Primary Graft Function and 5 Year Insulin Independence After Pancreas and Islet Transplantation for Type 1 Diabetes: A Retrospective Parallel Cohort Study.

In islet transplantation (ITx), primary graft function (PGF) or beta cell function measured early after last infusion is closely associated with long term clinical outcomes. We investigated the association between PGF and 5 year insulin independence rate in ITx and pancreas transplantation (PTx) recipients. This retrospective multicenter study included type 1 diabetes patients who underwent ITx in Lille and PTx in Nantes from 2000 to 2022. PGF was assessed using the validated Beta2-score and compared to normoglycemic control subjects. Subsequently, the 5 year insulin independence rates, as predicted by a validated PGF-based model, were compared to the actual rates observed in ITx and PTx patients. The study enrolled 39 ITx (23 ITA, 16 IAK), 209 PTx recipients (23 PTA, 14 PAK, 172 SPK), and 56 normoglycemic controls. Mean[SD] PGF was lower after ITx (ITA 22.3[5.2], IAK 24.8[6.4], than after PTx (PTA 38.9[15.3], PAK 36.8[9.0], SPK 38.7[10.5]), and lower than mean beta-cell function measured in normoglycemic control: 36.6[4.3]. The insulin independence rates observed at 5 years after PTA and PAK aligned with PGF predictions, and was higher after SPK. Our results indicate a similar relation between PGF and 5 year insulin independence in ITx and solitary PTx, shedding new light on long-term transplantation outcomes.

Early prediction of the impact of public health policies on obesity and lifetime risk of type 2 diabetes: A modelling approach.

OBJECTIVE: Help public health decision-making requires a better understanding of the dynamics of obesity and type 2 diabetes and an assessement of different strategies to decrease their burdens. METHODS: Based on 97,848 individual data, collected in the French Health, Health Care and Insurance Survey over 1998-2014, a Markov model was developed to describe the progression of being overweight to obesity, and the onset of type 2 diabetes. This model traces and predicts 2022-2027 burdens of obesity and type 2 diabetes, and lifetime risk of diabetes, according to different scenarios aiming at minimum to stabilize obesity at 5 years. RESULTS: Estimated risks of type 2 diabetes increase from 0.09% (normal weight) to 1.56% (obesity II-III). Compared to the before 1995 period, progression risks are estimated to have nearly doubled for obesity and tripled for type 2 diabetes. Consequently, over 2022-2027, the prevalence of obesity and type 2 diabetes will continue to increase from 17.3% to 18.2% and from 7.3% to 8.1%, respectively. Scenarios statibilizing obesity would require a 22%-decrease in the probability of move up (scenario 1) or a 33%-increase in the probability of move down (scenario 2) one BMI class. However, this stabilization will not affect the increase of diabetes prevalence whereas lifetime risk of diabetes would decrease (30.9% to 27.0%). Combining both scenarios would decrease obesity by 9.9%. Only the prevalence of obesity III shows early change able to predict the outcome of a strategy: for example, 6.7%-decrease at one year, 13.3%-decrease at two years with scenario 1 stabilizing obesity at 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: Prevalences of obesity and type 2 diabetes will still increase over the next 5 years. Stabilizing obesity may decrease lifetime risks of type 2 diabetes without affecting its short-term prevalence. Our study highlights that, to early assess the effectiveness of their program, public health policy makers should rely on the change in prevalence of obesity III.

Performance of non-invasive tests for liver fibrosis resolution after bariatric surgery.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The value of non-invasive tests for monitoring the resolution of significant liver fibrosis after treatment is poorly investigated. We compared the performances of six non-invasive tests to predict the resolution of significant fibrosis after bariatric surgery. METHODS: Participants were individuals with obesity submitted to needle liver biopsy at the time of bariatric surgery, and 12 and/or 60 months after surgery. We calculated the fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), AST to platelet ratio index (APRI), Hepatic fibrosis score (HFS), Fibrotic NASH index (FNI), and Liver risk score (LRS) at each time point, and compared their performances for predicting significant fibrosis (F ≥ 2) and its resolution following surgery. RESULTS: At baseline, 2436 patients had liver biopsy, including 261 (10.7 %) with significant fibrosis. Overall, 672 patients had pre- and post-operative biopsies (564 at M12 and 328 at M60). The fibrosis stage decreased at M12 and M60 (p < 0.001 vs M0). Resolution of significant fibrosis occurred in 58/121 (47.9 %) at M12 and 32/50 (64 %) at M60. The mean value of all tests decreased after surgery, except for FIB-4. Performances for predicting fibrosis resolution was higher at M60 than at M12 for all tests, and maximal at M60 for FNI and LRS: area under the curve 0.843 (95%CI 0.71-0.95) and 0.92 (95%CI 0.84-1.00); positive likelihood ratio 3.75 (95 % CI 1.33-10.59) and 4.58 (95 % CI 1.65-12.70), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Results showed the value and limits of non-invasive tests for monitoring the evolution of liver fibrosis after an intervention. Following bariatric surgery, the best performances to predict the resolution of significant fibrosis were observed at M60 with tests combining liver and metabolic traits, namely FNI and LRS.

Genetic Evidence of Causal Relation Between Intestinal Glucose Absorption and Early Postprandial Glucose Response: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

The postprandial glucose response is an independent risk factor for type 2 diabetes. Observationally, early glucose response after an oral glucose challenge has been linked to intestinal glucose absorption, largely influenced by the expression of sodium-glucose cotransporter 1 (SGLT1). This study uses Mendelian randomization (MR) to estimate the causal effect of intestinal SGLT1 expression on early glucose response. Involving 1,547 subjects with class II/III obesity from the Atlas Biologique de l'Obésité Sévère cohort, the study uses SGLT1 genotyping, oral glucose tolerance tests, and jejunal biopsies to measure SGLT1 expression. A loss-of-function SGLT1 haplotype serves as the instrumental variable, with intestinal SGLT1 expression as the exposure and the change in 30-min postload glycemia from fasting glycemia (Δ30 glucose) as the outcome. Results show that 12.8% of the 1,342 genotyped patients carried the SGLT1 loss-of-function haplotype, associated with a mean Δ30 glucose reduction of -0.41 mmol/L and a significant decrease in intestinal SGLT1 expression. The observational study links a 1-SD decrease in SGLT1 expression to a Δ30 glucose reduction of -0.097 mmol/L. MR analysis parallels these findings, associating a statistically significant reduction in genetically instrumented intestinal SGLT1 expression with a Δ30 glucose decrease of -0.353. In conclusion, the MR analysis provides genetic evidence that reducing intestinal SGLT1 expression causally lowers early postload glucose response. This finding has a potential translational impact on managing early glucose response to prevent or treat type 2 diabetes.

Adipose tissue macrophage infiltration and hepatocyte stress increase GDF-15 throughout development of obesity to MASH.

Plasma growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) levels increase with obesity and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) but the underlying mechanism remains poorly defined. Using male mouse models of obesity and MASLD, and biopsies from carefully-characterized patients regarding obesity, type 2 diabetes (T2D) and MASLD status, we identify adipose tissue (AT) as the key source of GDF-15 at onset of obesity and T2D, followed by liver during the progression towards metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH). Obesity and T2D increase GDF15 expression in AT through the accumulation of macrophages, which are the main immune cells expressing GDF15. Inactivation of Gdf15 in macrophages reduces plasma GDF-15 concentrations and exacerbates obesity in mice. During MASH development, Gdf15 expression additionally increases in hepatocytes through stress-induced TFEB and DDIT3 signaling. Together, these results demonstrate a dual contribution of AT and liver to GDF-15 production in metabolic diseases and identify potential therapeutic targets to raise endogenous GDF-15 levels.

A Federated Database for Obesity Research: An IMI-SOPHIA Study.

Obesity is considered by many as a lifestyle choice rather than a chronic progressive disease. The Innovative Medicines Initiative (IMI) SOPHIA (Stratification of Obesity Phenotypes to Optimize Future Obesity Therapy) project is part of a momentum shift aiming to provide better tools for the stratification of people with obesity according to disease risk and treatment response. One of the challenges to achieving these goals is that many clinical cohorts are siloed, limiting the potential of combined data for biomarker discovery. In SOPHIA, we have addressed this challenge by setting up a federated database building on open-source DataSHIELD technology. The database currently federates 16 cohorts that are accessible via a central gateway. The database is multi-modal, including research studies, clinical trials, and routine health data, and is accessed using the R statistical programming environment where statistical and machine learning analyses can be performed at a distance without any disclosure of patient-level data. We demonstrate the use of the database by providing a proof-of-concept analysis, performing a federated linear model of BMI and systolic blood pressure, pooling all data from 16 studies virtually without any analyst seeing individual patient-level data. This analysis provided similar point estimates compared to a meta-analysis of the 16 individual studies. Our approach provides a benchmark for reproducible, safe federated analyses across multiple study types provided by multiple stakeholders.