Influence of fall environment and fall direction on risk of injury among pre-frail and frail adults.

In this prospective study, half of all falls resulted in injury. Pre-frail adults sustained more injuries, while more frail adults had injuries requiring hospitalization or fractures. Pre-frail adults fell more often when in movement compared with frail adults who fell more often when standing and in indoor public spaces. PURPOSE: To assess prospectively how fall environment and direction are related to injury among pre-frail and frail adults. METHODS: We included 200 community-dwelling adults with a prior fall (pre-frail, mean age 77 years) and 173 adults with acute hip fracture (frail, mean age 84 years; 77% community-dwelling). Falls were prospectively recorded using standardized protocols in monthly intervals, including date, time, fall direction and environment, and injury. We used logistic regression to assess the odds of injury adjusting for age, body mass index (BMI), and gender. RESULTS: We recorded 513 falls and 331 fall-related injuries (64.5%) among the 373 participants. While the fall rate was similar between groups, pre-frail adults had more injuries (71% among pre-frail vs. 56% among frail, p = 0.0004) but a lower incidence of major injuries (9% among pre-frail vs. 27% among frail, p = 0.003). Pre-frail adults fell more often while in movement (84% among pre-frail vs. 55% among frail, p < 0.0001), and frail adults fell more often while standing (26% vs. 15% respectively, p = 0.01). The odds of injury among frail adults was increased 3.3-fold when falling sideways (OR = 3.29, 95% CI = 1.68-6.45) and 2.4-fold when falling in an indoor public space (OR = 2.35, 95% CI = 1.00-5.53), and was reduced when falling at home (OR = 0.55, 95% CI = 0.31-0.98). The odds of injury among pre-frail adults was not influenced by environment and was 53% lower when falling backwards (OR = 0.47, 95% CI = 0.26-0.82). CONCLUSION: While pre-frail adults sustain more fall-related injuries, frail adults were more likely to sustain major injuries, especially when falling sideways or outside their home.

Effects of a simple home exercise program and vitamin D supplementation on health-related quality of life after a hip fracture: a randomized controlled trial.

PURPOSE: To test the effects of vitamin D intervention and a simple home exercise program (HE) on health-related quality of life (HRQL) in the first 12 months after hip fracture. METHODS: HRQL was reported in 173 acute hip fracture patients (mean age 84 years, 79% females, 77% community dwelling) who were enrolled in the 12-month 2 × 2 factorial Zurich Hip Fracture Trial. Pre-fracture HRQL was assessed at baseline (4.2 ± 2.2 days post-surgery) and then again at 6 and 12 months after hip fracture surgery by the EuroQol EQ-5D-3L index value (EQ-5D-3L questionnaire). The effects of vitamin D intervention (2000 vs. 800 IU vitamin D3) and exercise (HE vs. no HE) or of the combined interventions on HRQL were assessed using multivariable-adjusted repeated-measures linear mixed-effects regression models. RESULTS: The EQ-5D-3L index value significantly worsened from 0.71 pre-fracture to 0.57 over 12 months, but the degree of worsening did not differ between individual or combined interventions. However, regarding only the late recovery between 6 and 12 months, the group receiving neither intervention (800 IU/day and no HE) experienced a significant further decline in the EQ-5D-3L index value (adjusted mean change = 0.08 [95% CI 0.009, 0.15], p = 0.03) while all other groups remained stable. CONCLUSION: Hip fractures have a long-lasting negative effect on HRQL up to 12 months after hip fracture. However, HE and/or 2000 IU vitamin D per day may help prevent a further decline in HRQL after the first 6 months following the acute hip fracture event.

Long-term use of multivitamins and risk of colorectal adenoma in women.

BACKGROUND: Use of multivitamins may reduce the risk of colorectal adenoma, but the duration of use needed is unclear. METHODS: We prospectively examined years of multivitamin use and risk of colorectal adenoma among 43,641 women who had a first endoscopy between 1991 and 2007 in the Nurses' Health Study II. Use of multivitamins was assessed through biennial questionnaires since 1989. RESULTS: We documented 2277 colorectal adenoma cases. Reporting multivitamin use at any time during the study period compared with never reporting its use was associated with a reduced risk of adenoma (multivariable relative risk (RR)=0.86, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.76-0.97). There was no clear trend with duration of multivitamin use: years of use compared with never use, ≤ 4 years (RR=0.84, 95% CI: 0.74-0.96), 5-9 years (RR=0.89, 95% CI: 0.77, 1.02), 10-14 years (RR=0.86, 95% CI: 0.74, 1.01), 15-19 years (RR=0.85, 95% CI: 0.70, 1.02), and 20-26 years (RR=0.80, 95% CI: 0.64, 1.01); (P trend=0.87). The strongest associations (years of use vs never user) were for size of adenoma: large (≥ 1 cm) <4 years (RR=0.75, 95% CI: 0.58-0.96) and in alcohol users (≥ 1.4 g per day) 20-26 years (RR=0.67, 95% CI: 0.49-0.91). CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that use of multivitamins is associated with lower risk of colorectal adenoma, even with relatively short duration of use.

Gender-specific hip fracture risk in community-dwelling and institutionalized seniors age 65 years and older.

UNLABELLED: In this study of acute hip fracture patients, we show that hip fracture rates differ by gender between community-dwelling seniors and seniors residing in nursing homes. While women have a significantly higher rate of hip fracture among the community-dwelling seniors, men have a significantly higher rate among nursing home residents. INTRODUCTION: Differences in gender-specific hip fracture risk between community-dwelling and institutionalized seniors have not been well established, and seasonality of hip fracture risk has been controversial. METHODS: We analyzed detailed data from 1,084 hip fracture patients age 65 years and older admitted to one large hospital center in Zurich, Switzerland. In a sensitivity analysis, we extend to de-personalized data from 1,265 hip fracture patients from the other two large hospital centers in Zurich within the same time frame (total n = 2,349). The denominators were person-times accumulated by the Zurich population in the corresponding age/gender/type of dwelling stratum in each calendar season for the period of the study. RESULTS: In the primary analysis of 1,084 hip fracture patients (mean age 85.1 years; 78% women): Among community-dwelling seniors, the risk of hip fracture was twofold higher among women compared with men (RR = 2.16; 95% CI, 1.74-2.69) independent of age, season, number of comorbidities, and cognitive function; among institutionalized seniors, the risk of hip fracture was 26% lower among women compared with men (RR = 0.77; 95% CI: 0.63-0.95) adjusting for the same confounders. In the sensitivity analysis of 2,349 hip fracture patients (mean age 85.0 years, 76% women), this pattern remained largely unchanged. There is no seasonal swing in hip fracture incidence. CONCLUSION: We confirm for seniors living in the community that women have a higher risk of hip fracture than men. However, among institutionalized seniors, men are at higher risk for hip fracture.

Effects of Vitamin D, Omega-3 Fatty Acids and a Home Exercise Program on Prevention of Pre-Frailty in Older Adults: The DO-HEALTH Randomized Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: The benefits of supplemental vitamin D3, marine omega-3 fatty acids, and a simple home exercise program (SHEP) on frailty prevention in generally healthy community-dwelling older adults are unclear. OBJECTIVE: To test the effect of vitamin D3, omega-3s, and a SHEP, alone or in combination on incident pre-frailty and frailty in robust older adults over a follow-up of 36 months. METHODS: DO-HEALTH is a multi-center, double-blind, placebo-controlled, 2x2x2 factorial randomized clinical trial among generally healthy European adults aged 70 years or older, who had no major health events in the 5 years prior to enrollment, sufficient mobility and intact cognitive function. As a secondary outcome of the DO-HEALTH trial, among the subset of participants who were robust at baseline, we tested the individual and combined benefits of supplemental 2,000 IU/day of vitamin D3, 1 g/day of marine omega-3s, and a SHEP on the odds of being pre-frail and frail over 3 years of follow-up. RESULTS: At baseline, 1,137 out of 2,157 participants were robust (mean age 74.3 years, 56.5% women, mean gait speed 1.18 m/s). Over a median follow-up time of 2.9 years, 696 (61.2%) became pre-frail and 29 (2.6%) frail. Odds ratios for becoming pre-frail were not significantly lower for vitamin D3, or omega 3-s, or SHEP, individually, compared to control (placebo for the supplements and control exercise). However, the three treatments combined showed significantly decreased odds (OR 0.61 [95% CI 0.38-0.98; p=0.04) of becoming pre-frail compared to control. None of the individual treatments or their combination significantly reduced the odds of becoming frail. CONCLUSION: Robust, generally healthy and active older adults without major comorbidities, may benefit from a combination of high-dose, supplemental vitamin D3, marine omega-3s, and SHEP with regard to the risk of becoming pre-frail over 3 years.

Iron Deficiency and Incident Infections among Community-Dwelling Adults Age 70 Years and Older: Results from the DO-HEALTH Study.

OBJECTIVES: To assess if baseline iron deficiency, with or without anemia, is associated with incident infections over 3 years among community-dwelling older adults. DESIGN: Prospective secondary analysis of DO-HEALTH, a 3-year randomized, double-blind controlled trial. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: 2157 community-dwelling adults age 70+ from 5 European countries with good cognitive function and mobility and no major health events in the 5 years prior to enrollment Measurements: Incident infections, their severity and type were recorded every 3 months throughout the 3-year follow-up. Iron deficiency was defined as soluble transferrin receptor (sTfR) levels > 28.1 nmol/l and anemia as hemoglobin levels < 120 g/l for women and 130 g/l for men. We applied negative binomial mixed effects regression models with random effects for countries, and controlling for treatment allocation, age, sex, body mass index, polypharmacy, number of comorbidities, smoking status, living situation, alcohol intake, frailty status, and physical activity levels. A pre-defined stratified analysis was performed to explore if the associations between iron deficiency and infections were consistent by baseline anemia status. RESULTS: In total, 2141 participants were included in the analyses (mean age 74.9 years, 61.5% of women, 26.8% with iron deficiency). Across all participants, baseline iron deficiency was not associated with incident overall infections, but was associated with a 63% greater rate of incident severe infections requiring hospitalization (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 1.63, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.11-2.41, p=0.01). This association was more pronounced among the 2000 participants who did not have anemia at baseline (IRR=1.80, 95% CI 1.20-2.69, p=0.005). CONCLUSION: Based on this prospective study among generally healthy European community-dwelling older adults, iron deficiency was not associated with the incidence rate of overall infections but may increase the incidence of severe infections. Intervention studies are needed to prove the causality of this observation.

Prevalence of Physical Frailty: Results from the DO-HEALTH Study.

BACKGROUND: Frailty is a geriatric syndrome associated with multiple negative health outcomes. However, its prevalence varies by population and instrument used. We investigated frailty and pre-frailty prevalence by 5 instruments in community-dwelling older adults enrolled to a randomized-controlled trial in 5 European countries. METHODS: Cross-sectional baseline analysis in 2,144 DO-HEALTH participants recruited from Switzerland, Austria, France, Germany, and Portugal with complete data for frailty. Frailty status was assessed by the Physical Frailty Phenotype [PFP], SOF-Frailty Index [SOF-FI], FRAIL-Scale, SHARE-Frailty Instrument [SHARE-FI], and a modified SHARE-FI, and compared by country, age, and gender. Logistic regression was used to determine relevant factors associated with frailty and pre-frailty. RESULTS: Mean age was 74.9 (±4.4) years, 61.6% were women. Based on the PFP, overall frailty and pre-frailty prevalence was 3.0% and 43.0%. By country, frailty prevalence was highest in Portugal (13.7%) and lowest in Austria (0%), and pre-frailty prevalence was highest in Portugal (57.3%) and lowest in Germany (37.1%). By instrument and overall, frailty and pre-frailty prevalence was highest based on SHARE-FI (7.0% / 43.7%) and lowest based on SOF-FI (1.0% / 25.9%). Frailty associated factors were residing in Coimbra (Portugal) [OR 12.0, CI 5.30-27.21], age above 75 years [OR 2.0, CI 1.17-3.45], and female gender [OR 2.8, CI 1.48-5.44]. The same three factors predicted pre-frailty. CONCLUSIONS: Among relatively healthy adults age 70 and older enroled to DO-HEALTH, prevalence of frailty and pre-frailty differed significantly by instrument, country, gender, and age. Among instruments, the highest prevalence of frailty and pre-frailty was documented by the SHARE-FI and the lowest by the SOF-FI.

Double-blind pilot trial of oral tolerization with myelin antigens in multiple sclerosis.

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is thought to be an autoimmune disease mediated by T lymphocytes that recognize myelin components of the central nervous system. In a 1-year double-blind study, 30 individuals with relapsing-remitting MS received daily capsules of bovine myelin or a control protein to determine the effect of oral tolerization to myelin antigens on the disease. Six of 15 individuals in the myelin-treated group had at least one major exacerbation; 12 or 15 had an attack in the control group. T cells reactive with myelin basic protein were reduced in the myelin-treated group. No toxicity or side effects were noted. Although conclusions about efficacy cannot be drawn from these data, they open an area of investigation for MS and other autoimmune diseases.

Effects of oral administration of type II collagen on rheumatoid arthritis.

Rheumatoid arthritis is an inflammatory synovial disease thought to involve T cells reacting to an antigen within the joint. Type II collagen is the major protein in articular cartilage and is a potential autoantigen in this disease. Oral tolerization to autoantigens suppresses animal models of T cell-mediated autoimmune disease, including two models of rheumatoid arthritis. In this randomized, double-blind trial involving 60 patients with severe, active rheumatoid arthritis, a decrease in the number of swollen joints and tender joints occurred in subjects fed chicken type II collagen for 3 months but not in those that received a placebo. Four patients in the collagen group had complete remission of the disease. No side effects were evident. These data demonstrate clinical efficacy of an oral tolerization approach for rheumatoid arthritis.

Additive benefit of higher testosterone levels and vitamin D plus calcium supplementation in regard to fall risk reduction among older men and women.

UNLABELLED: Higher physiologic testosterone levels among community dwelling older men and women may protect against falls, and this benefit may be further increased among those taking additional vitamin D plus calcium. INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study is to investigate sex hormone levels and fall risk in older men and women. METHODS: One hundred and ninety-nine men and 246 women age 65+ living at home were followed for 3 years after baseline assessment of sex hormones. Analyses controlled for several covariates, including baseline 25-hydroxyvitamin D, sex hormone binding globulin, and vitamin D plus calcium treatment (vitD+cal). RESULTS: Compared to the lowest quartile, men and women in the highest quartile of total testosterone had a decreased odds of falling (men: OR = 0.22; 95% CI [0.07,0.72]/ women: OR = 0.34; 95% CI [0.14,0.83]); if those individuals also took vitD+cal, the fall reduction was enhanced (men: OR = 0.16; 95% CI [0.03,0.90] / women: OR = 0.15; 95% CI [0.04,0.57]). Similarly, women in the top quartile of dihydroepiandrosterone sulfate (DHEA-S) had a lower risk of falling (OR = 0.39; 95% CI [0.16,0.93]). Other sex hormones and SHBG did not predict falling in men or women. CONCLUSIONS: Higher testosterone levels in both genders and higher DHEA-S levels in women predicted a more than 60% lower risk of falling. With vitD+cal, the anti-fall benefit of higher physiologic testosterone levels is enhanced from 78% to 84% among men and from 66% to 85% among women.

Cardiac dysfunction and mortality in HIV-infected children: The Prospective P2C2 HIV Multicenter Study. Pediatric Pulmonary and Cardiac Complications of Vertically Transmitted HIV Infection (P2C2 HIV) Study Group.

BACKGROUND: Left ventricular (LV) dysfunction is common in children infected with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), but its clinical importance is unclear. Our objective was to determine whether abnormalities of LV structure and function independently predict all-cause mortality in HIV-infected children. METHODS AND RESULTS: Baseline echocardiograms were obtained on 193 children with vertically transmitted HIV infection (median age, 2.1 years). Children were followed up for a median of 5 years. Cox regression was used to identify measures of LV structure and function predictive of mortality after adjustment for other important demographic and baseline clinical risk factors. The time course of cardiac variables before mortality was also examined. The 5-year cumulative survival was 64%. Mortality was higher in children who, at baseline, had depressed LV fractional shortening (FS) or contractility; increased LV dimension, thickness, mass, or wall stress; or increased heart rate or blood pressure (P0.02 for each). Decreased LV FS (P<0.001) and increased wall thickness (P=0.004) were also predictive of increased mortality after adjustment for CD4 count (P<0.001), clinical center (P<0.001), and encephalopathy (P<0.001). FS showed abnormalities for up to 3 years before death, whereas wall thickness identified a population at risk only 18 to 24 months before death. CONCLUSIONS: Depressed LV FS and increased wall thickness are risk factors for mortality in HIV-infected children independent of depressed CD4 cell count and neurological disease. FS may be useful as a long-term predictor and wall thickness as a short-term predictor of mortality.

Reliability of multicenter pediatric echocardiographic measurements of left ventricular structure and function: the prospective P(2)C(2) HIV study.

BACKGROUND: To assess the reliability of pediatric echocardiographic measurements, we compared local measurements with those made at a central facility. METHODS AND RESULTS: The comparison was based on the first echocardiographic recording obtained on 735 children of HIV-infected mothers at 10 clinical sites focusing on measurements of left ventricular (LV) dimension, wall thicknesses, and fractional shortening. The recordings were measured locally and then remeasured at a central facility. The highest agreement expressed as an intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC=0.97) was noted for LV dimension, with much lower agreement for posterior wall thickness (ICC=0.65), fractional shortening (ICC=0.64), and septal wall thickness (ICC=0.50). The mean dimension was 0.03 cm smaller in central measurements (95% prediction interval [PI], -0.32 to 0.25 cm) for which 95% PI reflects the magnitude of differences between local and central measurements. Mean posterior wall thickness was 0.02 cm larger in central measurements (95% PI, -0.18 to 0.22 cm). Mean fractional shortening was 1% smaller in central measurements. However, the 95% PI was -10% to 8%, indicating that a fractional shortening of 32% measured centrally could be anywhere between 22% and 40% when measured locally. Central measurements of mean septal thickness were approximately 0.1 cm thicker than local ones (95% PI, -0.18 to 0.34 cm). Centrally measured wall thickness was more closely related to mortality and possibly was more valid than local measurements. CONCLUSIONS: Although LV dimension was reliably measured, local measurements of LV wall thickness and fractional shortening differed from central measurements.

Contralateral breast cancer: clinical characteristics and impact on prognosis.

PURPOSE: To determine the characteristics of patients with unilateral breast cancer who subsequently develop contralateral breast cancer (CBC), to assess their prognosis relative to patients who do not develop a CBC, and to assess the feasibility of using conservative surgery (CS) and radiotherapy (RT) to treat CBC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Of 1,624 women treated with CS and RT for unilateral stage I or II breast cancer at the Joint Center for Radiation Therapy, 77 developed an invasive CBC. Sixty-two CBCs were treated with CS and RT. The median follow-up duration was 95 months from the time of initial breast cancer diagnosis, and 63 months from CBC diagnosis. RESULTS: The cumulative actuarial rate of CBC was 7.0% at 10 years, and the annual incidence rate for CBC was relatively constant. Young age predicted for CBC. When age was analyzed by decade the relative risk (RR) for older patients compared with younger patients was 0.79 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.62 to 1.01). The presence of lobular carcinoma in situ (LCIS), higher tumor stage, and lack of adjuvant systemic therapy also predicted for CBC with borderline significance. Multivariate analyses showed that CBC was associated with a statistically significant greater likelihood of local recurrence (LR) or distant recurrence (RR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.03 to 2.71), and distant-only recurrence (RR, 2.17; 95% CI, 1.28 to 3.69). Among assessable patients treated with bilateral RT, 28 of 31 ipsilateral and 11 of 11 contralateral breasts had an excellent or good overall cosmetic outcome at 5 years, and treatment-related complications were minimal. CONCLUSION: We conclude that (1) young age is associated with a greater likelihood of CBC, (2) patients who develop a CBC have a greater subsequent risk of distant relapse as compared with patients without CBC, and (3) it is feasible to deliver sequential nonoverlapping bilateral RT without compromising the cosmetic outcome or increasing complications.

Socioeconomic status and cancer survival.

Survival data from eight Cancer and Leukemia Group B (CALGB) protocols were examined for patients with lung cancer (N = 961), multiple myeloma (N = 577), gastric cancer (N = 231), pancreatic cancer (N = 174), breast cancer (N = 87), and Hodgkin's disease (N = 58). After accounting for differences in survival rate attributable to type of cancer, initial performance status, age, and 14 other protocol-specific prognostic indicators, the additional predictive value of socioeconomic status (SES) was evaluated. Race (white v non-white) was not a significant predictor of survival time, but income and education were. People with lower annual incomes (below $5,000 per year in the years 1977 to 1981) and those with lower educational level (grade school only) showed survival times significantly shorter than those with higher income or education, respectively. These survival differences were associated with, but could not be fully explained by, severity of disease at initial presentation. SES continued to exert a small but significant impact on cancer survival, even after controlling for all known prognostic variables. Economically and educationally disadvantaged cancer patients may require treatment programs that include education about treatment and compliance, even after an initial diagnosis is made and treatment is initiated. Because SES is related to survival independent of all known prognostic variables, it should be included in the data bases of clinical trial groups to provide a more accurate test of the effectiveness of new therapies.

Relationship between cumulative anthracycline dose and late cardiotoxicity in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia.

PURPOSE: Late anthrocycline cardiotoxicity after treatment for childhood cancer is common and often progressive. A safe anthracycline dose that will not result in late cardiac abnormalities has not been established due to the limited dose ranges used in existing studies. PATIENTS AND METHODS: To determine the relationship between cumulative anthracycline dose and late cardiotoxicity, we performed echocardiograms on 189 survivors of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia a median of 8.1 years (range, 2.0 to 23.4) after completion of anthracycline therapy. Patients were treated according to protocols that used widely varying cumulative anthracycline doses, but comparable nonanthracycline chemotherapy. Patients were divided into four groups based on the city of treatment and cumulative anthracycline dose: Copenhagen, 0 to 23 mg/m2 (n = 32); Boston, 45 mg/m2 (n = 17); Copenhagen, 73 to 301 mg/m2 (n = 53); and Boston, 244 to 550 mg/m2 (n = 87). Left ventricular dimension and fractional shortening were adjusted for sex and age or body-surface area through use of a control population (n = 296), and then compared among the four groups. RESULTS: Mean left ventricular dimension was significantly increased in the high-dose Boston group (observed:predicted value, 4.57 cm:4.45 cm; P = .002) and significantly higher than in the two Copenhagen groups. In the three lower-dose groups, there was no significant increase in mean left ventricular dimension, and the groups were not significantly different from each other. Similarly, the mean left ventricular fractional shortening was significantly depressed in the high-dose Boston group (observed:predicted value, 29.0%:33.8%; P = .0001) and significantly lower than in the three lower-dose groups. CONCLUSION: Depressed left ventricular fractional shortening and left ventricular dilatation were uncommon years after treatment of childhood leukemia when cumulative anthracycline doses were < or = 300 mg/m2.

Cost-effectiveness of prescription recommendations for cholesterol-lowering drugs: a survey of a representative sample of American cardiologists.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to determine the cost-effectiveness of the recommendations of cardiologists for the pharmacologic treatment of hypercholesterolemia. BACKGROUND: Despite the publication of guidelines such as the report of the National Cholesterol Education Program Expert Panel on Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Cholesterol in Adults, little is known about the national prescribing practices of physicians and how they compare with the recommendations of cost-effectiveness analyses. METHODS: Under the auspices of the Cardiovascular Norms Committee of the American College of Cardiology, a nationally representative sample of cardiologists was surveyed, and their recommendations for the pharmacologic treatment of hypercholesterolemia were assessed to determine cost-effectiveness. RESULTS: The 346 responding cardiologists were reasonably representative of the membership of the American College of Cardiology. For the 12 hypothetical patients, the cardiologists recommended pharmacologic treatment more commonly in cases in which previously published studies estimated the treatment to be more cost-effective, although there was a tendency to recommend such treatment for primary prevention even when it was estimated to cost well over $100,000/year of life saved. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that the cardiologists' pharmacologic recommendations for lowering lipids are correlated with published cost-effectiveness analyses. However, substantial variation in their recommendations remains, with somewhat less aggressive treatment for secondary prevention and more aggressive treatment for primary prevention than would be recommended on the basis of cost-effectiveness analyses.

Individual pulmonary vein size and survival in infants with totally anomalous pulmonary venous connection.

OBJECTIVES: We investigated whether mortality in totally anomalous pulmonary venous connection could be predicted from preoperative individual pulmonary vein size. BACKGROUND: Some infants with this anomaly die with or without surgical repair because of stenosis of individual pulmonary veins. METHODS: Individual pulmonary vein, vertical vein and pulmonary venous confluence diameters were retrospectively measured from preoperative echocardiograms in 32 infants with totally anomalous pulmonary venous connection presenting to Children's Hospital, Boston over a 4 1/2-year period. Data on body surface area, other cardiac anomalies, presence of initial pulmonary venous obstruction and early surgery and outcome were also recorded. RESULTS: Of 32 patients, 6 (18.8%) died before hospital discharge, and 8 (25.0%) died subsequently. Six (75.0%) of the eight patients who died late had individual pulmonary vein stenosis at sites remote from the surgical anastomosis to the left atrium. The remaining 18 patients (56.3%) are alive at a mean follow-up period of 9.7 months. A Cox proportional hazards model revealed that small sum of individual pulmonary vein diameters (p = 0.0004), small confluence size (p = 0.02) and presence of heterotaxy syndrome (p = 0.008) were each significant univariate predictors of survival. Multivariate analysis showed that small pulmonary vein sum was a strong predictor of survival (p = 0.008), independent of the presence of heterotaxy syndrome. An analysis stratified by the presence of heterotaxy syndrome showed that the predictive effect of small pulmonary vein sum on survival was strongest in patients without heterotaxy syndrome. CONCLUSIONS: These data show that individual pulmonary vein size at diagnosis is a strong, independent predictor of survival in patients with totally anomalous pulmonary venous connection. In patients with this anomaly and small individual pulmonary veins, the anomaly may not be correctable by surgical creation of an anastomosis between the pulmonary venous confluence and the left atrium.

Risk factors for death in homeless adults in Boston.

BACKGROUND: Homeless individuals experience high mortality rates. Males, whites, and substance abusers are more likely to die, but other high-risk characteristics are unknown. OBJECTIVE: To identify demographic and clinical factors associated with an increased risk of death in homeless individuals. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study of 558 adults who were seen by a health care program for the homeless in Boston, Mass, and who died in 1988 to 1993. Age-matched paired controls were selected from among individuals seen by the program who were alive at the end of 1993. Predictive data were obtained by blinded review of medical records. Odds ratios (ORs) for death were calculated using logistic regression analysis models. RESULTS: In a multivariate analysis, the strongest risk factors for death were acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (OR, 55.8), symptomatic human immunodeficiency virus infection (OR, 17.7), asymptomatic human immunodeficiency virus infection (OR, 4.1), renal disease (OR, 18.4), a history of cold-related injury (OR, 8.0), liver disease (OR, 3.8), and arrhythmia (OR, 3.3). A history of substance abuse involving injection drugs (OR, 1.6) or alcohol (OR, 1.5) also increased the risk of mortality. Nonfluency in English was associated with a decreased risk of death (OR, 0.4). CONCLUSIONS: In a group of adults seen by a health care program for the homeless, specific medical illnesses were associated with the greatest risk of death. Substance abuse alone was less strongly associated with death. Interventions to reduce mortality among the homeless should focus on individuals with high-risk characteristics.

Does the computerized display of charges affect inpatient ancillary test utilization?

BACKGROUND: The computerized display of charges for ancillary tests in outpatients has been found to affect physician-ordering behavior, but this issue has not been studied in inpatients. OBJECTIVE: To assess whether the computerized display of charges for clinical laboratory or radiological tests affected physician-ordering behavior. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Two prospective controlled trials, randomized by patient, were performed. Each trial included all medical and surgical inpatients at 1 large teaching hospital during 4 and 7 months: 3536 intervention and 3554 control inpatients in the group with clinical laboratory tests, and 8728 intervention and 8653 control inpatients in the group with radiological tests. The intervention consisted of the computerized display of charges for tests at the time of ordering. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The number of clinical laboratory and radiological tests ordered per admission and the charges for these tests. RESULTS: For the clinical laboratory tests, during a 4-month study period, patients in the intervention group had 4.5% fewer tests ordered, and the total charges for these tests were 4.2% lower, although neither difference was statistically significant. Compared with historical controls from the same 4-month period a year before, the charges for the tests per admission had decreased 13.3%, but the decrease was temporally correlated with a restriction of future ordering of tests, and not with the introduction of the display of charges. For the radiological tests, during a 7-month period, the intervention group had almost identical numbers of tests ordered and charges for these tests. CONCLUSIONS: The computerized display of charges had no statistically significant effect on the number of clinical laboratory tests or radiological procedures ordered or performed, although small trends were present for clinical laboratory tests. More intensive interventions may be needed to affect physician test utilization.

Nutritional status and cardiac mass and function in children infected with the human immunodeficiency virus.

Malnutrition, skeletal muscle wasting, and changes in cardiac muscle mass and function have been described in children infected with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). This report analyzes the relation of nutritional status to cardiac muscle mass and function in HIV-infected children. Thirty-six children with symptomatic HIV infection underwent simultaneous anthropometric and echocardiographic evaluations before antiretroviral therapy or supplemental feedings. Nutritional measurements included weight, height, triceps skinfold thickness, and arm muscle circumference. Cardiac measurements included left ventricular mass, contractility, end-diastolic dimension, fractional shortening, blood pressure, and heart rate. In a cross-sectional analysis, children infected with HIV were significantly below age-adjusted standards for height (P = 0.0001), weight (P = 0.0001), triceps skinfold thickness (P = 0.001), and arm muscle circumference (P = 0.04). Left ventricular mass normalized to body surface area was below standard, but contractility was normal. Correlation analyses found an inverse relation between left ventricular mass and weight z score (r = -0.45, P = 0.01), height z score (r = -0.47, P = 0.006), and arm muscle circumference percentile (r = -0.51, P = 0.003). An inverse relation was also found between heart rate and weight z score (r = -0.47, P = 0.007) and arm muscle circumference percentile (r = -0.46, P = 0.007). In malnourished children with HIV infection, a paradoxical relation exists between nutritional status and cardiac muscle mass. The inverse relation between heart rate and nutritional status may suggest altered metabolic rates with possible increased sympathetic tone.