Association between dietary insulin index and postmenopausal osteoporosis in Iranian women: a case-control study.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between the dietary insulin index (DII) and the disease's risk is unknown, despite the fact that hyperinsulinemia is presumed to contribute to osteoporosis. The insulin response of various diets determines the DII. This study aimed to investigate the connection between postmenopausal Iranian women's adherence to a diet with a higher insulinemic potential and osteoporosis. METHODS: A total of 380 postmenopausal women were included in the current case-control study. A 168-item food frequency questionnaire (FFQ) with established validity and reliability was used to evaluate individuals' daily calorie intake. The standard formula was employed to determine the dietary insulin load of each product. Subsequently, the calculation of DII was performed by dividing the dietary insulin load by the total energy consumed for each individual. In order to investigate the relationship between osteoporosis and DII, logistic regression was implemented. RESULTS: The results of the current study demonstrated a substantial inverse relationship between osteoporosis and the DII, even after accounting for confounding variables (OR = 0.927; 95% CI = 0.888-0.967). The mean scores of DII (P < 0.001) was significantly higher in control group (36.82 ± 8.98) compared to the case group (33.53 ± 6.28). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that keeping a diet high in insulin index and low in foods that are insulinogenic may improve bone mass density. Consequently, it may be essential for postmenopausal women to consume nutrients that stimulate insulin production in order to prevent osteoporosis.

Outcomes of a homestead food production program on nutritional knowledge, dietary diversity, food security and empowerment of rural women in Tehran province, Iran.

BACKGROUND: Food and nutrition insecurity is a major health issue in developing countries. Homestead food production (HFP) programs are strategies for improving food and nutrition security of a country. Iran implemented a HFP program entitled "Nutrition Improvement of Rural and Nomadic Women" in its villages for a five-year period from 2017. The current study assessed the outcomes of this mentioned program and its determinants among rural women in Tehran province. METHODS: The population of this cross-sectional study comprised a group covered by the program (n = 143) and a non-covered group (n = 160). The participants were selected randomly from 32 villages of five counties in Tehran province. Data was collected using five questionnaires: (1) General information, (2) Women's empowerment, (3) Nutritional knowledge, (4) Dietary diversity, and (5) Household Food Insecurity Access Scale (HFIAS). Data was analyzed using the IBM SPSS version 21 and the IBM Amos SPSS version 22 software. RESULTS: The results of the study showed no significant improvement in the expected indicators, such as frequency of home gardening, nutritional knowledge, dietary diversity, women's empowerment, and household food insecurity status among women covered by the program (p > 0.05). The structural equation modelling (SEM) results indicated that women's empowerment from the dimension of decision-making power (r = 0.151) and nutritional knowledge (r = 0.135) were the significant positive predictors of dietary diversity (p < 0.05), while household food insecurity predicted it negatively (r=-0.138) (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Because the current evaluated program has not been able to improve the expected indicators, modification of the program implementation may be needed, such as: addressing the probable barriers and challenges and strengthening the facilities in the covered villages. The current study presents a model of the dietary diversity predictors for consideration in redesigning or enhancing the program.

The quality of life of men experiencing infertility: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Men experiencing infertility encounter numerous problems at the individual, family, and social levels as well as quality of life (QOL). This study was designed to investigate the QOL of men experiencing infertility through a systematic review. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This systematic review was conducted without any time limitation (Retrieval date: July 1, 2023) in international databases such as Scopus, Web of Science, PubMed, and Google Scholar. The search was performed by two reviewers separately using keywords such as QOL, infertility, and men. Studies were selected based on inclusion and exclusion criteria. The quality of the articles were evaluated based on the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. In the initial search, 308 studies were reviewed, and after removing duplicates and checking the title and abstract, the full text of 87 studies were evaluated. RESULTS: Finally, 24 studies were included in the final review based on the research objectives. Based on the results, men's QOL scores in different studies varied from 55.15 ± 13.52 to 91.45 ± 13.66%. Of the total reviewed articles, the lowest and highest scores were related to mental health problems and physical dimensions, respectively. CONCLUSION: The reported findings vary across various studies conducted in different countries. Analysis of the factors affecting these differences is necessary, and it is recommended to design a standard tool for assessing the quality of life of infertile men. Given the importance of the QOL in men experiencing infertility, it is crucial to consider it in the health system. Moreover, a plan should be designed, implemented and evaluated according to each country's contex to improve the quality of life of infertile men.

Designing and psychometric evaluation of safe nursing care instrument in intensive care units.

BACKGROUND: Providing safe care in a sensitive and high-risk unit such as the ICU is one of the most crucial tasks for nurses. One way to establish the criteria for safe care is by creating a instrument to assess it. Therefore, this study was conducted with the aim of designing and psychometrically evaluating an instrument for safe nursing care in the ICU. METHODS: The current study employed a sequential-exploratory mixed-method approach with two qualitative and quantitative phases. Based on the results of qualitative phase and the literature review, the primary instrument was designed. In the quantitative phase, the designed instrument underwent psychometric evaluation. Face, content and construct validity were assessed. Face validity was assessed by 20 nurses, and content validity was assessed by 26 experts. In the construct validity stage, the sample size for the exploratory factor analysis (EFA) included 300 nurses, and for the confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) included 200 nurses who work full-time in the ICUs of hospitals affiliated with Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences in western Iran. EFA sampling was conducted in three hospitals, encompassing six ICUs, while CFA sampling was carried out in two hospitals, covering four ICUs. Sampling was done using the convenience method. The reliability of the instrument was also assessed. Finally, the interpretability, feasibility, weighting, and scoring of the instrument were evaluated. RESULTS: The qualitative phase identified three themes, including professional behavior (with categories: Implementation of policies, organizing communication, professional ethics), holistic care (with categories: systematic care, comprehensive care of all systems), and safety-oriented organization (with categories: human resource management and safe environment). The primary instrument was designed with 107 items rated on a five-point Likert scale. In the quantitative phase, the psychometrics of the instrument were conducted. First, the face and content validity were assessed, and the average scale content validity index (S-CVI) was 0.94. Then, a preliminary test was conducted to assess the initial reliability (α = 0.92) and the correlation of each item with the total score. After completing these steps, the number of items in the instrument was reduced to 52. The results of the EFA explained 58% of the total variance, with 4 factors identified: professional behavior by following guidelines, comprehensive care, accurate documentation, and pressure ulcer care. At the CFA stage, the results of the calculation of indices and goodness of fit showed that the model had a good fit. The reliability of the relative stability by examining the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) for the whole instrument in 20 samples was 0.92 with a confidence interval of 0.97 - 0.81. To measure absolute stability and determine the responsiveness of the instrument, the standard error of measurement (SEM) was 4.39 and the minimum detectable change (MDC) was 12.13. CONCLUSION: The instrument for safe nursing care in the ICU has favorable psychometric properties.

The reverse association of dietary antioxidant index with osteoporosis in postmenopausal iranian women: A case-control study.

Background: Osteoporosis, a prevalent bone malady, is prevalent in Iran. Several studies have represented the role of dietary antioxidants on osteoporosis. The dietary antioxidant index (DAI) is a valid and reliable index, which indicates a comprehensive view of dietary antioxidant capacity. This study aimed to survey the relationship of the DAI with the risk of osteoporosis in postmenopausal women in Iran. This research aimed to examine the association between the DAI and the risk of osteoporosis among postmenopausal women in Iran. Materials and Methods: In this case-control study, 440 postmenopausal women (220 cases and 220 controls) were enrolled. The dietary intake of contributors was evaluated using a 147-item food frequency questionnaire. To estimate the DAI, the amount of six antioxidant micronutrients such as Vitamins A, C, and E, selenium, manganese, and zinc was standardized. Then, the DAI was estimated by collecting the standardized consumption of these antioxidant micronutrients. Results: Our findings represented the participants in the first (crude odds ratio [OR] = 1.79, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.13-2.85, P = 0.013) and second (crude OR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.01-2.55, P = 0.043) tertiles of the DAI scores had significantly higher odds of osteoporosis compared to those in the third one; while after modifying for confounding factors, this significant reverse relationship was observed just between women in the first and third tertiles of the DAI scores (adjusted OR = 1.90, 95% CI: 1.34-3.18, P = 0.015). Conclusion: The consequence of this study suggested that adherence to a diet rich in antioxidant compounds may have protective effects against osteoporosis.

Diagnostic accuracy of first and early second trimester multiple biomarkers for prediction of gestational diabetes mellitus: a multivariate longitudinal approach.

BACKGROUND: Gestational Diabetes Mellitus (GDM) is an underlying cause of maternal and newborn morbidity and mortality all around the world. Timely diagnosis of GDM plays an important role in reducing its adverse consequences and burden. This study aimed to determine diagnostic accuracy of multiple indicators in complete blood count (CBC) test for early prediction of GDM. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, the data from 600 pregnant women was analyzed. In the study sample, the two-step approach was utilized for the diagnosis of GDM at 24-28 weeks of gestation. We also used the repeated measures of hemoglobin (Hb), hematocrit (Hct), fasting blood sugar (FBS) and red blood cell count (RBC) in the first and early second trimesters of pregnancy as the longitudinal multiple indicators for early diagnosis of GDM. The classification of pregnant women to GDM and non-GDM groups was performed using a statistical technique based on the random-effects modeling framework. RESULTS: Among the sample, 49 women (8.2%) were diagnosed with GDM. In the first and early second trimester of pregnancy, the mean HcT, Hb and FBS of women with GDM was significantly higher than non-GDMs (P < 0.001). The concurrent use of multiple longitudinal data from HcT, Hb, RBC and FBS in the first and early second trimester of pregnancy resulted in a sensitivity, specificity and area under the curve (AUC) of 87%, 70% and 83%, respectively, for early prediction of GDM. CONCLUSIONS: In general, our findings showed that the concurrent use of repeated measures data on Hct, Hb, FBS and RBC in the first and early second trimester of pregnancy might be utilized as an acceptable tool to predict GDM earlier in pregnancy.

Primary ovarian insufficiency quality of life scale (POIQOLS): development and psychometric properties.

BACKGROUND: Primary ovarian insufficiency is menopause before the age of 40. It can affect the quality of life of afflicted women. Because there is no instrument available for measuring the quality of life of these women, the present study was carried out to develop and assess the psychometric properties of the quality of life scale for women with primary ovarian insufficiency. METHODS: This exploratory sequential mixed method study was performed in two phases. In the qualitative phase (item generation), semi-structured in-depth interviews were conducted with 16 women having primary ovarian insufficiency, and a literature review was performed to generate initial items pool. In the quantitative phase (psychometric evaluation), the face, content, and construct validity (exploratory factor analysis), as well as reliability (internal consistency and test-retest methods), were evaluated. Besides, the responsiveness and interpretability were investigated. RESULTS: During the first phase of the study, the initial item pool was generated with 132 items. After the face and content validity, the number of items was reduced to 40. The results of exploratory factor analysis yielded a 28 item scale with six factors. These factors explained 58.55% of the total variance. The Cronbach's alpha for each factor was more than 0.7. Furthermore, the intraclass correlation coefficient for the entire scale was 0.95. CONCLUSIONS: The primary ovarian insufficiency quality of life scale (POIQOLS) is a valid and reliable tool for accessing the quality of life of women with primary ovarian insufficiency.

Investigating different dimensions of infertile women's quality of life: a descriptive cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Infertility is a major challenge in the life of women which affects their quality of life. Infertile women's quality of life is a relatively new field of research that has recently been considered by health researchers. However, there has been no standard tool for measuring different aspects of infertile women's quality of life with female factors, and general and specific tools of infertile couples have been used to assess their quality of life. This study, thus, aimed to analyze different aspects of the quality of life of infertile women. METHODS: This descriptive cross-sectional study was conducted on 320 infertile women referred to a teaching hospital affiliated with Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences and private infertility treatment centers in Sari, Iran. Demographic and fertility characteristics and the quality of life questionnaire for infertile women questionnaire (a 25-item tool was designed which measured 7 factors of psychological effects, sexual life with infertility family and social effects, infertility-related concerns, physical effects, adaptive approaches and factors preventing infertility adaptation), were recruited for data gathering. Data were analyzed using SPSS version 22. Descriptive statistics (percentage, mean, standard deviation), correlation coefficient, independent sample t-test, and multiple linear regression were used. P-values less than 0.05 were considered statistically significant. RESULTS: The total mean score of infertile women's quality of life was 65.68 ± 8.91%. Findings were indicative of infertile women's quality of life in the dimensions of adaptive approach (70.48 ± 15.02%), psychological (67.88 ± 12.06%), family and social (64.63 ± 10.76%), physical, 63.42 ± 11.36%), inhibitory factors/ factors preventing adaptation (60.98 ± 8.24%), related concerns (51.52 ± 10.21%) and sexual life (40.12 ± 14.28%). According to the final multiple linear regression model, women's education (B = 2.57, p < 0.001), spouse's education (B = 1.56, p = 0.046), economic status (B = 1.64, p < 0.001), age of women (B = -0.62, p < 0.001), age of spouse (B = -0.65, p < 0.001), duration of infertility (B = -0.36, p = 0.024) and duration of marriage (B = -0.39, p = 0.022) were the final predictors of the quality of life score in infertile women of the study. CONCLUSION: Given that infertility causes extensive changes in individuals, families, and social dimensions of infertile women, it can affect their quality of life. We can take steps to improve the health of infertile women by promoting various dimensions of their quality of life.

Design and psychometric properties of a questionnaire for assessing sexual and reproductive health needs of married adolescent women: an exploratory sequential mixed methods study.

To date, there is no valid and reliable instrument to specifically evaluate married adolescent women's sexual and reproductive health (SRH) needs. Hence, the aim of this study was to develop and evaluate the psychometric properties of a questionnaire for assessing married adolescent women (MAW)'s SRH needs. The current exploratory sequential mixed method study was performed in two phases. In the first phase, a preliminary questionnaire was developed based on in-depth interviews with 34 MAW and four key informants as well as a comprehensive literature review. In the second phase, validity of the questionnaire was assessed using face, content, and construct validity and reliability of the questionnaire was assessed using internal consistency and test-retest reliability. Based on qualitative content analysis and literature review, 137 items were extracted. After several modifications of the generated items, a 108-item questionnaire was prepared for the psychometric process. After checking face and content validity, 85 items remained in the study. In the exploratory factor analysis, 11 items were removed and the remaining 74 items were categorised into nine factors. Cronbach's alpha coefficient and the intraclass correlation coefficient were found to be 0.878 and 0.99 for the whole scale, respectively.Impact StatementWhat is already known on this subject? Sexual and reproductive health (SRH) needs of married adolescent women (MAW) are different from those of married adult women or unmarried, sexually active adolescents. However, there are to date no valid and reliable instruments to specifically evaluate the SRH needs of this group of women.What do the results of this study add? The final version of questionnaire consists of 74 items in nine domains including need to improve MAW's sexual quality of life, promote MAW's SRH self-care, improve MAW's SRH self-efficacy, increase MAW's SRH knowledge, increase husband's involvement in MAW's SRH, improve the performance of health care providers, strengthen the family support to married adolescent women, improve family involvement in SRH education of MAW, and provide specific premarital counselling to MAW.What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or future research? The 74-item questionnaire has acceptable validity and reliability. Therefore, it can be used by researchers and policymakers as an appropriate instrument for assessing MAW's SRH needs.

Six-Decade Trend Analysis of Life Expectancy at Birth in Asia, Regions of Asia and Iran: A Joinpoint Analysis.

Background: Life expectancy is one of the key indicators for investigating the overall health status of a population. Thus, analyzing the trend of this demographic measure is of great importance for planning health and social services in different societies. In this study, we aimed to model the trends of life expectancy in Asia, regions of Asia, and Iran over the past six decades. Methods: The annual life expectancy at birth data sets were extracted for Iran and the total Asia population between 1960 and 2020 from the database provided by the Our World in Data website. The trend analysis was performed using the joinpoint regression model. Results: During the study period, Iranians and Asians have, respectively, experienced about 32 and 28.6 years increase in life expectancy. The results from joinpoint regression showed that the average annual percent change (AAPC) of life expectancy was positive for all regions of Asia, and ranged from 0.4% for Central Asia to 0.9% for Southern Asia. In addition, the estimated AAPC in Iranian people was about 0.1 higher than the total Asian population (0.9% vs. 0.8%). Conclusion: Despite protracted wars, poverty, and social inequality in some parts of Asia, life expectancy has drastically increased in this continent over the last decades. However, life expectancy in Asia (and Iran) is still remarkably lower than in more developed parts of the world. To elevate life expectancy to a higher level, the policymakers in Asian countries should put more effort into improving the standards of living and access to health facilities in their societies.

Trend analysis of cardiovascular disease mortality, incidence, and mortality-to-incidence ratio: results from global burden of disease study 2017.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are one of the global leading causes of concern due to the rising prevalence and consequence of mortality and disability with a heavy economic burden. The objective of the current study was to analyze the trend in CVD incidence, mortality, and mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) across the world over 28 years. METHODS: The age-standardized CVD mortality and incidence rates were retrieved from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2017 for both genders and different world super regions with available data every year during the period 1990-2017. Additionally, the Human Development Index was sourced from the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) database for all countries at the same time interval. The marginal modeling approach was implemented to evaluate the mean trend of CVD incidence, mortality, and MIR for 195 countries and separately for developing and developed countries and also clarify the relationship between the indices and Human Development Index (HDI) from 1990 to 2017. RESULTS: The obtained estimates identified that the global mean trend of CVD incidence had an ascending trend until 1996 followed by a descending trend after this year. Nearly all of the countries experienced a significant declining mortality trend from 1990 to 2017. Likewise, the global mean MIR rate had a significant trivial decrement trend with a gentle slope of 0.004 over the time interval. As such, the reduction in incidence and mortality rates for developed countries was significantly faster than developing counterparts in the period 1990-2017 (p < 0.05). Nevertheless, the developing nations had a more rather shallow decrease in MIR compared to developed ones. CONCLUSIONS: Generally, the findings of this study revealed that there was an overall downward trend in CVD incidence and mortality rates, while the survival rate of CVD patients was rather stable. These results send a satisfactory message that global effort for controlling the CVD burden was quite successful. Nonetheless, there is an urgent need for more efforts to improve the survival rate of patients and lower the burden of this disease in some areas with an increasing trend of either incidence or mortality.

Trend analysis of disability adjusted life years due to cardiovascular diseases: results from the global burden of disease study 2019.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the number one cause of global mortality representing about one third of all deaths across the world. The objective of the present study was to model the global trend in disability-adjusted life years (DALY) and its components due to CVD over the past three decades. We also aimed to evaluate the longitudinal relationship between CVD DALY and Human Development Index (HDI) in this period of time. METHODS: The age-standardized rates of years lost due to disability (YLD), years of life lost (YLL) and DALY were extracted for cardiovascular diseases from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019 in years 1990 to 2019. Additionally, the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) database was used to retrieve HDI values for all world countries at the same period time. The trend analysis was performed using the joinpoint regression model. RESULTS: The obtained revealed a significant downward trend for DALY and its components with the average annual percent change of - 1.0, - 0.3 and - 1.1 per 100,000 population, respectively for DALY, YLD and YLL. We also found that countries with high/very high levels of HDI have remarkably experienced steeper declining slope of trend than those in lower levels of HDI over the study period. CONCLUSIONS: Although the observed decreasing trend of CVD burden is a hopeful message for all world countries, the considerable gap in slope of trend between richer and poorer parts of the world is a serious alarm for health policy makers. Regarding this, there is an urgent need to put more efforts on implementing preventive programs, improving the level of patients' care and providing efficient treatment, especially in regions with lower levels of HDI.

Scrutinize of healthy school canteen policy in Iran's primary schools: a mixed method study.

BACKGROUND: Schools provide an opportunity for developing strategies to create healthy food environments for children. The present study aimed to analyze the Healthy School Canteen (HSC) policy and identify challenges of its implementation to improve the school food environment in Iran. METHODS: This mixed method study included two qualitative and quantitative phases. In the qualitative phase, triangulation approach was applied by using semi-structured interviews with key informants, documents review and direct observation. Data content analysis was conducted through policy analysis triangle framework. In the quantitative phase, food items available in 64 canteens of primary schools of Tehran province were gathered. The food's nutrient data were evaluated using their nutrition facts label. The number and proportion of foods that met the criteria based on Iran's HSC guideline and the World Health Organization nutrient profile model for the Eastern Mediterranean Region (WHO-EMR) were determined. RESULTS: The main contextual factors that affected adoption of HSC policy included health (nutritional transition, high prevalence of non-communicable diseases and unhealthy food environment in and around the schools), political (upstream supportive policies and joint memorandums about health children between the Ministry of Health and Medical Education and Ministry of Education), structural (the lack of unified stewardship, inadequate human resource capacity, poor inter-sectional cooperation), economic (school financial problems, poor fiscal supportive of food policies), and socio-cultural (mothers working outside the home, the role of children's peer group, low nutrition knowledge of school principals) factors. Assessment of the school canteens showed that a large proportion of available foods did not comply with the national guidelines (54.7 ± 2.54%) and WHO-EMR model (85.6 ± 2.34%). The main reasons identified for incomplete implementation of the policy were inadequate physical and economic infrastructure to set up standard school canteens, lack of scientific criteria for food categorization, poor monitoring, high price of healthy foods, and conflict of interest among the actors. CONCLUSION: The majority of foods and beverages available in the school canteens did not comply with national and regional standards. Iran HSC policy needs to be improved by using an evidence-based approach and active interaction between all key actors.

Joint frailty model for recurrent events and death in presence of cure fraction: Application to breast cancer data.

In many biomedical cohort studies, recurrent or repeated events for individuals can be terminated by a dependent terminal event like death. In this context, the time of death may be associated with the underlying recurrent process and there often exists the dependence between the occurrences of recurrent events. Moreover, there are some situations in which a portion of patients could be cured. In the present study, the term "cured" means that some patients may neither experience any recurrent events nor death induced by the disease under study. We proposed a joint frailty model in the presence of cure fraction for analysis of the recurrent and terminal events and estimated the effect of covariates on the cure rate and both aforementioned events concurrently. The use of two independent gamma distributed frailties in this model enabled us to consider both the dependence between the recurrences and the survival times and the interrecurrences dependence. The model parameters were estimated employing the maximum likelihood method for a piecewise constant and a parametric baseline hazard function. Our proposed model was evaluated by a simulation study and illustrated using a real data set on patients with breast cancer who had undergone surgery.

Correlation between gastric volume and organs at risk dose in adjuvant radiotherapy for left breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: The role of the gastric volume on the dose-effect relationship for these organs has not been investigated. The aim of the study was to evaluate the correlation between gastric volume and dose-volume histogram (DVH) parameters of the heart, left lung and stomach during left breast cancer radiotherapy (RT). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Ninety-nine left breast cancer patients who got adjuvant radiotherapy were included. Study was classified into two groups based on treatment field arrangements: 1) breast tangential fields only (T) and 2) breast tangential and supraclavicular fields (TS). Organs DVHs were extracted. Descriptive statistics, Pearson correlation, linear regression analyses, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were performed. RESULTS: There is a direct but not significant correlation between the gastric volume and doses to the stomach and left lung. For a 100-cc increase in the gastric volume, the stomach maximum dose and the V50 increased by 3 Gy and 4%, respectively. For the left lung, V4 and V5 increased by 1% for TS cases. Considering ROC analysis results, one can make a decision for about 74% of patients due to their left lung DVH parameters, using gastric volume as a known input data. The correlation between gastric volume and heart dose was not significant. CONCLUSIONS: The gastric volume of about 170 cc or less can result in lower dose to the stomach and ipsilateral lung during left breast cancer radiotherapy, especially for TS cases. To reach this gastric volume threshold, patients should be fast for 2 hours before the procedure of CT simulation and treatment.

Trend analysis and longitudinal clustering of tuberculosis mortality in Asian and North African countries: Results from the global burden of disease 2017 study.

Background: Tuberculosis (TB) is still a serious health problem with a remarkable global burden. In this study, we aimed to assess the trend of TB mortality in Asian and North African countries in the period 1990-2017 and provide a new classification according to TB mortality trend. Methods: TB mortality rates from 1990 to 2017 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease website for 55 Asian and North African countries. Trend analysis of TB mortality rates for males, females, and the total population was performed using the marginal modeling approach. Moreover, the latent growth mixture modeling (LGMM) framework was applied to classify these 55 countries based on their trend of TB mortality rate. Results: In the period between 1990 and 2017, South Asia and High Income Asia-Pacific regions had the highest and lowest death rates due to TB, respectively. The marginal modeling results showed that the Asian and North African countries had experienced a downward trend with an intercept of 28.79 (95%CI: 19.64, 37.94) and a slope (mean annual reduction) of -0.67 (95%CI: -0.91, -0.43) per 100,000 the study period. Finally, the LGMM analysis classified these 55 countries into four distinct classes. Conclusion: In general, our findings revealed that although the countries in Asia and North Africa super region experienced a descending TB mortality trend in the past decades, the slope of this reduction is quite small. Also, our new classification may be better suited for combating TB through future healthcare planning in lieu of the commonly used geographic classifications.

Trend Analysis of HIV/AIDS Burden in Iran: Results from the Global Burden of Disease 2017 Study.

Background: Despite global efforts, human immunodeficiency virus/ acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS) is still one of the major public health problems in the entire world. In this context, assessing the burden of this disease in different parts of the world is of great importance. In this study, we aimed to investigate the trends of HIV/AIDS incidence and mortality in Iran during 1990 and 2017. Methods: The HIV/AIDS burden data, including the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and the mortality rate (ASMR), was extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases 2017 study for the total Iranian population and by gender from 1990 to 2017. The trend analysis was performed using joinpoint regression modeling approach. Results: The obtained results showed that in 2017, the HIV/AIDS ASIR and ASMR were, respectively, more than 12 and 10 times of these rates in 1990. Also, the estimated average annual percent change (AAPC) was 9.8% and 8.7%, respectively for the ASIR and the ASMR. In this period, women have experienced a sharper slope of ASIR and ASMR trends compared with Iranian men. Conclusion: The increasing trend of HIV/AIDS burden is a serious alarm for the Iranian health policymakers. To achieve the United Nations Programme on HIV and AIDS goals, there is an urgent need for an efficient national action plan that breaks the HIV/AIDS taboo in the society, promote access to HIV testing and prevention facilities, especially among the key populations, and provide care and treatments for all infected people.

Longitudinal association between body mass index and physical activity among adolescents with different parental risk: a parallel latent growth curve modeling approach.

BACKGROUND: Data available on the association between physical activity (PA) and body mass index (BMI) in different periods of life is controversial. Using a parallel latent growth curve modeling (LGCM) approach, the current study aimed to investigate the influence of daily PA on adolescents' BMI over a 12 year follow-up, taking into account their parental risk. METHOD: Participants comprised 1323 adolescents (53.5% girls), aged 12-18 years who had participated in the baseline phase of Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) (2001-2003), and were followed for an average period of 12 years. Physical activity, including leisure time and occupational activities, was assessed using the reliable and validated Iranian version of the Modifiable Activity Questionnaire (MAQ). Weight and height were objectively measured in order to calculateBMI.Atwo-step cluster analysis was conducted to classify parents into two high- and low-risk clusters. Parallel LGCM was fitted to estimate cross-sectional, prospective and parallel associations, which assessed the longitudinal association between simultaneous changes in PA and BMI during the study period. Analyses were stratified by gender and parental clusters. RESULTS: A rising trend of BMI per 3 years was observed in boys 1.39 kg.m2(95% CI; 1.32, 1.48) and girls 0.9 kg.m2(95% CI; 0.82, 0.98), as well as in the low risk 1.11 kg.m2(95% CI; 1.03, 1.18) and high-risk 1.12 kg.m2(95% CI; 1.03, 1.22) clusters. Moreover, a positive prospective association between PA at baseline and BMI change over the 12 year follow-up, was observed in adolescents in the low-risk parental cluster 0.27(95% CI; 0.14, 0.41) indicating that higher levels of PA at baseline may lead to greater BMI in adolescents over time. However, examining longitudinal parallel association between simultaneous changes of PA and BMI per 3 years revealed adverse associations for adolescents in the low-risk parental cluster - 0.07 (95% CI; - 0.13, - 0.01) and in boys - 0.06 (95% CI; - 0.11, - 0.01). CONCLUSION: Despite a positive prospective association between BMI and PA at baseline, there was a weak inverse parallel association between these variables over time, particularly in boys and adolescents with low parental risk. These findings imply the potential role of other influential factors indetermining adolescents' weight status which need to be considered in the future plannings.

Diagnostic accuracy of maternal serum multiple marker screening for early detection of gestational diabetes mellitus in the absence of a gold standard test.

BACKGROUND: Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is associated with adverse diabetic complications for both mother and child during pregnancy. The common Gold Standard (GS) for diagnosis of GDM is 75 g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) during 24-28 gestational weeks which seems a little late for any proper intervention. This study aimed to employ the Bayesian latent class models (LCMs) for estimating the early diagnostic power of combination of serum multiple marker in detecting GDM during 14-17 weeks of gestation. METHODS: Data from a sample of 523 pregnant women who participated in gestational diabetes screening tests at health centers affiliated to Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences in Tehran, Iran from 2017 to 2018 were used. The beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (ß-hCG), unconjugated estriol (uE3), and alfa-fetoprotein (AFP) values were extracted from case records for all participants. The Bayesian LCMs were applied for estimating sensitivity, specificity, and area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of combining the three biomarkers' results in the absence of GS, adjusting for maternal age and body mass index. RESULTS: The mean (standard deviation) maternal age of the participants was 28.76 (±5.33) years. Additionally, the mean (standard deviation) BMI was 24.57 (±3.22) kg/m2. According to the Bayesian model, the cSensitivity, cSpecificity, and cAUC for the optimal composite diagnostic test were estimated as 94% (95% credible interval (CrI) [0.91-0.99]), 86% (95% CrI [0.80-0.92]), and 0.92 (95% CrI [0.87-0.98]), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, the findings revealed that the combination of uE3, AFP, and ß-hCG results might be considered as an acceptable predictor for detecting GDM with a rather high level of accuracy in the early second trimester of pregnancy without a GS.

Structural equation modeling of psychosocial determinants of health for the empowerment of Iranian women in reproductive decision making.

BACKGROUND: Women's empowerment is a process wherein females are afforded power over their own lives as well as their participation in the communities and larger societies to which they belong. An important aspect of such empowerment is the right to make decisions regarding fertility-an entitlement affected by the social health determinants that contribute to the social conditions under which humans live and work throughout their lives. As one such determinant, psychosocial factors play an essential role in the development of women's empowerment. Correspondingly, this study conducted a structural equation modeling of these determinants to examine the empowerment of Iranian women in reproductive decision making. METHODS: This cross-sectional study involved 400 women who were referred to clinical centers of the Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences in Tehran, Iran. Data were collected using six questionnaires, namely, demographic, socioeconomic, and social support questionnaires, the Rosenberg self-esteem scale, a marital satisfaction questionnaire, and an empowerment survey. The data were analyzed using SPSS software version 17, and the structural equation modeling was carried out using EQS software version 6.1. RESULTS: The Iranian women had an average level of empowerment with respect to reproductive decision making, and such empowerment was related to all the psychosocial factors examined (p = 0.001). The final model appropriately fit the data (comparative fit index = 0.92, root mean square error of approximation = 0.06). The psychosocial factors served as intermediate social determinants of the women's empowerment in reproductive decision making (ß = 0.78, p = 0.001). This empowerment was indirectly affected by socioeconomic situation as a structural factor (ß = 0.44, p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Socioeconomic factors, through the mechanism of psychosocial determinants, may significantly affect women's empowerment in making decisions regarding reproductive health. Conditions associated with these factors should be improved to ensure that women claim and exercise their right to have mastery over their reproductive health.