A scalable and robust variance components method reveals insights into the architecture of gene-environment interactions underlying complex traits.

Understanding the contribution of gene-environment interactions (GxE) to complex trait variation can provide insights into disease mechanisms, explain sources of heritability, and improve genetic risk prediction. While large biobanks with genetic and deep phenotypic data hold promise for obtaining novel insights into GxE, our understanding of GxE architecture in complex traits remains limited. We introduce a method to estimate the proportion of trait variance explained by GxE (GxE heritability) and additive genetic effects (additive heritability) across the genome and within specific genomic annotations. We show that our method is accurate in simulations and computationally efficient for biobank-scale datasets. We applied our method to common array SNPs (MAF ≥1%), fifty quantitative traits, and four environmental variables (smoking, sex, age, and statin usage) in unrelated white British individuals in the UK Biobank. We found 68 trait-E pairs with significant genome-wide GxE heritability (p<0.05/200) with a ratio of GxE to additive heritability of ≈6.8% on average. Analyzing ≈8 million imputed SNPs (MAF ≥0.1%), we documented an approximate 28% increase in genome-wide GxE heritability compared to array SNPs. We partitioned GxE heritability across minor allele frequency (MAF) and local linkage disequilibrium (LD) values, revealing that, like additive allelic effects, GxE allelic effects tend to increase with decreasing MAF and LD. Analyzing GxE heritability near genes highly expressed in specific tissues, we find significant brain-specific enrichment for body mass index (BMI) and basal metabolic rate in the context of smoking and adipose-specific enrichment for waist-hip ratio (WHR) in the context of sex.

Scalable summary-statistics-based heritability estimation method with individual genotype level accuracy.

SNP heritability, the proportion of phenotypic variation explained by genotyped SNPs, is an important parameter in understanding the genetic architecture underlying various diseases and traits. Methods that aim to estimate SNP heritability from individual genotype and phenotype data are limited by their ability to scale to Biobank-scale data sets and by the restrictions in access to individual-level data. These limitations have motivated the development of methods that only require summary statistics. Although the availability of publicly accessible summary statistics makes them widely applicable, these methods lack the accuracy of methods that utilize individual genotypes. Here we present a SUMmary-statistics-based Randomized Haseman-Elston regression (SUM-RHE), a method that can estimate the SNP heritability of complex phenotypes with accuracies comparable to approaches that require individual genotypes, while exclusively relying on summary statistics. SUM-RHE employs Genome-Wide Association Study (GWAS) summary statistics and statistics obtained on a reference population, which can be efficiently estimated and readily shared for public use. Our results demonstrate that SUM-RHE obtains estimates of SNP heritability that are substantially more accurate compared with other summary statistic methods and on par with methods that rely on individual-level data.

A scalable adaptive quadratic kernel method for interpretable epistasis analysis in complex traits.

Our knowledge of the contribution of genetic interactions (epistasis) to variation in human complex traits remains limited, partly due to the lack of efficient, powerful, and interpretable algorithms to detect interactions. Recently proposed approaches for set-based association tests show promise in improving the power to detect epistasis by examining the aggregated effects of multiple variants. Nevertheless, these methods either do not scale to large Biobank data sets or lack interpretability. We propose QuadKAST, a scalable algorithm focused on testing pairwise interaction effects (quadratic effects) within small to medium-sized sets of genetic variants (window size ≤100) on a trait and provide quantified interpretation of these effects. Comprehensive simulations show that QuadKAST is well-calibrated. Additionally, QuadKAST is highly sensitive in detecting loci with epistatic signals and accurate in its estimation of quadratic effects. We applied QuadKAST to 52 quantitative phenotypes measured in ≈300,000 unrelated white British individuals in the UK Biobank to test for quadratic effects within each of 9515 protein-coding genes. We detect 32 trait-gene pairs across 17 traits and 29 genes that demonstrate statistically significant signals of quadratic effects (accounting for the number of genes and traits tested). Across these trait-gene pairs, the proportion of trait variance explained by quadratic effects is comparable to additive effects, with five pairs having a ratio >1. Our method enables the detailed investigation of epistasis on a large scale, offering new insights into its role and importance.

Leveraging family data to design Mendelian randomization that is provably robust to population stratification.

Mendelian randomization (MR) has emerged as a powerful approach to leverage genetic instruments to infer causality between pairs of traits in observational studies. However, the results of such studies are susceptible to biases owing to weak instruments, as well as the confounding effects of population stratification and horizontal pleiotropy. Here, we show that family data can be leveraged to design MR tests that are provably robust to confounding from population stratification, assortative mating, and dynastic effects. We show in simulations that our approach, MR-Twin, is robust to confounding from population stratification and is not affected by weak instrument bias, whereas standard MR methods yield inflated false positive rates. We then conduct an exploratory analysis of MR-Twin and other MR methods applied to 121 trait pairs in the UK Biobank data set. Our results suggest that confounding from population stratification can lead to false positives for existing MR methods, whereas MR-Twin is immune to this type of confounding, and that MR-Twin can help assess whether traditional approaches may be inflated owing to confounding from population stratification.

VISTA: an integrated framework for structural variant discovery.

Structural variation (SV) refers to insertions, deletions, inversions, and duplications in human genomes. SVs are present in approximately 1.5% of the human genome. Still, this small subset of genetic variation has been implicated in the pathogenesis of psoriasis, Crohn's disease and other autoimmune disorders, autism spectrum and other neurodevelopmental disorders, and schizophrenia. Since identifying structural variants is an important problem in genetics, several specialized computational techniques have been developed to detect structural variants directly from sequencing data. With advances in whole-genome sequencing (WGS) technologies, a plethora of SV detection methods have been developed. However, dissecting SVs from WGS data remains a challenge, with the majority of SV detection methods prone to a high false-positive rate, and no existing method able to precisely detect a full range of SVs present in a sample. Previous studies have shown that none of the existing SV callers can maintain high accuracy across various SV lengths and genomic coverages. Here, we report an integrated structural variant calling framework, Variant Identification and Structural Variant Analysis (VISTA), that leverages the results of individual callers using a novel and robust filtering and merging algorithm. In contrast to existing consensus-based tools which ignore the length and coverage, VISTA overcomes this limitation by executing various combinations of top-performing callers based on variant length and genomic coverage to generate SV events with high accuracy. We evaluated the performance of VISTA on comprehensive gold-standard datasets across varying organisms and coverage. We benchmarked VISTA using the Genome-in-a-Bottle gold standard SV set, haplotype-resolved de novo assemblies from the Human Pangenome Reference Consortium, along with an in-house polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-validated mouse gold standard set. VISTA maintained the highest F1 score among top consensus-based tools measured using a comprehensive gold standard across both mouse and human genomes. VISTA also has an optimized mode, where the calls can be optimized for precision or recall. VISTA-optimized can attain 100% precision and the highest sensitivity among other variant callers. In conclusion, VISTA represents a significant advancement in structural variant calling, offering a robust and accurate framework that outperforms existing consensus-based tools and sets a new standard for SV detection in genomic research.

MANOCCA: a robust and computationally efficient test of covariance in high-dimension multivariate omics data.

Multivariate analysis is becoming central in studies investigating high-throughput molecular data, yet, some important features of these data are seldom explored. Here, we present MANOCCA (Multivariate Analysis of Conditional CovAriance), a powerful method to test for the effect of a predictor on the covariance matrix of a multivariate outcome. The proposed test is by construction orthogonal to tests based on the mean and variance and is able to capture effects that are missed by both approaches. We first compare the performances of MANOCCA with existing correlation-based methods and show that MANOCCA is the only test correctly calibrated in simulation mimicking omics data. We then investigate the impact of reducing the dimensionality of the data using principal component analysis when the sample size is smaller than the number of pairwise covariance terms analysed. We show that, in many realistic scenarios, the maximum power can be achieved with a limited number of components. Finally, we apply MANOCCA to 1000 healthy individuals from the Milieu Interieur cohort, to assess the effect of health, lifestyle and genetic factors on the covariance of two sets of phenotypes, blood biomarkers and flow cytometry-based immune phenotypes. Our analyses identify significant associations between multiple factors and the covariance of both omics data.

Fast estimation of genetic correlation for biobank-scale data.

Genetic correlation is an important parameter in efforts to understand the relationships among complex traits. Current methods that analyze individual genotype data for estimating genetic correlation are challenging to scale to large datasets. Methods that analyze summary data, while being computationally efficient, tend to yield estimates of genetic correlation with reduced precision. We propose SCORE (scalable genetic correlation estimator), a randomized method of moments estimator of genetic correlation that is both scalable and accurate. SCORE obtains more precise estimates of genetic correlations relative to summary-statistic methods that can be applied at scale; it achieves a 44% reduction in standard error relative to LD-score regression (LDSC) and a 20% reduction relative to high-definition likelihood (HDL) (averaged over all simulations). The efficiency of SCORE enables computation of genetic correlations on the UK Biobank dataset, consisting of ≈300 K individuals and ≈500 K SNPs, in a few h (orders of magnitude faster than methods that analyze individual data, such as GCTA). Across 780 pairs of traits in 291,273 unrelated white British individuals in the UK Biobank, SCORE identifies significant genetic correlation between 200 additional pairs of traits over LDSC (beyond the 245 pairs identified by both).

Inferring population structure in biobank-scale genomic data.

Inferring the structure of human populations from genetic variation data is a key task in population and medical genomic studies. Although a number of methods for population structure inference have been proposed, current methods are impractical to run on biobank-scale genomic datasets containing millions of individuals and genetic variants. We introduce SCOPE, a method for population structure inference that is orders of magnitude faster than existing methods while achieving comparable accuracy. SCOPE infers population structure in about a day on a dataset containing one million individuals and variants as well as on the UK Biobank dataset containing 488,363 individuals and 569,346 variants. Furthermore, SCOPE can leverage allele frequencies from previous studies to improve the interpretability of population structure estimates.

MaLAdapt Reveals Novel Targets of Adaptive Introgression From Neanderthals and Denisovans in Worldwide Human Populations.

Adaptive introgression (AI) facilitates local adaptation in a wide range of species. Many state-of-the-art methods detect AI with ad-hoc approaches that identify summary statistic outliers or intersect scans for positive selection with scans for introgressed genomic regions. Although widely used, approaches intersecting outliers are vulnerable to a high false-negative rate as the power of different methods varies, especially for complex introgression events. Moreover, population genetic processes unrelated to AI, such as background selection or heterosis, may create similar genomic signals to AI, compromising the reliability of methods that rely on neutral null distributions. In recent years, machine learning (ML) methods have been increasingly applied to population genetic questions. Here, we present a ML-based method called MaLAdapt for identifying AI loci from genome-wide sequencing data. Using an Extra-Trees Classifier algorithm, our method combines information from a large number of biologically meaningful summary statistics to capture a powerful composite signature of AI across the genome. In contrast to existing methods, MaLAdapt is especially well-powered to detect AI with mild beneficial effects, including selection on standing archaic variation, and is robust to non-AI selective sweeps, heterosis from deleterious mutations, and demographic misspecification. Furthermore, MaLAdapt outperforms existing methods for detecting AI based on the analysis of simulated data and the validation of empirical signals through visual inspection of haplotype patterns. We apply MaLAdapt to the 1000 Genomes Project human genomic data and discover novel AI candidate regions in non-African populations, including genes that are enriched in functionally important biological pathways regulating metabolism and immune responses.

Quantifying the contribution of dominance deviation effects to complex trait variation in biobank-scale data.

The proportion of variation in complex traits that can be attributed to non-additive genetic effects has been a topic of intense debate. The availability of biobank-scale datasets of genotype and trait data from unrelated individuals opens up the possibility of obtaining precise estimates of the contribution of non-additive genetic effects. We present an efficient method to estimate the variation in a complex trait that can be attributed to additive (additive heritability) and dominance deviation (dominance heritability) effects across all genotyped SNPs in a large collection of unrelated individuals. Over a wide range of genetic architectures, our method yields unbiased estimates of additive and dominance heritability. We applied our method, in turn, to array genotypes as well as imputed genotypes (at common SNPs with minor allele frequency [MAF] > 1%) and 50 quantitative traits measured in 291,273 unrelated white British individuals in the UK Biobank. Averaged across these 50 traits, we find that additive heritability on array SNPs is 21.86% while dominance heritability is 0.13% (about 0.48% of the additive heritability) with qualitatively similar results for imputed genotypes. We find no statistically significant evidence for dominance heritability (p<0.05/50 accounting for the number of traits tested) and estimate that dominance heritability is unlikely to exceed 1% for the traits analyzed. Our analyses indicate a limited contribution of dominance heritability to complex trait variation.

Detection of Neanderthal Adaptively Introgressed Genetic Variants That Modulate Reporter Gene Expression in Human Immune Cells.

Although some variation introgressed from Neanderthals has undergone selective sweeps, little is known about its functional significance. We used a Massively Parallel Reporter Assay (MPRA) to assay 5,353 high-frequency introgressed variants for their ability to modulate the gene expression within 170 bp of endogenous sequence. We identified 2,548 variants in active putative cis-regulatory elements (CREs) and 292 expression-modulating variants (emVars). These emVars are predicted to alter the binding motifs of important immune transcription factors, are enriched for associations with neutrophil and white blood cell count, and are associated with the expression of genes that function in innate immune pathways including inflammatory response and antiviral defense. We combined the MPRA data with other data sets to identify strong candidates to be driver variants of positive selection including an emVar that may contribute to protection against severe COVID-19 response. We endogenously deleted two CREs containing expression-modulation variants linked to immune function, rs11624425 and rs80317430, identifying their primary genic targets as ELMSAN1, and PAN2 and STAT2, respectively, three genes differentially expressed during influenza infection. Overall, we present the first database of experimentally identified expression-modulating Neanderthal-introgressed alleles contributing to potential immune response in modern humans.

Evaluating supervised and unsupervised background noise correction in human gut microbiome data.

The ability to predict human phenotypes and identify biomarkers of disease from metagenomic data is crucial for the development of therapeutics for microbiome-associated diseases. However, metagenomic data is commonly affected by technical variables unrelated to the phenotype of interest, such as sequencing protocol, which can make it difficult to predict phenotype and find biomarkers of disease. Supervised methods to correct for background noise, originally designed for gene expression and RNA-seq data, are commonly applied to microbiome data but may be limited because they cannot account for unmeasured sources of variation. Unsupervised approaches address this issue, but current methods are limited because they are ill-equipped to deal with the unique aspects of microbiome data, which is compositional, highly skewed, and sparse. We perform a comparative analysis of the ability of different denoising transformations in combination with supervised correction methods as well as an unsupervised principal component correction approach that is presently used in other domains but has not been applied to microbiome data to date. We find that the unsupervised principal component correction approach has comparable ability in reducing false discovery of biomarkers as the supervised approaches, with the added benefit of not needing to know the sources of variation apriori. However, in prediction tasks, it appears to only improve prediction when technical variables contribute to the majority of variance in the data. As new and larger metagenomic datasets become increasingly available, background noise correction will become essential for generating reproducible microbiome analyses.

Scalable probabilistic PCA for large-scale genetic variation data.

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a key tool for understanding population structure and controlling for population stratification in genome-wide association studies (GWAS). With the advent of large-scale datasets of genetic variation, there is a need for methods that can compute principal components (PCs) with scalable computational and memory requirements. We present ProPCA, a highly scalable method based on a probabilistic generative model, which computes the top PCs on genetic variation data efficiently. We applied ProPCA to compute the top five PCs on genotype data from the UK Biobank, consisting of 488,363 individuals and 146,671 SNPs, in about thirty minutes. To illustrate the utility of computing PCs in large samples, we leveraged the population structure inferred by ProPCA within White British individuals in the UK Biobank to identify several novel genome-wide signals of recent putative selection including missense mutations in RPGRIP1L and TLR4.

Advancing admixture graph estimation via maximum likelihood network orientation.

MOTIVATION: Admixture, the interbreeding between previously distinct populations, is a pervasive force in evolution. The evolutionary history of populations in the presence of admixture can be modeled by augmenting phylogenetic trees with additional nodes that represent admixture events. While enabling a more faithful representation of evolutionary history, admixture graphs present formidable inferential challenges, and there is an increasing need for methods that are accurate, fully automated and computationally efficient. One key challenge arises from the size of the space of admixture graphs. Given that exhaustively evaluating all admixture graphs can be prohibitively expensive, heuristics have been developed to enable efficient search over this space. One heuristic, implemented in the popular method TreeMix, consists of adding edges to a starting tree while optimizing a suitable objective function. RESULTS: Here, we present a demographic model (with one admixed population incident to a leaf) where TreeMix and any other starting-tree-based maximum likelihood heuristic using its likelihood function is guaranteed to get stuck in a local optimum and return an incorrect network topology. To address this issue, we propose a new search strategy that we term maximum likelihood network orientation (MLNO). We augment TreeMix with an exhaustive search for an MLNO, referring to this approach as OrientAGraph. In evaluations including previously published admixture graphs, OrientAGraph outperformed TreeMix on 4/8 models (there are no differences in the other cases). Overall, OrientAGraph found graphs with higher likelihood scores and topological accuracy while remaining computationally efficient. Lastly, our study reveals several directions for improving maximum likelihood admixture graph estimation. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: OrientAGraph is available on Github (https://github.com/sriramlab/OrientAGraph) under the GNU General Public License v3.0. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

A two-step approach to testing overall effect of gene-environment interaction for multiple phenotypes.

MOTIVATION: While gene-environment (GxE) interactions contribute importantly to many different phenotypes, detecting such interactions requires well-powered studies and has proven difficult. To address this, we combine two approaches to improve GxE power: simultaneously evaluating multiple phenotypes and using a two-step analysis approach. Previous work shows that the power to identify a main genetic effect can be improved by simultaneously analyzing multiple related phenotypes. For a univariate phenotype, two-step methods produce higher power for detecting a GxE interaction compared to single step analysis. Therefore, we propose a two-step approach to test for an overall GxE effect for multiple phenotypes. RESULTS: Using simulations we demonstrate that, when more than one phenotype has GxE effect (i.e. GxE pleiotropy), our approach offers substantial gain in power (18-43%) to detect an aggregate-level GxE effect for a multivariate phenotype compared to an analogous two-step method to identify GxE effect for a univariate phenotype. We applied the proposed approach to simultaneously analyze three lipids, LDL, HDL and Triglyceride with the frequency of alcohol consumption as environmental factor in the UK Biobank. The method identified two loci with an overall GxE effect on the vector of lipids, one of which was missed by the competing approaches. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: We provide an R package MPGE implementing the proposed approach which is available from CRAN: https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/MPGE/index.html. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

Estimation of regional polygenicity from GWAS provides insights into the genetic architecture of complex traits.

The number of variants that have a non-zero effect on a trait (i.e. polygenicity) is a fundamental parameter in the study of the genetic architecture of a complex trait. Although many previous studies have investigated polygenicity at a genome-wide scale, a detailed understanding of how polygenicity varies across genomic regions is currently lacking. In this work, we propose an accurate and scalable statistical framework to estimate regional polygenicity for a complex trait. We show that our approach yields approximately unbiased estimates of regional polygenicity in simulations across a wide-range of various genetic architectures. We then partition the polygenicity of anthropometric and blood pressure traits across 6-Mb genomic regions (N = 290K, UK Biobank) and observe that all analyzed traits are highly polygenic: over one-third of regions harbor at least one causal variant for each of the traits analyzed. Additionally, we observe wide variation in regional polygenicity: on average across all traits, 48.9% of regions contain at least 5 causal SNPs, 5.44% of regions contain at least 50 causal SNPs. Finally, we find that heritability is proportional to polygenicity at the regional level, which is consistent with the hypothesis that heritability enrichments are largely driven by the variation in the number of causal SNPs.

The Simons Genome Diversity Project: 300 genomes from 142 diverse populations.

Here we report the Simons Genome Diversity Project data set: high quality genomes from 300 individuals from 142 diverse populations. These genomes include at least 5.8 million base pairs that are not present in the human reference genome. Our analysis reveals key features of the landscape of human genome variation, including that the rate of accumulation of mutations has accelerated by about 5% in non-Africans compared to Africans since divergence. We show that the ancestors of some pairs of present-day human populations were substantially separated by 100,000 years ago, well before the archaeologically attested onset of behavioural modernity. We also demonstrate that indigenous Australians, New Guineans and Andamanese do not derive substantial ancestry from an early dispersal of modern humans; instead, their modern human ancestry is consistent with coming from the same source as that of other non-Africans.

A statistical model for reference-free inference of archaic local ancestry.

Statistical analyses of genomic data from diverse human populations have demonstrated that archaic hominins, such as Neanderthals and Denisovans, interbred or admixed with the ancestors of present-day humans. Central to these analyses are methods for inferring archaic ancestry along the genomes of present-day individuals (archaic local ancestry). Methods for archaic local ancestry inference rely on the availability of reference genomes from the ancestral archaic populations for accurate inference. However, several instances of archaic admixture lack reference archaic genomes, making it difficult to characterize these events. We present a statistical method that combines diverse population genetic summary statistics to infer archaic local ancestry without access to an archaic reference genome. We validate the accuracy and robustness of our method in simulations. When applied to genomes of European individuals, our method recovers segments that are substantially enriched for Neanderthal ancestry, even though our method did not have access to any Neanderthal reference genomes.

Evidence for archaic adaptive introgression in humans.

As modern and ancient DNA sequence data from diverse human populations accumulate, evidence is increasing in support of the existence of beneficial variants acquired from archaic humans that may have accelerated adaptation and improved survival in new environments - a process known as adaptive introgression. Within the past few years, a series of studies have identified genomic regions that show strong evidence for archaic adaptive introgression. Here, we provide an overview of the statistical methods developed to identify archaic introgressed fragments in the genome sequences of modern humans and to determine whether positive selection has acted on these fragments. We review recently reported examples of adaptive introgression, grouped by selection pressure, and consider the level of supporting evidence for each. Finally, we discuss challenges and recommendations for inferring selection on introgressed regions.

Widespread Allelic Heterogeneity in Complex Traits.

Recent successes in genome-wide association studies (GWASs) make it possible to address important questions about the genetic architecture of complex traits, such as allele frequency and effect size. One lesser-known aspect of complex traits is the extent of allelic heterogeneity (AH) arising from multiple causal variants at a locus. We developed a computational method to infer the probability of AH and applied it to three GWASs and four expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) datasets. We identified a total of 4,152 loci with strong evidence of AH. The proportion of all loci with identified AH is 4%-23% in eQTLs, 35% in GWASs of high-density lipoprotein (HDL), and 23% in GWASs of schizophrenia. For eQTLs, we observed a strong correlation between sample size and the proportion of loci with AH (R2 = 0.85, p = 2.2 × 10-16), indicating that statistical power prevents identification of AH in other loci. Understanding the extent of AH may guide the development of new methods for fine mapping and association mapping of complex traits.