Changes in Genital HPV Prevalence during 12 Years Girls-Only Bivalent HPV Vaccination: Results from a Biennial Repeated Cross-Sectional Study.

BACKGROUND: From 2009 until 2021, bivalent HPV vaccination was offered only to girls in the Netherlands. We aimed to study the impact of girls-only HPV vaccination on genital HPV prevalence among young adults. METHODS AND FINDINGS: PASSYON is a biennial repeated cross-sectional study (2009-21) among sexual health clinic clients aged 16-24 years old. Questionnaires elicited data on demographics, sexual behaviour and HPV vaccination status. Genital samples were collected and analysed using a PCR-based assay (SPF10-LiPA25). Type-specific prevalence trends of 12 high-risk (hr) genotypes were analysed as the adjusted average annual change (aAAC), estimated using Poisson GEE models. The relation between aAAC and phylogenetic distance to HPV-16/18 was assessed by means of regression and rank correlation analysis. Questionnaires and genital samples were collected from 8,889 females and 3,300 heterosexual males (HM). 4,829 females reported to be unvaccinated (54·3%). Among females (irrespective of vaccination status), prevalences of HPV-16/18/31/33/35/45 decreased significantly over time. Increasing trends were observed for HPV-39/52/56. Among both HM and unvaccinated females HPV-16/18 prevalence significantly declined, as did HPV-31 among HM. In contrast, HPV-52/58 increased significantly among HM and unvaccinated females. The type-specific aAAC correlated well with the phylogenetic distance to HPV-16/18. CONCLUSIONS: During twelve years girls-only bivalent HPV vaccination in the Netherlands, decreasing trends of the vaccine types and cross-protected types were observed among females. Herd protection of vaccine-types was observed for HM and unvaccinated females, and one cross-protected type for HM. Increasing prevalence trends of HPV types with large phylogenetic distance to the vaccine types might indicate type-replacement.

Higher-valency pneumococcal conjugate vaccines in older adults, taking into account indirect effects from childhood vaccination: a cost-effectiveness study for the Netherlands.

BACKGROUND: New 15- and 20-valent pneumococcal vaccines (PCV15, PCV20) are available for both children and adults, while PCV21 for adults is in development. However, their cost-effectiveness for older adults, taking into account indirect protection and serotype replacement from a switch to PCV15 and PCV20 in childhood vaccination, remains unexamined. METHODS: We used a static model for the Netherlands to assess the cost-effectiveness of different strategies with 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23), PCV15, PCV20, and PCV21 for a 65-year-old cohort from a societal perspective, over a 15-year time horizon. Childhood vaccination was varied from PCV10 to PCV13, PCV15, and PCV20. Indirect protection was assumed to reduce the incidence of vaccine serotypes in older adults by 80% (except for serotype 3, no effect), completely offset by an increase in non-vaccine serotype incidence due to serotype replacement. RESULTS: Indirect effects from childhood vaccination reduced the cost-effectiveness of vaccination of older adults, depending on the serotype overlap between the vaccines. With PCV10, PCV13, or PCV15 in children, PCV20 was more effective and less costly for older adults than PPV23 and PCV15. PCV20 costs approximately €10,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained compared to no pneumococcal vaccination, which falls below the conventional Dutch €20,000/QALY gained threshold. However, with PCV20 in children, PCV20 was no longer considered cost-effective for older adults, costing €22,550/QALY gained. As indirect effects progressed over time, the cost-effectiveness of PCV20 for older adults further diminished for newly vaccinated cohorts. PPV23 was more cost-effective than PCV20 for cohorts vaccinated 3 years after the switch to PCV20 in children. PCV21 offered the most QALY gains, and its cost-effectiveness was minimally affected by indirect effects due to its coverage of 11 different serotypes compared to PCV20. CONCLUSIONS: For long-term cost-effectiveness in the Netherlands, the pneumococcal vaccine for older adults should either include invasive serotypes not covered by childhood vaccination or become more affordable than its current pricing for individual use.

Association between adverse events after COVID-19 vaccination and anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody concentrations, the Netherlands, May 2021 to November 2022: a population-based prospective cohort study.

BackgroundNon-severe adverse events (AE) including pain at injection site or fever are common after COVID-19 vaccination.AimTo describe determinants of AE after COVID-19 vaccination and investigate the association between AE and pre- and post-vaccination antibody concentrations.MethodsParticipants of an ongoing prospective cohort study (VASCO) completed a questionnaire on AE within 2 months after vaccination and provided 6 monthly serum samples during May 2021-November 2022. Logistic regression analyses were performed to investigate AE determinants after mRNA vaccination, including pre-vaccination Ig antibody concentrations against the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein receptor binding domain. Multivariable linear regression was performed in SARS-CoV-2-naive participants to assess the association between AE and log-transformed antibody concentrations 3-8 weeks after mRNA vaccination.ResultsWe received 47,947 completed AE questionnaires by 28,032 participants. In 42% and 34% of questionnaires, injection site and systemic AE were reported, respectively. In 2.2% of questionnaires, participants sought medical attention. AE were reported more frequently by women, younger participants (< 60 years), participants with medical risk conditions and Spikevax recipients (vs Comirnaty). Higher pre-vaccination antibody concentrations were associated with higher incidence of systemic AE after the second and third dose, but not with injection site AE or AE for which medical attention was sought. Any AE after the third dose was associated with higher post-vaccination antibody concentrations (geometric mean concentration ratio: 1.38; 95% CI: 1.23-1.54).ConclusionsOur study suggests that high pre-vaccination antibody levels are associated with AE, and experiencing AE may be a marker for higher antibody response to vaccination.

Early COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness of XBB.1.5 vaccine against hospitalisation and admission to intensive care, the Netherlands, 9 October to 5 December 2023.

We present early vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates of the 2023 seasonal COVID-19 XBB.1.5 vaccine against COVID-19 hospitalisation and admission to an intensive care unit (ICU) in previously vaccinated adults ≥ 60 years in the Netherlands. We compared vaccination status of 2,050 hospitalisations including 92 ICU admissions with age group-, sex-, region- and date-specific population vaccination coverage between 9 October and 5 December 2023. VE against hospitalisation was 70.7% (95% CI: 66.6-74.3), VE against ICU admission was 73.3% (95% CI: 42.2-87.6).

Attribution of invasive group A streptococcal infections (iGAS) to predisposing viral infections, the Netherlands, 2010 to 2023.

BackgroundAfter most COVID-19 pandemic control measures were lifted in 2022, many infectious diseases re-emerged. An increase in invasive group A streptococcal (iGAS) infections among adults and young children was reported by several countries. Viral infections including influenza and varicella, known risk factors for iGAS infection, also increased.AimTo estimate the proportion of GAS skin and soft tissue infections (SSTI) and pneumonia/sepsis in children (≤ 5 years) attributable to varicella, and the proportion of GAS pneumonia/sepsis in children and adults attributable to potentially predisposing respiratory viruses influenza A and B, RSV, hMPV and SARS-CoV-2 in the Netherlands.MethodsWe performed time series regression using weekly data on respiratory viruses, varicella and non-invasive GAS infections and GAS isolates cultured from blood, lower airways, skin, pus and wounds, from January 2010 to March 2023.ResultsIn 2010-19, 50% (95% CI: 36-64) of GAS SSTI in children were attributable to varicella. Between January 2022 and March 2023, 34% (95% CI: 24-43) of GAS SSTI cases were attributable to varicella. Of iGAS pneumonia/sepsis between January 2022 and March 2023, 34% (95% CI: 20-49) and 25% (95% CI: 18-32) was attributable to respiratory virus infections in children and adults, respectively, with the largest contributor (17%) being influenza A.ConclusionsPredisposing viral infections likely contributed to, but cannot fully explain, the observed iGAS increase among children and adults in 2022-23 in the Netherlands. Public health measures to control viral infections, such as vaccination against varicella or influenza, might reduce the iGAS disease burden.

Effectiveness of Omicron XBB.1.5 vaccine against infection with SARS-CoV-2 Omicron XBB and JN.1 variants, prospective cohort study, the Netherlands, October 2023 to January 2024.

We estimated vaccine effectiveness (VE) of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron XBB.1.5 vaccination against self-reported infection between 9 October 2023 and 9 January 2024 in 23,895 XBB.1.5 vaccine-eligible adults who had previously received at least one booster. VE was 41% (95% CI: 23-55) in 18-59-year-olds and 50% (95% CI: 44-56) in 60-85-year-olds. Sequencing data suggest lower protection against the BA.2.86 (including JN.1) variant from recent prior infection (OR = 2.8; 95% CI:1.2-6.5) and, not statistically significant, from XBB.1.5 vaccination (OR = 1.5; 95% CI:0.8-2.6).

Factors potentially contributing to the decline of the mpox outbreak in the Netherlands, 2022 and 2023.

BackgroundIn 2022 and 2023, a global outbreak of mpox affected mostly gay, bisexual and other men having sex with men (GBMSM). Outbreak control in the Netherlands included isolation, quarantine, post-exposure prophylaxis vaccination and primary preventive vaccination (PPV).AimWe describe the course of the outbreak, the vaccination programme, vaccine effectiveness (VE) of full vaccination against symptomatic disease, and trends in behaviour to generate hypotheses about factors that influenced the outbreak's decline.MethodsIn this observational study, we collected data from public health services on notified cases, number of PPV invitations and PPV doses administered. We calculated PPV uptake and coverage. Trends in behavioural data of GBMSM visiting sexual health centres were analysed for all consultations in 2022. We estimated VE using the screening method.ResultsUntil 31 December 2023, 1,294 mpox cases were reported. The outbreak peaked in early July 2022 and then declined sharply. PPV started on 25 July 2022; in total 29,851 doses were administered, 45.8% received at least one dose, 35.4% were fully vaccinated. The estimated VE was 68.2% (95% CI 4.3-89.5%). We did not observe an evident decrease in high-risk behaviour.DiscussionIt is unlikely that PPV was a driver of the outbreak's decline, as incidence started to decline well before the start of the PPV programme. The possible impact of behavioural change could not be demonstrated with the available indicators, however, the data had limitations, hampering interpretation. We hypothesise that infection-induced immunity in high-risk groups was an important factor explaining the decline.

Vaccine Effectiveness Against Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Delta and Omicron Infection and Infectiousness Within Households in the Netherlands Between July 2021 and August 2022.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to estimate vaccine effectiveness against infection (VE-infection) and against further transmission (VE-infectiousness) in a household setting during Delta and Omicron. Knowing these effects can aid policy makers in deciding which groups to prioritize for vaccination. METHODS: Participants with a positive severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) test were asked about coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination status and SARS-CoV-2 testing of their household members 1 month later. VE-infection and VE-infectiousness were estimated using generalized estimating equation logistic regression adjusting for age, vaccination status, calendar week, and household size. RESULTS: A total of 3399 questionnaires concerning 4105 household members were included. During the Delta period, VE-infection and VE-infectiousness of primary series were 47% (95% confidence interval [CI], -27% to 78%) and 70% (95% CI, 28% to 87%), respectively. During the Omicron period, VE-infection was -36% (95% CI, -88% to 1%) for primary series and -28% (95% CI, -77% to 7%) for booster vaccination. VE-infectiousness was 45% (95% CI, -14% to 74%) for primary series and 64% (95% CI, 31% to 82%) for booster vaccination. CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows that COVID-19 vaccination is effective against infection with SARS-CoV-2 Delta and against infectiousness of SARS-CoV-2 Delta and Omicron. Estimation of VE against infection with SARS-CoV-2 Omicron was limited by several factors. Our results support booster vaccination for those in close contact with vulnerable people to prevent transmission.

Effects of 2 and 3 Vaccinations With the Bivalent Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Vaccine on the Prevalence and Load of HPV in Clearing and Persistent Infections in Young Women.

BACKGROUND: Human papillomavirus (HPV) viral load (VL) is associated with persistence, which increases cervical cancer risk. The bivalent vaccine protects against oncogenic HPV-16/18 and cross-protects against several nonvaccine types. We examined the effect of 2-dose (2D) and 3-dose (3D) vaccination on HPV prevalence and VL in clearing infections and persistent infections, 6 years and 12 years postvaccination, respectively. METHODS: Vaginal swabs collected from the "HPV Amongst Vaccinated and Non-vaccinated Adolescents" study (HAVANA, 3D-eligible) and HAVANA-2 (2D-eligble) participants were genotyped for HPV with the SPF10-DEIA-LiPA25 system. HPV VL was measured with type-specific quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR). RESULTS: HPV-16, -18, -31, -33, and -45 clearing and/or persistent infection prevalence and HPV-16, -18, and -31 VLs in clearing infections were significantly reduced in 3D-vaccinated women compared to unvaccinated women. Except for HPV-11 and -59 clearing infections, no significant VL differences were observed among vaccinated women, ≤6 and >6 years post-vaccination. Infection numbers were low in 2D-eligible women, with no HPV-16/18 in vaccinated women. No VL differences for the remaining types were found. CONCLUSIONS: 3D vaccination reduces HPV prevalence in clearing infections and persistent infections and decreases HPV VLs in clearing infections, 12 years post-vaccination for vaccine and several nonvaccine types. 2D-eligible women had low infection numbers, with no HPV-16/18 among vaccinated women.

Approaches to Estimating Clearance Rates for Human Papillomavirus Groupings: A Systematic Review and Real Data Examples.

INTRODUCTION: Approaches to estimating clearance rates, an important metric of human papillomavirus (HPV) clearance, for HPV groupings differ between studies. We aimed to identify the approaches used in the literature for estimating grouped HPV clearance rates. We investigated whether these approaches resulted in different estimations, using data from existing studies. METHODS: In this systematic review, we included articles that reported clearance rates of HPV groupings. We identified approaches to data in the HAVANA cohort, comprising adolescent girls, and the H2M cohort, comprising men who have sex with men. We estimated clearance rates for six HPV groupings (bivalent-, quadrivalent- and nonavalent vaccine-related, and low-risk, high-risk, and any HPV). RESULTS: From 26 articles, we identified 54 theoretically possible approaches to estimating clearance rates. These approaches varied regarding definitions of clearance events and person-time, and prevalence or incidence of infections included in the analysis. Applying the nine most-used approaches to the HAVANA ( n = 1,394) and H2M ( n = 745) cohorts demonstrated strong variation in clearance rate estimates depending on the approach used. For example, for grouped high-risk HPV in the H2M cohort, clearance rates ranged from 52.4 to 120.0 clearances/1000 person-months. Clearance rates also varied in the HAVANA cohort, but differences were less pronounced, ranging from 24.1 to 57.7 clearances/1000 person-months. CONCLUSIONS: Varied approaches from the literature for estimating clearance rates of HPV groupings yielded different clearance rate estimates in our data examples. Estimates also varied between study populations. We advise clear reporting of methodology and urge caution in comparing clearance rates between studies.