Prognostic Significance of Premature Ventricular Contractions without Obvious Heart Diseases Determined by Standard 12-Lead Electrocardiography Considering their Morphology.

BACKGROUND: Although ventricular premature contraction (VPC) commonly arises in subjects with and without heart diseases, the prognosis of VPC has remained controversial and the effect of their morphology on mortality has not been fully determined in subjects without obvious heart diseases. The objective of this study was to assess the morphologic effect of VPC on mortality. METHODS: Japanese atomic bomb survivors (n = 6685) underwent baseline health examinations and standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) between January 1990 and December 1991. Of these, we extracted data from 5,685 (67.1% women) subjects who had neither heart diseases nor electrocardiographic abnormalities at baseline. Among them, we identified 131 VPC cases using standard 12-lead ECG and classified them into left bundle branch block (LBBB) type (n = 74), right bundle branch block (RBBB) type (n = 21), and undetermined type (n = 36) according to their morphology. These subjects were followed up until December 2008; we compared all-cause, cardiac and coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality rates using multivariate Cox regression analysis between those with and without VPC. RESULTS: No VPCs were associated with all-cause and cardiac mortality, but the LBBB type was significantly associated with CHD mortality (hazard ratio, 2.73; 95% confidence interval, 1.11-6.73) after controlling for age, sex, smoking status, alcohol consumption, and underlying diseases. CONCLUSIONS: Among Japanese atomic bomb survivors without obvious heart diseases, LBBB-type VPC was associated with increased CHD mortality. Larger studies are needed to confirm the effect of morphology as it might help to predict the risk.

Incidence and prognostic value of early repolarization pattern in the 12-lead electrocardiogram.

BACKGROUND: Early repolarization pattern is a common ECG finding characterized by J-point elevation and QRS notching or slurring in the inferior and/or lateral leads, yet little is known about its incidence and long-term prognosis in Asian populations. METHODS AND RESULTS: We reviewed all the ECG records of the 5976 atomic-bomb survivors who were examined at least once during our biennial health examination in Nagasaki, Japan, between July 1958 and December 2004. We defined early repolarization pattern as ≥0.1-mV elevation of the J point or ST segment, with notching or slurring in at least 2 inferior and/or lateral leads. We assessed unexpected, cardiac, and all-cause death risk by Cox analysis. We identified 1429 early repolarization pattern cases (779 incident cases) during follow-up, yielding a positive rate of 23.9% and an incidence rate of 715 per 100 000 person-years. Early repolarization pattern had an elevated risk of unexpected death (hazard ratio, 1.83; 95% confidence interval, 1.12 to 2.97; P=0.02) and a decreased risk of cardiac (hazard ratio, 0.75; 95% confidence interval, 0.60 to 0.93; P<0.01) and all-cause (hazard ratio, 0.85; 95% confidence interval, 0.78 to 0.93; P<0.01) death. In addition, both slurring and notching were related to higher risk of unexpected death (hazard ratio, 2.09; 95% confidence interval, 1.06 to 4.12; P=0.03), as was early repolarization pattern manifestation in both inferior and lateral leads (hazard ratio, 2.50; 95% confidence interval, 1.29 to 4.83; P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Early repolarization pattern is associated with an elevated risk of unexpected death and a decreased risk of cardiac and all-cause death. Specific early repolarization pattern morphologies and location are associated with an adverse prognosis.

Metabolic cardiovascular disease risk factors and their clustering in subclinical hypothyroidism.

OBJECTIVE: A possible association between subclinical hypothyroidism and cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been reported. Monitoring of atomic-bomb survivors for late effects of radiation exposure at the Radiation Effects Research Foundation has provided the opportunity to examine associations between subclinical hypothyroidism and metabolic CVD risk factors. The objective of the study was to evaluate associations between subclinical hypothyroidism and metabolic CVD risk factors, and a cluster of these factors. DESIGN AND PARTICIPANTS: This was a cross-sectional study of 3549 subjects (mean age 70 years; 1221 men and 2328 women) between 2000 and 2003 comprising 306 subjects with subclinical hypothyroidism and 3243 control euthyroid subjects in Japan. MEASUREMENTS: We investigated associations between subclinical hypothyroidism and metabolic CVD risk factors such as hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidaemia and hyperuricaemia, and a cluster of these factors. RESULTS: Subclinical hypothyroidism was not significantly associated with either hypertension, diabetes mellitus or hyperuricaemia defined by taking into account the use of medications in both men and women, but in men it was associated with dyslipidaemia (P = 0.02). We observed a significantly increased odds ratio (OR) for the presence of three or more metabolic CVD risk factors in men with subclinical hypothyroidism after adjusting for age, body mass index (BMI), and smoking status [OR: 1.83, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.13-2.94, P = 0.01]. The significant associations remained after an additional adjustment for atomic-bomb radiation dose. CONCLUSIONS: There appears to be a significant increase in a cluster of metabolic CVD risk factors among people with subclinical hypothyroidism.

Fatty liver and uric acid levels predict incident coronary heart disease but not stroke among atomic bomb survivors in Nagasaki.

Relationships between fatty liver and coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke risk remain ill defined. We investigated whether fatty liver is a predictor of CHD and stroke risk. Until December 2000 we followed 2,024 atomic bomb survivors (775 men: 62.0 +/- 9.9 years old; 1,249 women: 63.2 +/- 8.4 years old) who had basic examinations between November 1990 and October 1992 for clinical and laboratory CHD risk factors and fatty liver and who were initially free of CHD and stroke. Forty-nine cases of CHD and 84 cases of stroke were observed. At the time of the baseline examinations, significant clinical associations were found between fatty liver and obesity (p<0.001), hypertension (p<0.001), dyslipidemia (p<0.001), and glucose intolerance (p<0.001). A slight but nonsignificant association was found between fatty liver and hyperuricemia (p=0.07) as well. By using multiple Cox regression analyses, age (relative risk [RR] 1.05, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.08), smoking (RR 2.20, 95% CI 1.02-4.74), hyperuricemia (RR 2.30, 95% CI 1.08-4.89), and fatty liver (RR 2.53, 95% CI 1.06-6.06) were shown to be significant predictors of CHD, whereas age (RR 1.08, 95% CI 1.06-1.10), smoking (RR 2.06, 95% CI 1.14-3.72), and hypertension (RR 2.14, 95% CI 1.38-3.30) predicted stroke risk. Fatty liver, which clusters clinical and laboratory CHD risk factors, is an independent predictor of CHD, but not of stroke. Fatty liver should be followed as a feature of metabolic syndrome, with the aim of preventing CHD.

Prognostic significance of incident complete left bundle branch block observed over a 40-year period.

This case-control study was designed to assess the incidence and mortality of complete left bundle branch block (LBBB). We investigated 17,361 subjects (6,663 men and 10,698 women) who underwent biennial health examinations, including electrocardiography and cardiothoracic ratio measurements from 1958 to 2002. A total of 110 incident LBBB cases (41 men and 69 women) were observed, and their basic characteristics were compared with those of 456 age- and gender-matched controls (156 men and 300 women). Also, the possible association between LBBB and all-cause and cause-specific mortality was examined using a Cox proportional hazard model adjusted for age, gender, and underlying disease. The average age at LBBB diagnosis was 69.6 +/- 10.0 years in men and 68.3 +/- 10.9 years in women, and the incidence of LBBB increased progressively with age. Also, underlying disease, hypertension, and ischemic heart disease were significantly associated with LBBB. The cardiothoracic ratio was significantly different at the diagnosis of LBBB between those with LBBB and controls. Electrocardiographic manifestations before LBBB diagnosis included a higher rate of left ventricular hypertrophy and ST-T abnormalities in patients with LBBB. On Cox analysis, LBBB did not predict for all-cause mortality, but it did predict for mortality from congestive heart failure. In conclusion, the mean patient age at LBBB diagnosis was relatively elderly, and the LBBB incidence increased progressively with advancing age. Hypertension, ischemic heart disease, left ventricular hypertrophy, ST-T abnormalities, and an increased cardiothoracic ratio were associated with LBBB. LBBB predicted for mortality from heart failure but not for all-cause mortality, independent of age, gender, and underlying disease.

Basic characteristics of chronic hypotension cases: a longitudinal follow-up study from 1958 through 1999.

Few epidemiological studies have been conducted on the prevalence, blood pressure trends by age, and basic characteristics of chronic hypotension. Among 13,370 subjects (5,094 men and 8,276 women) examined from 1958 to 1999 in Japan, 92 were identified as chronic hypotensives (11 men and 81 women) whose systolic blood pressure (SBP, mmHg) was lower than 100 mmHg for 8 or more years. Trends of SBP and body mass index (BMI, kg/m2) were determined over a 16-year period in this group of chronic hypotensives and 276 age- and sex-matched controls (33 men and 243 women); during this 16-year period, the chronic hypotensives and controls ranged in age from 19 to 75 years. BMI, heart rate (HR, bpm), body temperature (degrees C), Hb (g/dl), and creatinine (Cre, mg/dl) were compared between the chronic hypotensives and the controls at the last examination. The chronic hypotensives had a female preponderance (0.2% in men and 1.0% in women, p=0.001), and their SBP and BMI increased little with increasing age. BMI (20.2+/-3.4), BMI-adjusted SBP (101+/-19), HR (63+/-10), body temperature (36.7+/-0.3), Hb (12.5+/-1.1), and Cre (0.81+/-0.13) were lower in the chronic hypotensives than those (22.9+/-3.4, 126+/-20, 68+/-10, 36.8+/-0.3, 12.9+/-1.1, and 0.86+/-0.12, respectively) in controls (p<0.05). The present results clearly show that chronic hypotensives have a female preponderance and low BMI, HR, body temperature, Hb, and Cre in addition to low SBP that does not increase with age.

Long-term prognosis of thyroid nodule cases compared with nodule-free controls in atomic bomb survivors.

CONTEXT: Radiation exposure is associated with development of thyroid nodules. The long-term risk of thyroid cancer development in irradiated people with thyroid nodules, however, has not been clarified. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to assess the long-term risk of cancer development in irradiated individuals with thyroid nodules. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This prospective study comprised 2637 atomic bomb survivors (mean age, 59 yr; 1071 men and 1566 women) who participated in the baseline thyroid study of the Nagasaki Radiation Effects Research Foundation from 1984 through 1987. The participants were divided into three groups at baseline by ultrasound findings: 82 cases of solid thyroid nodules other than cancer, 121 cases of thyroid cysts, and 2434 thyroid nodule-free controls. Both the solid nodule and the cyst groups included postoperative cases. In the solid nodule group, 68 cases had ultrasound-detected solid nodules, including 31 cases diagnosed as benign by cytological or histological examination. They were followed for an average of 13.3 yr. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incident thyroid cancer was measured during an average 13.3-yr follow-up period. RESULTS: During the follow-up period, six thyroid cancer cases (7.3%) were found in the solid nodule group, seven cases in the controls (0.3%), and one case (0.8%) in the cyst group. In 31 cases with solid nodules diagnosed as benign, three cases (9.7%) developed thyroid cancer. The hazard ratio (HR) for cancer development was significantly high at 23.6 [95% confidence interval (CI), 7.6-72.8] in the solid nodule group (HR, 40.2; 95% CI, 9.4-173.0 in 31 people with solid nodules diagnosed as benign) but not in the cyst group (HR, 2.7; 95% CI, 0.3-22.2), after controlling for age and sex. Sex, age, TSH level, thyroglobulin level, radiation dose, nodule volume, and increase in nodule volume did not predict cancer development in the solid nodule group. CONCLUSIONS: Risk of thyroid cancer development is high in atomic bomb survivors with solid thyroid nodules, suggesting the need for careful observation of irradiated individuals with such nodules.

Risk for ischemic heart disease and all-cause mortality in subclinical hypothyroidism.

We investigated possible associations between subclinical hypothyroidism and atherosclerotic diseases (ischemic heart disease and cerebrovascular disease) and mortality. Of 2856 participants (mean age 58.5 yr) in a thyroid disease screening between 1984 and 1987, 257 subjects with subclinical hypothyroidism (TSH > 5.0 mU/liter) and 2293 control subjects (TSH range 0.6-5.0 mU/liter) were analyzed. In the baseline cross-sectional analysis, subclinical hypothyroidism was associated with ischemic heart disease independent of age, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, cholesterol, smoking, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, or presence of diabetes mellitus [odds ratio (OR), 2.5; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 1.1-5.4 in total subjects and OR, 4.0; 95% CI, 1.4-11.5 in men] but not in women. However, there was no association with cerebrovascular disease (OR, 0.9; 95% CI, 0.4-2.4). We were unable to detect an influence of thyroid antibody presence on the association between subclinical hypothyroidism and ischemic heart disease. In a 10-yr follow-up study until 1998, increased mortalities from all causes in yr 3-6 after baseline measurement were apparent in men with subclinical hypothyroidism (hazard ratio, 1.9-2.1) but not in women, although specific causes of death were not determined. Our results indicate that subclinical hypothyroidism is associated with ischemic heart disease and might affect all-cause mortality in men.

Right bundle branch block without overt heart disease predicts higher risk of pacemaker implantation: the study of atomic-bomb survivors.

BACKGROUND: We investigated the clinical course of complete right bundle branch block (RBBB) or RBBB with axis deviation (AD) in terms of subsequent pacemaker implantation for high-degree atrioventricular (AV) block or sick sinus syndrome (SSS). METHODS AND RESULTS: Among the 16,170 atomic-bomb survivors in our biennial health examination between July 1967 and December 2010, we detected 520 newly-acquired RBBB subjects with no organic heart disease, and selected 1038 age- (at RBBB diagnosis) and sex-matched subjects without RBBB to serve as comparison subjects. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) for the risk of pacemaker implantation due to all causes, AV block or SSS between RBBB and comparison subjects and between RBBB subjects with and without AD. The risk of pacemaker implantation for RBBB was 4.79 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.89-12.58; P=0.001), 3.77 (95% CI, 1.09-13.07; P=0.036), and 6.28 (95% CI, 1.24-31.73, P=0.026) when implantation was for all causes, AV block and SSS, respectively. RBBB subjects with AD had a higher risk for all-cause pacemaker implantation than subjects without AD (HR, 3.03; 95% CI, 1.00-9.13, P=0.049). RBBB subjects with AD were younger than subjects without AD at the time of RBBB diagnosis (59.4±7.6 vs 74.4±3.1 years old, P=0.019), and their progression from diagnosis to pacemaker implantation took longer (15.1±6.6 vs 6.4±3.0 years, P=0.032). CONCLUSIONS: RBBB, especially with AD, progresses to AV block and SSS that requires pacemaker implantation; the mechanisms by which the conduction defect progresses differ among patients with and without AD.

Risk for progression to overt hypothyroidism in an elderly Japanese population with subclinical hypothyroidism.

BACKGROUND: Few population-based studies report the changes with time in thyroid function tests in patients with subclinical hypothyroidism. We compared the risk for developing overt hypothyroidism in patients with subclinical hypothyroidism and euthyroid controls from the same population of elderly Japanese. We also sought associations of selected parameters with the development of overt hypothyroidism in the subclinical hypothyroid and euthyroid groups. METHODS: We measured thyrotropin (TSH) and free thyroxine (T4) levels at baseline examinations performed from 2000 to 2003 in the cohort of Japanese atomic-bomb survivors and identified 71 patients with spontaneous subclinical hypothyroidism (normal free T4 and TSH >4.5 mIU/L without a history of thyroid treatment, mean age 70 year) and 562 euthyroid controls. We re-examined TSH and free T4 levels an average of 4.2 years later (range, 1.9-6.9). RESULTS: The risk for progression to overt hypothyroidism was significantly increased in subclinical hypothyroid patients (7.0%) compared with control subjects (1.6%) after adjusting for age and sex (odds ratio, 4.56; p=0.009). Higher baseline TSH levels were associated with progression from subclinical to overt hypothyroidism (p=0.02) in the multivariate analysis, including age, sex, antithyroid peroxidase antibody, and ultrasonography (US) findings. The analysis using binary TSH data suggested that a TSH level >8 mIU/L was a predictive value for development of overt hypothyroidism (p=0.005). On the other hand, serum TSH levels spontaneously normalized in 38 (53.5%) of the patients with subclinical hypothyroidism. In the multivariate analysis, normalization of TSH levels was associated with lower baseline TSH levels (p=0.004) and normal and homogenous thyroid US findings (p=0.04). Atomic-bomb radiation dose was not associated with subclinical hypothyroidism or its course. CONCLUSIONS: Subclinical hypothyroidism was four times more likely to be associated with development of overt hypothyroidism than euthyroid controls in the sample population of Japanese elderly. TSH levels in half of the patients normalized spontaneously when assessed after an average follow-up period of 4.2 years. Baseline TSH level and thyroid US findings are potential predictors of future thyroid function in subclinical hypothyroidism.

Fatty liver incidence and predictive variables.

Although fatty liver predicts ischemic heart disease, the incidence and predictors of fatty liver need examination. The objective of this study was to determine fatty liver incidence and predictive variables. Using abdominal ultrasonography, we followed biennially through 2007 (mean follow-up, 11.6+/-4.6 years) 1635 Nagasaki atomic bomb survivors (606 men) without fatty liver at baseline (November 1990 through October 1992). We examined potential predictive variables with the Cox proportional hazard model and longitudinal trends with the Wilcoxon rank-sum test. In all, 323 (124 men) new fatty liver cases were diagnosed. The incidence was 19.9/1000 person-years (22.3 for men, 18.6 for women) and peaked in the sixth decade of life. After controlling for age, sex, and smoking and drinking habits, obesity (relative risk (RR), 2.93; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.33-3.69, P<0.001), low high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (RR, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.42-2.47; P<0.001), hypertriglyceridemia (RR, 2.49; 95% CI, 1.96-3.15; P<0.001), glucose intolerance (RR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.09-2.10; P=0.013) and hypertension (RR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.30-2.04; P<0.001) were predictive of fatty liver. In multivariate analysis including all variables, obesity (RR, 2.55; 95% CI, 1.93-3.38; P<0.001), hypertriglyceridemia (RR, 1.92; 95% CI, 1.41-2.62; P<0.001) and hypertension (RR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.01-1.71; P=0.046) remained predictive. In fatty liver cases, body mass index and serum triglycerides, but not systolic or diastolic blood pressure, increased significantly and steadily up to the time of the diagnosis. Obesity, hypertriglyceridemia and, to a lesser extent, hypertension might serve as predictive variables for fatty liver.

Men with Brugada-like electrocardiogram have higher risk of prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND: Elevated plasma testosterone levels are thought to play a role in the male preponderance of cases of Brugada syndrome (BS) and the development of prostate cancer. METHODS AND RESULTS: The 34 Brugada-like electrocardiogram (ECG) cases were identified among 2,681 male survivors of the atomic bomb who had undergone at least 1 biennial health examination between July 1958 and December 1999 in Nagasaki, Japan. They were followed for incident prostate cancer from July 1958 through December 2004, and the risk of prostate cancer for Brugada-like ECG, age, smoking habit, and radiation exposure was analyzed using Cox proportional hazards analysis. Among the men with or without Brugada-like ECG there were 4 (11.8%) and 54 (2.0%) cases of prostate cancer, respectively. With age adjustment there was a higher risk of prostate cancer for Brugada-like ECG (relative risk (RR): 5.42, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.96-15.00, P=0.001). With further adjustment for smoking habit and radiation dose, Brugada-like ECG remained a significant risk factor for prostate cancer (RR: 6.47, 95%CI 1.97-21.21, P=0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Brugada-like ECG confers a higher risk of prostate cancer independent of age, smoking habit, and radiation exposure. Men with a Brugada-like ECG should be regularly examined for prostate cancer and vice versa, especially elderly subjects.

Do glucose and lipid metabolism affect cancer development in Nagasaki atomic bomb survivors?

The relationship between lipid or glucose metabolism and cancer has not yet been elucidated. We conducted 75-g oral glucose tolerance tests (75-g OGTTs) and lipid measurements between 1983 and 1985 in 516 Nagasaki atomic bomb survivors. Excluding those who already had cancer at the baseline examinations and those who developed cancers or died of any cause within 5 yr after the baseline examinations, we determined incident cancer cases until 2000 in the remaining 451 subjects (214 males and 237 females) and evaluated, by means of the Cox proportional hazard model, whether glucose or lipid metabolism predicts cancer development. The age- and sex-adjusted relative risk (RR) for incident cancer was 0.903 (95% confidence interval, CI = 0.842-0.968), 1.740 (95% CI = 1.238-2.446), 1.653 (95% CI = 0.922-2.965), and 1.024 (95% CI = 0.996-1.053) for total cholesterol (10 mg/dl), radiation dose (1 Sv), smoking, and 1-h blood glucose (1-h BG; 10 mg/dl) in 75-g OGTTs, respectively. Multiple regression analysis of age, sex, smoking, body mass index, 1-h BG, triglycerides, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and radiation dose also showed that total cholesterol was negatively (RR = 0.872; 95% CI = 0.793-0.958) and radiation dose positively (RR = 1.809; 95% CI = 1.252-2.613) related to incident cancer. Cholesterol could be negatively and radiation dose positively associated with cancer development independently.