Life's Essential 8 Trajectories and Risk of Stroke: A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Evidence is lacking regarding long-term patterns of change in Life's Essential 8 (LE8) and their association with the risk of stroke. We aim to evaluate LE8 trajectories and examine their association with the risk of stroke in China. METHODS: This study, conducted in a workplace setting, recruited 26 719 participants (average age, 46.02±11.27 years and a male population of 73.73%) who had no history of stroke and consecutively participated in 6 surveys from 2006 to 2016. Repeated LE8 measurements were determined by taking the unweighted average of the 8 component scores ranging from 0 to 100. People with higher scores had better overall cardiovascular health. By examining the medical records of the participants, stroke cases were identified for the period from 2016 to 2020. A latent mixture model was applied to classify the trajectory clusters of LE8 from 2006 to 2016, and Cox proportional hazard models were used to analyze the data. RESULTS: Five LE8 trajectories were detected between 2006 and 2016. Four hundred ninety-eight incident strokes including 55 (11.04%) hemorrhagic and 458 (91.97%) ischemic strokes were documented. After adjusting for covariates, the hazard ratios and 95% CIs for the association between stable-low, moderate-increasing, moderate-stable, and high-stable trajectories and incident stroke, compared with the moderate-decreasing trajectory, were 1.42 (1.11-1.84), 0.73 (0.56-0.96), 0.49 (0.39-0.62), and 0.19 (0.11-0.32), respectively. Individuals with high LE8 status (LE8≥80) exhibited a significantly reduced risk of stroke compared with those with low one (LE8≤49; P-trend <0.001). A faster annual growth in LE8 was related to a lower risk of stroke. CONCLUSIONS: Maintaining high LE8 over an extended period and high baseline LE8 status were related to a decreased risk of stroke. Despite the initial low level of LE8, improvement in LE8 attenuates or even reverses the risk of stroke.

Healthy lifestyle and cancer survival: A multinational cohort study.

Lifestyle factors after a cancer diagnosis could influence the survival of cancer 60 survivors. To examine the independent and joint associations of healthy lifestyle factors with mortality outcomes among cancer survivors, four prospective cohorts (National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey [NHANES], National Health Interview Survey [NHIS], UK Biobank [UKB] and Kailuan study) across three countries. A healthy lifestyle score (HLS) was defined based on five common lifestyle factors (smoking, alcohol drinking, diet, physical activity and body mass index) that related to cancer survival. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) for the associations of individual lifestyle factors and HLS with all-cause and cancer mortality among cancer survivors. During the follow-up period of 37,095 cancer survivors, 8927 all-cause mortality events were accrued in four cohorts and 4449 cancer death events were documented in the UK and US cohorts. Never smoking (adjusted HR = 0.77, 95% CI: 0.69-0.86), light alcohol consumption (adjusted HR = 0.86, 95% CI: 0.82-0.90), adequate physical activity (adjusted HR = 0.90, 95% CI: 0.85-0.94), a healthy diet (adjusted HR = 0.69, 95% CI: 0.61-0.78) and optimal BMI (adjusted HR = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.85-0.93) were significantly associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality. In the joint analyses of HLS, the HR of all-cause and cancer mortality for cancer survivors with a favorable HLS (4 and 5 healthy lifestyle factors) were 0.55 (95% CI 0.42-0.64) and 0.57 (95% CI 0.44-0.72), respectively. This multicohort study of cancer survivors from the United States, the United Kingdom and China found that greater adherence to a healthy lifestyle might be beneficial in improving cancer prognosis.

Trial of Intensive Blood-Pressure Control in Older Patients with Hypertension.

BACKGROUND: The appropriate target for systolic blood pressure to reduce cardiovascular risk in older patients with hypertension remains unclear. METHODS: In this multicenter, randomized, controlled trial, we assigned Chinese patients 60 to 80 years of age with hypertension to a systolic blood-pressure target of 110 to less than 130 mm Hg (intensive treatment) or a target of 130 to less than 150 mm Hg (standard treatment). The primary outcome was a composite of stroke, acute coronary syndrome (acute myocardial infarction and hospitalization for unstable angina), acute decompensated heart failure, coronary revascularization, atrial fibrillation, or death from cardiovascular causes. RESULTS: Of the 9624 patients screened for eligibility, 8511 were enrolled in the trial; 4243 were randomly assigned to the intensive-treatment group and 4268 to the standard-treatment group. At 1 year of follow-up, the mean systolic blood pressure was 127.5 mm Hg in the intensive-treatment group and 135.3 mm Hg in the standard-treatment group. During a median follow-up period of 3.34 years, primary-outcome events occurred in 147 patients (3.5%) in the intensive-treatment group, as compared with 196 patients (4.6%) in the standard-treatment group (hazard ratio, 0.74; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.60 to 0.92; P = 0.007). The results for most of the individual components of the primary outcome also favored intensive treatment: the hazard ratio for stroke was 0.67 (95% CI, 0.47 to 0.97), acute coronary syndrome 0.67 (95% CI, 0.47 to 0.94), acute decompensated heart failure 0.27 (95% CI, 0.08 to 0.98), coronary revascularization 0.69 (95% CI, 0.40 to 1.18), atrial fibrillation 0.96 (95% CI, 0.55 to 1.68), and death from cardiovascular causes 0.72 (95% CI, 0.39 to 1.32). The results for safety and renal outcomes did not differ significantly between the two groups, except for the incidence of hypotension, which was higher in the intensive-treatment group. CONCLUSIONS: In older patients with hypertension, intensive treatment with a systolic blood-pressure target of 110 to less than 130 mm Hg resulted in a lower incidence of cardiovascular events than standard treatment with a target of 130 to less than 150 mm Hg. (Funded by the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and others; STEP ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03015311.).

Associations of serum uric acid variability with neuroimaging metrics and cognitive decline: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between variation in serum uric acid (SUA) levels and brain health is largely unknown. This study aimed to examine the associations of long-term variability in SUA levels with neuroimaging metrics and cognitive function. METHODS: This study recruited 1111 participants aged 25-83 years from a multicenter, community-based cohort study. The SUA concentrations were measured every two years from 2006 to 2018. We measured the intraindividual SUA variability, including the direction and magnitude of change by calculating the slope value. The associations of SUA variability with neuroimaging markers (brain macrostructural volume, microstructural integrity, white matter hyperintensity, and the presence of cerebral small vessel disease) and cognitive function were examined using generalized linear models. Mediation analyses were performed to assess whether neuroimaging markers mediate the relationship between SUA variation and cognitive function. RESULTS: Compared with the stable group, subjects with increased or decreased SUA levels were all featured by smaller brain white matter volume (beta = - 0.25, 95% confidence interval [CI] - 0.39 to - 0.11 and beta = - 0.15, 95% CI - 0.29 to - 0.02). Participants with progressively increased SUA exhibited widespread disrupted microstructural integrity, featured by lower global fractional anisotropy (beta = - 0.24, 95% CI - 0.38 to - 0.10), higher mean diffusivity (beta = 0.16, 95% CI 0.04 to 0.28) and radial diffusivity (beta = 0.19, 95% CI 0.06 to 0.31). Elevated SUA was also associated with cognitive decline (beta = - 0.18, 95% CI - 0.32 to - 0.04). White matter atrophy and impaired brain microstructural integrity mediated the impact of SUA increase on cognitive decline. CONCLUSIONS: It is the magnitude of SUA variation rather than the direction that plays a critical negative role in brain health, especially for participants with hyperuricemia. Smaller brain white matter volume and impaired microstructural integrity mediate the relationship between increased SUA level and cognitive function decline. Long-term stability of SUA level is recommended for maintaining brain health and preventing cognitive decline.

Measurement of cumulative high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and monocyte to high-density lipoprotein ratio in the risk prediction of type 2 diabetes: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Converging data have suggested that monocytic inflammation and C-reactive protein (CRP) are biologically intertwined processes and are involved in diabetogenesis. This study aimed to investigate the association between systemic inflammation assessed by joint cumulative high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (CumCRP) and monocyte to high-density lipoprotein ratio (CumMHR) and incident type 2 diabetes (T2D) and their predictive value for T2D in a general population. METHODS: A total of 40,813 nondiabetic participants from a prospective real-life cohort (Kailuan Study, China) were followed biennially from 2010/2011 until December 31, 2020. Multivariable Cox regression analyses were conducted to evaluate the adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) of incident diabetes. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 7.98 (IQR: 5.74-8.87) years, 4848 T2D cases developed. CumMHR and CumCRP were alone or jointly associated with incident T2D after adjusting for potential confounders. Elevated CumMHR levels significantly increased the risk of incident diabetes in each CumCRP strata (P-interaction: 0.0278). Participants with concomitant elevations in CumMHR and CumCRP levels had the highest risk (aHR: 1.71, 95% CI 1.52-1.91) compared to both in the low strata. Notably, the coexposure-associated T2D risk was modified by age, sex, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and prediabetes status. C-statistics increased from 0.7377 to 0.7417 when CumMHR and CumCRP were added into the multivariable-adjusted model, with a net reclassification improvement (%) of 12.39 (9.39-15.37) (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Cumulative hsCRP and MHR were both independently and jointly associated with an increased risk of T2D and their addition to established risk factors should improve risk prediction and reclassification of diabetes.

Association of Stroke With Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease With and Without CKD.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), a risk factor for stroke and all-cause mortality, is highly prevalent among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), but it is unclear whether the association of MAFLD with stroke and all-cause mortality differs within and outside of the setting of CKD. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: We enrolled 95,353 participants from the Kailuan Cohort Study, among whom 35,749 had CKD at baseline or developed CKD during the follow-up period, and 59,604 individuals who had no CKD at baseline or during the follow-up period. EXPOSURE: MAFLD. OUTCOME: Stroke (ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke), all-cause mortality. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Adjusted Cox regression models were used to estimate the influence of MAFLD on stroke outcomes within the subgroups defined by the presence of CKD. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 12.8 years, 6,140 strokes (6.4%) and 11,975 deaths from any cause (12.6%) occurred. After adjusting for potential confounders, MAFLD was associated with an increased incidence of stroke among the participants with CKD (HR, 1.34 [95% CI, 1.23-1.45]) but not among those without CKD (HR, 1.05 [95% CI, 0.97-1.15]; Pinteraction<0.001). This association was principally related to ischemic stroke (HR, 1.38 [95% CI, 1.26-1.51]) and not hemorrhagic stroke (HR, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.85-1.26]). No association was found between MAFLD and all-cause mortality in the participants with CKD (HR,1.04 [95% CI, 0.98-1.10]) or those without CKD (HR,1.03 [95% CI, 0.97-1.09]). Among the participants with CKD, compared with non-MAFLD, MAFLD with diabetes (HR,1.36 [95% CI, 1.23-1.50]) or overweight/obesity (HR,1.30 [95% CI, 1.14-1.50]) was associated with a higher risk of stroke whereas MAFLD without overweight/obesity or diabetes was not associated with a higher risk (HR,1.08 [95% CI, 0.81-1.43]). LIMITATIONS: This was an observational study and included individuals with CKD who had a relatively high estimated glomerular filtration rate. CONCLUSIONS: MAFLD was associated with an increased risk of stroke in individuals with CKD but not in those without CKD. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), which is recognized as a risk factor for stroke in the general population, is highly prevalent among individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, the impact of MAFLD on the risk of stroke in patients with CKD remains uncertain. We investigated the association of MAFLD with stroke in individuals with and without CKD. Our analysis revealed that MAFLD was associated with a significantly increased risk of stroke in individuals with CKD, and the magnitude of this increased risk was greater in the setting of CKD. These findings highlight the need for increased attention to MAFLD in patients with CKD and emphasize that addressing and preventing MAFLD in this population may contribute to reduced morbidity from stroke.

Metabolic syndrome parameters' variability and stroke incidence in hypertensive patients: evidence from a functional community cohort.

BACKGROUND: Stroke is a common complication of hypertension, but the predictive value of metabolic syndrome parameters' variability on stroke risk in individuals with hypertension remains unclear. Therefore, our objective was to investigate the relationship between metabolic syndrome parameters' variability and the risk of total stroke and its subtypes in hypertensive patients. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 17,789 individuals with hypertension from the Kailuan study since 2006. Metabolic syndrome parameters, including waist circumference (WC), fasting blood glucose (FBG), systolic blood pressure (SBP), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and triglyceride (TG), were collected at three follow-up visits in the 2006, 2008, and 2010 surveys. We assess the variability utilizing the coefficient of variation (CV), standard deviation (SD), average real variation (ARV), and variability independent of the mean (VIM), with CV initially assessed. Participants were categorized based on the number of high-variability metabolic syndrome parameters (0, 1, 2, ≥ 3). Stroke cases were identified by reviewing medical records. The associations between variability in metabolic syndrome parameters and the risk of total stroke and its subtypes were analyzed using Cox proportional hazard regression models. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 9.32 years, 1223 cases of stroke were recorded. Participants with ≥ 3 high-variability metabolic syndrome parameters had an increased risk of total stroke (HR: 1.29, 95%CI 1.09-1.52), as well as an increased risk of ischemic stroke (HR: 1.31, 95%CI 1.05-1.63) compared to those without high-variability parameters. The study also examined variability in each metabolic syndrome parameter, and significant associations with an increased risk of total stroke were observed for variability in SBP (HR: 1.24, 95%CI 1.05-1.46) and HDL-C (HR: 1.34, 95%CI 1.09-1.64). CONCLUSIONS: Long-term fluctuations in metabolic syndrome parameters significantly increase the risk of total stroke, especially ischemic stroke. Maintaining low variability in metabolic syndrome parameters could benefit health, and hypertensive individuals must be regularly monitored.

Association of triglyceride-glucose index and its related parameters with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: evidence from a 15-year follow-up of Kailuan cohort.

BACKGROUND: Triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and its related parameters have been introduced as cost-effective surrogate indicators of insulin resistance, while prospective evidence of their effects on atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remained scattered and inconsistent. We aimed to evaluate the association of TyG and its related parameters with new-onset ASCVD, and the predictive capacity were further compared. METHOD: A total of 95,342 ASCVD-free participants were enrolled from the Kailuan study. TyG and its related parameters were defined by fasting blood glucose, triglyceride, body mass index (BMI), waist circumstance (WC) and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR). The primary outcome was incident ASCVD, comprising myocardial infarction (MI) and ischemic stroke (IS). Cox proportional hazard models and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analyses were adopted to investigate the association between each index and ASCVD. The C-index, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and net reclassification improvement (NRI) were used for comparison of their predictive value for ASCVD. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 15.0 years, 8,031 new cases of ASCVD were identified. The incidence rate of ASCVD increased along with elevated levels of each index, and the relationships were found to be nonlinear in the RCS analyses. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for ASCVD was 1.39 (1.35, 1.43), 1.46 (1.41, 1.50), 1.50 (1.46, 1.55), and 1.52 (1.48, 1.57) per 1 IQR increase of baseline TyG, TyG-BMI, TyG-WC, and TyG-WHtR, respectively, and the association were more pronounced for females and younger individuals aged < 60 years (Pfor interaction<0.05). Using the updated mean or time-varying measurements instead of baseline indicators did not significantly alter the primary findings. Additionally, TyG-WC and TyG-WHtR showed better performance in predicting risk of ASCVD than TyG, with the IDI (95% CI) of 0.004 (0.001, 0.004) and 0.004 (0.001, 0.004) and the category-free NRI (95% CI) of 0.120 (0.025, 0.138) and 0.143 (0.032, 0.166), respectively. Similar findings were observed for MI and IS. CONCLUSIONS: Both the TyG index and its related parameters were significantly and positively associated with ASCVD. TyG-WC and TyG-WHtR had better performance in predicting incident ASCVD than TyG, which might be more suitable indices for risk stratification and enhance the primary prevention of ASCVD.

Dual-trajectory of TyG levels and lifestyle scores and their associations with ischemic stroke in a non-diabetic population: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, a surrogate marker of insulin resistance, has been implicated in the risk of ischemic stroke. However, the interplay between TyG levels, lifestyle factors, and their collective impact on stroke risk in non-diabetic populations remains inadequately explored. This study aims to evaluate the association of ischemic stroke with the joint development of the TyG index and lifestyle in the non-diabetic population. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, data was collected across three consecutive biennial surveys of the Kailuan Study from 2006 to 2011. The dual-trajectory model was used to determine the temporal development of TyG levels and lifestyle scores. Statistical analysis involved Cox regression models to evaluate the association between TyG-lifestyle trajectories and ischemic stroke risk, adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: A total of 44,403 participants were included, with five distinct TyG levels and lifestyle scores trajectory subtypes identified. In the multivariable-adjusted analyses, significant differences in ischemic stroke risk among the trajectory subtypes. Group 5, characterized by the highest TyG levels and moderate lifestyle scores, exhibited the greatest ischemic stroke risk (HR = 1.81, 95% CI: 1.51-2.18), while group 4, with moderate TyG levels and higher lifestyle scores, demonstrated the lowest risk (HR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.04-1.37), compared with group 3. Participants with elevated TyG levels were at an increased risk of ischemic stroke in cases of pronounced insulin resistance, even with a healthy lifestyle. CONCLUSIONS: This study reveals the significant associations between the identified TyG and lifestyle trajectories and the stratification of ischemic stroke risk among non-diabetics. The TyG index is a valuable indicator for assessing insulin resistance. However, the potential benefits of lifestyle changes for those with significantly high TyG levels need to be clarified by more research to develop more effective stroke prevention strategies.

Association of the triglyceride-glucose index with early-onset atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events and all-cause mortality: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The association between the triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and the risk of early-onset atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events or all-cause mortality in young and middle-aged people is not fully elucidated. METHODS: The present study included 64,489 young and middle-aged people who participated in the 2006 Kailuan Study physical examination. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline curves were used to assess the association of TyG index with early-onset ASCVD events and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: During a median of 11-year follow-up, 1984 (3.08%) participants experienced at least one ASCVD event and 1,392 (2.16%) participants experienced all-cause death. A higher TyG index was significantly associated with a higher risk of early-onset ASCVD events (HR: 1.61, 95% CI 1.38-1.89) and all-cause mortality (HR: 1.39, 95% CI 1.17-1.65), respectively. For each unit increase in TyG index, the risk of early-onset ASCVD events increased by 20%. In addition, there was a non-linear association between the TyG index and early-onset ASCVD events (P for non-linear < 0.01), and a linear association between TyG index and all-cause mortality (P for non-linear = 0.476). CONCLUSIONS: A higher TyG index is significantly associated with an increased incidence of early-onset ASCVD events and all-cause mortality in a young and middle-aged population from North China.

Association between the atherogenic index of plasma trajectory and risk of heart failure among hypertensive patients: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) has been shown to be positively correlated with cardiovascular events. However, it remains unclear whether hypertensive patients with long-term high AIP levels are at greater risk of developing heart failure (HF). Therefore, the aim of this study was to investigate the association between AIP trajectory and the incidence of HF in hypertensive patients. METHODS: This prospective study included 22,201 hypertensive patients from the Kailuan Study who underwent three waves of surveys between 2006 and 2010. Participants were free of HF or cancer before or during 2010. The AIP was calculated as the logarithmic conversion ratio of triglycerides to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Latent mixed modeling was employed to identify different trajectory patterns for AIP during the exposure period (2006-2010). Cox proportional hazard models were then used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for incident HF among different trajectory groups. RESULTS: Four distinct trajectory patterns were identified through latent mixture modeling analysis: low-stable group (n = 3,373; range, -0.82 to -0.70), moderate-low stable group (n = 12,700; range, -0.12 to -0.09), moderate-high stable group (n = 5,313; range, 0.53 to 0.58), and elevated-increasing group (n = 815; range, 1.22 to 1.56). During a median follow-up period of 9.98 years, a total of 822 hypertensive participants experienced HF. After adjusting for potential confounding factors, compared with those in the low-stable group, the HR and corresponding CI for incident HF in the elevated-increasing group, moderate-high stable group, and moderate-low stable group were estimated to be 1.79 (1.21,2.66), 1.49 (1.17,1.91), and 1.27 (1.02,1.58), respectively. These findings remained consistent across subgroup analyses and sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: Prolonged elevation of AIP in hypertensive patients is significantly associated with an increased risk of HF. This finding suggests that regular monitoring of AIP could aid in identifying individuals at a heightened risk of HF within the hypertensive population.

Prediction of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events by Triglyceride Glucose Index in Predominantly Male Patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis.

Background: Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a systemic and chronic autoimmune disease that is characterized by persistent joint inflammation. RA patients experience a considerably increased risk of cardiovascular-related morbidity and mortality. The current study investigated the association between triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in a predominantly male cohort of RA patients. Methods: A total of 1613 RA patients (81.53% male) were selected from the Kailuan study. The TyG index was calculated as the logarithmic product of fasting blood triglyceride and fasting blood glucose divided by two. MACEs were defined as the composite of non-fatal myocardial infarctions and non-fatal strokes. Cox proportional hazards analysis was performed to study the association between the TyG index and MACEs. Results: A total of 59 MACEs occurred during the median follow-up time of 5.32 years. Following adjustment for age and gender, analysis by multivariable Cox proportional hazards (model 1) showed that an elevated TyG index was associated with an increased risk of MACEs (quartile 2, hazard ratio (HR): 2.741, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.220-6.157, p = 0.015; quartile 4, HR: 2.521, 95% CI: 1.074-5.917, p = 0.034). After adjustment for other variables, Cox proportional hazards analysis (model 2) showed that an elevated TyG index was independently associated with an increased risk of MACEs (quartile 2, HR: 2.348, 95% CI: 1.009-5.465, p = 0.048). In addition, subgroup analysis showed a higher TyG index was significantly linked to an increased risk of MACEs in patients aged more than 65 years (quartile 2, HR: 6.048, 95% CI: 1.311-27.908, p = 0.021; quartile 4, HR: 12.074, 95% CI: 1.438-101.358, p = 0.022). Conclusions: The TyG index was associated with an increased risk of MACEs in a predominantly male cohort of RA patients. This index may be helpful for the prediction of MACEs in male patients with RA. Clinical Trial Registration: Registration number in the Chinese clinical trial registry: ChiCTR-TNRC-11001489.

Longitudinal cardiovascular health measured by life's essential 8 metrics with incident diabetes: A 13-year prospective cohort study.

AIMS: To investigate the associations of baseline and longitudinal cardiovascular health (CVH) measured by 'Life's Essential 8' (LE8) metrics with the risk of diabetes in Chinese people with normoglycaemia or prediabetes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total 86,149 participants without diabetes were enroled from the Kailuan study and were stratified by baseline glycaemic status (normoglycaemia or prediabetes). Cardiovascular health score ranged from 0 to 100 points was categorised into low (0-49), middle (50-79), and high (80-100) CVH status. Cox regressions were used to assess the associations of baseline and time-updated CVH status with incident diabetes in the overall cohort and across baseline glycaemic statuses. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 12.94 (interquartile rage: 12.48-13.16) years, we identified 13,097 (15.20%) cases of incident diabetes. Baseline and time-updated high CVH status was associated with a lower risk of diabetes, the corresponding hazard ratio (HR) versus low CVH status was 0.27 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.23-0.31) and 0.26 (95% CI, 0.23-0.30) in the overall cohort, respectively. Additionally, the effect of high CVH on diabetes was more prominent in participants with normoglycaemia than those with prediabetes (P < 0.0001), with an HR of 0.26 (95% CI, 0.22-0.31) versus 0.50 (95% CI, 0.41-0.62) for baseline CVH, and 0.25 (95% CI, 0.21-0.30) versus 0.39 (95% CI, 0.32-0.48) for time-updated CVH. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated baseline and longitudinal CVH score assessed by LE8 metrics is associated with a lower risk of subsequent diabetes, especially in normoglycaemic adults.

Diabetes mellitus: association of cystatin C- versus creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate with mortality and cardiovascular events.

BACKGROUND: To explore the association between the differences between cystatin C- and creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRdiff), and the risk of mortality and cardiovascular (CV) events in individuals with diabetes. METHODS: Three prospective cohorts analyzed data from adults with diabetes from the Incident, Development, and Prognosis of Diabetic Kidney Disease (INDEED) study (2016-17 to 2020) in China, the National Health Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 1999-2004 to 2019) in the USA and UK Biobank (UKB, 2006-10 to 2022) in the UK. Baseline eGFRdiff was calculated using both absolute difference between cystatin C- and creatinine-based calculations (eGFRabdiff), and the ratio between them (eGFRrediff). Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to investigate the association between eGFRdiff and outcomes including all-cause mortality and incident CV events. RESULTS: A total of 8129 individuals from INDEED (aged 60.7 ± 10.0 years), 1634 from NHANES (aged 62.5 ± 14.4 years) and 29 358 from UKB (aged 59.4 ± 7.3 years) were included. At baseline, 43.6%, 32.4% and 42.1% of participants in INDEED, NHANES and UKB, respectively, had an eGFRabdiff value ≥15 mL/min/1.73 m2. During a median follow-up of 3.8 years for INDEED, 15.2 years for NHANES and 13.5 years for UKB, a total of 430, 936 and 6143 deaths and a total of 481, 183 and 5583 CV events occurred, respectively. Each 1-standard deviation higher baseline eGFRabdiff was independently associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality and CV events, with hazard ratios of 0.77 and 0.82 in INDEED, 0.70 and 0.68 in NHANES, and 0.66 and 0.78 in UKB. Similar results were observed for eGFRrediff. CONCLUSIONS: eGFRdiff represents a marker of adverse events for diabetes among general population. Monitoring both eGFRcys and eGFRcr yields additional prognostic information and has clinical utility in identifying high-risk individuals for mortality and CV events.

Association Between Arterial Stiffness and New-Onset Heart Failure: The Kailuan Study.

BACKGROUND: Arterial stiffness (AS) was associated with heart failure (HF) in previous studies based on specific populations with small samples and the effects of age and blood pressure on AS were not taken into account. Whether AS was independently associated with new-onset HF in community dwellers has not been fully investigated to date. METHODS: Individuals who participated in health evaluations and underwent synchronized brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) screening in 2010 to 2019 were included. They were free of HF and atrial fibrillation at baseline. The participants were allocated to 3 groups according to their baPWV values. Normal AS was defined as baPWV <1400 cm/s, borderline AS was defined as 1400≤baPWV<1800 cm/s, and elevated AS was defined as baPWV ≥1800 cm/s. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to calculate hazard ratios with 95% CIs of new-onset HF across different AS groups. RESULTS: A total of 40 064 participants were enrolled with a mean age of 48.81±12.67 years. During a mean 5.53 years of follow-up, 411 participants developed HF. Compared with the normal AS group, the hazard ratio (95% CI) for incident HF was 1.97 (1.36-2.86) for the borderline AS group and 2.24 (1.49-3.38) for the elevated AS group in the multivariable-adjusted model. For each 1 SD (359 cm/s) increase in baPWV, the hazard ratio (95% CI) for new-onset HF was 1.10 (1.02-1.20). CONCLUSIONS: AS was positively associated with a higher risk of new-onset HF independently of traditional risk factors, with a dose-responsive effect.

The association of cumulative low-density lipoprotein cholesterol exposure and carotid intima-media thickness in a young adulthood population.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between cumulative exposure to low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) in the young adulthood population. METHODS: Young adult subject (18-45 year old) from the Kailuan Study group who participated in the same period of follow-up and received carotid artery ultrasound were selected as the observation subjects. Among them, 3651 cases met the inclusion criteria, which required that carotid artery color ultrasound examinations be completed from 2010 to 2016, with complete IMT measurements, LDL-C data collected at least twice before carotid ultrasound, and participants' age to be ≤ 45 years at the time of carotid artery color ultrasound examination. Linear regression was used to analyze the correlation between time-weighted average (TWA) to LDL-C cumulative exposure and IMT the young population. Logistic regression was used to analyze the effects of different TWA groups on IMT thickening. Considering that the use of anti hypertensive drugs and lipid-lowering drugs may affect TWA LDL-C, this study excluded people taking antihypertensive drugs and lipid-lowering drugs, and conducted a repeat analysis of the main results. RESULTS: There was a positive correlation between TWA LDL-C and IMT, with IMT increasing by 0.017 mm when TWA LDL-C increased by 1 mmol/L * year. The TWA LDL-C in the highest group was identified as a risk factor for IMT thickening, with odds ratio (OR) values of 1.812(1.027 ~ 3.200) in the T3 group. After excluding patients taking antihypertensive drugs and lipid-lowering drugs, the results still showed that the T3 group with the highest TWA LDL-C was a risk factor for IMT thickening, with an OR value of 1.850(0.988-3.464), P for trend is 0.043. CONCLUSION: This cohort study revealed that TWA LDL-C is positively correlated with IMT in young adulthood for risk stratification, and control LDL-C levels at an earlier age may reduce the lifetime risk of developing atherosclerotic disease. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ChiCTR-TNC-11001489.

Hypertriglyceridemia, Hypercholesterolemia, Body Mass Index, and the Risk of Acute Pancreatitis.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this work was to check the connection between parameters of lipid profile and body mass index (BMI) in relation to the occurrence of acute pancreatitis within a sample of adults from northern China. METHODOLOGY: A total of 123,214 participants from the Kailuan Group were incorporated into this prospective study. The subjects were categorized into quartiles on the basis of their initial levels of triglyceride (TG), total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C). On the basis of BMI classification, the individuals in the study were divided into three distinct groups: normal weight, overweight, and obese. The data were analyzed to explore the correlation between lipid profile and BMI with acute pancreatitis. RESULTS: Over a period of 12.59 ± 0.98 years, during the median follow-up duration, a total of 410 new patients with acute pancreatitis were recorded. The occurrence rate and total occurrence of acute pancreatitis demonstrated an upward trend in correlation with elevated levels of TG, TC, and BMI. Following adjustment for multiple variables, it was observed that individuals in the fourth quartile of TG and TC levels demonstrated the highest likelihood of developing acute pancreatitis. Furthermore, our analysis revealed that a proportion of 19.29% of the correlation between BMI and the likelihood of experiencing acute pancreatitis can be attributed to the influence of elevated TG levels, whereas 12.69% of the association was mediated by higher TC. CONCLUSIONS: We found that hypertriglyceridemia, hypercholesterolemia, and obesity were risk factors for acute pancreatitis, especially in young and middle-aged men.TG and TC were the mediating factors between BMI and the risk of acute pancreatitis.

The effect of cumulative lipid accumulation product and related long-term change on incident stroke: The Kailuan Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: A single measurement lipid accumulation product (LAP) level has been shown to increase cardiovascular disease, but cumulative LAP on stroke effects is uncertain. METHODS AND RESULTS: This study included 43,089 participants, free of any cardiovascular diseases at baseline, from the Kailuan Study. The cumulative LAP was determined by multiplying the average LAP index and the time interval between two consecutive examinations, resulting in their categorization into four quartile groups. The higher LAP exposure was defined as participants with LAP values exceeding 90% of this population during each health survey. The association between cumulative LAP and stroke was assessed using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. During a median follow-up period of 11.0 (10.6-11.3) years, 2461 participants developed stroke (of which 2220 were ischemic stroke, 320 were hemorrhagic stroke, and 79 were concurrent). After adjusting for potential confounders, the risk of stroke gradually increased in Groups Q2 to Q4 compared to Q1, with hazard ratios (HRs) ranging from 1.19 (95% CI: 1.05-1.36) to 1.50 (95% CI: 1.30-1.70). Specifically, the risk of ischemic stroke showed an increase from 1.21 (1.06-1.39) to 1.56 (1.36-1.79), while no statistically significant effect was observed for hemorrhagic stroke. The longer duration of higher LAP index exposure was also associated with increased stroke risk. Similar results were obtained in the stratification and sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: Cumulative LAP was positively and significantly associated with incident stroke, especially ischemic stroke, and a longer duration of exposure to higher LAP may increase the risk of stroke.

BMI-based metabolic syndrome severity score and arterial stiffness in a cohort Chinese study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: To investigate the relationship between metabolic syndrome severity z score(MetS-Z) and arterial stiffness(AS). METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 7621 participants who took three physical examination and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity(ba-pwv) test from 2006 were enrolled. Cumulative MetS-Z(cMetS-Z) was calculated by using blood pressure, triglycerides, HDL cholesterol, blood glucose and BMI. AS was assessed by ba-pwv. Cox regression model was used to evaluate the risk of AS. All participants were divided into four groups according to cMetS-Z(Q1-Q4). The average age of the participants was 43.06 ± 8.91 years old. During a median follow-up of 6.27 years, 1831cases of AS were identified. The incident rate of AS increased gradually from group Q1 to Q4. Compared with the lowest cMetS-Z(group Q1), the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of group Q2-Q4 for AS were 1.27 (1.09-1.47),1.28(1.10-1.48) and 1.45 (1.24-1.69) respectively. The cubic spline model indicated cMetS-Z had a liner relationship with AS and the cut-off value was lower than zero. Sub-group analysis suggested cMetS-Z was related to AS especially among participants who were younger and without obesity or hypertension or diabetes. CONCLUSION: Higher cMetS-Z was associated with an increased risk of AS in this cohort community study, and this relationship seemed to be stronger among normal healthy subjects. REGISTRATION NUMBER: ChiCTR-TNC-11001489. CLINICAL TRIAL: January 1st 2006, ChiCTR-TNC-11001489 and 2011.

Early onset of hyperuricemia is associated with the risk of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease across life course.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Hyperuricemia is associated with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), whereas whether the association differed by hyperuricemia onset age remained unclear. This study sought to investigate the associations of hyperuricemia onset age with the risk of incident NAFLD across adulthood. METHODS AND RESULTS: Based on Kailuan prospective cohort, our analysis comprised 3318 new-onset hyperuricemia cases from 2006 to 2015 and 3318 age- and sex-matched controls who were randomly selected from the general population. The risk of NAFLD across the onset age groups (<45, 45-54, 55-64, and ≥65 years) were compared using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models. During a median follow-up of 6.78 years, 744 (22.42%) hyperuricemia participants and 586 (17.66%) normouricemia participants were diagnosed with incident NAFLD. After adjusted for potential confounders, the risk of NAFLD was gradually attenuated with each decade increase in hyperuricemia onset age. The adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) was 1.62 (1.33-1.97) for hyperuricemia onset age <45 years, 1.26 (1.01-1.57) for age of 45-54 years, 1.24 (1.00-1.59) for age of 55-64 years, and 1.19 (0.90-1.71) for age ≥65 years, respectively. The trend remained robust among the multiple sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: The relative risk of incident NAFLD differed across hyperuricemia onset age-group, and the association was more evident in those with a younger age of hyperuricemia onset, highlighting the importance of performing early strategies on the prevention of NAFLD.