Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence in Patients With Transient New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation Detected During Hospitalization for Noncardiac Surgery or Medical Illness : A Matched Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is often detected for the first time in patients who are hospitalized for another reason. Long-term risks for AF recurrence in these patients are unclear. OBJECTIVE: To estimate risk for AF recurrence in patients with new-onset AF during a hospitalization for noncardiac surgery or medical illness compared with a matched population without AF. DESIGN: Matched cohort study. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT03221777). SETTING: Three academic hospitals in Hamilton, Ontario, Canada. PARTICIPANTS: The study enrolled patients hospitalized for noncardiac surgery or medical illness who had transient new-onset AF. For each participant, an age- and sex-matched control participant with no history of AF from the same hospital ward was recruited. All participants left the hospital in sinus rhythm. MEASUREMENTS: 14-day electrocardiographic (ECG) monitor at 1 and 6 months and telephone assessment at 1, 6, and 12 months. The primary outcome was AF lasting at least 30 seconds on the monitor or captured by ECG 12-lead during routine care at 12 months. RESULTS: Among 139 participants with transient new-onset AF (70 patients with medical illness and 69 surgical patients) and 139 matched control participants, the mean age was 71 years (SD, 10), the mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was 3.0 (SD, 1.5), and 59% were male. The median duration of AF during the index hospitalization was 15.8 hours (IQR, 6.4 to 49.6 hours). After 1 year, recurrent AF was detected in 33.1% (95% CI, 25.3% to 40.9%) of participants in the transient new-onset AF group and 5.0% (CI, 1.4% to 8.7%) of matched control participants; after adjustment for the number of ECG monitors worn and for baseline clinical differences, the adjusted relative risk was 6.6 (CI, 3.2 to 13.7). After exclusion of participants who had electrical or pharmacologic cardioversion during the index hospitalization (n = 40) and their matched control participants and limiting to AF events detected by the patch ECG monitor, recurrent AF was detected in 32.3% (CI, 23.1% to 41.5%) of participants with transient new-onset AF and 3.0% (CI, 0% to 6.4%) of matched control participants. LIMITATIONS: Generalizability is limited, and the study was underpowered to evaluate subgroups and clinical predictors. CONCLUSION: Among patients who have transient new-onset AF during a hospitalization for noncardiac surgery or medical illness, approximately 1 in 3 will have recurrent AF within 1 year. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Peer-reviewed grants.

Peri-mortem arrhythmias in the non-cardiac intensive care unit.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular failure is recognized as a common final pathway at the end of life but there is a paucity of data describing terminal arrhythmias. AIM: We aimed to describe arrhythmias recorded peri-mortem in critically ill patients. STUDY DESIGN: We enrolled intensive care unit patients admitted to two tertiary Canadian medico-surgical centres. Participants wore a continuous electrocardiogram (ECG) monitor for 14 days, until discharge, removal or death. We recorded all significant occurrences of arrhythmias in the final hour of life. RESULTS: Among 39 patients wearing an ECG monitor at the time of death, 22 (56%) developed at least 1 terminal arrhythmia as adjudicated by an arrhythmia physician: 23% (n = 9) had ventricular fibrillation/polymorphic ventricular tachycardia, 18% (n = 7) had sinoatrial pauses, 15% (n = 6) had atrial fibrillation and 13% (n = 5) had high-degree atrioventricular block. Five participants (13%) developed multiple arrythmias. CONCLUSIONS: Arrhythmias are common in dying critically ill patients. There is a roughly even distribution between ventricular arrhythmias, atrial fibrillation, sinus node dysfunction and atrioventricular block. RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE: The results of this study may be most useful for critically ill patients who are organ donation candidates. The appearance of arrhythmias may serve as a marker of change in clinical status for organ donation teams to plan mobilization efforts. In participants who are sedated or intubated, arrhythmias could be a surrogate marker for respiratory or neurologic changes.

Incidence and recurrence of new-onset atrial fibrillation detected during hospitalization for non-cardiac surgery: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: This systematic review aimed to summarize reports of the incidence and long-term recurrence of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) associated with non-cardiac surgery. SOURCES: We searched CENTRAL, MEDLINE and EMBASE from inception to November 2019. We included studies that reported on the incidence of new-onset perioperative AF during hospitalization for non-cardiac surgery and/or AF recurrence in such patients following discharge. Reviewers screened articles and abstracted data independently and in duplicate. We assessed study quality by appraising methodology for collecting AF history, incident AF during hospitalization, and AF recurrence after discharge. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: From 39,233 citations screened, 346 studies that enrolled a total of 5,829,758 patients met eligibility criteria. Only 27 studies used prospective, continuous inpatient electrocardiographic (ECG) monitoring to detect incident AF. Overall, the incidence of postoperative AF during hospitalization ranged from 0.004 to 50.3%, with a median [interquartile range] of 8.7 [3.8-15.0]%. Atrial fibrillation incidence varied with type of surgery. Prospective studies using continuous ECG monitoring reported significantly higher incidences of AF than those that did not (13.9% vs 1.9%, respectively; P < 0.001). A total of 13 studies (25,726 patients) with follow-up up to 5.4 years reported on AF recurrence following hospital discharge; only one study used a prospective systematic monitoring protocol. Recurrence rates ranged from 0 to 37.3%. CONCLUSIONS: Rates of AF incidence first detected following non-cardiac surgery and long-term AF recurrence vary markedly. Differences in the intensity of ECG monitoring and type of surgery may account for this variation. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO (CRD42017068055); registered 1 September 2017.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIF: Cette revue systématique visait à résumer les comptes rendus sur l'incidence et la récurrence à long terme de la fibrillation auriculaire (FA) de novo associée à une chirurgie non cardiaque. SOURCES: Nous avons effectué des recherches dans les bases de données CENTRAL, MEDLINE et EMBASE de leur création à novembre 2019. Nous avons inclus les études ayant examiné l'incidence de nouvelle FA périopératoire pendant l'hospitalisation pour une chirurgie non cardiaque et/ou la récurrence de la FA chez de tels patients après leur congé. Les chercheurs ont passé en revue les articles et les données extraites de manière indépendante et en double. Nous avons estimé la qualité des études en évaluant la méthodologie de collecte des antécédents de FA, de l'incident de FA pendant l'hospitalisation et de la récurrence de FA après le congé. CONSTATATIONS PRINCIPALES: Sur les 39 233 citations examinées, 346 études portant sur un total de 5 829 758 patients ont répondu à nos critères d'admissibilité. Seulement 27 études ont utilisé un monitorage électrocardiographique (ECG) continu prospectif et des patients hospitalisés pour détecter les incidents de FA. Dans l'ensemble, l'incidence de FA postopératoire pendant l'hospitalisation allait de 0,004 à 50,3 %, avec une médiane [écart interquartile] de 8,7 [3,8-15,0] %. L'incidence de fibrillation auriculaire variait en fonction du type de chirurgie. Des études prospectives utilisant un monitorage continu par ECG ont fait état d'incidences significativement plus élevées de FA que celles sans monitorage continu (13,9 % vs 1,9 %, respectivement; P < 0,001). Au total, 13 études (25 726 patients) avec un suivi allant jusqu'à 5,4 ans ont rapporté leurs données sur la récurrence de FA après le congé de l'hôpital; seule une étude a utilisé un protocole de monitorage prospectif systématique. Les taux de récurrence allaient de 0 à 37,3 %. CONCLUSION: Les taux d'incidence de nouvelle FA détectés après une chirurgie non cardiaque et la récurrence à long terme de FA varient considérablement. Les différences du degré de monitorage par ECG et le type de chirurgie pourraient expliquer cette variation. ENREGISTREMENT DE L'éTUDE: PROSPERO (CRD42017068055); enregistrée le 1er septembre 2017.

High-Sensitivity Estimate of the Incidence of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Critically Ill Patients.

To estimate the incidence of new-onset atrial fibrillation in critically ill patients. DESIGN: Prospective cohort. SETTING: Medical-surgical ICU. SUBJECTS: Consecutive patients without a history of atrial fibrillation but with atrial fibrillation risk factors. INTERVENTIONS: Electrocardiogram patch monitor until discharge from hospital or up to 14 days. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A total of 249 participants (median age of 71 yr [interquartile range] 64-78 yr; 35% female) completed the study protocol of which 158 (64%) were admitted to ICU for medical illness, 78 (31%) following noncardiac surgery, and 13 (5%) with trauma. Median Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score was 16 (interquartile range, 12-22). Median duration of patch electrocardiogram monitoring, ICU, and hospital lengths of stay were 6 (interquartile range, 3-12), 4 (interquartile range, 2-8), and 11 days (interquartile range, 5-23 d), respectively.Atrial fibrillation ≥ 30 seconds was detected by the patch in 44 participants (17.7%), and three participants (1.2%) had atrial fibrillation detected clinically after patch removal, resulting in an overall atrial fibrillation incidence of 18.9% (95% CI, 14.2-24.3%).Total duration of atrial fibrillation ranged from 53 seconds to the entire monitoring time. The proportion of participants with ≥1 episode(s) of ≥6 minute, ≥1 hour, ≥12 hour and ≥24 hour duration was 14.8%, 13.2%, 7.0%, and 5.3%, respectively. The clinical team recognized only 70% of atrial fibrillation cases that were detected by the electrocardiogram patch. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients admitted to an ICU, the incidence of new-onset atrial fibrillation is approximately one in five, although approximately one-third of cases are not recognized by the clinical team.

Association Between Perioperative Atrial Fibrillation and Long-term Risks of Stroke and Death in Noncardiac Surgery: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is frequently reported as a complication of noncardiac surgery. It is unknown whether new-onset perioperative AF is associated with an increased risk of stroke and death beyond the perioperative period. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the long-term risks of stroke and mortality associated with new-onset perioperative AF after noncardiac surgery. METHODS: MEDLINE and EMBASE were searched from inception to March 2020 for studies reporting on the association between perioperative AF and the risk of stroke and death occurring beyond 30 days after noncardiac surgery. Reference screening, study selection, data extraction, and quality assessment were performed in duplicate. Data were pooled using inverse variance-weighted random-effects models and presented as risk ratios (RRs). RESULTS: From 7344 citations, we included 31 studies (3,529,493 patients). The weighted mean incidence of perioperative AF was 0.7%. During a mean follow-up of 28.1 ± 9.4 months, perioperative AF was associated with an increased risk of stroke (1.5 vs 0.9 strokes per 100 patient-years; RR: 2.9, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.1-3.9, I2 = 78%). Perioperative AF was also associated with a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality (21.0 vs 7.6 deaths per 100 patient-years; RR: 1.8, 95% CI: 1.5-2.2, I2 = 94%). The pooled adjusted hazard ratios for stroke and all-cause mortality were 1.9 (95% CI: 1.6-2.2, I2 = 31%) and 1.5 (95% CI: 1.3-1.7, I2 = 20%), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Patients who had perioperative AF after noncardiac surgery had a higher long-term risk of stroke and mortality compared with patients who did not. Whether this risk is modifiable with oral anticoagulation therapy should be investigated.

CONTEXTE: La fibrillation atriale (FA) est une arythmie fréquemment attribuée à une complication d'une chirurgie non cardiaque. On ne sait toutefois pas si l'apparition d'une FA périopératoire est associée à un risque accru d'accident vasculaire cérébral et de décès au-delà de la période périopératoire. Nous avons donc procédé à un examen et à une méta-analyse systématiques dans le but d'évaluer les risques à long terme d'accident vasculaire cérébral et de décès associés à l'apparition d'une FA périopératoire à la suite d'une chirurgie non cardiaque. MÉTHODOLOGIE: Des recherches ont été effectuées dans MEDLINE et EMBASE depuis leur création jusqu'à mars 2020 pour y relever les études signalant l'association entre la FA périopératoire et le risque d'accident vasculaire cérébral et de décès survenant au-delà de 30 jours à la suite d'une chirurgie non cardiaque. Le tri des références, la sélection des études, l'extraction des données et l'évaluation de la qualité ont été effectués en double. Les données ont été regroupées à l'aide de modèles à effets aléatoires pondérés par l'inverse de la variance et présentées sous forme de rapports de risques relatifs (RR). RÉSULTATS: Parmi 7 344 références, nous avons inclus 31 études (3 529 493 patients). L'incidence moyenne pondérée de FA périopératoire était de 0,7 %. Dans le cadre d'un suivi moyen de 28,1 ± 9,4 mois, la FA périopératoire était associée à un risque accru d'accident vasculaire cérébral (1,5 vs 0,9 accident vasculaire cérébral par 100 années-patients; RR de 2,9; intervalle de confiance [IC] à 95 %; de 2,1 à 3,9; I2 = 78 %). La FA périopératoire était également associée à un risque considérablement plus élevé de décès toutes causes confondues (21,0 vs 7,6 décès par 100 années-patients; RR de 1,8; IC à 95 %; de 1,5 à 2,2; I2 = 94 %). Les rapports de risques instantanés ajustés regroupés d'accident vasculaire cérébral et de décès toutes causes confondues étaient de 1,9 (IC à 95 %; de 1,6 à 2,2; I2 = 31 %) et de 1,5 (IC à 95 %; de 1,3 à 1,7; I2 = 20 %), respectivement. CONCLUSIONS: Les patients qui souffraient de FA périopératoire à la suite d'une chirurgie non cardiaque présentaient un risque accru à long terme d'accident vasculaire cérébral et de décès par rapport aux patients qui n'en souffraient pas. Il serait approprié d'examiner la possibilité de modifier ce risque par une anticoagulothérapie orale.