RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The United States lacks a timely and accurate nationwide surveillance system for acute ischemic stroke (AIS). We use the Get With The Guidelines-Stroke registry to apply poststratification survey weights to generate national assessment of AIS epidemiology, hospital care quality, and in-hospital outcomes. METHODS: Clinical data from the Get With The Guidelines-Stroke registry were weighted using a Bayesian interpolation method anchored to observations from the national inpatient sample. To generate a US stroke forecast for 2019, we linearized time trend estimates from the national inpatient sample to project anticipated AIS hospital volume, distribution, and race/ethnicity characteristics for the year 2019. Primary measures of AIS epidemiology and clinical care included patient and hospital characteristics, stroke severity, vital and laboratory measures, treatment interventions, performance measures, disposition, and clinical outcomes at discharge. RESULTS: We estimate 552 476 patients with AIS were admitted in 2019 to US hospitals. Median age was 71 (interquartile range, 60-81), 48.8% female. Atrial fibrillation was diagnosed in 22.6%, 30.2% had prior stroke/transient ischemic attack, and 36.4% had diabetes. At baseline, 46.4% of patients with AIS were taking antiplatelet agents, 19.2% anticoagulants, and 46.3% cholesterol-reducers. Mortality was 4.4%, and only 52.3% were able to ambulate independently at discharge. Performance nationally on AIS achievement measures were generally higher than 95% for all measures but the use of thrombolytics within 3 hours of early stroke presentations (81.9%). Additional quality measures had lower rates of receipt: dysphagia screening (84.9%), early thrombolytics by 4.5 hours (79.7%), and statin therapy (80.6%). CONCLUSIONS: We provide timely, reliable, and actionable US national AIS surveillance using Bayesian interpolation poststratification weights. These data may facilitate more targeted quality improvement efforts, resource allocation, and national policies to improve AIS care and outcomes.
Asunto(s)
Inhibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Reductasas , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Femenino , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Anciano , Masculino , Inhibidores de Agregación Plaquetaria/uso terapéutico , Inhibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Reductasas/uso terapéutico , Teorema de Bayes , Resultado del Tratamiento , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/terapia , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico , Fibrinolíticos/uso terapéutico , Calidad de la Atención de Salud , Anticoagulantes/uso terapéuticoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The U.S. lacks a stroke surveillance system. This study develops a method to transform an existing registry into a nationally representative database to evaluate acute ischemic stroke care quality. METHODS: Two statistical approaches are used to develop post-stratification weights for the Get With The Guidelines-Stroke registry by anchoring population estimates to the National Inpatient Sample. Post-stratification survey weights are estimated using a raking procedure and Bayesian interpolation methods. Weighting methods are adjusted to limit the dispersion of weights and make reasonable epidemiologic estimates of patient characteristics, quality of hospital care, and clinical outcomes. Standardized differences in national estimates are reported between the two post-stratification methods for anchored and non-anchored patient characteristics to evaluate estimation quality. Primary measures evaluated are patient and hospital characteristics, stroke severity, vital and laboratory measures, disposition, and clinical outcomes at discharge. RESULTS: A total of 1,388,296 acute ischemic strokes occurred between 2012 and 2014. Raking and Bayesian estimates of clinical data not available in administrative data are estimated within 5 to 10% of margin for expected values. Median weight for the raking method is 1.386 and the weights at the 99th percentile is 6.881 with a maximum weight of 30.775. Median Bayesian weight is 1.329 and the 99th percentile weights is 11.201 with a maximum weight of 515.689. CONCLUSIONS: Leveraging existing databases with patient registries to develop post-stratification weights is a reliable approach to estimate acute ischemic stroke epidemiology and monitoring for stroke quality of care nationally. These methods may be applied to other diseases or settings to better monitor population health.