Influenza Hospitalization Burden by Subtype, Age, Comorbidity, and Vaccination Status: 2012-2013 to 2018-2019 Seasons, Quebec, Canada.

BACKGROUND: Influenza immunization programs aim to reduce the risk and burden of severe outcomes. To inform optimal program strategies, we monitored influenza hospitalizations over 7 seasons, stratified by age, comorbidity, and vaccination status. METHODS: We assembled data from 4 hospitals involved in an active surveillance network with systematic collection of nasal samples and polymerase chain reaction testing for influenza virus in all patients admitted through the emergency department with acute respiratory infection during the 2012-2013 to 2018-2019 influenza seasons in Quebec, Canada. We estimated seasonal, population-based incidence of influenza-associated hospitalizations by subtype predominance, age, comorbidity, and vaccine status, and derived the number needed to vaccinate to prevent 1 hospitalization per stratum. RESULTS: The average seasonal incidence of influenza-associated hospitalization was 89/100 000 (95% confidence interval, 86-93), lower during A(H1N1) (49-82/100 000) than A(H3N2) seasons (73-143/100 000). Overall risk followed a J-shaped age pattern, highest among infants 0-5 months and adults ≥75 years old. Hospitalization risks were highest for children <5 years old during A(H1N1) but for highest adults aged ≥75 years during A(H3N2) seasons. Age-adjusted hospitalization risks were 7-fold higher among individuals with versus without comorbid conditions (214 vs 30/100 000, respectively). The number needed to vaccinate to prevent hospitalization was 82-fold lower for ≥75-years-olds with comorbid conditions (n = 1995), who comprised 39% of all hospitalizations, than for healthy 18-64-year-olds (n = 163 488), who comprised just 6% of all hospitalizations. CONCLUSIONS: In the context of broad-based influenza immunization programs (targeted or universal), severe outcome risks should be simultaneously examined by subtype, age, comorbidity, and vaccine status. Policymakers require such detail to prioritize promotional efforts and expenditures toward the greatest and most efficient program impact.

Trends in COPD severe exacerbations, and all-cause and respiratory mortality, before and after implementation of newer long-acting bronchodilators in a large population-based cohort.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the trends in morbidity and mortality at the population level that followed the introduction of newer once-daily long-acting bronchodilators for COPD. The purpose of the study was to evaluate whether the availability of new bronchodilators was associated with changes in the temporal trends in severe COPD exacerbations and mortality between 2007 and 2018 in the older population with COPD; and whether this association was homogeneous across sex and socioeconomic status classes. METHODS: We used an interrupted time-series and three segments multivariate autoregressive models to evaluate the adjusted changes in slopes (i.e., trend effect) in monthly severe exacerbation and mortality rates after 03/2013 and 02/2015 compared to the tiotropium period (04/2007 to 02/2013). Cohorts of individuals > 65 years with COPD were created from the nationally representative database of the Quebec Integrated Chronic Disease Surveillance System in the province of Quebec, Canada. Whether these trends were similar for men and women and across different socioeconomic status classes was also assessed. RESULTS: There were 130,750 hospitalizations for severe exacerbation and 104,460 deaths, including 24,457 (23.4%) respiratory-related deaths, over the study period (928,934 person-years). Significant changes in trends were seen after 03/2013 for all-cause mortality (-1.14%/month;95%CI -1.90% to -0.38%), which further decreased after 02/2015 (-1.78%/month;95%CI -2.70% to -0.38%). Decreases in respiratory-related mortality (-2.45%/month;95%CI -4.38% to -0.47%) and severe exacerbation (-1,90%/month;95%CI -3.04% to -0.75%) rates were only observed after 02/2015. These observations tended to be more pronounced in women than in men and in higher socioeconomic status groups (less deprived) than in lower socioeconomic status groups (more deprived). CONCLUSIONS: The arrival of newer bronchodilators was chronologically associated with reduced trends in severe exacerbation, all-cause and respiratory-related mortality rates among people with COPD > 65 years. Our findings document population benefits on key patient-relevant outcomes in the years following the introduction of newer once-daily long-acting bronchodilators and their combinations, which were likely multifactorial. Public health efforts should focus on closing the gap between lower and higher socioeconomic status groups.

Extended Anticoagulation for VTE: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: The efficacy and safety of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) and vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) during extended anticoagulation for a VTE remains largely unknown, especially in terms of potential survival benefit. The goal of this study was to assess the effects of VKAs and DOACs on overall mortality and VTE-related mortality, as well as VTE recurrence and safety. METHODS: PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library were searched from January 1990 through September 2018 for randomized controlled trials evaluating the effect of extended anticoagulants as secondary prevention for VTE compared with placebo. The primary outcome was the specific effects of standard-intensity VKAs and DOACs on overall mortality. RESULTS: Sixteen studies (12,458 patients) were included. DOACs were associated with a reduction in overall (risk ratio [RR], 0.48; 95% CI, 0.27-0.86; P = .01) and VTE-related (RR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.15-0.89; P = .03) mortality, whereas VKAs were not (P > .50). Although VKAs and DOACs similarly prevented recurrent VTE, only VKAs were associated with an increased risk of major bleeding (RR, 2.67; 95% CI, 1.28-5.60; P < .01), resulting in an improved net clinical benefit for DOACs (RR, 0.25 [95% CI, 0.16-0.39; P < .01] vs 0.46 [95% CI, 0.30-0.72; P < .01]; Pinteraction = .05). CONCLUSIONS: DOACs for extended anticoagulation were associated with a significant reduction in overall mortality compared with observation alone. TRIAL REGISTRY: PROSPERO; No.: CRD42018088739; URL: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/.

Pulmonary hypertension-targeted therapies in heart failure: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary hypertension (PH) due to left heart failure (HF) is the most common form of PH. However, treatment is unclear because there are conflicting results about safety and efficacy of PH-targeted therapies. OBJECTIVES: To assess the effects of PH-targeted therapy on exercise capacity in HF patients. METHODS: MEDLINE, EMBASE and the Cochrane Library were searched from January 1990 to July 2017 for randomized controlled trials comparing PH-targeted therapies to conventional therapy in HF. The primary outcome was to assess the effects on exercise capacity. Secondary outcomes included mortality, hospitalisation, NT-proBNP levels, echocardiographic and hemodynamics parameters and discontinuation rate. RESULTS: 22 studies were included (n = 5448), including 3, 8 and 11 studies with low, high and unknown risk of bias, respectively. PH-targeted therapies were associated with an improvement of exercise capacity (standardized mean difference 0.29;95%CI:0.08-0.50, p = 0.006). Pre-specified subgroup analyses found that this improvement was predominantly observed in studies evaluating phosphodiesterase-5 inhibitors and prostanoids and in patients with reduced ejection fraction. Moreover, systolic pulmonary artery pressure measured by echocardiography was improved (mean difference: -7.5mmHg; [95%CI]: -14.9,-0.1, p = 0.05), which was also entirely driven by studies evaluating phosphodiesterase-5 inhibitors. However, PH-targeted therapies were associated with an increased treatment discontinuation rates and a potential increase in mortality compared to standard treatment. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, PH-targeted therapies and especially phosphodiesterase-5 inhibitors may improve exercise capacity in patients with HF. However, an increase in adverse outcomes was likely. Moreover, most studies were at high or unknown risk of bias, precluding confident conclusions about the effects of PH-targeted therapies.

Trial Duration and Risk Reduction in Combination Therapy Trials for Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension: A Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND: Relative risk (RR) and number needed-to-treat (NNT) are frequently time-dependant measures. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess whether trial duration influenced the relative and absolute risk of worsening in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing combination therapy (CT) of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH)-specific therapies vs monotherapy (MT). METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Library (January 1990 to September 2016) for RCTs assessing CT compared with MT in PAH. The primary outcome was the risk of clinical worsening. We assessed whether trial duration correlated with RR and NNT using weighted meta-regression with mixed effects. Changes in NNT overtime were also assessed using data from long-term event-driven trials. RESULTS: There were 3,801 patients throughout 15 studies included. The RR for clinical worsening positively correlated with trial duration (R2 = 0.67, P = .0002), whereas the NNT did not (mean NNT, 7; R2 = 0.02; P = .65). Among long-term event-driven trials, the mean NNT progressively decreased until 52 weeks of follow-up, being stable thereafter. Conversely, the mean RR progressively increased from approximately 0.40 at week 16 to approximately 0.68 at week 104. CONCLUSIONS: Absolute risk reduction of clinical worsening was relatively constant beyond 6 to 12 months of treatment in clinical trials comparing CT with MT in PAH. These results question the need for CT trials of very long duration in PAH.