A CT-based Deep Learning Model for Predicting Subsequent Fracture Risk in Patients with Hip Fracture.

Background Patients have the highest risk of subsequent fractures in the first few years after an initial fracture, yet models to predict short-term subsequent risk have not been developed. Purpose To develop and validate a deep learning prediction model for subsequent fracture risk using digitally reconstructed radiographs from hip CT in patients with recent hip fractures. Materials and Methods This retrospective study included adult patients who underwent three-dimensional hip CT due to a fracture from January 2004 to December 2020. Two-dimensional frontal, lateral, and axial digitally reconstructed radiographs were generated and assembled to construct an ensemble model. DenseNet modules were used to calculate risk probability based on extracted image features and fracture-free probability plots were output. Model performance was assessed using the C index and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and compared with other models using the paired t test. Results The training and validation set included 1012 patients (mean age, 74.5 years ± 13.3 [SD]; 706 female, 113 subsequent fracture) and the test set included 468 patients (mean age, 75.9 years ± 14.0; 335 female, 22 subsequent fractures). In the test set, the ensemble model had a higher C index (0.73) for predicting subsequent fractures than that of other image-based models (C index range, 0.59-0.70 for five of six models; P value range, < .001 to < .05). The ensemble model achieved AUCs of 0.74, 0.74, and 0.73 at the 2-, 3-, and 5-year follow-ups, respectively; higher than that of most other image-based models at 2 years (AUC range, 0.57-0.71 for five of six models; P value range, < .001 to < .05) and 3 years (AUC range, 0.55-0.72 for four of six models; P value range, < .001 to < .05). Moreover, the AUCs achieved by the ensemble model were higher than that of a clinical model that included known risk factors (2-, 3-, and 5-year AUCs of 0.58, 0.64, and 0.70, respectively; P < .001 for all). Conclusion In patients with recent hip fractures, the ensemble deep learning model using digital reconstructed radiographs from hip CT showed good performance for predicting subsequent fractures in the short term. © RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Li and Jaremko in this issue.

Deep learning-based fully automated grading system for dry eye disease severity.

There is an increasing need for an objective grading system to evaluate the severity of dry eye disease (DED). In this study, a fully automated deep learning-based system for the assessment of DED severity was developed. Corneal fluorescein staining (CFS) images of DED patients from one hospital for system development (n = 1400) and from another hospital for external validation (n = 94) were collected. Three experts graded the CFS images using NEI scale, and the median value was used as ground truth. The system was developed in three steps: (1) corneal segmentation, (2) CFS candidate region classification, and (3) estimation of NEI grades by CFS density map generation. Also, two images taken on different days in 50 eyes (100 images) were compared to evaluate the probability of improvement or deterioration. The Dice coefficient of the segmentation model was 0.962. The correlation between the system and the ground truth data was 0.868 (p<0.001) and 0.863 (p<0.001) for the internal and external validation datasets, respectively. The agreement rate for improvement or deterioration was 88% (44/50). The fully automated deep learning-based grading system for DED severity can evaluate the CFS score with high accuracy and thus may have potential for clinical application.

Machine learning model for predicting immediate postoperative desaturation using spirometry signal data.

Postoperative desaturation is a common post-surgery pulmonary complication. The real-time prediction of postoperative desaturation can become a preventive measure, and real-time changes in spirometry data can provide valuable information on respiratory mechanics. However, there is a lack of related research, specifically on using spirometry signals as inputs to machine learning (ML) models. We developed an ML model and postoperative desaturation prediction index (DPI) by analyzing intraoperative spirometry signals in patients undergoing laparoscopic surgery. We analyzed spirometry data from patients who underwent laparoscopic, robot-assisted gynecologic, or urologic surgery, identifying postoperative desaturation as a peripheral arterial oxygen saturation level below 95%, despite facial oxygen mask usage. We fitted the ML model on two separate datasets collected during different periods. (Datasets A and B). Dataset A (Normal 133, Desaturation 74) was used for the entire experimental process, including ML model fitting, statistical analysis, and DPI determination. Dataset B (Normal 20, Desaturation 4) was only used for verify the ML model and DPI. Four feature categories-signal property, inter-/intra-position correlation, peak value/interval variability, and demographics-were incorporated into the ML models via filter and wrapper feature selection methods. In experiments, the ML model achieved an adequate predictive capacity for postoperative desaturation, and the performance of the DPI was unbiased.

Using spectral and temporal filters with EEG signal to predict the temporal lobe epilepsy outcome after antiseizure medication via machine learning.

Epilepsy is a neurological disorder in which the brain is transiently altered. Predicting outcomes in epilepsy is essential for providing feedback that can foster improved outcomes in the future. This study aimed to investigate whether applying spectral and temporal filters to resting-state electroencephalography (EEG) signals could improve the prediction of outcomes for patients taking antiseizure medication to treat temporal lobe epilepsy (TLE). We collected EEG data from a total of 46 patients (divided into a seizure-free group (SF, n = 22) and a non-seizure-free group (NSF, n = 24)) with TLE and retrospectively reviewed their clinical data. We segmented spectral and temporal ranges with various time-domain features (Hjorth parameters, statistical parameters, energy, zero-crossing rate, inter-channel correlation, inter-channel phase locking value and spectral information derived from Fourier transform, Stockwell transform, and wavelet transform) and compared their performance by applying an optimal frequency strategy, an optimal duration strategy, and a combination strategy. For all time-domain features, the optimal frequency and time combination strategy showed the highest performance in distinguishing SF patients from NSF patients (area under the curve (AUC) = 0.790 ± 0.159). Furthermore, optimal performance was achieved by utilizing a feature vector derived from statistical parameters within the 39- to 41-Hz frequency band with a window length of 210 s, as evidenced by an AUC of 0.748. By identifying the optimal parameters, we improved the performance of the prediction model. These parameters can serve as standard parameters for predicting outcomes based on resting-state EEG signals.