Revealing genes associated with cervical cancer in distinct immune cells: A comprehensive Mendelian randomization analysis.

Human papillomavirus can be contracted by sexually active women. However, only a small proportion of these infections persist and have the potential to progress into cervical cancers, indicating a significant involvement of the immune system in cervical cancer development. Despite this, our understanding of the precise contributions of genes from different immune cell types in cervical cancers remains limited. Therefore, the primary objective of our study was to investigate the potential causal relationships between specific immune cell genes and the development of cervical cancers. By accessing expression quantitative trait loci datasets of 14 distinct immune cell types and genome wide association study of cervical cancers, we employed the summary data-based Mendelian randomization (SMR) along with multi-single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)-based SMR to identify significant genes associated with cervical cancers. Colocalization analysis was further conducted to explore the shared genetic causality. A total of 10 genes across 11 immune cell types (26 significant gene-trait associations) were found to be associated with cervical cancers after false discovery rate correction. Notably, the ORMDL3, BRK1 and HMGN1 gene expression levels showed significant association with cervical cancer in specific immune cell types, respectively. These associations were supported by strong evidence of colocalization analyses. Our study has identified several genes in different immune cells that were associated with cervical cancer. However, further research is necessary to confirm these findings and provide more comprehensive insights into the association between these gene expressions and cervical cancer risk.

Genome-Wide Mapping of Plasma IgG N-Glycan Quantitative Trait Loci Identifies a Potentially Causal Association between IgG N-Glycans and Rheumatoid Arthritis.

Observational studies highlight associations of IgG N-glycosylation with rheumatoid arthritis (RA); however, the causality between these conditions remains to be determined. Standard and multivariable two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses integrating a summary genome-wide association study for RA and IgG N-glycan quantitative trait loci (IgG N-glycan-QTL) data were performed to explore the potentially causal associations of IgG N-glycosylation with RA. After correcting for multiple testing (p < 2 × 10-3), the standard MR analysis based on the inverse-variance weighted method showed a significant association of genetically instrumented IgG N-glycan (GP4) with RA (odds ratioGP4 = 0.906, 95% confidence interval = 0.857-0.958, p = 5.246 × 10-4). In addition, we identified seven significant associations of genetically instrumented IgG N-glycans with RA by multivariable MR analysis (p < 2 × 10-3). Results were broadly consistent in sensitivity analyses using MR_Lasso, MR_weighted median, MR_Egger regression, and leave-one-out analysis with different instruments (all p values <0.05). There was limited evidence of pleiotropy bias (all p values > 0.05). In conclusion, our MR analysis incorporating genome-wide association studies and IgG N-glycan-QTL data revealed that IgG N-glycans were potentially causally associated with RA. Our findings shed light on the role of IgG N-glycosylation in the development of RA. Future studies are needed to validate our findings and to explore the underlying physiological mechanisms in the etiology of RA.

Association of sex-specific body mass index and waist circumference trajectories with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease incidence based on growth mixture modeling.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a common chronic liver disease. The relationship between the trajectories of obesity indicators and incident NAFLD is unknown. Therefore, this study aims to explore the sex-specific association between the trajectories of obesity indicators and the incidence of NAFLD. METHODS AND RESULTS: In total, 9067 participants were recruited for this longitudinal study. Obesity indicators use body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC). The trajectory of obesity indicators was analyzed using the growth mixture modeling. The multivariate logistic regression model was used to analyze the association between obesity indicators' trajectories and incident NAFLD. Over a median follow-up of 1.82 years, 1013 (11.74%) participants developed NAFLD. We identified BMI and WC change trajectories as the stable group, increasing group, and decreasing group. After adjusting for baseline level and other confounders, multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that compared with stable group of BMI, the increasing group, and decreasing group odds ratio and 95% confidence interval of NAFLD were 2.10 (1.06-4.15), and 0.25 (0.09-0.67) in men, and 1.82 (1.08-3.04) and 0.32 (0.16-0.64) in women. Compared with stable group of WC, the increasing group was 2.57 (1.39-4.74) in men, the increasing group, and decreasing group were 2.29 (1.70-3.10) and 0.28 (0.12-0.64) in women. Sensitivity analysis showed that the results were stable. CONCLUSION: The BMI and WC changing trajectories are significantly associated with the incidence of NAFLD in men and women. Populations of real-world health examinations can be categorized based on obesity indicator changes to prevent NAFLD.

Temporal relationship between elevated serum uric acid levels and dyslipidemia: A 5-year cohort study using cross-lagged panel analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Previous studies have demonstrated an association between SUA and dyslipidemia. This study aims to explore the temporal relationship between SUA and dyslipidemia. METHODS AND RESULTS: Based on the Beijing Health Management Cohort conducted from 2013 to 2018, the data of a physical examination population was collected, including a total of 6630 study subjects. Cross-lagged panel analysis was employed to examine the temporal relationship between elevated SUA levels and dyslipidemia, indicated by either elevated TG or decreased HDL-C. The path coefficient and the 95 % CI from baseline TG to follow-up SUA were as follows: in the general population, men, women, and people with BMI ≥25 kg/m2were 0.027 (0.008-0.045), 0.024 (0.001-0.048), 0.032 (0.001-0.063) and 0.033 (0.006-0.059) (P < 0.05); however, the path coefficient from baseline SUA to follow-up TG and the 95 % CI were not statistically significant. Furthermore, the path coefficients and 95 % CIs between elevated SUA and decreased HDL-C were not statistically significant, both in the general population and in populations stratified by gender and BMI. CONCLUSIONS: We found a temporal relationship from elevated TG to elevated SUA in the general population and the populations stratified by gender and BMI (≥25 kg/m2). However, we did not observe a reverse relationship from elevated SUA to elevated TG. Additionally, we did not find a temporal relationship between decreased HDL-C and elevated SUA in both the general population and the stratified populations.

Bidirectional Two-Sample Mendelian Randomization Study of Immunoglobulin G N-Glycosylation and Senescence-Associated Secretory Phenotype.

Observational studies revealed changes in Immunoglobulin G (IgG) N-glycosylation during the aging process. However, it lacks causal insights and remains unclear in which direction causal relationships exist. The two-sample bidirectional Mendelian randomization (MR) design was adopted to explore causal associations between IgG N-glycans and the senescence-associated secretory phenotype (SASP). Inverse variance weighted (IVW) and Wald ratio methods were used as the main analyses, supplemented by sensitivity analyses. Forward MR analyses revealed causal associations between the glycan peak (GP) and SASP, including GP6 (odds ratio [OR] = 0.428, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.189-0.969) and GP17 (OR = 0.709, 95%CI = 0.504-0.995) with growth/differentiation factor 15 (GDF15), GP19 with an advanced glycosylation end-product-specific receptor (RAGE) (OR = 2.142, 95% CI = 1.384-3.316), and GP15 with matrix metalloproteinase 2 (MMP2) (OR = 1.136, 95% CI =1.008-1.282). The reverse MR indicated that genetic liability to RAGE was associated with increased levels of GP17 (OR = 1.125, 95% CI = 1.003-1.261) and GP24 (OR = 1.222, 95% CI = 1.046-1.428), while pulmonary and activation-regulated chemokines (PARC) exhibited causal associations with GP10 (OR = 1.269, 95% CI = 1.048-1.537) and GP15 (OR = 1.297, 95% CI = 1.072-1.570). The findings provided suggested evidence on the bidirectional causality between IgG N-glycans and SASP, which might reveal potential regulatory mechanisms.

The Causality between Human Immunoglobulin G (IgG) N-Glycosylation and Aging: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

BACKGROUND: Immunoglobulin G (IgG) N-glycosylation is considered a potential biomarker for aging and various pathological conditions. However, whether these changes in IgG N-glycosylation are a consequence or a contributor to the aging process remains unclear. This study aims to investigate the causality between IgG N-glycosylation and aging using Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. METHODS: We utilized genetic variants associated with IgG N-glycosylation traits, the frailty index (FI), and leukocyte telomere length (LTL) from a previous genome-wide association study (GWAS) on individuals of European ancestry. Two-sample and multivariable MR analyses were conducted, employing the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method. Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess potential confounding factors. RESULTS: Using the IVW method, we found suggestive evidence of a causal association between GP14 and FI (ß 0.026, 95% CI 0.003 to 0.050, p = 0.027) and LTL (ß -0.020, 95% CI -0.037 to -0.002, p = 0.029) in the two-sample MR analysis. In the multivariable MR analysis, suggestive evidence was found for GP23 and FI (ß -0.119, 95% CI -0.219 to -0.019, p = 0.019) and GP2 and LTL (ß 0.140, 95% CI 0.020 to 0.260, p = 0.023). CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, our results supported a potentially causal effect of lower GP23 levels on an advanced aging state. Additional verification is required to further substantiate the causal relationship between glycosylation and aging.

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and diabetic retinopathy: nationwide cohort and Mendelian randomization studies.

BACKGROUND: The ability of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) to decrease certain microvascular events has called for the investigation of GLP-1 RAs against diabetic retinopathy (DR), but the evidence is limited. By combining data from observational and Mendelian randomization (MR) studies, we aimed to investigate whether GLP-1 RAs decrease the risk of DR. METHODS: We combined data from several Swedish Registers and identified patients with incident type 2 diabetes being treated with GLP-1 RAs between 2006 and 2015, and matched them to diabetic patients who did not use GLP-1 RAs as the comparisons. The Cox proportional hazards models were applied to assess the risk of DR. We further performed the summary-data-based MR (SMR) analyses based on the Genotype-Tissue Expression databases and the Genome-Wide Association Study of DR from the FinnGen consortium. RESULTS: A total of 2390 diabetic patients were treated with GLP-1 RAs and the incidence of DR was 5.97 per 1000 person-years. Compared with diabetic patients who did not use GLP-1 RAs having an incidence of 12.85 per 1000 person-years, the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of DR was 0.42 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.29-0.61]. Genetically-predicted GLP1R expression (the target of GLP-1 RAs) showed an inverse association with background [odds ratio (OR)=0.83, 95% CI, 0.71-0.97] and severe nonproliferative DR (OR=0.72, 95% CI, 0.53-0.98), and a non-significant association with overall (OR=0.97, 95% CI, 0.92-1.03) and proliferative DR (OR=0.98, 95% CI, 0.91-1.05). CONCLUSIONS: Both observational and mendelian randomization analyses showed a significantly lower risk of DR for patients treated with GLP-1 RAs, which calls for further studies to validate these findings.

Time spent in a better cardiovascular health and risk of cardiovascular diseases and mortality: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The protective effect of a higher ideal cardiovascular health (CVH) score on cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and mortality is well recognized. However, little is known regarding the length of favorable CVH status associated with CVDs and mortality. This study aimed to examined whether the duration of better (ideal or intermediate) CVH is associated with risk of developing CVDs and mortality. METHODS: This prospective cohort study used data from 83,536 individuals from 2006 to 2020 who were enrolled in the Kailuan Study. The CVH scores of individuals were assessed at visits 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively. The years spent in better CVH were estimated for each individual as the number of examination cycles (0-4) in which the participant was in that CVH score ≥ 8 multiplied by 2 (the mean year interval of each visit). The primary outcomes are CVD events and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: After a median follow-up period of 7.48 years, 5486 (7.07%) cases of incident CVD events and 7669 (9.18%) deaths occurred. Compared with participants in " ≤ 4 years" group, those who maintained for > 4 years had less likely to develop adverse outcomes (CVD events: hazard ratio (HR): 0.60, 95% confidence interval (CI 0.56-0.63; all-cause mortality: HR: 0.77, 95% CI 0.74-0.81). The number of years spent in better CVH was nonlinearly correlated with CVD events or mortality (all Ps for nonlinear < 0.05). The results indicated that maintaining more than 6 years in a better CVH status was associated with a decreased risk of CVD events or mortality. CONCLUSION: Our study indicates that individuals maintaining more than 6 years in better CVH could increase cardiometabolic benefits and a lower risk of all-cause mortality.

Genetic association and causal inference between lung function and venous thromboembolism.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have indicated that lower lung function is related to a higher risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). However, causal inferences may be affected by confounders, coheritability or reverse causality. We aimed to explore the causal association between lung function and VTE. METHODS: Summary data from public genome-wide association studies (GWAS) for lung function and VTE were obtained from published meta-analysis studies and the FinnGen consortium, respectively. Independent genetic variables significantly related to exposure were filtered as proxy instruments. We adopted linkage disequilibrium score regression (LDSC) and two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses to infer the genetic backgrounds and causal associations between different lung functions and VTE events. RESULTS: LDSC showed a genetic correlation between forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) and deep vein thrombosis (DVT) (rg = - 0.189, P = 0.005). In univariate MR (UVMR), there was suggestive evidence for causal associations of genetically predicted force vital capacity (FVC) with DVT (odds ratio (OR) 0.774; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.641-0.934) via forwards analysis and genetically predicted pulmonary embolism (PE) with FVC (OR 0.989; 95% CI 0.979-0.999) via reverse analysis. Multivariate MR (MVMR) analyses of lung function-specific SNPs suggested no significant direct effects of lung function on VTE, and vice versa. Of note is the borderline causal effect of PE on FEV1 (OR 0.921; 95% CI 0.848-1.000). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings identified a coheritability of FEV1 (significant) and FVC (suggestive) with DVT. There was no convincing causal relationship between lung function and the risk of VTE events. The borderline causal effect of PE on FEV1 and the significant genetic correlation of FEV1 with DVT may have clinical implications for improving the quality of existing prevention and intervention strategies.

Association between residual islet beta-cell function and achieving the target of time in range in inpatients with type 2 diabetes undergoing antidiabetic treatment: An observation study.

AIM: To assess whether the beta-cell function of inpatients undergoing antidiabetic treatment influences achieving time in range (TIR) and time above range (TAR) targets. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This cross-sectional study included 180 inpatients with type 2 diabetes. TIR and TAR were assessed by a continuous glucose monitoring system, with target achievement defined as TIR more than 70% and TAR less than 25%. Beta-cell function was assessed by the insulin secretion-sensitivity index-2 (ISSI2). RESULTS: Following antidiabetic treatment, logistic regression analysis showed that lower ISSI2 was associated with a decreased number of inpatients achieving TIR (OR = 3.10, 95% CI: 1.19-8.06) and TAR (OR = 3.40, 95% CI: 1.35-8.55) targets after adjusting for potential confounders. Similar associations still existed in those participants treated with insulin secretagogues (TIR: OR = 2.91, 95% CI: 0.90-9.36, P = .07; TAR, OR = 3.14, 95% CI: 1.01-9.80) or adequate insulin therapy (TIR: OR = 2.84, 95% CI: 0.91-8.81, P = .07; TAR, OR = 3.24, 95% CI: 1.08-9.67). Furthermore, receiver operating characteristic curves showed that the diagnostic value of the ISSI2 for achieving TIR and TAR targets was 0.73 (95% CI: 0.66-0.80) and 0.71 (95% CI: 0.63-0.79), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Beta-cell function was associated with achieving TIR and TAR targets. Stimulating insulin secretion or exogenous insulin treatment could not overcome the disadvantage of lower beta-cell function on glycaemic control.

Bidirectional relationship between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and serum creatinine-to-body weight ratio as a proxy for skeletal muscle mass index.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Although an association between skeletal muscle mass index and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has previously been demonstrated, the causal direction remains unclear. Herein, we investigated the directional association between NAFLD and the serum creatinine-to-body weight ratio (sCr/bw), a surrogate marker of the muscle mass index, using longitudinal data. METHODS: We recruited 9662 participants in 2017 and performed follow-up over 4 years. We evaluated whether sCr/bw was related to NAFLD development (Analysis I) and whether NAFLD was associated with a low sCr/bw incidence (Analysis II) using logistic regression models. Furthermore, a random intercept cross-lagged panel model was applied to evaluate the bidirectional association between sCr/bw ratio and NAFLD (Analysis III). RESULTS: Analysis I demonstrated an association between sCr/bw and incident NAFLD (odds ratio [OR] = 0.160, 95% confidence interval [CI]:0.107-0.232). Analysis II indicated a relationship between NAFLD and subsequent low sCr/bw ratio (OR = 1.524, 95% CI: 1.258-1.846). Analysis III indicated that the standard regression coefficient from sCr/bw to subsequent hepatic steatosis (HS) was -0.053 for ßsCr/bw2017 â†’ HS2019 and -0.060 for ßsCr/bw2019 â†’ HS2021 and the coefficient from HS to subsequent sCr/bw was -0.093 for ßHS2017 â†’ sCr/bw2019 and -0.112 for ßHS2019 â†’ sCr/bw2021 (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: This study indicated mutual causality between sCr/bw and NAFLD. Considering that sCr/bw is a surrogate marker of muscle mass index, the findings emphasize that NAFLD and low muscle mass form a vicious cycle, which should be taken seriously in clinical practice.

Serum uric acid to creatinine ratio and metabolic syndrome in middle-aged and elderly population: Based on the 2015 CHARLS.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Serum uric acid to creatinine ratio (SUA/Cr) may be associated with metabolic syndrome (MS). Here, we investigated the correlation between SUA/Cr and MS in Chinese residents aged ≥ 45 years. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data were obtained from the 2015 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) database. MS was diagnosed using the Chinese Diabetes Society 2017 criteria. We grouped the population according to SUA/Cr quartiles and compared the index differences between groups. We used spearman correlation analysis and binary logistic regression. The possible dose-response association of SUA/Cr with MS were analyzed using restricted cubic spline model. Of 12,946 included participants, 3370 (26.0%) had MS, and 1900 (56.4%) were female. After adjusting for multiple confounders, binary logistic regression analysis showed that compared with Quartile 1, the odds ratio (95% confidence interval) of the MS risk was 1.29 (1.09-1.52), 1.47 (1.25-1.74), and 1.80 (1.53-2.12) in Quartiles 2, 3, and 4, respectively. The restricted cubic spline model indicated a significant nonlinear dose-response association (Poverall < 0.001, Pnon-linearity = 0.029) between SUA/Cr and strength of MS prevalence association; MS risk began increasing when SUA/Cr > 6.22. CONCLUSIONS: A significant positive correlation existed between SUA/Cr and MS risk in Chinese individuals aged ≥ 45 years, which may be a new predictive marker for MS risk.

Causality assessment of circulating Vitamin D level on venous thromboembolism: A Mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The associations of vitamin D level with venous thromboembolism (VTE) reported in observational studies, whereas these causal associations were uncertain in European population. Therefore, we used Mendelian randomization (MR) method to explore the causal associations between 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentrations and the risk of VTE and its subtypes [including deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE)]. METHODS AND RESULTS: We used three kinds of genetic instruments to proxy the exposure of 25(OH)D, including genetic variants significantly associated with 25(OH)D, expression quantitative trait loci of 25(OH)D target genes, and genetic variants within or nearby 25(OH)D target genes. MR analyses did not provide any evidence for the associations of 25(OH)D levels with VTE and its subtypes (p > 0.05). The summary-data-based MR (SMR) analyses indicated that elevated expression of VDR was associated with decreased risk of VTE (OR = 0.81; 95% CI, 0.65-0.998; p = 0.047) and PE (OR = 0.67; 95% CI, 0.50-0.91; p = 0.011), and expression of AMDHD1 was associated with PE (OR = 0.93; 95% CI, 0.88-0.99; p = 0.027). MR analysis provided a significant causal effect of 25(OH)D level mediated by gene AMDHD1 on PE risk (OR = 0.09; 95% CI, 0.01-0.60; p = 0.012). CONCLUSION: Our MR analysis did not support causal association of 25(OH)D level with the risk of VTE and its subtypes. In addition, the expression of VDR and AMDHD1 involved in vitamin D metabolism showed a strong association with VTE or PE and might represent targets for these conditions.

Higher systolic blood pressure is specifically associated with better islet beta-cell function in T2DM patients with high glycemic level.

BACKGROUND: Patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) usually have higher blood viscosity attributed to high blood glucose that can decrease blood supply to the pancreas. A mild increase in blood pressure (BP) has been reported as a potential compensatory response that can maintain blood perfusion in the islet. However, how BP influences beta-cell function in T2DM subjects remains inconsistent. This study aimed to examine the relationship between BP and beta-cell function in patients with T2DM under different HbA1c levels. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional study of 615 T2DM patients, whose clinical data were extracted from hospital medical records. Beta-cell function was assessed by insulin secretion-sensitivity index-2 (ISSI2). Multivariable linear regression analysis and restricted cubic splines (RCS) analysis were performed to identify the association between systolic BP (SBP) and ISSI2. Mediation analysis was performed to determine whether higher SBP could reduce blood glucose by enhancing beta-cell function. RESULTS: After adjustment of potential confounders, in participants with HbA1c ≥ 10%, the SBP between 140 to150 mmHg had the highest log ISSI2 (b = 0.227, 95% CI 0.053-0.402), an association specific to participants with < 1 year duration of diabetes. RCS analyses demonstrated an inverted U-shaped association between SBP and ISSI2 with the SBP at 144 mmHg corresponding to the best beta-cell function. This higher SBP was "paradoxically" associated with lower 2 h postprandial blood glucose (PBG) when SBP < 150 mmHg that was almost exclusively mediated by ISSI2 (mediating effect = - 0.043, 95%CI - 0.067 to - 0.018; mediating effect percentage = 94.7%, P < 0.01). SBP was however not associated with improvement in ISSI2 or 2 h PBG in participants with HbA1c < 10%. CONCLUSIONS: In early stage of diabetes, a slightly elevated SBP (140-150 mmHg) was transiently associated with better beta-cell function in T2DM patients with HbA1c ≥ 10% but not in those with HbA1c < 10%.

Vascular endothelial growth factor and the risk of venous thromboembolism: a genetic correlation and two-sample Mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and the risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) has always been one of the concerns in the medical field. However, the causal inferences from published observational studies on this issue may be affected by confounders or reverse causality. We performed a two-sample bidirectional Mendelian randomization (MR) to infer the associations between VEGF and VTE. METHODS: Summary statistics from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) for VEGF and VTE were obtained from published meta-analysis studies and the FinnGen consortium, respectively. Independent genetic variables significantly associated with exposure were selected as instrumental variables. Linkage disequilibrium score regression (LDSC) and five robust MR analytical approaches were conducted to estimate the genetic correlations and causal inference. The MR-Egger intercept, Cochran's Q, and MR pleiotropy residual sum and outlier (MR-PRESSO) were performed to evaluate the horizontal pleiotropy, heterogeneities, and stability of these genetic variants on outcomes. Notably, replication analyses were performed using different subgroups of VTE. RESULTS: LDSC failed to identify genetic correlations between VEGF and VTE. Based on 9 SNPs, the circulating VEGF level was positively related to the risk of VTE using inverse variance weighting (IVW) method (odds ratio (OR) = 1.064, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.009-1.122). Reverse MR analyses showed that genetic liability for VTE was not associated with increased VEGF level (ß = -0.021, 95% CI, -0.087-0.045). Pleiotropy-robust methods indicated no bias in any estimates. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings failed to detect coheritability between VEGF and VTE. The suggestive positive effect of the higher VEGF level on the VTE risk may have clinical implications, suggesting that VEGF as a possible predictor and therapeutic target for VTE prevention need to be further warranted.

Low density lipoprotein cholesterol is associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease in participants over 70 years old: A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Previous studies have indicated that the association of elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) with cardiovascular disease (CVD) varies greatly with age, with the association being much stronger in younger than older individuals. To estimate the relationship between LDL-C and CVD risk in a contemporary population aged over 70 years in China. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this analysis, participants of China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) who did not take statins and did not have heart disease and stroke in 2011 were include and were followed up to 2018. The outcome of this analysis was the occurrence of CVD. Cox regression was used to assess the effect of LDL-C on CVD. We calculated E-values to quantify the effect of unmeasured confounding. In the 9,631 participants, 15.2% (N = 1,463) were aged over 70 years. During follow-up of 7 years, 1,437 participants had a first CVD attack. The Risk of CVD increased with each 10 mg/mL elevation in LDL-C in whole participants and all age groups. We noted a U-shaped relationship between LDL-C and risk of CVD in group over 70 years old, however, we further found that in the left side of U-shape curve, LDL-C was not associated with CVD, which indicated that a lower level of LDL-C could not increase the risk of CVD. E-value analysis suggested robustness to unmeasured confounding. CONCLUSIONS: In a contemporary society of China, elevated the level of LDL-C also increased the risk of CVD in participants over 70 years old. These results should strengthen guideline recommendations for the use of lipid-lowering therapies in those elderly.

Establishment of dynamic nomogram and risk score models for T2DM: a retrospective cohort study in Beijing.

BACKGROUND: Health interventions can delay or prevent the occurrence and development of diabetes. Dynamic nomogram and risk score (RS) models were developed to predict the probability of developing type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and identify high-risk groups. METHODS: Participants (n = 44,852) from the Beijing Physical Examination Center were followed up for 11 years (2006-2017); the mean follow-up time was 4.06 ± 2.09 years. Multivariable Cox regression was conducted in the training cohort to identify risk factors associated with T2DM and develop dynamic nomogram and RS models using weighted estimators corresponding to each covariate derived from the fitted Cox regression coefficients and variance estimates, and then undergone internal validation and sensitivity analysis. The concordance index (C-index) was used to assess the accuracy and reliability of the model. RESULTS: Of the 44,852 individuals at baseline, 2,912 were diagnosed with T2DM during the follow-up period, and the incidence density rate per 1,000 person-years was 16.00. Multivariate analysis indicated that male sex (P < 0.001), older age (P < 0.001), high body mass index (BMI, P < 0.05), high fasting plasma glucose (FPG, P < 0.001), hypertension (P = 0.015), dyslipidaemia (P < 0.001), and low serum creatinine (sCr, P < 0.05) at presentation were risk factors for T2DM. The dynamic nomogram achieved a high C-index of 0.909 in the training set and 0.905 in the validation set. A tenfold cross-validation estimated the area under the curve of the nomogram at 0.909 (95% confidence interval 0.897-0.920). Moreover, the dynamic nomogram and RS model exhibited acceptable discrimination and clinical usefulness in subgroup and sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: The T2DM dynamic nomogram and RS models offer clinicians and others who conduct physical examinations, respectively, simple-to-use tools to assess the risk of developing T2DM in the urban Chinese current or retired employees.

Histologic subtype classification of non-small cell lung cancer using PET/CT images.

PURPOSES: To evaluate the capability of PET/CT images for differentiating the histologic subtypes of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and to identify the optimal model from radiomics-based machine learning/deep learning algorithms. METHODS: In this study, 867 patients with adenocarcinoma (ADC) and 552 patients with squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) were retrospectively analysed. A stratified random sample of 283 patients (20%) was used as the testing set (173 ADC and 110 SCC); the remaining data were used as the training set. A total of 688 features were extracted from each outlined tumour region. Ten feature selection techniques, ten machine learning (ML) models and the VGG16 deep learning (DL) algorithm were evaluated to construct an optimal classification model for the differential diagnosis of ADC and SCC. Tenfold cross-validation and grid search technique were employed to evaluate and optimize the model hyperparameters on the training dataset. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), accuracy, precision, sensitivity and specificity was used to evaluate the performance of the models on the test dataset. RESULTS: Fifty top-ranked subset features were selected by each feature selection technique for classification. The linear discriminant analysis (LDA) (AUROC, 0.863; accuracy, 0.794) and support vector machine (SVM) (AUROC, 0.863; accuracy, 0.792) classifiers, both of which coupled with the ℓ2,1NR feature selection method, achieved optimal performance. The random forest (RF) classifier (AUROC, 0.824; accuracy, 0.775) and ℓ2,1NR feature selection method (AUROC, 0.815; accuracy, 0.764) showed excellent average performance among the classifiers and feature selection methods employed in our study, respectively. Furthermore, the VGG16 DL algorithm (AUROC, 0.903; accuracy, 0.841) outperformed all conventional machine learning methods in combination with radiomics. CONCLUSION: Employing radiomic machine learning/deep learning algorithms could help radiologists to differentiate the histologic subtypes of NSCLC via PET/CT images.

Sex differences in the non-linear association between BMI and LDL cholesterol in middle-aged and older adults: findings from two nationally representative surveys in China.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between body mass index (BMI) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) has not been clearly elucidated in middle-aged and older adults. This study aimed to evaluate the non-linear dose-response relationship between BMI and LDL-C in males and females. METHODS: Data was obtained from two nationally representative surveys in China-the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS, 2009) and China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS, 2011-2012). To evaluate the sex differences in the association between BMI and LDL-C, the generalized additive models with a smooth function for continuous BMI and smooth-factor interaction for sexes with BMI were used. Segmented regressions were fitted to calculate the slopes with different estimated breakpoints among females and males. RESULTS: A total of 12,273 participants (47.1% male) aged 45 to 75 years were included. The generalized additive models revealed that a non-linear relationship between BMI and LDL-C level in both sexes after adjustment for age, residence, education levels, marital status, drinking, smoking status, and cohort (CHNS or CHARLS). Slopes of the association between BMI and LDL-C association changed at BMI 20.3 kg/m2 (95% CI: 18.8 to 21.8) in females and 27.1 kg/m2 (95% CI: 25. 8 to 28.4) in males. Below these BMI breakpoints, LDL-C levels increased 1.84 (95% CI: 1.45 to 2.31) in males and 3.49 (95% CI: 1.54 to 5.45) mg/dL per kg/m2 in females. However, LDL-C levels declined - 1.50 (95% CI: - 2.92 to - 0.09) mg/dL per kg/m2 above BMI of 27.1 kg/m2 in males. The non-linear association BMI and LDL-C in males and females was varied by cohort source, age groups, and the number of metabolic syndrome criteria. CONCLUSIONS: In the Chinese middle aged and older adults, the BMI and LDL-C relationship was inverted U-shaped with a high level of LDL-C at a BMI of 27.1 kg/m2 in males, and an approximately linear association was observed in females.

Association between high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and type 2 diabetes mellitus among Chinese: the Beijing longitudinal study of aging.

BACKGROUND: Some previous studies on different populations have yielded inconsistent findings with respect to the relationship between levels of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and future type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) incidence. This study was designed to gain further insight into this relationship through a cohort study with a 25-year follow-up duration. METHODS: In total, 1462 individuals that were 55 years of age or older and were free of T2DM at baseline were enrolled in the present study. T2DM incidence among this study population was detected through self-reported diagnoses or the concentration of fasting plasma glucose. The data were derived from nine surveys conducted from 1992 to 2017. The correlation between HDL-C levels and the T2DM risk was assessed through Cox proportional-hazards model and proportional hazards model for the sub-distribution with time-dependent variables. RESULTS: Over the follow-up period, 120 participants were newly diagnosed with new-onset T2DM. When research participants were separated into four groups on the basis for quartiles of their levels of HDL-C measured at baseline, and incidence of diabetes declined with higher baseline HDL-C levels at 12.60, 9.70, 5.38, and 5.22 per 1000 person-years, respectively. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were 0.98 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.62-1.55), 0.48 (95% CI: 0.27-0.85) and 0.44 (95% CI: 0.25-0.80) for individuals with HDL-C levels within the 1.15-1.39, 1.40-1.69, and ≥ 1.70 mmol/L ranges relative to participants with HDL-C levels < 1.15 mmol/L. Multiple sensitivity analyses similarly revealed reduced risk of diabetes incidence with increased HDL-C levels. Incorporating the levels of HDL-C into a multivariate model significantly enhanced the overall power of the predictive model (P values were 0.0296, 0.0011, respectively, for 5- and 10-year risk of diabetes). CONCLUSIONS: Levels of HDL-C were independently and negatively associated with the risk of the new-onset T2DM among middle-aged and elderly Chinese.