Changes in Surgical Volume and Outcomes During the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic at Two Tertiary Hospitals in Ethiopia: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Limited data exist concerning how the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has affected surgical care in low-resource settings. We sought to describe associations between the COVID-19 pandemic and surgical care and outcomes at 2 tertiary hospitals in Ethiopia. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective observational cohort study analyzing perioperative data collected electronically from Ayder Comprehensive Specialized Hospital (ACSH) in Mekelle, Ethiopia, and Tibebe Ghion Specialized Hospital (TGSH) in Bahir Dar, Ethiopia. We categorized COVID-19 exposure as time periods: "phase 0" before the pandemic (November 1-December 31, 2019, at ACSH and August 1-September 30, 2019, at TGSH), "phase 1" starting when elective surgeries were canceled (April 1-August 3, 2020, at ACSH and March 28-April 12, 2020, at TGSH), and "phase 2" starting when elective surgeries resumed (August 4-August 31, 2020, at ACSH and April 13-August 31, 2020, at TGSH). Outcomes included 28-day perioperative mortality, case volume, and patient district of origin. Incidence rates of case volume and patient district of origin (outside district yes or no) were modeled with segmented Poisson regression and logistic regression, respectively. Association of the exposure with 28-day mortality was assessed using logistic regression models, adjusting for confounders. RESULTS: Data from 3231 surgeries were captured. There was a decrease in case volume compared to phase 0, with adjusted incidence rate ratio (IRR) of 0.73 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.66-0.81) in phase 1 and 0.90 (95% CI, 0.83-0.97) in phase 2. Compared to phase 0, there were more patients from an outside district during phase 1 lockdown at ACSH (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.63 [95% CI, 1.24-2.15]) and fewer patients from outside districts at TGSH (aOR, 0.44 [95% CI, 0.21-0.87]). The observed 28-day mortality rates for phases 0, 1, and 2 were 1.8% (95% CI, 1.1-2.8), 3.7% (95% CI, 2.3-5.8), and 2.9% (95% CI, 2.1-3.9), respectively. A confounder-adjusted logistic regression model did not show a significant increase in 28-day perioperative mortality during phases 1 and 2 compared to phase 0, with aOR 1.36 (95% CI, 0.62-2.98) and 1.54 (95% CI, 0.80-2.95), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Analysis at 2 low-resource referral hospitals in Ethiopia during the COVID-19 pandemic showed a reduction in surgical case volume during and after lockdown. At ACSH, more patients were from outside districts during lockdown where the opposite was true at TGSH. These findings suggest that during the pandemic patients may experience delays in seeking or obtaining surgical care. However, for patients who underwent surgery, prepandemic and postpandemic perioperative mortalities did not show significant difference. These results may inform surgical plans during future public health crises.

Work hardening behavior of hot-rolled metastable Fe50Co25Ni10Al5Ti5Mo5 medium-entropy alloy: in situ neutron diffraction analysis.

Metastability engineering is a strategy to enhance the strength and ductility of alloys via deliberately lowering phase stability and prompting deformation-induced martensitic transformation. The advantages of the strategy are widely exploited by ferrous medium-entropy alloys (MEAs) that exhibit phase transformation from metastable face-centered cubic (FCC) to hexagonal close-packed (HCP) or body-centered cubic (BCC) martensite and a significant increase in work hardening. Fe50Co25Ni10Al5Ti5Mo5 (at%) MEA is an example of such materials, which shows ~1.5 GPa of tensile strength assisted by exceptional work hardening from the deformation-induced BCC martensitic transformation. In this work, the martensitic transformation and its effect on the mechanical response of the MEA were studied by in situ neutron diffraction under tensile loading. Strain-induced BCC martensite started forming rapidly from the beginning of plastic deformation, reaching a phase fraction of ~100% when deformed to ~10% of true strain. Lattice strain and phase stress evolution indicate that stress was dynamically partitioned onto the newly formed BCC martensite, which is responsible for the work hardening response and high flow stress of the MEA. This work shows how great a role FCC to BCC martensitic transformation can play in enhancing the mechanical properties of ferrous MEAs.

Utilization of ICU Rehabilitation Services in Pediatric Patients With a Prolonged ICU Stay.

OBJECTIVES: To describe rehabilitation practice patterns among critically ill children with prolonged ICU stays and explore the association between institution-level utilization of rehabilitative services and patient outcomes. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study using an administrative database of inpatient clinical and resource utilization data from participating pediatric hospitals in the United States. Center-level utilization of physical therapy and occupational therapy among critically ill patients was used to divide hospitals by quartile into high utilization centers or standard utilization centers. SETTING: Fifty-one pediatric hospitals in the United States. PATIENTS: Critically ill pediatric patients with prolonged critical illness (defined as an ICU length of stay of at least 7 d) discharged from July 2016 to June 2017. INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Seventeen thousand four hundred seventy encounters met criteria for study inclusion. Of those, 6,040 (35%) were not charged for either physical therapy or occupational therapy services. There was wide variability in center-level utilization of rehabilitative services while in the ICU, ranging from 81% utilization of physical therapy or occupational therapy services among high utilization centers to 46% utilization among centers within the lowest quartile. In univariate analyses, children cared for at an high utilization center were less likely to require discharge to an inpatient rehabilitation facility (1.7% vs 3.5%; p < 0.001) and less likely to incur a new pressure injury (2.2% vs 3.1%; p = 0.001). In multivariable analyses, the direction and magnitude of effects remained similar, although the effect was no longer statistically significant (discharge to inpatient rehabilitation facility: odds ratio, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.18-2.26; pressure injury: odds ratio, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.48-1.24). CONCLUSIONS: Institutional use of rehabilitative services for children with prolonged critical illness varies greatly in the United States. Further research is needed into the potential benefits for patients cared for at centers with high usage of rehabilitation services in the ICU during prolonged critical illness.

Post-training reversible disconnection of the ventral hippocampal-basolateral amygdaloid circuits impairs consolidation of inhibitory avoidance memory in rats.

The ventral hippocampus (VH) and the basolateral amygdala (BLA) are both crucial in inhibitory avoidance (IA) memory. However, the exact role of the VH-BLA circuit in IA memory consolidation is unclear. This study investigated the effect of post-training reversible disconnection of the VH-BLA circuit in IA memory consolidation. Male Wistar rats with implanted guide cannulae were trained with a one-trial IA task, then received immediate intracerebral injections of muscimol or saline, and were tested 24 h later. Muscimol injection into the bilateral BLA, or the unilateral VH and contralateral BLA, but not the unilateral VH and ipsilateral BLA, significantly decreased the retention latencies (versus saline treatment). The results suggest that the VH-BLA circuit could be an important circuit to modulate consolidation of IA memory in rats.

Intravenous Versus Oral Antibiotics for the Prevention of Treatment Failure in Children With Complicated Appendicitis: Has the Abandonment of Peripherally Inserted Catheters Been Justified?

OBJECTIVE: To compare treatment failure leading to hospital readmission in children with complicated appendicitis who received oral versus intravenous antibiotics after discharge. BACKGROUND: Antibiotics are often employed after discharge to prevent treatment failure in children with complicated appendicitis, although existing studies comparing intravenous and oral antibiotics for this purpose are limited. METHODS: We identified all patients aged 3 to 18 years undergoing appendectomy for complicated appendicitis, who received postdischarge antibiotics at 35 childrens hospitals from 2009 to 2012. Discharge codes were used to identify study subjects from the Pediatric Health Information System database, and chart review confirmed eligibility, treatment assignment, and outcomes. Exposure status was based on outpatient antibiotic therapy, and analysis used optimal and full matching methods to adjust for demographic and clinical characteristics. Treatment failure (defined as an organ-space infection) requiring inpatient readmission was the primary outcome. Secondary outcomes included revisits from any cause to either the inpatient or emergency department setting. RESULTS: In all, 4579 patients were included (median: 99/hospital), and utilization of intravenous antibiotics after discharge ranged from 0% to 91.7% across hospitals. In the matched analysis, the rate of treatment failure was significantly higher for the intravenous group than the oral group [odds ratio (OR) 1.74, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.05-2.88; risk difference: 4.0%, 95% CI 0.4-7.6%], as was the rate of all-cause revisits (OR 2.11, 95% CI 1.44-3.11; risk difference: 9.4%, 95% CI 4.7-14.2%). The rate of peripherally inserted central catheter line complications was 3.2% in the intravenous group, and drug reactions were rare in both groups (intravenous: 0.7%, oral: 0.5%). CONCLUSIONS: Compared with oral antibiotics, use of intravenous antibiotics after discharge in children with complicated appendicitis was associated with higher rates of both treatment failure and all-cause hospital revisits.

Association between weight-for-length percentile and ICU length of stay in patients with a single ventricle undergoing bidirectional Glenn repair: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Poor weight gain has been identified as an independent risk factor for increased surgical morbidity and mortality for patients with single-ventricle physiology undergoing staged surgical palliation. Conversely, excessive weight gain has also emerged as an independent risk factor predicting increased morbidity and mortality in a single-center study. Given this novel single-center concept, we investigated the impact of excessive weight on patients with single-ventricle physiology undergoing bidirectional Glenn palliation in a multicenter study model. METHODS: Patients from the Pediatric Heart Network Single Ventricle Reconstruction Trial (n = 387) were analyzed in a retrospective cohort study examining the independent effect of weight percentile on intensive care unit (ICU) length of stay (LOS) and ventilator days. Locally estimated scatterplot smoothing (LOESS) regression was used to plot weight-for-length (WFL) percentiles by ICU LOS and ventilator days. Unadjusted and adjusted ordinal regression was used to model ICU LOS and ventilator days. RESULTS: Scatterplots and LOESS regression curves demonstrated increasing ICU LOS and ventilator days for increasing WFL percentiles. Unadjusted ordinal regression analysis of ICU LOS demonstrated a trend of increasing ICU LOS for increasing WFL percentiles that was not statistically significant (P = 0.11). A similar trend was demonstrated in adjusted ordinal regression that was not statistically significant (P = 0.48). Unadjusted and adjusted ordinal regression analysis of ventilator days did not reach statistical significance (P = 0.07). CONCLUSION: Excessive weight gain has a clinically relevant but not statistically significant association with increased ICU LOS and ventilator days for those patients in the >90th WFL percentile for age.

Predicting Complications in Head and Neck Surgery: Comparing Calculators to Surgeons.

Objectives: Surgical outcomes determine national ranking, reputation, and funding, and are often assessed with objective surgical risk calculators (SRCs). Surgeons' assessments are not considered. This study aims to determine if surgeons or SRCs are more accurate in predicting outcomes. Methods: This prospective cohort study identified a surgeon's assessment on a patient's risk preoperatively. The patient's risk was also calculated using the SRC. Predictions were compared to patient outcomes and to each other to assess whether surgeons or the SRC were more accurate. Results: Of the 101 patients included, 37 (36.6%) experienced a complication of any kind and 18 (17.8%) experienced a serious complication. Smoking resulted in a 2.49 times higher overall complication rate (P = .04). Laryngectomy patients experienced the highest rate of complications (P = .02) compared to those undergoing free flap reconstruction [odds ratio (OR) 0.9] or any other surgery (OR 0.26). Both surgeons and the American College of Surgeons (ACS) tool performed poorly on the prediction of the outcome of any complication, with a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) area under the curve (AUC) of 0.51 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.39-0.62] and 0.58 (95% CI: 0.47-0.70), respectively, which was not statistically significant (P = .34). For the prediction of the outcome of serious complication, the AUC for surgeons and the ACS tool were 0.55 (95% CI: 0.41-0.69) and 0.60 (95% CI: 0.46-0.74), respectively, which was not statistically significant (P = .58). Conclusions: Neither validated risk calculators nor surgeons are accurate in predicting perioperative risk. The only risk factor that contributes to improving predictions for complications is preoperative smoking, although age and type of surgery are also significant predictors. Risk calculators may therefore not be appropriate metrics for assessing hospital performance. These findings can help guide preoperative counseling and may help in the development of more accurate predictive tools as the healthcare field continues to incorporate artificial intelligence into surgical planning.

Influence of time-to-diagnosis on time-to-percutaneous coronary intervention for emergency department ST-elevation myocardial infarction patients: Time-to-electrocardiogram matters.

Objectives: Earlier electrocardiogram (ECG) acquisition for ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is associated with earlier percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and better patient outcomes. However, the exact relationship between timely ECG and timely PCI is unclear. Methods: We quantified the influence of door-to-ECG (D2E) time on ECG-to-PCI balloon (E2B) intervention in this three-year retrospective cohort study, including patients from 10 geographically diverse emergency departments (EDs) co-located with a PCI center. The study included 576 STEMI patients excluding those with a screening ECG before ED arrival or non-diagnostic initial ED ECG. We used a linear mixed-effects model to evaluate D2E's influence on E2B with piecewise linear terms for D2E times associated with time intervals designated as ED intake (0-10 min), triage (11-30 min), and main ED (>30 min). We adjusted for demographic and visit characteristics, past medical history, and included ED location as a random effect. Results: The median E2B interval was longer (76 vs 68 min, p < 0.001) in patients with D2E >10 min than in those with timely D2E. The proportion of patients identified at the intake, triage, and main ED intervals was 65.8%, 24.9%, and 9.7%, respectively. The D2E and E2B association was statistically significant in the triage phase, where a 1-minute change in D2E was associated with a 1.24-minute change in E2B (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.44-2.05, p = 0.003). Conclusion: Reducing D2E is associated with a shorter E2B. Targeting D2E reduction in patients currently diagnosed during triage (11-30 min) may be the greatest opportunity to improve D2B and could enable 24.9% more ED STEMI patients to achieve timely D2E.

Shorter Door-to-ECG Time Is Associated with Improved Mortality in STEMI Patients.

Background: Delayed intervention for ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is associated with higher mortality. The association of door-to-ECG (D2E) with clinical outcomes has not been directly explored in a contemporary US-based population. Methods: This was a three-year, 10-center, retrospective cohort study of ED-diagnosed patients with STEMI comparing mortality between those who received timely (<10 min) vs. untimely (>10 min) diagnostic ECG. Among survivors, we explored left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) dysfunction during the STEMI encounter and recovery upon post-discharge follow-up. Results: Mortality was lower among those who received a timely ECG where one-week mortality was 5% (21/420) vs. 10.2% (26/256) among those with untimely ECGs (p = 0.016), and in-hospital mortality was 6.0% (25/420) vs. 10.9% (28/256) (p = 0.028). Data to compare change in LVEF metrics were available in only 24% of patients during the STEMI encounter and 46.5% on discharge follow-up. Conclusions: D2E within 10 min may be associated with a 50% reduction in mortality among ED STEMI patients. LVEF dysfunction is the primary resultant morbidity among STEMI survivors but was infrequently assessed despite low LVEF being an indication for survival-improving therapy. It will be difficult to assess the impact of STEMI care interventions without more consistent LVEF assessment.

Machine Learning Models to Predict Kidney Stone Recurrence Using 24 Hour Urine Testing and Electronic Health Record-Derived Features.

Objective: To assess the accuracy of machine learning models in predicting kidney stone recurrence using variables extracted from the electronic health record (EHR). Methods: We trained three separate machine learning (ML) models (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression [LASSO], random forest [RF], and gradient boosted decision tree [XGBoost] to predict 2-year and 5-year symptomatic kidney stone recurrence from electronic health-record (EHR) derived features and 24H urine data (n = 1231). ML models were compared to logistic regression [LR]. A manual, retrospective review was performed to evaluate for a symptomatic stone event, defined as pain, acute kidney injury or recurrent infections attributed to a kidney stone identified in the clinic or the emergency department, or for any stone requiring surgical treatment. We evaluated performance using area under the receiver operating curve (AUC-ROC) and identified important features for each model. Results: The 2- and 5- year symptomatic stone recurrence rates were 25% and 31%, respectively. The LASSO model performed best for symptomatic stone recurrence prediction (2-yr AUC: 0.62, 5-yr AUC: 0.63). Other models demonstrated modest overall performance at 2- and 5-years: LR (0.585, 0.618), RF (0.570, 0.608), and XGBoost (0.580, 0.621). Patient age was the only feature in the top 5 features of every model. Additionally, the LASSO model prioritized BMI and history of gout for prediction. Conclusions: Throughout our cohorts, ML models demonstrated comparable results to that of LR, with the LASSO model outperforming all other models. Further model testing should evaluate the utility of 24H urine features in model structure.

Serial evaluation of loop diuretic efficiency following left ventricular assist device implantation.

More than 50% of heart failure (HF) patients require diuretic therapy after left ventricular assist device (LVAD). Although few data related to diuretic response (DR) exist in stage D patients, tubular sodium reabsorption may be clinically prognostic independent of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and proteinuria within this cohort. We aimed to characterize DR serially before and after LVAD implantation in a stage D population. We conducted a prospective, observational cohort study of HF patients receiving diuretics with plans to undergo LVAD implantation. We measured urine sodium (UNa) and creatinine (UCr) at three points after diuretic therapy: pre-LVAD, post-LVAD prior to discharge, and as an outpatient. Prior to LVAD, patients (N = 19) had an average eGFR of 54.0 ± 18.0 mL/min/1.73 m2, spot UNa of 74.8 ± 28.0 mmol/L, and fractional excretion of sodium (FENa) of 3.1 ± 2.7%. Pre-LVAD, eGFR did not correlate with spot UNa nor FENa (p > 0.05 for both). LVAD implantation did not improve DR post-LVAD (mean change FENa per 40 mg IV furosemide 0.5 ± 1.0%; p = 0.84), and 90% of patients required loop diuretics at 90 days post-surgery. Improved hemodynamics following LVAD may not improve DR or tubular function; larger studies are needed to confirm our results and assess the utility of DR to predict post-LVAD outcomes.

Pediatric Persistent Inflammation, Immunosuppression, and Catabolism Syndrome Prevalence in Sepsis-Related Mortalities: A 23-Year Institutional History.

BACKGROUND: Delayed mortality in sepsis often is linked to a lack of resolution in the inflammatory cascade termed persistent inflammation, immunosuppression, and catabolism syndrome (PICS). Limited research exists on PICS in pediatric patients with sepsis. RESEARCH QUESTION: What is the prevalence of pediatric PICS (pPICS) in patients who died of sepsis-related causes and what associated pathogen profiles and comorbidities did they have compared with those patients without pPICS who died from sepsis? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: A retrospective study of a single institution using a de-identified database from 1997 through 2020 for all patients aged 21 years or younger who died of culture-positive sepsis from a known source and who had laboratory data available were evaluated for the presence of pPICS. RESULTS: Among records extracted from the institutional database, 557 patients had culture-positive sepsis, with 262 patients having pPICS (47%). Patients with pPICS were more likely to have underlying hematologic or oncologic disease or cardiac disease. In addition, patients who had pPICS showed increased odds of associated fungal infection compared with those patients who did not (OR, 2.69; 95% CI, 1.59-4.61; P < .001). When assessing laboratory criteria, having a sustained absolute lymphocyte count of < 1.0 × 103/µL was most closely associated with having pPICS compared with other laboratory parameters. Finally, the results of multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that patients with pPICS were more common in the cardiac ICU, as opposed to the PICU (OR, 3.43; CI, 1.57-7.64; P = .002). INTERPRETATION: Pediatric patients who died of a sepsis-related cause have a pPICS phenotype nearly one-half of the time. These patients are more likely to be in the cardiac ICU than the pediatric ICU and have associated fungal infections. Special attention should be directed toward this population in future research.

Myocardial Strain during Surveillance Screening Is Associated with Future Cardiac Dysfunction among Survivors of Childhood, Adolescent and Young Adult-Onset Cancer.

Cardiovascular disease is a leading contributor to mortality among childhood, adolescent and young adult (C-AYA) cancer survivors. While serial cardiovascular screening is recommended in this population, optimal screening strategies, including the use of echocardiography-based myocardial strain, are not fully defined. Our objective was to determine the relationship between longitudinal and circumferential strain (LS, CS) and fractional shortening (FS) among survivors. This single-center cohort study retrospectively measured LS and CS among C-AYAs treated with anthracycline/anthracenedione chemotherapy. The trajectory of LS and CS values over time were examined among two groups of survivors: those who experienced a reduction of >5 fractional shortening (FS) units from pre-treatment to the most recent echocardiogram, and those who did not. Using mixed modeling, LS and CS were used to estimate FS longitudinally. A receiver operator characteristic curve was generated to determine the ability of our model to correctly predict an FS ≤ 27%. A total of 189 survivors with a median age of 14 years at diagnosis were included. Among the two survivor groups, the trajectory of LS and CS differed approximately five years from cancer diagnosis. A statistically significant inverse relationship was demonstrated between FS and LS -0.129, p = 0.039, as well as FS and CS -0.413, p < 0.001. The area under the curve for an FS ≤ 27% was 91%. Among C-AYAs, myocardial strain measurements may improve the identification of individuals with cardiotoxicity, thereby allowing earlier intervention.

Evaluation of 5 Fraction Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy (SBRT) for Osseous Renal Cell Carcinoma Metastases.

OBJECTIVES: The best fractionation for stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) in renal cell carcinoma (RCC) metastases has not been well defined. In addition, the literature on outcomes using 5-fraction SBRT in the setting of osseous metastases has not been well reported. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Thirty-nine patients with 69 RCC osseous metastases were treated using 5-fraction SBRT at a single institution using 2 dose-fractionation schemes. Overall survival and local-control (LC) outcomes of the 2 fractionation schemes were studied using Kaplan-Meier curves. RESULTS: Of the 69 lesions included in the study, 20 were treated with 30 grays (Gy) in 5 fractions and 49 were treated with 40 Gy in 5 fractions. The median age of patients at diagnosis was 58.4 years. The 1-year LC rate for all treated lesions was 85.5% (59/69) with an LC of 90% (18/20) for lesions receiving 30 Gy and 83.7% (41/49) in lesions receiving 40 Gy. There was no statistically significant difference in 1-year LC rate between the 2 fractionation schemes (P-value, 0.553). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with osseous RCC metastases undergoing 5 fractions of SBRT had favorable LC outcomes. There was no difference in survival or LC between the 40 Gy and 30 Gy treatment arms.

Prospective Observational Study of Clinical Outcomes After Intravenous Magnesium for Moderate and Severe Acute Asthma Exacerbations in Children.

BACKGROUND: There is limited knowledge regarding whether intravenous magnesium (IV-Mg) improves outcomes in children with acute asthma exacerbations. OBJECTIVE: To examine whether IV-Mg improves outcomes in children with moderate and severe exacerbations. METHODS: We performed a secondary analysis using data from a prospective observational cohort of children aged 5 to 17 years with moderate and severe exacerbations. Standardized treatment included systemic corticosteroid and inhaled albuterol, with consideration of IV-Mg (75 mg/kg) for patients with insufficient response after 20 minutes. Propensity score (PS) models were used to examine associations of IV-Mg treatment with change in the validated Acute Asthma Intensity Research Score, hospitalization rate, and time to spacing of inhaled albuterol of 4 hours or more among hospitalized participants. RESULTS: Among 301 children, median (interquartile range) age was 8.1 (6.4-10.2) years, 170 were Black (57%), 201 were male (67%), and 84 received IV-Mg (28%). In a PS covariate-adjusted multivariable linear regression model, IV-Mg treatment was associated with a 2-hour increase in the Acute Asthma Intensity Research Score (ß-coefficient = 0.98; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.20-1.77), indicating increased exacerbation severity. Three additional PS-based models yielded similar results. Participants receiving IV-Mg had 5.8-fold (95% CI, 2.8-11.9) and 6.8-fold (95% CI, 3.6-12.9) greater odds of hospitalization in PS-based multivariable regression models. Among hospitalized participants, there was no difference in time to albuterol of every 4 hours or more in a PS covariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazards model (hazard ratio = 1.2; 95% CI, 0.8-1.8). CONCLUSIONS: Among children with moderate and severe exacerbations, IV-Mg is associated with increased exacerbation severity, increased risk for hospitalization, and no acceleration in exacerbation resolution among hospitalized participants.

Reliability of the Behaviorally Anchored Rating Scale (BARS) for assessing non-technical skills of medical students in simulated scenarios.

PURPOSE: Caring for critically ill patients requires non-technical skills such as teamwork, communication, and task management. The Behaviorally Anchored Rating Scale (BARS) is a brief tool used to assess non-technical skills. The investigators determined inter- and intra-rater reliability of the BARS when used to assess medical students in simulated scenarios. METHOD: The investigators created simulation scenarios for medical students during their pediatric clerkship. Content experts reviewed video recordings of the simulations and assigned BARS scores for four performance components (Situational Awareness, Decision-Making, Communication, and Teamwork) for the leader and for the team as a whole. Krippendorff's alpha with ordinal difference was calculated to measure inter- and intra-rater reliability. RESULTS: Thirty medical students had recordings available for review. Inter- and intra-rater reliability for performance components were, respectively, Individual Situational Awareness (0.488, 0.638), Individual Decision-Making (0.529, 0.691), Individual Communication (0.347, 0.473), Individual Teamwork (0.414, 0.466), Team Situational Awareness (0.450, 0.593), Team Decision Making (0.423, 0.703), Team Communication (0.256, 0.517), and Team Teamwork (0.415, 0.490). CONCLUSIONS: The BARS demonstrated limited reliability when assessing medical students during their pediatric clerkship. Given the unique needs of this population, a modified or new objective scoring system for assessing non-technical skills may be needed for medical students.

Fallacy of Median Door-to-ECG Time: Hidden Opportunities for STEMI Screening Improvement.

Background ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) guidelines recommend screening arriving emergency department (ED) patients for an early ECG in those with symptoms concerning for myocardial ischemia. Process measures target median door-to-ECG (D2E) time of 10 minutes. Methods and Results This 3-year descriptive retrospective cohort study, including 676 ED-diagnosed patients with STEMI from 10 geographically diverse facilities across the United States, examines an alternative approach to quantifying performance: proportion of patients meeting the goal of D2E≤10 minutes. We also identified characteristics associated with D2E>10 minutes and estimated the proportion of patients with screening ECG occurring during intake, triage, and main ED care periods. We found overall median D2E was 7 minutes (IQR:4-16; range: 0-1407 minutes; range of ED medians: 5-11 minutes). Proportion of patients with D2E>10 minutes was 37.9% (ED range: 21.5%-57.1%). Patients with D2E>10 minutes, compared to those with D2E≤10 minutes, were more likely female (32.8% versus 22.6%, P=0.005), Black (23.4% versus 12.4%, P=0.005), non-English speaking (24.6% versus 19.5%, P=0.032), diabetic (40.2% versus 30.2%, P=0.010), and less frequently reported chest pain (63.3% versus 87.4%, P<0.001). ECGs were performed during ED intake in 62.1% of visits, ED triage in 25.3%, and main ED care in 12.6%. Conclusions Examining D2E>10 minutes can identify opportunities to improve care for more ED patients with STEMI. Our findings suggest sex, race, language, and diabetes are associated with STEMI diagnostic delays. Moving the acquisition of ECGs completed during triage to intake could achieve the D2E≤10 minutes goal for 87.4% of ED patients with STEMI. Sophisticated screening, accounting for differential risk and diversity in STEMI presentations, may further improve timely detection.

Modeling clinical trajectory status of critically ill COVID-19 patients over time: A method for analyzing discrete longitudinal and ordinal outcomes.

Early in the COVID-19 pandemic, the World Health Organization stressed the importance of daily clinical assessments of infected patients, yet current approaches frequently consider cross-sectional timepoints, cumulative summary measures, or time-to-event analyses. Statistical methods are available that make use of the rich information content of longitudinal assessments. We demonstrate the use of a multistate transition model to assess the dynamic nature of COVID-19-associated critical illness using daily evaluations of COVID-19 patients from 9 academic hospitals. We describe the accessibility and utility of methods that consider the clinical trajectory of critically ill COVID-19 patients.

Assessment of Awake Prone Positioning in Hospitalized Adults With COVID-19: A Nonrandomized Controlled Trial.

Importance: Awake prone positioning may improve hypoxemia among patients with COVID-19, but whether it is associated with improved clinical outcomes remains unknown. Objective: To determine whether the recommendation of awake prone positioning is associated with improved outcomes among patients with COVID-19-related hypoxemia who have not received mechanical ventilation. Design, Setting, and Participants: This pragmatic nonrandomized controlled trial was conducted at 2 academic medical centers (Vanderbilt University Medical Center and NorthShore University HealthSystem) during the COVID-19 pandemic. A total of 501 adult patients with COVID-19-associated hypoxemia who had not received mechanical ventilation were enrolled from May 13 to December 11, 2020. Interventions: Patients were assigned 1:1 to receive either the practitioner-recommended awake prone positioning intervention (intervention group) or usual care (usual care group). Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcome analyses were performed using a bayesian proportional odds model with covariate adjustment for clinical severity ranking based on the World Health Organization ordinal outcome scale, which was modified to highlight the worst level of hypoxemia on study day 5. Results: A total of 501 patients (mean [SD] age, 61.0 [15.3] years; 284 [56.7%] were male; and most [417 (83.2%)] were self-reported non-Hispanic or non-Latinx) were included. Baseline severity was comparable between the intervention vs usual care groups, with 170 patients (65.9%) vs 162 patients (66.7%) receiving oxygen via standard low-flow nasal cannula, 71 patients (27.5%) vs 62 patients (25.5%) receiving oxygen via high-flow nasal cannula, and 16 patients (6.2%) vs 19 patients (7.8%) receiving noninvasive positive-pressure ventilation. Nursing observations estimated that patients in the intervention group spent a median of 4.2 hours (IQR, 1.8-6.7 hours) in the prone position per day compared with 0 hours (IQR, 0-0.7 hours) per day in the usual care group. On study day 5, the bayesian posterior probability of the intervention group having worse outcomes than the usual care group on the modified World Health Organization ordinal outcome scale was 0.998 (posterior median adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.63; 95% credibility interval [CrI], 1.16-2.31). However, on study days 14 and 28, the posterior probabilities of harm were 0.874 (aOR, 1.29; 95% CrI, 0.84-1.99) and 0.673 (aOR, 1.12; 95% CrI, 0.67-1.86), respectively. Exploratory outcomes (progression to mechanical ventilation, length of stay, and 28-day mortality) did not differ between groups. Conclusions and Relevance: In this nonrandomized controlled trial, prone positioning offered no observed clinical benefit among patients with COVID-19-associated hypoxemia who had not received mechanical ventilation. Moreover, there was substantial evidence of worsened clinical outcomes at study day 5 among patients recommended to receive the awake prone positioning intervention, suggesting potential harm. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04359797.