Net Clinical Benefit of Oral Anticoagulation Among Frail Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: Nationwide Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Frail people with atrial fibrillation are often undertreated with oral anticoagulants (OACs), and evidence for the net clinical benefit (NCB) of OAC is sparse. We, therefore, examined the risk of thromboembolic events, major bleeding, and NCB of anticoagulation treatment. METHODS: This was a nationwide cohort study including frail patients aged with incident atrial fibrillation between 2013 and 2018. Patients were categorized according to OAC treatment exposure. One-year risks of thromboembolic events and major bleeding were ascertained where death was treated as a competing risk. The NCB of anticoagulation was assessed by a bivariate trade-off between thromboembolism and bleeding. RESULTS: We identified 36 223 frail patients with atrial fibrillation (median age, 79 years; 50.5% female), of whom 61.8% started OAC therapy, while 38.2% were untreated despite indication for stroke prevention. At 1 year, the risk of thromboembolic events was 2.1% (95% CI, 1.8%-2.3%) among patients not receiving OAC versus 1.5% (95% CI, 1.4%-1.7%) in patients with OAC. The bleeding risk was 3.2% (95% CI, 2.9%-3.5%) among patients without OAC versus 3.5% (95% CI, 3.2%-3.8%) among anticoagulated patients. The NCB was 0.70% (95% CI, 0.32%-1.08%), suggesting a benefit of OAC treatment; however, the NCB declined with age and increasing frailty and was lowest among patients >75 years of age or with high frailty level. CONCLUSIONS: Frail patients with atrial fibrillation are often untreated with OAC in routine clinical care despite an indication for stroke prevention. The NCB balancing thromboembolic events and major bleeding was in favor of anticoagulation but decreased with advancing age and increasing frailty.

A high fat to vitamin E ratio in the feed protects and improves uptake of the natural form of vitamin E in postweaning calves.

In postweaning calves, it is a challenge to maintain the plasma vitamin E level at or above the recommended level (3 µg/mL), which is linked to a good immune response. It has been unclear until now why the provision of solid feed with concentrations below 200 mg/kg feed of vitamin E is ineffective in maintaining the plasma vitamin E level of calves above the recommended plasma level postweaning. The present study was conducted to investigate if a high fat to vitamin E ratio in the concentrate could protect and improve the delivery of the natural form of vitamin E (RRR-α-tocopherol) to calves postweaning. Thirty calves were included in the experiment from 2 weeks preweaning until 2 weeks postweaning (Weeks -2, -1, 0 [weaning], 1, and 2 relative to weaning) and fed one of three concentrates in which lecithin mixture provided the fat supplement: control (77 mg/kg of vitamin E and 4.9% DM of crude fat; CONT), medium level of vitamin E supplemented (147 mg/kg of vitamin E and 7.7% DM of crude fat; MedVE) or high level of vitamin E supplemented (238 mg/kg of vitamin E and 12.4% DM of fat; HiVE). Thus, there was a comparable ratio of fat to vitamin E (520-630) in the three concentrates. During the 2 weeks postweaning, final body weight (92 ± 2 kg), average daily gain (917 ± 51 g/day) and concentrate intake (2.2 ± 0.09 kg/day; mean of treatment ± standard error) were unaffected by treatment and the interaction between treatment and week. There was an interaction between treatment and week for vitamin E intake pre- (p < 0.001) and postweaning (p < 0.001). There was an interaction between treatment and week (p < 0.001) for plasma vitamin E level postweaning, and it was 2.5, 3.1, and 3.8 µg/mL in CONT, MedVE, and HiVE, respectively, at Week 1 postweaning. In addition, plasma vitamin E levels at Week 2 postweaning were 2.6, 3.6 and 4.8 µg/mL in CONT, MidVE and HiVE respectively. The results show that 147 mg/kg of lecithin-protected vitamin E in the concentrate is needed to secure a plasma vitamin E level well above the recommended level. In addition, lecithin-protected vitamin E elevated the plasma level of triglycerides and nonesterified fatty acids.

EHRA expert consensus document on the management of arrhythmias in frailty syndrome, endorsed by the Heart Rhythm Society (HRS), Asia Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS), Latin America Heart Rhythm Society (LAHRS), and Cardiac Arrhythmia Society of Southern Africa (CASSA).

There is an increasing proportion of the general population surviving to old age with significant chronic disease, multi-morbidity, and disability. The prevalence of pre-frail state and frailty syndrome increases exponentially with advancing age and is associated with greater morbidity, disability, hospitalization, institutionalization, mortality, and health care resource use. Frailty represents a global problem, making early identification, evaluation, and treatment to prevent the cascade of events leading from functional decline to disability and death, one of the challenges of geriatric and general medicine. Cardiac arrhythmias are common in advancing age, chronic illness, and frailty and include a broad spectrum of rhythm and conduction abnormalities. However, no systematic studies or recommendations on the management of arrhythmias are available specifically for the elderly and frail population, and the uptake of many effective antiarrhythmic therapies in these patients remains the slowest. This European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA) consensus document focuses on the biology of frailty, common comorbidities, and methods of assessing frailty, in respect to a specific issue of arrhythmias and conduction disease, provide evidence base advice on the management of arrhythmias in patients with frailty syndrome, and identifies knowledge gaps and directions for future research.

Incidence of venous thromboembolism following head and neck surgery.

PURPOSE: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is associated with significant morbidity and mortality in patients undergoing surgery, but conflicting data exist on VTE risk in patients undergoing head and neck surgery for malignant and non-malignant conditions. Our aim was to examine the risk of VTE among patients with and without cancer undergoing head and neck surgery. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide cohort study to examine the risk of VTE among patients with an otolaryngological diagnosis using data from the Danish National Patient Register between 2010 and 2018. Analyses were stratified by cancer and anatomical areas of the surgical procedure. RESULTS: In total, 116,953 patients were included of whom 10% (n = 12,083) had active cancer. After 3 months, 1.2% of the patients with cancer and 0.3% of the patients without cancer experienced VTE, respectively. For patients undergoing mouth/throat surgery, 0.8% with cancer and 0.2% without cancer had VTE, respectively. After nose/sinuses surgery 0.7% and 0.2%, respectively. No patients experienced VTE after ear surgery; and after endoscopies the numbers were 1.3% and 0.6% respectively. CONCLUSIONS: While the minority of patients undergoing head and neck surgery develop VTE postoperatively, the risk increases among those with cancer. To support clinical decision making on anticoagulation, risk stratification tools could be further developed to recognize this hazard in patients with cancer undergoing head and neck surgery.

The nutritional strategy of European rabbits is affected by age and sex: Females eat more and have better nutrient optimisation.

The ecological interest in the European rabbit (Oryctolagus cuniculus) has grown since it was declared an endangered species. Nutrition is fundamental in its dispersion and the key to its success. This is the main reason why knowledge of their nutritional preferences/requirements could play a fundamental role in rabbit biology and, therefore, in their conservation. The objectives of the work will be to elucidate how age and sex affect both nutritional preferences/requirements, and the nutrient optimisation of European rabbits. To address this gap, 70 wild European rabbits were studied. The rabbits were divided according to their age: adult (n = 43) and young (n = 27). Two groups were differentiated according to the adult rabbits' sex: females (n = 28) and males (n = 15). We analysed the relative (%) and absolute (g) chemical composition of the rabbits' gastric contents: dry matter (DM), ashes (ASH), crude protein (CP), ether extract (EE), neutral detergent fibre (NDF), acid detergent fibre (ADF), and lignin, hemicelluloses and celluloses, highly digestible nonnitrogenous nutrients (HDNN: fat, starch, and soluble fibre), well from the blood was analysed with plasmatic urea nitrogen (PUN), nonesterified fatty acid (NEFA) and glucose (GLU). As a nutrient optimisation measure, the following indices between blood metabolites and stomach content were calculated: PUN/CP total content, NEFA/DM total content and GLU/DM total content ratios. Our works showed that age and sex affected the nutritional strategy of rabbits. Regarding age: adults showed lower CP (-14%; p = 0.0217) and higher HDNN (+21%; p = 0.0399) relative content than young rabbits, and absolute amount of most nutrients: DM (+59%; p = 0.001), OM (+43%; p = 0.0049), ASH (+54%; p = 0.0085), Hemicelluloses (+73%; p = 0.0084), Cellulose (+27%; p = 0.0452), and HDNN (+63%; p = 0.0012). In addition, adults showed better nutrient optimisation. Sex did not affect the relative chemical composition of the gastric content, but it showed a clear higher gastric content by females (+85%; p < 0.0001) and higher intake of most of the absolute chemical components: DM (+64%; p < 0.001), CP (+56%; p = 0.0005), OM (+58%; p = 0.0001), ASH (+44%; p = 0.0123), HDNN (+39%; p = 0.001), NDF (+59%; p = 0.001), ADF (+64%; p = 0.0003), lignin (+82%; p = 0.0036) and cellulose (+58%; p = 0.0002). Finally, we observed that females had better nutrient optimisation than males. This works supports the idea that feeding ecology and nutrition are particularly relevant to reproductive success and fitness in wild animals.

Similarities and differences in systemic risk factors for retinal artery occlusion and retinal vein occlusion: A nationwide case-control study.

BACKGROUND: To investigate the relationship between risk factors for retinal artery occlusion (RAO) and retinal vein occlusion (RVO) and thereby identify similarities and differences between the two types of retinal vascular occlusions. METHODS: In this case-control study, 5708 patients with RAO were included and matched with three patients with RVO each. The patients with RVO were matched on sex and age at index date. All patients, personal information, diagnoses, and prescriptions were obtained from the Danish nationwide registries. Adjusted conditional logistic regression was used to investigate the association of RAO and RVO with the included risk factors. RESULTS: RAO was stronger associated with arterial hypertension, heart failure, ischemic heart disease, peripheral artery disease, and stroke than RVO, with effect measures ranging from 1.10 to 2.21. RVO was associated with cataract and glaucoma with effect measures of 0.80 (95% CI 0.73-0.87) and 0.65 (95% CI 0.56-0.76), respectively. CONCLUSION: Differences in the level of associations with the included risk factors suggests differences in the pathophysiologies of the two diseases. The main pathophysiology associated with RAO was atherosclerosis, whereas the main pathophysiology associated with RVO was changes in the pressure gradients of the eyes.

Temporal Changes in Secondary Prevention and Cardiovascular Outcomes After Revascularization for Peripheral Arterial Disease in Denmark: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with peripheral arterial disease (PAD) are at increased risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Medical prevention with antithrombotic and statin therapies is a mainstay of treatment to prevent adverse outcomes; nevertheless, patients with PAD are often undertreated. This study describes the temporal changes in medical prevention and adverse outcomes in a national cohort of patients with symptomatic PAD after revascularization. METHODS: We identified all patients with a first open surgical or endovascular revascularization procedure in the lower extremities or abdomen in Denmark, from 2000 to 2016. We examined temporal changes in the use of aspirin, clopidogrel, and statins and 1-year cause-specific hazard ratios for adverse clinical outcomes, after adjusting for procedure type, treatment indication, age, sex, and cardiovascular risk factors. The analyses were performed overall and within strata of index procedure (endovascular versus surgical), treatment indication, age, sex, and high-risk comorbidities. RESULTS: Between 2000 and 2016, we identified 32 911 patients who underwent revascularization for symptomatic PAD. The mean age was 69 years and increased over time, as did the burden of comorbidity. The cumulative incidence of medication use increased between 2000 to 2004 and 2013 to 2016, respectively, from 57.3% to 64.3% for aspirin, 3.6% to 24.8% for clopidogrel, and 36.2% to 77.1% for statins. Concurrently, the 1-year outcome rates declined. Compared with 2000 to 2004, the adjusted hazard ratios in 2013 to 2016 were 0.73 (95% CI, 0.62-0.84) for major adverse cardiovascular events, 0.92 (95% CI, 0.85-1.00) for major adverse limb events, 0.60 (95% CI, 0.48-0.74) for myocardial infarction, 0.94 (95% CI, 0.75-1.18) for ischemic stroke, 0.92 (95% CI, 0.75-1.12) for major bleeding, 0.54 (95% CI, 0.39-0.76) for cardiovascular death, and 0.80 (95% CI, 0.72-0.88) for all-cause death. These improvements in prognosis were most prominent from 2000 to 2004 to 2005 to 2008 and occurred in all strata of index procedure, treatment indication, sex, age, and comorbidity. In contrast, the adjusted hazard ratio for major amputations was 1.00 (95% CI, 0.90-1.11) when comparing 2013 to 2016 to 2000 to 2004. CONCLUSIONS: Medical prevention of adverse events has increased considerably over time in patients who underwent revascularization for symptomatic PAD. This increase was accompanied by reductions in all adverse outcomes, except major amputations.

Risk of Cerebrovascular Events in Intracerebral Hemorrhage Survivors With Atrial Fibrillation: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: In patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and prevalent atrial fibrillation (AF), the optimal stroke prevention strategy is unclear. We sought to estimate the risk of cerebrovascular events among ICH survivors with AF. METHODS: We used the Danish Stroke Registry to identify patients with incident ICH and prevalent AF between 2003 and 2018. Key inclusion/exclusion criteria of the PRESTIGE-AF (Prevention of Stroke in Intracerebral hemorrhage Survivors With Atrial Fibrillation) trial were applied. Cumulative incidence of recurrent ICH, cerebrovascular ischemic event, and all-cause death were investigated after one year. RESULTS: A total of 1885 patients (median age 80.0 years; 47.6% females) were included in the study. We observed 191 cerebrovascular events and 650 all-cause deaths, and more cerebrovascular ischemic events (N=63) than recurrent ICH events (N=40). Risks of recurrent ICH, cerebrovascular ischemic event, and all-cause death were 1.5%, 3.2%, and 30.3%, respectively, among patients not exposed to OAC during follow-up. The cumulative incidences were 2.8% for recurrent ICH, 3.2% for cerebrovascular ischemic events, and 22.0% for all-cause death among patients initiating/resuming OAC during follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: We observed a high risk of cerebrovascular ischemic events and a very high risk of all-cause death at one year after the incident ICH. The results of ongoing clinical trials are warranted to determine optimal stroke prevention treatment among ICH survivors with concomitant AF.

Oral anti-coagulant treatment patterns in atrial fibrillation patients diagnosed with cancer: A Danish nationwide cohort study.

Data on the use of oral anti-coagulants (OAC) for stroke prevention in cancer patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are sparse. Nationwide cohort study of patients with AF (2012-2018) and an indication for OAC who were diagnosed with cancer at least one year later (N = 12 756). We identified treatment with OAC at cancer diagnosis and the following year and described the incidence of discontinuing or switching between warfarin and direct oral anti-coagulants (DOACs). We also described baseline characteristics associated with OAC non-persistence. One third of the cancer patients received no OAC therapy, whereas 42% received warfarin and 24% received DOAC treatment. Switching incidence between OACs was higher for those receiving warfarin treatment (8.6%) than DOAC treatment (1.7%) within one year. Treatment discontinuation was 61% for warfarin and 26% for DOAC. Females were less likely to discontinue DOAC than males (ratio 0.77, 95% confidence interval: 0.66, 0.90). Increasing cancer stage was associated with discontinuation of DOAC, but not warfarin. OAC for stroke prevention in AF was used by two thirds of patients with newly diagnosed cancer. Switching between OACs and discontinuation was more common for warfarin than DOAC, and females had higher persistence with DOACs.

Disparities in oral anticoagulation initiation in patients with schizophrenia and atrial fibrillation: A nationwide cohort study.

AIMS: Schizophrenia is associated with poor anticoagulation control and clinical prognosis in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Little is known about initiation of oral anticoagulation therapy (OAC) in this patient population. METHODS: In the nationwide Danish health registries, we identified all patients with incident AF and schizophrenia with indication for OAC treatment. Patients with schizophrenia (n = 673) were matched 1:5 on sex, age, stroke risk score, and calendar-period to incident AF patients without schizophrenia. We calculated absolute risk and risk difference (RD) of OAC initiation, adjusting for stroke and bleeding risk factors. Analyses were stratified by calendar period (2000-2011 and 2012-2018) to account for changes after the introduction of non-vitamin K OACs (NOAC). RESULTS: Among patients with schizophrenia (mean age 69.5 years, 50.3% females), 33.7% initiated OAC within the first year after AF diagnosis, compared with 54.4% of patients without schizophrenia, corresponding to an adjusted RD of -20.7 (95% confidence interval [CI]: -24.7 to -16.7). OAC initiation increased over time regardless of schizophrenia status. During 2000-2011, 18.3% of patients with schizophrenia and 42.9% without schizophrenia initiated OAC (adjusted RD -23.6%, 95% CI -28.8 to -18.6). During 2012-2018, this was 48.5% and 65.7%, respectively (adjusted RD -14.4%, 95% CI -20.4 to -8.4). CONCLUSION: Initiation of OAC was substantially lower among patients with AF and schizophrenia compared with matched AF peers. These findings accentuate the importance of close attention to disparities in initiation of OAC treatment, and potential missed opportunities for prevention of disabling strokes in AF patients with schizophrenia.

Revascularisation for Symptomatic Peripheral Artery Disease: External Applicability of the VOYAGER PAD Trial.

OBJECTIVE: In the VOYAGER PAD trial, rivaroxaban 2.5 mg plus aspirin significantly reduced the primary composite efficacy outcome of acute limb ischaemia, major amputation, myocardial infarction, ischaemic stroke, or cardiovascular death compared with aspirin alone. However, patients enrolled in the trial may not reflect patients encountered in daily clinical practice. This study described the proportion of patients eligible for VOYAGER PAD within the nationwide Danish Vascular Registry (DVR), reasons for ineligibility, and outcomes according to eligibility. METHODS: In total, 32 911 patients who underwent lower extremity revascularisation for symptomatic peripheral arterial disease (PAD) in the DVR (2000-2016) were identified. Trial inclusion and exclusion criteria were applied, and the three year cumulative incidence of primary and secondary trial outcomes was estimated. RESULTS: Altogether, 27.1% of patients with PAD in the DVR were "VOYAGER eligible". Of those not included, 30.7% had at least one exclusion criterion ("VOYAGER excluded"), and an additional 42.3% did not fulfil the inclusion criteria ("VOYAGER not included"). The main reasons for exclusion were atrial fibrillation (32.3%), poorly regulated hypertension (20.6%), requirement for long term dual antiplatelet therapy (10.9%), cytochrome P450 inhibitors or inducers (9.7%), and renal failure (9.3%). The three year rate of the primary efficacy outcome was 10.08 per 100 person years among the "VOYAGER eligible", 16.32 among "VOYAGER excluded", and 6.98 among the "VOYAGER not included". For the primary safety outcome of thrombolysis in myocardial infarction (TIMI) major bleeding, rates were 2.24, 3.76, and 1.17, respectively. Rates of secondary endpoints were also consistently lower for patients who did not meet the inclusion criteria (predominantly due to central aorto-iliac procedures) and highest for "VOYAGER excluded" patients. "VOYAGER eligible" patients experienced a higher cumulative incidence of most endpoints than patients enrolled in the control arm of the VOYAGER PAD trial. CONCLUSION: Among patients in routine clinical practice, 27.1% were eligible for the VOYAGER PAD trial. These patients were older, had more severe vascular symptoms, higher bleeding risk, and worse prognosis than trial participants.

Similarities and Differences in Systemic Risk Factors for Retinal Artery Occlusion and Stroke: A Nationwide Case-Control Study.

BACKGROUND: Retinal artery occlusion (RAO) has been considered a stroke equivalent. This study compares risk factor profiles for thromboembolism among patients with RAO and stroke, respectively. METHODS: This case-control study is based on 5683 RAO patients entered in the Danish National Patient Register between 1st of January 2000 and 31st of December 2018. Cases were matched on sex, year of birth, and age at event with 28,415 stroke patients. The Danish nationwide registries were used to collect information about age, sex, previous diagnoses, and drug prescriptions. Adjusted conditional logistic regression models were used to investigate the association between hypothesised risk factors and the patient outcome. RESULTS: For atrial fibrillation, a substantially stronger association to stroke was found, with an odds ratio (OR) of 0.52 (95% CI: 0.47-0.58) when comparing RAO patients with stroke patients. RAO was stronger associated with arterial hypertension, peripheral artery disease, retinal vein occlusion, cataract, and glaucoma with OR's ranging from 1.21-11.70. The identified effect measures reached equivalence or was close to equivalence for diabetes, heart failure, ischemic heart disease, and renal disease. CONCLUSION: The differences in risk factor profiles between RAO and stroke suggests differences in the pathophysiology of the two diseases. These variations in pathophysiologies between the two diseases may indicate that different interventions are needed to ensure the optimal long-term prognosis for the patients.

Clinical risk factors for retinal artery occlusions: a nationwide case-control study.

PURPOSE: This study seeks to examine potential risk factors for the development of retinal artery occlusions (RAO). METHODS: We used data obtained from Danish nationwide registries to evaluate potential risk factors for RAO present up to 5 years prior to the RAO diagnosis. The study included 5312 patients diagnosed with RAO registered in the Danish National Patient Register and 26,560 controls assessed from the general population matched on sex and age at index date. Adjusted conditional logistic regression was used to estimate the odds ratio of included risk factors for RAO diagnosis. We conducted supplementary analyses stratified on sex and age, and on RAO subtype. In addition, interaction analyses were performed between strata in the stratified analyses. RESULTS: Risk factors associated with the development of RAO included diabetes, arterial hypertension, ischemic heart disease, peripheral artery disease, stroke, renal disease, cataract, and glaucoma, with ORs ranging from 1.33 to 4.94. Atrial fibrillation and sleep apnea yielded effect measures close to equivalence. The presence of a risk factor was generally associated with higher odds of RAO among the population ≤ 55 of age. Arterial hypertension was stronger associated with RAO in male patients than in female patients. The association with arterial hypertension was stronger for CRAO than for BRAO subtype. CONCLUSION: The investigated risk factors suggest that atherosclerosis and conditions changing the intraocular pressure are involved in the pathophysiology of RAO.

Venous Thromboembolism and Major Bleeding in Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): A Nationwide, Population-Based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a potentially fatal complication of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, and thromboprophylaxis should be balanced against risk of bleeding. This study examined risks of VTE and major bleeding in hospitalized and community-managed SARS-CoV-2 patients compared with control populations. METHODS: Using nationwide population-based registries, 30-day risks of VTE and major bleeding in SARS-CoV-2 positive patients were compared with those of SARS-CoV-2 test-negative patients and with an external cohort of influenza patients. Medical records of all COVID-19 patients at 6 departments of infectious diseases in Denmark were reviewed in detail. RESULTS: The overall 30-day risk of VTE was 0.4% (40/9460) among SARS-CoV-2 patients (16% hospitalized), 0.3% (649/226 510) among SARS-CoV-2 negative subjects (12% hospitalized), and 1.0% (158/16 281) among influenza patients (59% hospitalized). VTE risks were higher and comparable in hospitalized SARS-CoV-2 positive (1.5%), SARS-CoV-2 negative (1.8%), and influenza patients (1.5%). Diagnosis of major bleeding was registered in 0.5% (47/9460) of all SARS-CoV-2 positive individuals and in 2.3% of those hospitalized. Medical record review of 582 hospitalized SARS-CoV-2 patients observed VTE in 4% (19/450) and major bleeding in 0.4% (2/450) of ward patients, of whom 31% received thromboprophylaxis. Among intensive care patients (100% received thromboprophylaxis), risks were 7% (9/132) for VTE and 11% (15/132) for major bleeding. CONCLUSIONS: Among people with SARS-CoV-2 infection in a population-based setting, VTE risks were low to moderate and were not substantially increased compared with SARS-CoV-2 test-negative and influenza patients. Risk of severe bleeding was low for ward patients, but mirrored VTE risk in the intensive care setting.

Comparative effectiveness and safety of direct acting oral anticoagulants in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation for stroke prevention: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: To systematically review available evidence of indirect comparisons from RCTs and direct comparisons from observational studies regarding the comparative effectiveness and safety of DOACs in patients with AF. METHODS: Electronic databases including EMBASE, MEDLINE, and PUBMED were searched up to June 5th, 2020. Primary endpoints included effectiveness (stroke or systemic embolism [SE]) and safety (major bleeding) outcomes. Bucher methods and random-effects models were conducted for indirect and direct comparisons among DOACs, respectively. Ranking probability analyses and the number needed to treat for net effect (NNTnet) were applied. RESULTS: A total of 36 studies, involving 7 RCTs (n = 60,292 patients) and 29 observational studies (n = 1,164,821 patients), were included for analyses. Regarding the risk of stroke/SE, no significant differences were found from indirect comparisons of RCTs among the DOACs. For major bleeding, apixaban tended to be safer than rivaroxaban and dabigatran based on both direct and indirect comparisons (all p < 0.05; evidence quality: very low to moderate). Ranking probability analysis showed that apixaban had a high probability of being the best treatment in decreased risk of stroke/SE and major bleeding (80.30% and 91.30%, respectively). Likewise, apixaban was found to have the highest net clinical benefit (0.02, 95% CI: 0.014-0.029) and smallest NNTnet (48, 95% CI: 35-74). CONCLUSIONS: Apixaban appeared to have a favorable effectiveness-safety profile compared with the other DOACs in AF for stroke prevention, based on evidence from both direct and indirect comparisons. However, additional high-quality evidence is needed to support firm recommendations on clinical decision-making.

Thromboembolic and bleeding outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation and valvular heart disease: A descriptive nationwide cohort study.

AIMS: The risks of thromboembolism and bleeding in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and valvular heart disease (VHD) are sparsely described. We described the risk of events in non-anticoagulated and anticoagulated patients with AF and VHD according to the evaluated heart valves, rheumatic or artificial valve classification (EHRA classification), EHRA Type 1 and Type 2 VHD, and within subgroups of EHRA Type 1 and Type 2 VHD. METHODS AND RESULTS: Cohort study of AF patients with coexisting VHD, identified in nationwide Danish registries from 2000 to 2018. Risk of thromboembolism and bleeding after 1 year of follow-up were calculated in each group. We identified 28 770 incident AF patients with VHD. Not surprisingly, we observed the highest risks of thromboembolism in the non-anticoagulated AF patients with EHRA Type 1 and Type 2 VHD (4.9% vs 2.6% and 3.2% vs 1.9%) and the highest risks of bleeding in the anticoagulated AF patients with EHRA Type 1 and Type 2 VHD (6.6% vs 4.3% and 6.1% vs 4.9%). However, within the subgroups of AF patients with EHRA Type 1 and Type 2 VHD, we observed a large proportion of non-anticoagulated patients (32.9%-49.2%), despite a CHA2 DS2 -VASc score of 2≤ in the majority of these patients (81.9%-95.6%). CONCLUSIONS: When using data reflecting contemporary clinical practice, we observed markedly different risks of thromboembolism and bleeding in EHRA Type 1 and Type 2 VHD. Additionally, we observed a potential underuse of oral anticoagulation within the subgroups of AF patients with EHRA Type 1 and Type 2 VHD, underlining need for further attention on this patient group.

Female Sex Is a Risk Modifier Rather Than a Risk Factor for Stroke in Atrial Fibrillation: Should We Use a CHA2DS2-VA Score Rather Than CHA2DS2-VASc?

BACKGROUND: Stroke risk in atrial fibrillation is assessed by using the CHA2DS2-VASc score. Sex category (Sc, ie, female sex) confers 1 point on CHA2DS2-VASc. We hypothesized that female sex is a stroke risk modifier, rather than an overall risk factor, when added to a CHA2DS2-VA (sex-independent thromboembolism risk) score scale. METHODS: Using 3 nationwide registries, we identified patients with incident nonvalvular atrial fibrillation from January 1, 1997, through December 31, 2015. Patients receiving oral anticoagulant treatment at baseline were excluded, and person-time was censored at the time of treatment initiation (if any). CHA2DS2-VA scores were calculated for men and women, and were followed for up to 1 year in the Danish National Patient Registry. The primary outcome was a primary hospital code for ischemic stroke or systemic embolism (thromboembolism). We calculated crude event rates for risk strata as events per 100 person-years. For quantifying absolute risk of stroke, we calculated risks based on the pseudovalue method. Female sex as a prognostic factor was investigated by inclusion as an interaction term on the CHA2DS2-VA score to calculate the thromboembolic risk ratio for different score points. RESULTS: A total of 239 671 patients with atrial fibrillation (48.7% women) contributed to the analyses. The mean ages for women and men were 76.6 years and 70.3 years, respectively; the mean CHA2DS2-VA scores were 2.7 for women and 2.3 for men. The overall 1-year thromboembolic rate per 100 person-years for women was 7.3 and 5.7 for men. The 1-year absolute risk of thromboembolism was 0.5% among men and women with a CHA2DS2-VA score of 0 and increased up to >7% among very comorbid patients (score >5). The risk ratio (male as reference) across points >1 indicated that women exhibit a higher stroke risk. The interaction was statistically significant (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Female sex is a risk modifier for stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation. Initial decisions on oral anticoagulant treatment could be guided by a CHA2DS2-VA score (ie, excluding the sex category criterion), but the Sc risk component modifies and accentuates stroke risk in women who would have been eligible for oral anticoagulant treatment on the basis of ≥2 additional stroke risk factors.

Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants Versus Warfarin in Atrial Fibrillation Patients With Intracerebral Hemorrhage.

Background and Purpose- Recurrent bleeding associated with oral anticoagulants (OACs) causes a dilemma in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) sustaining an intracerebral hemorrhage. Treatment recommendations guiding clinical practice on optimal OAC agent selection in this population are lacking. This study aimed to investigate the comparative effectiveness and safety of non-vitamin K antagonist OAC (NOAC) versus warfarin in patients with AF sustaining an intracerebral hemorrhage. Methods- We conducted a nationwide observational cohort study including patients with AF sustaining an intracerebral hemorrhage and who subsequently claimed an OAC prescription. Contrasts of 1-year risks for ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage risks were obtained and evaluated by inverse probability treatment weighted absolute risk reduction and risk ratios. Results- Among 622 AF patients with intracerebral hemorrhage, 274 claimed a warfarin prescription and 348 a NOAC prescription. Mean age was 76 years (39% females); 72% had an index nonsevere event and 28% moderate to severe index event according to the Scandinavian Stroke Severity scale. The 1-year ischemic stroke risk was 7.85% for warfarin and 4.01% for NOACs, with a weighted absolute risk reduction of 3.78% (95% CI, -0.15% to 7.71%); the weighted risk ratio was 0.52 (0.27-1.00). For recurrent intracerebral hemorrhage, the risk was 7.00% for warfarin and 5.07% for NOACs. The absolute risk reduction was 1.93% (-2.02% to 5.87%), with an a weighted risk ratio of 0.72 (0.38-1.38). Conclusions- NOACs were associated with a nonsignificant lower risk of ischemic stroke and recurrent intracerebral hemorrhage compared with warfarin. The results add to current recommendations of selecting a NOAC agent for stroke prophylaxis treatment in patients with AF, including those with sustaining an intracerebral hemorrhage.

Risk Stratification for Ischemic Cerebrovascular Events and Mortality among Intracerebral Hemorrhage Patients with and without Atrial Fibrillation: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Intracerebral hemorrhage is a devastating clinical event, and secondary prevention is pivotal to avoid further cerebral complications, but no clear guidance exist for selecting high-risk patients. The CHA2DS2-VASc score is a widespread tool to assess the risk of stroke among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). OBJECTIVES: We investigated the ability of the CHA2DS2-VASc score for estimating cerebrovascular ischemic events in patients with recent intracerebral hemorrhage with or without comorbid AF. METHODS: Patients with a diagnosis of intracerebral hemorrhage between 2003 and 2018 were considered for inclusion. Four registries were linked to obtain individual-level information, and included patients were followed for the occurrence of cerebrovascular ischemic events and all-cause mortality. We report absolute risks at 5 years stratified by baseline CHA2DS2-VASc score and AF prevalence. RESULTS: The study included 12,245 patients (46.4% females) of whom 19% had prevalent AF. Patients without AF were younger (mean age: 70 vs. 78 years) and had a lower CHA2DS2-VASc score (2.5 vs. 3.6). The overall 5-year risk of cerebrovascular ischemic events was 5.2% (95% CI 4.7-5.6) for patients without AF and 7.3% (95% CI 6.0-8.5) for AF patients; all-cause mortality was higher than 30 and 50% in patients without or with AF, respectively. The predictive performance of the CHA2DS2-VASc score was poor with c-statistics around 0.56 regardless of AF status. Among patients without AF, a score ≥6 was associated with a 7.0% risk of cerebrovascular ischemic events. In patients with AF, the associated risk was lowest for patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 1 (4.1%) and highest among those with a score of 5 (11.9%). CONCLUSION: In this nationwide cohort of intracerebral hemorrhage patients with or without AF, the risk of cerebrovascular ischemic events and mortality was substantial. The CHA2DS2-VASc score may be used for the estimation of stroke risk in patients sustaining an intracerebral hemorrhage, although its discriminative performance was poor.

Stroke and bleeding risk scores in patients with atrial fibrillation and valvular heart disease: evaluating 'valvular heart disease' in a nationwide cohort study.

AIMS: Substantial interest has been directed towards stroke risk stratification in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) but prior studies have focused on AF without significant valvular heart disease (VHD), so-called 'non-valvular AF'. A formal validation exercise addressing stroke risks in relation to the CHA2DS2-VASc risk factor(s) in AF patients with VHD is lacking. Also, the use of the HAS-BLED score in anticoagulated patients with VHD has not been previously studied. The aim of this study was to investigate stroke and bleeding rates in AF patients with VHD in relation to the CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores. METHODS AND RESULTS: We conducted a nationwide cohort study. VHD were categorized based on the 2017 joint European consensus document definition, i.e. Evaluated Heartvalves, Rheumatic or Artificial (EHRA) categorization, as follows: (i) EHRA Type 1 VHD, which refers to AF patients with 'VHD needing therapy with a Vitamin K antagonist (VKA)', thus including severe native mitral stenosis and prosthetic mechanical heart valves and (ii) EHRA Type 2 VHD, which refers to AF patients with 'VHD needing therapy with a VKA or a non-VKA oral anticoagulant (NOAC)', thus including all other forms of VHD. We identified 25 818 AF patients with VHD with EHRA Type 2 in 90% (n = 23 253). Thromboembolism and bleeding events increased with increasing CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores, whether with 1 or 2.5 years follow-up. EHRA Type 1 outcomes: The predictive value of CHA2DS2-VASc score for thromboembolism was modest, c-indexes 0.62 (0.55-0.70) at 1 year. The predictive value of the HAS-BLED score for bleeding was also modest being 0.59 (0.53-0.65) at 1 year. EHRA Type 2 outcomes: The predictive value of CHA2DS2-VASc score for thromboembolism was modest, c-indexes 0.63 (0.60-0.65) at 1 year. The predictive value of the HAS-BLED score for bleeding was also modest being 0.59 (0.53-0.65) at 1 year. CONCLUSION: This is the first validation of CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores in AF patients with VHD (so-called 'valvular AF') using the new EHRA classification. Both scores are modestly predictive of thromboembolism and bleeding events in VHD, respectively. Event rates increased with increasing risk factors as evident by increasing CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED score points, consistent with performance of these clinical scores in 'non-valvular AF' patients.