Antibiotic Prescribing Practices Differ between Patients with Penicillin Intolerance and Penicillin Allergy Labels.

INTRODUCTION: Penicillin allergy labels are common. However, many penicillin allergy labels have been applied incorrectly and in fact represent penicillin intolerance. Patients with penicillin intolerance can receive penicillin antibiotics. The effect of penicillin intolerance labels on prescribing practices is uncertain. METHODS: This multicenter retrospective cohort study included consecutive general medicine patients admitted to two tertiary hospitals over a 12-month period. Electronic medical records were reviewed for allergy and prescribing practices. Instances of penicillin prescription to patients with previously labeled penicillin allergies underwent case note review. RESULTS: There were 12,134 individual hospital admissions included in the study. The number of admissions with a previous penicillin allergy label was 1,312 (10.8%) and with a penicillin intolerance label was 60 (0.5%). Penicillin allergy labels were associated with increased likelihood of being prescribed vancomycin (odds ratio 1.42, 95% confidence interval 1.16-1.75, p = 0.001) and moxifloxacin (odds ratio 20.0, 95% confidence interval 13.4-29.9, p < 0.001). Penicillin intolerance was not associated with increased likelihood of receiving these antibiotics. There were 75 admissions during which an individual with a penicillin allergy label was prescribed one of the specified penicillins and only one adverse reaction in this group. These cases included eight deliberate challenges and 15 cases in which allergy history clarification was sufficient to delabel the allergy. CONCLUSIONS: This study supports that prescribing practices differ between patients with penicillin allergy labels and intolerance labels. Penicillin challenges may be undertaken safely in the inpatient setting. Further studies are required to investigate how best to interrogate penicillin allergy labels in this cohort.

Why do we evaluate 30-day readmissions in general medicine? A historical perspective and contemporary data.

Reducing preventable readmissions is important to help manage current strains on healthcare systems. The metric of 30-day readmissions is commonly cited in discussions regarding this topic. While such thresholds have contemporary funding implications, the rationale for individual cut-off points is partially historical in nature. Through the examination of the basis for the analysis of 30-day readmissions, greater insight into the possible benefits and limitations of such a metric may be obtained.

The use of natural language processing in detecting and predicting falls within the healthcare setting: a systematic review.

Falls are a common problem associated with significant morbidity, mortality, and economic costs. Current fall prevention policies in local healthcare settings are often guided by information provided by fall risk assessment tools, incident reporting, and coding data. This review was conducted with the aim of identifying studies which utilized natural language processing (NLP) for the automated detection and prediction of falls in the healthcare setting. The databases Ovid Medline, Ovid Embase, Ovid Emcare, PubMed, CINAHL, IEEE Xplore, and Ei Compendex were searched from 2012 until April 2023. Retrospective derivation, validation, and implementation studies wherein patients experienced falls within a healthcare setting were identified for inclusion. The initial search yielded 2611 publications for title and abstract screening. Full-text screening was conducted on 105 publications, resulting in 26 unique studies that underwent qualitative analyses. Studies applied NLP towards falls risk factor identification, known falls detection, future falls prediction, and falls severity stratification with reasonable success. The NLP pipeline was reviewed in detail between studies and models utilizing rule-based, machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL), and hybrid approaches were examined. With a growing literature surrounding falls prediction in both inpatient and outpatient environments, the absence of studies examining the impact of these models on patient and system outcomes highlights the need for further implementation studies. Through an exploration of the application of NLP techniques, it may be possible to develop models with higher performance in automated falls prediction and detection.

Designing the ultimate general medicine model.

The ideal model of care in general medicine remains elusive, perhaps because of interhospital heterogeneity in patient population and resource allocation to both general medicine and the medical subspecialties. We explain why successful interventions at one site are not easily applied in another and recommend a nationally coordinated examination of the best general medicine departments' methods of clinical practice improvement.

Beware of little expenses: Low-value endocrinological blood tests in geriatric medical inpatients.

OBJECTIVES: Blood tests for endocrinological derangements are frequently requested in general medical inpatients, in particular those in the older age group. Interrogation of these tests may present opportunities for healthcare savings. METHODS: This multicentre retrospective study over a 2.5-year period examined the frequency with which three common endocrinological investigations [thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH), HbA1c, 25-hydroxy Vitamin D3] were performed in this population, including the frequency of duplicate tests within a given admission, and the frequency of abnormal test results. The Medicare Benefits Schedule was used to calculate the cost associated with these tests. RESULTS: There were 28,564 individual admissions included in the study. Individuals ≥65 years old were the majority of inpatients in whom the selected tests were performed (80% of tests). TSH was performed in 6730 admissions, HbA1c was performed in 2259 admissions, and vitamin D levels were performed in 5632 admissions. There were 6114 vitamin D tests performed during the study period, of which 2911 (48%) returned outside the normal range. The cost associated with vitamin D level testing was $183,726. Over the study period, 8% of tests for TSH, HbA1c, and Vitamin D were duplicates (where a second test was performed within a single admission), which was associated with a cost of $32,134. CONCLUSIONS: Tests for common endocrinological abnormalities are associated with significant healthcare costs. Avenues by which future savings may be pursued include the investigation of strategies to reduce duplicate ordering and examining the rationale and guidelines associated with ordering tests such as vitamin D levels.

Vital sign measurements demonstrate terminal digit bias and boundary effects.

OBJECTIVE: The measurement and recording of vital signs may be impacted by biases, including preferences for even and round numbers. However, other biases, such as variation due to defined numerical boundaries (also known as boundary effects), may be present in vital signs data and have not yet been investigated in a medical setting. We aimed to assess vital signs data for such biases. These parameters are clinically significant as they influence care escalation. METHODS: Vital signs data (heart rate, respiratory rate, oxygen saturation and systolic blood pressure) were collected from a tertiary hospital electronic medical record over a 2-year period. These data were analysed using polynomial regression with additional terms to assess for underreporting of out-of-range observations and overreporting numbers with terminal digits of 0 (round numbers), 2 (even numbers) and 5. RESULTS: It was found that heart rate, oxygen saturation and systolic blood pressure demonstrated 'boundary effects', with values inside the 'normal' range disproportionately more likely to be recorded. Even number bias was observed in systolic heart rate, respiratory rate and blood pressure. Preference for multiples of 5 was observed for heart rate and blood pressure. Independent overrepresentation of multiples of 10 was demonstrated in heart rate data. CONCLUSION: Although often considered objective, vital signs data are affected by bias. These biases may impact the care patients receive. Additionally, it may have implications for creating and training machine learning models that utilise vital signs data.

Translational artificial intelligence-led optimization and realization of estimated discharge with a supportive weekend interprofessional flow team (TAILORED-SWIFT).

Weekend discharges occur less frequently than discharges on weekdays, contributing to hospital congestion. Artificial intelligence algorithms have previously been derived to predict which patients are nearing discharge based upon ward round notes. In this implementation study, such an artificial intelligence algorithm was coupled with a multidisciplinary discharge facilitation team on weekend shifts. This approach was implemented in a tertiary hospital, and then compared to a historical cohort from the same time the previous year. There were 3990 patients included in the study. There was a significant increase in the proportion of inpatients who received weekend discharges in the intervention group compared to the control group (median 18%, IQR 18-20%, vs median 14%, IQR 12% to 17%, P = 0.031). There was a corresponding higher absolute number of weekend discharges during the intervention period compared to the control period (P = 0.025). The studied intervention was associated with an increase in weekend discharges and economic analyses support this approach as being cost-effective. Further studies are required to examine the generalizability of this approach to other centers.

Falls and fractures in the acute care setting: A retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: Falls with fracture in hospitalised patients remain a common occurrence with significant morbidity and mortality. Our objectives were to determine the characteristics of patients who suffer falls with fractures in hospital, and to examine whether outcomes in this cohort differ from those of patients who fall without sustaining a fracture. METHODS: Coding data pertaining to a 6-year period (2012-2017) were interrogated. Patients coded as having suffered a fall in hospital during this period were identified and divided into those who did and those who did not suffer fractures due to their fall. Patient demographics and comorbidities were compared between groups and outcome measures examined with descriptive statistics and binary logistic regression. RESULTS: From 236,720 inpatient admissions, 721 falls were recorded, 128 of which were associated with a fracture. Delirium (30% in those who suffered a fracture vs. 21% in those who did not, p < 0.040), dementia (23% vs. 13%, p < 0.004), female sex (53% vs. 44%, p < 0.020) and older age (76.8 vs. 72.8 years, p < 0.010) were associated with falls with fractures in hospital. Falls with fractures were associated with a longer length of inpatient stay by 9.2 days (95% CI 5.5-12.9, p < 0.001) and were an independent predictor of inpatient mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Greater understanding of characteristics of patients at risk of falls with fractures, as well as knowledge of the considerable associated morbidity and mortality, will help to prognosticate when these events occur and, potentially, to put preventative measures in place.

Systolic blood pressure levels and mortality in Australian medical inpatients.

The epidemiology of elevations in blood pressure is incompletely characterized, particularly in Australia. Given the lack of evidence regarding the frequency and the optimal management of in-hospital hypertension, the authors performed a multicenter retrospective cohort study of consecutive medical admissions in South Australia over a 2-year period to investigate systolic blood pressure levels and their association with in-hospital mortality. Among 16 896 inpatients, 76% had at least one systolic blood pressure reading of ≥140 mmHg and 11.7% of ≥180 mmHg during hospitalization. A statistically significant negative relationship was observed between having at least one reading ≥140 mmHg and a likelihood of in-hospital mortality (odds ratio 0.41, 95% CI: 0.35 to 0.49, P < .001). Our results suggest that elevations in systolic blood pressure are common in Australian medical inpatients. However, the inverse association observed between systolic blood pressure values ≥140 mmHg and in-hospital mortality warrants further research to determine the clinical significance and optimal management of blood pressure elevations in this group.

Daily estimates of individual discharge likelihood with deep learning natural language processing in general medicine: a prospective and external validation study.

Machine learning, in particular deep learning, may be able to assist in the prediction of the length of stay and timing of discharge for individual patients. Artificial neural networks applied to medical text have previously shown promise in this area. In this study, a previously derived artificial neural network was applied to prospective and external validation datasets. In the prediction of discharge within the next 2 days, when the algorithm was applied to prospective and external datasets, the area under the receiver operator curve for this task were 0.78 and 0.74, respectively. The performance in the prediction of discharge within the next 7 days was more limited (area under the receiver operator curve 0.68 and 0.67). This study has shown that in prospective and external validation datasets the previously derived deep learning algorithms have demonstrated moderate performance in the prediction of which patients will be discharged within the next 2 days. Future studies may seek to further refine or evaluate the effect of the implementation of such algorithms.

Mixed-data deep learning in repeated predictions of general medicine length of stay: a derivation study.

The accurate prediction of likely discharges and estimates of length of stay (LOS) aid in effective hospital administration and help to prevent access block. Machine learning (ML) may be able to help with these tasks. For consecutive patients admitted under General Medicine at the Royal Adelaide Hospital over an 8-month period, daily ward round notes and relevant discrete data fields were collected from the electronic medical record. These data were then split into training and testing sets (7-month/1-month train/test split) prior to use in ML analyses aiming to predict discharge within the next 2 days, discharge within the next 7 days and an estimated date of discharge (EDD). Artificial neural networks and logistic regression were effective at predicting discharge within 48 h of a given ward round note. These models achieved an area under the receiver operator curve (AUC) of 0.80 and 0.78, respectively. Prediction of discharge within 7 days of a given note was less accurate, with artificial neural network returning an AUC of 0.68 and logistic regression an AUC of 0.61. The generation of an exact EDD remains inaccurate. This study has shown that repeated estimates of LOS using daily ward round notes and mixed-data inputs are effective in the prediction of general medicine discharges in the next 48 h. Further research may seek to prospectively and externally validate models for prediction of upcoming discharge, as well as combination human-ML approaches for generating EDDs.

Prediction of general medical admission length of stay with natural language processing and deep learning: a pilot study.

Length of stay (LOS) and discharge destination predictions are key parts of the discharge planning process for general medical hospital inpatients. It is possible that machine learning, using natural language processing, may be able to assist with accurate LOS and discharge destination prediction for this patient group. Emergency department triage and doctor notes were retrospectively collected on consecutive general medical and acute medical unit admissions to a single tertiary hospital from a 2-month period in 2019. These data were used to assess the feasibility of predicting LOS and discharge destination using natural language processing and a variety of machine learning models. 313 patients were included in the study. The artificial neural network achieved the highest accuracy on the primary outcome of predicting whether a patient would remain in hospital for > 2 days (accuracy 0.82, area under the received operator curve 0.75, sensitivity 0.47 and specificity 0.97). When predicting LOS as an exact number of days, the artificial neural network achieved a mean absolute error of 2.9 and a mean squared error of 16.8 on the test set. For the prediction of home as a discharge destination (vs any non-home alternative), all models performed similarly with an accuracy of approximately 0.74. This study supports the feasibility of using natural language processing to predict general medical inpatient LOS and discharge destination. Further research is indicated with larger, more detailed, datasets from multiple centres to optimise and examine the accuracy that may be achieved with such predictions.

Preparing the future workforce for healthcare in Australia.

Medical education fails to prepare young doctors for the nature of the work they will encounter. Doctors face a rapidly changing medical landscape, which relies more and more upon interprofessional collaboration to optimise patient outcomes and upon non-clinical skills to provide care efficiently and cost effectively. The current response to change is a reactive and resource-intensive effort, where established doctors are directed towards new ways of working. A better response would be interprofessional clinical and non-clinical training, incorporating a philosophy and style that accommodate innovation, communication and change. This preparative training should be overseen by a single educational enterprise that links undergraduate and postgraduate instruction. Improved training might enable better design of the healthcare system from within.