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This work aimed to study the role of different SARS-CoV-2 lineages in the epidemiology of multiple waves of the COVID-19 pandemic in Ribeirão Preto (São Paulo state), with comparison within Brazil and globally. Viral genomic sequencing was combined with clinical and sociodemographic information of 2,379 subjects at a large Brazilian hospital. On the whole 2,395 complete SARS-CoV-2 genomes were obtained from April 2020 to January 2022. We report variants of concern (VOC) and interest (VOI) dynamics and the role of Brazilian lineages. We identified three World Health Organization VOCs (Gamma, Delta, Omicron) and one VOI (Zeta), which caused distinct waves in this cohort. We also identified 47 distinct Pango lineages. Consistent with the high prevalence of Gamma in Brazil, Pango lineage P.1 dominated infections in this cohort for half of 2021. Each wave of infection largely consisted of a single variant group, with each new group quickly and completely rising to dominance. Despite increasing vaccination in Brazil starting in 2021, this pattern was observed throughout the study and is consistent with the hypothesis that herd immunity tends to be SARS-CoV-2 variant-specific and does not broadly protect against COVID-19.
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COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Brasil/epidemiología , Pandemias , COVID-19/epidemiología , Genómica , Hospitales UniversitariosRESUMEN
Introduction/Case report: We describe the case of a 6-month-old female infant who received the equivalent of 6 adult doses of the COVID-19 Pfizer vaccine due to an immunization error. The patient underwent clinical and laboratory evaluations from the time of vaccination error (January 2022) until November 2022. In the first three days after immunization, she presented with low-grade fever (38 °C) and mild pain and induration at the injection site. She showed no other symptoms afterwards. Laboratory tests were within normal limits for age, except for an elevated D-dimer (3.71 ug/mL; normal: up to 0.5 ug/mL) and as the echocardiogram and electrocardiogram were within normal limits as well, no interventions were instituted at that moment. On the tenth day, immune response evaluation showed a strong expression of cytokines related to the Th2 profile and a well-controlled inflammatory state. Forty-three days after the vaccine administration inflammation status remained, with a predominance of cellular immune response, IFN-γ expression increased compared to the previous evaluation, and a robust antiviral state was in place. After 90 days, immune response evaluation showed a significant reduction in the inflammatory state, still with a predominance of the cellular immune response. Clinically, the patient remained well, with no other noteworthy intercurrences, until the last appointment in November 2022. This child has had no evidence of a severe adverse effect associated to the vaccine overdose. Conclusion: The close follow-up of this case of vaccination error demonstrated that the COVID-19 Pfizer was safe and immunogenic in this individual, noting careful monitoring and followup of these vaccine administration errors is crucial.
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INTRODUCTION: We evaluated the performance of Bayesian vector autoregressive (BVAR) and Holt's models to forecast the weekly COVID-19 reported cases in six units of a large hospital. METHODS: Cases reported from epidemiologic weeks (EW) 12-37 were selected as the training period, and from EW 38-41 as the test period. RESULTS: The models performed well in forecasting cases within one or two weeks following the end of the time-series, but forecasts for a more distant period were inaccurate. CONCLUSIONS: Both models offered reasonable performance in very short-term forecasts for confirmed cases of COVID-19.
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COVID-19 , Teorema de Bayes , Estudios de Factibilidad , Predicción , Hospitales , Humanos , Modelos Teóricos , SARS-CoV-2RESUMEN
ETHNOPHARMACOLOGICAL RELEVANCE: Roots of Curcuma longa L. are used as medicine for millennia. They possess several pharmacological properties, including anti-inflammatory action, and can be suitable for asthma treatment. AIM OF THE STUDY: We aimed to test the hypothesis that, in children and adolescents with persistent asthma, the administration of powdered roots of C. longa for 6 months, in addition to standard treatment, compared to placebo, will result in better disease control. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We conducted a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase II clinical trial. Patients were randomly assigned to receive 30â¯mg/kg/day of C. longa for 6 months, or placebo. Data were collected prospectively. All patients were categorized for asthma severity and control according to GINA-2016 and underwent pulmonary function tests. RESULTS: Overall, both groups experienced amelioration of their frequency of symptoms and interference with normal activity, but no differences were found between the two treatment groups. However, patients receiving C. longa experienced less frequent nighttime awakenings, less frequent use of short-acting ß-adrenergic agonists, and better disease control after 3 and 6 months. CONCLUSION: The powdered roots of C. longa led to less frequent nighttime awakenings, less frequent use of short-acting ß-adrenergic agonists, and better disease control after 3 and 6 months, when compared to placebo.
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Asma/tratamiento farmacológico , Curcuma , Raíces de Plantas/química , Adolescente , Niño , Curcumina/química , Diarilheptanoides/química , Método Doble Ciego , Humanos , Fitoterapia , PolvosRESUMEN
From 2012 to 2013, 300 adults under investigation of tuberculous meningitis (TBM) were tested with polymerase chain reaction (PCR) in central spinal fluid (CSF), followed by TBM score calculation. There were 33(11%) confirmed TBM cases based on clinical findings, CSF-culture; biopsy/necropsy exams and clinical improvement after tuberculosis specific treatment. Other 267 adults were classified as non-TBM. Based on the original score there were 143 possible cases (6≤score≤11) and 20(60.6%) out of 33 TBM; among 27 probable TBM (score≥12) there were 13/33 (39.4%) confirmed cases. The CSF-PCR detected 48% (16/33) of TBM. Based on these findings, a new cut-off point was proposed to differentiate probable (score≥10) from possible (6≤score≤9) TBM. After score adjustment, there were 61 probable TBM with 26/33 (78.8%) TBM, and among the 109 possible TBM there were 7/33(21.2%) confirmed cases. In both systems, there were 130 non-TBM (score≤5) and no confirmed TBM. The association of adjusted score (≥10) and CSF-PCR showed high sensitivity (90.9%) and specificity (86.9%), positive and negative predictive value of 46.2% and 98.9%, respectively. The combination of CSF-PCR and TBM score is a useful tool for the management of adults under investigation of TBM, but the best cut-off point may need local/regional adjustments.
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ADN Bacteriano/genética , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/genética , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/aislamiento & purificación , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa , Tuberculosis Meníngea/diagnóstico , Adulto , Brasil , Estudios Transversales , ADN Bacteriano/líquido cefalorraquídeo , ADN Bacteriano/aislamiento & purificación , Humanos , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Tuberculosis Meníngea/líquido cefalorraquídeo , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Abstract INTRODUCTION: We evaluated the performance of Bayesian vector autoregressive (BVAR) and Holt's models to forecast the weekly COVID-19 reported cases in six units of a large hospital. METHODS: Cases reported from epidemiologic weeks (EW) 12-37 were selected as the training period, and from EW 38-41 as the test period. RESULTS: The models performed well in forecasting cases within one or two weeks following the end of the time-series, but forecasts for a more distant period were inaccurate. CONCLUSIONS: Both models offered reasonable performance in very short-term forecasts for confirmed cases of COVID-19.
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Humanos , Infecciones por Coronavirus , Estudios de Factibilidad , Teorema de Bayes , Predicción , Betacoronavirus , Hospitales , Modelos TeóricosRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Infections caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae (pneumococcus) still represent a challenge for health systems around the world. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to assess microbiological and clinical aspects in hospitalized patients with invasive pneumococcus disease between 1998 and 2013. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a retrospective study that analyzed the results of pneumococcus identification, serotyping, and susceptibility testing found in the Adolfo Lutz Institute databank. Personal variables, medical history and clinical outcome of patients admitted with invasive pneumococcal disease were analyzed. These were obtained from records of a public teaching hospital - Hospital das Clínicas Faculdade de Medicina Ribeirão Preto. RESULTS: The sample comprised 332 patients. Patient age ranged from less than one month to 89 years old (mean 20.3 years) and the sample was predominately male. Pneumonia (67.8%) was the most common disease, accounting for 18.2% of deaths. Serotypes 14, 1, 3, 9V, 6B, 6A, 23F, 19A, 18C, 19F, 12F, and 4 were the most common (75.3%). Most patients, or 67.5%, were cured without any complication (success), 6.9% had some type of sequela (failure), and 25.6% died (failure). In the case of deaths due to meningitis, strains of fully penicillin resistant pneumococcus were isolated. Furthermore, 68.2% of patients who died presented some type of comorbidity. The 60 and older age group presented the most significant association (Odds Ratio=4.2), with outcome failure regardless of the presence of comorbidity. Serotype 18C was the most significant risk factor both in raw analysis (Odds Ratio=3.8) and when adjusted for comorbidity (Odds Ratio=5.0) or age (Odds Ratio=5.4). The same occurred with serotype 12F (respectively, Odds Ratio=5.1, Odds Ratio=5.0, and Odds Ratio=4.7) CONCLUSION: The present findings highlight the importance of IPD among young adults and older adults. In the era of conjugate vaccines, monitoring serotypes in different age groups is essential to assess the impact and adequacy of immunization.
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Infecciones Neumocócicas/microbiología , Streptococcus pneumoniae/aislamiento & purificación , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribución por Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Brasil/epidemiología , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Hospitalización , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Infecciones Neumocócicas/tratamiento farmacológico , Infecciones Neumocócicas/mortalidad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Streptococcus pneumoniae/clasificación , Vacunas Conjugadas , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Abstract Introduction Infections caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae (pneumococcus) still represent a challenge for health systems around the world. Objective The objective of this study was to assess microbiological and clinical aspects in hospitalized patients with invasive pneumococcus disease between 1998 and 2013. Materials and methods This was a retrospective study that analyzed the results of pneumococcus identification, serotyping, and susceptibility testing found in the Adolfo Lutz Institute databank. Personal variables, medical history and clinical outcome of patients admitted with invasive pneumococcal disease were analyzed. These were obtained from records of a public teaching hospital – Hospital das Clínicas Faculdade de Medicina Ribeirão Preto. Results The sample comprised 332 patients. Patient age ranged from less than one month to 89 years old (mean 20.3 years) and the sample was predominately male. Pneumonia (67.8%) was the most common disease, accounting for 18.2% of deaths. Serotypes 14, 1, 3, 9V, 6B, 6A, 23F, 19A, 18C, 19F, 12F, and 4 were the most common (75.3%). Most patients, or 67.5%, were cured without any complication (success), 6.9% had some type of sequela (failure), and 25.6% died (failure). In the case of deaths due to meningitis, strains of fully penicillin resistant pneumococcus were isolated. Furthermore, 68.2% of patients who died presented some type of comorbidity. The 60 and older age group presented the most significant association (Odds Ratio = 4.2), with outcome failure regardless of the presence of comorbidity. Serotype 18C was the most significant risk factor both in raw analysis (Odds Ratio = 3.8) and when adjusted for comorbidity (Odds Ratio = 5.0) or age (Odds Ratio = 5.4). The same occurred with serotype 12F (respectively, Odds Ratio = 5.1, Odds Ratio = 5.0, and Odds Ratio = 4.7) Conclusion The present findings highlight the importance of IPD among young adults and older adults. In the era of conjugate vaccines, monitoring serotypes in different age groups is essential to assess the impact and adequacy of immunization.
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Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Lactante , Preescolar , Niño , Adolescente , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Adulto Joven , Infecciones Neumocócicas/microbiología , Streptococcus pneumoniae/aislamiento & purificación , Infecciones Neumocócicas/mortalidad , Infecciones Neumocócicas/tratamiento farmacológico , Streptococcus pneumoniae/clasificación , Brasil/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Vacunas Conjugadas , Distribución por Edad , Hospitalización , Antibacterianos/uso terapéuticoRESUMEN
Objetiva descrever uma epizootia de raiva iniciada em 1995 na área urbana de Ribeiräo Preto e estudar os fatores que propiciaram o seu aparecimento. Foram revistos e estudados todos os casos laboratorialmente confirmados de raiva animal ocorridos a partir de janeiro de 1995. Paralelamente, foram levantadas informaçöes relativas à cobertura vacinal e às atividades de vigilância. Em 1995, além de um caso humano, ocorreram 58 casos de raiva animal (54 cäes, três gatos e um morcego). Em 1996 foram observados vinte casos (18 cäes e dois gatos). A concentraçäo de casos de casos foi diferente conforme as áreas distritais, com maiores valores sendo observados nas regiöes mais pobres da cidade. A distribuiçäo de casos näo variou conforme os meses do ano. Baixas coberturas vacinais e quase ausência de atividades de vigilância, traduzida pelo näo-envio sistemático de amostras para exames laboratoriais nos anos imediatamente anteriores a 1995, foram os fatores determinantes do aparecimento da epizootia. Ilustra os riscos de se negligenciar a profilaxia permanente da raiva, mesmo numa cidade com razoável estrutura dos serviços de saúde e localizada numa das áreas de maior desenvolvimento econômico do País.