How much does it cost to be fit for operation? The economics of prehabilitation.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Prehabilitation before elective surgery can include physical, nutritional, and psychological interventions or a combination of these to allow patients to return postoperatively to baseline status as soon as possible. The purpose of this review is to analyse the current date related to the cost-effectiveness of such programs. RECENT FINDINGS: The current literature regarding the economics of prehabilitation is limited. However, such programs have been mainly associated with either a reduction in total healthcare related costs or no increase. SUMMARY: Prehabilitation before elective surgery has been shown to minimize the periprocedural complications and optimization of short term follow up after surgical procedures. Recent studies included cost analysis, either based on hospital accounting data or on estimates costs. The healthcare cost was mainly reduced by shortening the number of hospitalization day. Other factors included length of ICU stay, place of the prehabilitation program (in-hospital vs. home-based) and compliance to the program.

Comparison of the Clavien-Dindo and Comprehensive Complication Index systems for grading of surgical complications after colorectal resections.

INTRODUCTION: Postoperative complications are associated with prolonged hospital stay and a rise in costs of treatment. The Comprehensive Complication Index (CCI) was developed as a scoring system that does not only take the most severe complication into account but all complications after surgery. Our aim was to compare the Clavien-Dindo scoring system with the CCI in predicting length of hospital stay (LOHS) and in-hospital costs after colorectal resections. METHODS: Complications occurring after surgical procedures, performed between October 2012 and September 2013, were prospectively recorded. During this period 164 patients developed complication(s). Only patients that underwent a colorectal resection were included. Multivariable linear regression analysis was performed to find independent predictors of in-hospital costs and LOHS. RESULTS: 64 patients (age (range): 69 (10-91) years, M/F: 36/28) were retained. 46 (71.9%) patients had a Clavien-Dindo score ≥ IIIb. Median (IQR) CCI was 40 (30.2-53.9). Mean (±SD) in-hospitals costs for all patients were €12,920 ± €10,229. The adjusted difference (95% CI, p-value) in in-hospital costs for minor and major (Clavien-Dindo ≥ IIIb) complications was 10,021 (€4283 to €15,759, p = 0.001). A 10 point increase in CCI increased in-hospital costs by €2040. Multivariable analysis retained CCI > 40 as the only independent risk factor for increased in-hospital costs (Standard Beta Coeffic (p-value): 8063 (p = 0.022). CONCLUSION: CCI is a better predictor of in-hospital costs than Clavien-Dindo score to classify complications after colorectal resections, as it captures all complications. Further research is warranted to extrapolate our findings to other sub-specialities of surgery.

The comprehensive complication index (CCI) is a more sensitive complication index than the conventional Clavien-Dindo classification in radical gastric cancer surgery.

BACKGROUND: The comprehensive complication index (CCI) integrates all complications of the Clavien-Dindo classification (CDC) and offers a metric approach to measure morbidity. The aim of this study was to evaluate the CCI at a high-volume center for gastric cancer surgery and to compare the CCI to the conventional CDC. METHODS: Clinical factors were collected from the prospective complication data of gastric cancer patients who underwent radical gastrectomy at Seoul National University Hospital from 2013 to 2014. CDC and CCI were calculated, and risk factors were investigated. Correlations and generalized linear models of hospital stay were compared between the CCI and CDC. The complication monitoring model with cumulative sum control-CCI (CUSUM-CCI) was displayed for individual surgeons, for comparisons between surgeons, and for the institution. RESULTS: From 1660 patients, 583 complications in 424 patients (25.5%) were identified. The rate of CDC grade IIIa or greater was 9.7%, and the overall CCI was 5.8 ± 11.7. Age, gender, Charlson score, combined resection, open method, and total gastrectomy were associated with increased CCI (p < 0.05). The CCI demonstrated a stronger relationship with hospital stay (ρ = 0.721, p < 0.001) than did the CDC (ρ = 0.634, p < 0.001). For prolonged hospital stays (≥30 days), only the CCI showed a moderate correlation (ρ = 0.544, p = 0.024), although the CDC did not. The CUSUM-CCI model displayed dynamic time-event differences in individual and comparison monitoring models. In the institution monitoring model, a gradual decrease in the CCI was observed. CONCLUSIONS: The CCI is more strongly correlated with postoperative hospital stay than is the conventional CDC. The CUSUM-CCI model can be used for the continuous monitoring of surgical quality.

The Comprehensive Complication Index (CCI®): Added Value and Clinical Perspectives 3 Years "Down the Line".

OBJECTIVE: To explore the added value of the comprehensive complication index (CCI) to standard assessment of postoperative morbidity, and to clarify potential controversies for its application. BACKGROUND: The CCI was introduced about 3 years ago as a novel metric of postoperative morbidity, integrating in a single formula all complications by severity, ranging from 0 (uneventful course) to 100 (death). It remains unclear, how often the CCI adds to standard reporting of complications and how to apply it in complex postoperative courses. METHODS: CCI data were prospectively collected over a 1-year period at our institution. The proportion of patients with more than 1 complication and the severity of those complications were assessed to determine the additional value of the CCI compared to the Clavien-Dindo classification. Complex and controversial cases were presented to 90 surgeons worldwide to achieve consensus in weighing each postoperative event. Descriptive statistics were used to evaluate agreement among surgeons and to suggest solutions for consistent use of the CCI. RESULTS: Complications were identified in 24% (290/1212) of the general surgical population. Of those, 44% (127/290) developed more than 1 complication by the time of discharge, and thereby CCI added information to the standard grading system of complications. Information gained by the CCI increased with the complexity of surgery and observation time. CONCLUSIONS: The CCI adds information on postoperative morbidity in almost half of the patients developing complications, with particular value following extensive surgery and longer postoperative observation up to 3 months. Each single complication, independently of their inter-connection, should be included in the CCI calculation to best mirror the patients' postoperative morbidity.

Impact of postoperative complications on readmission and long-term survival in patients following surgery for colorectal cancer.

PURPOSE: It is well known that specific postoperative complications such as stroke influence readmissions and overall survival (OS) after surgery for colorectal cancer (CRC). Whether overall hospital morbidity is associated with increased risk of readmission and poorer long-term survival is unknown. New tools are available to accurately quantify overall morbidity, such as the comprehensive complication index (CCI). The aim is to evaluate the impact of complications on readmission and overall survival (OS) in patients operated for colorectal cancer. METHODS: Postoperative complications of patients undergoing surgery for CRC were assessed over a 5-year period using the Clavien-Dindo classification, and overall morbidity was assessed by using the CCI. Individual scores were analyzed regarding their association with readmission and OS by using the multivariate logistic and Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis, respectively. RESULTS: Two hundred eighty-four patients were operated for CRC, of which 22 (8%) were readmitted. One hundred five patients (37%) developed at least one postoperative complication during the hospital stay. While single complications or the use of severe complication only (grade ≥IIIb) was not associated with readmission, overall morbidity (CCI) predicted readmission (OR 1.02 (95% CI 1.0-1.04), p = 0.044). Similarly, morbidity assessed by the CCI had a significant negative predictive value on OS, e.g., patients with a CCI of 20 were 22% more likely to die within a 5-year follow-up, when compared to patients with a CCI of 10 (p = 0.022). CONCLUSIONS: Overall combined morbidity as assessed by the CCI leads to more frequent readmission, and is associated with poorer long-term survival after surgery for CRC.

Impact of Residency Training Level on the Surgical Quality Following General Surgery Procedures.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the safety of surgical performance by residents of different training level performing common general surgical procedures. METHODS: Data were consecutively collected from all patients undergoing general surgical procedures such as laparoscopic cholecystectomy, laparoscopic appendectomy, inguinal, femoral and umbilical hernia repair from 2005 to 2011 at the Department of Surgery of the University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland. The operating surgeons were grouped into junior residents, senior residents and consultants. The comprehensive complication index (CCI) representing the overall number and severity of all postoperative complications served as primary safety endpoint. A multivariable linear regression analysis was used to analyze differences between groups. Additionally, we focused on the impact of senior residents assisting junior residents on postoperative outcome comparing to consultants. RESULTS: During the observed time, 2715 patients underwent a general surgical procedure. In 1114 times, a senior resident operated and in 669 procedures junior residents performed the surgery. The overall postoperative morbidity quantified by the CCI was for consultants 5.0 (SD 10.7), for senior residents 3.5 (8.2) and for junior residents 3.6 (8.3). After adjusting for possible confounders, no difference between groups concerning the postoperative complications was detected. There is also no difference in postoperative complications detectable if junior residents were assisted by consultants then if assisted by senior residents. DISCUSSION: Patient safety is ensured in general surgery when performed by surgical junior residents. Senior residents are able to adopt the role of the teaching surgeon in charge without compromising patients' safety.

Defining Benchmarks for Major Liver Surgery: A multicenter Analysis of 5202 Living Liver Donors.

OBJECTIVE: To measure and define the best achievable outcome after major hepatectomy. BACKGROUND: No reference values are available on outcomes after major hepatectomies. Analysis in living liver donors, with safety as the highest priority, offers the opportunity to define outcome benchmarks as the best possible results. METHODS: Outcome analyses of 5202 hemi-hepatectomies from living donors (LDs) from 12 high-volume centers worldwide were performed for a 10-year period. Endpoints, calculated at discharge, 3 and 6 months postoperatively, included postoperative morbidity measured by the Clavien-Dindo classification, the Comprehensive Complication Index (CCI), and liver failure according to different definitions. Benchmark values were defined as the 75th percentile of median morbidity values to represent the best achievable results at 3 month postoperatively. RESULTS: Patients were young (34 ± [9] years), predominantly male (65%) and healthy. Surgery lasted 7 ± [2] hours; 2% needed blood transfusions. Mean hospital stay was 11.7± [5] days. 12% of patients developed at least 1 complication, of which 3.8% were major events (≥grade III, including 1 death), mostly related to biliary/bleeding events, and were twice higher after right hepatectomy. The incidence of postoperative liver failure was low. Within 3-month follow-up, benchmark values for overall complication were ≤31 %, for minor/major complications ≤23% and ≤9%, respectively, and a CCI ≤33 in LDs with complications. Centers having performed ≥100 hepatectomies had significantly lower rates for overall (10.2% vs 35.9%, P < 0.001) and major (3% vs 12.1%, P < 0.001) complications and overall CCI (2.1 vs 8.5, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The thorough outcome analysis of healthy LDs may serve as a reference for evaluating surgical performance in patients undergoing major liver resection across centers and different patient populations. Further benchmark studies are needed to develop risk-adjusted comparisons of surgical outcomes.

Using the Comprehensive Complication Index to Assess the Impact of Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy on Complication Severity After Esophagectomy for Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) followed by surgery for patients with esophageal or junctional cancer has become a standard of care. The comprehensive complication index (CCI) has recently been developed and accounts for all postoperative complications. Hence, CCI better reflects the burden of all combined postoperative complications in surgical patients than the Clavien-Dindo score alone, which incorporates only the most severe complication. This study was designed to evaluate the severity of complications in patients treated with nCRT followed by esophagectomy versus in patients who underwent esophagectomy alone using the comprehensive complication index. STUDY-DESIGN: All patients included in the CROSS trial-a randomized, clinical trial on the value of nCRT followed by esophagectomy-were included. Complications were assessed and graded using the Clavien-Dindo classification. CCI was derived from these scores, using the CCI calculator available online ( www.assessurgery.com ). CCI of patients who underwent nCRT followed by surgery was compared with the CCI of patients who underwent surgery alone. RESULTS: In both groups 161 patients were included. The median (and interquartile range) CCI of patients with nCRT and surgery was 26.22 (17.28-42.43) versus 25.74 (8.66-43.01) in patients who underwent surgery alone (p = 0.58). There also was no difference in CCI between subgroups of patients with anastomotic leakage, pulmonary complications, cardiac complications, thromboembolic events, chyle leakage, and wound infections. CONCLUSIONS: Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy according to CROSS did not have a negative impact on postoperative complication severity expressed by CCI compared with patients who underwent surgery alone for potentially curable esophageal or junctional cancer.

Where Oncologic and Surgical Complication Scoring Systems Collide: Time for a New Consensus for CRS/HIPEC.

INTRODUCTION: Morbidity and mortality rates after cytoreductive surgery (CRS) and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC) are important quality parameters to compare peritoneal surface malignancy centers. A major problem to assess postoperative outcomes among centers is the inconsistent reporting due to two coexisting systems, the diagnose-based common terminology criteria for adverse events (CTCAE) classification and the therapy-oriented Clavien-Dindo classification. We therefore assessed and compared both reporting systems. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Complications after CRS/HIPEC were recorded in 147 consecutive patients and independently graded by an expert board using both systems. In a next step, a group of residents, experienced surgeons, and medical oncologists evaluated a set of twelve real complications, either with the Clavien-Dindo or CTCAE classification. RESULTS: The postoperative complication rate after CRS/HIPEC was 37 % (54/147), 6.8 % (10/147) were reoperated, and three (2 %) patients died. The most frequent complications were intestinal fistula or abscess, pulmonary complications, and ileus. Grading of complications with the CTCAE classification resulted in a significantly higher major morbidity rate compared to the Clavien-Dindo classification (25 vs. 8 %, p = 0.001). Evaluating a set of complications, residents, surgeons, and oncologists correctly assessed significantly more complications with the Clavien-Dindo compared to the CTCEA classification (p < 0.001). In addition, all participants evaluated the Clavien-Dindo classification as more simple. Residents (p < 0.001) and surgeons (p < 0.01) required less time with the Clavien-Dindo classification; there was no difference for oncologist. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, our data indicate that there is a different interpretation of severity grades of complications after CRS/HIPEC between the two classifications. There is a need for a common language in the field of CRS/HIPEC, which should be defined by a new consensus to compare surgical outcomes.

"A randomized, double-blind study of the effects of omega-3 fatty acids (Omegaven) on outcome after major liver resection".

BACKGROUND: The body is dependent on the exogenous supply of omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (n3-PUFA). These essential fatty acids are key players in regulating metabolic signaling but also exert anti-inflammatory and anti-carcinogenic properties. The liver is a major metabolic organ involved in fatty acid metabolism. Under experimental conditions, n3-PUFA exert beneficial effect on hepatic steatosis, regeneration and inflammatory insults such as ischemic injury after surgery. Some of these effects have also been observed in human subjects. However, it is unclear whether perioperative administration of n3-PUFA is sufficient to protect the liver from ischemic injury. Therefore, we designed a randomized controlled trial (RCT) assessing n3-PUFA (pre-) conditioning strategies in patients scheduled for liver surgery. METHODS/DESIGN: The Omegaven trial is a multi-centric, double-blind, randomized, placebo- controlled trial applying two single doses of Omegaven or placebo on 258 patients undergoing major liver resection. Primary endpoints are morbidity and mortality one month after hospital discharge, defined by the Clavien- Dindo classification of surgical complications (Ann Surg 240(2):205-13, 2004) as well as the Comprehensive Complication Index (CCI) (Ann Surg 258(1):1-7, 2013). Secondary outcome variables include length of Intensive Care Unit (ICU) and hospital stay, postoperative liver function tests, fatty acid and eicosanoid concentration, inflammatory markers in serum and in liver tissue. An interim analysis is scheduled after the first 30 patients per randomization group. DISCUSSION: Long-term administration of n3-PUFA have a beneficial effect on metabolism and hepatic injury. Patients often require surgery without much delay, thus long-term n3-PUFA uptake is not possible. Also, lack of compliance may lead to incomplete n3-PUFA substitution. Hence, perioperative Omegaven™ may provide an easy and controllable way to ensure hepaative application of tic protection. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrial.gov: ID: NCT01884948 , registered June 14, 2013; Institution Ethical Board Approval: KEK-ZH-Nr. 2010-0038; Swissmedic Notification: 2012DR3215.

The comprehensive complication index: a novel and more sensitive endpoint for assessing outcome and reducing sample size in randomized controlled trials.

OBJECTIVE: To test whether the newly developed comprehensive complication index (CCI) is more sensitive than traditional endpoints for detecting between-group differences in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). BACKGROUND: A major challenge in RCTs is the choice of optimal endpoints to detect treatment effects. Mortality is no longer a sufficient marker in studies, and morbidity is often poorly defined. The CCI, integrating all complications including their severity in a linear scale ranging from 0 (no complication) to 100 (death), is a new tool, which may be more sensitive than other traditional endpoints to detect treatment effects on postoperative morbidity. METHODS: The CCI was tested in 3 published RCTs from European centers evaluating pancreas, esophageal and colon resections. To compare the sensitivity of the CCI with traditional morbidity endpoints, for example, presence of any (yes/no) or only the most severe complications, all postoperative events were assessed, and the CCI calculated. Treatment effects and sample size calculations were compared using the CCI and traditional endpoints. RESULTS: Although RCTs failed to show between-group differences using any or most severe complications, the CCI revealed significant differences between treatment groups in 2 RCTs-after pancreas (P=0.009) and esophageal surgery (P=0.014). The CCI in the RCT on colon resections confirmed the absence of between-group differences (P=0.39). The required sample sizes in trials are up to 9 times lower for the CCI than for traditional morbidity endpoints. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates superiority of the CCI to traditional endpoints. The CCI may serve as an appealing endpoint for future RCTs and may reduce the sample size.

ALPPS offers a better chance of complete resection in patients with primarily unresectable liver tumors compared with conventional-staged hepatectomies: results of a multicenter analysis.

BACKGROUND: Portal vein occlusion to increase the size of the future liver remnant (FLR) is well established, using portal vein ligation (PVL) or embolization (PVE) followed by resection 4-8 weeks later. Associating liver partition with portal vein ligation for staged hepatectomy (ALPPS) combines PVL and complete parenchymal transection, followed by hepatectomy within 1-2 weeks. ALPPS has been recently introduced but remains controversial. We compare the ability of ALPPS versus PVE or PVL for complete tumor resection. METHODS: A retrospective review of all patients undergoing ALPPS or conventional staged hepatectomies using PVL or PVE at four high-volume HPB centres between 2003 and 2012 was performed. Patients with primary liver tumors and liver metastases were included. Primary endpoint was complete tumor resection. Secondary endpoints include 90-day mortality, complications, FLR increase, time to resection, and tumor recurrence. RESULTS: Forty-eight patients with ALPPS were compared with 83 patients with conventional-staged hepatectomies. Eighty-three percent (40/48 patients) of ALPPS patients achieved complete resection compared with 66 % (55/83 patients) in PVE/PVL (odds ratio 3.34, p = 0.027). Ninety-day mortality in ALPPS and PVE/PVL was 15 and 6 %, respectively (p = 0.2). Extrapolated growth rate was 11 times higher in ALPPS (34.8 cc/day; interquartile range (IQR) 26-49) compared with PVE/PVL (3 cc/day; IQR2-6; p = 0.001). Tumor recurrence at 1 year was 54 versus 52 % for ALPPS and PVE/PVL, respectively (p = 0.7). CONCLUSIONS: This study provides evidence that ALPPS offers a better chance of complete resection in patients with primarily unresectable liver tumors at the cost of a high mortality. The technique is promising but should currently not be used outside of studies and registries.

Comparison of the critical shoulder angle in radiographs and computed tomography.

OBJECTIVE: The critical shoulder angle (CSA) is an indicator of degenerative shoulder pathologies. CSAs above 35° are associated with degenerative rotator cuff disease, whereas values below 30° are common in osteoarthritis of the glenohumeral joint. Measurements are usually performed on radiographs; however, no data have been reported regarding the reliability of CT scan measurements between different readers or the reproducibility of measurements from radiographs to CT scans. The purpose of our study was to clarify whether CSA measurements on radiographs and CT scans of the same patients show similar values. MATERIALS AND METHODS: CSA measurements of 60 shoulders (59 patients) were performed on radiographs and multiplanar reconstructions of corresponding CT scans. Inter-reader reliability and inter-method correlation were calculated. RESULTS: The mean discrepancy between readers was only 0.2° (SD ±1.0°) on radiographs. CT scan measurements showed a mean discrepancy of 0.3° (SD ±1.2°). The inter-reader reliability was 0.993 for radiographs and 0.989 for CT scans. There was a very strong inter-method correlation between the CSA measured on radiographs and CT scans (Spearman's rho = 0.974). The mean differences between angles on radiographs and CT measurements were -0.05° (SD ±1.2°) and 0.1° (SD ±1.2°), respectively. CONCLUSION: Measurements of the CSA on anterior-posterior radiographs and CT scans are highly correlated, and inter-modality differences are negligible.

Relationship of individual scapular anatomy and degenerative rotator cuff tears.

BACKGROUND: The etiology of rotator cuff disease is age related, as documented by prevalence data. Despite conflicting results, growing evidence suggests that distinct scapular morphologies may accelerate the underlying degenerative process. The purpose of the present study was to evaluate the predictive power of 5 commonly used radiologic parameters of scapular morphology to discriminate between patients with intact rotator cuff tendons and those with torn rotator cuff tendons. METHODS: A pre hoc power analysis was performed to determine the sample size. Two independent readers measured the acromion index, lateral acromion angle, and critical shoulder angle on standardized anteroposterior radiographs. In addition, the acromial morphology according to Bigliani and the acromial slope were determined on true outlet views. Measurements were performed in 51 consecutive patients with documented degenerative rotator cuff tears and in an age- and sex-matched control group of 51 patients with intact rotator cuff tendons. Receiver operating characteristic analyses were performed to determine cutoff values and to assess the sensitivity and specificity of each parameter. RESULTS: Patients with degenerative rotator cuff tears demonstrated significantly higher acromion indices, smaller lateral acromion angles, and larger critical shoulder angles than patients with intact rotator cuffs. However, no difference was found between the acromial morphology according to Bigliani and the acromial slope. With an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.855 and an odds ratio of 10.8, the critical shoulder angle represented the strongest predictor for the presence of a rotator cuff tear. CONCLUSION: The acromion index, lateral acromion angle, and critical shoulder angle accurately predict the presence of degenerative rotator cuff tears.

The comprehensive complication index: a novel continuous scale to measure surgical morbidity.

OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a comprehensive complication index (CCI) that integrates all events with their respective severity. BACKGROUND: Reporting of surgical complications is inconsistent and often incomplete. Most studies fail to provide information about the severity of complications, or inform only on the most severe event, ignoring events of lesser severity. METHODS: We used an established classification of complications, adopting methods from operation risk index analysis in marketing research to develop a formula that considers all complications that may occur in a patient. The weights of each grade of complication, defined as median reference values, were obtained from 472 participants, who rated 30 different complications. Validation to assess sensitivity to treatment effects and validity of the CCI was performed by 4 different approaches, based on 1299 patients. RESULTS: The CCI is calculated as the sum of all complications that are weighted for their severity (multiplication of the median reference values from patients and physicians). The final formula yields a continuous scale to rank the severity of any combination of complications from 0 to 100 in a single patient. The CCI was highly sensitive in detecting treatment effect differences in the context of a randomized trial (effect size detected by CCI vs conventional standardized morbidity outcomes). It also showed a negative correlation with postoperative health status (r = -0.24, P = 0.002), and high correlation with the results of patient-rated single and multiple complications on conjoint analysis (r = 0.94, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The CCI summarizes all postoperative complications and is more sensitive than existing morbidity endpoints. It may serve as a standardized and widely applicable primary endpoint in surgical trials and other interventional fields of medicine. The CCI can be readily computed on the basis of tabulated complications according to the Clavien-Dindo classification (available at www.assessurgery.com).

Novel prediction score including pre- and intraoperative parameters best predicts acute kidney injury after liver surgery.

BACKGROUND: A recently published score predicts the occurrence of acute kidney injury (AKI) after liver resection based on preoperative parameters (chronic renal failure, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, and alanine-aminotransferase levels). By inclusion of additional intraoperative parameters we aimed to develop a new prediction model. METHODS: A series of 549 consecutive patients were enrolled. The preoperative score and intraoperative parameters (blood transfusion, hepaticojejunostomy, oliguria, cirrhosis, diuretics, colloids, and catecholamine) were included in a multivariate logistic regression model. We added the strongest predictors that improved prediction of AKI compared to the existing score. An internal validation by fivefold cross validation was performed, followed by a decision curve analysis to evaluate unnecessary special care unit admissions. RESULTS: Blood transfusions, hepaticojejunostomy, and oliguria were the strongest intraoperative predictors of AKI after liver resection. The new score ranges from 0 to 64 points predicting postoperative AKI with a probability of 3.5­95 %. Calibration was good in both models (15 % predicted risk vs. 15 % observed risk). The fivefold cross-validation indicated good accuracy of the new model (AUC 0.79 (95 % CI 0.73­0.84)). Discrimination was substantially higher in the new model (AUCnew 0.81 (95 % CI 0.76­0.86) versus AUCpreoperative 0.60 (95 % CI 0.52­0.69), p < 0.001). The new score could reduce up to 84 unnecessary special care unit admissions per 100 patients depending on the decision threshold. CONCLUSIONS: By combining three intraoperative parameters with the existing preoperative risk score, a new prediction model was developed that more accurately predicts postoperative AKI. It may reduce unnecessary admissions to the special care unit and support management of patients at higher risk.

Increased pelvic incidence may lead to arthritis and sagittal orientation of the facet joints at the lower lumbar spine.

BACKGROUND: Correct sagittal alignment with a balanced pelvis and spine is crucial in the management of spinal disorders. The pelvic incidence (PI) describes the sagittal pelvic alignment and is position-independent. It has barely been investigated on CT scans. Furthermore, no studies have focused on the association between PI and facet joint (FJ) arthritis and orientation. Therefore, our goal was to clarify the remaining issues about PI in regard to (1) physiologic values, (2) age, (3) gender, (4) lumbar lordosis (LL) and (5) FJ arthritis and orientation using CT scans. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed CT scans of 620 individuals, with a mean age of 43 years, who presented to our traumatology department and underwent a whole body CT scan, between 2008 and 2010. The PI was determined on sagittal CT planes of the pelvis by measuring the angle between the hip axis to an orthogonal line originating at the center of the superior end plate axis of the first sacral vertebra. We also evaluated LL, FJ arthritis and orientation of the lumbar spine. RESULTS: 596 individuals yielded results for (1) PI with a mean of 50.8°. There was no significant difference for PI and (2) age, nor (3) gender. PI was significantly and linearly correlated with (4) LL (p = < 0.0001). Interestingly, PI and (5) FJ arthritis displayed a significant and linear correlation (p = 0.0062) with a cut-off point at 50°. An increased PI was also significantly associated with more sagitally oriented FJs at L5/S1 (p = 0.01). CONCLUSION: PI is not correlated with age nor gender. However, this is the first report showing that PI is significantly and linearly associated with LL, FJ arthritis and more sagittal FJ orientation at the lower lumbar spine. This may be caused by a higher contact force on the lower lumbar FJs by an increased PI. Once symptomatic or in the event of spinal trauma, patients with increased PI and LL could benefit from corrective surgery and spondylodesis.

Are two-stage hepatectomies associated with more complications than one-stage procedures?

BACKGROUND: Two-stage liver resections with portal vein occlusion have become standard in patients with low volume future liver remnants. Whether they are associated with more complications is unclear. The aim of this study was to compare complications of one- and two-stage resections in a retrospective study. METHODS: Patients with two-stage right liver resections with a previous portal vein occlusion were compared with patients with one-stage right liver resections between 2002 and 2010. Primary endpoints were the incidence of complications by severity. Secondary endpoints were mortality, post-operative liver- and kidney function tests, length of hospitalization and transfusion events. Logistic and linear regression analyses were performed to adjust for confounders. RESULTS: The groups were comparable except for right trisectionectomies, pre-operative chemotherapy and underlying liver disease. Overall complications occurred in 25 out of 35 patients with two-stage and 106 out of 163 in one-stage procedures. Severe complications were observed in 47 out of 163 patients versus 9 out of 35 patients, respectively. Two-stage procedures had no increased adjusted risk for complications [relative risk (RR) 0.9, P = 0.79]. Mortality (5.7% versus 3.7%) and post-operative liver failure rates (2.9% versus 3.1%) were low. Secondary endpoints showed no adjusted differences in risk. CONCLUSION: This study suggests that liver resections in two stages are not associated with more post-operative complications than one-stage resections. These results should support the adoption of two-stage liver resections in selected patients.

Chemokine-driven lymphocyte infiltration: an early intratumoural event determining long-term survival in resectable hepatocellular carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a heterogeneous disease with poor prognosis and limited methods for predicting patient survival. The nature of the immune cells that infiltrate tumours is known to impact clinical outcome. However, the molecular events that regulate this infiltration require further understanding. Here the ability of immune genes expressed in the tumour microenvironment to predict disease progression was investigated. METHODS: Using quantitative PCR, the expression of 14 immune genes in resected tumour tissues from 57 Singaporean patients was analysed. The nearest-template prediction method was used to derive and test a prognostic signature from this training cohort. The signature was then validated in an independent cohort of 98 patients from Hong Kong and Zurich. Intratumoural components expressing these critical immune genes were identified by in situ labelling. Regulation of these genes was analysed in vitro using the HCC cell line SNU-182. RESULTS: The identified 14 immune-gene signature predicts patient survival in both the training cohort (p=0.0004 and HR=5.2) and the validation cohort (p=0.0051 and HR=2.5) irrespective of patient ethnicity and disease aetiology. Importantly, it predicts the survival of patients with early disease (stages I and II), for whom classical clinical parameters provide limited information. The lack of predictive power in late disease stages III and IV emphasises that a protective immune microenvironment has to be established early in order to impact disease progression significantly. This signature includes the chemokine genes CXCL10, CCL5 and CCL2, whose expression correlates with markers of T helper 1 (Th1), CD8(+) T and natural killer (NK) cells. Inflammatory cytokines (tumour necrosis factor α, interferon γ) and Toll-like receptor 3 ligands stimulate intratumoural production of these chemokines which drive tumour infiltration by T and NK cells, leading to enhanced cancer cell death. CONCLUSION: A 14 immune-gene signature, which identifies molecular cues driving tumour infiltration by lymphocytes, accurately predicts survival of patients with HCC especially in early disease.

The use of fatty liver grafts in modern allocation systems: risk assessment by the balance of risk (BAR) score.

OBJECTIVE: To integrate the amount of hepatic steatosis in modern liver allocation models. BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to combine the 2 largest liver transplant databases (United States and Europe) in 1 comprehensive model to predict outcome after liver transplantation, with a novel focus on the impact of the presence of steatosis in the graft. METHODS: We adjusted the balance of risk (BAR) score for its application to the European Liver Transplant Registry (ELTR) database containing 11,942 patients. All liver transplants from ELTR and United Network for Organ Sharing with recorded liver biopsies were then combined in one survival analysis in relation to the presence of graft micro- (n = 9,677) and macrosteatosis (n = 11,516). RESULTS: Microsteatosis, regardless of the amount, was associated with a similar relationship between mortality and BAR score as nonsteatotic livers. Low-grade macrosteatotic liver grafts (≤30% macrosteatosis) resulted in 5-year graft-survival rates of 60% or more up to BAR 18, comparable to nonsteatotic grafts. However, use of moderate or severely steatotic liver grafts (>30% macrosteatosis) resulted in acceptable outcome only if the cumulative risk at transplant was low, that is, BAR score of 9 or less. CONCLUSIONS: Microsteatotic or 30% or less macrosteatotic liver grafts can be used safely up to BAR score of 18 or less, but liver grafts with more than 30% macrosteatotis should be used with risk adjustment, that is, up to BAR score of 9 or less.