of recipients placed on ECMO are similar to other ECMO populations.

Acute Cholecystitis: A Review.

Importance: Gallbladder disease affects approximately 20 million people in the US. Acute cholecystitis is diagnosed in approximately 200 000 people in the US each year. Observations: Gallstone-associated cystic duct obstruction is responsible for 90% to 95% of the cases of acute cholecystitis. Approximately 5% to 10% of patients with acute cholecystitis have acalculous cholecystitis, defined as acute inflammation of the gallbladder without gallstones, typically in the setting of severe critical illness. The typical presentation of acute cholecystitis consists of acute right upper quadrant pain, fever, and nausea that may be associated with eating and physical examination findings of right upper quadrant tenderness. Ultrasonography of the right upper quadrant has a sensitivity of approximately 81% and a specificity of approximately 83% for the diagnosis of acute cholecystitis. When an ultrasound result does not provide a definitive diagnosis, hepatobiliary scintigraphy (a nuclear medicine study that includes the intravenous injection of a radiotracer excreted in the bile) is the gold standard diagnostic test. Following diagnosis, early (performed within 1-3 days) vs late (performed after 3 days) laparoscopic cholecystectomy is associated with improved patient outcomes, including fewer composite postoperative complications (11.8% for early vs 34.4% for late), a shorter length of hospital stay (5.4 days vs 10.0 days), and lower hospital costs. During pregnancy, early laparoscopic cholecystectomy, compared with delayed operative management, is associated with a lower risk of maternal-fetal complications (1.6% for early vs 18.4% for delayed) and is recommended during all trimesters. In people older than 65 years of age, laparoscopic cholecystectomy is associated with lower mortality at 2-year follow-up (15.2%) compared with nonoperative management (29.3%). A percutaneous cholecystostomy tube, in which a drainage catheter is placed in the gallbladder lumen under image guidance, is an effective therapy for patients with an exceptionally high perioperative risk. However, percutaneous cholecystostomy tube placement in a randomized trial was associated with higher rates of postprocedural complications (65%) compared with laparoscopic cholecystectomy (12%). For patients with acalculous acute cholecystitis, percutaneous cholecystostomy tube should be reserved for patients who are severely ill at the time of diagnosis; all others should undergo a laparoscopic cholecystectomy. Conclusions and Relevance: Acute cholecystitis, typically due to gallstone obstruction of the cystic duct, affects approximately 200 000 people in the US annually. In most patient populations, laparoscopic cholecystectomy, performed within 3 days of diagnosis, is the first-line therapy for acute cholecystitis.