Regional Differences in Clinical Presentation and Prognosis of Patients With Post-Sustained Virologic Response Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Widespread use of direct-acting antivirals for hepatitis C virus infection has been paralleled with increased numbers of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after achieving sustained virologic response (post-SVR HCC) worldwide. Few data compare regional differences in the presentation and prognosis of patients with post-SVR HCC. METHODS: We identified patients with advanced fibrosis (F3/F4) who developed incident post-SVR HCC between March 2015 and October 2021 from 30 sites in Europe, North America, South America, the Middle East, South Asia, East Asia, and Southeast Asia. We compared patient demographics, liver dysfunction, and tumor burden by region. We compared overall survival by region using Kaplan-Meier analysis and identified factors associated with survival using multivariable Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: Among 8796 patients with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis who achieved SVR, 583 (6.6%) developed incident HCC. There was marked regional variation in the proportion of patients detected by surveillance (range: 59.5%-100%), median maximum tumor diameter (range, 1.8-5.0 cm), and the proportion with multinodular HCC (range, 15.4%-60.8%). The prognosis of patients highly varied by region (hazard ratio range, 1.82-9.92), with the highest survival rates in East Asia, North America, and South America, and the lowest survival rates in the Middle East and South Asia. After adjusting for geographic region, HCC surveillance was associated with early stage detection (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0/A, 71.0% vs 21.3%; P < .0001) and lower mortality rates (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.18-0.46). CONCLUSIONS: Clinical characteristics, including early stage detection, and prognosis of post-SVR HCC differed significantly across geographic regions. Surveillance utilization appears to be a high-yield intervention target to improve prognosis among patients with post-SVR HCC globally.

Serum Angiopoietin-2 Levels Predict the Development of Hepatocellular Carcinoma following Hepatitis C Virus Eradication Using Direct-Acting Antiviral Agents.

INTRODUCTION: Our previous studies showed that serum angiopoietin-2 (Ang-2) and C-X-C motif chemokine ligand 10 (CXCL10) levels predicted improvement in liver fibrosis following sustained virological response (SVR) of hepatitis C virus (HCV) obtained with administration of with direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs). These levels were evaluated retrospectively as predictive indicators of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development following SVR. METHODS: We enrolled individuals from a historical cohort of 89 chronic HCV patients without history of HCC at baseline and with SVR following DAA therapy and had baseline serum levels of Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer ≥2.0 cut-off index (C.O.I.). RESULTS: Multivariate analyses revealed that only the Ang-2 level at 24 weeks following the end of treatment (EOT24W) was significantly related to HCC development (hazard ratio 2.27; p = 0.003). This result was reproduced in individuals without history of HCC and with advanced liver fibrosis (M2BPGi level ≥3.3 C.O.I. at baseline). Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve analyses for the future risk of developing HCC within 5 years of follow-up (5y-HCC) showed the best cut-off Ang-2 level at the EOT24W was 2,780 pg/mL, and significantly stratified the cumulative incidence of HCC (≥2,780 vs. < 2,780 pg/mL, 5y-HCC: 45.5 vs. 8.2%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: At the EOT24W, serum Ang-2 level predicts the likelihood of developing HCC following SVR to DAA therapy.

Prognostic nutritional index after introduction of atezolizumab with bevacizumab predicts prognosis in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: A multicenter study.

INTRODUCTION: Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atez/Bev) is the preferred treatment for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, biomarkers of therapeutic efficacy have remained unclear. We took a retrospective approach to explore the role of prognostic nutritional index (PNI) for predicting the outcomes of Atez/Bev treatment. METHODS: One hundred twenty-five HCC patients were enlisted; these patients received Atez/Bev treatment and underwent dynamic computerized tomography/magnetic resonance imaging to determine the treatment response on at least one occasion between October 2020 and January 2023, and their PNI before treatment and at the beginning of the second cycle (PNI-2c) was evaluated. RESULTS: During the initial evaluation, 2 (2%), 28 (22%), 70 (56%), and 25 (20%) patients exhibited a complete response (CR), partial response (PR), stable disease (SD), and progressive disease (PD), respectively. Patients with non-PD tended to have higher PNI at baseline and PNI-2c than those with PD (p = 0.245 and 0.122, respectively), with optimal baseline PNI and PNI-2c cut-off values of 42.6 and 40.4, respectively. PNI at baseline could not be used to predict overall survival (OS) or progression-free survival (PFS). However, PNI-2c predicted OS and PFS (PNI-2c ≥ 40.4 vs. < 40.4: 25.3 vs. 16.2 months, P = 0.008 for OS; 12.7 vs. 8.4 months, P = 0.036 for PFS). A multivariate analysis showed a significant association between PNI-2c and OS. CONCLUSIONS: PNI-2c is a predictor of prognosis in HCC patients treated with Atez/Bev therapy.

Efficacy of antiviral therapy for the prevention of mother-to-child transmission of hepatitis B virus and the risk of postpartum hepatitis flare after discontinuation of antiviral therapy.

The use of nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) is recommended for mothers with a high viral load of hepatitis B virus (HBV) during the second or third trimester of pregnancy. However, postpartum hepatitis flares can occur in some cases. We examined the efficacy of NA administration for the prevention of mother-to-child transmission of hepatitis B virus, and evaluated the risk of postpartum hepatitis flares in mothers after NA discontinuation. Nine pregnant women with a high viral load (HBV DNA ≥5.3 log IU/mL) received tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) at approximately 28 weeks of gestation, and TDF was discontinued at 4-10 weeks after delivery. We evaluated the virological and biochemical parameters in mothers after TDF discontinuation. Hepatitis flares in mothers were defined as alanine transaminase level ≥60 U/L. None of the infants developed any congenital anomaly or acquired HBV infection during infancy. Hepatitis flares occurred within 6 months after TDF discontinuation in five of seven cases, whereas two cases were lost to follow-up. Furthermore, three cases required the resumption of NA use. NA administration was highly effective against mother-to-child-transmission of HBV in pregnant women with high HBV DNA levels. However, hepatitis flares were commonly observed after NA discontinuation in the postpartum period. Patients should be followed up carefully after NA discontinuation, and NA resumption should be considered based on a comprehensive assessment of virological and biochemical parameters.

Serum inducible protein 10 kDa/C-X-C motif chemokine 10 levels predict regression of M2BPGi-based liver fibrosis after hepatitis C virus eradication by direct-acting antiviral agents.

AIM: It is desirable to identify predictors of regression of liver fibrosis after achieving sustained virological response by anti-hepatitis C virus (anti-HCV) therapy. We retrospectively investigated the serum interferon-γ inducible protein 10 kDa (IP-10) level as a predictive indicator of regression of liver fibrosis after successful hepatitis C virus eradication by direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) therapy. METHODS: The study participants were recruited from a historical cohort of 116 chronically hepatitis C virus-infected patients who had achieved sustained virological response by DAAs therapy and whose serum Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) levels at baseline (before DAAs therapy) were ≥2.0 cut-off index. We defined patients with M2BPGi levels <1.76 and ≥1.76 cut-off index at 2 years after the end of treatment (EOT) as the regression (n = 71) and non-regression (n = 45) groups, respectively. RESULTS: Multivariate analyses revealed that the albumin-bilirubin score at baseline, and albumin-bilirubin score, Fibrosis-4 index at 24 weeks after the EOT, and serum IP-10 change from baseline to 24 weeks after the EOT (IP-10 change) were significantly associated with regression of M2BPGi-based liver fibrosis. In addition, IP-10 change was significantly associated with regression of M2BPGi-based liver fibrosis by a multivariate analysis, even when the serum M2BPGi levels were aligned by propensity score matching and in patients with advanced M2BPGi-based liver fibrosis: M2BPGi levels ≥3.3 cut-off index at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: Serum IP-10 change from baseline to 24 weeks after the EOT is a feasible predictor of regression of M2BPGi-based liver fibrosis after achieving sustained virological response with DAA therapy.

Serum interleukin-6 levels at the start of the second course of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab therapy predict therapeutic efficacy in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Serum interleukin-6 (IL-6) before the administration of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atez + Bev) is a prognostic biomarker in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with Atez + Bev. We previously revealed that the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and serum chemokine levels during treatment with Atez + Bev were more useful as prognostic biomarkers. Therefore, we examined the predictive ability of serum IL-6 for the efficacy of Atez + Bev in patients with HCC. METHODS: We enrolled 94 patients with HCC who received treatment with Atez + Bev. Initial responses were assessed through dynamic computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging. The levels of IL-6 in serum were measured before and at the initiation of the second course of Atez + Bev. Subsequently, the relationship of IL-6 levels with treatment efficacy was evaluated. RESULTS: IL-6 levels at the initiation of the second course tended to be higher in patients with progressive disease versus those with non-progressive disease in the initial evaluation (P = 0.054). Moreover, the cutoff value (7.4 pg/mL) was useful in stratifying patients by overall survival (i.e. low vs high: not reached vs 21.4 months, respectively, P = 0.001) and progression-free survival (low vs high: 11.9 vs 5.2 months, respectively, P = 0.004). This result was reproduced in patients with HCC who received Atez + Bev as first-line therapy. In the multivariate analyses, IL-6 levels at the initiation of the second course were independent predictive factors for progression-free and overall survival. CONCLUSIONS: Serum levels of IL-6 at the initiation of the second course of treatment may predict Atez + Bev efficacy and prognosis in HCC.

Comparison of six hepatocellular carcinoma prediction models in Japanese patients after sustained virologic response undergoing rigorous surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: While several predictive models for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have been proposed, including those for patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection who have achieved sustained virologic response (SVR), the best model may differ between regions. We compared the ability of six reported models to stratify the risk of post-SVR HCC in Japan, where rigorous surveillance and early detection of HCC is common. METHODS: A total of 6048 patients with no history of HCC who achieved SVR by oral direct-acting antiviral drugs were enrolled in this nationwide study. Patients continued HCC surveillance every 6 months after SVR. The incidence of post-SVR HCC was compared between risk groups using the aMAP score, FIB-4 index, Tahata model, GAF4 criteria, GES score, and ADRES score. RESULTS: During the observation period with a median duration of 4.0 years after SVR, post-SVR HCC developed in 332 patients (5.5%). All six models performed significantly at stratifying the incidence of HCC. However, Harrell's C-index was below 0.8 for all models (range, 0.660-0.748), indicating insufficient stratification ability. CONCLUSION: Although all six proposed models demonstrated a good ability to predict the development of post-SVR HCC, their ability to stratify the risk of post-SVRHCC was unsatisfactory. Further studies are necessary to identify the best model for assessing the risk of post-SVR HCC in regions where early detection of HCC is common.

Kinetics of HBcrAg and HBsAg using highly sensitive iTACT assays in chronic hepatitis B patients with HBsAg seroclearance.

Two novel assays have been developed, iTACT-hepatitis B core-related antigen (iTACT-HBcrAg) and iTACT-hepatitis B surface antigen (iTACT-HBsAg) assays. We investigated the longitudinal profiles of iTACT-HBcrAg- and -HBsAg in patients with HBsAg seroclearance (SC) (<0.05 IU/mL). This study comprises 60 HBV-infected patients with HBsAg SC, 27 in chronic hepatitis/liver cirrhosis (CH/LC) group and 33 in inactive carrier (IC) group. Longitudinal profiles of iTACT-HBcrAg and -HBsAg were examined using stored serum samples. The median period from HBsAg SC to iTACT-HBcrAg loss or to the last observation was longer in the CH/LC group than the IC group (39 vs. -3 months, p = 0.004), but this tendency was not observed in that by iTACT-HBsAg. Comparing the times of iTACT-HBcrAg and -HBsAg loss, the rate of patients who lost HBcrAg first was significantly higher in the IC group (p = 0.008). The cumulative incidence rate of iTACT-HBcrAg loss after HBsAg SC was higher in the IC group that the CH/LC group (p = 0.002). Patients in the CH/LC group had higher rates of detectable iTACT-HBcrAg than those in the IC group after HBsAg SC, suggesting that the presence of HBcrAg possibly contribute to the progression of chronic hepatitis B.

Efficacy of minocycline hydrochloride aspiration sclerotherapy with additional monoethanolamine oleate aspiration sclerotherapy for symptomatic hepatic cysts.

AIM: Minocycline hydrochloride (MINO) aspiration sclerotherapy (AS) has been widely used for treating hepatic cysts (HC). However, cyst recurrence remains problematic. Information on monoethanolamine oleate (EO) AS, another effective HC treatment, is currently limited. We investigated the efficacy of EO on ineffective MINO treatments, and the relationship between MINO AS and cyst fluid pH. METHODS: A total of 22 cases with symptomatic HC underwent AS with 500 mg of MINO from January 2016 to June 2021. Cyst fluid pH was measured before and after MINO injection. Cyst volume ratio (CVR, %) after 2 weeks was calculated as follows:cyst volume 2 weeks after MINO injection / pre-treatment cyst volume × 100. Treatment was completed if CVR after 2 weeks was ≤35% (MINO-group). For patients with CVR >35%, 2 g of EO was added (MINO/EO-group). Cyst volume ratio was measured every 12 months thereafter. RESULTS: There were no recurrence symptoms in any of the patients during follow-up. Of the 22 cases, 21 had CVR ≤20% after 12 months. The MINO/EO-group (n = 8) tended to have smaller CVRs after 12 months than the MINO-group (n = 14). Cyst volume ratio after 2 weeks was correlated to pH change (p = 0.012) and was larger in patients whose pH decreased by <1.5 (p = 0.015). All adverse events were mild, including in elderly patients. CONCLUSION: Adding EO is an effective and safe treatment for symptomatic HC when MINO AS alone is insufficient. Patients with pH decreases of <1.5 should be considered for additional EO treatment.

Outcome of nucleos(t)ide analog cessation in patients with treatment for prevention of or against hepatitis B virus reactivation.

AIM: We retrospectively investigated patients with administration of nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) for prevention of or against hepatitis B virus (HBV) reactivation, and their clinical outcomes after cessation of the NA. METHODS: We enrolled 180 patients who were positive for HBsAg when they started immunosuppressive therapy or chemotherapy and an NA was administered to prevent HBV reactivation (HBV carrier group), and 82 patients with resolved HBV infection who started administration of an NA after HBV reactivation (de novo HBV group). Cessation of the NA depended on each physician's judgment without definite criteria. RESULTS: A total of 27 patients in the HBV carrier group and 22 in the de novo HBV group stopped NA therapy. In the HBV carrier group, 16 patients experienced virological relapse, which was defined as HBV DNA levels ≥20 IU/ml, and one with hematological disease had an alanine aminotransferase flare after cessation of NA. Of the 16 patients, the NA was reintroduced in three, whereas, the remaining 13 had low levels of HBV DNA and no alanine aminotransferase flare. In the de novo HBV group, virological relapse occurred in six patients, and one with hematological disease had an alanine aminotransferase flare after cessation of the NA. The NA was reintroduced in four of the six patients. CONCLUSIONS: We may be able to consider to cease NA therapy proactively in HBV carriers and resolved patients with non-hematological disease, if their primary diseases are under remission after completion of immunosuppressive therapy or chemotherapy. However, careful follow up is necessary after stopping NA therapy.

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio at the start of the second course during atezolizumab plus bevacizumab therapy predicts therapeutic efficacy in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: A multicenter analysis.

AIM: Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atez/Bev) therapy is expected to have good therapeutic efficacy for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the clinical indicators that predict therapeutic efficacy have not been established. We retrospectively investigated whether the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) during Atez/Bev therapy could predict therapeutic efficacy. METHOD: In total, 110 patients with HCC were enrolled; they were treated with Atez/Bev therapy and evaluated for their initial response by dynamic CT or MRI at least once between October 2020 and July 2022. RESULTS: Of the 110 patients with HCC at the initial evaluation, two (2%) showed a complete response (CR), 22 (20%) partial response (PR), 62 (56%) stable disease (SD), and 24 (21%) progressive disease (PD). The NLR at the start of the second course (NLR-2c) increased from CR + PR to SD to PD. There was no significant association between the baseline NLR and the initial therapeutic response. Patients with CR + PR had lower NLR-2c values than those with SD + PD (p < 0.001) and the optimal cut-off value of NLR-2c was 1.97. Patients with NLR-2c <1.97 had better overall survival and progression-free survival (PFS) than those with NLR-2c ≥1.97 (p = 0.005 for overall survival; p < 0.001 for PFS). A multivariate analysis showed that female sex, higher PIVKA-II levels at baseline, and higher values of NLR-2c were significantly associated with poorer PFS. CONCLUSIONS: The NLR-2c value predicts the initial therapeutic response and prognosis of patients with HCC treated with Atez/Bev therapy.

Clinical outcomes of antithrombin III-based therapy for patients with portal vein thrombosis: A retrospective, multicenter study.

AIM: The association between thrombolytic therapy and the outcome in patients with portal vein thrombosis (PVT) remains controversial. This study aimed to evaluate the outcome in patients with PVT who received antithrombin III-based therapy. METHODS: This study was a retrospective, multicenter study to investigate the liver-related events and the survival rates in 240 patients with PVT who received the therapy. RESULTS: The patients comprised 151 men and 89 women, with a median age of 69 years. The rate of favorable response, defined as maximum area of PVT changed to ≤75%, was 67.5% (162/240). The cumulative rates of liver-related events at 1, 2, and 3 years were 38.2%, 53.9%, and 68.5%, respectively. The multivariate analysis showed that viable hepatocellular carcinoma, absence of maintenance therapy, non-responder, and PVT progression were significantly associated with liver-related events. The PVT progression was observed in 23.3% (56/240). The multivariate analysis identified older age, absence of maintenance therapy, and non-responder as independent factors associated with PVT progression. The multivariate analysis revealed that younger age, no hepatocellular carcinoma, presence of maintenance therapy, and lower Model for End-stage Liver Disease-Sodium score significantly contributed to 3-year survival. Of the 240 patients, 13 (8.9%) prematurely discontinued treatment due to any adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that maintenance therapy, favorable response, and absence of PVT progression may suppress or control liver-related events in antithrombin III-based therapy for patients with PVT. Specifically, maintenance therapy could suppress not only liver-related events, but also PVT progression and improve the prognosis.

Optimal dose escalation methods using deep reinforcement learning in phase I oncology trials.

In phase I trials of a novel anticancer drug, one of the most important objectives is to identify the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). To this end, a number of methods have been proposed and evaluated under various scenarios. However, the percentages of correct selection (PCS) of MTDs using previous methods are insufficient to determine the dose for late-phase trials. The purpose of this study is to construct an action rule for escalating or de-escalating the dose and continuing or stopping the trial to increase the PCS as much as possible. We show that deep reinforcement learning with an appropriately defined state, action, and reward can be used to construct such an action selection rule. The simulation study shows that the proposed method can improve the PCS compared with the 3 + 3 design, CRM, BLRM, BOIN, mTPI, and i3 + 3 methods.

International multicenter validation of GES score for HCC risk stratification in chronic hepatitis C patients.

We have recently demonstrated the ability of a simple predictive model (GES) score to determine the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after using direct-acting antivirals. However, our results were restricted to Egyptian patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 4. Therefore, we studied a large, independent cohort of multiethnic populations through our international collaborative activity. Depending on their GES scores, patients are stratified into low risk (≤ 6/12.5), intermediate risk (> 6-7.5/12.5), and high risk (> 7.5/12.5) for HCC. A total of 12,038 patients with chronic HCV were analyzed in this study, of whom 11,202 were recruited from 54 centers in France, Japan, India, the U.S., and Spain, and the remaining 836 were selected from the Gilead-sponsored randomized controlled trial conducted across the U.S., Europe, Canada, and Australia. Descriptive statistics and log-rank tests. The performance of the GES score was evaluated using Harrell's C-index (HCI). The GES score proved successful at stratifying all patients into 3 risk groups, namely low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk. It also displayed significant predictive value for HCC development in all participants (p < .0001), with HCI ranging from 0.55 to 0.76 among all cohorts after adjusting for HCV genotypes and patient ethnicities. The GES score can be used to stratify HCV patients into 3 categories of risk for HCC, namely low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk, irrespective of their ethnicities or HCV genotypes. This international multicenter validation may allow the use of GES score in individualized HCC risk-based surveillance programs.

Bile acid dysmetabolism in the gut-microbiota-liver axis under hepatitis C virus infection.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: We recently analysed and reported the features of the micro biome under hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, but the effect of HCV infection on bile acid (BA) metabolism in the gut-liver axis remains poorly understood. The aim of this study was to clarify the characteristics of the gut-liver axis in HCV-infected patients. METHODS: The faecal BAs composition and gut microbiota from 100 chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients were compared with those from 23 healthy individuals. For transcriptional analysis of the liver, 22 mild CHC (fibrosis stages [F] 0-2) and 42 advanced CHC (F3-4) cases were compared with 12 healthy individuals. The findings were confirmed using chimeric mice with human hepatocytes infected with HCV HCR6. RESULTS: Chronic hepatitis C patients, even at earlier disease stages, showed BA profiles distinct from healthy individuals, in which faecal deoxycholic acid (DCA) was significantly reduced and lithocholic acid or ursodeoxycholic acid became dominant. The decrease in faecal DCA was correlated with reduction in commensal Clostridiales and increase in oral Lactobacillales. Impaired biosynthesis of cholic acid (CA) was observed as a reduction in the transcription level of cytochrome P450 8B1 (CYP8B1), a key enzyme in CA biosynthesis. The reductions in faecal DCA and liver CYP8B1 were also observed in HCV-infected chimeric mice. CONCLUSIONS: Chronic hepatitis C alters the intestinal BA profile, in association with the imbalance of BA biosynthesis, which differs from the pattern in NAFLD. These imbalances appear to drive disease progression through the gut-microbiome-liver axis.

Optimal adaptive allocation using deep reinforcement learning in a dose-response study.

Estimation of the dose-response curve for efficacy and subsequent selection of an appropriate dose in phase II trials are important processes in drug development. Various methods have been investigated to estimate dose-response curves. Generally, these methods are used with equal allocation of subjects for simplicity; nevertheless, they may not fully optimize performance metrics because of nonoptimal allocation. Optimal allocation methods, which include adaptive allocation methods, have been proposed to overcome the limitations of equal allocation. However, they rely on asymptotics, and thus sometimes cannot efficiently optimize the performance metric with the sample size in an actual clinical trial. The purpose of this study is to construct an adaptive allocation rule that directly optimizes a performance metric, such as power, accuracy of model selection, accuracy of the estimated target dose, or mean absolute error over the estimated dose-response curve. We demonstrate that deep reinforcement learning with an appropriately defined state and reward can be used to construct such an adaptive allocation rule. The simulation study shows that the proposed method can successfully improve the performance metric to be optimized when compared with the equal allocation, D-optimal, and TD-optimal methods. In particular, when the mean absolute error was set to the metric to be optimized, it is possible to construct a rule that is superior for many metrics.

Serum angiopoietin-2 levels predict regression of Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer-based liver fibrosis after hepatitis C virus eradication by direct-acting antiviral agents.

AIM: It is desirable to identify predictors of regression of liver fibrosis after achieving a sustained virologic response (SVR) by direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) to antihepatitis C virus (HCV) therapy. Here, we retrospectively investigated the serum angiopoietin-2 (Ang-2) level as a predictive indicator of regression of liver fibrosis after successful HCV eradication by DAA therapy. METHODS: The study subjects were recruited from a historical cohort of 109 chronically HCV-infected patients who had achieved SVR by DAA therapy and whose serum Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) levels at baseline (before DAA therapy) were ≥2.0 the cut-off index (COI). We defined patients with M2BPGi levels <1.76 and ≥1.76 COI at 2 years after the end of treatment (EOT) as the regression (R, n = 69) and nonregression (NR, n = 40) groups, respectively. RESULTS: Multivariate analyses revealed that the Ang-2 level at baseline and the Ang-2 level, albumin-bilirubin score, and FIB-4 index at 24 weeks after the EOT were significantly associated with regression of M2BPGi-based liver fibrosis. Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses showed that the Ang-2 level at 24 weeks after the EOT had the largest area under the curve values (0.859). The same results were obtained even when the serum M2BPGi levels were aligned by propensity score matching and in patients with advanced M2BPGi-based liver fibrosis: M2BPGi levels ≥3.3 COI at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: The serum Ang-2 level at 24 weeks after the EOT is a feasible predictor of regression of M2BPGi-based liver fibrosis after achieving SVR by DAA therapy.

Management of hepatitis B virus (HBV) reactivation in patients with resolved HBV infection based on a highly sensitive HB core-related antigen assay.

AIMS: To prevent hepatitis B virus (HBV) reactivation-related hepatitis, we examined the clinical usefulness of a highly sensitive HB core-related antigen (iTACT-HBcrAg) assay in patients with resolved HBV infection after nucleos(t)ide analog (NA) treatment for HBV reactivation. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 27 patients with resolved HBV infection who experienced HBV reactivation (defined as HBV DNA levels of 1.3 log IU/ml or more), and who received systemic chemotherapies for hematological malignancies between 2008 and 2020. iTACT-HBcrAg, HBsAg-HQ, and antibodies against hepatitis B surface antigen (anti-HBs) were measured using samples stored after HBV reactivation. The lower limit of quantification for iTACT-HBcrAg was 2.0 log U/ml. RESULTS: HBV reactivation was diagnosed at a median HBV DNA level of 1.8 log IU/ml, and then all patients received NA treatment. No patient had HBV-related hepatitis with a median maximum HBV DNA level of 2.0 log IU/ml. The positivities of iTACT-HBcrAg and HBsAg-HQ were 96% and 52% after HBV reactivation, respectively. Of 25 patients with detectable iTACT-HBcrAg at the initiation of NA treatment, 17 (68%) achieved iTACT-HBcrAg loss. Median durations from NA treatment to HBV DNA loss and iTACT-HBcrAg loss or the last follow-up were 35 and 175 days, respectively. Recurrence of HBV reactivation after NA cessation was not observed in seven of eight patients who achieved iTACT-HBcrAg loss or seropositive for anti-HBs during follow-up, except for one without anti-HBs after allogeneic transplantation. CONCLUSIONS: iTACT-HBcrAg could be a potential surrogate marker for diagnosing early-stage HBV reactivation as well as safe cessation of NA treatment in patients with resolved HBV infection after HBV reactivation.

Time-course changes in liver functional reserve after successful sofosbuvir/velpatasvir treatment in patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

AIM: Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are currently available even for patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Reportedly, hepatic functional reserve improved in the short term after achievement of sustained virologic response (SVR). We aimed to clarify the outcomes after achievement of SVR in patients with decompensated cirrhosis who were treated by DAAs in real-world clinical practice. METHODS: A prospective, multicenter study of 12-week sofosbuvir/velpatasvir was conducted in 86 patients with decompensated cirrhosis, who were evaluated for 48 weeks post-treatment. RESULTS: The cohort included 8 patients with Child-Pugh class A, 56 with B, and 22 with C. The proportion of Child-Pugh class A patients increased from 9.1% at baseline to 44.1% at 48 weeks post-treatment, while that of class B and C patients decreased from 66.2% to 35.1% and from 24.7% to 14.3%, respectively. Among the patients with Child-Pugh class B and C, univariate analysis identified low total bilirubin, Child-Pugh score, Child-Pugh class B, ALBI score, and high serum albumin as factors associated with improvement to Child-Pugh class A. The optimal cut-off value of the factors for predicting improvement to Child-Pugh class A were 1.4 mg/dl for total bilirubin, 2.9 g/dl for serum albumin, 8 points for Child-Pugh score, and -1.88 for ALBI score. CONCLUSION: Achievement of SVR with sofosbuvir/velpatasvir improved the liver functional reserve at 12 weeks post-treatment and maintained the stable effects until 48 weeks post-treatment in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Specifically, the patients with less advanced conditions had the likelihood of improving to Child-Pugh class A at 48 weeks post-treatment.

Excess All-Cause Deaths during Coronavirus Disease Pandemic, Japan, January-May 20201.

To provide insight into the mortality burden of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Japan, we estimated the excess all-cause deaths for each week during the pandemic, January-May 2020, by prefecture and age group. We applied quasi-Poisson regression models to vital statistics data. Excess deaths were expressed as the range of differences between the observed and expected number of all-cause deaths and the 95% upper bound of the 1-sided prediction interval. A total of 208-4,322 all-cause excess deaths at the national level indicated a 0.03%-0.72% excess in the observed number of deaths. Prefecture and age structure consistency between the reported COVID-19 deaths and our estimates was weak, suggesting the need to use cause-specific analyses to distinguish between direct and indirect consequences of COVID-19.