Estimation of the physiologic ability and surgical stress scoring system as a useful predictor of postoperative recurrence in patients with stage II colorectal cancer: a multicenter study.

PURPOSE: We determined the usefulness of the estimation of physiologic ability and surgical stress (E-PASS), initially reported as a predictive factor for postoperative morbidity and mortality, as a prognostic indicator in stage II colorectal cancer (CRC). METHODS: Overall, 739 patients who underwent proctocolectomy for CRC at Tottori University Hospital and affiliated hospitals and histologically diagnosed with stage II CRC were included in the current study. RESULTS: A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis of the five-year recurrence-free survival indicated that the comprehensive risk score (CRS) of E-PASS predicted postoperative recurrence. A multivariate analysis revealed that the presence of preoperative perforation, T4, v ≥ 2, and CRSHigh (≥ 0.2267) were independent predictors of postoperative recurrence. Patients were assigned a score using these factors, as follows: the presence of perforation = 1, the absence of preoperative perforation = 0, T4 = 1, T3 = 0, v2/3 = 1, v0/1 = 0, CRSHigh = 1, and CRSLow = 0 (total score: 0-4). Accordingly, the respective 5-year relapse-free survival rates were 91.0%, 83.6%, 70.3%, and 52.0% among those with scores of 0, 1, 2, and both 3 and 4 (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The CRS predicts postoperative recurrence in patients with stage II CRC.

Risk factors for recurrence in elderly patients with stage II colorectal cancer: a multicenter retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II colorectal cancer (CRC) is considered appropriate for patients with risk factors for recurrence, rather than for all patients uniformly. However, the risk factors for recurrence remain controversial, and there is limited information, especially for elderly patients. The Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) is widely used as a simple nutritional screening tool in the elderly and is associated with cancer prognosis and recurrence. This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for recurrence in the elderly with stage II CRC, focusing on the GNRI. METHODS: We enrolled 348 elderly patients (≥ 75 years) with stage II CRC who underwent curative resection at the Department of Surgery, Tottori University and our 10 affiliated institutions. The patients were divided into GNRIhigh (≥ 93.465) and GNRIlow (< 93.465) groups. RESULTS: The GNRIlow group showed a significantly worse overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), and relapse-free survival (RFS) (P < 0.001, P < 0.001, and P < 0.001, respectively). In a multivariate analysis, GNRIlow (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.244, P < 0.001), pathologic T4 stage (HR: 1.658, P = 0.014), and moderate to severe lymphatic or venous invasion (HR: 1.460, P = 0.033) were independent factors affecting RFS. By using these three factors to score the risk of recurrence from 0 to 3 points, the prognosis was significantly stratified in terms of OS, CSS, and RFS (P < 0.001, P < 0.001, and P < 0.001, respectively). The recurrence rate for each score was as follows: 0 points, 9.8%; 1 point, 22.0%; 2 points, 37.3%; and 3 points, 61.9%. CONCLUSIONS: GNRIlow, pathologic T4 stage, and moderate to severe lymphatic or venous invasion are high-risk factors for recurrence in the elderly with stage II CRC. The scoring system using these three factors appropriately predicted their recurrence and outcome.