RESUMEN
This study examines the variability in the impacts of factors influencing injury severity outcomes of elderly pedestrians (age >64) involved in vehicular crashes at intersections and non-intersections before, during, and after the COVID-19 pandemic. To account for unobserved heterogeneity in the crash data, a random parameters logit model with heterogeneity in the means approach is utilized to analyze vehicle-elderly pedestrian crash data from Seoul, South Korea, occurring between 2018 and 2022. Preliminary transferability tests revealed instability in factor impacts on injury severity outcomes, highlighting the need to estimate individual models across various road segments and time periods. Thus, the dataset was segregated by crash location (intersection/non-intersection) and period (before, during, and after COVID-19), with individual models estimated for each group. Results obtained from the analyses revealed that back injuries positively influenced fatalities at non-intersections after the pandemic and was negatively associated with fatalities at intersections before the pandemic. Additionally, several indicators demonstrated significant instability in their impact magnitudes across different road segments and crash years. During the pandemic, head injuries increased the probability of fatalities higher at non-intersections. After the pandemic, crosswalk locations decreased the possibility of fatalities more at intersections. Compared to intersection segments, the female indicator reduced the likelihood of fatal injuries at non-intersections more before, during, and after the pandemic. Before the pandemic, much older pedestrians experienced a greater decline in fatalities at intersections than non-intersections. This instability could be attributed to altered mobility patterns stemming from the COVID-19 pandemic. Overall, the study findings highlight the variability of determinants of fatal/severe injury outcomes among elderly pedestrians across various road segments and years, with the underlying cause of this fluctuation remaining unclear. Furthermore, the findings revealed that accounting for heterogeneity in the means of random parameters enhances model fit and provides valuable insights for safety professionals. The factor impact variability in the estimated models carries significant implications for elderly pedestrian safety, especially in scenarios where precise projections of the effects of alternative safety measures are essential. Road safety experts can leverage these findings to refine or update current policies to enhance elderly pedestrian safety at intersections and non-intersections.
Asunto(s)
Accidentes de Tránsito , COVID-19 , Peatones , Humanos , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/epidemiología , Accidentes de Tránsito/estadística & datos numéricos , Accidentes de Tránsito/mortalidad , Anciano , Peatones/estadística & datos numéricos , República de Corea/epidemiología , Heridas y Lesiones/epidemiología , Heridas y Lesiones/mortalidad , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano de 80 o más AñosRESUMEN
Personal Mobility Devices (PMDs) have witnessed an extraordinary surge in popularity, emerging as a favored mode of urban transportation. This has sparked significant safety concerns, paralleled by a stark increase in PMD-involved crashes. Research indicates that PMD user behavior, especially in urban areas, is crucial in these crashes, underscoring the need for an extensive investigation into key factors, particularly those causing fatal/severe outcomes. Remarkably, there exists a noticeable gap in the research concerning the analysis of determinants behind fatal/severe PMD crashes, specifically in PMD rider-at-fault collisions. This study addresses this gap by identifying uniform groups of PMD rider-at-fault crashes and investigating cluster-specific key factor associations and determinants of fatal/severe crash outcomes using Seoul's PMD rider-at-fault crash data from 2017 to 2021. A comprehensive two-step framework, integrating Cluster Correspondence Analysis (CCA) and Association Rules Mining (ARM) techniques is employed to segment PMD rider-at-fault crash data into homogeneous groups, revealing unique risk factor patterns within each cluster and further exploring the combination of factors associated with fatal/severe PMD rider-at-fault crash outcomes. CCA revealed three distinct groups: PMD-vehicle, PMD-pedestrian, and single-PMD crashes. From the ARM, it was found that fatal/severe crashes were linked to dry road conditions, male PMD users, and weekdays, irrespective of the cluster. Whereas speeding violations and side collisions were associated with fatal/severe PMD-vehicle rider-at-fault crashes, traffic control violations were related to fatal/severe PMD-pedestrian rider-at-fault crashes at pedestrian crossings. Unsafe riding practices predominantly caused single-PMD crashes during daytime hours. From the findings, engineering improvements, awareness campaigns, education, and law enforcement actions are recommended. The new insights gleaned from this research provide a foundation for informed decision-making and the implementation of policies designed to enhance PMD safety.
Asunto(s)
Accidentes de Tránsito , Minería de Datos , Masculino , Humanos , Análisis por Conglomerados , Escolaridad , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
The global adoption of e-scooters as a convenient mode of micro-mobility transportation is on the rise, offering a flexible solution for covering first- and last-mile journeys. However, this surge in usage brings challenges, particularly concerning road safety, as e-scooter riders often share road space with other vehicles, heightening the risk of serious accidents. While numerous studies have explored safe overtaking behaviors and safety perceptions from drivers' viewpoints, limited attention has been given to understanding the varying safety perceptions of both drivers and e-scooter riders, particularly after riding an e-scooter and being overtaken by their own vehicles. This research aims to bridge this gap by examining variations in safety perceptions and assessing behavioral changes before and after experiencing overtaking scenarios. Specifically, the study focuses on scenarios where an e-scooter rider experiences being overtaken by a vehicle they had previously driven. A Unity-based sequential simulation process is employed to replay scenarios obtained from a vehicle simulator during an e-scooter experiment involving the same participant without their awareness. This innovative approach allows e-scooter rider participants to relive their own prior vehicle overtaking maneuvers while riding an e-scooter. The findings reveal that most participants (64%) felt less safe as e-scooter riders, influenced by factors like relative speed and acceleration of overtaking vehicles. After experiencing being overtaken by their own pre-driven vehicles, a noteworthy positive correlation emerged between safety perception and lateral distance, indicating that greater distance is derived from a better understanding of e-scooter safety. The study demonstrates the effectiveness of the sequential simulation strategy in fostering safe driving behavior and raising road safety awareness. Experiencing overtaking behaviors firsthand as an e-scooter rider, previously behind the wheel of the overtaking vehicle, encourages a heightened awareness of road safety. These findings have significant implications for road safety authorities, suggesting the potential application of this approach in driver education programs. By incorporating such interventions tailored to improve the safety of vulnerable road users, authorities can take proactive steps towards mitigating risks associated with micro-mobility transportation.