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2.
Ann Intern Med ; 176(7): 949-960, 2023 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37364263

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Clinical practice guidelines recommend indefinite anticoagulation for a first unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE). OBJECTIVE: To estimate the benefit-harm tradeoffs of indefinite anticoagulation in patients with a first unprovoked VTE. DESIGN: Markov modeling study. DATA SOURCES: Systematic reviews and meta-analyses for the long-term risks and case-fatality rates of recurrent VTE and major bleeding. Published literature for costs, quality of life, and other clinical events. TARGET POPULATION: Patients with a first unprovoked VTE who have completed 3 to 6 months of initial anticoagulant treatment. TIME HORIZON: Lifetime. PERSPECTIVE: Canadian health care public payer. INTERVENTION: Indefinite anticoagulation with direct oral anticoagulants. OUTCOME MEASURES: Recurrent VTE events, major bleeding events, costs in 2022 Canadian dollars (CAD), and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). RESULTS OF BASE-CASE ANALYSIS: When compared with discontinuing anticoagulation after initial treatment in a hypothetical cohort of 1000 patients aged 55 years, indefinite anticoagulation prevented 368 recurrent VTE events, which included 14 fatal pulmonary emboli, but induced an additional 114 major bleeding events, which included 30 intracranial hemorrhages and 11 deaths from bleeding. Indefinite anticoagulation cost CAD $16 014 more per person and did not increase QALYs (-0.075 per person). RESULTS OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: Model results were most sensitive to the case-fatality rate of major bleeding and the annual risk for major bleeding during extended anticoagulation. LIMITATION: The model assumed that risks for recurrent VTE and major bleeding measured in clinical trials at 1 year remained constant during extended anticoagulation. CONCLUSION: Clinicians should use shared decision making to incorporate individual patient preferences and values when considering treatment duration for unprovoked VTE. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Canadian Institutes of Health Research.


Asunto(s)
Tromboembolia Venosa , Humanos , Tromboembolia Venosa/tratamiento farmacológico , Tromboembolia Venosa/prevención & control , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Calidad de Vida , Canadá , Anticoagulantes/efectos adversos , Hemorragia/inducido químicamente , Recurrencia
3.
Eur Heart J ; 44(32): 3073-3081, 2023 08 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37452732

RESUMEN

AIMS: Risk stratification is used for decisions regarding need for imaging in patients with clinically suspected acute pulmonary embolism (PE). The aim was to develop a clinical prediction model that provides an individualized, accurate probability estimate for the presence of acute PE in patients with suspected disease based on readily available clinical items and D-dimer concentrations. METHODS AND RESULTS: An individual patient data meta-analysis was performed based on sixteen cross-sectional or prospective studies with data from 28 305 adult patients with clinically suspected PE from various clinical settings, including primary care, emergency care, hospitalized and nursing home patients. A multilevel logistic regression model was built and validated including ten a priori defined objective candidate predictors to predict objectively confirmed PE at baseline or venous thromboembolism (VTE) during follow-up of 30 to 90 days. Multiple imputation was used for missing data. Backward elimination was performed with a P-value <0.10. Discrimination (c-statistic with 95% confidence intervals [CI] and prediction intervals [PI]) and calibration (outcome:expected [O:E] ratio and calibration plot) were evaluated based on internal-external cross-validation. The accuracy of the model was subsequently compared with algorithms based on the Wells score and D-dimer testing. The final model included age (in years), sex, previous VTE, recent surgery or immobilization, haemoptysis, cancer, clinical signs of deep vein thrombosis, inpatient status, D-dimer (in µg/L), and an interaction term between age and D-dimer. The pooled c-statistic was 0.87 (95% CI, 0.85-0.89; 95% PI, 0.77-0.93) and overall calibration was very good (pooled O:E ratio, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.87-1.14; 95% PI, 0.55-1.79). The model slightly overestimated VTE probability in the lower range of estimated probabilities. Discrimination of the current model in the validation data sets was better than that of the Wells score combined with a D-dimer threshold based on age (c-statistic 0.73; 95% CI, 0.70-0.75) or structured clinical pretest probability (c-statistic 0.79; 95% CI, 0.76-0.81). CONCLUSION: The present model provides an absolute, individualized probability of PE presence in a broad population of patients with suspected PE, with very good discrimination and calibration. Its clinical utility needs to be evaluated in a prospective management or impact study. REGISTRATION: PROSPERO ID 89366.


Asunto(s)
Embolia Pulmonar , Tromboembolia Venosa , Adulto , Humanos , Tromboembolia Venosa/diagnóstico , Tromboembolia Venosa/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Estudios Transversales , Modelos Estadísticos , Pronóstico , Embolia Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Embolia Pulmonar/epidemiología , Productos de Degradación de Fibrina-Fibrinógeno/análisis
4.
Ann Intern Med ; 175(1): 29-35, 2022 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34807722

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The incidence of pulmonary embolism has been increasing, but its case-fatality rate is decreasing, suggesting a lesser severity of illness. The clinical importance of patients with pulmonary embolism isolated to the subsegmental vessels is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To determine the rate of recurrent venous thromboembolism in patients with subsegmental pulmonary embolism managed without anticoagulation. DESIGN: Multicenter prospective cohort study. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01455818). SETTING: Eighteen sites between February 2011 and February 2021. PATIENTS: Patients with isolated subsegmental pulmonary embolism. INTERVENTION: At diagnosis, patients underwent bilateral lower-extremity venous ultrasonography, which was repeated 1 week later if results were negative. Patients without deep venous thrombosis did not receive anticoagulant therapy. MEASUREMENTS: The primary outcome was recurrent venous thromboembolism during the 90-day follow-up period. RESULTS: Recruitment was stopped prematurely because the predefined stopping rule was met after 292 of a projected 300 patients were enrolled. Of the 266 patients included in the primary analysis, the primary outcome occurred in 8 patients, for a cumulative incidence of 3.1% (95% CI, 1.6% to 6.1%) over the 90-day follow-up. The incidence of recurrent venous thromboembolism was 2.1% (CI, 0.8% to 5.5%) and 5.7% (CI, 2.2% to 14.4%) over the 90-day follow-up in patients with single and multiple isolated subsegmental pulmonary embolism, respectively. No patients had a fatal recurrent pulmonary embolism. LIMITATION: The study was restricted to patients with low-risk subsegmental pulmonary embolism. CONCLUSION: Overall, patients with subsegmental pulmonary embolism who did not have proximal deep venous thrombosis had a higher-than-expected rate of recurrent venous thromboembolism. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Heart and Stroke Foundation of Canada and French Ministry of Health Programme Hospitalier de Recherche Clinique.


Asunto(s)
Embolia Pulmonar/terapia , Trombosis de la Vena/diagnóstico por imagen , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Recurrencia , Factores de Riesgo , Ultrasonografía
5.
Ann Intern Med ; 175(2): 244-255, 2022 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34904857

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: How diagnostic strategies for suspected pulmonary embolism (PE) perform in relevant patient subgroups defined by sex, age, cancer, and previous venous thromboembolism (VTE) is unknown. PURPOSE: To evaluate the safety and efficiency of the Wells and revised Geneva scores combined with fixed and adapted D-dimer thresholds, as well as the YEARS algorithm, for ruling out acute PE in these subgroups. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE from 1 January 1995 until 1 January 2021. STUDY SELECTION: 16 studies assessing at least 1 diagnostic strategy. DATA EXTRACTION: Individual-patient data from 20 553 patients. DATA SYNTHESIS: Safety was defined as the diagnostic failure rate (the predicted 3-month VTE incidence after exclusion of PE without imaging at baseline). Efficiency was defined as the proportion of individuals classified by the strategy as "PE considered excluded" without imaging tests. Across all strategies, efficiency was highest in patients younger than 40 years (47% to 68%) and lowest in patients aged 80 years or older (6.0% to 23%) or patients with cancer (9.6% to 26%). However, efficiency improved considerably in these subgroups when pretest probability-dependent D-dimer thresholds were applied. Predicted failure rates were highest for strategies with adapted D-dimer thresholds, with failure rates varying between 2% and 4% in the predefined patient subgroups. LIMITATIONS: Between-study differences in scoring predictor items and D-dimer assays, as well as the presence of differential verification bias, in particular for classifying fatal events and subsegmental PE cases, all of which may have led to an overestimation of the predicted failure rates of adapted D-dimer thresholds. CONCLUSION: Overall, all strategies showed acceptable safety, with pretest probability-dependent D-dimer thresholds having not only the highest efficiency but also the highest predicted failure rate. From an efficiency perspective, this individual-patient data meta-analysis supports application of adapted D-dimer thresholds. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Dutch Research Council. (PROSPERO: CRD42018089366).


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias , Embolia Pulmonar , Tromboembolia Venosa , Productos de Degradación de Fibrina-Fibrinógeno , Humanos , Neoplasias/complicaciones , Neoplasias/diagnóstico , Probabilidad , Embolia Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Embolia Pulmonar/epidemiología , Tromboembolia Venosa/diagnóstico , Tromboembolia Venosa/epidemiología
6.
PLoS Med ; 19(1): e1003905, 2022 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35077453

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The challenging clinical dilemma of detecting pulmonary embolism (PE) in suspected patients is encountered in a variety of healthcare settings. We hypothesized that the optimal diagnostic approach to detect these patients in terms of safety and efficiency depends on underlying PE prevalence, case mix, and physician experience, overall reflected by the type of setting where patients are initially assessed. The objective of this study was to assess the capability of ruling out PE by available diagnostic strategies across all possible settings. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We performed a literature search (MEDLINE) followed by an individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis (MA; 23 studies), including patients from self-referral emergency care (n = 12,612), primary healthcare clinics (n = 3,174), referred secondary care (n = 17,052), and hospitalized or nursing home patients (n = 2,410). Multilevel logistic regression was performed to evaluate diagnostic performance of the Wells and revised Geneva rules, both using fixed and adapted D-dimer thresholds to age or pretest probability (PTP), for the YEARS algorithm and for the Pulmonary Embolism Rule-out Criteria (PERC). All strategies were tested separately in each healthcare setting. Following studies done in this field, the primary diagnostic metrices estimated from the models were the "failure rate" of each strategy-i.e., the proportion of missed PE among patients categorized as "PE excluded" and "efficiency"-defined as the proportion of patients categorized as "PE excluded" among all patients. In self-referral emergency care, the PERC algorithm excludes PE in 21% of suspected patients at a failure rate of 1.12% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.74 to 1.70), whereas this increases to 6.01% (4.09 to 8.75) in referred patients to secondary care at an efficiency of 10%. In patients from primary healthcare and those referred to secondary care, strategies adjusting D-dimer to PTP are the most efficient (range: 43% to 62%) at a failure rate ranging between 0.25% and 3.06%, with higher failure rates observed in patients referred to secondary care. For this latter setting, strategies adjusting D-dimer to age are associated with a lower failure rate ranging between 0.65% and 0.81%, yet are also less efficient (range: 33% and 35%). For all strategies, failure rates are highest in hospitalized or nursing home patients, ranging between 1.68% and 5.13%, at an efficiency ranging between 15% and 30%. The main limitation of the primary analyses was that the diagnostic performance of each strategy was compared in different sets of studies since the availability of items used in each diagnostic strategy differed across included studies; however, sensitivity analyses suggested that the findings were robust. CONCLUSIONS: The capability of safely and efficiently ruling out PE of available diagnostic strategies differs for different healthcare settings. The findings of this IPD MA help in determining the optimum diagnostic strategies for ruling out PE per healthcare setting, balancing the trade-off between failure rate and efficiency of each strategy.


Asunto(s)
Interpretación Estadística de Datos , Atención a la Salud/métodos , Embolia Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Embolia Pulmonar/epidemiología , Atención a la Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Embolia Pulmonar/terapia
7.
Br J Haematol ; 199(1): 130-142, 2022 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35877546

RESUMEN

The risk of recurrence after discontinuation of anticoagulation for a combined oral contraceptive (COC)-associated venous thromboembolism (VTE) is unclear. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the incidence of recurrent VTE among women with COC-associated VTE, unprovoked VTE and to compare the incidence of recurrent VTE between the two groups. The Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Embase Classic +Embase and Medline ALL to July 2020 and citations from included studies were searched. Randomized controlled trials, prospective cohort studies and meta-analyses of these study types were selected. The analysis was conducted by random-effects model. Nineteen studies were identified including 1537 women [5828 person-years (PY)] with COC-associated VTE and 1974 women (7798 PY) with unprovoked VTE. Studies were at low risk of bias. The incidence rate of VTE recurrence was 1.22/100 PY [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.92-1.62, I2  = 6%] in women with COC-associated VTE, 3.89/100 PY (95% CI 2.93-5.17, I2  = 74%) in women with unprovoked VTE and the unadjusted incidence rate ratio was 0.34 (95% CI 0.26-0.46, I2  = 3%). The recurrence risk in women after COC-associated VTE is low and lower than after an unprovoked VTE.


Asunto(s)
Tromboembolia Venosa , Anticoagulantes/efectos adversos , Anticonceptivos Orales Combinados/efectos adversos , Femenino , Humanos , Estudios Prospectivos , Recurrencia , Factores de Riesgo , Tromboembolia Venosa/epidemiología , Tromboembolia Venosa/etiología
8.
N Engl J Med ; 381(22): 2125-2134, 2019 11 28.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31774957

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Retrospective analyses suggest that pulmonary embolism is ruled out by a d-dimer level of less than 1000 ng per milliliter in patients with a low clinical pretest probability (C-PTP) and by a d-dimer level of less than 500 ng per milliliter in patients with a moderate C-PTP. METHODS: We performed a prospective study in which pulmonary embolism was considered to be ruled out without further testing in outpatients with a low C-PTP and a d-dimer level of less than 1000 ng per milliliter or with a moderate C-PTP and a d-dimer level of less than 500 ng per milliliter. All other patients underwent chest imaging (usually computed tomographic pulmonary angiography). If pulmonary embolism was not diagnosed, patients did not receive anticoagulant therapy. All patients were followed for 3 months to detect venous thromboembolism. RESULTS: A total of 2017 patients were enrolled and evaluated, of whom 7.4% had pulmonary embolism on initial diagnostic testing. Of the 1325 patients who had a low C-PTP (1285 patients) or moderate C-PTP (40 patients) and a negative d-dimer test (i.e., <1000 or <500 ng per milliliter, respectively), none had venous thromboembolism during follow-up (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.00 to 0.29%). These included 315 patients who had a low C-PTP and a d-dimer level of 500 to 999 ng per milliliter (95% CI, 0.00 to 1.20%). Of all 1863 patients who did not receive a diagnosis of pulmonary embolism initially and did not receive anticoagulant therapy, 1 patient (0.05%; 95% CI, 0.01 to 0.30) had venous thromboembolism. Our diagnostic strategy resulted in the use of chest imaging in 34.3% of patients, whereas a strategy in which pulmonary embolism is considered to be ruled out with a low C-PTP and a d-dimer level of less than 500 ng per milliliter would result in the use of chest imaging in 51.9% (difference, -17.6 percentage points; 95% CI, -19.2 to -15.9). CONCLUSIONS: A combination of a low C-PTP and a d-dimer level of less than 1000 ng per milliliter identified a group of patients at low risk for pulmonary embolism during follow-up. (Funded by the Canadian Institutes of Health Research and others; PEGeD ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02483442.).


Asunto(s)
Reglas de Decisión Clínica , Angiografía por Tomografía Computarizada , Productos de Degradación de Fibrina-Fibrinógeno/análisis , Embolia Pulmonar/sangre , Embolia Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Probabilidad , Estudios Prospectivos , Embolia Pulmonar/diagnóstico por imagen
9.
N Engl J Med ; 380(8): 711-719, 2019 02 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30511879

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Patients with active cancer have an increased risk of venous thromboembolism, which results in substantial morbidity, mortality, and health care expenditures. The Khorana score (range, 0 to 6, with higher scores indicating a higher risk of venous thromboembolism) has been validated to identify patients with cancer at elevated risk for this complication and may help select those who could benefit from thromboprophylaxis. METHODS: We conducted a randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind clinical trial assessing the efficacy and safety of apixaban (2.5 mg twice daily) for thromboprophylaxis in ambulatory patients with cancer who were at intermediate-to-high risk for venous thromboembolism (Khorana score, ≥2) and were initiating chemotherapy. The primary efficacy outcome was objectively documented venous thromboembolism over a follow-up period of 180 days. The main safety outcome was a major bleeding episode. RESULTS: Of the 574 patients who underwent randomization, 563 were included in the modified intention-to-treat analysis. Venous thromboembolism occurred in 12 of 288 patients (4.2%) in the apixaban group and in 28 of 275 patients (10.2%) in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 0.41; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.26 to 0.65; P<0.001). In the modified intention-to-treat analysis, major bleeding occurred in 10 patients (3.5%) in the apixaban group and in 5 patients (1.8%) in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 2.00; 95% CI, 1.01 to 3.95; P = 0.046). During the treatment period, major bleeding occurred in 6 patients (2.1%) in the apixaban group and in 3 patients (1.1%) in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 1.89; 95% CI, 0.39 to 9.24). CONCLUSIONS: Apixaban therapy resulted in a significantly lower rate of venous thromboembolism than did placebo among intermediate-to-high-risk ambulatory patients with cancer who were starting chemotherapy. The rate of major bleeding episodes was higher with apixaban than with placebo. (Funded by the Canadian Institutes of Health Research and Bristol-Myers Squibb-Pfizer Alliance; AVERT ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02048865.).


Asunto(s)
Inhibidores del Factor Xa/uso terapéutico , Neoplasias/tratamiento farmacológico , Pirazoles/uso terapéutico , Piridonas/uso terapéutico , Tromboembolia Venosa/prevención & control , Administración Oral , Anciano , Antineoplásicos/uso terapéutico , Método Doble Ciego , Inhibidores del Factor Xa/efectos adversos , Femenino , Hemorragia/inducido químicamente , Humanos , Incidencia , Análisis de Intención de Tratar , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neoplasias/complicaciones , Pirazoles/efectos adversos , Piridonas/efectos adversos , Factores de Riesgo , Tromboembolia Venosa/etiología
10.
Ann Intern Med ; 174(10): 1420-1429, 2021 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34516270

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The long-term risk for major bleeding in patients receiving extended (beyond the initial 3 to 6 months) anticoagulant therapy for a first unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) is uncertain. PURPOSE: To determine the incidence of major bleeding during extended anticoagulation of up to 5 years among patients with a first unprovoked VTE, overall, and in clinically important subgroups. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials from inception to 23 July 2021. STUDY SELECTION: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and prospective cohort studies reporting major bleeding among patients with a first unprovoked VTE who were to receive oral anticoagulation for a minimum of 6 additional months after completing at least 3 months of initial anticoagulant treatment. DATA EXTRACTION: Two reviewers independently abstracted data and assessed study quality. Unpublished data required for analyses were obtained from authors of included studies. DATA SYNTHESIS: Among the 14 RCTs and 13 cohort studies included in the analysis, 9982 patients received a vitamin K antagonist (VKA) and 7220 received a direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC). The incidence of major bleeding per 100 person-years was 1.74 events (95% CI, 1.34 to 2.20 events) with VKAs and 1.12 events (CI, 0.72 to 1.62 events) with DOACs. The 5-year cumulative incidence of major bleeding with VKAs was 6.3% (CI, 3.6% to 10.0%). Among patients receiving either a VKA or a DOAC, the incidence of major bleeding was statistically significantly higher among those who were older than 65 years or had creatinine clearance less than 50 mL/min, a history of bleeding, concomitant use of antiplatelet therapy, or a hemoglobin level less than 100 g/L. The case-fatality rate of major bleeding was 8.3% (CI, 5.1% to 12.2%) with VKAs and 9.7% (CI, 3.2% to 19.2%) with DOACs. LIMITATION: Data were insufficient to estimate incidence of major bleeding beyond 1 year of extended anticoagulation with DOACs. CONCLUSION: In patients with a first unprovoked VTE, the long-term risks and consequences of anticoagulant-related major bleeding are considerable. This information will help inform patient prognosis and guide decision making about treatment duration for unprovoked VTE. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Canadian Institutes of Health Research. (PROSPERO: CRD42019128597).


Asunto(s)
Anticoagulantes/uso terapéutico , Hemorragia/inducido químicamente , Tromboembolia Venosa/prevención & control , Administración Oral , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Anticoagulantes/administración & dosificación , Anticoagulantes/efectos adversos , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo
11.
BMC Gastroenterol ; 21(1): 383, 2021 Oct 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34663234

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Advanced colorectal neoplasms (ACNs), including colorectal cancers (CRC) and high-risk adenomas (HRA), are detected in less than 20% of persons aged 50 years or older who undergo colonoscopy. We sought to derive personalized predictive models of risk of harbouring ACNs to improve colonoscopy wait times for high-risk patients and allocation of colonoscopy resources. METHODS: We characterized colonoscopy indications, neoplasia risk factors and colonoscopy findings through chart review for consecutive individuals aged 50 years or older who underwent outpatient colonoscopy at The Ottawa Hospital (Ottawa, Canada) between April 1, 2008 and March 31, 2012 for non-life threatening indications. We linked patients to population-level health administrative datasets to ascertain additional historical predictor variables and derive multivariable logistic regression models for risk of harboring ACNs at colonoscopy. We assessed model discriminatory capacity and calibration and the ability of the models to improve colonoscopy specificity while maintaining excellent sensitivity for ACN capture. RESULTS: We modelled 17 candidate predictors in 11,724 individuals who met eligibility criteria. The final CRC model comprised 8 variables and had a c-statistic value of 0.957 and a goodness-of-fit p-value of 0.527. Application of the models to our cohort permitted 100% sensitivity for identifying persons with CRC and > 90% sensitivity for identifying persons with HRA, while improving colonoscopy specificity for ACNs by 23.8%. CONCLUSIONS: Our multivariable models show excellent discriminatory capacity for persons with ACNs and could significantly increase colonoscopy specificity without overly sacrificing sensitivity. If validated, these models could allow more efficient allocation of colonoscopy resources, potentially reducing wait times for those at higher risk while deferring unnecessary colonoscopies in low-risk individuals.


Asunto(s)
Adenoma , Neoplasias Colorrectales , Adenoma/diagnóstico , Colonoscopía , Neoplasias Colorrectales/diagnóstico , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Factores de Riesgo
12.
BMC Neurol ; 20(1): 243, 2020 Jun 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32532249

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Cerebral palsy (CP), which is the leading cause of motor disability during childhood, can produce sensory and cognitive impairments at different degrees. Most recent therapeutic interventions for these patients have solely focused on upper extremities (UE), although more than 60% of these patients present lower extremities (LE) deficits. Recently, a new therapeutic concept, Hand-arm Bimanual Intensive Therapy Including Lower Extremities (HABIT-ILE), has been proposed, involving the constant stimulation of UE and LE. Based on motor skill learning principles, HABIT-ILE is delivered in a day-camp setting, promoting voluntary movements for several hours per day during 10 consecutive week days. Interestingly, the effects of this intervention in a large scale of youngsters are yet to be observed. This is of interest due to the lack of knowledge on functional, neuroplastic and biomechanical changes in infants with bilateral CP. The aim of this randomized controlled study is to assess the effects of HABIT-ILE adapted for pre-school children with bilateral CP regarding functional, neuroplastic and biomechanical factors. METHODS: This international, multicentric study will include 50 pre-school children with CP from 12 to 60 months of age, comparing the effect of 50 h (2 weeks) of HABIT-ILE versus regular motor activity and/or customary rehabilitation. HABIT-ILE presents structured activities and functional tasks with continuous increase in difficulty while the child evolves. Assessments will be performed at 3 period times: baseline, two weeks later and 3 months later. The primary outcome will be the Gross Motor Function Measure 66. Secondary outcomes will include Both Hands Assessment, Melbourne Assessment-2, Semmes-Weinstein Monofilament Test, algometry assessments, executive function tests, ACTIVLIM-CP questionnaire, Pediatric Evaluation of Disability Inventory (computer adaptative test), Young Children's Participation and Environment Measure, Measure of the Process of Care, Canadian Occupational Performance Measure, neuroimaging and kinematics. DISCUSSION: The results of this study should highlight the impact of a motor, intensive, goal-directed therapy (HABIT-ILE) in pre-school children at a functional, neuroplastic and biomechanical level. In addition, this changes could demonstrated the impact of this intervention in the developmental curve of each child, improving functional ability, activity and participation in short-, mid- and long-term. NAME OF THE REGISTRY: Evaluation of Functional, Neuroplastic and Biomechanical Changes Induced by an Intensive, Playful Early-morning Treatment Including Lower Limbs (EARLY-HABIT-ILE) in Preschool Children With Uni and Bilateral Cerebral Palsy (HABIT-ILE). TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT04017871 REGISTRATION DATE: July 12, 2019.


Asunto(s)
Parálisis Cerebral/rehabilitación , Modalidades de Fisioterapia , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Canadá , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Extremidad Inferior/fisiopatología , Masculino , Destreza Motora/fisiología , Estudios Multicéntricos como Asunto , Extremidad Superior/fisiopatología
13.
Ann Intern Med ; 170(11): 756-763, 2019 06 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31060047

RESUMEN

Background: Pulmonary embolism (PE) is associated with increased risk for ischemic stroke, but the underlying mechanism remains unclear. The authors hypothesized that paradoxical embolism through patent foramen ovale (PFO) should be the main mechanism. Objective: To determine the frequency of recent ischemic stroke in patients with symptomatic PE according to whether PFO was detected. Design: Prospective cohort study with masked assessment of stroke outcomes. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01216423). Setting: 4 French hospital centers. Participants: 361 consecutive patients with symptomatic acute PE from 13 November 2009 through 21 December 2015. Intervention: Systematic contrast transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) and cerebral magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) within 7 days after enrollment. Measurements: Recent symptomatic or silent ischemic stroke was diagnosed on the basis of clinical examination and cerebral MRI showing a hypersignal on the trace diffusion-weighted image with reduction or pseudonormalization of apparent diffusion coefficient. Results: Contrast TTE was conclusive in 324 of 361 patients and showed PFO in 43 patients (13%). The median age was 66 years (interquartile range, 54 to 77 years). In total, 51% of patients (145/284) had associated deep venous thrombosis, 91% (279/306) had cardiovascular risk factors, and 10% (16/151) presented with arrhythmia (no difference between PFO and non-PFO groups). Cerebral MRI was conclusive in 315 patients. Recent ischemic stroke was more frequent in the PFO group than in the non-PFO group (9 of 42 patients [21.4%] vs. 15 of 273 patients [5.5%]; difference in proportions, 15.9 percentage points [95% CI, 4.7 to 30.7 percentage points]). Limitation: Because of inconclusive contrast TTE or MRI, 46 patients were excluded from analysis. Conclusion: Frequency of recent ischemic stroke in patients with symptomatic PE was higher in patients with PFO than in those without PFO. This finding supports the hypothesis that paradoxical embolism is an important mechanism of ischemic stroke in patients with PFO. Primary Funding Source: French Ministry of Health.


Asunto(s)
Isquemia Encefálica/etiología , Foramen Oval Permeable/complicaciones , Embolia Pulmonar/complicaciones , Anciano , Arritmias Cardíacas/complicaciones , Isquemia Encefálica/diagnóstico por imagen , Imagen de Difusión por Resonancia Magnética , Ecocardiografía , Femenino , Foramen Oval Permeable/diagnóstico por imagen , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Trombosis de la Vena/complicaciones , Trombosis de la Vena/diagnóstico por imagen
14.
Cancer Treat Res ; 179: 103-115, 2019.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31317483

RESUMEN

The management of cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT) is complex, and treatment strategies have been evolving over the past 15 years. It is well recognized that oral vitamin K antagonists are difficult to use in cancer patients, with higher rates of treatment failure and bleeding complications than in non-cancer patients. Low-molecular-weight-heparin (LMWH) became the widely accepted standard of care for treatment of cancer-associated thrombosis, following the CLOT study comparing dalteparin with warfarin in 2003. LMWH remains widely used for the treatment of CAT. However, in the past two years, several studies have served to validate direct oral anticoagulants as a safe and effective alternative to LMWH. Two randomized clinical trials comparing edoxaban and rivaroxaban with dalteparin, and several retrospective studies have shown the efficacy of edoxaban and rivaroxaban for the treatment of CAT. However, there is an evidence of increased bleeding with the DOACs, particularly gastrointestinal or urinary tract bleeding in patients with lesions within the gastrointestinal or urinary tracts. This chapter discusses the ongoing development of optimal treatment strategies for cancer-associated thrombosis.


Asunto(s)
Anticoagulantes/administración & dosificación , Inhibidores del Factor Xa/administración & dosificación , Heparina de Bajo-Peso-Molecular/administración & dosificación , Neoplasias/complicaciones , Tromboembolia Venosa/tratamiento farmacológico , Administración Oral , Anticoagulantes/efectos adversos , Anticoagulantes/uso terapéutico , Inhibidores del Factor Xa/efectos adversos , Inhibidores del Factor Xa/uso terapéutico , Hemorragia/inducido químicamente , Heparina de Bajo-Peso-Molecular/uso terapéutico , Humanos , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Estudios Retrospectivos , Tromboembolia Venosa/etiología
15.
BMC Pregnancy Childbirth ; 19(1): 455, 2019 Nov 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31783795

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: To determine the risk of cesarean delivery after labor induction among patients with prior placenta-mediated pregnancy complications (pre-eclampsia, late pregnancy loss, placental abruption or intrauterine growth restriction). METHODS: The AFFIRM database includes patient level data from 9 randomized controlled trials that evaluated the role of LMWH versus no LMWH during pregnancy to prevent recurrent placenta-mediated pregnancy complications. The primary outcome of this sub-study was the proportion of women who had an unplanned cesarean delivery after induction of labor compared to after spontaneous labor. RESULTS: There were 512 patients from 7 randomized trials included in our sub-study. There was no difference in the risk of cesarean delivery between women with labor induction (21/148, 14.2%) and spontaneous labor (79/364, 21.7%) (odds ratio (OR) 0.60, 95% CI, 0.35-1.01; p = 0.052). Among 274 women who used LMWH prophylaxis during pregnancy, the risk of cesarean delivery was lower among those that underwent labor induction (9.8%) compared to spontaneous labor (22.4%) (OR 0.38, 95% CI, 0.17-0.84; p = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of cesarean delivery is not increased after labor induction among a higher risk patient population with prior pregnancy complications. Our results suggest that women who receive LMWH during pregnancy might benefit from labor induction.


Asunto(s)
Cesárea , Trabajo de Parto Inducido , Trabajo de Parto , Complicaciones del Embarazo/epidemiología , Adulto , Anticoagulantes/uso terapéutico , Bases de Datos Factuales , Femenino , Heparina de Bajo-Peso-Molecular/uso terapéutico , Humanos , Embarazo , Estudios Retrospectivos , Adulto Joven
16.
Ann Intern Med ; 169(11): 766-773, 2018 12 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30357273

RESUMEN

Background: Data on the optimal diagnostic management of pregnant women with suspected pulmonary embolism (PE) are limited, and guidelines provide inconsistent recommendations on use of diagnostic tests. Objective: To prospectively validate a diagnostic strategy in pregnant women with suspected PE. Design: Multicenter, multinational, prospective diagnostic management outcome study involving pretest clinical probability assessment, high-sensitivity D-dimer testing, bilateral lower limb compression ultrasonography (CUS), and computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA). (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT00740454). Setting: 11 centers in France and Switzerland between August 2008 and July 2016. Patients: Pregnant women with clinically suspected PE in emergency departments. Intervention: Pulmonary embolism was excluded in patients with a low or intermediate pretest clinical probability and a negative D-dimer result. All others underwent lower limb CUS and, if results were negative, CTPA. A ventilation-perfusion (V/Q) scan was done if CTPA results were inconclusive. Pulmonary embolism was excluded if results of the diagnostic work-up were negative, and untreated pregnant women had clinical follow-up at 3 months. Measurements: The primary outcome was the rate of adjudicated venous thromboembolic events during the 3-month follow-up. Results: 441 women were assessed for eligibility, and 395 were included in the study. Among these, PE was diagnosed in 28 (7.1%) (proximal deep venous thrombosis found on ultrasonography [n = 7], positive CTPA result [n = 19], and high-probability V/Q scan [n = 2]) and excluded in 367 (clinical probability and negative D-dimer result [n = 46], negative CTPA result [n = 290], normal or low-probability V/Q scan [n = 17], and other reason [n = 14]). Twenty-two women received extended anticoagulation during follow-up, mainly for previous venous thromboembolic disease. The rate of symptomatic venous thromboembolic events was 0.0% (95% CI, 0.0% to 1.0%) among untreated women after exclusion of PE on the basis of negative results on the diagnostic work-up. Limitation: There were several protocol deviations, reflecting the difficulty of performing studies in pregnant women with suspected PE. Conclusion: A diagnostic strategy based on assessment of clinical probability, D-dimer measurement, CUS, and CTPA can safely rule out PE in pregnant women. Primary Funding Source: Swiss National Foundation for Scientific Research, Groupe d'Etude de la Thrombose de Bretagne Occidentale, and International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis.


Asunto(s)
Complicaciones Cardiovasculares del Embarazo/diagnóstico , Embolia Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Adulto , Anticoagulantes/uso terapéutico , Angiografía por Tomografía Computarizada , Femenino , Productos de Degradación de Fibrina-Fibrinógeno/análisis , Humanos , Extremidad Inferior/irrigación sanguínea , Extremidad Inferior/diagnóstico por imagen , Embarazo , Complicaciones Cardiovasculares del Embarazo/diagnóstico por imagen , Complicaciones Cardiovasculares del Embarazo/prevención & control , Estudios Prospectivos , Embolia Pulmonar/diagnóstico por imagen , Embolia Pulmonar/prevención & control , Ultrasonografía , Trombosis de la Vena/diagnóstico por imagen , Trombosis de la Vena/prevención & control
17.
J Emerg Med ; 56(5): 469-477, 2019 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30890372

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Multiple D-dimer cutoffs have been suggested for older patients to improve diagnostic specificity for venous thromboembolism. These approaches are better established for pulmonary embolism. OBJECTIVES: We evaluated the diagnostic performance and compared the health system cost for previously suggested cutoffs and a new D-dimer cutoff for low-risk emergency department (ED) deep venous thrombosis (DVT) patients. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study in two large EDs involving patients aged > 50 years who had low pretest probability for DVT and had a D-dimer performed. The outcome was a diagnosis of DVT at 30 days. We evaluated the diagnostic accuracy and estimated the difference in cost for cutoffs of 500 ng/mL and the age-adjusted (age × 10) rule. A derived cutoff of 1000 ng/mL was also assessed. RESULTS: Nine hundred and seventy-two patients were included (median age 66 years; 59.5% female); 63 (6.5%) patients were diagnosed with DVT. The conventional cutoff of < 500 ng/mL demonstrated a sensitivity of 100% (95% confidence interval [CI] 94.3-100%) and a specificity of 35.6% (95% CI 32.5-38.8%). The age-adjusted approach increased specificity while maintaining high sensitivity. A new cutoff of 1000 ng/mL demonstrated improved performance: sensitivity 100% (95% CI 94.3-00%) and specificity 66.3% (95% CI 63.2-69.4%). Compared to the conventional approach, both the 1000 ng/mL cutoff and the age-adjusted cutoffs could save healthcare dollars. A cutoff of 1000 ng/mL could have saved 310 ED length of stay hours and $166,909 (Canadian dollars) in our cohort, or an average savings of 0.32 h and $172 per patient. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients aged > 50 years with suspected DVT, the age-adjusted D-dimer and a cutoff of 1000 ng/mL improved specificity without compromising sensitivity, and lowered the health care system cost compared to that for the conventional approach.


Asunto(s)
Factores de Edad , Productos de Degradación de Fibrina-Fibrinógeno/análisis , Trombosis de la Vena/diagnóstico , Anciano , Estudios de Cohortes , Pruebas Diagnósticas de Rutina/métodos , Pruebas Diagnósticas de Rutina/normas , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital/organización & administración , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Ontario , Estudios Retrospectivos , Trombosis de la Vena/sangre
18.
Am J Hum Genet ; 96(4): 532-42, 2015 Apr 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25772935

RESUMEN

Venous thromboembolism (VTE), the third leading cause of cardiovascular mortality, is a complex thrombotic disorder with environmental and genetic determinants. Although several genetic variants have been found associated with VTE, they explain a minor proportion of VTE risk in cases. We undertook a meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies (GWASs) to identify additional VTE susceptibility genes. Twelve GWASs totaling 7,507 VTE case subjects and 52,632 control subjects formed our discovery stage where 6,751,884 SNPs were tested for association with VTE. Nine loci reached the genome-wide significance level of 5 × 10(-8) including six already known to associate with VTE (ABO, F2, F5, F11, FGG, and PROCR) and three unsuspected loci. SNPs mapping to these latter were selected for replication in three independent case-control studies totaling 3,009 VTE-affected individuals and 2,586 control subjects. This strategy led to the identification and replication of two VTE-associated loci, TSPAN15 and SLC44A2, with lead risk alleles associated with odds ratio for disease of 1.31 (p = 1.67 × 10(-16)) and 1.21 (p = 2.75 × 10(-15)), respectively. The lead SNP at the TSPAN15 locus is the intronic rs78707713 and the lead SLC44A2 SNP is the non-synonymous rs2288904 previously shown to associate with transfusion-related acute lung injury. We further showed that these two variants did not associate with known hemostatic plasma markers. TSPAN15 and SLC44A2 do not belong to conventional pathways for thrombosis and have not been associated to other cardiovascular diseases nor related quantitative biomarkers. Our findings uncovered unexpected actors of VTE etiology and pave the way for novel mechanistic concepts of VTE pathophysiology.


Asunto(s)
Predisposición Genética a la Enfermedad/genética , Glicoproteínas de Membrana/genética , Proteínas de Transporte de Membrana/genética , Tetraspaninas/genética , Tromboembolia Venosa/genética , Estudio de Asociación del Genoma Completo , Genotipo , Humanos , Oportunidad Relativa
20.
N Engl J Med ; 373(8): 697-704, 2015 Aug 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26095467

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Venous thromboembolism may be the earliest sign of cancer. Currently, there is a great diversity in practices regarding screening for occult cancer in a person who has an unprovoked venous thromboembolism. We sought to assess the efficacy of a screening strategy for occult cancer that included comprehensive computed tomography (CT) of the abdomen and pelvis in patients who had a first unprovoked venous thromboembolism. METHODS: We conducted a multicenter, open-label, randomized, controlled trial in Canada. Patients were randomly assigned to undergo limited occult-cancer screening (basic blood testing, chest radiography, and screening for breast, cervical, and prostate cancer) or limited occult-cancer screening in combination with CT. The primary outcome measure was confirmed cancer that was missed by the screening strategy and detected by the end of the 1-year follow-up period. RESULTS: Of the 854 patients who underwent randomization, 33 (3.9%) had a new diagnosis of occult cancer between randomization and the 1-year follow-up: 14 of the 431 patients (3.2%) in the limited-screening group and 19 of the 423 patients (4.5%) in the limited-screening-plus-CT group (P=0.28). In the primary outcome analysis, 4 occult cancers (29%) were missed by the limited screening strategy, whereas 5 (26%) were missed by the strategy of limited screening plus CT (P=1.0). There was no significant difference between the two study groups in the mean time to a cancer diagnosis (4.2 months in the limited-screening group and 4.0 months in the limited-screening-plus-CT group, P=0.88) or in cancer-related mortality (1.4% and 0.9%, P=0.75). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of occult cancer was low among patients with a first unprovoked venous thromboembolism. Routine screening with CT of the abdomen and pelvis did not provide a clinically significant benefit. (Funded by the Heart and Stroke Foundation of Canada; SOME ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00773448.).


Asunto(s)
Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , Neoplasias Primarias Desconocidas/diagnóstico por imagen , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X , Tromboembolia Venosa/etiología , Anciano , Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico , Errores Diagnósticos , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Incidencia , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neoplasias Primarias Desconocidas/complicaciones , Neoplasias Primarias Desconocidas/diagnóstico , Pelvis/diagnóstico por imagen , Neoplasias de la Próstata/diagnóstico , Radiografía Abdominal , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/diagnóstico
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