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Science ; 371(6536)2021 03 26.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33531384

RESUMEN

After initial declines, in mid-2020 a resurgence in transmission of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) occurred in the United States and Europe. As efforts to control COVID-19 disease are reintensified, understanding the age demographics driving transmission and how these affect the loosening of interventions is crucial. We analyze aggregated, age-specific mobility trends from more than 10 million individuals in the United States and link these mechanistically to age-specific COVID-19 mortality data. We estimate that as of October 2020, individuals aged 20 to 49 are the only age groups sustaining resurgent SARS-CoV-2 transmission with reproduction numbers well above one and that at least 65 of 100 COVID-19 infections originate from individuals aged 20 to 49 in the United States. Targeting interventions-including transmission-blocking vaccines-to adults aged 20 to 49 is an important consideration in halting resurgent epidemics and preventing COVID-19-attributable deaths.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/transmisión , Epidemias , Adolescente , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Número Básico de Reproducción , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/prevención & control , Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , Teléfono Celular , Niño , Preescolar , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles , Epidemias/prevención & control , Humanos , Lactante , Persona de Mediana Edad , Modelos Teóricos , Pandemias/prevención & control , Instituciones Académicas , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Adulto Joven
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