Is the disease risk and penetrance in Leber hereditary optic neuropathy actually low?

Pedigree analysis showed that a large proportion of Leber hereditary optic neuropathy (LHON) family members who carry a mitochondrial risk variant never lose vision. Mitochondrial haplotype appears to be a major factor influencing the risk of vision loss from LHON. Mitochondrial variants, including m.14484T>C and m.11778G>A, have been added to gene arrays, and thus many patients and research participants are tested for LHON mutations. Analysis of the UK Biobank and Australian cohort studies found more than 1 in 1,000 people in the general population carry either the m.14484T>C or the m.11778G>A LHON variant. None of the subset of carriers examined had visual acuity at 20/200 or worse, suggesting a very low penetrance of LHON. Haplogroup analysis of m.14484T>C carriers showed a high rate of haplogroup U subclades, previously shown to have low penetrance in pedigrees. Penetrance calculations of the general population are lower than pedigree calculations, most likely because of modifier genetic factors. This Matters Arising Response paper addresses the Watson et al. (2022) Matters Arising paper, published concurrently in The American Journal of Human Genetics.

Assessing the genetic relationship between gastro-esophageal reflux disease and risk of COVID-19 infection.

Symptoms related with gastro-esophageal reflux disease (GERD) were previously shown to be linked with increased risk for the 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We aim to interrogate the possibility of a shared genetic basis between GERD and COVID-19 outcomes. Using published GWAS data for GERD (78 707 cases; 288 734 controls) and COVID-19 susceptibility (up to 32 494 cases; 1.5 million controls), we examined the genetic relationship between GERD and three COVID-19 outcomes: risk of developing severe COVID-19, COVID-19 hospitalization and overall COVID-19 risk. We estimated the genetic correlation between GERD and COVID-19 outcomes followed by Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses to assess genetic causality. Conditional analyses were conducted to examine whether known COVID-19 risk factors (obesity, smoking, type-II diabetes, coronary artery disease) can explain the relationship between GERD and COVID-19. We found small to moderate genetic correlations between GERD and COVID-19 outcomes (rg between 0.06 and 0.24). MR analyses revealed a OR of 1.15 (95% CI: 0.96-1.39) for severe COVID-19; 1.16 (1.01-1.34) for risk of COVID-19 hospitalization; 1.05 (0.97-1.13) for overall risk of COVID-19 per doubling of odds in developing GERD. The genetic correlation/associations between GERD and COVID-19 showed mild attenuation towards the null when obesity and smoking was adjusted for. Susceptibility for GERD and risk of COVID-19 hospitalization were genetically correlated, with MR findings supporting a potential causal role between the two. The genetic association between GERD and COVID-19 was partially attenuated when obesity is accounted for, consistent with obesity being a major risk factor for both diseases.

Ability change across multiple domains in mucopolysaccharidosis (Sanfilippo syndrome) type IIIA.

The objective of this paper is 1) to expand the scope of the domains previously published in a natural history study of Mucopolysaccharidosis IIIA (Sanfilippo syndrome type A) (MPS IIIA) and 2) to present evidence regarding the capacity of a new metric, Growth Scale Values (GSVs), in comparison with traditional metrics, to show changes in skills as assessed by the Bayley Scales of Infant Development -III (BSID-III) and the Vineland Adaptive Behavior Scales, Second Edition (VABS-II). We re-analyzed a cohort of 25 children, 20 with rapid progressing disease and 5 with slow progression, who had been followed over two years using the BSID-III, and the VABS-II. Previously findings were reported using age equivalent scores; now we are also presenting findings with GSVs. For the re-analysis, Language and Motor scores were added to the Cognitive scale on the BSID-III, and Domain- and Subdomain-level scores added to the Total VABS-II score (i.e., ABC Composite). We evaluated raw scores, age equivalent scores, and GSVs (and standard scores for the VABS-II only). Individual patient data can be found in the appendices to this publication. Results indicate that 1) Cognition as measured by GSVs was the most sensitive to decline; 2) GSVs showed significant decline in the range of 4 to 6 years of age; 3) For children under 4 years of age, positive growth occurs on most scales and most metrics, with the exception of language which slows somewhat earlier; 4) Other than the Cognitive scale, Receptive Language on the BSID-III and Receptive Communication on the VABS-II showed the most sensitivity to change; 5) Gross Motor skills showed the least decline over time and appeared to lack sensitivity to MPS IIIA motor concerns; and 6) No evidence for sensitivity to change for any metric was found in time intervals less than one year. We conclude that GSVs are a precise measurement of change to detect decline in function, and they are a valuable method for future clinical trials in MPS IIIA. Evidence continues to support cognition as a primary endpoint. Additional work is needed to identify sensitive measures of meaningful endpoints to families.

Genotype-phenotype findings in patients with mucopolysaccharidosis II from the Hunter Outcome Survey.

PURPOSE: This study investigated the relationship between mucopolysaccharidosis II (MPS II) iduronate-2-sulfatase gene (IDS) variants and phenotypic characteristics, particularly cognitive impairment, using data from the Hunter Outcome Survey (HOS) registry. METHODS: HOS data for male patients (n = 650) aged ≥5 years at latest cognitive assessment with available genetic data were analyzed. Predefined genotype categories were used to classify IDS variants and report phenotypic characteristics by genotype. RESULTS: At their latest cognitive assessment, 411 (63.2%) of 650 patients had cognitive impairment. Missense variants were the most common MPS II genotype, with about equal frequency for patients with and patients without cognitive impairment. Complete deletions/large rearrangements were associated with cognitive impairment. Cognitive impairment and behavioral issues were most common, and height and weight abnormalities most apparent, in patients with large IDS structural changes. Broadly, missense variants NM-000202.8:c.998C>T p.(Ser333Leu), NM-000202.8:c.1402C>T p.(Arg468Trp), NM-000202.8:c.1403G>A p.(Arg468Gln) and NM-000202.8:c.262C>T p.(Arg88Cys), and splice site variant NM-000202.8:c.257C>T p.(Pro86Leu), were associated with cognitive impairment, and variants NM-000202.8:c.253G>A p.(Ala85Thr), NM-000202.8:c.187 A>G p.(Asn63Asp), NM-000202.8:c.1037C>T p.(Ala346Val), NM-000202.8:c.182C>T p.(Ser61Phe) and NM-000202.8:c.1122C>T were not. CONCLUSION: This analysis contributes toward the understanding of MPS II genotype-phenotype relationships, confirming and expanding on existing findings in a large, geographically diverse population.

Genome-wide association study meta-analysis of dizygotic twinning illuminates genetic regulation of female fecundity.

STUDY QUESTION: Which genetic factors regulate female propensity for giving birth to spontaneous dizygotic (DZ) twins? SUMMARY ANSWER: We identified four new loci, GNRH1, FSHR, ZFPM1, and IPO8, in addition to previously identified loci, FSHB and SMAD3. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: The propensity to give birth to DZ twins runs in families. Earlier, we reported that FSHB and SMAD3 as associated with DZ twinning and female fertility measures. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: We conducted a genome-wide association meta-analysis (GWAMA) of mothers of spontaneous dizygotic (DZ) twins (8265 cases, 264 567 controls) and of independent DZ twin offspring (26 252 cases, 417 433 controls). PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Over 700 000 mothers of DZ twins, twin individuals and singletons from large cohorts in Australia/New Zealand, Europe, and the USA were carefully screened to exclude twins born after use of ARTs. Genetic association analyses by cohort were followed by meta-analysis, phenome wide association studies (PheWAS), in silico and in vivo annotations, and Zebrafish functional validation. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: This study enlarges the sample size considerably from previous efforts, finding four genome-wide significant loci, including two novel signals and a further two novel genes that are implicated by gene level enrichment analyses. The novel loci, GNRH1 and FSHR, have well-established roles in female reproduction whereas ZFPM1 and IPO8 have not previously been implicated in female fertility. We found significant genetic correlations with multiple aspects of female reproduction and body size as well as evidence for significant selection against DZ twinning during human evolution. The 26 top single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) from our GWAMA in European-origin participants weakly predicted the crude twinning rates in 47 non-European populations (r = 0.23 between risk score and population prevalence, s.e. 0.11, 1-tail P = 0.058) indicating that genome-wide association studies (GWAS) are needed in African and Asian populations to explore the causes of their respectively high and low DZ twinning rates. In vivo functional tests in zebrafish for IPO8 validated its essential role in female, but not male, fertility. In most regions, risk SNPs linked to known expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs). Top SNPs were associated with in vivo reproductive hormone levels with the top pathways including hormone ligand binding receptors and the ovulation cycle. LARGE SCALE DATA: The full DZT GWAS summary statistics will made available after publication through the GWAS catalog (https://www.ebi.ac.uk/gwas/). LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: Our study only included European ancestry cohorts. Inclusion of data from Africa (with the highest twining rate) and Asia (with the lowest rate) would illuminate further the biology of twinning and female fertility. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: About one in 40 babies born in the world is a twin and there is much speculation on why twinning runs in families. We hope our results will inform investigations of ovarian response in new and existing ARTs and the causes of female infertility. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): Support for the Netherlands Twin Register came from the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (NWO) and The Netherlands Organization for Health Research and Development (ZonMW) grants, 904-61-193, 480-04-004, 400-05-717, Addiction-31160008, 911-09-032, Biobanking and Biomolecular Resources Research Infrastructure (BBMRI.NL, 184.021.007), Royal Netherlands Academy of Science Professor Award (PAH/6635) to DIB, European Research Council (ERC-230374), Rutgers University Cell and DNA Repository (NIMH U24 MH068457-06), the Avera Institute, Sioux Falls, South Dakota (USA) and the National Institutes of Health (NIH R01 HD042157-01A1) and the Genetic Association Information Network (GAIN) of the Foundation for the National Institutes of Health and Grand Opportunity grants 1RC2 MH089951. The QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute (QIMR) study was supported by grants from the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) of Australia (241944, 339462, 389927, 389875, 389891, 389892, 389938, 443036, 442915, 442981, 496610, 496739, 552485, 552498, 1050208, 1075175). L.Y. is funded by Australian Research Council (Grant number DE200100425). The Minnesota Center for Twin and Family Research (MCTFR) was supported in part by USPHS Grants from the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (AA09367 and AA11886) and the National Institute on Drug Abuse (DA05147, DA13240, and DA024417). The Women's Genome Health Study (WGHS) was funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (HL043851 and HL080467) and the National Cancer Institute (CA047988 and UM1CA182913), with support for genotyping provided by Amgen. Data collection in the Finnish Twin Registry has been supported by the Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute, the Broad Institute, ENGAGE-European Network for Genetic and Genomic Epidemiology, FP7-HEALTH-F4-2007, grant agreement number 201413, National Institute of Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (grants AA-12502, AA-00145, AA-09203, AA15416, and K02AA018755) and the Academy of Finland (grants 100499, 205585, 118555, 141054, 264146, 308248, 312073 and 336823 to J. Kaprio). TwinsUK is funded by the Wellcome Trust, Medical Research Council, Versus Arthritis, European Union Horizon 2020, Chronic Disease Research Foundation (CDRF), Zoe Ltd and the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Clinical Research Network (CRN) and Biomedical Research Centre based at Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust in partnership with King's College London. For NESDA, funding was obtained from the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (Geestkracht program grant 10000-1002), the Center for Medical Systems Biology (CSMB, NVVO Genomics), Biobanking and Biomolecular Resources Research Infrastructure (BBMRI-NL), VU University's Institutes for Health and Care Research (EMGO+) and Neuroscience Campus Amsterdam, University Medical Center Groningen, Leiden University Medical Center, National Institutes of Health (NIH, ROI D0042157-01A, MH081802, Grand Opportunity grants 1 RC2 Ml-1089951 and IRC2 MH089995). Part of the genotyping and analyses were funded by the Genetic Association Information Network (GAIN) of the Foundation for the National Institutes of Health. Computing was supported by BiG Grid, the Dutch e-Science Grid, which is financially supported by NWO. Work in the Del Bene lab was supported by the Programme Investissements d'Avenir IHU FOReSIGHT (ANR-18-IAHU-01). C.R. was supported by an EU Horizon 2020 Marie Sklodowska-Curie Action fellowship (H2020-MSCA-IF-2014 #661527). H.S. and K.S. are employees of deCODE Genetics/Amgen. The other authors declare no competing financial interests. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.

International patterns and trends in the incidence of melanoma and cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma, 1989-2020.

BACKGROUND: Cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC) and melanoma have different associations with sun exposure. OBJECTIVES: To compare trends in the incidence rates of cSCC and melanoma, to provide insight into changing patterns of exposure to ultraviolet radiation (UVR). METHODS: We compared trends in the incidence of cSCC and melanoma in seven susceptible populations residing at mid-to-high latitudes: Finland, Norway, Sweden, Denmark, Scotland, the Netherlands and Tasmania (Australia). We fitted Joinpoint models to describe trends in age-standardized incidence rates for melanoma and cSCC and calculated the average annual percentage rate of change for the period 1989-2020 (1989-2018 for Tasmania). We calculated the incident rate ratio (IRR) as the ratio of the age-standardized rates (European Standard Population) for cSCC to melanoma and conducted age-period-cohort modelling to compare age, period and cohort effects. RESULTS: The ratio of cSCC-to-melanoma incidence increased with proximity to the equator and over time. In the most recent time period, the incidence of cSCC was higher than the incidence of melanoma for men and women in all seven populations. While the ratio of cSCC-to-melanoma incidence was higher for men vs. women, in most countries the cSCC-to-melanoma IRR increased over time to a greater extent in women than in men. Melanoma incidence was higher among younger people and cSCC incidence was higher among older people; the age at which the incidence of cSCC overtook the incidence of melanoma was progressively younger with proximity to the equator. CONCLUSIONS: Despite concerted international efforts to preserve the ozone layer over the past four decades resulting in significant reductions in surface ultraviolet B at mid-latitudes, the incidence of skin cancer, particularly cSCC, continues to rise in those regions. Our findings are consistent with a stronger association with age-associated cumulative sun exposure for cSCC vs. melanoma and suggest that women are currently receiving greater UV radiation exposure than in the past.

Phenotypic and genotypic risk factors for invasive melanoma by sex and body site.

BACKGROUND: Cutaneous melanoma incidence varies consistently across body sites between men and women, but the underlying causes of the differences remain unclear. To date, no prospective studies have examined risk factors for melanoma separately for men and women according to body site. METHODS: We compared the association between constitutional, genetic and environmental risk factors for invasive melanoma on different body sites separately for men and women in a population-based prospective cohort study of 17,774 men and 21,070 women aged between 40 and 69 years and residents of Queensland, Australia at baseline in 2011. Participants were followed until December 2021.We examined risk factors including hair colour, tanning ability, naevus density, and proxies for high cumulative sun exposure, all self-reported at baseline. We also examined polygenic risk score (PRS) derived from summary statistics from a melanoma genome-wide association study meta-analysis. RESULTS: During a median 10.4 years of follow-up, 455 men and 331 women developed an incident invasive melanoma; the mean age at diagnosis was lower in women than in men (62.6 vs. 65.0, respectively). The most common body site was the trunk in men (45.1%), and the upper (36.8%) and lower limbs (27.4%) in women. High naevus density and proxy measures of high cumulative sun exposure were similarly associated with melanoma at all sites in men and women. In both sexes, high genetic risk was associated with melanoma on all body sites except the head and neck. We observed differences between men and women in the association between PRS and melanoma of the trunk (highest vs. lowest tertile of PRS: HR 2.78, 95% CI 1.64-4.69 for men; 1.55, 95% CI 0.63-3.80 for women), and non-significant but large differences for the lower limbs (HR 5.25, 95% CI 1.80-15.27 for men; 1.75, 95% CI 0.88-3.47 for women). CONCLUSIONS: While there are a number of potential explanations for these findings, this raises the possibility that genetic factors other than those related to pigmentation and naevus phenotypes may play a role in the predilection for melanoma to arise on different sites between the sexes.

Melanoma as a detection-dependent cancer: proxy measures of screening and surveillance associated with 3-year incidence of detection procedures for skin cancer in a national prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Increased levels of skin detection activities are suspected of driving recent rapid increases in melanoma incidence. While ecological studies report rising rates of skin biopsies in many industrialised populations, few studies have accessed individual-level clinical data to test the hypothesis that people exposed to skin screening and surveillance go on to experience higher levels of biopsies and excisions, and higher incidence of melanoma. OBJECTIVE: To measure the incidence rates of detection events and melanoma diagnoses in a national cohort during follow-up, stratified according to screening or surveillance activities in the index year. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study of 10,674,200 men and women using linked data from Australia's universal health insurance scheme (2011-2016). Participants who underwent biopsies or who were diagnosed in skin cancer in 2011/2012 were excluded. We then defined participants as surveilled, screened, or unscreened for skin cancer based on medical claims occurring in 2013. We compared rates of biopsies, excisions for suspected melanoma, and excisions for histologically confirmed melanoma during follow-up (2014-2016). RESULTS: After adjusting for socio-demographic factors, screened people were significantly more likely than unscreened people to undergo skin biopsies (RR 2.59, 95% CI 2.56-2.63), excisions for suspected melanoma (RR 2.57, 95%CI 2.53-2.60), and excisions for confirmed melanoma (hazard ratio 3.32, 95% CI 3.24-3.40) during follow-up. Similarly elevated rates of subsequent diagnostic events were observed for the surveilled group. Importantly, rates of detection and rates of melanoma remained elevated in each of the subsequent years of follow-up among those who were screened or surveilled in the index year. CONCLUSIONS: People undergoing skin screening or surveillance subsequently experience higher rates of diagnostic scrutiny and higher rates of melanoma.

Estimating the magnitude and healthcare costs of melanoma in situ and thin invasive melanoma overdiagnosis in Australia.

BACKGROUND: Research suggests a high proportion of melanoma in situ (MIS) may be overdiagnosed, potentially contributing to overtreatment, patient harm and inflated costs for individuals and healthcare systems. However, Australia-wide estimates of the magnitude of melanoma overdiagnosis are potentially outdated and there has been no estimation of the cost to the healthcare system. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the magnitude and cost of overdiagnosed MIS and thin invasive melanomas in Australia. METHODS: Using two different methods for calculating lifetime risk, we used routinely collected, national-level data to estimate overdiagnosed MIS and thin invasive melanomas (stage IA) in Australia in 2017 and 2021, separately for men and women. We multiplied the number of overdiagnosed melanomas by the estimated annual cost of a MIS or thin invasive melanoma to quantify the financial burden of melanoma overdiagnosis to the Australian healthcare system in the year following diagnosis. RESULTS: We estimated that between 67-70% of MIS were overdiagnosed in 2017, rising to 71-76% in 2021, contributing to between 19,829 (95%CI: 19,553-20,105) and 20,811 (95%CI: 20,528-21,094) overdiagnosed MIS. In 2021, the estimated costs in Australia ranged between $17.7 million (95%CI: $17.4-17.9 million) and $18.6 million (95%CI: $18.3-18.8 million). We estimated that 22-29% of thin invasive melanomas were overdiagnosed in 2017, rising to 28-34% in 2021, contributing to between 2,831 (95%CI: 2,726-2,935) and 3,168 (95%CI: 3,058-3,279) overdiagnosed thin invasive melanomas. In 2021, the estimated costs from thin invasive melanoma overdiagnoses ranged between $2.5 million (95%CI: $2.4-2.6 million) and $2.8 million (95%CI: $2.7-2.9 million). CONCLUSIONS: Melanoma overdiagnosis is a growing clinical and public health problem in Australia, producing significant economic costs in the year following overdiagnosis. Limiting melanoma overdiagnosis may prevent unnecessary healthcare resource use and improve financial sustainability within the Australian healthcare system.

The effect of intrathecal recombinant arylsulfatase A therapy on structural brain magnetic resonance imaging in children with metachromatic leukodystrophy.

This study aimed to evaluate the effect of intrathecal (IT) recombinant human arylsulfatase A (rhASA) on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-assessed brain tissue changes in children with metachromatic leukodystrophy (MLD). In total, 510 MRI scans were collected from 12 intravenous (IV) rhASA-treated children with MLD, 24 IT rhASA-treated children with MLD, 32 children with untreated MLD, and 156 normally developing children. Linear mixed models were fitted to analyze the time courses of gray matter (GM) volume and fractional anisotropy (FA) in the posterior limb of the internal capsule. Time courses for demyelination load and FA in the centrum semiovale were visualized using locally estimated scatterplot smoothing regression curves. All assessed imaging parameters demonstrated structural evidence of neurological deterioration in children with MLD. GM volume was significantly lower at follow-up (median duration, 104 weeks) in IV rhASA-treated versus IT rhASA-treated children. GM volume decline over time was steeper in children receiving low-dose (10 or 30 mg) versus high-dose (100 mg) IT rhASA. Similar effects were observed for demyelination. FA in the posterior limb of the internal capsule showed a higher trend over time in IT rhASA-treated versus children with untreated MLD, but FA parameters were not different between children receiving the low doses versus those receiving the high dose. GM volume in IT rhASA-treated children showed a strong positive correlation with 88-item Gross Motor Function Measure score over time. In some children with MLD, IT administration of high-dose rhASA may delay neurological deterioration (assessed using MRI), offering potential therapeutic benefit.

Evaluation of early treatment with intravenous idursulfase and intrathecal idursulfase-IT on cognitive function in siblings with neuronopathic mucopolysaccharidosis II.

Mucopolysaccharidosis II (MPS II; Hunter syndrome; OMIM 309900) is a rare, X-linked, heterogeneous lysosomal storage disease. Approximately two-thirds of patients develop cognitive impairment, which is difficult to assess in clinical trials, partly owing to the variable nature of cognitive impairment. Analyzing data from siblings can help to minimize this heterogeneity. We report analyses of cognitive function from siblings with MPS II enrolled in clinical trials: a natural history study (NCT01822184), a randomized, open-label, phase 2/3 study of intravenous (IV) idursulfase with or without intrathecal idursulfase (idursulfase-IT; NCT02055118), and its extension (NCT2412787). Cognitive function was assessed using Differential Abilities Scales, Second Edition General Conceptual Ability (DAS-II GCA) scores; Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development, Third Edition; and Vineland Adaptive Behavior Scales, Second Edition Adaptive Behavior Composite (VABS-II ABC). Seven sets of siblings (six pairs and one set of three) were included. All patients received IV idursulfase and 10 received subsequent idursulfase-IT. Younger siblings initiated IV idursulfase at an earlier age than their older sibling(s) in six of the sets; the younger sibling started treatment before 1 year of age in three sets. Monthly idursulfase-IT was generally associated with a stabilization of cognitive function: DAS-II GCA and VABS-II ABC scores were higher at age-matched assessments in the majority of those who either received idursulfase-IT earlier than their sibling or who received idursulfase-IT versus no idursulfase-IT. These data suggest that early initiation of intrathecal enzyme replacement therapy may stabilize or slow cognitive decline in some patients with neuronopathic MPS II.

Changes in the incidence of melanoma in Australia, 2006-2021, by age group and ancestry: a modelling study.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the incidence of melanoma in Australia among people with ancestries associated with low, moderate, or high risk of melanoma, by sex and 5-year age group; to establish whether age-specific incidence rates by ancestry risk group have changed over time. STUDY DESIGN: Modelling study; United States (SEER database) melanoma incidence rates for representative ancestral populations and Australian census data (2006, 2011, 2016, 2021) used to estimate Australian melanoma incidence rates by ancestry-based risk. SETTING, PARTICIPANTS: Australia, 2006-2021. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Age-specific invasive melanoma incidence rates, and average annual percentage change (AAPC) in age-specific melanoma rates, by ancestry-based risk group, sex, and 5-year age group. RESULTS: The proportion of people in Australia who reported high risk (European) ancestry declined from 85.3% in 2006 to 71.1% in 2021. The estimated age-standardised melanoma incidence rate was higher for people with high risk ancestry (2021: males, 82.2 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 80.5-83.8] cases per 100 000 population; females, 58.5 [95% CI, 57.0-59.9] cases per 100 000 population) than for all Australians (males, 67.8 [95% CI, 66.5-69.2] cases per 100 000 population; females, 45.4 [95% CI, 44.3-46.5] cases per 100 000 population). AAPCs were consistently positive for Australians aged 50 years or older, both overall and for people with high risk ancestry, but were statistically significant only for some age groups beyond 65 years. AAPCs were negative for people aged 34 years or younger, but were generally not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: Melanoma incidence has declined in some younger age groups in Australia, including among people with high risk ancestry. Social and behavioural changes over the same period that lead to lower levels of ultraviolet radiation exposure probably contributed to these changes.

Age group-specific changes in keratinocyte cancer treatment rates in Australia, 2012-2021: a retrospective cohort study based on MBS claims data.

OBJECTIVES: To examine recent changes in the numbers of Medicare-subsidised keratinocyte cancer excisions, particularly for younger people exposed to primary prevention campaigns since the early 1980s. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study; analysis of administrative data. SETTING, PARTICIPANTS: Analysis of Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS) claims data for procedures related to the diagnosis and treatment of keratinocyte cancer in Australia, 2012-2021. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Age-standardised rates for MBS-subsidised claims for first surgical squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and basal cell carcinoma (BCC) excisions, Mohs surgery, surgical excisions of benign lesions, skin biopsies, and cryotherapy or serial curettage of premalignant and malignant lesions, overall, and by sex, state/territory, and age group; average annual percentage change in rate for time intervals determined by joinpoint regression. RESULTS: In men, the age-standardised rate of BCC/SCC excisions increased by 1.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.4-2.4%) per year during 2012-2019 (from 2931 to 3371 per 100 000 men) and then declined by 3.8% (95% CI, 0.5-7.0%) per year during 2019-2021 (to 3152 per 100 000). In women, the age-standardised rate increased by 2.2% (95% CI, 1.7-2.8%) per year during 2012-2019 (from 1798 to 2093 per 100 000 women); the decline to 1967 excisions per 100 000 women in 2021 was not statistically significant. BCC/SCC excision rates declined for men under 55 years of age (by 1.0-3.4% per year) and women under 45 years of age (by 1.7-2.3% per year). Age-standardised biopsy rates increased during 2012-2021 in all age groups (by 2.8-6.9% per year). CONCLUSIONS: Rates of MBS-subsidised treatment for keratinocyte cancers increased during 2012-2019, but BCC/SCC treatment rates declined among younger Australians, who have probably been exposed to less sunlight than earlier generations because of public health interventions and population-wide lifestyle changes related to technology use.

Skin cancer in Europe today and challenges for tomorrow.

One in every three cancers diagnosed is a skin cancer. Europe has the global lead in the number of UV-attributable cancer cases with the highest number of melanoma cases worldwide and the second highest number of keratinocyte cancers (KC). Further increases are expected in Europe for the coming decades. Projected increases are highest for KC with increases in incidence around 40% and increases in mortality around 50%, with KC mortality in males approximating melanoma mortality in females. The two main drivers for this skin cancer epidemic are ageing of the population but especially UV exposure. In conclusion, skin cancer represents a major challenge in the cancer field in Europe today and will continue to do so in the coming decades. This calls for a European skin cancer action plan intended to reduce avoidable UV exposure and to prepare the healthcare system to safeguard early diagnosis and treatment of skin cancer.

Intravenous Idursulfase for the Treatment of Mucopolysaccharidosis Type II: A Systematic Literature Review.

Mucopolysaccharidosis type II (MPS II; Hunter syndrome) is a rare, X-linked disorder caused by deficient activity of the enzyme iduronate-2-sulfatase. Signs and symptoms typically emerge at 1.5-4 years of age and may include cognitive impairment, depending on whether patients have the neuronopathic or non-neuronopathic form of the disease. Treatment is available in the form of enzyme replacement therapy (ERT) with recombinant iduronate-2-sulfatase (idursulfase). A systematic literature review was conducted to assess the evidence regarding efficacy, effectiveness, and safety of ERT with intravenous idursulfase for MPS II. Electronic databases were searched in January 2023, and 33 eligible articles were found. These were analyzed to evaluate the effects of intravenous idursulfase and the overall benefits and disadvantages in patient subgroups. Studies showed that intravenous idursulfase treatment resulted in improved short- and long-term clinical and patient-centered outcomes, accompanied by a favorable safety profile. Patients with non-neuronopathic MPS II had more pronounced improvements in clinical outcomes than those with neuronopathic MPS II. In addition, the review identified that improvements in clinical outcomes are particularly apparent if intravenous idursulfase is started early in life, strengthening previous recommendations for early ERT initiation to maximally benefit patients. This review provides a comprehensive summary of our current knowledge on the efficacy of ERT in different populations of patients with MPS II and will help to inform the overall management of the disease in an evolving treatment landscape.

Oral human papillomavirus (HPV) infection and HPV vaccination in an Australian cohort.

Human papillomavirus (HPV)-related oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) is increasing in incidence, yet very little is known about oral HPV infection in the general population. In this Australian-based study we assess oral HPV prevalence according to HPV vaccination status. Participants of the Oral Diversity Study were Australian residents, aged 18 to 70 years, who filled out a questionnaire about lifestyle and sexual behaviour, and donated a saliva sample in 2020 to 2021. We obtained permission to access HPV vaccination status through record linkage with the Australian Immunisation Register. Saliva samples were DNA extracted, DNA quality checked and analysed for HPV. We recruited 1023 participants to the Oral Diversity Study. Nine hundred twenty-one returned a saliva sample for analysis, 911 passed the DNA quality check and were included in the study. The oral HPV prevalence was 7.2%, and was strongly associated with sexual behaviours. We identified 27 different HPV types; 53% of participants carried high-risk HPV types, with no difference between the vaccinated and the unvaccinated groups (53% both, P = .979). Two hundred thirty participants (26%) were HPV vaccinated. The oral prevalence of the nine HPV types included in the nonavalent HPV vaccine was significantly lower in the vaccinated participants compared to the unvaccinated (0.9% vs 3.4%; P = .022). These findings suggest that a sizeable minority of Australian residents harbour oral HPV infections, and many of these are high-risk subtypes. We found some evidence that HPV vaccination resulted in lower prevalence of oral HPV infections of vaccine-specific types. Larger surveys are required to confirm these findings.

Germline variants are associated with increased primary melanoma tumor thickness at diagnosis.

Germline genetic variants have been identified, which predispose individuals and families to develop melanoma. Tumor thickness is the strongest predictor of outcome for clinically localized primary melanoma patients. We sought to determine whether there is a heritable genetic contribution to variation in tumor thickness. If confirmed, this will justify the search for specific genetic variants influencing tumor thickness. To address this, we estimated the proportion of variation in tumor thickness attributable to genome-wide genetic variation (variant-based heritability) using unrelated patients with measured primary cutaneous melanoma thickness. As a secondary analysis, we conducted a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of tumor thickness. The analyses utilized 10 604 individuals with primary cutaneous melanoma drawn from nine GWAS datasets from eight cohorts recruited from the general population, primary care and melanoma treatment centers. Following quality control and filtering to unrelated individuals with study phenotypes, 8125 patients were used in the primary analysis to test whether tumor thickness is heritable. An expanded set of 8505 individuals (47.6% female) were analyzed for the secondary GWAS meta-analysis. Analyses were adjusted for participant age, sex, cohort and ancestry. We found that 26.6% (SE 11.9%, P = 0.0128) of variation in tumor thickness is attributable to genome-wide genetic variation. While requiring replication, a chromosome 11 locus was associated (P < 5 × 10-8) with tumor thickness. Our work indicates that sufficiently large datasets will enable the discovery of genetic variants associated with greater tumor thickness, and this will lead to the identification of host biological processes influencing melanoma growth and invasion.

Cognitive and adaptive behaviors associated with disease severity and genotype in patients with mucopolysaccharidosis II.

BACKGROUND: Mucopolysaccharidosis II (MPS II) is a rare, X-linked lysosomal storage disease caused by pathogenic variants of the iduronate-2-sulfatase gene (IDS) and is characterized by a highly variable disease spectrum. MPS II severity is difficult to predict based on IDS variants alone; while some genotypes are associated with specific phenotypes, the disease course of most genotypes remains unknown. This study aims to refine the genotype-phenotype categorization by combining information from the scientific literature with data from two clinical studies in MPS II. METHODS: Genotype, cognitive, and behavioral data from 88 patients in two clinical studies (NCT01822184, NCT02055118) in MPS II were analyzed post hoc in combination with published information on IDS variants from the biomedical literature through a semi-automated multi-stage review process. The Differential Ability Scales, second edition (DAS-II) and the Vineland Adaptive Behavior Scales™, second edition (VABS-II) were used to measure cognitive function and adaptive behavior. RESULTS: The most common category of IDS variant was missense (47/88, 53.4% of total variants). The mean (standard deviation [SD]) baseline DAS-II General Conceptual Ability (GCA) and VABS-II Adaptive Behavior Composite (ABC) scores were 74.0 (16.4) and 82.6 (14.7), respectively. All identified IDS complete deletions/large rearrangements (n = 7) and large deletions (n = 1) were associated with a published 'severe' or 'predicted severe' progressive neuronopathic phenotype, characterized by central nervous system involvement. In categories comprising more than one participant, mean baseline DAS-II GCA scores (SD) were lowest among individuals with complete deletions/large rearrangements 64.0 (9.1, n = 4) and highest among those with splice site variants 83.8 (14.2, n = 4). Mean baseline VABS-II ABC scores (SD) were lowest among patients with unclassifiable variants 79.3 (4.9, n = 3) and highest among those with a splice site variant 87.2 (16.1, n = 5), in variant categories with more than one participant. CONCLUSIONS: Most patients in the studies had an MPS II phenotype categorized as 'severe' or 'predicted severe' according to classifications, as reported in the literature. Patients with IDS complete deletion/large rearrangement variants had lower mean DAS-II GCA scores than those with other variants, as well as low VABS-II ABC, confirming an association with the early progressive 'severe' (neuronopathic) disease. These data provide a starting point to improve the classification of MPS II phenotypes and the characterization of the genotype-phenotype relationship.

Vitamin D Supplementation and the Incidence of Cataract Surgery in Older Australian Adults.

PURPOSE: Observational studies suggest that higher serum 25-hydroxy vitamin D (25(OH)D) concentration may be associated with lower risk of cataract. However, no randomized controlled trials have assessed the effect of vitamin D supplementation on the incidence of cataract. We aimed to assess whether vitamin D supplementation reduces the incidence of cataract surgery. DESIGN: We conducted an ancillary study of the D-Health Trial, a randomized, double-masked, placebo-controlled trial of monthly vitamin D conducted from 2014 through 2020 within the Australian general population. PARTICIPANTS: We invited 421 207 men and women 60 to 84 years of age to participate; including an additional 1896 volunteers, 40 824 expressed interest. Those with hypercalcemia, hyperparathyroidism, kidney stones, osteomalacia, or sarcoidosis or those who were taking more than 500 international units (IU) supplemental vitamin D per day were excluded. A total of 21 315 were randomized, and 1390 participants did not fulfil the eligibility criteria for this analysis (linked data available, no cataract within first 6 months), leaving 19 925 included. The median follow-up was 5 years. METHODS: Participants took 60 000 IU of vitamin D3 (n = 10 662) or placebo (n = 10 653) orally once per month for a maximum of 5 years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome for this analysis was the first surgical treatment for cataract, ascertained through linkage to universal health insurance records and hospital data. RESULTS: Among 19 925 participants eligible for this analysis (mean age, 69.3 years; 46% women) 3668 participants (18.4%) underwent cataract surgery during follow-up (vitamin D: n = 1841 [18.5%]; placebo: n = 1827 [18.3%] ). The incidence of cataract surgery was similar between the two groups (incidence rate, 41.6 and 41.1 per 1000 person-years in the vitamin D and placebo groups, respectively; hazard ratio, 1.02; 95% confidence interval, 0.95-1.09). In prespecified subgroup analyses, the effect of vitamin D supplementation on the incidence of cataract surgery was not modified by age, sex, body mass index, predicted serum 25(OH)D concentration, or ambient ultraviolet radiation. CONCLUSIONS: Routinely supplementing older adults who live in an area with a low prevalence of vitamin D deficiency with high-dose vitamin D is unlikely to reduce the need for cataract surgery. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found after the references.

Does genetic risk modify the effect of skin screening on melanoma detection rates?

BACKGROUND: Skin screening is associated with higher melanoma detection rates, a potential indicator of overdiagnosis, but it remains possible that this effect is due to confounding by genetic risk. OBJECTIVES: To compare melanoma incidence among screened vs. unscreened participants within tertiles of genetic risk. METHODS: We investigated melanoma incidence in the QSkin study, a prospective cohort study which for this analysis comprised 15 283 participants aged 40-69 years with genotype data and no prior history of melanoma. We calculated a polygenic score (PGS) for melanoma. We first calculated the age-standardized rate (ASR) of melanoma within PGS tertiles, and then measured the association between skin examination and melanoma detection by calculating the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI), overall and within PGS tertiles. RESULTS: Melanoma incidence increased with PGS (ASR per 100 000 per year): tertile 1 = 442; tertile 2 = 519; tertile 3 = 871. We found that the HRs for all melanomas (i.e. in situ and invasive) associated with skin examination differed slightly across PGS tertiles [age- and sex-adjusted tertile 1 HR 1.88 (95% CI 1.26-2.81); tertile 2 HR 1.70 (95% CI 1.20-2.41); tertile 3 HR 1.96 (95% CI 1.43-2.70); fully adjusted tertile 1 HR 1.14 (95% CI 0.74-1.75); tertile 2 HR 1.21 (95% CI 0.82-1.78); tertile 3 HR 1.41 (95% CI 1.00-1.98)], but these differences were not statistically significant. HRs for in situ melanoma associated with skin examination were similar across PGS tertiles. For invasive melanomas, the point estimates appeared to be highest in PGS tertile 3 in both the minimally adjusted (age, sex) and fully adjusted models; however, these apparent differences were also not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: Genetic risk predicts subsequent melanoma incidence, and is weakly associated with screening behaviour, but it does not explain the higher rate of melanoma detection between screened and unscreened people.