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1.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 235, 2024 01 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38243167

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: During 2020 and immediately prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, Sudan was experiencing multiple emergencies including violence, seasonal flooding, and vector-borne disease outbreaks. After more than ten years since its last case of wild poliovirus, Sudan declared a circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus type 2 (cVDPV2) outbreak on 9 August 2020. METHODS: cVDPV2 outbreak response data and programme documents of the Federal Ministry of Health and WHO were reviewed. Surveillance data was verified through WHO-recommended procedures for detecting and characterizing polioviruses from stool and sewage samples collected from acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) cases and the environment. RESULTS: This outbreak in Sudan led to a total of 58 confirmed cases of cVDPV2 from 15 of the 18 states. Two nationwide vaccination campaigns were held to increase immunity of children under-five against poliovirus type 2. Funding challenges were overcome by intense additional resource mobilization from in-country sources. The funding gap was bridged from domestic resources (49%) sourced through GPEI partners, and in-country humanitarian funding mechanisms. CONCLUSIONS: During an outbreak response and challenge of funding shortfall, mobilizing in-country resources is possible through coordinated approaches, regular communication with partners, disaggregation of needs, and matching in-kind and financial support to fill gaps. A cVDPV2 outbreak requires a fast, resourced, and quality response to stop virus circulation.


Asunto(s)
Poliomielitis , Poliovirus , Humanos , Brotes de Enfermedades , Urgencias Médicas , Pandemias , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Vacuna Antipolio Oral , Sudán/epidemiología , Lactante , Preescolar
2.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 72(33): 880-885, 2023 Aug 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37590173

RESUMEN

Since the establishment of the Global Polio Eradication Initiative in 1988, Pakistan remains one of only two countries (along with Afghanistan) with continued endemic transmission of wild poliovirus (WPV). This report describes Pakistan's progress toward polio eradication during January 2022-June 2023. During 2022, Pakistan reported 20 WPV type 1 (WPV1) cases, all of which occurred within a small geographic area encompassing three districts in south Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. As of June 23, only a single WPV1 case from Bannu district in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province has been reported in 2023, compared with 13 cases during the same period in 2022. In addition, 11 WPV1 isolates have been reported from various environmental surveillance (ES) sewage sampling sites to date in 2023, including in Karachi, the capital of the southern province of Sindh. Substantial gaps remain in the quality of supplementary immunization activities (SIAs), especially in poliovirus reservoir areas. Despite the attenuation and apparently limited geographic scope of poliovirus circulation in Pakistan, the isolation of WPV1 from an ES site in Karachi is cause for concern about the actual geographic limits of transmission. Interrupting WPV1 transmission will require meticulous tracking and sustained innovative efforts to vaccinate children who are regularly missed during SIAs and rapidly responding to any new WPV1 isolations.


Asunto(s)
Poliomielitis , Poliovirus , Niño , Humanos , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Pakistán/epidemiología , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Poliomielitis/prevención & control
3.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 71(42): 1313-1318, 2022 Oct 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36264783

RESUMEN

After reporting a single wild poliovirus (WPV) type 1 (WPV1) case in 2021, Pakistan reported 14 cases during April 1-July 31, 2022. Pakistan and Afghanistan are the only countries where endemic WPV transmission has never been interrupted (1). In its current 5-year strategic plan, the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) has set a goal of interrupting all WPV1 transmission by the end of 2023 (1-3). The reemergence of WPV cases in Pakistan after 14 months with no case detection has uncovered transmission in southern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, the most historically challenging area. This report describes Pakistan's progress toward polio eradication during January 2021-July 2022 and updates previous reports (4,5). As of August 20, 2022, all but one of the 14 WPV1 cases in Pakistan during 2022 have been reported from North Waziristan district in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. In underimmunized populations, excretion of vaccine virus can, during a period of 12-18 months, lead to reversion to neurovirulence, resulting in circulating vaccine-derived polioviruses (cVDPVs), which can cause paralysis and outbreaks. An outbreak of cVDPV type 2 (cVDPV2), which began in Pakistan in 2019, has been successfully contained; the last case occurred in April 2021 (1,6). Despite program improvements, 400,000-500,000 children continue to be missed during nationwide polio supplementary immunization activities (SIAs),* and recent isolation of poliovirus from sewage samples collected in other provinces suggests wider WPV1 circulation during the ongoing high transmission season. Although vaccination efforts have been recently complicated by months of flooding during the summer of 2022, to successfully interrupt WPV1 transmission in the core reservoirs in southern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and reach the GPEI goal, emphasis should be placed on further improving microplanning and supervision of SIAs and on systematic tracking and vaccination of persistently missed children in these reservoir areas of Pakistan.


Asunto(s)
Poliomielitis , Poliovirus , Niño , Humanos , Erradicación de la Enfermedad , Pakistán/epidemiología , Aguas del Alcantarillado , Programas de Inmunización , Vigilancia de la Población , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Vacuna Antipolio Oral
4.
Malays J Med Sci ; 29(1): 154-156, 2022 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35283685

RESUMEN

Lineage B.1.1.7 (the British variant) is a new variant of SARS-CoV-2. The virus was first identified in the UK in October 2020. Since Iran is one of the most disaster risk countries in the world, disaster management is one of the most important issues. One of the effective approaches of this field is community-based disaster management (CBDM). Altogether, planning and policy-making through using various cultural-religious role models with emphasis on the cultural points can be useful to reduce the mortality and morbidity rate caused by the fourth wave of coronavirus in Iran.

5.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 70(39): 1359-1364, 2021 Oct 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34591827

RESUMEN

When the Global Polio Eradication Initiative began in 1988, wild poliovirus (WPV) transmission was occurring in 125 countries; currently, only WPV type 1 (WPV1) transmission continues, and as of August 2021, WPV1 transmission persists in only two countries (1,2). This report describes Pakistan's progress toward polio eradication during January 2020-July 2021 and updates previous reports (3,4). In 2020, Pakistan reported 84 WPV1 cases, a 43% reduction from 2019; as of August 25, 2021, Pakistan has reported one WPV1 case in 2021. Circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus (cVDPV) emerges as a result of attenuated oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) virus regaining neurovirulence after prolonged circulation in underimmunized populations and can lead to paralysis. In 2019, 22 cases of cVDPV type 2 (cVDPV2) were reported in Pakistan, 135 cases were reported in 2020, and eight cases have been reported as of August 25, 2021. Because of the COVID-19 pandemic, planned supplementary immunization activities (SIAs)* were suspended during mid-March-June 2020 (3,5). Seven SIAs were implemented during July 2020-July 2021 without substantial decreases in SIA quality. Improving the quality of polio SIAs, vaccinating immigrants from Afghanistan, and implementing changes to enhance program accountability and performance would help the Pakistan polio program achieve its goal of interrupting WPV1 transmission by the end of 2022.


Asunto(s)
Erradicación de la Enfermedad , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Vigilancia de la Población , Adolescente , Niño , Preescolar , Humanos , Programas de Inmunización , Esquemas de Inmunización , Lactante , Pakistán/epidemiología , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Poliovirus/aislamiento & purificación , Vacuna Antipolio Oral/administración & dosificación , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos
6.
Environ Geochem Health ; 43(10): 3977-3996, 2021 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33770297

RESUMEN

The spatial and temporal distribution pattern is an outstanding feature of the relationship among ecosystem services (ESs) that explains links between human activities and disturbed chemical composition of ecosystems. This study investigated the spatiotemporal variation of land use/cover changes (LUCC) and quantifies the change in four essential ecosystem services with an emphasis on soil (nutrient delivery ratio, carbon storage, crop production, and water yield) and their relationships in the Jiroft plain, Iran, during 1996-2016 through analytical tools including Land Change Modeler, and the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoff. During the 20-year concentrate period, there was a considerable overall gain in cropland (5396 km2) and urban (1787 km2), loss of unused land (5692 km2), water (2088 km2), and forest (1083 km2). As a result of LUCC, while crop production and nutrient delivery ratio showed a rising trend, overall carbon storage and water yield decreased. The spatiotemporal trade-off between carbon storage and crop production, the temporal trade-off between crop production and water yield, and synergy between water yield and crop production were widespread in Jiroft plain. These results showed that the interaction among ESs mutates over time and can be changed under planning and policies. This study will enrich the research of the geographical distribution of ESs interaction in dryland ecosystems to provide practical ecosystem management under local conditions.


Asunto(s)
Ecosistema , Suelo , Conservación de los Recursos Naturales , Bosques , Humanos , Irán
7.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 69(46): 1748-1752, 2020 Nov 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33211676

RESUMEN

Pakistan and Afghanistan are the only countries where wild poliovirus type 1 (WPV1) is endemic (1,2). In 2019, Pakistan reported 147 WPV1 cases, approximately 12 times the number reported in 2018. As of September 15, 72 cases had been reported in 2020. Since 2019, WPV1 transmission has also spread from Pakistan's core poliovirus reservoirs (Karachi, Peshawar, and Quetta block) to southern districts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), Punjab, and Sindh provinces. Further, an outbreak of circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus type 2 (cVDPV2), first detected in July 2019, has caused 22 paralytic cases in 2019 and 59 as of September 15, 2020, throughout the country. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has substantially reduced delivery of polio vaccines through essential immunization (formerly routine immunization) and prevented implementation of polio supplementary immunization activities (SIAs)* during March-July 2020. This report describes Pakistan's progress in polio eradication during January 2019-September 2020 and updates previous reports (1,3,4). The Pakistan polio program has reinitiated SIAs and will need large, intensive, high-quality campaigns with strategic use of available oral poliovirus vaccines (OPVs)† to control the surge and widespread transmission of WPV1 and cVDPV2.


Asunto(s)
Erradicación de la Enfermedad , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Vigilancia de la Población , Adolescente , Niño , Preescolar , Humanos , Esquemas de Inmunización , Lactante , Pakistán/epidemiología , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Vacunas contra Poliovirus/administración & dosificación , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos
8.
Malays J Med Sci ; 27(3): 20-33, 2020 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32684803

RESUMEN

Natural disasters have multiple psychological effects including increased risk of suicide among victims. Reviews have shown that suicidal behaviours can be an aftermath of natural disasters. The present study attempted to identify the suicide-related risk factors after natural disasters. This study was a systematic review probing English language articles related to suicide and its risk factors after natural disasters and published between 1 January 1990 and 27 September 2018 in Google Scholar, PubMed, Web of Science, Science Direct, Scopus, ProQuest and Cumulative Index of Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL) databases. After reviewing and screening the collected studies by means of specific criteria, only 30 studies were qualified to enter the survey. It was found that most of these studies had investigated suicide after earthquake. Gender, age, serious mental disorders, depression, post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), loss of family members, low economic status, low social support, and injury to the person and the family/relatives were identified as the most important risk factors for suicide after natural disasters. Women, adolescents, elderly, people with depression and PTSD, those suffer from low social support and parentless people were found to be among the ones being highly vulnerable to suicide after natural disasters. There is, therefore, a need for providing psychosocial support for these people after such disasters.

9.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 68(45): 1029-1033, 2019 Nov 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31725710

RESUMEN

Afghanistan and Pakistan are the only countries that continue to confirm ongoing wild poliovirus type 1 (WPV1) transmission (1). During January 2018-September 2019 the number of WPV1 cases in Pakistan increased, compared with the number during the previous 4 years. This report updates previous reports on Pakistan's polio eradication activities, progress, and challenges (2,3). In 2018, Pakistan reported 12 WPV1 cases, a 50% increase from eight cases in 2017, and a 31% increase in the proportion of WPV1-positive sites under environmental surveillance (i.e., sampling of sewage to detect poliovirus). As of November 7, 2019, 80 WPV1 cases had been reported, compared with eight cases by the same time in 2018. An intensive schedule of supplementary immunization activities (SIAs)* implemented by community health workers in the core reservoirs (i.e., Karachi, Peshawar, and Quetta) where WPV1 circulation has never been interrupted, and by mobile teams, has failed to interrupt WPV1 transmission in core reservoirs and prevent WPV1 resurgence in nonreservoir areas. Sewage samples have indicated wide WPV1 transmission in nonreservoir areas in other districts and provinces. Vaccine refusals, chronically missed children, community campaign fatigue, and poor vaccination management and implementation have exacerbated the situation. To overcome challenges to vaccinating children who are chronically missed in SIAs and to attain country and global polio eradication goals, substantial changes are needed in Pakistan's polio eradication program, including continuing cross-border coordination with Afghanistan, gaining community trust, conducting high-quality vaccination campaigns, improving oversight of field activities, and improving managerial processes to unify eradication efforts.


Asunto(s)
Erradicación de la Enfermedad , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Vigilancia de la Población , Niño , Preescolar , Humanos , Programas de Inmunización , Esquemas de Inmunización , Lactante , Pakistán/epidemiología , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Poliovirus/aislamiento & purificación , Vacuna Antipolio Oral/administración & dosificación , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos
10.
PLoS Pathog ; 12(7): e1005728, 2016 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27384947

RESUMEN

Reversion and spread of vaccine-derived poliovirus (VDPV) to cause outbreaks of poliomyelitis is a rare outcome resulting from immunisation with the live-attenuated oral poliovirus vaccines (OPVs). Global withdrawal of all three OPV serotypes is therefore a key objective of the polio endgame strategic plan, starting with serotype 2 (OPV2) in April 2016. Supplementary immunisation activities (SIAs) with trivalent OPV (tOPV) in advance of this date could mitigate the risks of OPV2 withdrawal by increasing serotype-2 immunity, but may also create new serotype-2 VDPV (VDPV2). Here, we examine the risk factors for VDPV2 emergence and implications for the strategy of tOPV SIAs prior to OPV2 withdrawal. We first developed mathematical models of VDPV2 emergence and spread. We found that in settings with low routine immunisation coverage, the implementation of a single SIA increases the risk of VDPV2 emergence. If routine coverage is 20%, at least 3 SIAs are needed to bring that risk close to zero, and if SIA coverage is low or there are persistently "missed" groups, the risk remains high despite the implementation of multiple SIAs. We then analysed data from Nigeria on the 29 VDPV2 emergences that occurred during 2004-2014. Districts reporting the first case of poliomyelitis associated with a VDPV2 emergence were compared to districts with no VDPV2 emergence in the same 6-month period using conditional logistic regression. In agreement with the model results, the odds of VDPV2 emergence decreased with higher routine immunisation coverage (odds ratio 0.67 for a 10% absolute increase in coverage [95% confidence interval 0.55-0.82]). We also found that the probability of a VDPV2 emergence resulting in poliomyelitis in >1 child was significantly higher in districts with low serotype-2 population immunity. Our results support a strategy of focused tOPV SIAs before OPV2 withdrawal in areas at risk of VDPV2 emergence and in sufficient number to raise population immunity above the threshold permitting VDPV2 circulation. A failure to implement this risk-based approach could mean these SIAs actually increase the risk of VDPV2 emergence and spread.


Asunto(s)
Modelos Teóricos , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Vacuna Antipolio Oral/efectos adversos , Humanos , Nigeria/epidemiología , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Poliomielitis/transmisión , Poliovirus/inmunología , Factores de Riesgo , Vacunas Atenuadas/efectos adversos
11.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 23(13)2017 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29155656

RESUMEN

To achieve compliance with the revised World Health Organization International Health Regulations (IHR 2005), countries must be able to rapidly prevent, detect, and respond to public health threats. Most nations, however, remain unprepared to manage and control complex health emergencies, whether due to natural disasters, emerging infectious disease outbreaks, or the inadvertent or intentional release of highly pathogenic organisms. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) works with countries and partners to build and strengthen global health security preparedness so they can quickly respond to public health crises. This report highlights selected CDC global health protection platform accomplishments that help mitigate global health threats and build core, cross-cutting capacity to identify and contain disease outbreaks at their source. CDC contributions support country efforts to achieve IHR 2005 compliance, contribute to the international framework for countering infectious disease crises, and enhance health security for Americans and populations around the world.


Asunto(s)
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , Salud Global , Vigilancia en Salud Pública , Salud Pública , Creación de Capacidad , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Urgencias Médicas , Epidemiología/educación , Humanos , Cooperación Internacional , Salud Pública/educación , Salud Pública/métodos , Administración en Salud Pública , Estados Unidos , Recursos Humanos , Organización Mundial de la Salud
12.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 23(13)2017 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29155678

RESUMEN

The Joint External Evaluation (JEE), a consolidation of the World Health Organization (WHO) International Health Regulations 2005 (IHR 2005) Monitoring and Evaluation Framework and the Global Health Security Agenda country assessment tool, is an objective, voluntary, independent peer-to-peer multisectoral assessment of a country's health security preparedness and response capacity across 19 IHR technical areas. WHO approved the standardized JEE tool in February 2016. The JEE process is wholly transparent; countries request a JEE and are encouraged to make its findings public. Donors (e.g., member states, public and private partners, and other public health institutions) can support countries in addressing identified JEE gaps, and implementing country-led national action plans for health security. Through July 2017, 52 JEEs were completed, and 25 more countries were scheduled across WHO's 6 regions. JEEs facilitate progress toward IHR 2005 implementation, thereby building trust and mutual accountability among countries to detect and respond to public health threats.


Asunto(s)
Salud Global , Cooperación Internacional , Evaluación de Procesos, Atención de Salud , Vigilancia en Salud Pública , Salud Pública , Humanos , Evaluación de Procesos, Atención de Salud/métodos , Evaluación de Procesos, Atención de Salud/normas , Vigilancia en Salud Pública/métodos , Garantía de la Calidad de Atención de Salud , Organización Mundial de la Salud
13.
Oncologist ; 22(11): 1400-1410, 2017 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28739867

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Soft tissue sarcomas (STS) arising in the extremities pose a therapeutic challenge due to concerns of functional morbidity. Resections with negative margins are the mainstay of therapy, but the prognostic significance of surgical margins remains controversial. The purpose of this study was to determine the prognostic impact of surgical margins and clear margin widths in patients with STS of the extremities. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We assessed the relationship between local recurrence-free (LRFS), disease-specific (DSS), and metastasis-free survival (MFS) and potential prognostic factors retrospectively in a consecutive series of 643 patients treated at our institution between 1996 and 2016. Potential prognostic factors were assessed using univariate and multivariate analyses. RESULTS: The median follow-up time after primary diagnosis was 5.4 years (95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.8-6.0). The five-year estimates of the DSS, LRFS, and MFS rates in the entire cohort were 85.3% (95% CI: 81.6-88.3), 65.3% (95% CI: 60.8-69.5) and 78.0% (95% CI: 74.1-81.4), respectively. Histological grade and the quality of surgical margins were independent prognostic factors of all three survival endpoints (LRFS, DSS, MFS) in multivariate analyses. Within the R0 subgroup, univariate and multivariate analyses of categorized (≤1 mm vs. 1-5 mm vs. >5 mm) and non-categorized margin widths revealed that close and wide negative margins led to similar outcomes. Adjuvant radiation improved local control independently, but not DSS and MFS. CONCLUSION: Microscopically negative margins were associated with better LRFS, DSS, and MFS regardless of whether adjuvant radiation was applied. Here, surgical margins can be close as long as the resected tumor has no ink on it. IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: In the present retrospective analysis of 643 patients with primary soft issue sarcomas of the extremities, surgical margins could be identified as independent predictors of local recurrence-free, disease-specific, and metastasis-free survival. Given the diminished outcome of patients left with positive margins, surgical efforts should aim to achieve microscopically negative margins whenever feasible. It is noteworthy that only the quality of surgical margins, but not the negative margin width attained, had an influence on the prognosis. Our findings suggest that surgical margins can be close as long as the resected tumor has no ink on it.


Asunto(s)
Extremidades/cirugía , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/cirugía , Pronóstico , Sarcoma/cirugía , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Extremidades/patología , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Márgenes de Escisión , Persona de Mediana Edad , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/epidemiología , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/patología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Sarcoma/epidemiología , Sarcoma/patología , Tasa de Supervivencia , Adulto Joven
14.
J Res Med Sci ; 22: 52, 2017.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28567071

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Associating liver partition and portal vein ligation for staged hepatectomy (ALPPS) is a novel surgical technique liver resection in traditionally nonresectable primary intrahepatic tumors or colorectal liver metastases. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From June 2013 to March 2014, patients with primary tumor of liver or colorectal tumors with liver metastasis were selected to evaluate whether they met the initial criteria for ALPPS procedure. RESULTS: Nine patients enrolled in the study with primary diagnoses of colon and rectosigmoid cancer, carcinoid tumor, gastrointestinal stromal tumor of small intestine, hepatocellular carcinoma, and pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor (PNET). Four candidates excluded from the study prior or during the first step operation due to fatty liver, hepatic fibrosis, peritoneal seeding, and multiple small intestine metastases. Five patients underwent two stages of ALPPS with the interval of about 1 week. Liver hypertrophy was 100% among our candidates after the initial step. One postoperative death happened because of massive pulmonary thromboembolism Recurrence of liver metastasis was seen in one patient. Hepatic failure Class B and A were observed in two patients which did not progress during follow-up period. One patient developed an enterocutaneous fistula. DISCUSSION: We recommend to use 2 organ bags, one for wrapping right lobe and the other one for covering visceral organs and also do liver biopsy in suspicious cases of damaged liver parenchyma and laparoscopic exploration of abdomen for seeding and multiple metastases prior to laparotomy. CONCLUSION: As the procedure has not been well established and verified by oncologists yet, further studies are required to define the exact indications of ALPPS.

15.
PLoS Med ; 13(10): e1002140, 2016 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27701425

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Global withdrawal of serotype-2 oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV2) took place in April 2016. This marked a milestone in global polio eradication and was a public health intervention of unprecedented scale, affecting 155 countries. Achieving high levels of serotype-2 population immunity before OPV2 withdrawal was critical to avoid subsequent outbreaks of serotype-2 vaccine-derived polioviruses (VDPV2s). METHODS AND FINDINGS: In August 2015, we estimated vaccine-induced population immunity against serotype-2 poliomyelitis for 1 January 2004-30 June 2015 and produced forecasts for April 2016 by district in Nigeria and Pakistan. Population immunity was estimated from the vaccination histories of children <36 mo old identified with non-polio acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) reported through polio surveillance, information on immunisation activities with different oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) formulations, and serotype-specific estimates of the efficacy of these OPVs against poliomyelitis. District immunity estimates were spatio-temporally smoothed using a Bayesian hierarchical framework. Coverage estimates for immunisation activities were also obtained, allowing for heterogeneity within and among districts. Forward projections of immunity, based on these estimates and planned immunisation activities, were produced through to April 2016 using a cohort model. Estimated population immunity was negatively correlated with the probability of VDPV2 poliomyelitis being reported in a district. In Nigeria and Pakistan, declines in immunity during 2008-2009 and 2012-2013, respectively, were associated with outbreaks of VDPV2. Immunity has since improved in both countries as a result of increased use of trivalent OPV, and projections generally indicated sustained or improved immunity in April 2016, such that the majority of districts (99% [95% uncertainty interval 97%-100%] in Nigeria and 84% [95% uncertainty interval 77%-91%] in Pakistan) had >70% population immunity among children <36 mo old. Districts with lower immunity were clustered in northeastern Nigeria and northwestern Pakistan. The accuracy of immunity estimates was limited by the small numbers of non-polio AFP cases in some districts, which was reflected by large uncertainty intervals. Forecasted improvements in immunity for April 2016 were robust to the uncertainty in estimates of baseline immunity (January-June 2015), vaccine coverage, and vaccine efficacy. CONCLUSIONS: Immunity against serotype-2 poliomyelitis was forecasted to improve in April 2016 compared to the first half of 2015 in Nigeria and Pakistan. These analyses informed the endorsement of OPV2 withdrawal in April 2016 by the WHO Strategic Advisory Group of Experts on Immunization.


Asunto(s)
Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Vacuna Antipolio Oral/administración & dosificación , Preescolar , Erradicación de la Enfermedad , Revisión de la Utilización de Medicamentos , Salud Global , Humanos , Inmunidad , Incidencia , Lactante , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Poliovirus/clasificación , Poliovirus/inmunología , Serotipificación
16.
Lancet ; 386(10011): 2413-21, 2015 Dec 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26388534

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Polio eradication needs a new routine immunisation schedule--three or four doses of bivalent type 1 and type 3 oral poliovirus vaccine (bOPV) and one dose of inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV), but no immunogenicity data are available for this schedule. We aimed to assess immunogenicity of this vaccine schedule. METHODS: We did an open-label, randomised controlled trial in four centres in India. After informed consent was obtained from a parent or legally acceptable representative, healthy newborn babies were randomly allocated to one of five groups: trivalent OPV (tOPV); tOPV plus IPV; bOPV; bOPV plus IPV; or bOPV plus two doses of IPV (2IPV). The key eligibility criteria were: full-term birth (≥37 weeks of gestation); birthweight ≥2·5 kg; and Apgar score of 9 or more. OPV was administered at birth, 6 weeks, 10 weeks, and 14 weeks; IPV was administered intramuscularly at 14 weeks. The primary study objective was to investigate immunogenicity of the new vaccine schedule, assessed by seroconversion against poliovirus types 1, 2, and 3 between birth and 18 weeks in the per-protocol population (all participants with valid serology results on cord blood and at 18 weeks). Neutralisation assays tested cord blood and sera collected at 14 weeks, 18 weeks, 19 weeks, and 22 weeks by investigators masked to group allocation. This trial was registered with the India Clinical Trials Registry, number CTRI/2013/06/003722. FINDINGS: Of 900 newborn babies enrolled between June 13 and Aug 29, 2013, 782 (87%) completed the per-protocol requirements. Between birth and age 18 weeks, seroconversion against poliovirus type 1 in the tOPV group occurred in 162 of 163 (99·4%, 95% CI 96·6-100), in 150 (98·0%, 94·4-99·6) of 153 in the tOPV plus IPV group, in 153 (98·7%, 95·4-99·8) of 155 in the bOPV group, in 155 (99·4%, 96·5-100) of 156 in the bOPV plus IPV group, and in 154 (99·4%, 96·5-100) of 155 in the bOPV plus 2IPV group. Seroconversion against poliovirus type 2 occurred in 157 (96·3%, 92·2-98·6) of 163 in the tOPV group, 153 (100%, 97·6-100·0) of 153 in the tOPV plus IPV group, 29 (18·7%, 12·9-25·7) of 155 in the bOPV group, 107 (68·6%, 60·7-75·8) of 156 in the bOPV plus IPV group, and in 121 (78·1%, 70·7-84·3) of 155 in the bOPV plus 2IPV group. Seroconversion against poliovirus type 3 was achieved in 147 (90·2%, 84·5-94·3) of 163 in the tOPV group, 152 (99·3%, 96·4-100) of 153 in the tOPV plus IPV group, 151 (97·4%, 93·5-99·3) of 155 in the bOPV group, 155 (99·4%, 96·5-100) of 156 in the bOPV plus IPV group, and 153 (98·7%, 95·4-99·8) of 155 in the bOPV plus 2IPV group. Superiority was achieved for vaccine regimens including IPV against poliovirus type 3 compared with those not including IPV (tOPV plus IPV vs tOPV alone, p=0·0008; and bOPV plus IPV vs bOPV alone, p=0·0153). 12 serious adverse events occurred (six in the tOPV group, one in the tOPV plus IPV group, three in the bOPV group, zero in the bOPV plus IPV group, and two in the bOPV plus 2IPV group), none of which was attributed to the trial intervention. INTERPRETATION: The new vaccination schedule improves immunogenicity against polioviruses, especially against poliovirus type 3. FUNDING: WHO, through a grant from Rotary International (grant number 59735).


Asunto(s)
Factores Inmunológicos/inmunología , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Vacuna Antipolio de Virus Inactivados/inmunología , Vacuna Antipolio Oral/inmunología , Anticuerpos Antivirales/sangre , Formación de Anticuerpos/inmunología , Erradicación de la Enfermedad/métodos , Femenino , Humanos , Esquemas de Inmunización , Factores Inmunológicos/administración & dosificación , Factores Inmunológicos/efectos adversos , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Poliomielitis/inmunología , Poliovirus/inmunología , Vacuna Antipolio de Virus Inactivados/administración & dosificación , Vacuna Antipolio de Virus Inactivados/efectos adversos , Vacuna Antipolio Oral/administración & dosificación , Vacuna Antipolio Oral/efectos adversos , Seroconversión/fisiología , Vacunación/métodos
17.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 64(33): 913-7, 2015 Aug 28.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26313474

RESUMEN

In 1988, the World Health Assembly of the World Health Organization (WHO) resolved to eradicate polio worldwide. Among the three wild poliovirus (WPV) types (type 1, type 2, and type 3), WPV type 2 (WPV2) has been eliminated in the wild since 1999, and WPV type 3 (WPV3) has not been reported since 2012. In 2015, only Afghanistan and Pakistan have reported WPV transmission. On May 25, 2015, all WHO Member States endorsed World Health Assembly resolution 68.3 on full implementation of the Polio Eradication and Endgame Strategic Plan 2013-2018 (the Endgame Plan), and with it, the third Global Action Plan to minimize poliovirus facility-associated risk (GAPIII). All WHO Member States have committed to implementing appropriate containment of WPV2 in essential laboratory and vaccine production facilities* by the end of 2015 and of type 2 oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV2) within 3 months of global withdrawal of OPV2, which is planned for April 2016. This report summarizes critical steps for essential laboratory and vaccine production facilities that intend to retain materials confirmed to contain or potentially containing type-specific WPV, vaccine-derived poliovirus (VDPV), or OPV/Sabin viruses, and steps for nonessential facilities† that process specimens that contain or might contain polioviruses. National authorities will need to certify that the essential facilities they host meet the containment requirements described in GAPIII. After certification of WPV eradication, the use of all OPV will cease; final containment of all polioviruses after polio eradication and OPV cessation will minimize the risk for reintroduction of poliovirus into a polio-free world.


Asunto(s)
Contención de Riesgos Biológicos , Erradicación de la Enfermedad , Guías como Asunto , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Organización Mundial de la Salud , Salud Global , Humanos , Poliovirus/clasificación , Vacuna Antipolio Oral/administración & dosificación
18.
J Infect Dis ; 210 Suppl 1: S434-8, 2014 Nov 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25316865

RESUMEN

Polio eradication requires the removal of all polioviruses from human populations, whether wild poliovirus or those emanating from the oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV). The Polio Eradication & Endgame Strategic Plan 2013-2018 provides a framework for interruption of wild poliovirus transmission in remaining endemic foci and lays out a plan for the new polio end game, which includes the withdrawal of Sabin strains, starting with type 2, and the introduction of inactivated poliovirus vaccine, for risk mitigation purposes. This report summarizes the rationale and evidence that supports the policy decision to switch from trivalent OPV to bivalent OPV and to introduce 1 dose of inactivated poliovirus vaccine into routine immunization schedules, and it describes the proposed implementation of this policy in countries using trivalent OPV.


Asunto(s)
Erradicación de la Enfermedad/métodos , Erradicación de la Enfermedad/organización & administración , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Vacunas contra Poliovirus/administración & dosificación , Vacunas contra Poliovirus/inmunología , Vacunación/métodos , Salud Global , Humanos , Poliomielitis/transmisión
19.
J Infect Dis ; 210 Suppl 1: S459-64, 2014 Nov 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25316868

RESUMEN

After polio eradication is achieved, the use of live-attenuated oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) must be discontinued because of the inherent risk of the Sabin strains to revert to neurovirulence and reacquire greater transmissibility that could potentially result in the reestablishment of polio transmission. In 2008, the World Health Assembly mandated that the World Health Organization establish a strategy for developing more-affordable inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV) options for low-income countries. In 2012, the Strategic Advisory Group of Experts (SAGE) on Immunization recommended universal IPV introduction as a risk-mitigation strategy before the phased cessation of OPV (starting with Sabin type 2) and emphasized the need for affordable IPV options. In 2013, SAGE reiterated the importance of attaining the long-term target price of IPV at approximately $0.5 per immunizing dose and encouraged accelerated efforts to develop lower-cost IPV options. This article outlines the 4-pronged approach that is being pursued to develop affordable options and provides an update on the current status and plans to make IPV affordable for developing-country use.


Asunto(s)
Erradicación de la Enfermedad/métodos , Descubrimiento de Drogas/métodos , Poliomielitis/inmunología , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Vacuna Antipolio de Virus Inactivados/economía , Vacuna Antipolio de Virus Inactivados/aislamiento & purificación , Países en Desarrollo , Humanos , Vacuna Antipolio de Virus Inactivados/inmunología , Organización Mundial de la Salud
20.
J Infect Dis ; 210 Suppl 1: S540-6, 2014 Nov 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25316878

RESUMEN

The world is on the verge of achieving global polio eradication. During >25 years of operations, the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) has mobilized and trained millions of volunteers, social mobilizers, and health workers; accessed households untouched by other health initiatives; mapped and brought health interventions to chronically neglected and underserved communities; and established a standardized, real-time global surveillance and response capacity. It is important to document the lessons learned from polio eradication, especially because it is one of the largest ever global health initiatives. The health community has an obligation to ensure that these lessons and the knowledge generated are shared and contribute to real, sustained changes in our approach to global health. We have summarized what we believe are 10 leading lessons learned from the polio eradication initiative. We have the opportunity and obligation to build a better future by applying the lessons learned from GPEI and its infrastructure and unique functions to other global health priorities and initiatives. In so doing, we can extend the global public good gained by ending for all time one of the world's most devastating diseases by also ensuring that these investments provide public health dividends and benefits for years to come.


Asunto(s)
Erradicación de la Enfermedad/organización & administración , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Erradicación de la Enfermedad/tendencias , Salud Global , Humanos
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