Findings from a pilot open-label trial of N-acetylcysteine for the treatment of pediatric mania and hypomania.

BACKGROUND: Pediatric bipolar disorder is a highly prevalent and morbid disorder and is considered a prevalent public health concern. Currently approved treatments often pose the risk of serious side effects. Therefore, this study assessed the efficacy and tolerability of N-acetylcysteine (NAC), in children and adolescents with bipolar spectrum disorder. METHODS: We conducted a 12-week open-label trial of NAC for treatment of mania and hypomania in children and adolescents ages 5-17 with bipolar spectrum disorder including participants with full and subthreshold manic symptoms, accepting those with and without mixed states with co-occurring depression, and Young Mania Rating Scale scores ≥ 20 and < 40. Symptoms of mania and depression were assessed using the Young Mania Rating Scale (YMRS), Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HDRS), Children's Depression Rating Scale (CDRS), and Clinical Global Impression (CGI) Severity (CGI-S) and Improvement (CGI-I) scales for mania and depression. RESULTS: This study had a high drop-out rate with only 53% completing all 12 weeks. There was a significant reduction in YMRS, HDRS, and CDRS mean scores from baseline to endpoint. Of the 24 exposed participants, 54% had an anti-manic response measured by a reduction in YMRS ≥ 30% and 46% had a CGI-I mania score ≤ 2 at endpoint. Additionally, 62% of participants had an anti-depressive response measured by a reduction in HDRS ≥ 30%, 31% had an anti-depressive response measured by a reduction in CDRS ≥ 30%, and 38% had a CGI-I depression score ≤ 2 at endpoint. CONCLUSIONS: These pilot open-label findings in a small sample provide preliminary data supporting the tolerability and safety of NAC in a pediatric population. The findings of this pilot scale study indicating improvement in mania and depression are promising, but require replication with a monotherapy randomized placebo controlled clinical trial and larger sample. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02357290 . First Registration 06/02/2015.

Does L-Methylfolate Supplement Methylphenidate Pharmacotherapy in Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder?: Evidence of Lack of Benefit From a Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled, Randomized Clinical Trial.

PURPOSE/BACKGROUND: Interventions for attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) may be inadequate for some patients. There is evidence that supplementation with L-methylfolate augments antidepressant agent effects and thus might also augment ADHD treatment effects by a common catecholaminergic mechanism. METHODS: Forty-four adults with Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition diagnosis of ADHD participated in a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, 12-week trial of 15 mg of L-methylfolate in combination with osmotic-release oral system methylphenidate. Osmotic-release oral system methylphenidate was dose optimized over the first 6 weeks. We evaluated the effects on ADHD symptoms, self-report on the Behavior Rating Inventory of Executive Function of executive function, methylphenidate dosing, neuropsychological test measures, the Adult ADHD Self-report scale, emotional dysregulation, social adjustment, and work productivity, as well as moderating effects of body mass index, autoantibodies to folate receptors, and select genetic polymorphisms. RESULTS: L-Methylfolate was well tolerated, with no significant effect over placebo except improvement from abnormal measures on the mean adaptive dimension of the ASR scale (χ = 4.36, P = 0.04). Methylphenidate dosing was significantly higher in individuals on L-methylfolate over time (χ = 7.35, P = 0.007). Exploratory analyses suggested that variation in a guanosine triphosphate cyclohydrolase gene predicted association with higher doses of methylphenidate (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: L-Methylfolate was associated with no change in efficacy on measures relevant to neuropsychiatric function in adults with ADHD, other than suggestion of reduced efficacy of methylphenidate. Further investigation would be required to confirm this effect and its mechanism and the genotype prediction of effects on dosing.

Effects of transcranial photobiomodulation with near-infrared light on sexual dysfunction.

OBJECTIVES: Transcranial photobiomodulation (t-PBM) consists of the delivery of near-infrared (NIR) or red light to the scalp designed to penetrate to subjacent cortical areas of the brain. NIR t-PBM has recently emerged as a potential therapy for brain disorders. This study assessed the efficacy of repeated sessions of NIR t-PBM on sexual dysfunction. METHODS: We performed a secondary analysis of a double-blind clinical trial on t-PBM for major depressive disorder (MDD). Twenty individuals received NIR t-PBM (n = 9) or sham therapy (n = 11) twice a week for 8 weeks. Sexual desire, arousal, and orgasm were assessed using the Systematic Assessment for Treatment-Emergent Effects-Specific Inquiry (SAFTEE-SI). RESULTS: The mean improvement in sexual function (decrease in SAFTEE sex total score) in subjects receiving t-PBM in NIR-mode was significantly greater than in subjects receiving sham-mode in the whole sample (NIR [n = 9] -2.55 ± 1.88 vs. sham [n = 11] -0.45 ± 1.21; z = 2.548, P = 0.011]) and in the completers (NIR [n = 5] -3.4 ± 1.95 vs. sham [n = 7] -0.14 ± 1.21; z = 2.576, P = 0.010]). CONCLUSION: This exploratory study with a small sample size indicates that repeated sessions of NIR t-PBM may be associated with therapeutic effects on sexual dysfunction. The latter appeared unrelated to the antidepressant effect of t-PBM in our cohort. Lasers Surg. Med. 51:127-135, 2019. © 2018 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Subsyndromal Manifestations of Depression in Children Predict the Development of Major Depression.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the utility of assessing subsyndromal symptoms of major depressive disorder in childhood, indexed through the Child Behavior Checklist (CBCL) anxiety/depression scale, in predicting risk of developing major depressive disorder in adolescent and young adult years. STUDY DESIGN: The sample consisted of 537 children, 6-17 years of age, originally ascertained for a longitudinal family genetic study of youth with and without attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder and their first-degree relatives who were followed prospectively and blindly for 10 years from childhood into young adult years. Children with full diagnosis major depressive disorder at baseline were excluded. For analysis, the sample was stratified into 4 groups based on the presence or absence of parental mood disorders and by the presence or absence of subsyndromal scores on the CBCL anxiety/depression scale at baseline assessment in childhood. RESULTS: Children of parents with mood disorders plus subsyndromal scores on the CBCL anxiety/depression scale at baseline (n = 22) had the highest risk for developing major depressive disorder and anxiety disorders at the 10-year follow-up when compared with the other groups. Children with either subsyndromal scores on the CBCL anxiety/depression scale at baseline alone (n = 22) or parental mood disorders alone (n = 172) had intermediate outcomes. CONCLUSION: The CBCL anxiety/depression scale was useful in identifying children at high risk for the development of major depressive disorder and anxiety disorders at the 10-year prospective follow-up. Furthermore, our results emphasized the importance of familial psychiatric history in youth with subthreshold symptoms of depression. Parental mood disorder and subthreshold anxiety/depressive symptoms were predictive of developing depression.

Impaired Frontal-Limbic White Matter Maturation in Children at Risk for Major Depression.

Depression is among the most common neuropsychiatric disorders. It remains unclear whether brain abnormalities associated with depression reflect the pathological state of the disease or neurobiological traits predisposing individuals to depression. Parental history of depression is a risk factor that more than triples the risk of depression. We compared white matter (WM) microstructure cross-sectionally in 40 children ages 8-14 with versus without parental history of depression (At-Risk vs. Control). There were significant differences in age-related changes of fractional anisotropy (FA) between the groups, localized in the anterior fronto-limbic WM pathways, including the anterior cingulum and the genu of the corpus callosum. Control children exhibited typical increasing FA with age, whereas At-Risk children exhibited atypical decreasing FA with age in these fronto-limbic regions. Furthermore, dorsal cingulate FA significantly correlated with depressive symptoms for At-Risk children. The results suggest maturational WM microstructure differences in mood-regulatory neurocircuitry that may contribute to neurodevelopmental risk for depression. The study provides new insights into neurodevelopmental susceptibility to depression and related disabilities that may promote early preventive intervention approaches.

Parental posttraumatic stress and child behavioral problems in world trade center responders.

BACKGROUND: We investigated trans-generational associations between Post Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) symptoms in World Trade Center (WTC) responders and behavioral problems in their children. METHODS: Participants were WTC responders-8034 police and 8352 non-traditional (eg, construction workers)-with one or more children at the time of their first visit to the World Trade Center Health Program (WTC-HP). Self-report questionnaires were administered approximately 4 years after the 9/11 WTC attack. RESULTS: A total of 31.4% of non-traditional and 20.0% of police responders reported behavioral problems in their children. Non-traditional responder status, female sex, Hispanic ethnicity, more life stressors, more WTC-related PTSD symptoms, and dysphoric arousal symptoms were significant correlates of behavioral problems in responders' children. CONCLUSIONS: Specific parental sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical characteristics, as well as PTSD symptom severity, were significant correlates of child behavior problems. Findings encourage monitoring and early intervention for children of disaster responders, particularly those at highest risk.

A Pilot Study: Cardiac Parameters in Children Receiving New-Generation Antidepressants.

OBJECTIVE: Because of concerns about potential associations between high doses of citalopram and QTc prolongation in adults, this study examined whether such associations are operant in children. We hypothesized that therapeutic doses of nontricyclic antidepressant medications (non-TCAs) prescribed to children would be cardiovascularly safe. STUDY DESIGN: The sample consisted of 49 psychiatrically referred children and adolescents 6 to 17 years old of both sexes treated with a non-TCA (citalopram, escitalopram, fluoxetine, paroxetine, sertraline, bupropion, duloxetine, venlafaxine, mirtazapine). To standardize the doses of different antidepressants, we converted doses of individual medicines into "citalopram equivalent doses" (CEDs) based on dosing recommendation for individual antidepressants. Correlation analysis was carried out to compare the continuous and weight-based CED to variables of interest. A QTc grouping was defined as normal, borderline, or abnormal, and CED was compared across QTc groupings using linear regression. An antidepressant dosage group was defined as low or high dose, and a t test compared variables of interest across dosage groups. RESULTS: No significant associations were found between total or weight-corrected CEDs of any antidepressant examined and QTc or any other electrocardiogram or blood pressure parameters. In patients taking citalopram or escitalopram, a significant correlation was found between PR interval and total daily dose, which disappeared when weight-based doses were used or when corrected by age. CONCLUSIONS: Although limited by a relatively small sample size, these results suggest that therapeutic doses of non-TCA antidepressants when used in children do not seem to be associated with prolonged QTc interval or other adverse cardiovascular effects.

Similar familial underpinnings for full and subsyndromal pediatric bipolar disorder: A familial risk analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the validity of subthreshold pediatric bipolar I disorder (BP-I), we compared the familial risk for BP-I in the child probands who had either full BP-I, subthreshold BP-I, ADHD, or were controls that neither had ADHD nor bipolar disorder. METHODS: BP-I probands were youth aged 6-17 years meeting criteria for BP-I, full (N=239) or subthreshold (N=43), and also included were their first-degree relatives (N=687 and N=120, respectively). Comparators were youth with ADHD (N=162), controls without ADHD or bipolar disorder (N=136), and their first-degree relatives (N=511 and N=411, respectively). We randomly selected 162 non-bipolar ADHD probands and 136 non-bipolar, non-ADHD control probands of similar age and sex distribution to the BP-I probands from our case-control ADHD family studies. Psychiatric assessments were made by trained psychometricians using the Kiddie Schedule for Affective Disorders and Schizophrenia for School-Age Children Epidemiological Version (KSADS-E) and Structured Clinical Interview for DSM-IV (SCID) structured diagnostic interviews. We analyzed rates of bipolar disorder using multinomial logistic regression. RESULTS: Rates of full BP-I significantly differed between the four groups (χ23 =32.72, P<.001): relatives of full BP-I probands and relatives of subthreshold BP-I probands had significantly higher rates of full BP-I than relatives of ADHD probands and relatives of control probands. Relatives of full BP-I, subthreshold BP-I, and ADHD probands also had significantly higher rates of major depressive disorder compared to relatives of control probands. CONCLUSIONS: Our results showed that youth with subthreshold BP-I had similarly elevated risk for BP-I and major depressive disorder in first-degree relatives as youth with full BP-I. These findings support the diagnostic continuity between subsyndromal and fully syndromatic states of pediatric BP-I disorder.

Towards operationalising internal distractibility (Mind Wandering) in adults with ADHD.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether specific symptoms of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) can help identify ADHD patients with mind wandering. METHODS: Subjects were adults ages 18-55 of both sexes (n=41) who completed the Mind-Wandering Questionnaire (MWQ) and the ADHD module of the Schedule for Affective Disorders and Schizophrenia for School-Age Children Epidemiologic Version. We used Spearman's rank correlation and Pearson's χ2 analyses to examine associations between the ADHD module and the MWQ and receiver operator characteristic (ROC) analyses to evaluate the diagnostic efficiency of the ADHD module. RESULTS: Out of the three ADHD domains, the inattentive ADHD scores had the strongest association with the MWQ (total: r s=0.34, df=39, p=0.03; inattentive: r s=0.38, df=39, p=0.02; Hyperactive: r s=0.17, df=39, p=0.28). Correlation analyses between individual items on the ADHD module and the MWQ showed that two inattention items ('failure to pay attention to detail' and 'trouble following instructions') were positively associated with total scores on the MWQ (p=0.02). These two inattention items had the strongest association with the MWQ (r s=0.45, df=38, p=0.004). ROC analyses showed that the combined score of the two significant inattention items had the highest efficiency (AUC=0.71) in classifying high-level mind wanderers as defined by scores greater than the median split on the MWQ. The combined score of the two inattention items best identified high-level mind wanderers. CONCLUSION: Results suggest a way to operationalise mind wandering using the symptoms of ADHD.

Mild Traumatic Brain Injury and Attention-Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder in Young Student Athletes.

A recent meta-analysis documented a significant statistical association between mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI) and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) (Adeyemo et al., 2014), but the direction of this effect was unclear. In this study, we hypothesized that ADHD would be an antecedent risk factor for mTBI. Participants were student athletes ages 12 to 25 who had sustained a mTBI and Controls of similar age and sex selected from studies of youth with and without ADHD. Subjects were assessed for symptoms of ADHD, concussion severity, and cognitive function. mTBI subjects had a significantly higher rate of ADHD than Controls, and in all cases the age of onset of ADHD was before mTBI onset. mTBI+ADHD subjects also had more severe concussion symptoms (fatigue and poor concentration) than mTBI-ADHD subjects. These results support ADHD as an antecedent risk factor for mTBI in student athletes and that its presence complicates the course of mTBI.

Neural and Cognitive Predictors of Stimulant Treatment Efficacy in Medication-Naïve ADHD Adults: A Pilot Diffusion Tensor Imaging Study.

OBJECTIVE: Stimulant medications are the main treatment for Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD), but overall treatment efficacy in adults has less than a 60% response rate. This study aimed to identify neural and cognitive markers predictive of longitudinal improvement in response to stimulant treatment in drug-naïve adults with ADHD. METHOD: We used diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) and executive function measures with 36 drug-naïve adult ADHD patients in a prospective study design. RESULTS: Structural connectivity (measured by fractional anisotropy, FA) in striatal regions correlated with ADHD clinical symptom improvement following stimulant treatment (amphetamine or methylphenidate) in better medication responders. A significant positive correlation was also found between working memory performance and stimulant-related symptom improvement. Higher pre-treatment working memory scores correlated with greater response. CONCLUSION: These findings provide evidence of pre-treatment neural and behavioral markers predictive of longitudinal treatment response to stimulant medications in adults with ADHD.

The Heritability of ADHD in Children of ADHD Parents: A Post-hoc Analysis of Longitudinal Data.

OBJECTIVE: A growing literature suggests attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is a heritable disorder. We evaluated children at risk for ADHD by virtue of having parents with ADHD and compared them with children of parents without ADHD to assess the degree of heritability of ADHD. METHOD: The sample for this study was derived from three longitudinal studies that tracked families with various disorders, including ADHD. Children were stratified based on presence of parental ADHD, and clinical assessments were taken to evaluate presence of ADHD and related psychiatric and functional outcomes in children. RESULTS: Children with parental ADHD had significantly more full or subthreshold psychiatric disorders (including ADHD) as well as functional impairments compared to children without parental ADHD. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that offspring of parents with ADHD are at significant risk for ADHD and its associated psychiatric, cognitive, and educational impairments. These findings aid in identifying early manifestations of ADHD in young children at risk.

Decline in Partner-Accompanied Births during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Japan: A Nationwide Cross-Sectional Internet-Based Study.

The study objective was to describe trends in partner-accompanied birth between January 2019 and August 2021 and examine the associations of partner-accompanied birth with women's psychological distress and partners' housework and parenting. A total of 5605 women who had a live singleton birth between January 2019 and August 2021 and had a partner participated in this nationwide internet-based survey between July and August 2021 in Japan. The percentages of women's intentions and actual experience of partner-accompanied births were calculated per month. Associations of partner-accompanied birth with scores on the Kessler Psychological Distress Scale (K6) ≥10, partners' participation in housework and parenting, and factors associated with having a partner-accompanied birth were examined using a multivariable Poisson regression model. The proportion of women who had partner-accompanied births was 65.7% between January 2019 and March 2020, dropping to 32.1% between April 2020 and August 2021. Partner-accompanied birth was not associated with a K6 score ≥10, but was significantly associated with the partner's daily housework and parenting (adjusted prevalence ratio 1.08, 95% CI 1.02-1.14). Partner-accompanied births have been substantially restricted since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. The right to a birth partner should be protected, while addressing infection control.

Protease-Independent Production of Poliovirus Virus-like Particles in Pichia pastoris: Implications for Efficient Vaccine Development and Insights into Capsid Assembly.

The production of enterovirus virus-like particles (VLPs) that lack the viral genome have great potential as vaccines for a number of diseases, such as poliomyelitis and hand, foot, and mouth disease. These VLPs can mimic empty capsids, which are antigenically indistinguishable from mature virions, produced naturally during viral infection. Both in infection and in vitro, capsids and VLPs are generated by the cleavage of the P1 precursor protein by a viral protease. Here, using a stabilized poliovirus 1 (PV-1) P1 sequence as an exemplar, we show the production of PV-1 VLPs in Pichia pastoris in the absence of the potentially cytotoxic protease, 3CD, instead using the porcine teschovirus 2A (P2A) peptide sequence to terminate translation between individual capsid proteins. We compare this to protease-dependent production of PV-1 VLPs. Analysis of all permutations of the order of the capsid protein sequences revealed that only VP3 could be tagged with P2A and maintain native antigenicity. Transmission electron microscopy of these VLPs reveals the classic picornaviral icosahedral structure. Furthermore, these particles were thermostable above 37°C, demonstrating their potential as next generation vaccine candidates for PV. Finally, we believe the demonstration that native antigenic VLPs can be produced using protease-independent methods opens the possibility for future enteroviral vaccines to take advantage of recent vaccine technological advances, such as adenovirus-vectored vaccines and mRNA vaccines, circumventing the potential problems of cytotoxicity associated with 3CD, allowing for the production of immunogenic enterovirus VLPs in vivo. IMPORTANCE The widespread use of vaccines has dramatically reduced global incidence of poliovirus infections over a period of several decades and now the wild-type virus is only endemic in Pakistan and Afghanistan. However, current vaccines require the culture of large quantities of replication-competent virus for their manufacture, thus presenting a potential risk of reintroduction into the environment. It is now widely accepted that vaccination will need to be extended posteradication into the foreseeable future to prevent the potentially catastrophic reintroduction of poliovirus into an immunologically naive population. It is, therefore, imperative that novel vaccines are developed which are not dependent on the growth of live virus for their manufacture. We have expressed stabilized virus-like particles in yeast, from constructs that do not require coexpression of the protease. This is an important step in the development of environmentally safe and commercially viable vaccines against polio, which also provides some intriguing insights into the viral assembly process.

A Randomized, Double-Blind, Controlled Clinical Trial of Omega-3 Fatty Acids and Inositol as Monotherapies and in Combination for the Treatment of Pediatric Bipolar Spectrum Disorder in Children Age 5-12.

Objectives: The aim of this study was to assess the efficacy and tolerability of omega-3 fatty acids (FAs) and inositol alone and in combination for the treatment of pediatric bipolar (BP) spectrum disorder in young children. Methods: Participants were male and female children ages 5-12 meeting DSM-IV diagnostic criteria for a BP spectrum disorder and displaying mixed, manic, or hypomanic symptoms without psychotic features at the time of evaluation. Results: Participants concomitantly taking psychotropic medication were excluded from efficacy analyses. There were significant reductions in YMRS and HDRS mean scores in the inositol and combination treatment groups (all p < 0.05) and in CDRS mean scores in the combination treatment group (p < 0.001), with the largest changes seen in the combination group. Those receiving the combination treatment had the highest rates of antimanic and antidepressant response. The odds ratios for the combination group compared to the omega-3 FAs and inositol groups were clinically meaningful (ORs ≥2) for 50% improvement on the YMRS, normalization of the YMRS (score <12) (vs. inositol group only), 50% improvement on the HDRS, 50% improvement on CDRS (vs. omega-3 FAs group only), and CGI-I Mania, CGI-I MDD, and CGI-I Anxiety scores <2. Conclusion: The antimanic and antidepressant effects of the combination treatment of omega-3 FAs and inositol were consistently superior to either treatment used alone. This combination may offer a safe and effective alternative or augmenting treatment for youth with BP spectrum disorder, but more work is needed to confirm the statistical significance of this finding.

Disentangling the heterogeneity of emotional dysregulation in referred youth using the Child Behavior Checklist attending to age and sex effects.

PURPOSE: To assess the utility of the Child Behavior Checklist (CBCL) to identify meaningful subtypes of emotional dysregulation in an outpatient pediatric psychiatry clinic. METHODS: The sample consisted of 417 newly referred youth 6-18 years of age. Parents completed the CBCL and rating scales measuring executive function deficits, social functioning, and quality of life. Patients were stratified into subtypes of emotional dysregulation and compared on clinical correlates based on the A-A-A profile consisting of the CBCL Anxious/Depressed, Aggressive Behavior, and Attention Problems (A-A-A) scales. RESULTS: 67% of youth had emotional dysregulation (CBCL A-A-A T-score ≥ 180) and of these, 39% had a positive CBCL-Bipolar (BP) profile (A-A-A T-score ≥ 210), 24% had depression without the BP profile (CBCL Anxious/Depressed and/or Withdrawn/Depressed T-scores ≥70 and A-A-A T-score ≥ 180 and ã€ˆ210), and 37% had emotional impulsivity (A-A-A T-score ≥ 180 and <210) with normal CBCL Anxious/Depressed and Withdrawn/Depressed T-scores. Patients with the CBCL-BP profile were significantly more impaired on all measures of social and executive functioning compared to the other two groups. LIMITATIONS: Since our findings relied on the CBCL, other instruments may have led to different results. Because we included youth from a single clinic, largely Caucasian and referred, our findings may not generalize to other ethnic groups or settings. CONCLUSIONS: The CBCL can aid in the identification of subtypes of emotional dysregulation affecting youth seeking mental health services.

Long term outcomes of pediatric Bipolar-I disorder: A prospective follow-up analysis attending to full syndomatic, subsyndromal and functional types of remission.

OBJECTIVE: To examine patterns of remission of pediatric bipolar I (BP-I) disorder attending to syndromatic, symptomatic, and functional outcomes from childhood to adolescent and young adult years. METHODS: We analyzed data from a six-year prospective follow-up study of youths aged 6-17 years with BP-I disorder. Subjects were comprehensively assessed at baseline and subsequently at four, five, and six years thereafter. Assessments included structured diagnostic interviews and measures of psychosocial and educational functioning. Patterns of remission were calculated attending to whether syndromatic, symptomatic, and functional remission were achieved. RESULTS: Kaplan-Meier failure functions revealed that the probability of functional recovery from pediatric BP-I disorder was very low. Of the 88 youths assessed, only 6% (N = 5) of the sample were euthymic with normal functioning during the year prior to their last follow-up assessment (average follow-up time = 5.8 ± 1.8 years). CONCLUSIONS: These results provide compelling evidence of the high level of persistence of pediatric BP-I disorder. Symptomatic and functional remission were uncommon and most subjects continued to demonstrate high morbidity into late adolescence and early adulthood.

Can machine learning identify childhood characteristics that predict future development of bipolar disorder a decade later?

Early identification of bipolar disorder may provide appropriate support and treatment, however there is no current evidence for statistically predicting whether a child will develop bipolar disorder. Machine learning methods offer an opportunity for developing empirically-based predictors of bipolar disorder. This study examined whether bipolar disorder can be predicted using clinical data and machine learning algorithms. 492 children, ages 6-18 at baseline, were recruited from longitudinal case-control family studies. Participants were assessed at baseline, then followed-up after 10 years. In addition to sociodemographic data, children were assessed with psychometric scales, structured diagnostic interviews, and cognitive and social functioning assessments. Using the Balanced Random Forest algorithm, we examined whether the diagnostic outcome of full or subsyndromal bipolar disorder could be predicted from baseline data. 45 children (10%) developed bipolar disorder at follow-up. The model predicted subsequent bipolar disorder with 75% sensitivity, 76% specificity, and an Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristics of 75%. Predictors best differentiating between children who did or did not develop bipolar disorder were the Child Behavioral Checklist Externalizing and Internalizing behaviors, the Child Behavioral Checklist Total t-score, problematic school functions indexed through the Child Behavioral Checklist School Competence scale, and the Child Behavioral Checklist Anxiety/Depression and Aggression scales. Our study provides the first quantitative model to predict bipolar disorder. Longitudinal prediction may help clinicians assess children with emergent psychopathology for future risk of bipolar disorder, an area of clinical and scientific importance. Machine learning algorithms could be implemented to alert clinicians to risk for bipolar disorder.

Review: Adult Outcome as Seen Through Controlled Prospective Follow-up Studies of Children With Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder Followed Into Adulthood.

OBJECTIVE: To describe adult outcome of people with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) diagnosed in childhood and its several key predictors via a review of 7 North American controlled prospective follow-up studies: Montreal, New York, Milwaukee, Pittsburgh, Massachusetts General Hospital (MGH), Berkeley, and 7-site Multimodal Treatment Study of Children With ADHD (MTA). METHOD: All studies were prospective and followed children with a diagnosis of ADHD and an age- and gender-matched control group at regular intervals from childhood (6-12 years of age) through adolescence into adulthood (20-40 years of age), evaluating symptom and syndrome persistence, functional outcomes, and predictors of these outcomes. RESULTS: The rates of ADHD syndrome persistence ranged from 5.7% to 77%, likely owing to varying diagnostic criteria and the source of information (self-report vs informant report) across the studies. However, all studies observed high rates of symptomatic persistence ranging from 60% to 86%. The 7 studies were largely consistent in finding that relative to control groups, research participants with childhood-diagnosed ADHD had significant impairments in the areas of educational functioning, occupational functioning, mental health, and physical health as well as higher rates of substance misuse, antisocial behavior, and unsafe driving. The most consistently observed predictors of functional outcomes included ADHD persistence and comorbidity, especially with disruptive behavior disorders. CONCLUSION: Childhood ADHD has high rates of symptomatic persistence, which is associated with negative functional outcomes. Characteristics that predict these negative outcomes, such as comorbid disruptive behavior disorders, may be important targets for intervention.