The heterogeneous impact of population mobility on the influent characteristics of wastewater treatment facilities.

Improving the resilience of wastewater treatment facilities (WWTFs) has never been more important with rising risks of disasters under climate change. Beyond physical damages, non-physical shocks induced by disasters warrant attention. Human mobility is a vital mediator in transferring the stresses from extreme events into tangible challenges for urban sewage systems by reshaping influent characteristics. However, the impact path remains inadequately explored. Leveraging the stay-at-home orders during the COVID-19 pandemic as a natural experiment, this study aims to quantify and interpret the heterogeneous impacts of mobility reduction on the influent characteristics of WWTFs with different socio-economic, infrastructural, and climatic conditions. To achieve this goal, we developed a research framework integrating causal inference and interpretable machine learning techniques. Based on the empirical data from China, we find that 79.1% of the studied WWTFs, typically located in cities with well-developed drainage infrastructures and low per capita water usage, exhibited resilience against drastic mobility reduction. In contrast, 20.9% of the studied WWTFs displayed significant variations in influent characteristics. Large-capacity WWTFs in subtropical regions encountered challenges with low-load operations, and small-capacity facilities in suburban areas grappled with nutrient imbalances. This study provides valuable insights to equip WWTFs in anticipating and adapting potential variations in influent characteristics triggered by mobility reduction.

Modeling Indirect Greenhouse Gas Emissions Sources from Urban Wastewater Treatment Plants: Integrating Machine Learning Models to Compensate for Sparse Parameters with Abundant Observations.

Electricity consumption and sludge yield (SY) are important indirect greenhouse gas (GHG) emission sources in wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs). Predicting these byproducts is crucial for tailoring technology-related policy decisions. However, it challenges balancing mass balance models and mechanistic models that respectively have limited intervariable nexus representation and excessive requirements on operational parameters. Herein, we propose integrating two machine learning models, namely, gradient boosting tree (GBT) and deep learning (DL), to precisely pointwise model electricity consumption intensity (ECI) and SY for WWTPs in China. Results indicate that GBT and DL are capable of mining massive data to compensate for the lack of available parameters, providing a comprehensive modeling focusing on operation conditions and designed parameters, respectively. The proposed model reveals that lower ECI and SY were associated with higher treated wastewater volumes, more lenient effluent standards, and newer equipment. Moreover, ECI and SY showed different patterns when influent biochemical oxygen demand is above or below 100 mg/L in the anaerobic-anoxic-oxic process. Therefore, managing ECI and SY requires quantifying the coupling relationships between biochemical reactions instead of isolating each variable. Furthermore, the proposed models demonstrate potential economic-related inequalities resulting from synergizing water pollution and GHG emissions management.

Is the virus-laden standing water change the transmission intensity of SARS-CoV-2 after precipitation? A framework for empirical studies.

Understanding the relationship between precipitation and SARS-CoV-2 is significant for combating COVID-19 in the wet season. However, the causes for the variation of SARS-CoV-2 transmission intensity after precipitation is unclear. Starting from "the Zhengzhou event," we found that the virus-laden standing water formed after precipitation might trigger some additional routes for SARS-CoV-2 transmission and thus change the transmission intensity of SARS-CoV-2. Then, we developed an interdisciplinary framework to examine whether the health risk related to the virus-laden standing water needs to be a concern. The framework enables the comparison of the instant and lag effects of precipitation on the transmission intensity of SARS-CoV-2 between city clusters with different formation risks of the virus-laden standing water. Based on the city-level data of China between January 01, 2020, and December 31, 2021, we conducted an empirical study. The result showed that in the cities with a high formation risk of the virus-laden standing water, heavy rain increased the instant transmission intensity of SARS-CoV-2 by 6.2% (95%CI: 4.85-10.2%), while in the other cities, precipitation was uninfluential to SARS-CoV-2 transmission, revealing that the health risk of the virus-laden standing water should not be underestimated during the COVID-19 pandemic. To reduce the relevant risk, virus-laden water control and proper disinfection are feasible response strategies.