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BACKGROUND: The US National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) and Dutch-Belgian NELSON randomized controlled trials have shown significant mortality reductions from low-dose computed tomography (CT) lung cancer screening (LCS). NLST, ITALUNG, and COSMOS trials have provided detailed dosimetry data for LCS. METHODS: LCS trial mortality benefit results, organ dose and effective dose data, and Biological Effects of Ionizing Radiation, Report VII (BEIR VII) organ dose-to-cancer-mortality risk data are used to estimate benefit-to-radiation-risk ratios of the NLST, ITALUNG, and COSMOS trials. Data from those trials also are used to estimate benefit-to-radiation-risk ratios for longer-term LCS corresponding to scenarios recommended by United States Preventive Services Task Force and the American Cancer Society. RESULTS: Including only screening doses, NLST benefit-to-radiation-risk ratios are 12:1 for males, 19:1 for females, and 16:1 overall. Including both screening and estimated follow-up doses, benefit-to-radiation-risk ratios for NLST are 9:1 for males, 13:1 for females, and 12:1 overall. For the ITALUNG trial, the benefit-to-radiation-risk ratio is 58-63:1. For the COSMOS trial, assuming sex-specific mortality benefits like those of the NELSON trial, the benefit-to-radiation-risk ratio is 23:1. Assuming a conservative 20% mortality benefit, annual screening in people 50-79 years old with a 20+ pack-year history of smoking has benefit-to-radiation-risk ratios of 23:1 (with follow-up doses adding 40% to screening doses) to 29:1 (with follow-up adding 10%) based on COSMOS dose data. CONCLUSIONS: Based on linear, no threshold BEIR VII dose-risk estimates, benefit-to-radiation-risk ratios for LCS are highly favorable. Results emphasize the importance of using modern CT technologies, maintaining low diagnostic follow-up rates, and minimizing both screening and diagnostic follow-up doses. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: The benefits of lung cancer screening significantly outweigh estimates of future harms associated with exposure to radiation during screening and diagnostic follow-up examinations. Our findings emphasize the importance of lung cancer screening practices using state-of-the-art computed tomography scanners and specialized low-dose lung screening and diagnostic follow-up techniques.
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Neoplasias Pulmonares , Masculino , Femenino , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Neoplasias Pulmonares/diagnóstico , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X/efectos adversos , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X/métodos , Pulmón , Tamizaje Masivo/métodosRESUMEN
Background There is ongoing debate about recommendations for breast cancer screening strategies, specifically regarding the frequency of screening and the age at which to initiate screening. Purpose To compare estimates of breast cancer screening outcomes published by the Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET) to understand the benefits and risks of different screening scenarios. Materials and Methods Modeling estimates published by CISNET are based on hypothetical cohorts in the United States and compare women, starting at 40 years of age, who do and do not undergo breast cancer screening with mammography. The four scenarios assessed in this study, of multiple possible scenarios, were biennial screening ages 50-74 years (2009 and 2016 U.S. Preventive Services Task Force [USPSTF] recommendations), biennial screening ages 40-74 years (2023 USPSTF draft recommendation), annual screening ages 40-74 years, and annual screening ages 40-79 years. For each scenario, CISNET estimates of median lifetime benefits were compared. Risks that included false-positive screening results per examination and benign biopsies per examination were also calculated and compared. Results Estimates from CISNET 2023 showed that annual screening ages 40-79 years improved breast cancer mortality reduction compared with biennial screening ages 50-74 years and biennial screening ages 40-74 years (41.7%, 25.4%, and 30%, respectively). Annual screening ages 40-79 years averted the most breast cancer deaths (11.5 per 1000) and gained the most life-years (230 per 1000) compared with other screening scenarios (range, 6.7-11.5 per 1000 and 121-230 per 1000, respectively). False-positive screening results per examination were less than 10% for all screening scenarios (range, 6.5%-9.6%) and lowest for annual screening ages 40-79 years (6.5%). Benign biopsies per examination were less than 1.33% for all screening scenarios (range, 0.88%-1.32%) and lowest for annual screening ages 40-79 years (0.88%). Conclusion CISNET 2023 modeling estimates indicate that annual breast cancer screening starting at 40 years of age provides the greatest benefit to women and the least risk per examination. © RSNA, 2024 See also the editorial by Joe in this issue.
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Neoplasias de la Mama , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Humanos , Femenino , Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico por imagen , Mamografía , Comités Consultivos , BiopsiaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data from 1973-2010 have been used to show that minority women have disproportionately higher percentages of breast cancers diagnosed at younger ages in comparison with White women. METHODS: The authors analyzed SEER 21 invasive breast cancer incidence data for 2014-2017 and National Center for Health Statistics mortality data for 2014-2018 and compared invasive incidence and mortality by age in non-Hispanic Black (NH-Black), Asian American/Pacific Islander (AAPI), Native American, and Hispanic women with those in non-Hispanic White (NH-White) women. They evaluated incidence rates and percentages of invasive breast cancer cases and breast cancer deaths occurring before the age of 50 years along with advanced-stage incidence rates and percentages in minority women versus NH-White women. RESULTS: Recent SEER data showed that invasive breast cancers were diagnosed at significantly younger ages in minority women versus NH-White women. Among women diagnosed with invasive breast cancer, compared with NH-White women, minority women were 72% more likely to be diagnosed under the age of 50 years (relative risk [RR], 1.72; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.70-1.75), 58% more likely to be diagnosed with advanced-stage breast cancer under the age of 50 years (RR, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.55-1.61), and 24% more likely to be diagnosed with advanced-stage (regional or distant) breast cancer at all ages (RR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.23-1.25). Among women dying of breast cancer, minority women were 127% more likely to die under the age of 50 years than NH-White women. CONCLUSIONS: NH-Black, AAPI, Native American, and Hispanic women have higher proportions of invasive breast cancers at younger ages and at advanced stages and breast cancer deaths at younger ages than NH-White women. LAY SUMMARY: This study analyzes the most recently available data on invasive breast cancers and breast cancer deaths in US women by age and race/ethnicity. Its findings show that non-Hispanic Black, Asian American/Pacific Islander, Native American, and Hispanic women have a higher percentage of invasive breast cancers at younger ages and at more advanced stages and a higher percentage of breast cancer deaths at younger ages than non-Hispanic White women.
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Neoplasias de la Mama , Etnicidad , Distribución por Edad , Neoplasias de la Mama/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Persona de Mediana Edad , Programa de VERF , Estados Unidos/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
Background National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) data for U.S. women have shown a steady decline in breast cancer mortality rates since 1989. Purpose To analyze U.S. breast cancer mortality rates by age decade in women aged 20-79 years and in women aged 20-39 years and women aged 40-69 years. Materials and Methods The authors conducted a retrospective analysis of (a) female breast cancer mortality rates from NCHS data for 1969-2017 for all races and by race and (b) age- and delay-adjusted invasive breast cancer incidence rates from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program. Joinpoint analysis was used to determine trends in breast cancer mortality, invasive breast cancer incidence, and distant-stage (metastatic) breast cancer incidence rates. Results Between 1989 and 2010, breast cancer mortality rates decreased by 1.5%-3.4% per year for each age decade from 20 to 79 years (P < .001 for each). After 2010, breast cancer mortality rates continued to decline by 1.2%-2.2% per year in women in each age decade from 40 to 79 years (P < .001 for each) but stopped declining in women younger than 40 years. After 2010, breast cancer mortality rates demonstrated nonsignificant increases of 2.8% per year in women aged 20-29 years (P = .11) and 0.3% per year in women aged 30-39 years (P = .70), results attributable primarily to changes in mortality rates in White women. A contributing factor is that distant-stage breast cancer incidence rates increased by more than 4% per year after the year 2000 in women aged 20-39 years. Conclusion Female breast cancer mortality rates have stopped declining in women younger than 40 years, ending a trend that existed from 1987 to 2010. Conversely, mortality rates have continued to decline in women aged 40-79 years. Rapidly rising distant-stage breast cancer rates have likely contributed to ending the decline in mortality rates in women younger than 40 years. © RSNA, 2021 Online supplemental material is available for this article.
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Neoplasias de la Mama/mortalidad , Mortalidad/tendencias , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Persona de Mediana Edad , Metástasis de la Neoplasia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Programa de VERF , Estados Unidos/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: From 1975 to 1990, female breast cancer mortality rates in the United States increased by 0.4% per year. Since 1990, breast cancer mortality rates have fallen between 1.8% and 3.4% per year, a decrease that is attributed to increased mammography screening and improved treatment. METHODS: The authors used age-adjusted female breast cancer mortality rate and population data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program to estimate the number of breast cancer deaths averted by screening mammography and improved treatment since 1989. Four different assumptions regarding background mortality rates (in the absence of screening mammography and improved treatment) were used to estimate deaths averted for women aged 40 to 84 years by taking the difference between SEER-reported mortality rates and background mortality rates for each 5-year age group, multiplied by the population for each 5-year age group. SEER data were used to estimate annual and cumulative breast cancer deaths averted in 2012 and 2015 and extrapolated SEER data were used to estimate deaths averted in 2018. RESULTS: The number of single-year breast cancer deaths averted ranged from 20,860 to 33,842 in 2012, from 23,703 to 39,415 in 2015, and from 27,083 to 45,726 in 2018. Breast cancer mortality reductions ranged from 38.6% to 50.5% in 2012, from 41.5% to 54.2% in 2015, and from 45.3% to 58.3% in 2018. Cumulative breast cancer deaths averted since 1989 ranged from 237,234 to 370,402 in 2012, from 305,934 to 483,435 in 2015, and from 384,046 to 614,484 in 2018. CONCLUSIONS: Since 1989, between 384,000 and 614,500 breast cancer deaths have been averted through the use of mammography screening and improved treatment.
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Neoplasias de la Mama/mortalidad , Mortalidad/tendencias , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Edad de Inicio , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico , Neoplasias de la Mama/terapia , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Humanos , Mamografía/métodos , Mamografía/estadística & datos numéricos , Tamizaje Masivo/métodos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Programa de VERF/estadística & datos numéricos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The American Cancer Society (ACS) suggests using a stratified strategy for breast cancer screening. The strategy includes assessing risk of breast cancer, screening women at high risk with both MRI and mammography, and screening women at low risk with mammography alone. The ACS chose their cutoff for high risk using expert consensus. METHODS: We propose instead an analytic approach that maximizes the diagnostic accuracy (AUC/ROC) of a risk-based stratified screening strategy in a population. The inputs are the joint distribution of screening test scores, and the odds of disease, for the given risk score. Using the approach for breast cancer screening, we estimated the optimal risk cutoff for two different risk models: the Breast Cancer Screening Consortium (BCSC) model and a hypothetical model with much better discriminatory accuracy. Data on mammography and MRI test score distributions were drawn from the Magnetic Resonance Imaging Screening Study Group. RESULTS: A risk model with an excellent discriminatory accuracy (c-statistic [Formula: see text]) yielded a reasonable cutoff where only about 20% of women had dual screening. However, the BCSC risk model (c-statistic [Formula: see text]) lacked the discriminatory accuracy to differentiate between women who needed dual screening, and women who needed only mammography. CONCLUSION: Our research provides a general approach to optimize the diagnostic accuracy of a stratified screening strategy in a population, and to assess whether risk models are sufficiently accurate to guide stratified screening. For breast cancer, most risk models lack enough discriminatory accuracy to make stratified screening a reasonable recommendation.
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Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Tamizaje Masivo/métodos , Modelos Teóricos , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética , Mamografía , RiesgoRESUMEN
Purpose To determine obligate overdiagnosis rates, defined as the percentage of women diagnosed with screen-detected breast cancer who die of causes other than breast cancer prior to clinical presentation of that cancer, for ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS), invasive breast cancer, and all breast cancers. Materials and Methods Age-specific all-cause mortality rates from the Human Mortality Database, age-specific breast cancer incidence and mortality rates from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data, and estimates of mean lead times and lead time distributions from breast cancer screening trials are used to estimate obligate (or type 1) overdiagnosis rates for DCIS, invasive breast cancer, and all breast cancers (DCIS plus invasive) for U.S. women undergoing screening mammography. Mortality rates by age are used to estimate the number of women who die of causes other than breast cancer during the lead time afforded by screening mammography. Resulting age-dependent overdiagnosis rates, along with screen-detected breast cancer incidence by age, are used to estimate type 1 overdiagnosis rates for the U.S. screening population. Results Obligate overdiagnosis rates depend strongly on the age at which a woman is screened, ranging from less than 1% at age 40 years to 30%, 21%, and 22.5% at age 80 years for DCIS, invasive breast cancer, and all breast cancers, respectively. Type 1 overdiagnosis rates among screened women in the United States are estimated to be 9% for DCIS and approximately 7% for both invasive breast cancer and all breast cancers. Screening of women ages 40-49 years (or premenopausal women, as determined from patient history, starting at age 40 years) adds little to obligate overdiagnosis rates (0.15% for DCIS and less than 0.1% for invasive breast cancer and all breast cancers). Conclusion Type 1 overdiagnosis rates increase rapidly with age at screening. Obligate overdiagnosis occurs in 9% of DCIS and approximately 7% of both invasive breast cancer and all breast cancers in the U.S. mammographic screening population, with screening of women ages 40-49 years (or premenopausal women starting at age 40 years) making a negligible contribution of 0.15% to obligate overdiagnosis of DCIS and a contribution of less than 0.1% to the obligate overdiagnosis rates of invasive breast cancer and all breast cancers. © RSNA, 2017 Online supplemental material is available for this article.
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Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico por imagen , Mamografía , Tamizaje Masivo/estadística & datos numéricos , Uso Excesivo de los Servicios de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , Neoplasias de la Mama/mortalidad , Neoplasias de la Mama/patología , Causas de Muerte , Bases de Datos Factuales , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Femenino , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Vigilancia de la Población , Sistema de Registros , Estados Unidos/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: The discovery of breast cancer at earlier stages with screening brings the risk that some cancers will be overdiagnosed or overtreated. Reasonable estimates show the overdiagnosis rate due to screening mammography to be low, 1-10%. CONCLUSION: Overdiagnosis should not be used as a reason to delay the onset or decrease the frequency of screening, because neither strategy will decrease overdiagnosis. Improvements in personalized treatment will diminish the morbidity of treatment and, therefore, the significance of overdiagnosis.
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Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico por imagen , Neoplasias de la Mama/terapia , Mamografía , Tamizaje Masivo , Uso Excesivo de los Servicios de Salud , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Femenino , HumanosRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: Breast cancer is an important health problem for women 40-49 years old, yet screening mammography for this age group remains controversial. This article reviews recent guidelines and supporting evidence on screening mammography in women of this age group. CONCLUSION: Evidence supports the benefit of annual screening mammography in women 40-49 years old. Models of different breast cancer screening strategies consistently show the greatest breast cancer mortality reduction and life-years gained with annual screening starting when women reach 40 years old.
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Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico por imagen , Mamografía/normas , Tamizaje Masivo , Adulto , Neoplasias de la Mama/epidemiología , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Medicina Basada en la Evidencia , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Persona de Mediana Edad , Guías de Práctica Clínica como Asunto , Estados Unidos/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Currently, there are several different recommendations for screening mammography from major national health care organizations, including: 1) annual screening at ages 40 to 84 years; 2) screening annually at ages 45 to 54 years, then biennially at ages 55 to 79 years; and 3) biennial screening at ages 50 to 74 years. METHODS: Mean values of six Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET) models were used to compare these three screening mammography recommendations in terms of benefits and risks. RESULTS: Mean mortality reduction was greatest with the recommendation of annual screening at ages 40 to 84 years (39.6%), compared with the hybrid recommendation of screening annually at ages 45 to 54 years, then biennially at ages 55 to 79 years (30.8%), and the recommendation of biennial screening at ages 50 to 74 years (23.2%). For a single-year cohort of US women aged 40 years, assuming 100% compliance, more breast cancers deaths would be averted over their lifetime with annual screening starting at age 40 (29,369) than with the hybrid recommendation (22,829) or biennial screening ages 50-74 (17,153 based on 2009 CISNET estimates, 15,599 based on 2016 CISNET estimates). To achieve the greatest mortality benefit, this single-year cohort of women would have the greatest total number of screening mammograms, benign recalls, and benign biopsies performed over the course of screening by following annual screening starting at age 40 years (90.2 million, 6.8 million, and 481,269, respectively) than by following the hybrid recommendation (49.0 million, 4.1 million, and 286,288, respectively) or biennial screening at ages 50 to 74 years (27.3 million, 2.3 million, and 162,885, respectively). CONCLUSION: CISNET models demonstrate that the greatest mortality reduction is achieved with annual screening of women starting at age 40 years. Cancer 2017;123:3673-3680. © 2017 American Cancer Society.
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Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico por imagen , Mamografía/normas , Modelos Teóricos , Guías de Práctica Clínica como Asunto , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Neoplasias de la Mama/mortalidad , Femenino , Adhesión a Directriz/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Mamografía/estadística & datos numéricos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Factores de Tiempo , Estados UnidosRESUMEN
Purpose To estimate the benefit-to-radiation risk ratios of mammography alone, breast-specific gamma imaging (BSGI) alone, and mammography plus BSGI in women with dense breasts who were asymptomatic and examined in the 2015 study by Rhodes et al. Materials and Methods This study uses previously published breast cancer detection rates and estimates of radiation dose and radiation risk and is, therefore, exempt from institutional review board approval. By using breast cancer detection rates for mammography alone, BSGI alone, and mammography plus BSGI from the study by Rhodes et al, as well as lifetime estimates of radiation-induced cancer mortality for mammography and BSGI on the basis of the Biologic Effects of Ionizing Radiation VII report, the benefit-to-radiation risk ratios of mammography alone, BSGI alone, and mammography plus BSGI performed annually over 10-year age intervals from ages 40 to 79 years are estimated. Results The benefit-to-radiation risk ratio is estimated to be 13 for women who are 40-49 years old and are screened with mammography, a figure that approximately doubles for each subsequent 10-year age interval up to 70-79 years old. For low-dose BSGI, annual screening benefit-to-radiation risk ratios are estimated to be 5 for women 40-49 years old and to double by age 70-79 years, while mammography plus BSGI has benefit-to-radiation risk ratios similar to those of BSGI alone. There are wide ranges for all of these estimates. Conclusion While lower dose (300 MBq) BSGI has estimated benefit-to-radiation risk ratios well in excess of 1 for screening of asymptomatic women with dense breasts who are 40 years old and older, it does not match the benefit-to-radiation risk ratio of screening mammography. © RSNA, 2016.
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Densidad de la Mama , Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico por imagen , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Dosis de Radiación , Medición de Riesgo , Adulto , Anciano , Neoplasias de la Mama/mortalidad , Femenino , Cámaras gamma , Humanos , Mamografía , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neoplasias Inducidas por Radiación/mortalidad , Radiofármacos , Tecnecio Tc 99m SestamibiRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Mammographic screening is expected to decrease the incidence of late-stage breast cancer. In the current study, the authors determined the decrease in late-stage cancer incidence and the changes in invasive cancer incidence that occurred in the mammographic era after adjusting for prescreening temporal trends. METHODS: Breast cancer incidence and stage data were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program. The premammography period (1977-1979) was compared with the mammographic screening period (2007-2009) for women aged ≥ 40 years. The authors estimated prescreening temporal trends using 5 measures of annual percentage change (APC). Stage-specific incidence values from 1977 through 1979 (baseline) were adjusted using APC values of 0.5%, 1.0%, 1.3%, and 2.0% and then compared with observed stage-specific incidence in 2007 through 2009. RESULTS: Prescreening APC temporal trend estimates ranged from 0.8% to 2.3%. The joinpoint estimate of 1.3% for women aged ≥ 40 years approximated the 4-decade long APC trend of 1.2% noted in the Connecticut Tumor Registry. At an APC of 1.3%, late-stage breast cancer incidence decreased by 37% (56 cases per 100,000 women) with a reciprocal increase in early-stage rates noted from 1977 through 1979 to 2007 through 2009. Resulting late-stage cancer incidence decreased from 21% at an APC of 0.5% to 48% at an APC of 2.0%. Total invasive breast cancer incidence decreased by 9% (27 cases per 100,000 women) at an APC of 1.3%. CONCLUSIONS: There is evidence that a substantial reduction in late-stage breast cancer has occurred in the mammography era when appropriate adjustments are made for prescreening temporal trends. At background APC estimates of ≥ 1%, the total invasive breast cancer incidence also decreased.
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Neoplasias de la Mama Masculina/diagnóstico por imagen , Carcinoma Intraductal no Infiltrante/diagnóstico por imagen , Adulto , Anciano , Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico por imagen , Neoplasias de la Mama/epidemiología , Neoplasias de la Mama Masculina/epidemiología , Carcinoma Intraductal no Infiltrante/epidemiología , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Mamografía , Persona de Mediana Edad , Programa de VERF , Reino Unido/epidemiología , Estados Unidos/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: In this article, we evaluate the implications of recent Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET) modeling of benefits and harms of screening to women 40-49 years old using annual digital mammography. CONCLUSION: We show that adding annual digital mammography of women 40-49 years old to biennial screening of women 50-74 years old increases lives saved by 27% and life-years gained by 47%. Annual digital mammography in women 40-49 years old saves 42% more lives and life-years than biennial digital mammography. The number needed to screen to save one life (NNS) with annual digital mammography in women 40-49 years old is 588.
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Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico por imagen , Neoplasias de la Mama/mortalidad , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/estadística & datos numéricos , Mamografía/estadística & datos numéricos , Modelos Estadísticos , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Intensificación de Imagen Radiográfica , Adulto , Simulación por Computador , Supervivencia sin Enfermedad , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Esperanza de Vida , Persona de Mediana Edad , Vigilancia de la Población/métodos , Medición de Riesgo , Tasa de Supervivencia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
Overdiagnosis is the concept that some cancers detected at screening would never have become clinically apparent during a woman's lifetime in the absence of screening. This could occur if a woman dies of a cause other than breast cancer in the interval between mammographic detection and clinical detection (obligate overdiagnosis) or if a mammographically detected breast cancer fails to progress to clinical presentation. Overdiagnosis cannot be measured directly. Indirect methods of estimating overdiagnosis include use of data from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) designed to evaluate breast cancer mortality, population-based screening studies, or modeling. In each case, estimates of overdiagnosis must consider lead time, breast cancer incidence trends in the absence of screening, and accurate and predictable rates of tumor progression. Failure to do so has led to widely varying estimates of overdiagnosis. The U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) considers overdiagnosis a major harm of mammography screening. Their 2024 report estimated overdiagnosis using summary evaluations of 3 RCTs that did not provide screening to their control groups at the end of the screening period, along with Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Network modeling. However, there are major flaws in their evidence sources and modeling estimates, limiting the USPSTF assessment. The most plausible estimates remain those based on observational studies that suggest overdiagnosis in breast cancer screening is 10% or less and can be attributed primarily to obligate overdiagnosis and nonprogressive ductal carcinoma in situ.
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Neoplasias de la Mama , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Mamografía , Sobrediagnóstico , Humanos , Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico , Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico por imagen , Neoplasias de la Mama/epidemiología , Mamografía/normas , Femenino , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/normas , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Guías de Práctica Clínica como Asunto , Tamizaje Masivo/métodos , Tamizaje Masivo/normas , Uso Excesivo de los Servicios de Salud/prevención & controlRESUMEN
The 2023 U.S. Preventive Services Task Force draft recommendation statement on screening for breast cancer recommends lowering the starting age for biennial screening with mammography to age 40 years from 50 years, the age of screening initiation that the Task Force had previously recommended since 2009. A recent Perspective article in the New England Journal of Medicine by Woloshin et al contends that this change will provide no additional benefit and is unjustified. This article reviews the main ideas presented by Woloshin et al and provides substantial evidence not considered by those authors in support of screening mammography in U.S. women starting at age 40 years.
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Neoplasias de la Mama , Mamografía , Femenino , Humanos , Adulto , Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico , Factores de Riesgo , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Tamizaje Masivo , Factores de EdadRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To determine the performance of combined single-view mediolateral oblique (MLO) digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT) plus single-view cranio-caudal (CC) mammography (MX) compared with that of standard two-view digital mammography. METHODS: A multi-reader multi-case (MRMC) receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) study was conducted, involving six breast radiologists. Two hundred fifty patients underwent bilateral MX and DBT imaging. MX and DBT images with the adjunct of the CC-MX view from 469 breasts were evaluated and rated independently by six readers. Differences in mean areas under the ROC curves (AUCs), mean sensitivity and mean specificity were analysed by analysis of variance (ANOVA) to assess clinical performance. RESULTS: The combined technique was found to be non-inferior to standard two-view mammography (MX((CC+MLO))) in mean AUC (difference: +0.021;95 % LCL = -0.011), but was not statistically significant for superiority (P = 0.197). The combined technique had equivalent sensitivity to standard mammography (76.2 % vs. 72.8 %, P = 0.269) and equivalent specificity (84.9 % vs. 83.0 %, P = 0.130). Specificity for benign lesions was significantly higher with the combination of techniques versus mammography (45.6 % vs. 36.8 %, P = 0.002). CONCLUSION: In this enriched study population, the combination of single-view MLO tomosynthesis plus single-view CC mammography was non-inferior to that of standard two-view digital mammography in terms of ROC curve area, sensitivity and specificity.
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Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico por imagen , Imagenología Tridimensional/métodos , Mamografía/métodos , Posicionamiento del Paciente/métodos , Intensificación de Imagen Radiográfica/métodos , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X/métodos , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Humanos , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Sensibilidad y EspecificidadRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the clinical value of combining one-view mammography (cranio-caudal, CC) with the complementary view tomosynthesis (mediolateral-oblique, MLO) in comparison to standard two-view mammography (MX) in terms of both lesion detection and characterization. METHODS: A free-response receiver operating characteristic (FROC) experiment was conducted independently by six breast radiologists, obtaining data from 463 breasts of 250 patients. Differences in mean lesion detection fraction (LDF) and mean lesion characterization fraction (LCF) were analysed by analysis of variance (ANOVA) to compare clinical performance of the combination of techniques to standard two-view digital mammography. RESULTS: The 463 cases (breasts) reviewed included 258 with one to three lesions each, and 205 with no lesions. The 258 cases with lesions included 77 cancers in 68 breasts and 271 benign lesions to give a total of 348 proven lesions. The combination, DBT(MLO)+MX(CC), was superior to MX (CC+MLO) in both lesion detection (LDF) and lesion characterization (LCF) overall and for benign lesions. DBT(MLO)+MX(CC) was non-inferior to two-view MX for malignant lesions. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that readers' capabilities in detecting and characterizing breast lesions are improved by combining single-view digital breast tomosynthesis and single-view mammography compared to two-view digital mammography. KEY POINTS: ⢠Digital breast tomosynthesis is becoming adopted as an adjunct to mammography (MX) ⢠DBT (MLO) +MX (CC) is superior to MX (CC+MLO) in lesion detection (overall and benign lesions) ⢠DBT (MLO) +MX (CC) is non-inferior to MX (CC+MLO) in cancer detection ⢠DBT (MLO) +MX (CC) is superior to MX (CC+MLO) in lesion characterization (overall and benign lesions) ⢠DBT (MLO) +MX (CC) is non-inferior to MX (CC+MLO) in characterization of malignant lesions.
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Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico por imagen , Imagenología Tridimensional/métodos , Mamografía/métodos , Interpretación de Imagen Radiográfica Asistida por Computador/métodos , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Mama/patología , Reacciones Falso Positivas , Femenino , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Imagen Multimodal/métodos , Variaciones Dependientes del Observador , Curva ROC , Intensificación de Imagen Radiográfica/métodos , Reproducibilidad de los ResultadosRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: The purpose of this study was to compare the diagnostic accuracy of dual-energy contrast-enhanced digital mammography (CEDM) as an adjunct to mammography (MX) ± ultrasonography (US) with the diagnostic accuracy of MX ± US alone. METHODS: One hundred ten consenting women with 148 breast lesions (84 malignant, 64 benign) underwent two-view dual-energy CEDM in addition to MX and US using a specially modified digital mammography system (Senographe DS, GE Healthcare). Reference standard was histology for 138 lesions and follow-up for 12 lesions. Six radiologists from 4 institutions interpreted the images using high-resolution softcopy workstations. Confidence of presence (5-point scale), probability of cancer (7-point scale), and BI-RADS scores were evaluated for each finding. Sensitivity, specificity and ROC curve areas were estimated for each reader and overall. Visibility of findings on MX ± CEDM and MX ± US was evaluated with a Likert scale. RESULTS: The average per-lesion sensitivity across all readers was significantly higher for MX ± US ± CEDM than for MX ± US (0.78 vs. 0.71 using BIRADS, p = 0.006). All readers improved their clinical performance and the average area under the ROC curve was significantly superior for MX ± US ± CEDM than for MX ± US ((0.87 vs 0.83, p = 0.045). Finding visibility was similar or better on MX ± CEDM than MX ± US in 80% of cases. CONCLUSIONS: Dual-energy contrast-enhanced digital mammography as an adjunct to MX ± US improves diagnostic accuracy compared to MX ± US alone. Addition of iodinated contrast agent to MX facilitates the visualization of breast lesions.