A new tool to asses risk of wandering in hospitalized patients.

This article describes the development and implementation of a wandering screening and intervention program based on identifying hospitalized patients with impaired cognition and mobility. A wandering screening tool developed by a multidisciplinary team was linked to appropriate levels of interventions available in the electronic health record. Advanced practice nurses (APNs) confirmed the accuracy of screening and interventions by bedside nurses for all patients who screened positive. Of 1,528 patients hospitalized during a 3-week period, 48 (3.1%) screened positive for wandering. At-risk patients were older (age ≥ 65) (66.7%), those admitted to surgical units (41.7%), Caucasian (89.6%), and men (58.3%). Thirteen (27.1%) had dementia and 45 (93.8%) had impaired cognition. Of those patients who screened positive for wandering, the APNs agreed with the bedside nurses' assessment in 79.2% of cases (38/48) about wandering risk and 89.5% (34/38 true positives) for the interventions. A two-item wandering screening tool and intervention was feasible for use by bedside nurses. Further studies are needed to determine whether this tool is effective in preventing wandering.

Screening elders in the emergency department at risk for mistreatment: a pilot study.

Impaired functional status is associated with risk of elder mistreatment. Screening for functional impairment in elderly patients admitted to emergency departments could be performed to identify patients at risk for elder mistreatment who might benefit from further evaluation. This study utilized a modified Identification of Seniors at Risk (ISAR) screening tool to identify the proportion of elderly at risk for mistreatment due to functional difficulties presenting to two emergency departments in southeastern Virginia, one urban, the other rural. Of a 180-patient cohort (90 per site), 82 screened positive (46%), ISAR > 2 (range 0-6), indicating nearly half of all patients enrolled are at risk for mistreatment. Patients presenting to the urban emergency departments were potentially more at risk than their rural counterparts (p < 0.01). Health care professionals, particularly in urban settings, should consider screening seniors with a simple tool to identify patients at risk of elder mistreatment.

Prediction of recovery, dependence or death in elders who become disabled during hospitalization.

BACKGROUND: Many older adults become dependent in one or more activities of daily living (ADLs: dressing, bathing, transferring, eating, toileting) when hospitalized, and their prognosis after discharge is unclear. OBJECTIVE: To develop a prognostic index to estimate one-year probabilities of recovery, dependence or death in older hospitalized patients who are discharged with incident ADL dependence. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: 449 adults aged ≥ 70 years hospitalized for acute illness and discharged with incident ADL dependence. MAIN MEASURES: Potential predictors included demographics (age, sex, race, education, marital status), functional measures (ADL dependencies, instrumental activities of daily living [IADL] dependencies, walking ability), chronic conditions (e.g., congestive heart failure, dementia, cancer), reason for admission (e.g., neurologic, cardiovascular), and laboratory values (creatinine, albumin, hematocrit). Multinomial logistic regression was used to develop a prognostic index for estimating the probabilities of recovery, disability or death over 1 year. Discrimination of the index was assessed for each outcome based on the c statistic. KEY RESULTS: During the year following hospitalization, 36 % of patients recovered, 27 % remained dependent and 37 % died. Key predictors of recovery, dependence or death were age, sex, number of IADL dependencies 2 weeks prior to admission, number of ADL dependencies at discharge, dementia, cancer, number of other chronic conditions, reason for admission, and creatinine levels. The final prognostic index had good to excellent discrimination for all three outcomes based on the c statistic (recovery: 0.81, dependence: 0.72, death: 0.78). CONCLUSIONS: This index accurately estimated the probabilities of recovery, dependence or death in adults aged 70 years or older who were discharged with incident disability following hospitalization. This tool may be useful in clinical settings to guide care discussions and inform decision-making related to post-hospitalization care.

The current landscape of Acute Care for Elders units in the United States.

BACKGROUND: The clinical benefits of Acute Care for Elders (ACE) units have been established for over 25 years. However, how widely disseminated ACE units are in the United States and the degree of fidelity to the key elements of this model of care are unknown. Our objective was to identify all existing ACE units in the United States and to obtain detailed information about variations in implementation. METHODS: The strategy to identify current ACE units began with online searches and snowball sampling using contacts from professional societies and workgroups. Next, a request for information regarding the existence of ACE units was sent to the remaining US hospitals listed in a national hospital database. An online survey was sent to identified ACE unit contacts to capture information on implementation characteristics and the five key elements of ACE units. RESULTS: There were 3692 hospitals in the database with responses from 2055 (56%) hospitals reporting the presence or absence of an ACE unit. We identified 68 hospitals (3.3%) with an existing or previous ACE unit. Of these 68 hospitals, 50 (74%) completed the survey and reported that 43 ACE units were currently open and 7 had been closed. Of the 43 currently open ACE units, most are affiliated with an academic hospital and there is variable implementation of each of the five key ACE elements (from 69% to 98%). CONCLUSIONS: Among the 50 hospitals to complete the survey, 43 current ACE units were identified, with variable fidelity to the key elements. Estimates of prevalence of ACE units and fidelity to key elements are limited by nonresponses to the national survey request by nearly half of hospitals.

Potentially inappropriate medication prescribing in outpatient practices: prevalence and patient characteristics based on electronic health records.

BACKGROUND: Some older adults receive potentially inappropriate medications (PIMs), increasing their risk for adverse events. A literature search did not find any US multicenter studies that measured the prevalence of PIMs in outpatient practices based on data from electronic health records (EHRs), using both the Beers and Zhan criteria. OBJECTIVES: The aims of the present study were to compare the prevalence of PIMs using standard drug terminologies at 2 disparate institutions using EHRs and to identify characteristics of elderly patients who have a PIM on their active-medication lists. METHODS: This cross-sectional study of outpatients' active-medication lists from April 1, 2006, was conducted using data from 2 outpatient primary care settings: Intermountain Healthcare, Salt Lake City, Utah (center 1), and the Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio (center 2). Data were included from patients who were aged > or =65 years at the time of the last office visit and had > or =2 documented clinic visits within the previous 2 years. The primary end point was prevalence of PIMs, measured according to the 2002 Beers criteria or the 2001 Zhan criteria. RESULTS: Data from 61,251 patients were included (36,663 women, 24,588 men; center 1: 37,247 patients; center 2: 24,004). A total of 8693 (23.3%) and 5528 (23.0%) patients at centers 1 and 2, respectively, were documented as receiving a PIM as per the Beers criteria; this difference was not statistically significant. Per the Zhan criteria (P < 0.001), these values were 6036 (16.2%) and 4160 (17.3%). Eight of the most common PIMs were the same at both institutions, with propoxyphene and fluoxetine (once daily) being the most prescribed. Female sex, polypharmacy (> or =6 medications), and multiple primary care visits were significantly associated with PIM prescribing. CONCLUSIONS: In this analysis of data from elderly patients at 2 outpatient centers, a small set of 8 medications accounted for the majority of PIMs at both centers, irrespective of geographic and demographic variations. Female sex, polypharmacy, and number of primary care visits were significantly associated with PIM prescribing. In this analysis of data from elderly patients at 2 outpatient centers, a small set of 8 medications accounted for the majority of PIMs at both centers, irrespective of geographic and demographic variations.

The Acute Care for Elders Unit Model of Care.

Older patients are at risk for loss of self-care abilities during the course of an acute medical illness that results in hospitalization. The Acute Care for Elders (ACE) Unit is a continuous quality improvement model of care designed to prevent the patient's loss of independence from admission to discharge in the performance of activities of daily living (hospital-associated disability). The ACE unit intervention includes principles of a prepared environment that encourages safe patient self-care, a set of clinical guidelines for bedside care by nurses and other health professionals to prevent patient disability and restore self-care lost by the acute illness, and planning for transitions of care and medical care. By applying a structured process, an interdisciplinary team completes a geriatric assessment, follows clinical guidelines, and initiates plans for care transitions in concert with the patient and family. Three randomized clinical trials and systematic reviews of ACE or related interventions demonstrate reduced functional disability among patients, reduced risk of nursing home admission, and lower costs of hospitalization. ACE principles could improve elderly care in any acute setting. The aim of this commentary is to describe the ACE model and the basis of its effectiveness.

Trauma Consults by Geriatricians: Looking Into the Black Box.

The conceptual framework, targeting of older adults, and content of a targeted geriatric trauma consult (GTC) performed by geriatricians at a Level 1 trauma center are highlighted. The GTC is designed to optimize patient care through comprehensive assessment and to interrupt the disablement process. In a performance improvement study, fellowship-trained and certified geriatricians conducted the GTC in 98 patients ranging in age from 68 to 100 years. Most common recommendations by the geriatricians were for transitions of care (e.g., home health, skilled nursing facility, hospice), changes in medications (e.g., antihypertensives, antidepressants/antipsychotics), advanced care planning, and specialist referral. Targeted GTC performed by a geriatrician is an efficient approach to comanagement of complex older trauma patients, in contrast to mandated geriatric team consultation. In settings of value-based care, GTC by a geriatrician has potential to reduce patient disability and health care costs compared with usual care of older trauma patients.

A brief risk stratification tool to predict functional decline in older adults discharged from emergency departments.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the effectiveness of the six-item Triage Risk Screening Tool (TRST) to assess baseline functional status and predict subsequent functional decline in older community-dwelling adults discharged home from the emergency department (ED). DESIGN: Secondary data analysis of a randomized, controlled trial. SETTING: EDs of two urban academic hospitals. PARTICIPANTS: Six hundred fifty community-dwelling adults aged 65 and older presenting to the ED and discharged home. Patients were categorized a priori as "high risk" if they had cognitive impairment or two or more risk factors on the TRST. MEASUREMENTS: Functional status: summed activity of daily living (ADL) and instrumental activity of daily living (IADL) scores at baseline, 30 days, and 120 days. Self-perceived physical health: standardized physical health component of the Medical Outcomes Study 36-Item Short-Form Health Survey (SF-36). Functional decline: loss of one or more ADLs and one or more IADLs from ED baseline at 30 and 120 days. Decline in self-perceived physical health: follow-up SF-36 standardized physical health component scores four or more points lower than baseline. RESULTS: TRST scores correlated with baseline ADL impairments, IADL impairments, and self-perceived physical health at all endpoints (P<.001). A TRST score of two or more was moderately predictive of decline in ADLs or IADLs (30-day ADL area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC)=0.64; 95% confidence interval (CI)=0.56-0.72; 120-day ADL AUC=0.66; 95% CI=0.58-0.74) but not perceived physical health. CONCLUSION: The TRST identifies baseline functional impairment in older ED patients and is moderately predictive of subsequent functional decline after an initial ED visit. The TRST provides a valid proxy measure for assessing functional status in the ED and may be useful in identifying high-risk patients who would benefit from referrals for further evaluation or surveillance upon ED discharge.

The relationship of indwelling urinary catheters to death, length of hospital stay, functional decline, and nursing home admission in hospitalized older medical patients.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the association between indwelling urinary catheterization without a specific medical indication and adverse outcomes. DESIGN: Prospective cohort. SETTING: General medical inpatient services at a teaching hospital. PARTICIPANTS: Five hundred thirty-five patients aged 70 and older admitted without a specific medical indication for urinary catheterization. INTERVENTION: Indwelling urinary catheterization within 48 hours of admission. MEASUREMENTS: Death, length of hospital stay, decline in ability to perform activities of daily living (ADLs), and new admission to a nursing home. RESULTS: Indwelling urinary catheters were placed in 76 of the 535 (14%) patients without a specific medical indication. Catheterized patients were more likely to die in the hospital (6.6% vs 1.5% of those not catheterized, P=.006) and within 90 days of hospital discharge (25% vs 10.5%, P<.001); the greater risk of death with catheterization persisted in a propensity-matched analysis (hazard ratio (HR)=2.42, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.04-5.65). Catheterized patients also had longer lengths of hospital stay (median, 6 days vs 4 days; P=.001); this association persisted in a propensity-matched analysis (HR=1.46, 95% CI=1.03-2.08). Catheterization was not associated (P>.05) with decline in ADL function or with admission to a nursing home. CONCLUSION: In this cohort of older patients, urinary catheterization without a specific medical indication was associated with greater risk of death and longer hospital stay.

Is surgical thrombectomy to salvage failed autogenous arteriovenous fistulae worthwhile?

The Dialysis Outcomes Quality Initiatives guidelines emphasize placement of autogenous arteriovenous (AV) fistulae for patients on hemodialysis. This recommendation is based on studies that demonstrate enhanced patency for AV fistulae compared with grafts. However, closer review of the data demonstrates that although primary patency of AV fistulae is superior to grafts, the secondary patency rates are equivalent. This suggests that secondary procedures to maintain fistula patency are inferior to those performed on arteriovenous grafts. Surgical thrombectomy of AV fistulae can be challenging. It is often difficult to completely remove thrombus adjacent to the anastomosis of the fistula, and pseudoaneurysms within the fistula can prevent passage of the thrombectomy catheter and complete removal of thrombus from the fistula. Consequently, some surgeons simply abandon thrombosed AV fistulae and place a new access. We have developed a method for completely clearing thrombus from failed AV fistulae by locating the fistulotomy close to the arterial anastomosis and using a technique to manually extract thrombus from the fistula before passing a thrombectomy catheter. The purpose of this study was to review our results with this procedure. Between 2001 and 2004, 10 patients with a previously functioning AV fistula presented with thrombosis. There were seven brachiocephalic fistulae and three radiocephalic fistulae. All patients underwent surgical thrombectomy and fistulography. Five patients underwent balloon angioplasty of a venous stenosis and one patient underwent surgical revision of an arterial stenosis. Technical success, defined as being able to completely clear thrombus from the fistula and treat the cause for fistula failure, was achieved in 70 per cent (7/10) of cases. Technical failure was caused by vein rupture during the balloon angioplasty in two cases and a central venous occlusion that could not be treated in one case. The 6-month primary and secondary patency for cases that were technically successful was 51 and 69 per cent, respectively. Our conclusion was that surgical thrombectomy can significantly extend fistula functionality in patients who present with thrombosis.

Perioperative care of the elderly patient.

Perioperative management is typically more complicated in older patients than in younger patients and requires more assessment and evaluation before surgery as well as precautionary steps after surgery to manage these high-risk patients.

Unexpected findings during thyroid surgery in a regional community hospital: a 5-year experience of 738 consecutive cases.

Unexpected findings during thyroid surgery in a nonuniversity setting have rarely been reported in large series. Our goal was to describe the unexpected findings during thyroid surgery in a busy regional community hospital. All thyroid operations conducted by the teaching staff at Greenville Memorial Hospital, a 735-bed nonuniversity regional hospital, from December 1998 through December 2003 were reviewed. Pre- and post-operative diagnoses, surgical procedure, and specimen histopathology were examined. Unexpected findings were defined as either thyroid pathology not anticipated based on preoperative diagnosis or as unsuspected nonthyroidal disease found during cervicotomy. During the 5-year study period, 738 patients presented with thyroid disease requiring surgery. Incidental thyroid cancer was discovered in 28 cases (3.8%), the predominance being papillary microcarcinoma. Synchronous benign thyroid disease, separate from the indication from surgery, was observed in 56 patients (7.6%). Forty patients had unexpected nodular goiter and 16 had lymphocytic thyroiditis. Primary hyperparathyroidism was observed in 33 patients (4.5%). Both solitary adenomas (22 cases) and multigland parathyroid disease (11 cases) were seen. Unexpected nonendocrine findings were less common, including solitary cases of large cell carcinoma, metastatic endometrial carcinoma, and tracheal duplication (bronchogenic cyst). In conclusion, unexpected findings during thyroid surgery at a busy community hospital are fairly common. Indeed, an unanticipated finding is encountered in one out of seven operations on the thyroid gland. Although most are of unclear clinical significance, there is a surprisingly high incidence of hyperparathyroidism. This underscores the need for preoperative screening, as the "thyroid patient" may also be the "parathyroid patient."

Serum albumin concentration and clinical assessments of nutritional status in hospitalized older people: different sides of different coins?

OBJECTIVES: Malnutrition is common in hospitalized older people, and some have advocated routine nutritional screening. Serum albumin and clinically based measures such as the Subjective Global Assessment (SGA) are two potential methods of assessing nutritional status in hospitalized older people. Although both measures are strongly associated with prognosis, it is not clear whether they measure similar or different clinical constructs. Our goal was to assess the degree of clinical concordance between these measures. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. SETTING: The inpatient medical service of a university teaching hospital. PARTICIPANTS: Three hundred eleven older (aged > or =70) patients. MEASUREMENTS: We independently measured serum albumin and performed the SGA on 311 older medical patients (aged > or =70) shortly after hospital admission. The SGA classified patients as well nourished, moderately malnourished (generally 5% weight loss with mild examination findings), or severely malnourished (generally >10% weight loss with marked findings) based on findings from a directed history and examination. We compared the distribution of clinical rating in patients with differing albumin levels and examined diagnostic test characteristics of albumin as a predictor of malnutrition as diagnosed on clinical examination. RESULTS: The mean age of subjects was 79.9; 64% were women, 42% were African American. Discordance between albumin and the SGA was common. For example, 38% of patients with albumin levels of 4.0 g/dL or higher were at least moderately malnourished on the SGA, whereas 28% of patients with albumin levels lower than 3.0 g/dL were rated as well nourished. No choice of albumin level was associated with simultaneously acceptable sensitivity and specificity as a predictor of SGA ratings. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for albumin level as a predictor of SGA rating was 0.58, suggesting that the ability of either measure to predict the other measure is only marginally better than chance. CONCLUSIONS: Albumin levels and clinical assessments, two possible measures of nutritional status in hospitalized older people, are often discordant. To some extent, this reflects limitations in both measures as markers of nutritional status. However, it also demonstrates that, in this population, albumin and clinical assessments of nutritional status reflect fundamentally different clinical processes.

Heterogeneity in older people: examining physiologic failure, age, and comorbidity.

OBJECTIVES: To derive a clinically relevant age-independent physiologic failure scoring system and to use this system to examine aspects of the association of physiologic failure, age, and comorbidity with inpatient mortality. DESIGN: Retrospective, secondary analysis of a derivation and validation cohort selected from the Cleveland Health Quality Choice Coalition data set. SETTING: Thirty hospitals in greater Cleveland. PARTICIPANTS: Thirty-one thousand nine hundred seventy-six inpatients aged 50 and older discharged in 1993 with a diagnosis of congestive heart failure, pneumonia, or stroke. MEASUREMENTS: The Inpatient Physiologic Failure Score (IPFS) was developed and used to calculate physiologic failure. Forty-four candidate variables were examined for their association with inpatient mortality, and 12 were selected. A point value (2, 3, 4, or 6) based on adjusted odds ratio was assigned for an abnormal result for each of the 12 common physiologic variables. Each patient's abnormal physiology points were summed to produce a physiologic failure score (range 0-39). Comorbidity was quantified using the Patient Management Category Severity Scale. The association between mortality and increasing physiologic failure, increasing age and comorbidity, and distribution of physiologic failure with increasing age and comorbidity were examined. A threshold age was sought. Models for predicting inpatient mortality were developed. RESULTS: Twelve physiologic variables constitute the IPFS. Increasing physiologic failure, age, and comorbidity were associated with increasing mortality. Increasing physiologic failure was not associated with increasing age or comorbidity. We did not find a threshold age. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for predicting inpatient mortality for IPFS was 0.730, and for comorbidity was 0.741 (not significant). The area under the ROC curve for a mortality prediction model based on age was significantly less (0.603). Accounting for patient age did not significantly improve the predictive ability of the IPFS model (area = 0.752, P <.05). The complete model best predicted mortality (0.829). CONCLUSIONS: The IPFS represents a clinically relevant method for scoring physiologic failure. Physiologic failure, age, and comorbidity are independently and differently associated with inpatient mortality. Physiology fails independent of age and comorbidity.

Loss of independence in activities of daily living in older adults hospitalized with medical illnesses: increased vulnerability with age.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the changes in activities of daily living (ADL) function occurring before and after hospital admission in older people hospitalized with medical illness and to assess the effect of age on loss of ADL function. DESIGN: Prospective observational study. SETTING: The general medical service of two hospitals. PARTICIPANTS: Two thousand two hundred ninety-three patients aged 70 and older (mean age 80, 64% women, 24% nonwhite). MEASUREMENTS: At the time of hospital admission, patients or their surrogates were interviewed about their independence in five ADLs (bathing, dressing, eating, transferring, and toileting) 2 weeks before admission (baseline) and at admission. Subjects were interviewed about ADL function at discharge. Outcome measures included functional decline between baseline and discharge and functional changes between baseline and admission and between admission and discharge. RESULTS: Thirty-five percent of patients declined in ADL function between baseline and discharge. This included the 23% of patients who declined between baseline and admission and failed to recover to baseline function between admission and discharge and the 12% of patients who did not decline between baseline and admission but declined between hospital admission and discharge. Twenty percent of patients declined between baseline and admission but recovered to baseline function between admission and discharge. The frequency of ADL decline between baseline and discharge varied markedly with age (23%, 28%, 38%, 50%, and 63% in patients aged 70-74, 75-79, 80-84, 85-89, and > or =90, respectively, P <.001). After adjustment for potential confounders, age was not associated with ADL decline before hospitalization (odds ratio (OR) for patients aged > or =90 compared with patients aged 70-74 = 1.26, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.88-1.82). In contrast, age was associated with the failure to recover ADL function during hospitalization in patients who declined before admission (OR for patients aged > or =90 compared with patients aged 70-74 = 2.09, 95% CI = 1.20-3.65) and with new losses of ADL function during hospitalization in patients who did not decline before admission (OR for patients aged > or =90 compared with patients aged 70-74 = 3.43, 95% CI = 1.92-6.12). CONCLUSION: Many hospitalized older people are discharged with ADL function that is worse than their baseline function. The oldest patients are at particularly high risk of poor functional outcomes because they are less likely to recover ADL function lost before admission and more likely to develop new functional deficits during hospitalization

Diagnosis-related group-adjusted hospital costs are higher in older medical patients with lower functional status.

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether hospital costs are higher in patients with lower functional status at admission, defined as dependence in one or more activities of daily living (ADLs), after adjustment for Medicare Diagnosis-Related Group (DRG) payments. DESIGN: Prospective study. SETTING: General medical service at a teaching hospital. PARTICIPANTS: One thousand six hundred twelve patients aged 70 and older. MEASUREMENTS: The hospital cost of care for each patient was determined using a cost management information system, which allocates all hospital costs to individual patients. RESULTS: Hospital costs were higher in patients dependent in ADLs on admission than in patients independent in ADLs on admission ($5,300 vs $4,060, P<.01). Mean hospital costs remained higher in ADL-dependent patients than in ADL-independent patients in an analysis that adjusted for DRG weight ($5,240 vs $4,140, P<.01), and in multivariate analyses adjusting for age, race, sex, Charlson comorbidity score, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation score, and admission from a nursing home as well as for DRG weight ($5,200 vs $4,220, P<.01). This difference represents a 23% (95% confidence interval=15-32%) higher cost to take care of older dependent patients. CONCLUSION: Hospital cost is higher in patients with worse ADL function, even after adjusting for DRG payments. If this finding is true in other hospitals, DRG-based payments provide hospitals a financial incentive to avoid patients dependent in ADLs and disadvantage hospitals with more patients dependent in ADLs.

Unsteadiness reported by older hospitalized patients predicts functional decline.

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether a simple question about steadiness at admission predicts in-hospital functional decline and whether unsteadiness at admission predicts failure of in-hospital functional recovery of patients who have declined immediately before hospitalization. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: One university hospital and one community teaching hospital. PARTICIPANTS: One thousand five hundred fifty-seven hospitalized medical patients aged 70 and older. MEASUREMENTS: On admission, patients reported their steadiness with walking and whether they could perform independently each of five basic activities of daily living (ADLs) at admission and 2 weeks before admission (baseline). For the primary analysis, the outcome was decline in ADL function between admission and discharge. For the secondary analysis, the outcome was in-hospital recovery to baseline ADL function in patients who experienced ADL decline in the 2 weeks before admission. RESULTS: In the primary cohort (n = 1,557), 25% of patients were very unsteady at admission; 22% of very unsteady patients declined during hospitalization, compared with 17%, 18%, and 10% for slightly unsteady, slightly steady, and very steady patients, respectively (P for trend =.001). After adjusting for age; medical comorbidities; Acute Physiology, Age, and Chronic Health Evaluation II score; and admission ADL, unsteadiness remained significantly associated with ADL decline (odds for decline for very unsteady compared with very steady = 2.6, 95% confidence interval = 1.5-4.5). In the secondary analysis, predicting ADL recovery in patients who declined before hospitalization (n = 563), 46% of patients were very unsteady at admission. In this cohort, 44% of very unsteady patients failed to recover, compared with 35%, 36%, and 33% for each successively higher level of steadiness, respectively (P for trend = 0.06). After multivariate adjustment, greater unsteadiness independently predicted failure of recovery (P for trend = 0.02). CONCLUSION: A simple question about steadiness identified patients at increased risk for in-hospital ADL decline and, in patients who lost ADL function immediately before admission, failure to recover.

A brief risk-stratification tool to predict repeat emergency department visits and hospitalizations in older patients discharged from the emergency department.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the predictive ability of a simple six-item triage risk screening tool (TRST) to identify elder emergency department (ED) patients at risk for ED revisits, hospitalization, or nursing home (NH) placement within 30 and 120 days following ED discharge. METHODS: Prospective cohort study of 650 community-dwelling elders (age 65 years or older) presenting to two urban academic EDs. Subjects were prospectively evaluated with a simple six-item ED nursing TRST. Participants were interviewed 30 and 120 days post-ED index visit and the utilization of EDs, hospitals, or NHs was recorded. Main outcome measurement was the ability of the TRST to predict the composite endpoint of subsequent ED use, hospital admission, or NH admission at 30 and 120 days. Individual outcomes of ED use, hospitalization, and NH admissions were also examined. RESULTS: Increasing cumulative TRST scores were associated with significant trends for ED use, hospital admission, and composite outcome at both 30 and 120 days (p < 0.0001 for all, except 30-day ED use, p = 0.002). A simple, unweighted five-item TRST ("lives alone" item removed after logistic regression modeling) with a cut-off score of 2 was the most parsimonious model for predicting composite outcome (AUC = 0.64) and hospitalization at 30 days (AUC = 0.72). Patients defined as high-risk by the TRST (score > or = 2) were significantly more likely to require subsequent ED use (RR = 1.7; 95% CI = 1.2 to 2.3), hospital admission (RR = 3.3; 95% CI = 2.2 to 5.1), or the composite outcome (RR = 1.9; 95% CI 1.7 to 2.9) at both 30 days and 120 days than the low-risk cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Older ED patients with two or more risk factors on a simple triage screening tool were found to be at significantly increased risk for subsequent ED use, hospitalization, and nursing home admission.