Association Between the Modified Frailty Index and Outcomes Following Lobectomy.

INTRODUCTION: Elective thoracic surgery is safe in well-selected elderly patients. The association of frailty with postoperative morbidity in elective-lobectomy patients is understudied. We examined frailty as defined by abbreviated modified frailty index (mFI-5), mFI-11 in the thoracic surgery population, and the correlation between frailty and postoperative complications. METHODS: We studied outcomes of patients in two cohorts, 2010-2012 and 2013-2019, from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database and used multivariable logistic regression models to predict all postoperative morbidity, mortality, and major morbidity. The mFI-5 could be calculated for all subjects (both 2010-2012, and 2013-2019); the mFI-11 could only be calculated for the 2010-2012 cohort. Patient frailty was defined as mFI≥3 (with either index). We used odds ratios (ORs) to examine associations of preoperative characteristics with postoperative complications and C-statistics to assess overall predictive power. RESULTS: Complications were less prevalent in the 2013-2019 cohort (17.9% versus 19.5%, P = 0.008). Open lobectomies were more common in the 2010-2012 cohort (53.9% versus 34.6%) and were strongly associated with postoperative morbidity and mortality (ORs >1.5) in both cohorts. Each frailty measure was associated with morbidity and mortality (ORs >1.4) after adjusting for other significant preoperative factors. Models on the 2010-2012 cohort had nearly identical C-statistics using the mFI-11 versus mFI-5 frailty indices (0.6142 versus 0.6139; P > 0.8). CONCLUSIONS: Frailty, as captured in the mFI-5, is a significant associated factor of postoperative morbidity and mortality following elective lobectomies. As a modifiable risk factor, frailty should be considered in surgical decision-making and when counseling patients regarding perioperative risks.

Use of In-Situ Simulation Based Clinical Systems Test of Thoracic Robotic Surgery Emergencies.

INTRODUCTION: With the advancement of robotic surgery, some thoracic surgeons have been slow to adopt to this new operative approach, in part because they are un-scrubbed and away from the patient while operating. Aiming to allay surgeon concerns of intra-operative emergencies, an insitu simulation-based clinical system's test (SbCST) can be completed to test the current clinical system, and to practice low-frequency, high-stakes clinical scenarios with the entire operating room (OR) team. METHODS: Six different OR teams completed an insitu SbCST of an intra-operative pulmonary artery injury during a robot-assisted thoracic surgery at a single tertiary care center. The OR team consisted of an attending thoracic surgeon, surgery resident, anesthesia attending, anesthesia resident, circulating nurse, and a scrub technician. This test was conducted with an entire OR team along with study observers and simulation center staff. Outcomes included the identified latent safety threats (LSTs) and possible solutions for each LST, culminating in a complete failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA). A Risk Priority Number (RPN) was determined for each LST identified. Pre- and post-simulation surveys using Likert scales were also collected. RESULTS: The six FMEAs identified 28 potential LSTs in four categories. Of these 28 LSTs, nine were considered high priority based on their Risk Priority Number (RPN) with seven of the nine being repeated multiple times. Pre- and post-simulation survey responses were similar, with the majority of participants (94%) agreeing that high fidelity simulation of intra-operative emergencies is helpful and provides an opportunity to train for high-stakes, low-frequency events. After completing the SbCST, more participants felt confident that they knew their role during an intra-operative emergency than their pre-simulation survey responses. All participants agreed that simulation is an important part of continuing education and is helpful for learning skills that are infrequently used. Following the SbCST, more participants agreed that they knew how to safely undock the da Vinci robot during an emergency. CONCLUSIONS: SbCSTs provide an opportunity to test the current clinical system with a low-frequency, high-stakes event and allow medical personnels to practice their skills and teamwork. By completing multiple SbCSTs, we were able to identify multiple LSTs within different OR teams, allowing for a broader review of the current clinical systems in place. The use of these SbCSTs in conjunction with debriefing sessions and FMEA completion allows for the most significant potential improvement of the current system. This study shows that SbCST with FMEA completion can be used to test current systems and create better systems for patient safety.

Improving stamina and mobility with preop walking in surgical patients with frailty traits -OASIS IV: randomized clinical trial study protocol.

BACKGROUND: Frail older surgical patients face more than a two-fold increase in postoperative complications, including myocardial infarction, deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, pneumonia, ileus, and others. Many of these complications occur because of postoperative loss of stamina and poor mobility. Preoperative exercise may better prepare these vulnerable patients for surgery. We present the protocol for our ongoing randomized trial to assess the impact of a preoperative walking intervention with remote coaching and pedometer on outcomes of stamina (six-minute walk distance- 6MWD) and mobility (postoperative steps) in older adults with frailty traits. METHODS: We will be conducting a randomized clinical trial with a total of 120 patients permitting up to a 33% rate of attrition, to reach a final sample size of 80 (with 40 patients for each study arm). We will include patients who are age 60 or higher, score 4 or greater on the Edmonton Frailty Scale assessment, and will be undergoing a surgical operation that requires a 2 or more night hospital stay to be eligible for our trial. Using block randomization stratified on baseline 6MWD, we will assign patients to wear a pedometer. At the end of three baseline days, an athletic trainer (AT) will provide a daily step count goal reflecting a 10-20% increase from baseline. Subsequently, the AT will call weekly to further titrate the goal or calls more frequently if the patient is not meeting the prescribed goal. Controls will receive general walking advice. Our main outcome is change in 6MWD on postoperative day (POD) 2/3 vs. baseline. We will also collect 6MWD approximately 4 weeks after surgery and daily in-hospital steps. CONCLUSION: If changes in a 6MWD and step counts are significantly higher for the intervention group, we believe this will confirm our hypothesis that the intervention leads to decreased loss of stamina and mobility. Once confirmed, we anticipate expanding to multiple centers to assess the interventional impact on clinical endpoints. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The randomized clinical trial was registered on clinicaltrials.gov under the identifier NCT03892187 on March 27, 2019.

Enhanced recovery after surgery pathway leads to decreased length of stay for patients undergoing minimally invasive lung resection.

Background: Enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) protocols in thoracic surgery have been demonstrated to impact length of stay (LOS), complication rates, and postoperative opioid use. However, ERAS protocols for minimally invasive lung resections have not been well described. Given most lung resections are now performed minimally invasively, there is a gap in the literature regarding the efficacy of ERAS protocols in this setting. In this study, we analyzed patient outcomes following implementation of an ERAS protocol for minimally invasive lung resections. Methods: Outcome data was retrospectively collected for 442 patients undergoing minimally invasive lung resections between January 1st, 2015 and October 26th, 2021. Patients were divided into either a pre-ERAS (n=193) or ERAS (n=249) group. Primary outcomes included LOS, postoperative complications, intensive care unit (ICU) admission status, 30-day hospital readmissions, and 30-day mortality. Secondary outcomes included common postoperative complications required for the Society for Thoracic Surgeons (STS) database. Results: We observed an overall decrease in median LOS (4.0 vs. 3.0 days, P=0.030) and ICU admission status (15% vs. 7.6%, P=0.020) after implementation of our ERAS protocol. The difference in LOS was significantly lower for anatomic lung resections, but not non-anatomic resections. There was no difference in 30-day readmissions and a 0% mortality rate in both groups. Overall, there was a low complication rate that was similar between groups. Conclusions: The implementation of an ERAS protocol led to decreased LOS and decreased ICU admission in patients undergoing minimally invasive lung resection. Process standardization optimizes performance by providers by decreasing decision fatigue and improving decision making, which may contribute to the improved outcomes observed in this study.

Preoperative risk factors for anastomotic leak after esophagectomy with gastric reconstruction: A 6-year national surgical quality improvement (NSQIP) database analysis.

BACKGROUND: Anastomotic leak is a serious complication after esophagectomy that has been associated with worse outcomes. However, identifying patients at increased risk for anastomotic leak remains challenging. METHODS: Patients were included from the 2016 to 2021 National Surgical Quality Improvement Project database who underwent elective esophagectomy with gastric reconstruction for cancer. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify risk factors associated with anastomotic leak. RESULTS: A total of 4,331 patients were included in the study, of whom 647 patients experienced anastomotic leak (14.9%). Multivariable logistic regression revealed higher odds of anastomotic leak with smoking (adjusted odds ratio 1.24, confidence interval 1.02-1.51, P = .031), modified frailty index-5 score of 1 (adjusted odds ratio 1.44, confidence interval 1.19-1.75, P = .002) or 2 (adjusted odds ratio 1.52, confidence interval 1.19-1.94, P = .000), and a McKeown esophagectomy (adjusted odds ratio 1.44, confidence interval 1.16-1.80, P = .001). Each 1,000/µL increase in white blood cell count was associated with a 7% increase in odds of anastomotic leak (adjusted odds ratio 1.07, confidence interval 1.03-1.10, P = .0005). Higher platelet counts were slightly protective, and each 10,000/ µL increase in platelet count was associated with 2% reduced odds of anastomotic leak (adjusted odds ratio 0.98, confidence interval 0.97-0.99, P = .001). CONCLUSION: In this study, smoking status, frailty index, white blood cell count, McKeown esophagectomy, and platelet counts were all associated with the occurrence of anastomotic leak. These results can help to inform surgeons and patients of the true risk of developing anastomotic leak and potentially improve outcomes by providing evidence to improve preoperative characteristics, such as frailty.

Clinical outcomes and staff satisfaction after adoption of digital chest drainage system for minimally invasive lung resections.

Background: Digital chest drainage systems (DCDS) provide reliable pleural drainage while quantifying fluid output and air leak. However, the benefits of DCDS in the contemporary era of minimally invasive thoracic surgery and enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) protocols have not been fully investigated. Additionally, hospital and resident staff experiences after implementation of a DCDS have not been fully explored. The objective of this study was to evaluate the clinical outcomes and hospital staff experience after adoption of a DCDS for minimally invasive lung resections. Methods: A single-center retrospective review of patients who underwent minimally invasive lung resection (lobectomy, segmentectomy, and wedge resection) and received a DCDS from 11/1/2021 to 11/1/2022. DCDS patients were compared to sequential historical controls (3/1/2019-6/30/2021) who received a analog chest drainage system. For the analog system, chest tubes were removed when no bubbles were observed in the water seal compartment with Valsalva, cough, and in variable positions. With a DCDS, chest tubes were removed when the air leak was less than 30 cc/min for 8 hours, with no spikes. All patients followed an institutional ERAS protocol. Primary outcomes were length of stay (LOS) and chest tube duration. Hospital staff and residents were surveyed regarding their experience. Results: One hundred and twenty-four patients received DCDS, and 248 received an analog chest drainage system. There was a reduction in mean LOS (3.6 vs. 4.4 days, P=0.01) and chest tube duration (2.7 vs. 3.6 days, P=0.03) in the DCDS group. Hospital staff (n=77, 46% response rate) reported the DCDS easier to use (60%, P<0.001) and easier to care for patients with (65%, P<0.001) compared to the analog system. Surgical residents (n=28, 56% response rate) reported increased confidence in interpretation of air leak (75%, P<0.001) and decision-making surrounding chest tube removal (79%, P<0.001). Conclusions: Using a DCDS can reduce LOS and chest tube duration in the contemporary setting of minimally invasive lung resections and ERAS protocols. Increased confidence of resident decision-making for chest tube removal may contribute to improved outcomes.

Predictors for locoregional recurrence for clinical stage III-N2 non-small cell lung cancer with nodal downstaging after induction chemotherapy and surgery.

PURPOSE: Pathologic downstaging following chemotherapy for stage III-N2 NSCLC is a well-known positive prognostic indicator. However, the predictive factors for locoregional recurrence (LRR) in these patients are largely unknown. METHODS: Between 1998 and 2008, 153 patients with clinically or pathologically staged III-N2 NSCLC from two cancer centers in the United States were treated with induction chemotherapy and surgery. All had pathologic N0-1 disease, and none received postoperative radiotherapy. LRR were defined as recurrence at the surgical site, lymph nodes (levels 1-14 including supraclavicular), or both. RESULTS: Median follow-up was 39.3 months. Pretreatment N2 status was confirmed pathologically (18.2 %) or by PET/CT (81.8 %). Overall, the 5-year LRR rate was 30.8 % (n = 38), with LRR being the first site of failure in 51 % (22/+99877943). Five-year overall survival for patients with LRR compared with those without was 21 versus 60.1 % (p < 0.001). Using multivariate analysis, significant predictors for LRR were pN1 disease at time of surgery (p < 0.001, HR 3.43, 95 % CI 1.80-6.56) and a trend for squamous histology (p = 0.072, HR 1.93, 95 % CI 0.94-3.98). Five-year LRR rate for pN1 versus pN0 disease was 62 versus 20 %. Neither single versus multistation N2 disease (p = 0.291) nor initial staging technique (p = 0.306) were predictors for LRR. N1 status also was predictive for higher distant recurrence (p = 0.021, HR 1.91, 95 % CI 1.1-3.3) but only trended for poorer survival (p = 0.123, HR 1.48, 95 % CI 0.9-2.44). CONCLUSIONS: LRR remains high in resected stage III-N2 NSCLC patients after induction chemotherapy and nodal downstaging, particularly in patients with persistent N1 disease.

Recurrent Giant Cell Tumor of Bone with New Pulmonary Metastases 9 Years After En Bloc Distal Radius Resection: A Case Report.

CASE: A 31-year-old man with a history of giant cell tumor of bone (GCTB) in the distal radius presents to clinic 9 years after en bloc distal radius resection. He was found to have a new soft tissue mass consistent with GCTB and new pulmonary metastases. Ultimately, he underwent excision of his soft tissue recurrence and partial lobectomy for his lung metastases. CONCLUSION: This case highlights the importance of having a high level of suspicion for local recurrence or metastasis, even years after wide resection and negative margins.

COVID-19-induced Esophageal Necrosis Requiring Emergent Total Esophagectomy in a Vaccinated Patient.

Acute esophageal necrosis may be a potential complication of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). COVID-19 has been associated with a variety of sequelae, including acute respiratory distress syndrome, myocarditis, and thromboembolic events. Here, we present a case of a 43-year-old male who was admitted for acute necrotizing pancreatitis and found to have COVID-19 pneumonia. He subsequently developed acute esophageal necrosis requiring a total esophagectomy. Currently, there are at least five other reported cases of esophageal necrosis with concomitant COVID-19 infection. This case is the first requiring esophagectomy. Future studies may establish esophageal necrosis as a known complication of COVID-19.

Impact of the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) publication and Medicare Lung cancer screening payment on lung cancer incidence rates: An interrupted time series analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Explore the impact of the Lung Cancer Screening Trial (NLST-September-2011) and the Medicare approval for CT-screening (CT-LCS-AP-February-2015) on lung cancer incidence rates, mortality, and the percentage of early-stage lung cancer diagnosis (ESLCD-T1-T2N0M0). METHODS: Retrospective interrupted time series analysis using SEER-18 database. All individuals with lung cancer (LC) diagnosis from 2006 to 2016 were included. The effect of NLST and CT-AP-2015 on the monthly percentage of early-stage ESLCD was the primary outcome, additionally LC incidence and mortality rates were calculated. The analysis was performed by age, sex, race, marital status, insurance status, and household income. Bivariate and multivariate models were used to identify predictors of ESLCD. RESULTS: The study cohort was composed by 388,207 individuals, 69 years old in average, 46.6 % female, and 81.1 % white. LC incidence and mortality rates declined from 2006 to 2016 without association with NLST-September-2011 and CT-LCS-AP-February-2015. The percentage of ESLCD increased over time for all groups. Overall rates of ESLCD started at 18 % in January-2006 and increased to 25 % by December-2016. The intervention NLST-2011 did not show an impact in the ESLCD while the CT-AP-2015 showed a significant impact in the ESLCD trend (p < 0.001). ESLCD was associated with female, white, insurance, and household incomes above median. Medicare expansion was a significant factor for insured group, married patients and those from households under the median income level. CONCLUSION: Medicare approval for CT screening was found to have a statistically significant effect on the diagnosis of early-stage lung cancer and neither NLST-September-2011 nor CT-AP-2015-February-2015 impacted the incidence nor mortality rates. POLICY SUMMARY: To improve early-stage lung cancer diagnosis, it is vital to invest in health policies to increase Lung Cancer Screening implementation and to reduce disparities in access to diagnosis. Furthermore, policies that facilitate access to diagnosis and treatment are crucial to reduce lung cancer mortality.

Liquid-based rapid onsite evaluation of endobronchial ultrasound cytologies.

INTRODUCTION: Rapid onsite evaluation (ROSE) generally uses smears made at the site of the procedure ("smear-based ROSE"). It requires considerable time, generally 2 individuals, technical expertise, and it can be difficult to estimate material available for ancillary studies. We developed an alternative ROSE using liquid-based cytology ThinPrep with hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) stain ("liquid-based ROSE") and assessed its advantages. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Clinicians rinse the sample(s) into CytoRich Red and send to Pathology. A defined proportion of the needle rinse is removed for a ThinPrep stained with a rapid H&E. Adequacy and diagnosis were compared to final outcome. Total time was recorded. RESULTS: Among 52 liquid-based ROSE readings, 28 (53.8%) were interpreted as "adequate" with final as adequate; 17 (32.7%) were interpreted as "inadequate" with final as inadequate; 7 (13.5%) were interpreted as "inadequate" with final as adequate. Of 23 readings provided with onsite diagnosis, 15 (65.2%) were interpreted as definitive positive or negative diagnoses; 6 (26%) were interpreted as nondiagnostic; and 2 (8.7%) were interpreted as atypical. All definitive diagnoses were concordant with final diagnoses. The time for liquid ROSE performance ranges from 6 to 22 minutes (mean: 13 minutes) and required only 1 individual. CONCLUSIONS: Liquid-based ROSE allows accurate adequacy determination and diagnosis, takes about 15 minutes of cytologist time, and can be performed by just 1 person. The technique produces well-preserved and stained slides, it may allow a better estimation of the total amount of material in the specimen vial and may provide a better platform for telecytology.

Factors associated with diagnosis of stages I and II lung cancer: a multivariate analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To present the overall survival rate for lung cancer and identify the factors associated with early diagnosis of stage I and II lung cancer. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study including individuals diagnosed with lung cancer, from January 2009 to December 2017, according to the cancer registry at UMass Memorial Medical Center. Five-year overall survival and its associated factors were identified by Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox's proportional hazards model. Factors associated with diagnosing clinical stage I and II lung cancer were identified by bivariate and multivariate backward stepwise logistic regression (Log-likelihood ratio (LR)) at 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: The study was conducted with data on 2730 individuals aged 67.9 years on average, 51.5% of whom female, 92.3% white, and 6.6% never smoked. Five-year overall survival was 21%. Individuals diagnosed with early-stage disease had a 43% five-year survival rate compared to 8% for those diagnosed at late stages. Stage at diagnosis was the main factor associated with overall survival [HR = 4.08 (95%CI: 3.62-4.59)]. Factors associated with early diagnosis included patients older than 68 years [OR = 1.23 (95%CI: 1.04-1.45)], of the female gender [OR = 1.47 (95%CI: 1.24-1.73)], white [OR = 1.63 (95%CI: 1.16-2.30)], and never-smokers [OR = 1.37 (95%CI: 1.01-1.86)]; as well as tumors affecting the upper lobe [OR = 1.46 (95%CI: 1.24-1.73)]; adenocarcinoma [OR = 1.43 (95%CI: 1.21-1.69)]; and diagnosis after 2014 [OR = 1.61 (95%CI: 1.37-1.90)]. CONCLUSIONS: Stage at diagnosis was the most decisive predictor for survival. Non-white and male individuals were more likely to be diagnosed at a late stage. Thus, promoting lung cancer early diagnosis by improving access to health care is vital to enhance overall survival for individuals with lung cancer.

The Incidence of Node-Positive Non-small-Cell Lung Cancer Undergoing Sublobar Resection and the Role of Radiation in Its Management.

Purpose: To identify the incidence, preoperative risk factors, and prognosis associated with pathologically positive lymph node (pN+) in patients undergoing a sub-lobar resection (SLR). Methods: This is a retrospective study using the National Cancer Database (NCDB) from 2004 to 2014 analyzing SLR excluding those with any preoperative chemotherapy and/or radiation, follow-up <3 months, stage IV disease, or >1 tumor nodule. Multivariable modeling (MVA) was used to determine factors associated with overall survival (OS). Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to determine preoperative risk factors for pN+ in patients having at least one node examined to assess radiation's effect on OS in those patients with pN+ and to determine whether SLR was associated with inferior OS as compared to lobectomy for each nodal stage. Results: A total of 40,202 patients underwent SLR, but only 58.3% had one lymph node examined. Then, 2,615 individuals had pN+ which decreased progressively from 15.1% in 2004 to 8.9% in 2014 (N1, from 6.3 to 3.0%, and N2, from 8.4 to 5.9%). A lower risk of pN+ was noted for squamous cell carcinomas, bronchioloalveolar adenocarcinoma (BAC), adenocarcinomas, and right upper lobe locations. In the pN+ group, OS was worse without chemotherapy or radiation. Radiation was associated with a strong trend for OS in the entire pN+ group (p = 0.0647) which was largely due to the effects on those having N2 disease (p = 0.009) or R1 resections (p = 0.03), but not N1 involvement (p = 0.87). PSM noted that SLR was associated with an inferior OS as compared to lobectomy by nodal stage in the overall patient population and even for those with tumors <2 cm. Conclusion: pN+ incidence in SLRs has decreased over time. SLR was associated with inferior OS as compared to lobectomy by nodal stage. Radiation appears to improve the OS in patients undergoing SLR with pN+, especially in those with N2 nodal involvement and/or positive margins.

Factors associated with diagnosis of stages I and II lung cancer: a multivariate analysis

ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE To present the overall survival rate for lung cancer and identify the factors associated with early diagnosis of stage I and II lung cancer. METHODS This is a retrospective cohort study including individuals diagnosed with lung cancer, from January 2009 to December 2017, according to the cancer registry at UMass Memorial Medical Center. Five-year overall survival and its associated factors were identified by Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox's proportional hazards model. Factors associated with diagnosing clinical stage I and II lung cancer were identified by bivariate and multivariate backward stepwise logistic regression (Log-likelihood ratio (LR)) at 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS The study was conducted with data on 2730 individuals aged 67.9 years on average, 51.5% of whom female, 92.3% white, and 6.6% never smoked. Five-year overall survival was 21%. Individuals diagnosed with early-stage disease had a 43% five-year survival rate compared to 8% for those diagnosed at late stages. Stage at diagnosis was the main factor associated with overall survival [HR = 4.08 (95%CI: 3.62-4.59)]. Factors associated with early diagnosis included patients older than 68 years [OR = 1.23 (95%CI: 1.04-1.45)], of the female gender [OR = 1.47 (95%CI: 1.24-1.73)], white [OR = 1.63 (95%CI: 1.16-2.30)], and never-smokers [OR = 1.37 (95%CI: 1.01-1.86)]; as well as tumors affecting the upper lobe [OR = 1.46 (95%CI: 1.24-1.73)]; adenocarcinoma [OR = 1.43 (95%CI: 1.21-1.69)]; and diagnosis after 2014 [OR = 1.61 (95%CI: 1.37-1.90)]. CONCLUSIONS Stage at diagnosis was the most decisive predictor for survival. Non-white and male individuals were more likely to be diagnosed at a late stage. Thus, promoting lung cancer early diagnosis by improving access to health care is vital to enhance overall survival for individuals with lung cancer.

Differences in patterns of recurrence in early-stage versus locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: The benefits of screening for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) have been established for high-risk individuals, and recent guidelines advocate continued surveillance after curative therapy. Yet the optimal posttreatment surveillance strategy remains to be determined. We compared patterns of recurrence and modes of detection in surgically treated patients with pathologic early-stage and locally advanced NSCLC. METHODS: Consecutive patients who had undergone resection for stage I-IIIA NSCLC from 2004 to 2009 were identified from a prospectively maintained institutional database. All patients received interval chest computed tomography (CT) scans every 6 to 12 months after treatment. RESULTS: In total, 1,640 patients were identified: 181 of 346 patients with stage IIIA NSCLC (52%) and 257 of 1,294 patients with stage I-II NSCLC (20%) experienced recurrences. Surveillance CT detected asymptomatic recurrences in 157 stage I-II patients (61%) and 89 stage IIIA patients (49%) (p=0.045). Symptoms led to detection of recurrences more often in stage IIIA patients (73, 40%) than in stage I-II patients (81, 32%). Distant recurrences were more common in stage IIIA patients than in stage I-II patients (153, 85%, vs 190, 74%; p=0.01). In stage IIIA patients, the risk of recurrence was highest during the first 2 years after operation, but it remained substantial into year 4. CONCLUSIONS: Stage IIIA patients had fewer recurrences detected by surveillance CT, a higher rate of symptomatic presentation, a markedly higher risk of recurrence, and a higher propensity for distant recurrence. Surveillance strategies may need to account for stage-specific differences.

Thirty-day mortality underestimates the risk of early death after major resections for thoracic malignancies.

BACKGROUND: Operative mortality rates are of great interest to surgeons, patients, policy makers, and payers as a metric for quality assessment. Thirty-day mortality and discharge mortality have been presumed to capture procedure-related deaths. However, many patients die after the 30-day mark or are transferred to other facilities or to home and die there, leading to the underreporting of surgically related deaths. We hypothesized that a longer period of observation would address these concerns and provide a more accurate measure of operative mortality. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed institutional databases of patients undergoing resection for lung cancer, esophageal cancer, and mesothelioma. Mortality rates at 30 and 90 days were calculated with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: From 1999 to 2012, 7,646 surgical resections were performed: 6,119 for lung cancer, 1,258 for esophageal cancer, and 269 for mesothelioma. Among the different cancers and across operations, the additional mortality from day 31 to 90 (1.4%; 95% CI, 1.2% to 1.8%; n=111) was similar to that by day 30 (1.2%; 95% CI, 1.0% to 1.5%; n=95), resulting in overall 90-day mortality (2.7%; 95% CI, 2.3% to 3.1%; n=206) that was more than double the 30-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients who have undergone operations for thoracic malignancies, mortality attributable to the operation occurs beyond the first 30 postsurgical days as well as after hospital discharge. Because cancer operations constitute a large portion of general thoracic surgery, we recommend national databases consider the inclusion of 90-day mortality in their data collection.

Second primary lung cancers: smokers versus nonsmokers after resection of stage I lung adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Smokers have a higher risk of developing non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) than never-smokers, but the relative risk of developing second primary lung cancer (SPLC) is unclear. Determining the risk of SPLC in smokers versus never-smokers after treatment of an initial cancer may help guide recommendations for long-term surveillance. METHODS: Patients who underwent resection for stage I adenocarcinoma were identified from a prospectively maintained institutional database. Patients with other histologies, synchronous lesions, or who received neoadjuvant or adjuvant therapy were excluded. The SPLCs were identified based on Martini criteria. RESULTS: From 1995 to 2012, a total of 2,151 patients underwent resection for stage I adenocarcinoma (308 never-smokers [14%] and 1,843 ever-smokers [86%]). SPLC developed in 30 never-smokers (9.9%) and 145 ever-smokers (7.8%). The SPLC was detected by surveillance computed tomography scan in the majority of patients (161; 92%). In total, 87% of never-smokers and 83% of ever-smokers had stage I SPLC. There was no significant difference in the cumulative incidence of SPLC between never-smokers and ever-smokers (p = 0.18) in a competing-risks analysis. The cumulative incidence at 10 years was 20.3% for never-smokers and 18.2% for ever-smokers. CONCLUSIONS: Although smokers have a greater risk of NSCLC, the risk of a second primary cancer developing after resection of stage I lung cancer is comparable between smokers and never-smokers. The majority of these second primary cancers are detectable at a curable stage. Ongoing postoperative surveillance should be recommended for all patients regardless of smoking status.

Patterns of recurrence and second primary lung cancer in early-stage lung cancer survivors followed with routine computed tomography surveillance.

OBJECTIVE: At present, there is no consensus on the optimal strategy for follow-up care after curative resection for lung cancer. We sought to understand the patterns of recurrence and second primary lung cancer, and their mode of detection, after resection for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer in patients who were followed by routine surveillance computed tomography scan. METHODS: We reviewed the outcomes of consecutive patients who underwent resection for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center between 2004 and 2009. RESULTS: A total of 1294 consecutive patients with early-stage non-small cell lung cancer underwent resection. The median length of follow-up was 35 months. Recurrence was diagnosed in 257 patients (20%), and second primary lung cancer was diagnosed in 91 patients (7%). The majority of new primary cancers (85 [93%]) were identified by scheduled routine computed tomography scan, as were a smaller majority of recurrences (157 [61%]). During the first 4 years after surgery, the risk of recurrence ranged from 6% to 10% per person-year but decreased thereafter to 2%. Conversely, the risk of second primary lung cancer ranged from 3% to 6% per person-year and did not diminish over time. Additional testing after false-positive surveillance computed tomography scan results was performed for 329 patients (25%), but only 4 of these patients (0.3%) experienced complications as a result of subsequent invasive diagnostic procedures. CONCLUSIONS: Almost all second primary cancers and the majority of recurrences were detected by post-therapeutic surveillance computed tomography scan. The risk of recurrence for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer survivors persisted during the first 4 years after resection, and vigilance in surveillance should be maintained.

A prediction model for pathologic N2 disease in lung cancer patients with a negative mediastinum by positron emission tomography.

INTRODUCTION: Guidance is limited for invasive staging in patients with lung cancer without mediastinal disease by positron emission tomography (PET). We developed and validated a prediction model for pathologic N2 disease (pN2), using six previously described risk factors: tumor location and size by computed tomography (CT), nodal disease by CT, maximum standardized uptake value of the primary tumor, N1 by PET, and histology. METHODS: A cohort study (2004-2009) was performed in patients with T1/T2 by CT and N0/N1 by PET. Logistic regression analysis was used to develop a prediction model for pN2 among a random development set (n = 625). The model was validated in both the development set, which comprised two thirds of the patients and the validation set (n = 313), which comprised the remaining one third. Model performance was assessed in terms of discrimination and calibration. RESULTS: Among 938 patients, 9.9% had pN2 (9 detected by invasive staging and 84 intraoperatively). In the development set, univariate analyses demonstrated a significant association between pN2 and increasing tumor size (p < 0.001), nodal status by CT (p = 0.007), maximum standardized uptake value of the primary tumor (p = 0.027), and N1 by PET (p < 0.001); however, only N1 by PET was associated with pN2 (p < 0.001) in the multivariate prediction model. The model performed reasonably well in the development (c-statistic, 0.70; 95% confidence interval, 0.63-0.77; goodness of fit p = 0.61) and validation (c-statistic, 0.65; 95% confidence interval, 0.56-0.74; goodness-of-fit p = 0.19) sets. CONCLUSION: A prediction model for pN2 based on six previously described risk factors has reasonable performance characteristics. Observations from this study may guide prospective, multicenter development and validation of a prediction model for pN2.

Recurrence of pulmonary carcinoid tumors after resection: implications for postoperative surveillance.

BACKGROUND: The current guidelines for follow-up care after treatment of non-small cell lung cancer recommend continued surveillance for detection of recurrent or metachronous disease. However, carcinoid tumors, especially those with a typical histologic profile, tend to be less aggressive. Our goal was to determine the patterns of relapse and the manner of detection of recurrences, to guide follow-up care after resection. METHODS: Patients who underwent operations for pulmonary carcinoids at our institution were identified from a prospectively maintained database, and their medical records were reviewed for relapse patterns, detection methods, and outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 337 patients who underwent resection between 1993 and 2010 were included, with a median follow-up time of 3.5 years. Typical and atypical carcinoids were present in 291 (86%) and 46 (14%) patients, respectively. Recurrences occurred in 21 patients (6%), with distant metastases in 20 patients (95%) and locoregional recurrence in only 1 patient. Most recurrences (15 [76%]) were not detected through scheduled surveillance imaging but after the presentation of symptoms (7 [33%]) or incidentally by studies performed for unrelated reasons (8 [38%]). The risk of recurrence increased with positive lymph nodes and atypical histologic type. Only 9 of 291 patients (3%) with typical carcinoids experienced recurrences, with a median time to recurrence of 4 years (range, 0.8-12 years). Conversely, 12 of 46 patients (26%) with atypical carcinoids experienced recurrences, with a median time to recurrence of 1.8 years (range, 0.2-7 years). CONCLUSIONS: After complete resection, scheduled surveillance imaging failed to detect most recurrences. Recurrence was rare in patients with node-negative typical carcinoids. Given the low risk of recurrence and the unclear efficacy of surveillance imaging, routine surveillance imaging may not be warranted in this cohort.