Ablative margin quantification using deformable versus rigid image registration in colorectal liver metastasis thermal ablation: a retrospective single-center study.

PURPOSE: To investigate the correlation of minimal ablative margin (MAM) quantification using biomechanical deformable (DIR) versus intensity-based rigid image registration (RIR) with local outcomes following colorectal liver metastasis (CLM) thermal ablation. METHODS: This retrospective single-institution study included consecutive patients undergoing thermal ablation between May 2016 and October 2021. Patients who did not have intraprocedural pre- and post-ablation contrast-enhanced CT images for MAM quantification or follow-up period less than 1 year without residual tumor or local tumor progression (LTP) were excluded. DIR and RIR methods were used to quantify the MAM. The registration accuracy was compared using Dice similarity coefficient (DSC). Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to test MAM in predicting local tumor outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 72 patients (mean age 57; 44 men) with 139 tumors (mean diameter 1.5 cm ± 0.8 (SD)) were included. During a median follow-up of 29.4 months, there was one residual unablated tumor and the LTP rate was 17% (24/138). The ranges of DSC were 0.96-0.98 and 0.67-0.98 for DIR and RIR, respectively (p < 0.001). When using DIR, 27 (19%) tumors were partially or totally registered outside the liver, compared to 46 (33%) with RIR. Using DIR versus RIR, the corresponding median MAM was 4.7 mm versus 4.0 mm, respectively (p = 0.5). The AUC in predicting residual tumor and 1-year LTP for DIR versus RIR was 0.89 versus 0.72, respectively (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Ablative margin quantified on intra-procedural CT imaging using DIR method outperformed RIR for predicting local outcomes of CLM thermal ablation. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: The study supports the role of biomechanical deformable image registration as the preferred image registration method over rigid image registration for quantifying minimal ablative margins using intraprocedural contrast-enhanced CT images. KEY POINTS: • Accurate and reproducible image registration is a prerequisite for clinical application of image-based ablation confirmation methods. • When compared to intensity-based rigid image registration, biomechanical deformable image registration for minimal ablative margin quantification was more accurate for liver registration using intraprocedural contrast-enhanced CT images. • Biomechanical deformable image registration outperformed intensity-based rigid image registration for predicting local tumor outcomes following colorectal liver metastasis thermal ablation.

Pattern of breast cancer presentation during the COVID-19 pandemic: results from a cohort study in the UK.

Background: This study aimed to explore the hypothesis that the stage of breast cancer at initial diagnosis in 2020 is more advanced compared with 2019. Methods: Tumor, node, metastasis and Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) stages of new breast cancer diagnoses at the Bucks Breast Unit from May 2019 to October 2020 were reviewed. A p < 0.05 was considered significant. Results: Average UICC stage increased from 1a in 2019 to 2a in 2020 (p < 0.01). Excluding cancers detected through screening, UICC stage still increased from 1b in 2019 to 2a in 2020 (p = 0.0184). There was a significant increase in the percentage of node-positive patients (p = 0.0063) and patients with metastatic disease (p = 0.0295) on initial presentation. Conclusion: Overall, patients presented with higher UICC stages and more node-positive and metastatic disease on initial diagnosis in 2020 compared with 2019.

Plain language summary During the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, breast cancer screening services were halted across the UK. Patients were also encouraged to stay home and to seek medical attention only in an emergency. The authors hypothesized that this might have led to delays in presentation to breast cancer clinics or missed cancer diagnoses. While patients are at home with undiagnosed breast cancer, the cancer can grow and spread. The authors evaluated whether these delays in presentation led to patients presenting with more advanced breast cancers when they finally presented to a breast cancer clinic. The authors collected data on breast cancer stages for a patient group in 2020 (during the height of the pandemic) and compared them with a patient group in 2019. The authors' results did indeed show that patients presented, on average, with more advanced breast cancers in 2020 compared with 2019.

Combined Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt Plus Variceal Obliteration versus Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt Alone for the Management of Gastric Varices: Comparative Single-Center Clinical Outcomes.

PURPOSE: To compare the safety and clinical outcomes of combined transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) plus variceal obliteration to those of TIPS alone for the treatment of gastric varices (GVs). MATERIALS AND METHODS: A single-center, retrospective study of 40 patients with bleeding or high-risk GVs between 2008 and 2019 was performed. The patients were treated with combined therapy (n = 18) or TIPS alone (n = 22). There were no significant differences in age, sex, model for end-stage liver disease score, or GV type between the groups. The primary outcomes were the rates of GV eradication and rebleeding. The secondary outcomes included portal hypertensive complications and hepatic encephalopathy. RESULTS: The mean follow-up period was 15.4 months for the combined therapy group and 22.9 months for the TIPS group (P = .32). After combined therapy, there was a higher rate of GV eradication (92% vs 47%, P = .01) and a trend toward a lower rate of GV rebleeding (0% vs 23%, P = .056). The estimated rebleeding rates were 0% versus 5% at 3 months, 0% versus 11% at 6 months, 0% versus 18% at 1 year, and 0% versus 38% at 2 years after combined therapy and TIPS, respectively (P = .077). There was no difference in ascites (13% vs 11%, P = .63), hepatic encephalopathy (47% vs 55%, P = .44), or esophageal variceal bleeding (0% vs 0%, P > .999) after the procedure between the groups. CONCLUSIONS: The GV eradication rate is significantly higher after combined therapy, with no associated increase in portal hypertensive complications. This translates to a clinically meaningful trend toward a reduction in GV rebleeding. The value of a combined treatment strategy should be prospectively studied in a larger cohort to determine the optimal management of GVs.

High Incidence of Hepatic Encephalopathy After Viatorr Controlled Expansion Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt Creation.

BACKGROUND: The Viatorr Controlled Expansion (VCX) stent-graft was designed to mitigate hepatic encephalopathy (HE) after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation. AIMS: To determine the incidence and degree of HE after VCX TIPS. METHODS: Thirty-three patients (M:F 17:16, mean age 58 years, mean MELD score 12) who underwent VCX TIPS between 2018 and 2019 were retrospectively studied. 11/33 (33%) patients had medically controlled pre-TIPS HE. TIPS indications included variceal hemorrhage (n = 12, 30%) and ascites (n = 21, 70%). Measured outcomes were post-TIPS HE (overall, recurrent, de novo) graded using the West Haven system, time-to-HE occurrence, HE-related hospitalization rate, and TIPS reduction rate. RESULTS: VCX TIPS were 8 mm in 28/33 (85%) and 10 mm in 5/33 (15%). Mean final portosystemic pressure gradient was 6 mmHg. Cumulative HE incidence post-TIPS was 61% (20/33). 1-, 3-, 6-, and 12-month HE rates were 24%, 30%, 53%, and 61% over 247-day median follow-up. Median time-to-HE was 180 days. HE grades spanned grade 1 (n = 6), grade 2 (n = 8), and grade 3 (n = 6); 9 and 11 cases were recurrent and de novo HE, respectively. Medication non-compliance/infection was implicated in HE in 9/20 (45%) cases. Medical therapy addressed HE in 18/20 (90%) cases; however, HE still resulted in 39 hospitalizations among 13 patients, and median time to first hospitalization was 75 days. Shunt reduction was necessary in 2 (10%) cases of medically refractory HE. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of HE after VCX TIPS is high. Though HE symptoms may be medically controlled, hospitalization rates are high, and shunt reduction may be necessary.

Radioresistant laryngeal cancers upregulate type 1 IGF receptor and exhibit increased cellular dependence on IGF and EGF signalling.

OBJECTIVES: Patients failing radiotherapy for laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC) often require salvage total laryngectomy which has major functional consequences, highlighting a need for biomarkers of radiotherapy resistance. In other tumour types, radioresistance has been linked to epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) and type 1 insulin-like growth factor receptor (IGF-1R). Here, we evaluated IGF-1R and EGFR as predictors and mediators of LSCC radioresistance. DESIGN: We compared IGF-1R and EGFR immunohistochemical scores in patients with LSCC achieving long-term remission post-radiotherapy (n = 23), patients treated with primary laryngectomy (n = 22) or salvage laryngectomy following radiotherapy recurrence (n = 18). To model radioresistance in vitro, two LSCC cell lines underwent clinically relevant irradiation to 55 Gy in 2.75 Gy fractions. RESULTS: Type 1 insulin-like growth factor receptor expression was higher in pre-treatment biopsies of radiotherapy failures compared with those in long-term remission and was upregulated post-radiotherapy. Patients undergoing primary laryngectomy had more advanced T/N stage and greater tumour IGF-1R content than those achieving long-term remission. Pre-treatment EGFR did not associate with radiotherapy outcomes but showed a trend to upregulation post-irradiation. In vitro, radiosensitivity was enhanced by inhibition of EGFR but not IGF. Repeated irradiation upregulated IGF-1R in BICR18 and SQ20B cells and EGFR in SQ20B, and enhanced SQ20B radioresistance. Repeatedly irradiated SQ20B_55 cells were not radiosensitised by inhibition of IGF and/or EGFR, but IGF-1R:EGFR co-inhibition suppressed baseline cell survival more effectively than blockade of either pathway alone, and more effectively than in parental cells. CONCLUSIONS: Radiation upregulates IGF-1R and may enhance IGF/EGFR dependence, suggesting that IGF/EGFR blockade may have activity in LSCCs that recur post-radiotherapy.

Development and Validation of HPLC Analytical Method for Chlorantraniliprole in Bulk and in the Formulation.

BACKGROUND: Chlorantraniliprole is widely used as a pesticide. It is only soluble in dimethyl formamide. However, most of the reported methods used acetonitrile and other solvents. AIM: To develop rapid, accurate, precise, and sensitive HPLC method for chlorantraniliprole. MATERIALS AND METHODS: 10 µG/mL of chlorantraniliprole containing solution was injected into the HPLC system and run in different solvent systems. 10 µG/mL solutions of chlorantraniprole was injected in a column with 20 µL microsyringe. The chromatogram was run for appropriate minutes with mobile phase water. The flow rate was set to 1 mL/min and detection was carried out at wavelength 270 nm. The method is validated by measuring the limit of quantitation, limit of detection, repeatability, intraday precision, inter-day precision, and accuracy. Analysis of marketed formulation, bringle, and tomato for chlorantraniprole content was also made for the developed analytical method. RESULTS: There was linearity of chlorantraniliprole for calibration curve in between 1 and 5 µG/mL concentration. The perfect sharp peak observed in water at a retention time of 6.28 min. The limit of detection and the limit of quantitation were 0.0050 µG/mL and 0.0152 µG/mL, respectively. The study reported 99.55% repeatability, 99.49% intraday precision, 99.65% interday precision, and 99.27% accuracy. CONCLUSION: The rapid, accurate, precise, and sensitive HPLC method for the detection of chlorantraniliprole using dimethyl formamide was developed.

Current and future techniques for human papilloma virus (HPV) testing in oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma.

Despite a reduction in smoking and alcohol consumption, the incidence of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) is rising. This is attributed to human papilloma virus (HPV) infection and screening for HPV is now recommended in all cases of OPSCC. Despite a variety of clinically available tests and new non-invasive test strategies there is no consensus on which technique is best. This review reports on current techniques for HPV detection in OPSCC and the clinical applicability of emerging techniques. Literature searches of Medline, Embase and clinicaltrials.gov using the search terms 'head and neck neoplasms', 'squamous cell carcinoma' and 'HPV testing' were performed. 45 studies were identified and included. p16 immunohistochemistry (IHC), HPV DNA in situ hybridization (ISH) and HPV polymerase chain reaction (PCR) are the commonest tests to determine HPV status. p16 IHC and HPV DNA PCR are highly sensitive whilst HPV DNA ISH is more specific, these techniques conventionally utilize surgical biopsies. New tests using PCR to screen fine needle aspirates, saliva, brush cytology and serum for HPV are promising but have variable sensitivity and specificity. These non-invasive samples avoid the morbidity of surgical biopsies and need for tissue blocks; their clinical role in screening and surveillance remains largely untested. Further work is needed to validate these tests and define their role.

Nuts and Bolts of Oil and Temperature in Topical Preparations of Salicylic Acid.

BACKGROUND: Traditional formulations of salicylic acid in ointment bases have disadvantages of being greasy and irritant due to free crystals. AIM: To explore the method for selection of oils and their ratio for topical preparation on the basis of equilibrium solubility study of salicylic acid and to evaluate temperature effect. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Scanning and calibration curve of salicylic acid in methanol were developed. Among available oils, those that had no interference of absorbance of salicylic acid were short-listed for screening purpose. Selections of oils were carried out on the basis of equilibrium solubility study. Compatibility study was made by Fourier Transform Infra-Red spectroscopy analysis. Primitive study of oil mixtures was done. Selections of the ratio of oils were carried out on basis of constrained simplex-centroid design. RESULTS: Salicylic acid had shown linearity in the range of 15-65 µg/mL in methanol at wavelength maximum (300 nm). From the equilibrium solubility study, Parker Neem® Oil (11.81 ± 0.5 mg/g), Isopropyl Myristate (11.29 ± 0.04 mg/g), Mogra Oil (9.62 ± 0.94 mg/g) were selected. The study possessed the same main Fourier transform infra-red peaks of salicylic acid in the salicylic acid-oils physical mixture. 58.64% Parker Neem® oil and 41.36% isopropyl myristate mixture was selected as optimized batch with the desirability of 0.391. CONCLUSION: The oils mixture could be selected for topical preparation of salicylic acid like paste, cream, ointment etc.

Association of Permeability and Lipid Content of Membrane.

BACKGROUND: Rat skin and goat cul de sac are mostly used in optimization of formulations as the model of human skin and cul de sac. AIM: To explore the correlation between lipid content of rat skin and goat cul de sac and permeability. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Find out wavelength maximum for Sapat plus malam®, Ciplox eye ointment® and chloramphenicol eye caps and the standard curve was also derived. In vitro studies using Cellophane® membrane and ex vivo studies using rat skin or goat cul de sac of the formulations. Permeability coefficient, % dislodgeable dose, lag time, diffusion parameter, and partition coefficient were found for both studies after six and a half hours of penetration studies. Student's unpaired t-test with equal variance was used to find any statistically significant difference in the ex vivo and in vitro diffusion transport studies at 95% level of confidence. RESULTS: Permeability coefficient of Sapat plus malam®, Ciplox eye ointment® and chloramphenicol eye caps were 0.000316 ± 0.0000625, 0.00416 ± 0.0001, 0.0034 ± 0.00004 for Cellophane® membrane and 0.0001 ± 0.000001, 0.002254 ± 0.0002, 0.00303 ± 0.0001 for ex vivo membrane in cm2/min, respectively. For all three formulations, there were calculated t values which were higher than tabulated t values at 95% of confidence level (P<0.05). CONCLUSION: Cellophane® membrane shows a better diffusion than rat skin or goat cul de sac. In the optimization of formulation, only Cellophane® membrane is advisable to use.

Emulsion of Chloramphenicol: an Overwhelming Approach for Ocular Delivery.

BACKGROUND: Ophthalmic formulations of chloramphenicol have poor bioavailability of chloramphenicol in the ocular cavity. AIM: The present study aimed at exploring the impact of different oil mixtures in the form of emulsion on the permeability of chloramphenicol after ocular application. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Selection of oil mixture and ratio of the components was made by an equilibrium solubility method. An emulsifier was chosen according to its emulsification properties. A constrained simplex centroid design was used for the assessment of the emulsion development. Emulsions were evaluated for physicochemical properties; zone of inhibition, in-vitro diffusion and ex-vivo local accumulation of chloramphenicol. Validation of the design using check-point batch and reduced polynomial equations were also developed. Optimization of the emulsion was developed by software Design® expert 6.0.8. Assessment of the osmolarity, ocular irritation, sterility testing and isotonicity of optimized batch were also made. RESULTS: Parker Neem®, olive and peppermint oils were selected as an oil phase in the ratio 63.64:20.2:16.16. PEG-400 was selected as an emulsifier according to a pseudo-ternary phase diagram. Constrained simplex-centroid design was applied in the range of 25-39% water, 55-69% PEG-400, 5-19% optimized oil mixture, and 1% chloramphenicol. Unpaired Student's t-test showed for in-vitro and ex-vivo studies that there was a significant difference between the optimized batch of emulsion and Chloramphenicol eye caps (a commercial product) according to both were equally safe. CONCLUSION: The optimized batch of an emulsion of chloramphenicol was found to be as safe as and more effective than Chloramphenicol eye caps.

IGF-1R expression is associated with HPV-negative status and adverse survival in head and neck squamous cell cancer.

Head and neck squamous cell carcinomas (HNSCC) are treated with surgery, radiotherapy and cisplatin-based chemotherapy, but survival from locally-advanced disease remains poor, particularly in patients whose tumors are negative for Human papillomavirus (HPV). Type 1 IGF receptor (IGF-1R) is known to promote tumorigenesis and resistance to cancer therapeutics. Here, we assessed IGF-1R immunohistochemistry on tissue microarrays containing 852 cores from 346 HNSCC patients with primary tumors in the oropharynx (n = 231), larynx (85), hypopharynx (28), oral cavity (2). Of these, 236 (68%) were HPV-negative, 110 (32%) positive. IGF-1R was detected in the cell membrane of 36% and cytoplasm of 92% of HNSCCs; in 64 cases with matched normal tonsillar epithelium, IGF-1R was overexpressed in the HNSCCs (P < 0.001). Overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) were reduced in patients whose tumors contained high membrane IGF-1R [OS: hazard ratio (HR) = 1.63, P = 0.006; DSS: HR = 1.63, P = 0.016], cytoplasmic IGF-1R (OS: HR = 1.58, P = 0.009; DSS: HR = 1.58, P = 0.024) and total IGF-1R (OS: HR = 2.02, P < 0.001; DSS: HR = 2.2, P < 0.001). High tumor IGF-1R showed significant association with high-tumor T-stage (P < 0.001) and HPV-negativity (P < 0.001), and was associated with shorter OS when considering patients with HPV-positive (P = 0.01) and negative (P = 0.006) tumors separately. IGF-1R was independently associated with survival in multivariate analysis including HPV, but not when lymphovascular invasion, perineural spread and T-stage were included. Of these factors, only IGF-1R can be manipulated; the association of IGF-1R with aggressive disease supports experimental incorporation of anti-IGF-1R agents into multimodality treatment programs for HPV-negative and high IGF-1R HPV-positive HNSCC.

Strategies of bringing drug product marketing applications to meet current regulatory standards.

In the past decade, many guidance documents have been issued through collaboration of global organizations and regulatory authorities. Most of these are applicable to new products, but there is a risk that currently marketed products will not meet the new compliance standards during audits and inspections while companies continue to make changes through the product life cycle for continuous improvement or market demands. This discussion presents different strategies to bringing drug product marketing applications to meet current and emerging standards. It also discusses stability and method designs to meet process validation and global development efforts.

Clear cell odontogenic carcinoma: a rare neoplasm of the maxillary bone.

Clear cell odontogenic carcinoma (CCOC) is an extremely rare neoplasm, with only 74 cases in the English-language literature. It displays a propensity for the mandible, most commonly presenting in the fifth to seventh decades. Histopathologically, CCOC is characterized by sheets and islands of vacuolated and clear cells. The aggressive nature of CCOC was noted in its first description in 1985, although it was not formally classified as malignant by the World Health Organization until 2005. This report describes a case of CCOC presenting atypically in a young patient and at an uncommon site. The authors review the details of this case, outlining management strategies referencing their experience and that described in the other limited cases in the literature.

Stability-Indicating TLC-Densitometric and HPLC Methods for Simultaneous Determination of Teneligliptin and Pioglitazone in Pharmaceutical Dosage Forms with Eco-Friendly Assessment.

The combination of teneligliptin hydrobromide hydrate and pioglitazone hydrochloride in pharmaceutical formulations has improved type 2 diabetes management. Two chromatographic methods TLC-densitometry and RP-HPLC were developed for simultaneous quantification of teneligliptin hydrobromide hydrate and pioglitazone hydrochloride in pharmaceutical formulations, ensuring accuracy and stability assessment. The TLC method uses a mobile phase of methanol, toluene, ethyl acetate and triethylamine (1:7:2:0.1, v/v/v/v) on TLC silica gel plates, scanned at 268 nm. The RP-HPLC method employs isocratic elution with acetonitrile and sodium acetate buffer (adjust pH 3.6 with glacial acetic acid, 60:40 v/v) on a shimpack C18 column (250 × 4.6 mm i.d., 5 µm), detected at 235 nm. Both methods offer high accuracy and reliability, making them valuable for pharmaceutical quality control. Additionally, an environmental impact assessment was conducted using eco-scale, Analytical Greenness Metric Approach, Green Analytical Procedure Index, and national environmental method index to evaluate solvent consumption, waste generation and energy usage. Statistical comparisons (t-tests and F-tests) validate the outcomes of both methods, ensuring their effectiveness in drug formulation analysis. These methods can enhance pharmaceutical quality control while fulfilling environmental responsibilities.

Mechanical Venous Thrombectomy for Deep Venous Thrombosis in Cancer Patients: A Single-Center Retrospective Study.

PURPOSE: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a major contributor to the mortality of cancer patients. Mechanical thrombectomy (MT) is an endovascular technique that physically removes a thrombus without thrombolytics. The purpose of this study was to evaluate safety, efficacy, and clinical outcomes following MT for lower extremity DVT in cancer patients. METHODS: This single-center, retrospective study evaluated outcomes following MT of lower extremity DVT in cancer patients from November 2019 to May 2023. The primary outcome measure was clinical success, defined as a decrease in Villalta score by at least 2 points following the intervention. Secondary outcomes included repeat intervention-free survival and overall survival. Technical success was defined as restoring venous flow with mild (< 10%) or no residual filling defect. RESULTS: In total, 90 patients and 113 procedures were included. Technical and clinical success was achieved in 81% and 87% of procedures performed. Repeat intervention-free survival at 1 month, 3 months, and 6 months post-procedure was 92%, 82%, and 77%, respectively. The complication rate was 2.7%. Pathologic analysis of the extracted thrombus revealed tumor thrombus in 18.4% (18/98) samples. Overall survival for the study cohort was 87% at 1 month, 74% at 3 months, and 62% at 6 months. Patients who were found to have tumor thrombi were noted to have a decreased overall survival compared to patients with non-tumor thrombi (P = 0.012). CONCLUSION: MT is safe and efficacious in reducing cancer patients' VTE-related symptoms. The high rate of tumor thrombus in thrombectomy specimens suggests this phenomenon is more common than suspected.

Developing and Validating a Multivariable Prognostic-Predictive Classifier for Treatment Escalation of Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: The PREDICTR-OPC Study.

PURPOSE: While there are several prognostic classifiers, to date, there are no validated predictive models that inform treatment selection for oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC).Our aim was to develop clinical and/or biomarker predictive models for patient outcome and treatment escalation for OPSCC. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: We retrospectively collated clinical data and samples from a consecutive cohort of OPSCC cases treated with curative intent at ten secondary care centers in United Kingdom and Poland between 1999 and 2012. We constructed tissue microarrays, which were stained and scored for 10 biomarkers. We then undertook multivariable regression of eight clinical parameters and 10 biomarkers on a development cohort of 600 patients. Models were validated on an independent, retrospectively collected, 385-patient cohort. RESULTS: A total of 985 subjects (median follow-up 5.03 years, range: 4.73-5.21 years) were included. The final biomarker classifier, comprising p16 and survivin immunohistochemistry, high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) DNA in situ hybridization, and tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, predicted benefit from combined surgery + adjuvant chemo/radiotherapy over primary chemoradiotherapy in the high-risk group [3-year overall survival (OS) 63.1% vs. 41.1%, respectively, HR = 0.32; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.16-0.65; P = 0.002], but not in the low-risk group (HR = 0.4; 95% CI, 0.14-1.24; P = 0.114). On further adjustment by propensity scores, the adjusted HR in the high-risk group was 0.34, 95% CI = 0.17-0.67, P = 0.002, and in the low-risk group HR was 0.5, 95% CI = 0.1-2.38, P = 0.384. The concordance index was 0.73. CONCLUSIONS: We have developed a prognostic classifier, which also appears to demonstrate moderate predictive ability. External validation in a prospective setting is now underway to confirm this and prepare for clinical adoption.