Residential exposure to microbial emissions from livestock farms: Implementation and evaluation of land use regression and random forest spatial models.

Adverse health effects have been linked with exposure to livestock farms, likely due to airborne microbial agents. Accurate exposure assessment is crucial in epidemiological studies, however limited studies have modelled bioaerosols. This study used measured concentrations in air of livestock commensals (Escherichia coli (E. coli) and Staphylococcus species (spp.)), and antimicrobial resistance genes (tetW and mecA) at 61 residential sites in a livestock-dense region in the Netherlands. For each microbial agent, land use regression (LUR) and random forest (RF) models were developed using Geographic Information System (GIS)-derived livestock-related characteristics as predictors. The mean and standard deviation of annual average concentrations (gene copies/m3) of E. coli, Staphylococcus spp., tetW and mecA were as follows: 38.9 (±1.98), 2574 (±3.29), 20991 (±2.11), and 15.9 (±2.58). Validated through 10-fold cross-validation (CV), the models moderately explained spatial variation of all microbial agents. The best performing model per agent explained respectively 38.4%, 20.9%, 33.3% and 27.4% of the spatial variation of E. coli, Staphylococcus spp., tetW and mecA. RF models had somewhat better performance than LUR models. Livestock predictors related to poultry and pig farms dominated all models. To conclude, the models developed enable enhanced estimates of airborne livestock-related microbial exposure in future epidemiological studies. Consequently, this will provide valuable insights into the public health implications of exposure to specific microbial agents.

Impact of COVID-19 containment measures on perceived health and health-protective behavior: a longitudinal study.

This longitudinal study aimed to assess the impact of COVID-19 containment measures on perceived health, health protective behavior and risk perception, and investigate whether chronic disease status and urbanicity of the residential area modify these effects. Participants (n = 5420) were followed for up to 14 months (September 2020-October 2021) by monthly questionnaires. Chronic disease status was obtained at baseline. Urbanicity of residential areas was assessed based on postal codes or neighborhoods. Exposure to containment measures was assessed using the Containment and Health Index (CHI). Bayesian multilevel-models were used to assess effect modification of chronic disease status and urbanicity by CHI. CHI was associated with higher odds for worse physical health in people with chronic disease (OR = 1.09, 95% credibility interval (CrI) = 1.01, 1.17), but not in those without (OR = 1.01, Crl = 0.95, 1.06). Similarly, the association of CHI with higher odds for worse mental health in urban dwellers (OR = 1.31, Crl = 1.23, 1.40) was less pronounced in rural residents (OR = 1.20, Crl = 1.13, 1.28). Associations with behavior and risk perception also differed between groups. Our study suggests that individuals with chronic disease and those living in urban areas are differentially affected by government measures put in place to manage the COVID-19 pandemic. This highlights the importance of considering vulnerable subgroups in decision making regarding containment measures.