Development of novel clinical examination scales for the measurement of disease severity in Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease.

OBJECTIVE: To use a robust statistical methodology to develop and validate clinical rating scales quantifying longitudinal motor and cognitive dysfunction in sporadic Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (sCJD) at the bedside. METHODS: Rasch analysis was used to iteratively construct interval scales measuring composite cognitive and motor dysfunction from pooled bedside neurocognitive examinations collected as part of the prospective National Prion Monitoring Cohort study, October 2008-December 2016.A longitudinal clinical examination dataset constructed from 528 patients with sCJD, comprising 1030 Motor Scale and 757 Cognitive Scale scores over 130 patient-years of study, was used to demonstrate scale utility. RESULTS: The Rasch-derived Motor Scale consists of 8 items, including assessments reliant on pyramidal, extrapyramidal and cerebellar systems. The Cognitive Scale comprises 6 items, and includes measures of executive function, language, visual perception and memory. Both scales are unidimensional, perform independently of age or gender and have excellent inter-rater reliability. They can be completed in minutes at the bedside, as part of a normal neurocognitive examination. A composite Examination Scale can be derived by averaging both scores. Several scale uses, in measuring longitudinal change, prognosis and phenotypic heterogeneity are illustrated. CONCLUSIONS: These two novel sCJD Motor and Cognitive Scales and the composite Examination Scale should prove useful to objectively measure phenotypic and clinical change in future clinical trials and for patient stratification. This statistical approach can help to overcome obstacles to assessing clinical change in rapidly progressive, multisystem conditions with limited longitudinal follow-up.

Development of prognostic models for survival and care status in sporadic Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease.

Sporadic Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease, the most common human prion disease, typically presents as a rapidly progressive dementia and has a highly variable prognosis. Despite this heterogeneity, clinicians need to give timely advice on likely prognosis and care needs. No prognostic models have been developed that predict survival or time to increased care status from the point of diagnosis. We aimed to develop clinically useful prognostic models with data from a large prospective observational cohort study. Five hundred and thirty-seven patients were visited by mobile teams of doctors and nurses from the National Health Service National Prion Clinic within 5 days of notification of a suspected diagnosis of sporadic Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease, enrolled to the study between October 2008 and March 2020, and followed up until November 2020. Prediction of survival over 10-, 30- and 100-day periods was the main outcome. Escalation of care status over the same time periods was a secondary outcome for a subsample of 113 patients with low care status at initial assessment. Two hundred and eighty (52.1%) patients were female and the median age was 67.2 (interquartile range 10.5) years. Median survival from initial assessment was 24 days (range 0-1633); 414 patients died within 100 days (77%). Ten variables were included in the final prediction models: sex; days since symptom onset; baseline care status; PRNP codon 129 genotype; Medical Research Council Prion Disease Rating Scale, Motor and Cognitive Examination Scales; count of MRI abnormalities; Mini-Mental State Examination score and categorical disease phenotype. The strongest predictor was PRNP codon 129 genotype (odds ratio 6.65 for methionine homozygous compared with methionine-valine heterozygous; 95% confidence interval 3.02-14.68 for 30-day mortality). Of 113 patients with lower care status at initial assessment, 88 (78%) had escalated care status within 100 days, with a median of 35 days. Area under the curve for models predicting outcomes within 10, 30 and 100 days was 0.94, 0.92 and 0.91 for survival, and 0.87, 0.87 and 0.95 for care status escalation, respectively. Models without PRNP codon 129 genotype, which is not immediately available at initial assessment, were also highly accurate. We have developed a model that can accurately predict survival and care status escalation in sporadic Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease patients using clinical, imaging and genetic data routinely available in a specialist national referral service. The utility and generalizability of these models to other settings could be prospectively evaluated when recruiting to clinical trials and providing clinical care.

Enteral feeding is associated with longer survival in the advanced stages of prion disease.

To report the frequency, complications, survival and motivations for enteral feeding in UK patients with prion diseases. We analysed data from an ongoing prospective observational cohort study of UK patients with prion diseases (n = 635). Gastrostomy-treated cases were matched by age, gender, disease aetiology, severity, duration and a genetic predictor of survival (ratio 1:3.1). The main outcome was survival (unadjusted log-rank test); secondary outcomes were future functional impairments, complications and retrospective carer interviews to determine qualitative benefits and motivations. Enteral feeding is uncommon in UK patients with prion diseases (n = 26/635; 4.1%), but more frequent in acquired (7/41, 17.1%) and inherited (7/128, 5.5%) compared with sporadic disease (12/466, 2.6%; P = 3 × 10-5 chi-squared), and used mostly at advanced stages. Enteral feeding was complicated by infection and the need for reinsertions, but associated with markedly longer survival at advanced neurodisability (median 287 days, range 41-3877 versus 17 days, range 0-2356; log-rank test in three aetiologies each P < 0.01). Interviews revealed different motivations for enteral feeding, including perceived quality of life benefits. We provide Class II evidence that enteral feeding prolongs the akinetic-mute phase of all aetiological types of prion disease. These data may help support decision making in palliative care. Enteral feeding is an important potential confounder in prion disease clinical trials that use survival as an endpoint.