Prediction of Acute COPD Exacerbation in the Swiss Multicenter COPD Cohort Study (TOPDOCS) by Clinical Parameters, Medication Use, and Immunological Biomarkers.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Whether immunological biomarkers combined with clinical characteristics measured during an exacerbation-free period are predictive of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) frequency and severity is unknown. METHOD: We measured immunological biomarkers and clinical characteristics in 271 stable chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients (67% male, mean age 63 years) from "The Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Outcomes Cohort of Switzerland" cohort on a single occasion. One-year follow-up data were available for 178 patients. Variables independently associated with AECOPD frequency and severity were identified by multivariable regression analyses. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to obtain optimal cutoff levels and measure the area under the curve (AUC) in order to assess if baseline data can be used to predict future AECOPD. RESULTS: Higher number of COPD medications (adjusted incident rate ratio [aIRR] 1.17) and platelet count (aIRR 1.03), and lower FEV1% predicted (aIRR 0.84) and IgG2 (aIRR 0.84) were independently associated with AECOPD frequency in the year before baseline. Optimal cutoff levels for experiencing frequent (>1) AECOPD were ≥3 COPD medications (AUC = 0.72), FEV1 ≤40% predicted (AUC = 0.72), and IgG2 ≤2.6 g/L (AUC = 0.64). The performance of a model using clinical and biomarker parameters to predict future, frequent AECOPD events in the same patients was fair (AUC = 0.78) but not superior to a model using only clinical parameters (AUC = 0.79). The IFN-lambda rs8099917GG-genotype was more prevalent in patients who had severe AECOPD. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical and biomarker parameters assessed at a single point in time correlated with the frequency of AECOPD events during the year before and the year after assessment. However, only clinical parameters had fair discriminatory power in identifying patients likely to experience frequent AECOPD.

Obstructive sleep apnoea and the progression of thoracic aortic aneurysm: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Obstructive sleep apnoea (OSA) is associated with an increased prevalence of aortic aneurysms and it has also been suggested that severe OSA furthers aneurysm expansion in the abdomen. We evaluated whether OSA is a risk factor for the progression of ascending thoracic aortic aneurysm (TAA). METHODS: Patients with TAA underwent yearly standardised echocardiographic measurements of the ascending aorta over 3 years and two level III sleep studies. The primary outcome was the expansion rate of TAA in relation to the apnoea-hypopnoea index (AHI). Secondary outcomes included surveillance for aortic events (composite end-points of rupture/dissection, elective surgery or death). RESULTS: Between July 2014 and March 2020, 230 patients (median age 70 years, 83.5% male) participated in the cohort. At baseline, 34.8% of patients had AHI ≥15 events·h-1. There was no association between TAA diameter and AHI at baseline. After 3 years, mean±sd expansion rates were 0.55±1.25 mm at the aortic sinus and 0.60±1.12 mm at the ascending aorta. In the regression analysis, after controlling for baseline diameter and cardiovascular risk factors, there was strong evidence for a positive association of TAA expansion with AHI (aortic sinus estimate 0.025 mm, 95% CI 0.009-0.040 mm; p<0.001 and ascending aorta estimate 0.026 mm, 95% CI 0.011-0.041 mm; p=0.001). 20 participants (8%) experienced an aortic event; however, there was no association with OSA severity. CONCLUSION: OSA may be a modest but independent risk factor for faster TAA expansion and thus potentially contributes to life-threatening complications in aortic disease.

Health Preference Measures in Patients with Obstructive Sleep Apnea Syndrome Undergoing Continuous Positive Airway Pressure Therapy: Data from a Randomized Trial.

BACKGROUND: In patients with obstructive sleep apnea syndrome (OSAS), the preference-based, health-related quality of life in terms of utility has not been extensively studied. OBJECTIVE: To address this point, we compared the performance of different instruments assessing utility in patients with OSAS undergoing continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) therapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data of 208 patients with OSAS (28 women, mean ± SE age 54.4 ± 0.7 years, apnea-hypopnea index (AHI) 51.9 ± 1.8/h, Epworth sleepiness score 13.4 ± 0.2) participating in a randomized trial of different CPAP modalities over 2 years were analyzed. Evaluations included sleep studies, Epworth sleepiness scale, and several utility instruments that measure subjective health preference on a scale ranging from 1 (most preferred and perfect health) to 0 (least preferred and very poor health). RESULTS: After 2 years of CPAP therapy, the mean ± SE AHI was 6.7 ± 1.5/h and Epworth score 7.9 ± 0.4, both p < 0.001 versus baseline. Baseline utilities and changes (95% confidence interval) after 2 years of CPAP therapy were EuroQol 5-dimensions 0.79 ± 0.01, 0.02 (0.00-0.05, p = 0.064); short-form 6-dimension medical outcome questionnaire 0.72 ± 0.01, 0.06 (0.04-0.08, p < 0.001); Euro-thermometer visual analog scale 0.70 ± 0.01, 0.09 (0.07-0.12, p < 0.001); time trade-off 0.82 ± 0.01, 0.03 (0.01-0.06, p = 0.002); and standard gamble 0.82 ± 0.01, -0.01 (-0.03 to 0.02, p = 0.712). CONCLUSION: The short-form 6-dimensions questionnaire, the Euro-thermometer, and the time trade-off instruments reflected the major clinical improvements in OSAS, while the EuroQoL 5-dimensions and standard gamble tests were not sensitive to CPAP effects. These results indicate that the evaluation of utility of a treatment for OSAS depends critically on the instrument used, which is important from an individual and societal perspective.

"Can do, don't do" are not the lazy ones: a longitudinal study on physical functioning in patients with COPD.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Reduced physical capacity (PC) and physical activity (PA) are common in COPD patients and associated with poor outcome. However, they represent different aspects of physical functioning and interventions do not affect them in the same manner. To address this, a new PC-PA quadrant concept was recently generated to identify clinical characteristics of sub-groups of physical functioning. The objective of this study was to I) proof the new concept and to verify their differentiating clinical characteristics, II) evaluate the consistency of the concept over time, III) assess whether patients changed their quadrant affiliation over time, IV) and to test if changes in quadrant affiliations are associated with changes in clinical characteristics. METHODS: In a longitudinal, prospective, non-interventional cohort with mild to very severe COPD patients, PC and PA as well as respiratory variables, COPD-specific health status, comorbidities, survival, and exacerbations were yearly assessed. RESULTS: Data from 283 patients were analysed at baseline. Mean (min/max) follow-up time was 2.4 (0.5/6.8) years. The PC-PA quadrants could be characterized as follows: I) "can't do, don't do": most severe and symptomatic, several comorbidities II) "can do, don't do": severe but less symptomatic, several comorbidities III) "can't do, do do": few patients, severe and symptomatic, less comorbidities IV) "can do, do do": mildest and less symptomatic, less comorbidities, lowest exacerbation frequency. Of the 172 patients with at least one follow-up, 58% patients never changed their quadrant affiliation, while 17% declined either PC, PA or both, 11% improved their PC, PA or both, and 14% showed improvement and decline in PC, PA or both during study period. None of the clinical characteristics or their annual changes showed consistent significant and relevant differences between all individual sub-groups. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that there are no clinical characteristics allowing to distinguish between the PC-PA quadrants and the concept seems not able to illustrate disease process. However, the already low PA but preserved PC in the "can do, don't do" quadrant raises the question if regularly assessment of PA in clinical practice would be more sensitive to detect progressive deterioration of COPD compared to the commonly used PC. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: www.ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01527773.

Handgrip Strength Seems Not to Be Affected by COPD Disease Progression: A Longitudinal Cohort Study.

Skeletal muscle dysfunction, functional exercise capacity impairment and reduced physical activity are characteristic features in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Assessments addressing muscle strength of the upper limb, such as measurement of handgrip strength (HGS), are rarely performed and reported. We aimed to analyze the course of HGS and possible predictors of changes in HGS over time in COPD. Yearly assessments of various disease markers were performed for a follow-up of up to seven years in a cohort of COPD patients to assess the longitudinal disease process. Data of 194 patients with at least one follow-up measurement were analyzed. HGS decreased significantly by B = -0.86 (95% CI -1.09/-0.62, p < 0.001) over time. The multivariate mixed effects model showed an independent association between greater annual declines in HGS and lower numbers of steps per day by B = 0.11 (95% CI 0.03/0.18, p = 0.006) and an enhanced change in COPD Assessment Test scores by B = -0.01 (95% CI -0.01/-0.00, p = 0.034). No evidence for an independent association between annual decline in HGS and FEV1% pred. by B = -0.01 (95% CI -0.03/0.01, p = 0.297) was shown. Patients who died during follow-up did not exhibit greater declines in HGS compared to survivors (p = 0.884). Although HGS significantly decreased over time, no pathophysiological link with COPD disease progression could be demonstrated. Previous cross-sectional associations between HGS and mortality could not be confirmed in this longitudinal setting. Our data suggests that repeated monitoring of HGS in clinical settings seems not to be helpful to predict COPD specific disease progression.

Autoadjusted versus fixed CPAP for obstructive sleep apnoea: a multicentre, randomised equivalence trial.

BACKGROUND: The obstructive sleep apnoea syndrome (OSAS) is conventionally treated by continuous positive airway pressure set at a fixed level (fCPAP). Automatic mask pressure adjustment (autoCPAP) is increasingly used during home therapy. We investigated whether autoCPAP is equivalent to fCPAP in improving sleepiness in patients with OSAS in the long-term. METHODS: In this multicentre equivalence trial, 208 patients with OSAS, with median Epworth sleepiness score (ESS) 13, apnoea/hypopnoea index 48.4/hour, were randomised to treatment with autoCPAP (5-15 mbar) or fCPAP (pressure set at the 90th percentile applied by autoCPAP during 2-4 weeks adaptation). Coprimary outcomes were changes in subjective and objective sleepiness from baseline to 2 years after treatment. Equivalence ranges were ±2 points in ESS and ±3 min sleep resistance time evaluated by recording responses to light signals. RESULTS: At 2 years, in the intention to treat analysis, the reduction in sleepiness versus pretreatment baseline was similar in patients using autoCPAP (n=113, mean ESS-change -6.3, 95% CI -7.1 to -5.5; sleep resistance time +8.3 min, +6.9 to +9.7) and fCPAP (n=95, mean ESS-change -6.2, 95% CI -7.0 to -5.3; sleep resistance time +6.3 min, +4.7 to +7.8). The 95% CI of difference in ESS-reduction between autoCPAP and fCPAP was -0.9 to +1.4 and the 95% CI of difference in increase in sleep resistance time was -2.6 to +1.0 min. Blood pressure reduction and OSAS-related costs were similar between groups. CONCLUSIONS: AutoCPAP and fCPAP are equivalent within prespecified ranges in improving subjective and objective sleepiness in patients with OSAS over the course of 2 years. Costs of these treatments are similar. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00280800.

Diagnosis, Prevention and Treatment of Stable COPD and Acute Exacerbations of COPD: The Swiss Recommendations 2018.

The Swiss National Guidelines 2013 for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease have been revised in order to acknowledge recent progress in diagnosis and management of this disease. The resulting new Swiss recommendations are based on best evidence from the literature, the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) 2018 report and other published national guidelines. Misdiagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease is common and means that patients do not always receive optimal treatment. To improve the management of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Switzerland, these recommendations encourage a more comprehensive assessment of patients, based on the combined assessment of symptoms, degree of airflow limitation, risk of exacerbation and the presence of comorbidities. Recommendations for evidence-based preventive measures, as well as pharmacological and non-pharmacological strategies for the management of both stable and acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease are provided in this update.

Determinants of annual change in physical activity in COPD.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Daily physical activity (PA) is reduced in patients with COPD. Previous cross-sectional analyses indicate various predictors for a low level of PA including airway obstruction, exacerbations and co-morbidities. However, information from longitudinal studies evaluating PA in the context of disease progression, survival and co-morbidities is scant. METHODS: In a heterogeneous cohort of COPD patients, we annually assessed the number of steps per day over 1 week and potential determinants including lung function, exacerbations and co-morbidities. Univariable and multivariable mixed effect models were used to investigate associations between the change in steps per day (dependent variable) and possible predictors and their annual changes. RESULTS: A total of 177 COPD patients (46% GOLD (Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease) stage 1/2, 38% stage 3 and 16% stage 4) with a mean (min/max) follow-up time of 2.7 (1/5) years were annually assessed. The number of steps per day decreased significantly over time (P < 0.001) with a mean annual change of -508 steps. The decrease in activity was significantly associated with forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1 ) % predicted (P = 0.020) but not with annual changes in FEV1 . Hyperinflation, exacerbations, co-morbidities and their annual changes, and survival did not significantly affect change in PA. CONCLUSION: COPD patients have a substantial decrease of PA over time. This decrease seems to be determined by the degree of airflow limitation. However, patients with a greater annual decline in lung function did not show a greater decrease in PA. The rate of decline in PA did not differ between survivors and non-survivors in this cohort.

Precapillary Pulmonary Hypertension and Sleep-Disordered Breathing: Is There a Link?

Among patients with sleep apnea the reported prevalence of precapillary pulmonary hypertension (PH) has varied largely, depending on patient selection, disease definition, and associated conditions, in particular chronic pulmonary disease. However, in the absence of comorbidities, PH seems to be rare in patients with sleep apnea. Conversely, sleep-related breathing disorders have been commonly found in patients with PH and they have been associated with an impaired quality of life. Since sleep-related breathing disorders may affect the pulmonary circulation and vice versa, patients with sleep-related breathing disorders should be evaluated for risk factors, symptoms and clinical signs of PH and right ventricular heart failure and patients with PH should be evaluated for sleep apnea. Therapeutic options for patients with sleep apnea and PH may include supplemental oxygen, drugs and positive pressure ventilation. Both nocturnal oxygen administration and acetazolamide have been shown to improve sleep apnea in patients with PH. In addition, oxygen therapy also improved exercise performance. Further studies are needed to corroborate the efficacy of these and other treatments.

Treatment of COPD Exacerbation in Switzerland: Results and Recommendations of the European COPD Audit.

BACKGROUND: The European COPD Audit initiated by the European Respiratory Society (ERS) evaluated the management of hospital admissions due to exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in several European countries. Data on the treatment of severe acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPDs) in Switzerland are scarce. OBJECTIVES: In light of the GOLD 2010 guidelines, this work aims to examine the quality of care for AECOPD and to provide specific recommendations for the management of severe AECOPD in Switzerland. METHODS: A total of 295 patients requiring hospital admission to 19 Swiss hospitals due to exacerbation of COPD during a predefined 60 days in 2011 were included in the study. We compared the Swiss data to the official GOLD 2010 recommendations and to the results of the other European countries. RESULTS: Approximately 43% of the Swiss patients with severe AECOPD were current smokers at hospital admission, compared to 33% of the patients in other European countries (p < 0.001). In Switzerland and in Europe, spirometry data were not available for most patients at hospital admission (65 and 60%, respectively; p = 0.08). In comparison to other European countries, antibiotics were prescribed 14% less often in Switzerland (p < 0.001). Only 79% of the patients in the Swiss cohort received treatment with a short-acting bronchodilator at admission. CONCLUSIONS: Considering the overall high standard of health care in Switzerland, in light of the GOLD 2010 guidelines we are able to make 7 recommendations to improve and standardize the management of severe AECOPD for patients treated in Switzerland.

Impact of comorbidities on physical activity in COPD.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Both comorbidities and physical inactivity have been shown to impair quality of life and contribute to hospital admissions and mortality in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients. We hypothesized that the comorbid status predicts the level of daily physical activity (PA) in COPD. METHODS: In 228 patients with COPD (76% men; median (quartiles) age: 64 (59/69) years; percentage of predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1 % pred): 44 (31/63)), comorbidities were assessed by medical history, clinical interviews, examination and blood analysis. PA level (PAL) was measured by an activity monitor (SenseWear Pro, Bodymedia Inc., Pittsburgh, PA, USA). The association between PAL and comorbidities was investigated by univariate and multivariate regression analysis. RESULTS: Seventy-nine percent of the COPD patients had at least one additional chronic comorbidity, 56% had two or more comorbidities and 35% had three or more comorbidities. In univariate analysis body mass index, the number of pack years and having at least one additional comorbidity was negatively associated with PAL while there was a positive nonlinear association between FEV1 and PAL. The presence of at least one additional comorbidity was independently associated with PAL irrespective of airflow limitation. CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort, almost 80% of COPD patients had at least one additional chronic comorbidity. The level of daily PA seems to be significantly impaired by the presence of comorbidities irrespective of the type of comorbidity and independent of the degree of airflow limitation. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT01527773 at http://www.clinicalTrials.gov.

The ADO index as a predictor of two-year mortality in general practice-based chronic obstructive pulmonary disease cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Existing prediction models for mortality in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients have not yet been validated in primary care, which is where the majority of patients receive care. OBJECTIVES: Our aim was to validate the ADO (age, dyspnoea, airflow obstruction) index as a predictor of 2-year mortality in 2 general practice-based COPD cohorts. METHODS: Six hundred and forty-six patients with COPD with GOLD (Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease) stages I-IV were enrolled by their general practitioners and followed for 2 years. The ADO regression equation was used to predict a 2-year risk of all-cause mortality in each patient and this risk was compared with the observed 2-year mortality. Discrimination and calibration were assessed as well as the strength of association between the 15-point ADO score and the observed 2-year all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Fifty-two (8.1%) patients died during the 2-year follow-up period. Discrimination with the ADO index was excellent with an area under the curve of 0.78 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.71-0.84]. Overall, the predicted and observed risks matched well and visual inspection revealed no important differences between them across 10 risk classes (p = 0.68). The odds ratio for death per point increase according to the ADO index was 1.50 (95% CI 1.31-1.71). CONCLUSIONS: The ADO index showed excellent prediction properties in an out-of-population validation carried out in COPD patients from primary care settings.

Impact of shift work and other work-related factors on anti-SARS-CoV-2 spike-protein serum concentrations in healthcare workers after primary mRNA vaccination - a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Knowing whether shift work negatively affects the immune system's response to COVID-19 vaccinations could be valuable for planning future vaccination campaigns for healthcare workers. We aimed to determine the impact of working late or night shifts on serum anti-SARS-CoV-2 spike protein immunoglobulin G (anti-S) antibody levels after primary SARS-CoV-2-mRNA vaccination. METHODS: To obtain detailed information on shift work, we sent a separate online questionnaire to 1475 eligible healthcare workers who participated in a prospective longitudinal study conducted in 15 healthcare institutions in Switzerland. We asked all vaccinated healthcare workers with available anti-S antibody levels after vaccination to complete a brief online survey on their working schedules within one week before and after primary mRNA vaccination. We used multivariate regression to evaluate the association between work shifts around primary vaccination and anti-S antibody levels. We adjusted for confounders already known to influence vaccine efficacy (e.g. age, sex, immunosuppression, and obesity) and for variables significant at the 0.05 alpha level in the univariate analyses. RESULTS: The survey response rate was 43% (n = 638). Ninety-eight responders were excluded due to unknown vaccination dates, different vaccines, or administration of the second dose shortly (within 14 days) after or before serologic follow-up. Of the 540 healthcare workers included in our analysis, 175 (32.4%) had worked at least one late or night shift within seven days before and/or after primary vaccination. In the univariate analyses, working late or night shifts was associated with a nonsignificant -15.1% decrease in serum anti-S antibody levels (p = 0.090). In the multivariate analysis, prior infection (197.2% increase; p <0.001) and immunisation with the mRNA-1273 vaccine (63.7% increase compared to the BNT162b2 vaccine; p <0.001) were the strongest independent factors associated with increased anti-S antibody levels. However, the impact of shift work remained statistically nonsignificant (-13.5%, p = 0.108). CONCLUSION: Working late or night shifts shortly before or after mRNA vaccination against COVID-19 does not appear to significantly impact serum anti-S antibody levels. This result merits consideration since it supports flexible vaccination appointments for healthcare workers, including those working late or night shifts.

Determinants of endothelial function in patients with COPD.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is associated with increased cardiovascular mortality. Endothelial dysfunction may underpin this association. This cross-sectional study aimed to determine the impact of airflow obstruction, systemic inflammation, oxidative stress, sympathetic activation, hypoxaemia and physical activity on endothelial function in COPD. In stable COPD patients, assessments of endothelial function by flow-mediated dilatation (FMD), cardiovascular risk (Pocock score), airflow obstruction (forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1)), systemic inflammation (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and interleukin-6), oxidative stress (malondialdehyde), sympathetic activation (baroreflex sensitivity), hypoxaemia (arterial oxygen tension), hypercapnia (arterial carbon dioxide tension (PaCO2)), physical activity (steps per day) and exercise capacity (6-min walking distance) were performed. Associations between FMD and potential determinants were assessed in univariate and multivariate analyses. 106 patients (Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease stage I/II 35%, stage III 25% and stage IV 40%) were included. In multivariate analysis FEV1 was positively associated with FMD, independent of other significant FMD determinants from univariate analysis (sex, smoking, combined inhaled long-acting ß-adrenergic and steroid medication, heart rate, baroreflex sensitivity and PaCO2) and adjusted for potential confounders (cardiovascular risk and age). In addition, the FMD and FEV1 association was modified by physical activity. The findings of this study demonstrate that the severity of airflow obstruction is a significant determinant of endothelial function in patients with COPD. A high level of physical activity seems to have a favourable effect on this association.

[Fallacies in arterial blood gas interpretation]. / Stolpersteine bei der Beurteilung der arteriellen Blutgase.

The arterial blood gas analysis (ABGA) is a valuable diagnostic tool in daily clinical practice. It yields information about oxygenation, ventilation and acid-base status. ABGAs should always be interpreted within a clinical context. If a result is absolutely not compatible with a clinical situation, the probe should be repeated or prompt further differential diagnoses. A probe should be free of air bubbles and be rapidly proceeded in the laboratory. Body temperature and fraction of inspired oxygen are mandatory prerequisites for adequate interpretation. With CO-oximetry, not only oxygenated hemoglobin but also carboxihemoglobin and met-hemoglobin content can be measured in the case of a suspected intoxication. For the assessment of ventilation, PaCO2 must be interpreted in the context of PaO2, as already a "normal value" of PaCO2 may indicate severe ventilator failure in a patient with hypoxemia. A normal pH does not exclude acid-base disorders, PaCO2 and bicarbonate must also be taken into account. When FIO2 is changed, steady state conditions must be awaited before a next control especially in the case of ventilation-perfusion mismatch, e. g. in COPD, pneumonia, pulmonary embolism. In a hypoxic state, immediate application of oxygen is warranted, in hypercapnia, ventilation should be increased. In acid-base disorders, treatment of the underlying disease is most often conducive.

Are Predictors for Overall Mortality in COPD Patients Robust over Time?

(1) Background: Mortality is a major outcome in research on chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) with various predictors described. However, the dynamic courses of important predictors over time are disregarded. This study evaluates if longitudinal assessment of predictors provides additional information on the mortality risk in COPD when compared with a cross-sectional analysis.; (2) In a longitudinal, prospective, non-interventional cohort study including mild to very severe COPD patients, mortality and its various possible predictors were annually assessed up to seven years.; (3) Results: 297 patients were analysed. Mean (SD) age was 62.5 (7.6) years and 66% males. Mean (SD) FEV1 was 48.8 (21.4)%. A total of 105 events (35.4%) happened with a median (95% CI) survival time of 8.2 (7.2/NA) years. No evidence for a difference between the raw variable and the variable history on the predictive value for all tested variables over each visit was found. There was no evidence for changing effect estimates (coefficients) across the study visits due to the longitudinal assessment; (4) Conclusions: We found no evidence that predictors of mortality in COPD are time dependent. This implies that cross-sectional measured predictors show robust effect estimates over time and multiple assessments seem not to change the predictive value of the measure.

Clinical characteristics governing treatment adjustment in COPD patients: results from the Swiss COPD cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a widespread chronic disease characterised by irreversible airway obstruction [1]. Features of clinical practice and healthcare systems for COPD patients can vary widely, even within similar healthcare structures. The Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) strategy is considered the most reliable guidance for the management of COPD and aims to provide treating physicians with appropriate insight into the disease. COPD treatment adaptation typically mirrors the suggestions within the GOLD guidelines, depending on how the patient has been categorised. However, the present study posits that the reasons for adjusting COPD-related treatment are hugely varied. OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to assess the clinical symptoms that govern both pharmacological and non-pharmacological treatment changes in COPD patients. Using this insight, the study offers suggestions for optimising COPD management through the implementation of GOLD guidelines. METHODS: In this observational cohort study, 24 general practitioners screened 260 COPD patients for eligibility from 2015-2019. General practitioners were asked to collect general information from patients using a standardised questionnaire to document symptoms. During a follow-up visit, the patient's symptoms and changes in therapy were assessed and entered into a central electronic database. Sixty-five patients were removed from the analysis due to exclusion criteria, and 195 patients with at least one additional visit within one year of the baseline visit were included in the analysis. A change in therapy was defined as a change in either medication or non-medical treatment, such as pulmonary rehabilitation. Multivariable mixed models were used to identify associations between given symptoms and a step up in therapy, a step down, or a step up and a step down at the same time. RESULTS: For the 195 patients included in analyses, a treatment adjustment was made during 28% of visits. In 49% of these adjustments, the change in therapy was a step up, in 33% a step down and in 18% a step up (an increase) of certain treatment factors and a step down (a reduction) of other prescribed treatments at the same time. In the multivariable analysis, we found that the severity of disease was linked to the probability of therapy adjustment: patients in GOLD Group C were more likely to experience an increase in therapy compared to patients in GOLD Group A (odds ratio [OR] 3.43 [95% confidence interval {CI}: 1.02-11.55; p = 0.135]). In addition, compared to patients with mild obstruction, patients with severe (OR 4.24 [95% CI: 1.88-9.56]) to very severe (OR 5.48 [95% CI: 1.31-22.96]) obstruction were more likely to experience a therapy increase (p <0.0001). Patients with comorbidities were less likely to experience a treatment increase than those without (OR 0.42 [95% CI: 0.24-0.73; p = 0.002]). A therapy decrease was associated with both a unit increase in COPD Assessment Test (CAT) score (OR 1.07 [95% CI: 1.01-1.14; p = 0.014]) and having experienced an exacerbation (OR 2.66 [95% CI: 1.01-6.97; p = 0.047]). The combination of steps up as well as steps down in therapy was predicted by exacerbation (OR 8.93 [95% CI: 1.16-68.28; p = 0.035]) and very severe obstruction (OR 589 [95% CI: 2.72 - >999; p = 0.109]). CONCLUSIONS: This cohort study provides insight into the management of patients with COPD in a primary care setting. COPD Group C and airflow limitation GOLD 3-4 were both associated with an increase in COPD treatment. In patients with comorbidities, there were often no treatment changes. Exacerbations did not make therapy increases more probable. The presence of neither cough/sputum nor high CAT scores was associated with a step up in treatment.

Adherence to the GOLD Guidelines in Primary Care: Data from the Swiss COPD Cohort.

(1) Introduction: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and its associated morbidity and mortality are a global burden on both affected patients and healthcare systems. The Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) issues guidelines with the aim of improving COPD management. Previous studies reported significant variability in adherence to these recommendations. The objective of this study was to evaluate Swiss primary practitioners' adherence to the GOLD guidelines for the pharmacological treatment of stable COPD. (2) Methods: We studied patients who were included in the Swiss COPD cohort study, an ongoing prospective study in a primary care setting, between 2015 and 2022. The key inclusion criteria are age ≥ 40 years, FEV1/FVC ratio < 70%, and a smoking history of at least 20 pack-years. Adherence to the GOLD guidelines was assessed per visit and over time. (3) Results: The data of 225 COPD patients (mean age 67 ± 9 years, 64% male) and their respective 1163 visits were analyzed. In 65% of visits (726/1121), treatment was prescribed according to the GOLD guidelines. Non-adherence was most common in GOLD groups A and B (64% and 33%) and mainly consisted of over-treatment (two long-acting bronchodilators in group A (98/195, 50%) and ICS in groups A (21/195, 11%) and B (198/808, 25%)). In group D, the prescriptions conformed with the guidelines in 99% of cases (109/108). Guideline adherence was associated with high symptom load (COPD Assessment Test) (OR 1.04, p = 0.002), high number of exacerbations (OR = 2.07, p < 0.001), asthma overlap (OR 3.36, p = 0.049), and diabetes mellitus (OR 2.82, p = 0.045). (4) Conclusion: These results confirm a conflict between the GOLD recommendations and primary practice, mainly concerning over-treatment in GOLD groups A and B. Patients with high symptom load, high exacerbation risk, asthma overlap, and diabetes mellitus are more likely to be treated in conformity with the guidelines. Further research is needed to uncover the reasons for the discrepancies and to design strategies for improvement.

Risk Factors for Recurrent Exacerbations in the General-Practitioner-Based Swiss Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) often suffer from acute exacerbations. Our objective was to describe recurrent exacerbations in a GP-based Swiss COPD cohort and develop a statistical model for predicting exacerbation. METHODS: COPD cohort demographic and medical data were recorded for 24 months, by means of a questionnaire-based COPD cohort. The data were split into training (75%) and validation (25%) datasets. A negative binomial regression model was developed using the training dataset to predict the exacerbation rate within 1 year. An exacerbation prediction model was developed, and its overall performance was validated. A nomogram was created to facilitate the clinical use of the model. RESULTS: Of the 229 COPD patients analyzed, 77% of the patients did not experience exacerbation during the follow-up. The best subset in the training dataset revealed that lower forced expiratory volume, high scores on the MRC dyspnea scale, exacerbation history, and being on a combination therapy of LABA + ICS (long-acting beta-agonists + Inhaled Corticosteroids) or LAMA + LABA (Long-acting muscarinic receptor antagonists + long-acting beta-agonists) at baseline were associated with a higher rate of exacerbation. When validated, the area-under-curve (AUC) value was 0.75 for one or more exacerbations. The calibration was accurate (0.34 predicted exacerbations vs 0.28 observed exacerbations). CONCLUSION: Nomograms built from these models can assist clinicians in the decision-making process of COPD care.