Utility of published DNA reactivity alerts.

The identification of impurities with mutagenic potential is required for any potential pharmaceutical. The ICH M7 guidelines state that two complementary in silico toxicity prediction tools may be used to predict the mutagenic potential of pharmaceutical impurities. An expert review of the resulting in silico predictions is required, and numerous publications have been released to guide the expert review process. One such publication suggests that literature-based structural alerts (LBSAs) may provide a suitable aid in the expert review process. This publication provides a study of the effect of using one such set of LBSAs for the expert review of mutagenicity predictions from two complementary in silico tools. The analysis was performed using an Ames test dataset of 2619 compounds, and required interpretation of the LBSAs which proved to be a subjective process. Globally the LBSAs produced many more false positives than the in silico systems; whilst some exhibited a predictive performance comparable to the in silico systems, the majority were overly sensitive at the cost of accuracy. Use of LBSAs as part of an expert review process, without considering mitigating factors, could result in many more false positives and potentially the need to carry out additional and unnecessary Ames tests.

A quantitative in silico model for predicting skin sensitization using a nearest neighbours approach within expert-derived structure-activity alert spaces.

Dermal contact with chemicals may lead to an inflammatory reaction known as allergic contact dermatitis. Consequently, it is important to assess new and existing chemicals for their skin sensitizing potential and to mitigate exposure accordingly. There is an urgent need to develop quantitative non-animal methods to better predict the potency of potential sensitizers, driven largely by European Union (EU) Regulation 1223/2009, which forbids the use of animal tests for cosmetic ingredients sold in the EU. A Nearest Neighbours in silico model was developed using an in-house dataset of 1096 murine local lymph node (LLNA) studies. The EC3 value (the effective concentration of the test substance producing a threefold increase in the stimulation index compared to controls) of a given chemical was predicted using the weighted average of EC3 values of up to 10 most similar compounds within the same mechanistic space (as defined by activating the same Derek skin sensitization alert). The model was validated using previously unseen internal (n = 45) and external (n = 103) data and accuracy of predictions assessed using a threefold error, fivefold error, European Centre for Ecotoxicology and Toxicology of Chemicals (ECETOC) and Globally Harmonized System of Classification and Labelling of Chemicals (GHS) classifications. In particular, the model predicts the GHS skin sensitization category of compounds well, predicting 64% of chemicals in an external test set within the correct category. Of the remaining chemicals in the previously unseen dataset, 25% were over-predicted (GHS 1A predicted: GHS 1B experimentally) and 11% were under-predicted (GHS 1B predicted: GHS 1A experimentally). Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Enhancing developmental and reproductive toxicity knowledge: A new AOP stemming from glutathione depletion.

Integrated approaches to testing and assessments (IATAs) have been proposed as a method to organise new approach methodologies in order to replace traditional animal testing for chemical safety assessments. To capture the mechanistic aspects of toxicity assessments, IATAs can be framed around the adverse outcome pathway (AOP) concept. To utilise AOPs fully in this context, a sufficient number of pathways need to be present to develop fit for purpose IATAs. In silico approaches can support IATA through the provision of predictive models and also through data integration to derive conclusions using a weight-of-evidence approach. To examine the maturity of a developmental and reproductive toxicity (DART) AOP network derived from the literature, an assessment of its coverage was performed against a novel toxicity dataset. A dataset of diverse compounds, with data from studies performed according to OECD test guidelines TG-421 and TG-422, was curated to test the performance of an in silico model based on the AOP network - allowing for the identification of knowledge gaps within the network. One such gap in the knowledge was filled through the development of an AOP stemming from the molecular initiating event 'glutathione reaction with an electrophile' leading to male fertility toxicity. The creation of the AOP provided the mechanistic rationale for the curation of pre-existing structural alerts to relevant key events. Integrating this new knowledge and associated alerts into the DART AOP network will improve its coverage of DART-relevant chemical space. In addition, broadening the coverage of AOPs for a particular regulatory endpoint may facilitate the development of, and confidence in, robust IATAs.

Development of a network of carcinogenicity adverse outcome pathways and its employment as an evidence framework for safety assessment

The traditional paradigm for safety assessment of chemicals for their carcinogenic potential to humans relies heavily on a battery of well-established genotoxicity tests, usually followed up by long-term, high-dose rodent studies. There are a variety of problems with this approach, not least that the rodent may not always be the best model to predict toxicity in humans. Consequently, new approach methodologies (NAMs) are being developed to replace or enhance predictions coming from the existing assays. However, a combination of the data arising from NAMs is likely to be required to improve upon the current paradigm, and consequently a framework is needed to combine evidence in a meaningful way. Adverse outcome pathways (AOPs) represent an ideal construct on which to organize this evidence. In this work, a data structure outlined previously was used to capture AOPs and evidence relating to carcinogenicity. Knowledge held within the predictive system Derek Nexus was extracted, built upon, and arranged into a coherent network containing 37 AOPs. 60 assays and 351 in silico alerts were then associated with KEs in this network, and it was brought to life by associating data and contextualizing evidence and predictions for over 13,400 compounds. Initial investigations into using the network to view knowledge and reason between evidence in different ways were made. Organizing knowledge and evidence in this way provides a flexible framework on which to carry out more consistent and meaningful carcinogenicity safety assessments in many different contexts.

Using adverse outcome pathways to contextualise (Q)SAR predictions for reproductive toxicity - A case study with aromatase inhibition.

The development and application of (quantitative) structure-activity relationship ((Q)SAR) models for reproductive toxicology remains challenging, given the complexity of the endpoint and the risks associated with subsequent decision making. Adverse outcome pathways (AOPs) organise knowledge and provide context of model outputs, aiding risk assessors' decision making. Using aromatase as an example, we demonstrate how AOPs can be used to contextualise a variety of (Q)SAR approaches. AOPs stemming from aromatase inhibition - leading to adverse outcomes of regulatory significance - were synthesised and annotated with relevant assays, assay data and (Q)SAR models. The resulting framework enabled the deployment of different types of (Q)SAR models that predict for key events along the pathway. The use of models for molecular initiating events enables relevant knowledge to span a wider area of chemical space - compared to using models trained solely on in vivo toxicity data. Utilising such methods, alongside additional assay data and exposure information, could lead to improved risk assessment strategies during compound prioritisation and labelling.

Beyond adverse outcome pathways: making toxicity predictions from event networks, SAR models, data and knowledge.

Adverse outcome pathways have shown themselves to be useful ways of understanding and expressing knowledge about sequences of events that lead to adverse outcomes (AOs) such as toxicity. In this paper we use the building blocks of adverse outcome pathways-namely key events (KEs) and key event relationships-to construct networks which can be used to make predictions of the likelihood of AOs. The networks of KEs are augmented by data from and knowledge about assays as well as by structure activity relationship predictions linking chemical classes to the observation of KEs. These inputs are combined within a reasoning framework to produce an information-rich display of the relevant knowledge and data and predictions of AOs both in the abstract case and for individual chemicals. Illustrative examples are given for skin sensitization, reprotoxicity and non-genotoxic carcinogenicity.