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BACKGROUND: The Ad26.COV2.S vaccine was highly effective against severe-critical coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19), hospitalization, and death in the primary phase 3 efficacy analysis. METHODS: We conducted the final analysis in the double-blind phase of our multinational, randomized, placebo-controlled trial, in which adults were assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive single-dose Ad26.COV2.S (5×1010 viral particles) or placebo. The primary end points were vaccine efficacy against moderate to severe-critical Covid-19 with onset at least 14 days after administration and at least 28 days after administration in the per-protocol population. Safety and key secondary and exploratory end points were also assessed. RESULTS: Median follow-up in this analysis was 4 months; 8940 participants had at least 6 months of follow-up. In the per-protocol population (39,185 participants), vaccine efficacy against moderate to severe-critical Covid-19 at least 14 days after administration was 56.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 51.3 to 60.8; 484 cases in the vaccine group vs. 1067 in the placebo group); at least 28 days after administration, vaccine efficacy was 52.9% (95% CI, 47.1 to 58.1; 433 cases in the vaccine group vs. 883 in the placebo group). Efficacy in the United States, primarily against the reference strain (B.1.D614G) and the B.1.1.7 (alpha) variant, was 69.7% (95% CI, 60.7 to 76.9); efficacy was reduced elsewhere against the P.1 (gamma), C.37 (lambda), and B.1.621 (mu) variants. Efficacy was 74.6% (95% CI, 64.7 to 82.1) against severe-critical Covid-19 (with only 4 severe-critical cases caused by the B.1.617.2 [delta] variant), 75.6% (95% CI, 54.3 to 88.0) against Covid-19 leading to medical intervention (including hospitalization), and 82.8% (95% CI, 40.5 to 96.8) against Covid-19-related death, with protection lasting 6 months or longer. Efficacy against any severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection was 41.7% (95% CI, 36.3 to 46.7). Ad26.COV2.S was associated with mainly mild-to-moderate adverse events, and no new safety concerns were identified. CONCLUSIONS: A single dose of Ad26.COV2.S provided 52.9% protection against moderate to severe-critical Covid-19. Protection varied according to variant; higher protection was observed against severe Covid-19, medical intervention, and death than against other end points and lasted for 6 months or longer. (Funded by Janssen Research and Development and others; ENSEMBLE ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04505722.).
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Ad26COVS1 , COVID-19/prevención & control , Eficacia de las Vacunas/estadística & datos numéricos , Ad26COVS1/efectos adversos , Ad26COVS1/inmunología , Adolescente , Adulto , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/mortalidad , Método Doble Ciego , Estudios de Seguimiento , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Inmunogenicidad Vacunal , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Persona de Mediana Edad , Gravedad del Paciente , SARS-CoV-2 , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The Ad26.COV2.S vaccine is a recombinant, replication-incompetent human adenovirus type 26 vector encoding full-length severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) spike protein in a prefusion-stabilized conformation. METHODS: In an international, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial, we randomly assigned adult participants in a 1:1 ratio to receive a single dose of Ad26.COV2.S (5×1010 viral particles) or placebo. The primary end points were vaccine efficacy against moderate to severe-critical coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) with an onset at least 14 days and at least 28 days after administration among participants in the per-protocol population who had tested negative for SARS-CoV-2. Safety was also assessed. RESULTS: The per-protocol population included 19,630 SARS-CoV-2-negative participants who received Ad26.COV2.S and 19,691 who received placebo. Ad26.COV2.S protected against moderate to severe-critical Covid-19 with onset at least 14 days after administration (116 cases in the vaccine group vs. 348 in the placebo group; efficacy, 66.9%; adjusted 95% confidence interval [CI], 59.0 to 73.4) and at least 28 days after administration (66 vs. 193 cases; efficacy, 66.1%; adjusted 95% CI, 55.0 to 74.8). Vaccine efficacy was higher against severe-critical Covid-19 (76.7% [adjusted 95% CI, 54.6 to 89.1] for onset at ≥14 days and 85.4% [adjusted 95% CI, 54.2 to 96.9] for onset at ≥28 days). Despite 86 of 91 cases (94.5%) in South Africa with sequenced virus having the 20H/501Y.V2 variant, vaccine efficacy was 52.0% and 64.0% against moderate to severe-critical Covid-19 with onset at least 14 days and at least 28 days after administration, respectively, and efficacy against severe-critical Covid-19 was 73.1% and 81.7%, respectively. Reactogenicity was higher with Ad26.COV2.S than with placebo but was generally mild to moderate and transient. The incidence of serious adverse events was balanced between the two groups. Three deaths occurred in the vaccine group (none were Covid-19-related), and 16 in the placebo group (5 were Covid-19-related). CONCLUSIONS: A single dose of Ad26.COV2.S protected against symptomatic Covid-19 and asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection and was effective against severe-critical disease, including hospitalization and death. Safety appeared to be similar to that in other phase 3 trials of Covid-19 vaccines. (Funded by Janssen Research and Development and others; ENSEMBLE ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04505722.).
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Vacunas contra la COVID-19/administración & dosificación , COVID-19/prevención & control , Inmunogenicidad Vacunal , Ad26COVS1 , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Enfermedades Asintomáticas/epidemiología , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/mortalidad , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/efectos adversos , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/inmunología , Método Doble Ciego , Femenino , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Gravedad del Paciente , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: Escherichia coli can cause infections in the urinary tract and in normally sterile body sites leading to invasive E. coli disease (IED), including bacteraemia and sepsis, with older populations at increased risk. We aimed to estimate the theoretical coverage rate by the ExPEC4V and 9V vaccine candidates. In addition, we aimed at better understanding the diversity of E. coli isolates, including their genetic and phenotypic antimicrobial resistance (AMR), sequence types (STs), O-serotypes and the bacterial population structure. METHODS: Blood and urine culture E. coli isolates (nâ=â304) were collected from hospitalized patients ≥60 years (n =â238) with IED during a multicentric, observational study across three continents. All isolates were tested for antimicrobial susceptibility, O-serotyped, whole-genome sequenced and bioinformatically analysed. RESULTS: A large diversity of STs and of O-serotypes were identified across all centres, with O25b-ST131, O6-ST73 and O1-ST95 being the most prevalent types. A total of 45.4% and 64.7% of all isolates were found to have an O-serotype covered by the ExPEC4V and ExPEC9V vaccine candidates, respectively. The overall frequency of MDR was 37.4% and ST131 was predominant among MDR isolates. Low in-patient genetic variability was observed in cases where multiple isolates were collected from the same patient. CONCLUSIONS: Our results highlight the predominance of MDR O25b-ST131 E. coli isolates across diverse geographic areas. These findings provide further baseline data on the theoretical coverage of novel vaccines targeting E. coli associated with IED in older adults and their associated AMR levels.
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PURPOSE: Invasive Escherichia coli disease (IED) encompasses a diverse range of sterile site infections. This study evaluated the feasibility of capturing IED among community-dwelling older adults to inform the implementation of a phase 3 efficacy trial of a novel vaccine against IED (NCT04899336). METHODS: EXPECT-1 (NCT04087681) was a prospective, multinational, observational study conducted in medically stable participants aged ≥ 60 years. At least 50% of participants were selected based on a history of urinary tract infection (UTI) in the previous 10 years. The main outcomes were the incidence of IED and the number of hospitalisations reported by the site vs participant. The length of follow-up was 12 months. In a US-based substudy, a smartphone-based geofencing was evaluated to track hospital entries. RESULTS: In total, 4470 participants were enrolled (median age, 70.0 years); 59.5% (2657/4469) of participants had a history of UTI in the previous 10 years. Four IED events were captured through deployment of different tracking methods: a self-report, a general practitioner (GP) report, and a follow-up call. The incidence rate of IED was 98.6 events per 100,000 person-years. The number of reported hospitalisations was 2529/4470 (56.6%) by the site and 2177/4470 (48.7%) by participants; 13.8% of hospitalisations would have been missed if utilising only site reports. Geofencing detected 72 hospital entries. CONCLUSION: Deployment of multiple tracking methods can optimise detection of IED among community-dwelling older adults. Older adults with a history of UTI could be feasibly targeted for a phase 3 vaccine efficacy trial through a network of GPs.
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Infecciones por Escherichia coli , Infecciones Urinarias , Humanos , Anciano , Estudios Prospectivos , Estudios de Factibilidad , Infecciones Urinarias/microbiología , Escherichia coli , Infecciones por Escherichia coli/microbiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Clinical data characterizing invasive Escherichia coli disease (IED) are limited. We assessed the clinical presentation of IED and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) patterns of causative E. coli isolates in older adults. METHODS: EXPECT-2 (NCT04117113) was a prospective, observational, multinational, hospital-based study conducted in patients with IED aged ≥ 60 years. IED was determined by the microbiological confirmation of E. coli from blood; or by the microbiological confirmation of E. coli from urine or an otherwise sterile body site in the presence of requisite criteria of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), or quick SOFA (qSOFA). The primary outcomes were the clinical presentation of IED and AMR rates of E. coli isolates to clinically relevant antibiotics. Complications and in-hospital mortality were assessed through 28 days following IED diagnosis. RESULTS: Of 240 enrolled patients, 80.4% had bacteremic and 19.6% had non-bacteremic IED. One-half of infections (50.4%) were community-acquired. The most common source of infection was the urinary tract (62.9%). Of 240 patients, 65.8% fulfilled ≥ 2 SIRS criteria, and 60.4% had a total SOFA score of ≥ 2. Investigator-diagnosed sepsis and septic shock were reported in 72.1% and 10.0% of patients, respectively. The most common complication was kidney dysfunction (12.9%). The overall in-hospital mortality was 4.6%. Of 299 E. coli isolates tested, the resistance rates were: 30.4% for trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, 24.1% for ciprofloxacin, 22.1% for levofloxacin, 16.4% for ceftriaxone, 5.7% for cefepime, and 4.3% for ceftazidime. CONCLUSIONS: The clinical profile of identified IED cases was characterized by high rates of sepsis. IED was associated with high rates of AMR to clinically relevant antibiotics. The identification of IED can be optimized by using a combination of clinical criteria (SIRS, SOFA, or qSOFA) and culture results.
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Antibacterianos , Farmacorresistencia Bacteriana , Infecciones por Escherichia coli , Escherichia coli , Humanos , Anciano , Estudios Prospectivos , Masculino , Femenino , Infecciones por Escherichia coli/microbiología , Infecciones por Escherichia coli/tratamiento farmacológico , Infecciones por Escherichia coli/epidemiología , Escherichia coli/efectos de los fármacos , Escherichia coli/aislamiento & purificación , Antibacterianos/farmacología , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Persona de Mediana Edad , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Invasive Escherichia coli disease (IED), also known as invasive extraintestinal pathogenic E. coli disease, is a leading cause of sepsis and bacteremia in older adults that can result in hospitalization and sometimes death and is frequently associated with antimicrobial resistance. Moreover, certain patient characteristics may increase the risk of developing IED. This study aimed to validate a machine learning approach for the unbiased identification of potential risk factors that correlate with an increased risk for IED. METHODS: Using electronic health records from 6.5 million people, an XGBoost model was trained to predict IED from 663 distinct patient features, and the most predictive features were identified as potential risk factors. Using Shapley Additive predictive values, the specific relationships between features and the outcome of developing IED were characterized. RESULTS: The model independently predicted that older age, a known risk factor for IED, increased the chance of developing IED. The model also predicted that a history of ≥ 1 urinary tract infection, as well as more frequent and/or more recent urinary tract infections, and ≥ 1 emergency department or inpatient visit increased the risk for IED. Outcomes were used to calculate risk ratios in selected subpopulations, demonstrating the impact of individual or combinations of features on the incidence of IED. CONCLUSION: This study illustrates the viability and validity of using large electronic health records datasets and machine learning to identify correlating features and potential risk factors for infectious diseases, including IED. The next step is the independent validation of potential risk factors using conventional methods.
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Infecciones por Escherichia coli , Aprendizaje Automático , Humanos , Infecciones por Escherichia coli/epidemiología , Infecciones por Escherichia coli/microbiología , Factores de Riesgo , Anciano , Femenino , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Escherichia coli/efectos de los fármacos , Escherichia coli/aislamiento & purificación , Escherichia coli/patogenicidad , Adulto , Infecciones Urinarias/microbiología , Infecciones Urinarias/epidemiología , Bacteriemia/microbiología , Bacteriemia/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Extraintestinal pathogenic Escherichia coli (ExPEC) is the leading cause of bacteremia worldwide, with older populations having increased risk of invasive bacterial disease. Increasing resistance to first-line antibiotics and emergence of multidrug-resistant (MDR) strains represent major treatment challenges. ExPEC O serotypes are key targets for potential multivalent conjugate vaccine development. Therefore, we evaluated the O serotype distribution and antibiotic resistance profiles of ExPEC strains causing bloodstream infections across 4 regions. METHODS: Blood culture isolates from patients aged ≥60 years collected during 5 retrospective E. coli surveillance studies in Europe, North America, Asia-Pacific, and South America (2011-2017) were analyzed. Isolates were O serotyped by agglutination; O genotyping was performed for nontypeable isolates. Antimicrobial susceptibility testing was also conducted. RESULTS: Among 3217 ExPEC blood culture isolates, the most ubiquitous O serotype was O25 (n = 737 [22.9%]), followed by O2, O6, O1, O75, O15, O8, O16, O4, O18, O77 group, O153, O9, O101/O162, O86, and O13 (prevalence of ≥1%). The prevalence of these O serotypes was generally consistent across regions, apart from South America; together, these 16 O serotypes represented 77.6% of all ExPEC bacteremia isolates analyzed. The overall MDR frequency was 10.7%, with limited variation between regions. Within the MDR subset (n = 345), O25 showed a dominant prevalence of 63.2% (n = 218). CONCLUSIONS: Predominant O serotypes among ExPEC bacteremia isolates are widespread across different regions. O25 was the most prevalent O serotype overall and particularly dominant among MDR isolates. These findings may inform the design of multivalent conjugate vaccines that can target the predominant O serotypes associated with invasive ExPEC disease in older adults.
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Bacteriemia , Infecciones por Escherichia coli , Escherichia coli Patógena Extraintestinal , Humanos , Anciano , Escherichia coli Patógena Extraintestinal/genética , Escherichia coli , Serogrupo , Estudios Retrospectivos , Infecciones por Escherichia coli/epidemiología , Infecciones por Escherichia coli/microbiología , Bacteriemia/epidemiología , Farmacorresistencia MicrobianaRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Invasive extraintestinal pathogenic Escherichia coli (ExPEC) disease (IED), characterised by sepsis and bacteraemia, is a major global healthcare concern worsened by emerging multidrug resistant (MDR) strains. The development of multivalent prophylactic vaccines targeting E. coli strains of IED-associated O-serotypes could address this. A better understanding of O-serotype distribution is required for this purpose. Here, we characterised O-serotype prevalence and drug resistance among ExPEC bacteraemia isolates in Japan. METHODS: E. coli blood isolates from patients aged ≥60 years with bacteraemia were obtained from a retrospective surveillance study in Japan (2015-2017). O-serotyping was performed by agglutination; for isolates non-typeable by agglutination, O-genotyping was performed. Antimicrobial susceptibility was evaluated by broth microdilution using a 21-antibiotic panel. The frequency of drug resistant (DR) isolates was evaluated by antimicrobial susceptibility testing. RESULTS: Of 401 ExPEC bacteraemia isolates evaluated, the most prevalent O-serotype (≥1%) was O25 (28.7% [n = 115]), followed by O1 (14.2% [n = 57]), O2 (8.5% n = 34]), O6 (5.5% [n = 22]), O75, O18, O13, O16, O15, O4, O46/O134, O86, O8 and O83 (each <5% prevalence). These 14 O-serotypes accounted for 81.5% of isolates collected. In total, 19% (n = 77) of isolates were DR ≥ 3, of which 59.7% were O25. Fluoroquinolone-resistance among all and O25 isolates was most prevalent (35.7% and 84.3%, respectively). Almost all (98%) isolates identified as O25 were of subtype O25B. CONCLUSIONS: E. coli serotype O25B showed the highest prevalence and highest multidrug resistance among ExPEC bacteraemia isolates from patients ≥60 years in Japan. Our data may inform development of multivalent glycoconjugate vaccines to prevent IED.
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Antiinfecciosos , Bacteriemia , Infecciones por Escherichia coli , Escherichia coli Patógena Extraintestinal , Vacunas , Bacteriemia/epidemiología , Farmacorresistencia Microbiana , Escherichia coli , Infecciones por Escherichia coli/tratamiento farmacológico , Infecciones por Escherichia coli/epidemiología , Escherichia coli Patógena Extraintestinal/genética , Humanos , Japón/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Serogrupo , SerotipificaciónRESUMEN
PURPOSE: Extraintestinal pathogenic Escherichia coli (ExPEC) are a leading cause of invasive infections in adults. The study aimed to evaluate the incidence of microbiologically confirmed invasive ExPEC disease in patients undergoing transrectal ultrasound-guided prostate needle biopsy (TRUS-PNB), O-serotype distribution and antibiotic resistance profiles of associated E. coli isolates. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Adult men (≥18 years) undergoing TRUS-PNB were enrolled. The TRUS-PNB procedure was performed according to local standard of care, including preferences of prophylactic antibiotics. Clinical and microbiological data were collected. RESULTS: Of the 4,951 patients (mean age 66.9 years) enrolled 4,935 (99.7%) underwent TRUS-PNB (95.1% received prophylactic antibiotics); 98.9% completed the study. Overall incidence of invasive ExPEC disease was 0.67% (33/4,935 patients; 95% CI 0.46-0.94); highest incidence was in the U.S. (0.97%, 14/1,446; 95% CI 0.53-1.62). Prevalence of the 10 selected O-serotypes O1, O2, O4, O6, O8, O15, O16, O18, O25 and O75 was 52.0% (95% CI 31.3-72.2). E. coli isolates showed highest resistance rates to levofloxacin and ciprofloxacin (76%; 95% CI 54.8-90.6 for both). Among fluoroquinolone-resistant ExPEC isolates, prevalence of the 10 selected O-serotypes was 60%. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides an estimate of microbiologically confirmed invasive ExPEC disease incidence following TRUS-PNB. Information on E. coli O-serotype distribution and associated antibiotic resistance profiles from invasive ExPEC disease cases in the first 30 days following TRUS-PNB may help guiding antibiotic use and inform development of a prophylactic ExPEC vaccine.
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Infecciones por Escherichia coli/epidemiología , Infecciones por Escherichia coli/microbiología , Escherichia coli Patógena Extraintestinal/aislamiento & purificación , Biopsia Guiada por Imagen , Próstata/patología , Ultrasonido Enfocado Transrectal de Alta Intensidad/métodos , Anciano , Profilaxis Antibiótica , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Pruebas de Sensibilidad Microbiana , Estudios Prospectivos , SerotipificaciónRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Despite newly approved treatments, metastatic melanoma remains a life-threatening condition. We aimed to evaluate the efficacy of the MAGE-A3 immunotherapeutic in patients with stage IIIB or IIIC melanoma in the adjuvant setting. METHODS: DERMA was a phase 3, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial done in 31 countries and 263 centres. Eligible patients were 18 years or older and had histologically proven, completely resected, stage IIIB or IIIC, MAGE-A3-positive cutaneous melanoma with macroscopic lymph node involvement and an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance score of 0 or 1. Randomisation and treatment allocation at the investigator sites were done centrally via the internet. We randomly assigned patients (2:1) to receive up to 13 intramuscular injections of recombinant MAGE-A3 with AS15 immunostimulant (MAGE-A3 immunotherapeutic; 300 µg MAGE-A3 antigen plus 420 µg CpG 7909 reconstituted in AS01B to a total volume of 0·5 mL), or placebo, over a 27-month period: five doses at 3-weekly intervals, followed by eight doses at 12-weekly intervals. The co-primary outcomes were disease-free survival in the overall population and in patients with a potentially predictive gene signature (GS-positive) identified previously and validated here via an adaptive signature design. The final analyses included all patients who had received at least one dose of study treatment; analyses for efficacy were in the as-randomised population and for safety were in the as-treated population. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00796445. FINDINGS: Between Dec 1, 2008, and Sept 19, 2011, 3914 patients were screened, 1391 randomly assigned, and 1345 started treatment (n=895 for MAGE-A3 and n=450 for placebo). At final analysis (data cutoff May 23, 2013), median follow-up was 28·0 months [IQR 23·3-35·5] in the MAGE-A3 group and 28·1 months [23·7-36·9] in the placebo group. Median disease-free survival was 11·0 months (95% CI 10·0-11·9) in the MAGE-A3 group and 11·2 months (8·6-14·1) in the placebo group (hazard ratio [HR] 1·01, 0·88-1·17, p=0·86). In the GS-positive population, median disease-free survival was 9·9 months (95% CI 5·7-17·6) in the MAGE-A3 group and 11·6 months (5·6-22·3) in the placebo group (HR 1·11, 0·83-1·49, p=0·48). Within the first 31 days of treatment, adverse events of grade 3 or worse were reported by 126 (14%) of 894 patients in the MAGE-A3 group and 56 (12%) of 450 patients in the placebo group, treatment-related adverse events of grade 3 or worse by 36 (4%) patients given MAGE-A3 vs six (1%) patients given placebo, and at least one serious adverse event by 14% of patients in both groups (129 patients given MAGE-A3 and 64 patients given placebo). The most common adverse events of grade 3 or worse were neoplasms (33 [4%] patients in the MAGE-A3 group vs 17 [4%] patients in the placebo group), general disorders and administration site conditions (25 [3%] for MAGE-A3 vs four [<1%] for placebo) and infections and infestations (17 [2%] for MAGE-A3 vs seven [2%] for placebo). No deaths were related to treatment. INTERPRETATION: An antigen-specific immunotherapeutic alone was not efficacious in this clinical setting. Based on these findings, development of the MAGE-A3 immunotherapeutic for use in melanoma has been stopped. FUNDING: GlaxoSmithKline Biologicals SA.
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Antígenos de Neoplasias/efectos de los fármacos , Inmunoconjugados/uso terapéutico , Inmunoterapia/métodos , Melanoma/tratamiento farmacológico , Proteínas de Neoplasias/efectos de los fármacos , Neoplasias Cutáneas/tratamiento farmacológico , Adulto , Anciano , Antígenos de Neoplasias/genética , Quimioterapia Adyuvante , Supervivencia sin Enfermedad , Método Doble Ciego , Femenino , Humanos , Inyecciones Intramusculares , Internacionalidad , Masculino , Melanoma/mortalidad , Melanoma/patología , Melanoma/cirugía , Persona de Mediana Edad , Invasividad Neoplásica/patología , Proteínas de Neoplasias/genética , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Pronóstico , Medición de Riesgo , Neoplasias Cutáneas/mortalidad , Neoplasias Cutáneas/patología , Neoplasias Cutáneas/cirugía , Análisis de Supervivencia , Resultado del Tratamiento , Melanoma Cutáneo MalignoRESUMEN
In this paper, we considered different methods to test the interaction between treatment and a potentially large number (p) of covariates in randomized clinical trials. The simplest approach was to fit univariate (marginal) models and to combine the univariate statistics or p-values (e.g., minimum p-value). Another possibility was to reduce the dimension of the covariates using the principal components (PCs) and to test the interaction between treatment and PCs. Finally, we considered the Goeman global test applied to the high-dimensional interaction matrix, adjusted for the main (treatment and covariates) effects. These tests can be used for personalized medicine to test if a large set of biomarkers can be useful to identify a subset of patients who may be more responsive to treatment. We evaluated the performance of these methods on simulated data and we applied them on data from two early phases oncology clinical trials.
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Modelos Estadísticos , Medicina de Precisión/métodos , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Biomarcadores/análisis , Simulación por Computador , HumanosRESUMEN
To evaluate a new therapy versus a control via a randomized, comparative clinical study or a series of trials, due to heterogeneity of the study patient population, a pre-specified, predictive enrichment procedure may be implemented to identify an "enrichable" subpopulation. For patients in this subpopulation, the therapy is expected to have a desirable overall risk-benefit profile. To develop and validate such a "therapy-diagnostic co-development" strategy, a three-step procedure may be conducted with three independent data sets from a series of similar studies or a single trial. At the first stage, we create various candidate scoring systems based on the baseline information of the patients via, for example, parametric models using the first data set. Each individual score reflects an anticipated average treatment difference for future patients who share similar baseline profiles. A large score indicates that these patients tend to benefit from the new therapy. At the second step, a potentially promising, enrichable subgroup is identified using the totality of evidence from these scoring systems. At the final stage, we validate such a selection via two-sample inference procedures for assessing the treatment effectiveness statistically and clinically with the third data set, the so-called holdout sample. When the study size is not large, one may combine the first two steps using a "cross-training-evaluation" process. Comprehensive numerical studies are conducted to investigate the operational characteristics of the proposed method. The entire enrichment procedure is illustrated with the data from a cardiovascular trial to evaluate a beta-blocker versus a placebo for treating chronic heart failure patients.
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Selección de Paciente , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Medición de Riesgo/estadística & datos numéricos , Terapéutica/normas , Antagonistas Adrenérgicos beta/uso terapéutico , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/tratamiento farmacológico , Simulación por Computador , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/tratamiento farmacológico , Humanos , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Tamaño de la Muestra , Análisis de Supervivencia , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
The safety, reactogenicity, and immunogenicity of 3 doses of ExPEC10V (VAC52416), a vaccine candidate to prevent invasive Escherichia coli disease, were assessed in a phase 1/2a study (NCT03819049). In Cohort 1, ExPEC10V was well tolerated; the high dose was selected as optimal and further characterized in Cohort 2. Cohort 2 comprised a maximum 28-day screening, vaccination (Day 1), double-blind 181-day follow-up, and open-label long-term follow-up until Year 1. Healthy participants (≥60 years) with a history of urinary tract infection (UTI) within 5 years were randomized to receive ExPEC10V or placebo. The primary endpoint evaluated the safety and reactogenicity of ExPEC10V (solicited local and systemic AEs [until Day 15]; unsolicited AEs [until Day 30], SAEs [until Day 181], and immunogenicity [Day 30]) via multiplex electrochemiluminescent (ECL) and multiplex opsonophagocytic assay (MOPA). 416 participants (ExPEC10V, n = 278; placebo, n = 138) were included (mean age [SD], 68.8 [6.52] years; female, 79.6%; White, 96.1%). The incidence of solicited AEs was higher with ExPEC10V (local, 50.0% [n = 139]; systemic, 50.0% [n = 139]) than placebo (15.9% [n = 22]; 38.4% [n = 53]); rates of unsolicited AEs were comparable (ExPEC10V, 28.4% [n = 79]; placebo, 26.1% [n = 36]). No vaccine-related SAEs or deaths were reported. ExPEC10V elicited a robust antibody-mediated immunogenic response across all serotypes with ECL (Day 30 geometric mean fold increase, 2.33-8.18) and demonstrated functional opsonophagocytic killing activity across all measured serotypes (Day 30 geometric mean fold increase, 1.81-9.68). ExPEC10V exhibited an acceptable safety profile and a robust vaccine-induced functional immunogenic response in participants with a history of UTI. Clinical trial registration details: https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT03819049 .
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INTRODUCTION: During the clinical development of a vaccine, study participants are monitored for the occurrence of adverse events (AEs) over a defined period post-vaccination to assess the safety of prophylactic vaccines. Among the safety data collected, a standard practice in prophylactic vaccine clinical trials involves collecting reactogenicity data through daily AE solicitation of pre-defined sets of symptoms (i.e. solicited AEs). AREAS COVERED: This paper aims to propose recommendations to improve and harmonize the collection of active AE solicitation in prophylactic vaccine clinical trials. EXPERT OPINION: We recommend using limited lists of solicited AEs adapted to the vaccine technology and target population. While the US Food and Drug Administration toxicity grading scale is commonly used in adolescents/adults, harmonizing grading criteria in infants/children would facilitate the comparison of vaccines' safety profiles. Solicited systemic AEs should not systematically be considered causally related to vaccination. Collection of solicited AEs should occur in cohorts of a maximum of 1,000 vaccinated participants, as larger cohort sizes do not improve substantially the precision of AE incidence. The incidence of daily solicited AEs should be compared with a control group for improved interpretations of their clinical relevance. These suggestions would improve the characterization of safety profiles of vaccines.
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Vacunas , Niño , Lactante , Adulto , Adolescente , Estados Unidos , Humanos , Vacunación/efectos adversos , United States Food and Drug Administration , IncidenciaRESUMEN
Background: ExPEC10V is a bioconjugate vaccine containing O-antigen polysaccharides of 10 extraintestinal pathogenic Escherichia coli (ExPEC) serotypes. This phase 1/2a study (NCT03819049) assessed the safety, reactogenicity, and immunogenicity of ExPEC10V (VAC52416) to prevent invasive E coli disease in elderly adults. Methods: The observer-blind, active-controlled design included a 28-day screening, vaccination, 181-day follow-up, and 1-year follow-up. Participants (60-85 years of age) were randomized to ExPEC10V low dose (antigen dose range, 4-8â µg), ExPEC10V medium dose (4-16â µg), or ExPEC10V high dose (8-16â µg); 4-valent ExPEC vaccine (ExPEC4V); or 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13). The incidence of adverse events (AEs; solicited, day 15; unsolicited, day 30; serious AEs, day 181) and immunogenicity (electrochemiluminescent-based assay [ECL] and multiplex opsonophagocytic assay [MOPA]) were assessed. Optimal ExPEC10V dose was determined from safety data through day 30 and an immunogenicity dose selection algorithm based on day 15 ECL and MOPA results. Results: A total of 416 participants were included (median age, 64.0 years; 54.8% female). The incidences of solicited local and systemic AEs were, respectively, 44.2% and 39.4% for low-dose, 52.9% and 46.1% for medium-dose, 57.7% and 45.2% for high-dose ExPEC10V, and 74.1% and 48.1% for PCV13. Five serious AEs, not vaccine related, were reported. The ECL revealed a robust antibody response to ExPEC10V through year 1. Opsonophagocytic killing activity was detected against all but serotype O8; this lack of response against serotype O8 was linked to low assay sensitivity. Based on the totality of data, high-dose ExPEC10V was considered optimal. Conclusions: ExPEC10V was well tolerated and immunogenic in elderly adults against all but serotype O8.
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Without clinical efficacy data, vaccine protective effect may be extrapolated from animals to humans using an immunologic marker that correlates with protection in animals. This immunobridging approach was used for the two-dose Ebola vaccine regimen Ad26.ZEBOV, MVA-BN-Filo. Ebola virus (EBOV) glycoprotein binding antibody data obtained from 764 vaccinated healthy adults in five clinical studies (NCT02416453, NCT02564523, NCT02509494, NCT02543567, NCT02543268) were used to calculate mean predicted survival probability (with preplanned 95% confidence interval [CI]). We used a logistic regression model based on EBOV glycoprotein binding antibody responses in vaccinated non-human primates (NHPs) and NHP survival after EBOV challenge. While the protective effect of the vaccine regimen in humans can be inferred in this fashion, the extrapolated survival probability cannot be directly translated into vaccine efficacy. The primary immunobridging analysis evaluated the lower limit of the CI against predefined success criterion of 20% and passed with mean predicted survival probability of 53.4% (95% CI: 36.7-67.4).
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INTRODUCTION: Ebola virus disease (EVD) continues to be a significant public health problem in sub-Saharan Africa, especially in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). Large-scale vaccination during outbreaks may reduce virus transmission. We established a large population-based clinical trial of a heterologous, two-dose prophylactic vaccine during an outbreak in eastern DRC to determine vaccine effectiveness. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This open-label, non-randomised, population-based trial enrolled eligible adults and children aged 1 year and above. Participants were offered the two-dose candidate EVD vaccine regimen VAC52150 (Ad26.ZEBOV, Modified Vaccinia Ankara (MVA)-BN-Filo), with the doses being given 56 days apart. After vaccination, serious adverse events (SAEs) were passively recorded until 1 month post dose 2. 1000 safety subset participants were telephoned at 1 month post dose 2 to collect SAEs. 500 pregnancy subset participants were contacted to collect SAEs at D7 and D21 post dose 1 and at D7, 1 month, 3 months and 6 months post dose 2, unless delivery was before these time points. The first 100 infants born to these women were given a clinical examination 3 months post delivery. Due to COVID-19 and temporary suspension of dose 2 vaccinations, at least 50 paediatric and 50 adult participants were enrolled into an immunogenicity subset to examine immune responses following a delayed second dose. Samples collected predose 2 and at 21 days post dose 2 will be tested using the Ebola viruses glycoprotein Filovirus Animal Non-Clinical Group ELISA. For qualitative research, in-depth interviews and focus group discussions were being conducted with participants or parents/care providers of paediatric participants. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Approved by Comité National d'Ethique et de la Santé du Ministère de la santé de RDC, Comité d'Ethique de l'Ecole de Santé Publique de l'Université de Kinshasa, the LSHTM Ethics Committee and the MSF Ethics Review Board. Findings will be presented to stakeholders and conferences. Study data will be made available for open access. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04152486.
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Vacunas contra el Virus del Ébola , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola , Adulto , COVID-19 , Niño , Ensayos Clínicos Fase III como Asunto , República Democrática del Congo/epidemiología , Vacunas contra el Virus del Ébola/efectos adversos , Femenino , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola/epidemiología , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola/prevención & control , Humanos , Esquemas de InmunizaciónRESUMEN
There is an increasing incidence of infectious complications caused by extraintestinal pathogenic Escherichia coli (ExPEC) after transrectal ultrasound-guided prostate needle biopsy (TRUS-PNB), and a need for prophylaxis methods effective against associated antibiotic-resistant organisms. We aimed to identify the O-serotypes of ExPEC isolates collected in a sample of 60 patients with invasive ExPEC disease (IED) after TRUS-PNB, by serotype-specific agglutination and polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assays. The prevalence of O-serotypes included in a tetravalent ExPEC vaccine was 38.3% by agglutination and 46.7% by PCR, while the prevalence of O-serotypes included in a decavalent vaccine was 58.3% and 73.3%, respectively. Therefore, compared to the tetravalent vaccine, the decavalent vaccine would theoretically provide coverage for serotypes carried by a higher proportion of circulating ExPEC in patients undergoing TRUS-PNB, including a high proportion of antibiotic-resistant organisms.
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Infecciones por Escherichia coli , Sepsis , Infecciones Urinarias , Sistema Urinario , Biopsia con Aguja , Escherichia coli , Humanos , Masculino , Próstata/diagnóstico por imagen , Ultrasonografía IntervencionalRESUMEN
PURPOSE: Immune components of the tumor microenvironment (TME) have been associated with disease outcome. We prospectively evaluated the association of an immune-related gene signature (GS) with clinical outcome in melanoma and non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) tumor samples from two phase III studies. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: The GS was prospectively validated using an adaptive signature design to optimize it for the sample type and technology used in phase III studies. One-third of the samples were used as "training set"; the remaining two thirds, constituting the "test set," were used for the prospective validation of the GS. RESULTS: In the melanoma training set, the expression level of eight Th1/IFNγ-related genes in tumor-positive lymph node tissue predicted the duration of disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in the placebo arm. This GS was prospectively and independently validated as prognostic in the test set. Building a multivariate Cox model in the test set placebo patients from clinical covariates and the GS score, an increased number of melanoma-involved lymph nodes and the GS were associated with DFS and OS. This GS was not associated with DFS in NSCLC, although expression of the Th1/IFNγ-related genes was associated with the presence of lymphocytes in tumor samples in both indications. CONCLUSIONS: These findings provide evidence that expression of Th1/IFNγ genes in the TME, as measured by this GS, is associated with clinical outcome in melanoma. This suggests that, using this GS, patients with stage IIIB/C melanoma can be classified into different risk groups.