Disparities in Guideline-Recommended Statin Use for Prevention of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease by Race, Ethnicity, and Gender : A Nationally Representative Cross-Sectional Analysis of Adults in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Although statins are a class I recommendation for prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and its complications, their use is suboptimal. Differential underuse may mediate disparities in cardiovascular health for systematically marginalized persons. OBJECTIVE: To estimate disparities in statin use by race-ethnicity-gender and to determine whether these potential disparities are explained by medical appropriateness of therapy and structural factors. DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis. SETTING: National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 2015 to 2020. PARTICIPANTS: Persons eligible for statin therapy based on 2013 and 2018 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association blood cholesterol guidelines. MEASUREMENTS: The independent variable was race-ethnicity-gender. The outcome of interest was use of a statin. Using the Institute of Medicine framework for examining unequal treatment, we calculated adjusted prevalence ratios (aPRs) to estimate disparities in statin use adjusted for age, disease severity, access to health care, and socioeconomic status relative to non-Hispanic White men. RESULTS: For primary prevention, we identified a lower prevalence of statin use that was not explained by measurable differences in disease severity or structural factors among non-Hispanic Black men (aPR, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.59 to 0.88]) and non-Mexican Hispanic women (aPR, 0.74 [CI, 0.53 to 0.95]). For secondary prevention, we identified a lower prevalence of statin use that was not explained by measurable differences in disease severity or structural factors for non-Hispanic Black men (aPR, 0.81 [CI, 0.64 to 0.97]), other/multiracial men (aPR, 0.58 [CI, 0.20 to 0.97]), Mexican American women (aPR, 0.36 [CI, 0.10 to 0.61]), non-Mexican Hispanic women (aPR, 0.57 [CI, 0.33 to 0.82), non-Hispanic White women (aPR, 0.69 [CI, 0.56 to 0.83]), and non-Hispanic Black women (aPR, 0.75 [CI, 0.57 to 0.92]). LIMITATION: Cross-sectional data; lack of geographic, language, or statin-dose data. CONCLUSION: Statin use disparities for several race-ethnicity-gender groups are not explained by measurable differences in medical appropriateness of therapy, access to health care, and socioeconomic status. These residual disparities may be partially mediated by unobserved processes that contribute to health inequity, including bias, stereotyping, and mistrust. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institutes of Health.

Patient Knowledge, Risk Perception, and Barriers to Barrett's Esophagus Screening.

INTRODUCTION: Most patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) do not have a previous diagnosis of Barrett's esophagus (BE), demonstrating a failure of current screening practices. An understanding of patient attitudes and barriers is essential to develop and implement interventions to improve BE screening adherence. METHODS: We conducted a Web-based survey of patients aged >50 years with chronic gastroesophageal reflux disease at 3 academic medical centers and 1 affiliated safety net health systems. Survey domains included patient characteristics, endoscopy history, familiarity with screening practices, perceived BE/EAC risk, and barriers to screening. RESULTS: We obtained a response rate of 22.6% (472/2,084) (74% men, mean age 67.9 years). Self-identified race and ethnicity of participants was 66.5% non-Hispanic White, 20.0% non-Hispanic Black, 13.4% other race, and 7.1% Hispanic. Screening for BE was recommended in only 13.2%, and only 5.3% reported previous screening. Respondents had notable gaps in knowledge about screening indications; only two-thirds correctly identified BE risk factors and only 19.5% believed BE screening was needed for gastroesophageal reflux disease. More than 1 in 5 respondents believed they would get BE (31.9%) or EAC (20.2%) but reported barriers to screening. Compared with White respondents, more Black respondents were concerned about getting BE/EAC and interested in screening but report higher barriers to screening. DISCUSSION: Patients at risk for BE, particularly racial and ethnic minorities, are worried about developing EAC but rarely undergo screening and have poor understanding of screening recommendations.

Long-term Outcomes Following Multiply Recurrent Clostridioides difficile Infection and Fecal Microbiota Transplantation.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Fecal microbiota transplantation (FMT) is a commonly used therapy for multiply recurrent Clostridioides difficile (mrCDI). By altering the gut microbiota, there is the potential for FMT to impact the risk for cardiometabolic, intestinal or immune-mediated conditions. Likewise, the microbiota disturbance associated with mrCDI could potentially lead to these conditions. We aimed to assess the associations of mrCDI and FMT with cardiometabolic, immune-mediated diseases, and irritable bowel syndrome. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study using a United States commercial claims database included persons diagnosed with CDI or undergoing FMT. We created 2 pairwise comparisons: mrCDI vs non-mrCDI, and non-mrCDI or mrCDI treated with FMT vs mrCDI without FMT. RESULTS: We found no significant association between mrCDI (vs non-mrCDI) and inflammatory bowel disease (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 1.65; 95% confidence interval, 0.67-4.04), rheumatoid arthritis (HR = 0.86; 0.47-1.56), psoriasis (HR = 0.72; 0.23-2.27), diabetes (aHR = 0.97; 0.67-1.40), hypertension (aHR = 1.05; 0.76-1.44), myocardial infarction (aHR = 0.82; 0.63-1.06), stroke (aHR = 0.83; 0.62-1.12), or irritable bowel syndrome (HR = 0.94; 0.61-1.45). Similarly, we found no association of CDI with FMT (vs mrCDI without FMT) and diabetes (aHR = 0.92; 0.27-3.11), hypertension (aHR = 1.41; 0.64-3.15), stroke (aHR = 1.27; 0.69-2.34) or inflammatory bowel syndrome (aHR = 0.80; 0.26-2.46). However, the incidence of myocardial infarction was increased following FMT (aHR = 1.68; 1.01-2.81). CONCLUSION: Relative to those with CDI, persons with mrCDI do not appear to be intrinsically at higher risk of cardiometabolic, immune-mediated diseases, or irritable bowel syndrome. However, those who underwent FMT for CDI had a higher incidence of myocardial infarction. Future studies should assess this association to assess reproducibility.

Risk for Post-Colonoscopy Irritable Bowel Syndrome in Patients With and Without Antibiotic Exposure: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Laboratory studies have demonstrated that antibiotic use in conjunction with bowel purgatives causes alterations to the gut microbiota. Because gut microbiota changes may be a trigger for the development of irritable bowel syndrome (IBS), we sought to assess whether individuals who undergo bowel cleansing for colonoscopy and have concurrent antibiotic exposure develop IBS at higher rates than individuals who undergo colonoscopy without antibiotic exposure. METHODS: We used data from Optum's de-identified Clinformatics Data Mart Database in the United States to study a cohort of 50- to 55-year-olds who underwent screening colonoscopy. Individuals exposed to antibiotics within 14 days of colonoscopy were propensity-score matched to individuals who were not exposed to antibiotics around colonoscopy. The primary outcome was a new IBS diagnosis, and the composite outcome was a new claim for IBS, IBS medications, or IBS symptoms. The association of antibiotic exposure and the outcomes was calculated using Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: There were 408,714 individuals who met criteria for the screening colonoscopy cohort. Of these, 24,617 (6.0%) were exposed to antibiotics around the time of colonoscopy, and they were propensity-score matched to 24,617 individuals not exposed to antibiotics. There was no statistically significant association between antibiotic use and IBS (hazard ratio, 1.11; 95% confidence interval, 0.89-1.39), but there was a weak association between antibiotic use and the composite outcome (hazard ratio, 1.12; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.24; number needed to harm, 94). CONCLUSIONS: Individuals concurrently exposed to antibiotics and bowel purgative had slightly higher rates of surrogate IBS outcomes compared with matched controls who did not receive antibiotics concurrently with bowel purgative.

Characterization of Prevalent, Post-Endoscopy, and Incident Esophageal Cancer in the United States: A Large Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Efforts to assess and improve the effectiveness of Barrett's esophagus (BE) screening and surveillance are ongoing in the United States. Currently, there are limited population-based data in the United States to guide these efforts. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study using data from large commercial and Medicare Advantage health plans in the United States from 2004 - 2019. We identified individuals with BE and analyzed the proportion who developed EAC. EACs were classified as prevalent EAC (diagnosed within 30 days of index endoscopy), post-endoscopy esophageal adenocarcinoma (PEEC, diagnosed 30 - 365 days after index endoscopy), and incident EAC (diagnosed 365 days or more after index endoscopy). Using this cohort, we performed a nested case-control study to identify factors associated with prevalent EAC at BE diagnosis and study healthcare utilization prior to BE diagnosis. RESULTS: We identified 50,817 individuals with incident BE. Of the 366 who developed EAC, 67.2%, 13.7%, and 19.1% were diagnosed with prevalent EAC, PEEC, and incident EAC respectively. Factors positively associated with prevalent EAC versus BE without prevalent EAC included male sex, dysphagia, weight loss, and Charlson-Deyo comorbidity score. In those with prevalent EAC, most patients with dysphagia or weight loss had their symptoms first recorded within three months of EAC diagnosis. Healthcare utilization rates were similar between those with and without prevalent EAC. CONCLUSIONS: Two-thirds of EACs among individuals with BE are diagnosed at the time of BE diagnosis. Additionally, PEEC accounts for 14% of these EACs. These results may guide future research studies that investigate novel BE diagnostic strategies that reduce the morbidity and mortality of EAC.

Magnitude and Time-Trend Analysis of Postendoscopy Esophageal Adenocarcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Identification of postendoscopy esophageal adenocarcinoma (PEEC) among Barrett's esophagus (BE) patients presents an opportunity to improve survival of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). We aimed to estimate the proportion of PEEC within the first year after BE diagnosis. METHODS: Multiple databases (Medline, Embase, Scopus, and Cochrane databases) were searched until September 2020 for original studies with at least 1-year follow-up evaluation that reported EAC and/or high-grade dysplasia (HGD) in the first year after index endoscopy in nondysplastic BE, low-grade dysplasia, or indefinite dysplasia. The proportions of PEEC defined using EAC alone and EAC+HGD were calculated by dividing EAC or EAC+HGD in the first year over the total number of EAC or EAC+HGD, respectively. RESULTS: We included 52 studies with 145,726 patients and a median follow-up period of 4.8 years. The proportion of PEEC (EAC) was 21% (95% CI, 13-31) and PEEC (EAC+HGD) was 26% (95% CI, 19-34). Among studies with nondysplastic BE only, the PEEC (EAC) proportion was 17% (95% CI, 11-23) and PEEC (EAC+HGD) was 14% (95% CI, 8-19). Among studies with 5 or more years of follow-up evaluation, the PEEC (EAC) proportion was 10% and PEEC (EAC+HGD) was 19%. Meta-regression analysis showed a strong inverse relationship between PEEC and incident EAC (P < .001). The PEEC (EAC) proportion increased from 5% in studies published before 2000 to 30% after 2015. Substantial heterogeneity was observed for most analyses. CONCLUSIONS: PEEC accounts for a high proportion of HGD/EACs and is proportional to reduction in incident EAC. Using best endoscopic techniques now and performing future research on improving neoplasia detection through implementation of quality measures and educational tools is needed to reduce PEEC.

Endoscopy Is Not Associated with Infectious Adverse Events After Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with recent hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) are considered high risk for gastrointestinal endoscopy due to the potential for procedural bacterial translocation. Prior studies investigating these risks do not account for the higher baseline rate of infectious complications among those who are immunocompromised. We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients with recent HCT who underwent endoscopy and their matched controls who did not undergo endoscopy. METHODS: We identified patients who underwent HCT followed by upper and/or lower endoscopy at the University of Pennsylvania from 2000 to 2018. Individuals were matched 1:1 by age, sex, and type of HCT to controls who underwent HCT without subsequent endoscopy. Infectious adverse events were assessed by Sepsis-3 and Sepsis-2 criteria. Factors associated with infectious adverse events after endoscopy/index date were assessed using multivariable conditional logistic regression. RESULTS: We identified 149 patients who underwent HCT and endoscopy and 149 matched controls who underwent HCT without endoscopy. Sepsis-3 infectious adverse events occurred in 3.4% of patients in each group. Sepsis-2 infectious adverse events occurred in 20.1% of patients who underwent endoscopy compared to 19.5% of controls. There was no association between endoscopy and Sepsis-2 infectious adverse events in the multivariable regression analysis (adjusted odds ratio 1.65, 95% CI 0.51-5.26). CONCLUSIONS: When compared to controls with similar immune statuses, patients who underwent endoscopy after HCT did not have a higher risk of infectious adverse events. These results may inform clinical decision making regarding the risks and benefits of endoscopic management after HCT.

Identification of the Most Effective Position for Ustekinumab in Treatment Algorithms for Crohn's Disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Ustekinumab is a monoclonal antibody against interleukin 12 and interleukin 23 that has been approved by the Food and Drug Administration for treatment of Crohn's disease (CD). We sought to identify the ideal position for ustekinumab in treatment algorithms for CD. METHODS: We constructed a Markov model to identify an optimal treatment sequence for CD that included ustekinumab for 1 year or more. The base case was a 35-year old male with moderate to severe CD who had not previously received biologic or immunomodulator therapy. The standard of care treatment algorithm was defined as initial therapy with infliximab and azathioprine, followed by adalimumab and azathioprine, vedolizumab, and lastly surgical resection. The model assessed positions for ustekinumab before standard of care, ustekinumab after infliximab and azathioprine but before the remaining treatments, after infliximab, azathioprine, and adalimumab but before vedolizumab and surgery, or after the other biologics but before surgery. We derived transition probabilities and quality adjusted life years (QALYs) from relevant trials, observational studies, and time trade-off analyses. Primary analyses consisted of first order Monte Carlo simulation of 100 trials of cohorts of 100,000 individuals. RESULTS: Ustekinumab as first-line therapy yielded the greatest QALYs (incremental effectiveness, 0.016-0.020 QALYs), resulting in 10% more patients in remission or response, and 2% fewer surgeries at 1 year, compared with other algorithms. The model was not sensitive to 25% variation in transition probabilities. CONCLUSIONS: In a simulation based on a 35-year old male patient with moderate to severe CD, we found that ustekinumab as the first-line biologic therapy yields greater QALYs at the end of 1 year than compared with use later in the CD treatment algorithm.

The Volume-Outcome Effect Calls for Centralization of Care in Esophageal Adenocarcinoma: Results From a Large National Cancer Registry.

INTRODUCTION: Using the National Cancer Database, we assessed the relationship between facility overall esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) case volume and survival. METHODS: We categorized facilities into volume quintiles based on annual EAC patient volume and performed a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression between facility patient volume and survival. RESULTS: In a cohort of 116,675 patients, facilities with higher vs lower (≥25 vs 1-4 cases) annual EAC patient volume demonstrated improved survival (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.80. 95% confidence interval: 0.70-0.91). DISCUSSION: This robust volume-outcome effect calls for centralization of care for EAC patients at high annual case volume facilities.

Inflammatory Bowel Diseases Are Associated With an Increased Risk for Chronic Kidney Disease, Which Decreases With Age.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: It is not clear what factors affect risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD); increased risk has been inconsistently associated with use of 5-aminosalicylates (5-ASAs). We aimed to calculate the relative hazard of CKD among patients with IBD, adjusted for CKD risk factors, and to determine whether IBD medications are associated with change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of data from The Health Improvement Network. Patients with IBD (n = 17,807) were matched for age, sex, and practice to individuals without IBD (n = 63,466). The relative hazard of CKD, stages 3 through 5D, in patients with IBD was calculated using a Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for common CKD risk factors. We also evaluated the association of 5-ASAs, azathioprine, and methotrexate with change in eGFR using a longitudinal model. RESULTS: After we controlled for risk factors associated with CKD, we found IBD to be associated with development of CKD in patients 16-77 years old. As patient age increased, the adjusted hazard ratio for CKD decreased monotonically, from 7.88 (95% CI, 2.56-24.19) at age 16 to 1.13 (95% CI, 1.01-1.25) at age 77. In the longitudinal analysis, exposure to 5-ASAs or methotrexate was not associated with change in eGFR, whereas azathioprine was associated with a slightly higher eGFR (0.32 mL/min/1.73 m2; 95% CI, 0.16-0.48). CONCLUSIONS: In a retrospective study of more than 80,000 persons, we found that IBD is associated with increased risk of CKD, and the hazard ratio is highest among younger patients. Commonly used non-biologic therapeutic agents were not associated with lower eGFR.

Incidence, Risk Factors, and Clinical Effects of Recurrent Diverticular Hemorrhage: A Large Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Although recurrent diverticular hemorrhage is common, its incidence and risk factors have not been measured outside of small institutional cohorts. We analyzed the incidence of and risk factors for recurrent diverticular hemorrhage and whether discontinuing anticoagulation after diverticular hemorrhage is associated with ischemic stroke. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients enrolled in the OptumInsight Clinformatics database from 2000 through 2016. Incidence rates for initial and recurrent diverticular hemorrhage were calculated by identifying patients who had hospitalizations with a primary discharge diagnosis consistent with diverticular hemorrhage. The hazard ratios of second diverticular hemorrhage associated with anticoagulants or platelet aggregation inhibitors were calculated using Cox proportional hazards regression adjusted for demographics, comorbidities, and medication use. The hazard ratio for ischemic stroke among patients who discontinued anticoagulation after diverticular hemorrhage was calculated similarly. RESULTS: In the cohort analyzed, 14,925 patients had an initial diverticular hemorrhage; 1368 of these patients had a second episode. The unstandardized incidence rates of initial and second diverticular hemorrhage were 10.9 per 100,000 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI] 10.7-11.0) and 3625.6 per 100,000 person-years (95% CI 3436.0-3823.0). Platelet aggregation inhibitors were associated with second episodes of diverticular hemorrhage (hazard ratio 1.47; 95% CI 1.15-1.88), whereas all classes of anticoagulation agents were not associated. Among patients with a potential indication for stroke prophylaxis, those who discontinued anticoagulation after the diverticular hemorrhage had an increased hazard of ischemic stroke (hazard ratio 1.93; 95% CI 1.17-3.19). CONCLUSIONS: In this retrospective cohort study, platelet aggregation inhibitors, but not anticoagulants, were associated with recurrent diverticular hemorrhage. Discontinuing anticoagulation was associated with increased hazard for ischemic stroke.

Long-Term Outcome of Infliximab Optimization for Overcoming Immunogenicity in Patients with Inflammatory Bowel Disease.

BACKGROUND: Preliminary data suggest that treatment optimization can reverse immunogenicity and regain response in patients with IBD and secondary loss of response (SLR) to anti-TNF therapy due to antidrug antibodies. However, data regarding the long-term outcome of these patients are scarce. AIMS: We aimed to investigate drug retention in IBD patients of whom infliximab was optimized to overcome immunogenicity and variables associated with drug retention. METHODS: This was a retrospective, multicenter study of consecutive IBD patients with antibodies to infliximab (ATI), based on either proactive or reactive therapeutic drug monitoring, who underwent infliximab optimization (increasing dose, shortening interval, adding an immunomodulator, or combination) to overcome immunogenicity from September 2012 to July 2015; they were followed through December 2015. ATI were analyzed using the drug-tolerant Prometheus homogeneous mobility shift assay. Drug retention was defined as no need for drug discontinuation due to SLR or serious adverse event. RESULTS: Our cohort consisted of 22 patients (Crohn's disease, n = 15). At the end of follow-up [median, (IQR): 17.3 (10.5-32.8) months] 77% (15/22) of patients were still on drug. Univariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis identified first detectable ATI titer as the only variable associated with drug retention (HR: 0.89; 95% CI: 0.82-0.98, p = 0.016). Receiver-operating characteristic analysis identified an ATI titer < 8.8 U/mL associated with drug retention. CONCLUSIONS: In real-life clinical practice, optimization of infliximab therapy can prevent drug discontinuation in approximately 3/4 of patients with ATI, especially in those with low titers. Large prospective studies are needed to confirm these data.

Achalasia Patients Are at Nutritional Risk Regardless of Presenting Weight Category.

BACKGROUND: Achalasia is an esophageal motor disorder that leads to swallowing dysfunction and weight loss. Nutritional risk in achalasia patients is not well defined. AIMS: The aims of this study were to define baseline body mass index (BMI), changes in weight, and nutritional risk over time in a large cohort of achalasia patients. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of achalasia patients at a tertiary care center with documented BMI, symptom severity as per Eckardt score, and nutritional risk assessment as per the Malnutrition Universal Screening Tool, which considers BMI, degree of recent weight loss, and acuity of disease. RESULTS: Among the 337 patients presenting for achalasia management, 179 had confirmed disease. Upon presentation 69.8% of patients were classified as overweight or obese. Using the Malnutrition Universal Screening Tool, we found 50% of patients to be at moderate or high risk for malnutrition at presentation. Eckardt score (OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.05-1.26), duration of disease (OR for each additional month 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.08), and female gender (OR 1.76, 95% CI 1.02-3.03) were independent predictors of increased risk for malnutrition. Nutrition risk score decreased after therapy in 93.3% of patients. CONCLUSIONS: Despite a high prevalence of overweight and obese status in achalasia patients, many are at risk of developing nutritional complications secondary to rapid weight loss. This risk frequently resolves post-treatment. Regardless of baseline BMI, we recommend all patients undergo nutritional assessment to identify high-risk patients who may benefit from dietary intervention and expedited therapy.

Improved Long-term Outcomes of Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease Receiving Proactive Compared With Reactive Monitoring of Serum Concentrations of Infliximab.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Monitoring serum concentrations of tumor necrosis factor antagonists in patients receiving these drugs as treatment for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), also called therapeutic drug monitoring, is performed either after patient loss of response (reactive drug monitoring) or in patients in clinical remission in which the drug is titrated to a target concentration (proactive drug monitoring). We compared long-term outcomes of patients with IBD undergoing proactive vs reactive monitoring of serum concentrations of infliximab. METHODS: We performed a multicenter, retrospective study of 264 consecutive patients with IBD (167 with Crohn's disease) receiving infliximab maintenance therapy. The subjects received proactive (n = 130) or reactive (n = 134) drug monitoring, based on measurements of first infliximab concentration and antibodies to infliximab, from September 2006 to January 2015; they were followed through December 2015 (median time of 2.4 years). We analyzed time to treatment failure, first IBD-related surgery or hospitalization, serious infusion reaction, and detection of antibodies to infliximab. Treatment failure was defined as drug discontinuation for loss of response or serious adverse event, or need for surgery. RESULTS: Multiple Cox regression analysis independently associated proactive drug monitoring, compared with reactive monitoring, with reduced risk for treatment failure (hazard ratio [HR], 0.16; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.09-0.27; P < .001), IBD-related surgery (HR, 0.30; 95% CI, 0.11-0.80; P = .017), IBD-related hospitalization (HR, 0.16; 95% CI, 0.07-0.33; P < .001), antibodies to infliximab (HR, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.07-0.84; P = .025), and serious infusion reaction (HR, 0.17; 95% CI, 0.04-0.78; P = .023). CONCLUSIONS: In a retrospective analysis of patients with IBD receiving proactive vs reactive monitoring of serum concentration of infliximab, proactive monitoring was associated with better clinical outcomes, including greater drug durability, less need for IBD-related surgery or hospitalization, and lower risk of antibodies to infliximab or serious infusion reactions.

The benefit-to-risk balance of combining infliximab with azathioprine varies with age: a markov model.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Combination therapy with infliximab and azathioprine has demonstrated benefit over monotherapy for moderate-to-severe Crohn's disease. Clinical trials and models have not accounted for age-specific risks associated with these therapies, including the risk of immunosuppression-related cancer and infection. After accounting for these risks, the strategy yielding the greatest benefit may vary with age. METHODS: We assessed age-specific risks and benefits of combination therapy compared with infliximab monotherapy by using Markov modeling. The base case was a 35-year-old male patient with a 1-year time horizon. We assumed the incidence of lymphoma to be 5.28-fold higher with combination therapy. Secondary analyses accounted for life expectancy, therapy beyond 1 year, and age-specific surgical and infection risks. Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were calculated for 25- to 75-year old individuals. RESULTS: Combination therapy was found to be of greater benefit in the base case (0.7522 QALYs for combination therapy vs 0.7426 QALYs for monotherapy). Accounting for life years lost, monotherapy was the best approach if the hazard ratio for lymphoma with combination therapy was >8.1 patients who were 75 years old. Monotherapy provided greater net benefit to patients 55, 65, or 75 years old if therapy was extended for 9, 7, or 5 years, respectively. For 25-year-old men, monotherapy resulted in fewer deaths but only yielded greater QALYs if the annual incidence of hepatosplenic T-cell lymphoma exceeded 36/100,000 persons. CONCLUSIONS: After accounting for age-specific risks of lymphoma, infection, and surgical complications, benefits of combination therapy outweighed the risks as a short-term and intermediate-term strategy for most patients with moderate-to-severe Crohn's disease who were younger than 65 years. For young male patients, combination therapy yields greater QALYs but at cost of an increased risk of death from lymphoma.

Suboptimal Performance of Microscopic Colitis Diagnosis Codes: A Bottleneck for Epidemiologic Insights.

INTRODUCTION: Administrative health data could contribute to generalizable microscopic colitis insights, but International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes for microscopic colitis have not been validated. METHODS: We identified individuals who received care for diarrhea in the Veterans Health Administration and classified them by receipt of microscopic colitis ICD codes. We reviewed random samples of charts to calculate the positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV). We then calculated the sensitivity and specificity in clinically relevant cohorts. RESULTS: The PPV was 0.790 and the NPV was 0.995. In a cohort of individuals with diarrhea who underwent colonoscopy, the sensitivity and specificity were 0.734 and 0.996, respectively. CONCLUSION: Alternative ascertainment methods for microscopic colitis are needed because ICD codes have suboptimal performance.