Coronary artery calcium testing in young adults.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To provide a summary of recent literature on coronary artery calcium testing (CAC) for risk stratification in young adults <45 years old. RECENT FINDINGS: One of every ten young adults in the general population, and one out of every three young adults with traditional atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk factors, have CAC. While the definition of premature CAC has yet to be formally defined in guidelines, it has become increasingly clear that any prevalent CAC among adults <45 years old should be considered premature. Traditional risk factors are strong predictors of CAC in young adults; however, this association has been found to wane over the life course which suggests that the onset and severity of risk factors for calcific atherosclerosis varies as individuals age. Though CAC is a robust predictor of both ASCVD and cancer-related mortality in old age, CAC in young adults confers a stepwise higher risk uniquely for incident ASCVD mortality, and not for non-ASCVD causes. New tools are available to assist in interpretation of CAC in the young, and for estimating the ideal age to initiate CAC scoring. SUMMARY: The identification of premature CAC is important because it suggests that calcific plaque can be detected with modern imaging earlier in the natural history than previously thought. Taken together, these findings underline a utility of selective use of CAC scoring on non-contrast computed tomography among at-risk young adults to facilitate timely lifestyle modification and pharmacotherapies for the prevention of later life ASCVD.

Coronary artery calcium and sudden cardiac death: current evidence and future directions.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To provide a summary of the current evidence and highlight future directions regarding coronary artery calcium (CAC) and risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD). RECENT FINDINGS: Although up to 80% of all SCD is attributed to coronary heart disease (CHD), the subclinical atherosclerosis markers that help to improve SCD risk prediction are largely unknown. Recent observational data have demonstrated that, after adjustment for traditional risk factors, there is a stepwise higher risk for SCD across increasing CAC burden such that asymptomatic patients without overt atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) experience a three-fold to five-fold higher SCD risk beginning at CAC at least 100 when compared with CAC = 0. Although the mechanisms underlying increasing CAC and SCD risk have yet to be fully elucidated, risk for myocardial infarction and scar, and/or exercise-induced ischemia may be potential mediators. SUMMARY: High CAC burden is an important risk factor for SCD in asymptomatic middle-aged adults, suggesting that SCD risk stratification can begin in the early stages of CHD via measurement of calcific plaque on noncontrast computed tomography. Despite the clinical inertia for downstream functional cardiac testing after detecting high CAC, comprehensive ASCVD prevention strategies should be the primary focus for SCD risk reduction.

Biomarkers of Hepatic Dysfunction and Cardiovascular Risk.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The objective of this manuscript is to examine the current literature on non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) biomarkers and their correlation with cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes and cardiovascular risk scores. RECENT FINDINGS: There has been a growing appreciation for an independent link between NAFLD and CVD, culminating in a scientific statement by the American Heart Association in 2022. More recently, studies have begun to identify biomarkers of the three NAFLD phases as potent predictors of cardiovascular risk. Despite the body of evidence supporting a connection between hepatic biomarkers and CVD, more research is certainly needed, as some studies find no significant relationship. If this relationship continues to be robust and readily reproducible, NAFLD and its biomarkers may have an exciting role in the future of cardiovascular risk prediction, possibly as risk-enhancing factors or as components of novel cardiovascular risk prediction models.

High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol in Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk Assessment: Exploring and Explaining the "U"-Shaped Curve.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Review updates for the association of HDL-cholesterol with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and discuss the approach to incorporating HDL-cholesterol within risk assessment. RECENT FINDINGS: There is a U-shaped relationship between HDL-cholesterol and ASCVD. Both low HDL-cholesterol (< 40 mg/dL in men, < 50 mg/dL in women) and very-high HDL-cholesterol (≥ 80 mg/dL in men) are associated with a higher risk of all-cause and ASCVD mortality, independent from traditional risk factors. There has been inconsistency for the association between very-high HDL-cholesterol and mortality outcomes in women. It is uncertain whether HDL-cholesterol is a causal ASCVD risk factor, especially due to mixed results from Mendelian randomization studies and the collinearity of HDL-cholesterol with established risk factors, lifestyle behaviors, and socioeconomic status. HDL-cholesterol is a risk factor or risk enhancer in primary prevention and high-risk condition in secondary prevention when either low (men and women) or very-high (men). The contribution of HDL-cholesterol to ASCVD risk calculators should reflect its observed U-shaped association with all-cause and ASCVD mortality.

Evaluation of coronary stenosis versus plaque burden for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk assessment and management.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To provide a summary of recent literature on the relative impact of luminal stenosis versus atherosclerotic plaque burden in atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk stratification and management. RECENT FINDINGS: Recent results from both randomized controlled clinical trials as well as observational cohort studies have demonstrated that ASCVD risk is mediated mainly by the extent of atherosclerotic disease burden rather than by the presence of coronary stenosis or inducible ischemia. Although patients with obstructive CAD are generally at higher risk for ASCVD events than patients with nonobstructive CAD, this is driven by a higher plaque burden in those with obstructive CAD. Accordingly, the ASCVD risk for a given plaque burden is similar in patients with and without obstructive CAD. Accompanying these observations are randomized controlled trial data, which show that optimization of medical therapy instead of early revascularization is most important for improving prognosis in patients with stable obstructive CAD. SUMMARY: Emerging evidence shows that atherosclerotic plaque burden, and not stenosis per se, is the main driver of ASCVD risk in patients with CAD. This information challenges the current paradigm of selecting patients for intensive secondary prevention measures based primarily on the presence of obstructive CAD.

Effect of culinary education curriculum on Mediterranean diet adherence and food cost savings in families: a randomised controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: Diet-related diseases are the leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the USA. While the critical aspects of a healthy diet are well known, the relationship between community-based, teaching kitchen education and dietary behaviours is unclear. We examined the effect of a novel culinary medicine education programme on Mediterranean diet adherence and food cost savings. DESIGN: Families were randomised to a hands-on, teaching kitchen culinary education class (n = 18) or non-kitchen-based dietary counselling (n = 23) for 6 weeks. The primary outcome was adherence to the validated nine-point Mediterranean diet score, and the secondary outcome was food cost savings per family. SETTING: The Goldring Center for Culinary Medicine, a community teaching kitchen in New Orleans. PARTICIPANTS: Families (n = 41) of at least one child and one parent. RESULTS: Compared with families receiving traditional dietary counselling, those participating in hands-on, kitchen-based nutrition education were nearly three times as likely to follow a Mediterranean dietary pattern (OR 2·93, 95% CI 1·73, 4·95; P  <  0·001), experiencing a 0·43-point increase in Mediterranean diet adherence after 6 weeks (B  =  0·43; P  <  0·001). Kitchen-based nutrition education projects to save families $US 21·70 per week compared with standard dietary counselling by increasing the likelihood of consuming home-prepared v. commercially-prepared meals (OR 1·56, 95% CI 1·08, 2·25; P  =  0·018). CONCLUSIONS: Community-based culinary medicine education improves Mediterranean diet adherence and associates with food cost savings among a diverse sample of families. Hands-on culinary medicine education may be a novel evidence-based tool to teach healthful dietary habits and prevent chronic disease.

Pseudouridine and N-formylmethionine associate with left ventricular mass index: Metabolome-wide association analysis of cardiac remodeling.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) is the fastest growing form of cardiovascular disease both nationally and globally, underlining a need to phenotype subclinical HF intermediaries to improve primary prevention. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to identify novel metabolite associations with left ventricular (LV) remodeling, one upstream HF intermediary, among a community-based cohort of individuals. METHODS: We examined 1052 Bogalusa Heart Study participants (34.98% African American, 57.41% female, aged 33.6-57.5 years). Measures of LV mass and relative wall thickness (RWT) were obtained using two-dimensional-guided echocardiographic measurements via validated eqs. LV mass was indexed to height2.7 to calculate left ventricular mass index (LVMI). Untargeted metabolomic analysis of fasting serum samples was conducted. In combined and ethnicity-stratified analyses, multivariable linear and multinomial logistic regression models tested the associations of metabolites with the continuous LVMI and RWT and categorical LV geometry phenotypes, respectively, after adjusting for demographic and traditional cardiovascular disease risk factors. RESULTS: Pseudouridine (B = 1.38; p = 3.20 × 10-5) and N-formylmethionine (B = 1.65; 3.30 × 10-6) were significantly associated with LVMI in the overall sample as well significant in Caucasians, with consistent effect direction and nominal significance (p < .05) in African Americans. Upon exclusion of individuals with self-report myocardial infarction or congestive HF, we similarly observed a 1.33 g/m2.7 and 1.52 g/m2.7 higher LVMI for each standard deviation increase in pseudouridine and N-formylmethionine, respectively. No significant associations were observed for metabolites with RWT or categorical LV remodeling outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: The current analysis identified novel associations of pseudouridine and N-formylmethionine with LVMI, suggesting that mitochondrial-derived metabolites may serve as early biomarkers for LV remodeling and subclinical HF.

Pooled cohort equations heart failure risk score predicts cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in a nationally representative sample of US adults.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) represents an accumulated burden of systemic vascular damage and is the fastest growing form of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Due to increasing HF-attributable mortality rates, we sought to assess the association of the new 2019 Pooled Cohort equations to Prevent Heart Failure (PCP-HF) risk score with CVD and all-cause mortality. METHODS: We linked data for 6333 black and white men and women aged 40-79 years, whom underwent electrocardiographic examination from the Third National Health and Nutrition Exam Survey, to National Death Index record matches. Sex- and race-specific PCP-HF risk scores were calculated using data on age, smoking, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol, fasting blood glucose, QRS complex duration, and antihypertensive and/or glucose-lowering medications. Cox regression estimated hazard ratios for the association of the PCP-HF risk score with CVD and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Individuals were on average 54.9 years old (51.7% women, 25.4% black) and the median 10-year HF risk was 1.6% (Q1 = 0.5, Q3 = 4.8). There were 3178 deaths, 1116 from CVD, over a median follow-up time of 22.3 years. Black women had a higher 10-year HF risk compared to white women (2.1% vs. 1.1%; p < 0.01), while no significant difference was observed in predicted HF risk between black men and white men (2.3% vs. 2.1%, p = 0.16). A two-fold higher PCP-HF risk score was associated with a significant 58% (HR = 1.58; 95% CI, 1.48-1.70; p < 0.0001) and 38% (HR = 1.38; 95% CI, 1.32-1.46; p < 0.0001) greater risk of CVD and all-cause mortality, respectively. CONCLUSION: The PCP-HF risk score predicts CVD and all-cause mortality, in addition to the 10-year risk of incident HF among white and black men and women. These results underline the expanded utility of the PCP-HF risk score and suggest that its implementation in the clinical and population health settings may improve primary CVD prevention in the United States.

Novel associations between blood metabolites and kidney function among Bogalusa Heart Study and Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis participants.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a major public health challenge given its high global prevalence and associated risks of cardiovascular disease and progression to end stage renal disease. Although it is known that numerous metabolic changes occur in CKD patients, identifying novel metabolite associations with kidney function may enhance our understanding of the physiologic pathways relating to CKD. OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to elucidate novel metabolite associations with kidney function among participants of two community-based cohorts with carefully ascertained metabolomics, kidney function, and covariate data. METHODS: Untargeted ultrahigh-performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry was used to detect and quantify blood metabolites. We used multivariate adjusted linear regression to examine associations between single metabolites and creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcr) among 1243 Bogalusa Heart Study (BHS) participants (median eGFRcr: 94.4, 5th-95th percentile: 66.0-119.6 mL/min/1.73 m2). Replication, determined by statistical significance and consistent effect direction, was tested using gold standard measured glomerular filtration rate (mGFR) among 260 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) participants (median mGFR: 72.0, 5th-95th percentile: 43.5-105.0 mL/min/1.73 m2). All analyses used Bonferroni-corrected alpha thresholds. RESULTS: Fifty-one novel metabolite associations with kidney function were identified, including 12 from previously unrelated sub-pathways: N6-carboxymethyllysine, gulonate, quinolinate, gamma-CEHC-glucuronide, retinol, methylmalonate, 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutarate, 3-aminoisobutyrate, N-methylpipecolate, hydroquinone sulfate, and glycine conjugates of C10H12O2 and C10H14O2(1). Significant metabolites were generally inversely associated with kidney function and smaller in mass-to-charge ratio than non-significant metabolites. CONCLUSION: The 51 novel metabolites identified may serve as early, clinically relevant, kidney function biomarkers.

Does Elevated High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Protect Against Cardiovascular Disease?

High-density lipoprotein (HDL) contributes to reverse cholesterol transport, which is 1 of the main explanations for the described inverse association between HDL-cholesterol (HDL-C) and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk. However, efforts to therapeutically raise HDL-C levels with niacin, fibrates, or cholesteryl ester transfer protein inhibitors have not demonstrated a reduction in ASCVD events when compared with placebo among individuals treated with statins. Furthermore, mendelian randomization studies suggest that HDL-C is unlikely to be a direct biologic variable impacting ASCVD risk. More recently, observations from well-conducted epidemiologic studies have indicated a nonlinear U-shaped relationship between HDL-C and subclinical atherosclerosis, and that very high HDL-C (≥80 mg/dL in men, ≥100 mg/dL in women) is paradoxically associated with higher all-cause and ASCVD-related mortality. These observations suggest that HDL-C is not a universal protective factor for atherosclerosis. Thus, there are several opportunities for reframing the contribution of HDL-C to ASCVD risk and related clinical calculators. Here, we examine our growing understanding of HDL-C and its role in ASCVD risk assessment, treatment, and prevention. We discuss the biological functions of HDL-C and its normative values in relation to demographics and lifestyle markers. We then summarize original studies that observed a protective association between HDL-C and ASCVD risk and more recent evidence indicating an elevated ASCVD risk at very high HDL-C levels. Through this process, we advance the discussion regarding the future role of HDL-C in ASCVD risk assessment and identify knowledge gaps pertaining to the precise role of HDL-C in atherosclerosis and clinical ASCVD.

Carotid Ultrasound-Based Plaque Score for the Allocation of Aspirin for the Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease Events: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis and the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study.

BACKGROUND: Coronary artery calcium testing using noncontrast cardiac computed tomography is a guideline-indicated test to help refine eligibility for aspirin in primary prevention. However, access to cardiac computed tomography remains limited, with carotid ultrasound used much more often internationally. We sought to update the role of aspirin allocation in primary prevention as a function of subclinical carotid atherosclerosis. METHODS AND RESULTS: The study included 11 379 participants from the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) and ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) studies. A harmonized carotid plaque score (range, 0-6) was derived using the number of anatomic sites with plaque from the left and right common, bifurcation, and internal carotid artery on ultrasound. The 5-year number needed to treat and number needed to harm as a function of the carotid plaque score were calculated by applying a 12% relative risk reduction in atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events and 42% relative increase in major bleeding events related to aspirin use, respectively. The mean age was 57 years, 57% were women, 23% were Black, and the median 10-year ASCVD risk was 12.8%. The 5-year incidence rates (per 1000 person-years) were 5.5 (4.9-6.2) for ASCVD and 1.8 (1.5-2.2) for major bleeding events. The overall 5-year number needed to treat with aspirin was 306 but was 2-fold lower for individuals with carotid plaque versus those without carotid plaque (212 versus 448). The 5-year number needed to treat was less than the 5-year number needed to harm when the carotid plaque score was ≥2 for individuals with ASCVD risk 5% to 20%, whereas the presence of any carotid plaque demarcated a favorable risk-benefit for individuals with ASCVD risk >20%. CONCLUSIONS: Quantification of subclinical carotid atherosclerosis can help improve the allocation of aspirin therapy.

Aspirin use for primary prevention among US adults with and without elevated Lipoprotein(a).

Objective: Lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] is an atherogenic and prothrombotic lipoprotein associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). We assessed the association between regular aspirin use and ASCVD mortality among individuals with versus without elevated Lp(a) in a nationally representative US cohort. Methods: Eligible participants were aged 40-70 years without clinical ASCVD, reported on aspirin use, and had Lp(a) measurements from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III, 1988-1994), the only cycle of this nationally representative US cohort to measure Lp(a). Regular aspirin use was defined as taking aspirin ≥30 times in the previous month. Using NHANES III linked mortality records and weighted Cox proportional hazards regression, the association between regular aspirin use and ASCVD mortality was observed in those with and without elevated Lp(a) (≥50 versus <50 mg/dL) over a median 26-year follow-up. Results: Among 2,990 persons meeting inclusion criteria (∼73 million US adults), the mean age was 50 years, 86% were non-Hispanic White, 9% were non-Hispanic Black, 53% were female, and 7% reported regular aspirin use. The median Lp(a) was 14 mg/dL and the proportion with elevated Lp(a) was similar among those with versus without regular aspirin use (15.1% versus 21.9%, p = 0.16). Among individuals with elevated Lp(a), the incidence of ASCVD mortality per 1,000 person-years was lower for those with versus without regular aspirin use (1.2, 95% CI: 0.1-2.3 versus 3.9, 95% CI: 2.8-4.9). In multivariable modeling, regular aspirin use was associated with a 52% lower risk of ASCVD mortality among individuals with elevated Lp(a) (HR=0.48, 95% CI: 0.28-0.83), but not for those without elevated Lp(a) (HR=1.01, 95% CI: 0.81-1.25; p-interaction=0.001). Conclusion: Regular aspirin use was associated with significantly lower ASCVD mortality in adults without clinical ASCVD who had elevated Lp(a). These findings may have clinical and public health implications for aspirin utilization in primary prevention.

Nontraditional Risk Markers for Incident Coronary Artery Calcium Among Persons ≥65 Years of Age.

Background: The initiation of coronary artery calcium (CAC) is an important physiologic milestone associated with increased cardiovascular disease risk. However, traditional risk factors (RF) do not perform well for predicting incident CAC among the 54 million older U.S. adults. Objectives: The authors sought to assess the association between nontraditional cardiovascular disease RF and incident CAC in older persons. Methods: There were 815 MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) participants ≥65 years of age who had CAC = 0 at Visit 1 and a follow-up CAC scan. Multivariable adjusted Cox hazards ratios (aHR) and C-statistics were calculated to examine the association of nontraditional RF with incident CAC. Results: The mean age was 70.2 years and 67% were women. The median follow-up time to repeat CAC scan was 3.6 years (IQR: 2.6-9.2 years) and 45% of participants developed incident CAC. Albuminuria (aHR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.07-2.09), carotid plaque (aHR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.04-1.66), and thoracic aortic calcification (TAC) (aHR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.10-1.75) were significantly associated with incident CAC, while higher levels of nontraditional RF including apolipoprotein-B, lipoprotein(a), high-sensitivity troponin T, and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide were not. When added to demographics, albuminuria, carotid plaque, and TAC provided a greater C-statistic improvement (+0.047, P = 0.004) vs all traditional RF combined (+0.033, P = 0.05). Conclusions: Among nontraditional RF and measures of subclinical atherosclerosis, only albuminuria, carotid plaque, and TAC were significantly associated with incident CAC in persons ≥65 years of age. Identification of albuminuria or extracoronary atherosclerosis may help guide the timing of repeat CAC scoring in older persons with baseline CAC = 0.

Online searches for hepatocellular carcinoma drugs mirror prescription trends across specialties and changes in guideline recommendations.

Background & aims: The treatment options for systemically progressed hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have significantly expanded in recent years. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the potential of Google searches as a reflection of prescription rates for HCC drugs in the United States (US). Methods: We conducted an in-depth analysis of US prescription data obtained from the IQVIA National Prescription Audit (NPA) and corresponding Google Trends data from January 2017 to December 2022. We focused on drugs used in the first line and second or later treatment lines for HCC, collecting data on their prescriptions and search rates. Search volumes were collected as aggregated search queries for both generic drugs and their respective brand names. Results: During the study period from Q1 2017 to Q4 2022, monthly prescriptions for drugs used in HCC treatment showed an 173% increase (from 1253 to 3422). Conversely online searches increased by 3.5% (from 173 to 179 per 10 million searches). Notably, strong correlations were observed between search interest and prescriptions for newer drugs, which indicates increasing usage, while older drugs with declining usage displayed limited correlation. Our findings suggest a growing role of non-physician professions in managing systemically progressed HCC within the US healthcare system, although oncologists remained primarily responsible for drug prescriptions. Conclusions: In conclusion, online search monitoring can offer the potential to reflect prescription trends specifically related to the treatment of HCC. This approach provides a swift and accessible means of evaluating the evolving landscape of HCC treatment.

Prevalence of Aortic Valve Calcium and the Long-Term Risk of Incident Severe Aortic Stenosis.

BACKGROUND: Aortic valve calcification (AVC) is a principal mechanism underlying aortic stenosis (AS). OBJECTIVES: This study sought to determine the prevalence of AVC and its association with the long-term risk for severe AS. METHODS: Noncontrast cardiac computed tomography was performed among 6,814 participants free of known cardiovascular disease at MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) visit 1. AVC was quantified using the Agatston method, and normative age-, sex-, and race/ethnicity-specific AVC percentiles were derived. The adjudication of severe AS was performed via chart review of all hospital visits and supplemented with visit 6 echocardiographic data. The association between AVC and long-term incident severe AS was evaluated using multivariable Cox HRs. RESULTS: AVC was present in 913 participants (13.4%). The probability of AVC >0 and AVC scores increased with age and were generally highest among men and White participants. In general, the probability of AVC >0 among women was equivalent to men of the same race/ethnicity who were approximately 10 years younger. Incident adjudicated severe AS occurred in 84 participants over a median follow-up of 16.7 years. Higher AVC scores were exponentially associated with the absolute risk and relative risk of severe AS with adjusted HRs of 12.9 (95% CI: 5.6-29.7), 76.4 (95% CI: 34.3-170.2), and 380.9 (95% CI: 169.7-855.0) for AVC groups 1 to 99, 100 to 299, and ≥300 compared with AVC = 0. CONCLUSIONS: The probability of AVC >0 varied significantly by age, sex, and race/ethnicity. The risk of severe AS was exponentially higher with higher AVC scores, whereas AVC = 0 was associated with an extremely low long-term risk of severe AS. The measurement of AVC provides clinically relevant information to assess an individual's long-term risk for severe AS.

Psychological Distress and the Risk of Adverse Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Coronary Heart Disease.

BACKGROUND: Psychological distress is a recognized risk factor in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD), but its clinical significance is unclear. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine if an index of psychological distress is independently associated with adverse outcomes and significantly contributes to risk prediction. METHODS: Pooled analysis of 2 prospective cohort studies of patients with stable CHD (N = 891). A psychological distress score was constructed using measures of depression, anxiety, anger, perceived stress, and post-traumatic stress disorder, measured at baseline. The study endpoint included cardiovascular death or first or recurrent nonfatal myocardial infarction or hospitalization for heart failure at 5.9 years. RESULTS: In both cohorts, first and recurrent events occurred more often among those in the highest tertile of distress score than those in the lowest tertile. After combining the 2 cohorts, compared with the lowest tertile, the hazards ratio for having a distress score in the highest tertile was 2.27 (95% CI: 1.69-3.06), and for the middle tertile, it was 1.52 (95% CI: 1.10-2.08). Adjustment for demographics and clinical risk factors only slightly weakened the associations. When the distress score was added to a traditional clinical risk model, C-statistic, net reclassification index, and integrative discrimination index all significantly improved. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with CHD, a composite measure of psychological distress was significantly associated with an increased risk of adverse events and significantly improved risk prediction.

Identifying People at High Risk for Severe Aortic Stenosis: Aortic Valve Calcium Versus Lipoprotein(a) and Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol.

BACKGROUND: Aortic valve calcification (AVC), Lp(a) [lipoprotein(a)], and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) are associated with severe aortic stenosis (AS). We aimed to determine which of these risk factors were most strongly associated with the risk of incident severe AS. METHODS: A total of 6792 participants from the MESA study (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) had computed tomography-quantified AVC, Lp(a), and LDL-C values at MESA visit 1 (2000-2002). We calculated the absolute event rate of incident adjudicated severe AS per 1000 person-years and performed multivariable adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: The mean age was 62 years old, and 47% were women. Over a median 16.7-year follow-up, the rate of incident severe AS increased exponentially with higher AVC, regardless of Lp(a) or LDL-C values. Participants with AVC=0 had a very low rate of severe AS even with elevated Lp(a) ≥50 mg/dL (<0.1/1000 person-years) or LDL-C ≥130 mg/dL (0.1/1000 person-years). AVC >0 was strongly associated with severe AS when Lp(a) <50 mg/dL hazard ratio (HR) of 33.8 (95% CI, 16.4-70.0) or ≥50 mg/dL HR of 61.5 (95% CI, 7.7-494.2) and when LDL-C <130 mg/dL HR of 31.1 (95% CI, 14.4-67.1) or ≥130 mg/dL HR of 50.2 (95% CI, 13.2-191.9). CONCLUSIONS: AVC better identifies people at high risk for severe AS compared with Lp(a) or LDL-C, and people with AVC=0 have a very low long-term rate of severe AS regardless of Lp(a) or LDL-C level. These results suggest AVC should be the preferred prognostic risk marker to identify patients at high risk for severe AS, which may help inform participant selection for future trials testing novel strategies to prevent severe AS.