Burden and Trends of IBD in 5 Asian Countries From 1990 to 2019: A Comparison With the United States and the United Kingdom.

BACKGROUND: IBD is becoming a global health challenge, with substantial variations in incidence and death rates between Eastern and Western countries. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the burden and trends of IBD in 5 Asian countries, the United States, and the United Kingdom. DESIGN: This was a cross-sectional study. SETTING: Data were obtained from Global Burden of Disease 2019 Study. PATIENTS: Patients with IBD were included. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incidence, death, and age-standardized rates of IBD were measured. RESULTS: The age-standardized incidence and rates of death from IBD gradually decreased worldwide from 1990 to 2019. The age-standardized incidence rate in the United States decreased from 1990 to 2000 and then increased gradually from 2000 to 2019; the age-standardized incidence rates in the United Kingdom, Mongolia, and China increased gradually from 1990 to 2019, whereas in the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, it decreased from 1990 to 1995 and increased gradually from 1995 to 2019. The age-standardized death rate in the Republic of Korea exhibited a rising trend until 1995, fell significantly up to 2015, and then stabilized from 2015 to 2019. The age-standardized death rate in the United States showed a rising trend until 2007, and then decreased gradually from 2007 to 2019, whereas the rate in the United Kingdom showed a rising trend until 2010 and decreased from 2010 to 2019. The age-standardized death rates in China, Mongolia, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, and Japan decreased gradually from 1990 to 2019. The age-standardized incidence and death rates in the United States and United Kingdom in recent decades were higher than those in the 5 Asian countries. The peak age-standardized incidence rates in the 7 countries were among people of 20 to 60 years of age. The age-standardized death rates in all 7 countries exhibited rising trends with increasing age, with older individuals, particularly those aged ≥70 years, accounting for the most deaths. LIMITATIONS: Limitations of this study include data from different countries with different quality and accuracy. CONCLUSIONS: There have been large variations in the burdens and trends of IBD between 5 Asian countries, the United States, and the United Kingdom during the past 3 decades. These findings may help policymakers to make better public decisions and allocate appropriate resources. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/B996 . CARGA Y TENDENCIAS DE LA ENFERMEDAD INFLAMATORIA INTESTINAL EN CINCO PASES ASITICOS DESDE HASTA UNA COMPARACIN CON LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS Y EL REINO UNIDO: ANTECEDENTES:La enfermedad inflamatoria intestinal se está convirtiendo en un desafío en la salud mundial, con variaciones sustanciales en las tasas de incidencia y mortalidad entre los países orientales y occidentales.OBJETIVO:Investigar la carga y las tendencias de la enfermedad inflamatoria intestinal en cinco países asiáticos, EE. UU. y el Reino Unido.DISEÑO:Estudio transversal.ESCENARIO:Estudio de carga global de morbilidad 2019.PACIENTES:Enfermedad inflamatoria intestinal.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO:Incidencia, muerte y tasas estandarizadas por edad de enfermedad inflamatoria intestinal.RESULTADOS:Las tasas de incidencia y muerte estandarizadas por edad de la enfermedad inflamatoria intestinal disminuyeron gradualmente en todo el mundo desde 1990 hasta 2019. La tasa de incidencia estandarizada por edad en los EE. UU. disminuyó de 1990 a 2000 y luego aumentó gradualmente de 2000 a 2019, las tasas en el Reino Unido, Mongolia y China aumentaron gradualmente de 1990 a 2019, mientras que la tasa en la República Popular Democrática de Corea disminuyó de 1990 a 1995 y aumentó gradualmente de 1990 a 2019. La tasa de mortalidad estandarizada por edad en la República de Corea exhibió un tendencia ascendente hasta 1995, cayó significativamente hasta 2015 y luego se estabilizó de 2015 a 2019. La tasa de mortalidad estandarizada por edad en los EE. UU. mostró una tendencia ascendente hasta 2007 y luego disminuyó gradualmente de 2007 a 2019, mientras que la tasa en el Reino Unido mostró una tendencia ascendente hasta 2010 y disminuyó de 2010 a 2019. Las tasas de mortalidad estandarizadas por edad en China, Mongolia, la República Popular Democrática de Corea y Japón disminuyeron gradualmente de 1990 a 2019. La tasa de incidencia estandarizada por edad y mortalidad en los EE. UU. y el Reino Unido en la última década fueron más altas que las de los cinco países asiáticos. Las tasas máximas de incidencia estandarizadas por edad en los siete países se dieron entre personas de 20 a 60 años. Las tasas de mortalidad estandarizadas por edad en los siete países exhibieron tendencias crecientes con el aumento de la edad, y las personas mayores, en particular las de ≥70 años, representaron la mayoría de las muertes.LIMITACIONES:Datos de diferentes países con diferente calidad y precisión.CONCLUSIONES:Ha habido grandes variaciones en las cargas y tendencias de la enfermedad inflamatoria intestinal entre cinco países asiáticos, EE. UU. y el Reino Unido durante las últimas tres décadas. Estos hallazgos pueden ayudar a los formuladores de políticas a tomar mejores decisiones públicas y asignar los recursos apropiados. Consulte Video Resumen en http://links.lww.com/DCR/B996 . (Traducción- Dr. Francisco M. Abarca-Rendon ).

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy for nonmetastatic esophago-gastric adenocarcinomas: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: A systematic review and meta-analysis was performed to investigate the efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy for nonmetastatic esophago-gastric adenocarcinomas. METHODS: Electronic databases were searched systematically from January 1980 to July 2012 and a total of 2,587 patients from 17 randomized controlled trials were subjected to meta-analysis. The odds ratios (ORs) for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were calculated. RESULTS: Seventeen randomized controlled trials were obtained and various comparisons of treatment approaches were performed. Randomized controlled trials detected no differences in these comparisons: R0 resection for neoadjuvant chemotherapy versus none; Preoperative chemotherapy versus surgery alone: 3-year OS, 5-year OS, 5-year OS in Europe, 3-year PFS; Preoperative chemotherapy plus postoperative chemotherapy versus postoperative chemotherapy: 1-year OS, 5-year OS; Preoperative chemotherapy versus preoperative chemoradiotherapy: 3-year OS. Randomized controlled trials detected significant differences in these comparisons: Preoperative chemotherapy plus postoperative chemotherapy versus surgery alone: 3-year and 5-year PFS, 5-year OS; Subgroup analysis examining preoperative chemotherapy versus surgery alone: 5-year OS in Asia; Preoperative chemotherapy versus postoperative chemotherapy: 1-year OS. CONCLUSION: The current limited evidence suggests that preoperative chemotherapy can be applied to patients with nonmetastatic esophago-gastric adenocarcinomas (specifically, advanced esophago-gastric cancer). However, the results should be interpreted with caution because of the statistically low power and the heterogeneity among study designs; therefore, our results need validations in future studies.

Identification and initial validation of maximal tumor area as a novel prognostic factor for overall and disease-free survival in patients with resectable colon cancer: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: The tumor area may be a potential prognostic indicator. The present study aimed to determine and validate the prognostic value of tumor area in curable colon cancer. METHODS: This retrospective study included a training and validation cohorts of patients who underwent radical surgery for colon cancer. Independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were identified using Cox proportional hazards regression models. The prognostic discrimination was evaluated using the integrated area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (iAUCs) for prognostic factors and models. The prognostic discrimination between tumor area and other individual factors was compared, along with the prognostic discrimination between the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system and other prognostic models. Two-sample Wilcoxon tests were carried out to identify significant differences between the two iAUCs. A two-sided P <0.05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS: A total of 3051 colon cancer patients were included in the training cohort and 872 patients in the validation cohort. Tumor area, age, differentiation, T stage, and N stage were independent prognostic factors for both OS and DFS in the training cohort. Tumor area had a better OS and DFS prognostic discrimination characteristics than T stage, maximal tumor diameter, differentiation, tumor location, and number of retrieved lymph nodes. The novel prognostic model of T stage + N stage + tumor area (iAUC for OS, 0.714, P <0.001; iAUC for DFS, 0.694, P <0.001) showed a better prognostic discrimination than the TNM staging system (T stage + N stage; iAUC for OS, 0.664; iAUC for DFS, 0.658). Similar results were observed in an independent validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Tumor area was identified as an independent prognostic factor for both OS and DFS in curable colon cancer patients, and in cases with an adequate number of retrieved lymph nodes. The novel prognostic model of combining T stage, N stage, and tumor area may be an alternative to the current TNM staging system.

Association between hospital surgical case volume and postoperative mortality in patients undergoing gastrectomy for gastric cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative mortality is an important indicator for evaluating surgical safety. Postoperative mortality is influenced by hospital volume; however, this association is not fully understood. This study aimed to investigate the volume-outcome association between the hospital surgical case volume for gastrectomies per year (hospital volume) and the risk of postoperative mortality in patients undergoing a gastrectomy for gastric cancer. METHODS: Studies assessing the association between hospital volume and the postoperative mortality in patients who underwent gastrectomy for gastric cancer were searched for eligibility. Odds ratios were pooled for the highest versus lowest categories of hospital volume using a random-effects model. The volume-outcome association between hospital volume and the risk of postoperative mortality was analyzed. The study protocol was registered with Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO). RESULTS: Thirty studies including 586 993 participants were included. The risk of postgastrectomy mortality in patients with gastric cancer was 35% lower in hospitals with higher surgical case volumes than in their lower-volume counterparts (odds ratio: 0.65; 95% CI: 0.56-0.76; P <0.001). This relationship was consistent and robust in most subgroup analyses. Volume-outcome analysis found that the postgastrectomy mortality rate remained stable or was reduced after the hospital volume reached a plateau of 100 gastrectomy cases per year. CONCLUSIONS: The current findings suggest that a higher-volume hospital can reduce the risk of postgastrectomy mortality in patients with gastric cancer, and that greater than or equal to 100 gastrectomies for gastric cancer per year may be defined as a high hospital surgical case volume.

Global, Regional, and National Burdens with Temporal Trends of Early-, Intermediate-, and Later-Onset Gastric Cancer from 1990 to 2019 and Predictions up to 2035.

BACKGROUND: Evidence for estimating and predicting the temporal trends of gastric cancer in different age groups is lacking. METHODS: Data of early-, intermediate-, and later-onset gastric cancer (EOGC, IOGC, LOGC) was from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019. The incidences and deaths due to EOGC, IOGC, and LOGC were analyzed by period, sex, geographic location, and sociodemographic incidence. Temporal trends were evaluated by estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs). The incidences and temporal trends were predicted until 2035. RESULTS: There were substantial differences in the incidence and death rates of the three populations at global, regional and national levels in 2019. From 1990 to 2019, EOGC (EAPC, -0.84) showed a slower decrease in incidence rate worldwide than IOGC (EAPC, -1.77) and LOGC (EAPC, -1.10), whereas EOGC and LOGC showed slower decreases in mortality than IOGC. The worldwide incidence rate of EOGC (EAPC, 1.44) was predicted to increase substantially from 2020 to 2035, while that for LOGC (EAPC, 0.43) was predicted to increase slightly and that for IOGC (EAPC, -0.01) was predicted to remain stable over the same period. CONCLUSIONS: This study revealed differences in the burdens and temporal trends of EOGC, IOGC, and LOGC, and highlighted the importance of tailored cancer-control measures in neglected subpopulations, especially in patients with EOGC.

The burden and trend of gastric cancer and possible risk factors in five Asian countries from 1990 to 2019.

The burdens and trends of gastric cancer are poorly understood, especially in high-prevalence countries. Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, we analyzed the incidence, death, and possible risk factors of gastric cancer in five Asian countries, in relation to year, age, sex, and sociodemographic index. The annual percentage change was calculated to estimate the trends in age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized death rate (ASDR). The highest ASIR per 100,000 person-years in 2019 was in Mongolia [44 (95% uncertainty interval (UI), 34 to 55)], while the lowest was in the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) [23 (95% UI, 19 to 29)]. The highest ASDR per 100,000 person-years was in Mongolia [46 (95% UI, 37 to 57)], while the lowest was in Japan [14 (95% UI, 12 to 15)]. Despite the increase in the absolute number of cases and deaths from 1990 to 2019, the ASIRs and ASDRs in all five countries decreased with time and improved sociodemographic index but increased with age. Smoking and a high-sodium diet were two possible risk factors for gastric cancer. In 2019, the proportion of age-standardized disability-adjusted life-years attributable to smoking was highest in Japan [23% (95% UI, 19 to 28%)], and the proportions attributable to a high-sodium diet were highest in China [8.8% (95% UI, 0.21 to 33%)], DPRK, and the Republic of Korea. There are substantial variations in the incidence and death of gastric cancer in the five studied Asian countries. This study may be crucial in helping policymakers to make better decisions and allocate appropriate resources.

Screening and validation of a novel T stage-lymph node ratio classification for operable colon cancer.

BACKGROUND: Lymph node ratio (LNR) has advantages in predicting prognosis compared with American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) pathological N stage. However, the prognostic value of a novel T stage-lymph node ratio (TLNR) classification for colon cancer combining LNR and pathological primary tumor stage (T stage) is currently unknown. METHODS: We included 62,294 patients with stage I-III colon cancer from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program as a training cohort. External validation was performed in 3,327 additional patients. A novel LNR stage was established and combined with T stage in a novel TLNR classification. Patients with similar survival were grouped according to T and LNR stages, with T1LNR1 as a reference. RESULTS: We developed a novel TLNR classification as follows: stages I (T1LNR1-2, T1LNR4), IIA (T1LNR3, T2LNR1-2, T3LNR1), IIB (T1LNR5, T2LNR3-4, T3LNR2, T4aLNR1), IIC (T2LNR5, T3LNR3-4, T4aLNR2, T4bLNR1), IIIA (T3LNR5, T4aLNR3-4, T4bLNR2), IIIB (T4aLNR5, T4bLNR3-4), and IIIC (T4bLNR5). In the training cohort, the novel TLNR classification had better prognostic discrimination (area under receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.621 vs. 0.608, two-sided P<0.001), superior model-fitting ability for predicting overall survival (Akaike information criteria, 561,129 vs. 562,052), and better net benefits compared with the AJCC 8th tumor/node/metastasis classification. Similar results were found in the validation cohort for predicting both overall and disease-free survival. CONCLUSIONS: This novel TLNR classification may provide better prognostic discrimination, model-fitting ability, and net benefits than the AJCC 8th TNM classification, for potentially better stratification of patients with operable stage I-III colon cancer; however, further studies are required to validate the novel TLNR classification.

Prognostic and Predictive Model for Stage II Colon Cancer Patients With Nonemergent Surgery: Who Should Receive Adjuvant Chemotherapy?

No ideal prognostic model has been applied to clearly identify which suitable high-risk stage II colon cancer patients with negative margins undergoing nonemergent surgery should receive adjuvant chemotherapy routinely. Clinicopathologic and prognostic data of 333 stage II colon cancer patients who underwent D2 or D3 lymphadenectomy during nonemergent surgery were retrospectively analyzed. Four pathologically determined factors, including adjacent organ involvement (RR 2.831, P = 0.001), histologic differentiation (RR 2.151, P = 0.009), lymphovascular invasion (RR 4.043, P < 0.001), and number of lymph nodes retrieved (RR 2.161, P = 0.011), were identified as independent prognostic factors on multivariate analysis. Importantly, a simple cumulative scoring system clearly categorizing prognostic risk groups was generated: risk score = ∑ coefficient' × status (AOI + histological differentiated + lymphovascular invasion + LNs retrieved). Our new prognostic model may provide valuable information on the impact of lymphovascular invasion, as well as powerfully and reliably predicting prognosis and recurrence for this particular cohort of patients. This model may identify suitable patients with an R0 resection who should receive routine postoperative adjuvant therapy and may help clinicians to facilitate individualized treatment. In this study, we aim to provide an ideal and quantifiable method for clinical decision making in the nonemergent surgical treatment of stage II colon cancer. Our prognostic and predictive model should be applied in multicenter, prospective studies with large sample sizes, in order to obtain a more reliable clinical recommendation.

Impact of lymph node micrometastasis on gastric carcinoma prognosis: a meta-analysis.

AIM: To investigate the prognostic significance of lymph node micrometastasis (LNMM) in patients with gastric carcinoma. METHODS: Two reviewers independently searched electronic databases including PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, the Cochrane Controlled Studies Register, and the China National Knowledge Infrastructure electronic database between January 1996 and January 2014. Strict literature retrieval and data extraction were performed to extract relevant data. Data analysis was conducted using RevMan 5.2.4 software, and relative risks (RRs) for patient death in five years and recurrence were calculated. A fixed- or random-effects model was selected to pool and a forest plot was used to display RRs. RESULTS: Twelve cohort studies containing a total of 1684 patients were identified. LNMM positivity was worse than LNMM negativity with regards to the number of patients who died in five years. The effects of LNMM positivity in patients with gastric cancer of different T-stages remain unclear. LNMM in patients with gastric carcinoma was also associated with a higher recurrence rate. With regards to the number of patients who died in five years, Asian patients were worse than European and Australian patients. CONCLUSION: We recommend that LNMM should not be used as a gold standard for prognosis evaluation in patients with gastric cancer in clinical settings until more high quality trials are available.

Extended antimicrobial prophylaxis after gastric cancer surgery: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

AIM: To investigate the efficacy of extended antimicrobial prophylaxis (EAP) after gastrectomy by systematic review of literature and meta-analysis. METHODS: Electronic databases of PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, the Cochrane Controlled Trials Register and the China National Knowledge Infrastructure were searched systematically from January 1980 to October 2012. Strict literature retrieval and data extraction were carried out independently by two reviewers and meta-analyses were conducted using RevMan 5.0.2 with statistics tools risk ratios (RRs) and intention-to-treat analyses to evaluate the items of total complications, surgical site infection, incision infection, organ (or space) infection, remote site infection, anastomotic leakage (or dehiscence) and mortality. Fixed model or random model was selected accordingly and forest plot was conducted to display RR. Likewise, Cochrane Risk of Bias Tool was applied to evaluate the quality of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) included in this meta-analysis. RESULTS: A total of 1095 patients with gastric cancer were enrolled in four RCTs. No statistically significant differences were detected between EAP and intraoperative antimicrobial prophylaxis (IAP) in total complications (RR of 0.86, 95%CI: 0.63-1.16, P = 0.32), surgical site infection (RR of 1.97, 95%CI: 0.86-4.48, P = 0.11), incision infection (RR of 4.92, 95%CI: 0.58-41.66, P = 0.14), organ or space infection (RR of 1.55, 95%CI: 0.61-3.89, P = 0.36), anastomotic leakage or dehiscence (RR of 3.85, 95%CI: 0.64-23.17, P = 0.14) and mortality (RR of 1.14, 95%CI: 0.10-13.12; P = 0.92). Likewise, multiple-dose antimicrobial prophylaxis showed no difference compared with single-dose antimicrobial prophylaxis in surgical site infection (RR of 1.10, 95%CI: 0.62-1.93, P = 0.75). Nevertheless, EAP showed a decreased remote site infection rate compared with IAP alone (RR of 0.54, 95%CI: 0.34-0.86, P = 0.01), which is the only significant finding. Unfortunately, EAP did not decrease the incidence of surgical site infections after gastrectomy; likewise, multiple-dose antimicrobial prophylaxis failed to decrease the incidence of surgical site infection compared with single-dose antimicrobial prophylaxis. CONCLUSION: We recommend that EAP should not be used routinely after gastrectomy until more high-quality RCTs are available.