Sex differences in the SOFA score of ICU patients with sepsis or septic shock: a nationwide analysis.

BACKGROUND: The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score is an important tool in diagnosing sepsis and quantifying organ dysfunction. However, despite emerging evidence of differences in sepsis pathophysiology between women and men, sex is currently not being considered in the SOFA score. We aimed to investigate potential sex-specific differences in organ dysfunction, as measured by the SOFA score, in patients with sepsis or septic shock and explore outcome associations. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of sex-specific differences in the SOFA score of prospectively enrolled ICU patients with sepsis or septic shock admitted to one of 85 certified Swiss ICUs between 01/2021 and 12/2022. RESULTS: Of 125,782 patients, 5947 (5%) were admitted with a clinical diagnosis of sepsis (2244, 38%) or septic shock (3703, 62%). Of these, 5078 (37% women) were eligible for analysis. A statistically significant difference of the total SOFA score on admission was found between women (mean 7.5 ± SD 3.6 points) and men (7.8 ± 3.6 points, Wilcoxon rank-sum p < 0.001). This was driven by differences in the coagulation (p = 0.008), liver (p < 0.001) and renal (p < 0.001) SOFA components. Differences between sexes were more prominent in younger patients < 52 years of age (women 7.1 ± 4.0 points vs men 8.1 ± 4.2 points, p = 0.004). No sex-specific differences were found in ICU length of stay (women median 2.6 days (IQR 1.3-5.3) vs men 2.7 days (IQR 1.2-6.0), p = 0.13) and ICU mortality (women 14% vs men 15%, p = 0.17). CONCLUSION: Sex-specific differences exist in the SOFA score of patients admitted to a Swiss ICU with sepsis or septic shock, particularly in laboratory-based components. Although the clinical meaningfulness of these differences is unclear, a reevaluation of sex-specific thresholds for SOFA score components is warranted in an attempt to make more accurate and individualised classifications.

Association between the intraoperative fluid balance during cardiac surgery and postoperative sequential organ failure assessment score: a post hoc analysis of the BROTHER study, a retrospective multicenter cohort study.

Although intraoperative intravenous fluids are commonly administered to reverse intraoperative hypotension during cardiac surgery, the appropriate volume remains unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between the intraoperative fluid balance and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score in patients undergoing cardiac surgery to determine the impact of intraoperative intravenous fluids on their organs. This was a post hoc analysis using data from a multicenter, retrospective, observational study across 14 intensive care units (ICUs) in Japan. Adult patients admitted to ICUs after elective coronary artery bypass grafting or valve surgery from January 1 to December 31, 2018 were enrolled. We compared patients with intraoperative fluid balance < 20 ml/kg to those with fluid balance ≥ 20 ml/kg and conducted a multiple regression analysis for the SOFA score within 24 h of ICU admission. Of the 1567 included patients, 870 met the eligibility criteria. A total of 725 patients (83%) had an intraoperative fluid balance of ≥ 20 ml/kg. In the univariate analysis, the SOFA score (interquartile range) was 7 (6-8) and 7 (6-9) in the intraoperative fluid balance < 20 ml/kg and ≥ 20 ml/kg groups, respectively (p = 0.017). Multiple regression analysis showed a positive association between intraoperative fluid balance and SOFA score within 24 h of ICU admission [standardized coefficient 0.0065 (95% confidence interval 0.0036-0.0095), p < 0.001]. Intraoperative fluid balance in patients undergoing cardiac surgery was significantly associated with higher SOFA scores within 24 h of ICU admission.

Therapeutic high-dose vitamin D for vitamin D-deficient severe COVID-19 disease: randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study (SHADE-S).

BACKGROUND: efficacy of therapeutic cholecalciferol supplementation for severe COVID-19 is sparingly studied. OBJECTIVE: effect of single high-dose cholecalciferol supplementation on sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score in moderate-to-severe COVID-19. METHODS: participants with moderate to severe COVID-19 with PaO2/FiO2 ratio < 200 were randomized to 0.6 million IU cholecalciferol oral (intervention) or placebo. OUTCOMES: primary outcome was change in Day 7 SOFA score and pre-specified secondary outcomes were SOFA and 28-day all-cause mortality. RESULTS: in all, 90 patients (45 each group) were included for intention-to-treat analysis. 25(OH)D3 levels were 12 (10-16) and 13 (12-18) ng/ml (P = 0.06) at baseline; and 60 (55-65) ng/ml and 4 (1-7) ng/ml by Day 7 in vitamin D and placebo groups, respectively. The SOFA score on Day 7 was better in the vitamin D group [3 (95% CI, 2-5) versus 5 (95% CI, 3-7), P = 0.01, intergroup difference - 2 (95% CI, -4 to -0.01); r = 0.4]. A lower all-cause 28-day mortality [24% compared to 44% (P = 0.046)] was observed with vitamin D. CONCLUSIONS: single high-dose oral cholecalciferol supplementation on ICU admission can improve SOFA score at Day 7 and reduce in-hospital mortality in vitamin D-deficient COVID-19. ClinicalTrials.gov  id: NCT04952857 registered dated 7 July 2021. What is already known on this topic-vitamin D has immunomodulatory role. Observational and isolated intervention studies show some benefit in COVID-19. Targeted therapeutic vitamin D supplementation improve outcomes in severe COVID-19 is not studied in RCTs. What this study adds-high-dose vitamin D supplementation (0.6 Million IU) to increase 25(OH)D > 50 ng/ml is safe and reduces sequential organ failure assessment score, in-hospital mortality in moderate to severe COVID-19. How this study might affect research, practice or policy-vitamin D supplementation in vitamin D-deficient patients with severe COVID-19 is useful may be practiced.

Lactate combined with SOFA score for improving the predictive efficacy of SOFA score in patients with severe heatstroke.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between lactate levels and multiple organ dysfunction in patients with severe heatstroke remains unclear. In this study, we aimed to elucidate the clinical significance of lactate in severe heatstroke prognosis and assess whether incorporating lactate in the SOFA score improves its predictive efficacy. METHODS: This study was a multicenter retrospective cohort investigation included 275 patients. Logistic regression analysis was performed to examine the relationship between lactate levels and patient outcomes and complications, including acute kidney injury (AKI), disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC), and myocardial injury. Further, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the predictive power of lactate and SOFA scores in severe heatstroke-associated death. Lastly, the Kaplan-Meier survival curve was employed to differentiate the survival rates among the various patient groups. RESULTS: After adjusting for confounding factors, lactate was demonstrated as an independent risk factor for death (OR = 1.353, 95% CI [1.170, 1.569]), AKI (OR = 1.158, 95% CI [1.007, 1.332]), DIC (OR = 1.426, 95% CI [1.225, 1.659]), and myocardial injury (OR = 2.039, 95% CI [1.553, 2.679]). The area under the curve (AUC) of lactate for predicting death from severe heatstroke was 0.7540, with a cutoff of 3.35. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis showed that patients with elevated lactate levels had higher mortality rates. Additionally, the ROC curves demonstrated that combining lactate with the SOFA score provided better predictive efficacy than the SOFA score alone in patients with severe heatstroke (AUC: 0.9025 vs. 0.8773, DeLong test, P < 0.001). Finally, the DCA curve revealed a higher net clinical benefit rate for lactate combined with the SOFA score. CONCLUSIONS: Lactate is an independent risk factor for severe heatstroke-related death as well as a risk factor for AKI, DIC, and myocardial injury associated with severe heatstroke. Thus, combining lactate with the SOFA score can significantly improve its predictive efficacy in patients with severe heatstroke.

Unresponsive Low Mixed Venous Oxygen Saturation During Early Intensive Care Unit Stay is Associated With Increased Risk of Organ Dysfunction After Cardiac Surgery: A Single-Center Retrospective Study.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of the study was to determine if unresponsive mixed venous oxygen saturation (SvO2) values during early postoperative hours are associated with postoperative organ dysfunction. DESIGN: A single-center retrospective observational study. SETTING: A university hospital. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 6,282 adult patients requiring cardiac surgery who underwent surgery in a University Hospital from 2007 to 2020. INTERVENTIONS: A pulmonary artery catheter was used to gather SvO2 samples after surgery at admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) and 4 hours later. For the analysis, patients were divided into 4 groups according to their SvO2 values. The rate of organ dysfunctions categorized according to the SOFA score was then studied among these subgroups. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The crude mortality rate for the cohort at 1 year was 4.3%. Multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) was present in 33.0% of patients in the early postoperative phase. During the 4-hour initial treatment period, 43% of the 931 patients with low SvO2 on admission responded to goal-directed therapy to increase SvO2 >60%; whereas, in 57% of the 931 patients, the low SvO2 was sustained. According to the adjusted logistic regression analyses, the odds ratio for MODS (4.23 [95% CI 3.41-5.25]), renal- replacement therapy (4.97 [95% CI 3.28-7.52]), time on a ventilator (2.34 [95% CI 2.17-2.52]), and vasoactive-inotropic score >30 (3.62 [95% CI 2.96-4.43]) were the highest in the group with sustained low SvO2. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with SvO2 <60% at ICU admission and 4 hours later had the greatest risk of postoperative MODS. Responsiveness to a goal-directed therapy protocol targeting maintaining or increasing SvO2 ≥60% at and after ICU admission may be beneficial.

Acute on Chronic Liver Failure: Lessons from a Decade of EASL-CLIF Definition and Scoring Systems.

How to cite this article: Solao V. Acute on Chronic Liver Failure: Lessons from a Decade of EASL-CLIF Definition and Scoring Systems. Indian J Crit Care Med 2024;28(2):100-102.

Risk factors associated with bacteremia in COVID-19 patients admitted to intensive care unit: a retrospective multicenter cohort study.

PURPOSE: This multicenter observational study was done to evaluate risk factors related to the development of BSI in patients admitted to ICU for COVID-19. METHODS: All patients with COVID-19 admitted in two COVID-19 dedicated ICUs in two different hospital between 02-2020 and 02-2021 were recruited. RESULT: 537 patients were included of whom 265 (49.3%) experienced at least one BSI. Patients who developed bacteremia had a higher SOFA score [10 (8-12) vs 9 (7-10), p < 0.001], had been intubated more frequently [95.8% vs 75%, p < 0.001] and for a median longer time [16 days (9-25) vs 8 days (5-14), p < 0.001]. Patients with BSI had a median longer ICU stay [18 days (12-31.5) vs 9 days (5-15), p < 0.001] and higher mortality [54% vs 42.3%, p < 0.001] than those who did not develop it. Development of BSI resulted in a higher SOFA score [aHR 1.08 (95% CI 1.03-1.12)] and a higher Charlson score [csAHR 1.15 (95% CI 1.05-1.25)]. CONCLUSION: A high SOFA score and a high Charlson score resulted associated with BSI's development. Conversely, immunosuppressive therapy like steroids and tocilizumab, has no role in increasing the risk of bacteremia.

Enteral citrulline supplementation versus placebo on SOFA score on day 7 in mechanically ventilated critically ill patients: the IMMUNOCITRE randomized clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Restoring plasma arginine levels through enteral administration of L-citrulline in critically ill patients may improve outcomes. We aimed to evaluate whether enteral L-citrulline administration reduced organ dysfunction based on the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score and affected selected immune parameters in mechanically ventilated medical intensive care unit (ICU) patients. METHODS: A randomized, double-blind, multicenter clinical trial of enteral administration of L-citrulline versus placebo for critically ill adult patients under invasive mechanical ventilation without sepsis or septic shock was conducted in four ICUs in France between September 2016 and February 2019. Patients were randomly assigned to receive enteral L-citrulline (5 g) every 12 h for 5 days or isonitrogenous, isocaloric placebo. The primary outcome was the SOFA score on day 7. Secondary outcomes included SOFA score improvement (defined as a decrease in total SOFA score by 2 points or more between day 1 and day 7), secondary infection acquisition, ICU length of stay, plasma amino acid levels, and immune biomarkers on day 3 and day 7 (HLA-DR expression on monocytes and interleukin-6). RESULTS: Of 120 randomized patients (mean age, 60 ± 17 years; 44 [36.7%] women; ICU stay 10 days [IQR, 7-16]; incidence of secondary infections 25 patients (20.8%)), 60 were allocated to L-citrulline and 60 were allocated to placebo. Overall, there was no significant difference in organ dysfunction as assessed by the SOFA score on day 7 after enrollment (4 [IQR, 2-6] in the L-citrulline group vs. 4 [IQR, 2-7] in the placebo group; Mann‒Whitney U test, p = 0.9). Plasma arginine was significantly increased on day 3 in the treatment group, while immune parameters remained unaffected. CONCLUSION: Among mechanically ventilated ICU patients without sepsis or septic shock, enteral L-citrulline administration did not result in a significant difference in SOFA score on day 7 compared to placebo. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier NCT02864017 (date of registration: 11 August 2016).

Risk factors for postoperative disseminated intravascular coagulation in surgical patients with non-occlusive mesenteric ischemia.

PURPOSE: The prognostic impact of disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) in surgical patients with non-occlusive mesenteric ischemia (NOMI) is unclear. This study aimed to confirm the association between postoperative DIC and prognosis and to identify preoperative risk factors associated with postoperative DIC. METHODS: This retrospective study included 52 patients who underwent emergency surgery for NOMI between January 2012 and March 2022. Kaplan-Meier curve analysis with the log-rank test was used to compare 30-day survival and hospital survival between patients with and without postoperative DIC. In addition, univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the preoperative risk factors for postoperative DIC. RESULTS: The 30-day and hospital mortality rates were 30.8% and 36.5%, respectively, and the incidence rate of DIC was 51.9%. Compared to patients without DIC, patients with DIC showed significantly lower rates of 30-day survival (41.5% vs 96%, log-rank P < 0.001) and hospital survival (30.2% vs 86.4%, log-rank, P < 0.001). Logistic regression analyses showed that the Japanese Association for Acute Medicine (JAAM) DIC score (OR = 2.697; 95% CI, 1.408-5.169; P = 0.003) and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score (OR = 1.511; 95% CI, 1.111-2.055; P = 0.009) were independent risk factors for postoperative DIC in surgical patients with NOMI. CONCLUSION: The development of postoperative DIC is a significant prognostic factor for 30-day and hospital mortalities in surgical patients with NOMI. In addition, the JAAM DIC score and SOFA score have a high discriminative ability for predicting the development of postoperative DIC.

Vasoactive Inotropic Score compared to the sequential organ failure assessment cardiovascular score in intensive care.

BACKGROUND: The cardiovascular component of the sequential organ failure assessment (cvSOFA) score may be outdated because of changes in intensive care. Vasoactive Inotropic Score (VIS) represents the weighted sum of vasoactive and inotropic drugs. We investigated the association of VIS with mortality in the general intensive care unit (ICU) population and studied whether replacing cvSOFA with a VIS-based score improves the accuracy of the SOFA score as a predictor of mortality. METHODS: We studied the association of VIS during the first 24 h after ICU admission with 30-day mortality in a retrospective study on adult medical and non-cardiac emergency surgical patients admitted to Kuopio University Hospital ICU, Finland, in 2013-2019. We determined the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for the original SOFA and for SOFAVISmax , where cvSOFA was replaced with maximum VIS (VISmax ) categories. RESULTS: Of 8079 patients, 1107 (13%) died within 30 days. Mortality increased with increasing VISmax . AUROC was 0.813 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.800-0.825) for original SOFA and 0.822 (95% CI: 0.810-0.834) for SOFAVISmax , p < .001. CONCLUSION: Mortality increased consistently with increasing VISmax . Replacing cvSOFA with VISmax improved the predictive accuracy of the SOFA score.

Sequential Extracorporeal Blood Purification Is Associated with Prolonged Survival among ICU Patients with COVID-19 and Confirmed Bacterial Superinfection.

INTRODUCTION: This study investigates the impact of sequential extracorporeal treatments with oXiris® or CytoSorb® plus Seraph-100® on the clinical and laboratory parameters of critically ill COVID-19 patients with bacterial superinfection. METHODS: Patients admitted to the intensive care unit with COVID-19, bacterial superinfection, and undergoing blood purification (BP) were enrolled in this prospective, single-center, observational study. "standard BP" with oXiris® or CytoSorb® were used in 35 COVID-19 patients with bacterial infection. Seraph-100® was added in 33 patients when available serially in the same oXiris® circuit or as sequential treatment with CytoSorb® as a sequential BP. RESULTS: A significant reduction in SOFA score 3 days after treatment was observed in patients undergoing sequential BP (11.3 vs. 8.17, p < 0.01) compared to those undergoing "standard BP" (11.0 vs. 10.3, p > 0.05). The difference between the observed and expected mortality rate based on APACHE IV was greater in the sequential BP group (42.4% vs. 81.7%, p < 0.001) than the "standard BP" (74.2% vs. 81.7%, p > 0.05). Patients treated with sequential BP had a longer survival than those treated with "standard BP" (22.4 vs. 18.7 months; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The sequential approach may enhance the positive effect of BP on organ dysfunction among critically ill patients with COVID-19 and bacterial superinfection.

Preoperative frailty assessment could be a predictive factor for the prognosis of elderly patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting: a retrospective case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Frailty has been considered to be associated with major mortality and increased length of stay after cardiac surgery. This study aimed to explore the predictive potential of frailty assessment in the prognosis of elderly patients undergoing bypass surgery. METHODS: This study assessed the preoperative frailty according to the Fried's frailty phenotype, and included 150 frail and 150 non-frail elderly patients (≥ 65 y) who underwent bypass surgery. The present study evaluated the prognosis of elderly patients based on sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, and collected clinical indicators to construct logistic regression models with the prognosis as the dependent variable, to explore the potential predictive ability of preoperative frailty. Moreover, this study focused on the complications and analyzed the relationship between preoperative frailty and postoperative complications. RESULTS: In the present study, 244 patients were divided into the favorable prognosis group and 56 patients were divided into the unfavorable prognosis group. Logistic regression analysis showed that increased myoglobin and high cardiac function classification were independent risk factors for unfavorable prognosis in elderly patients undergoing bypass surgery. The discrimination of the clinical prediction model was determined by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and the area under curve (AUC) was 0.928. After adding preoperative frailty assessment, the AUC was improved to 0.939. This study found a significant correlation between preoperative frailty and postoperative complications, mainly in the circulatory system. CONCLUSION: Preoperative frailty assessment could be a predictive factor for the prognosis of elderly patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting. According to our study, frailty assessment and appropriate intervention before bypass surgery may be beneficial to the enhanced recovery after cardiac surgery. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The clinical study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University (2021-SR-393). All patients signed an informed consent form.

Survival and analysis of prognostic factors for severe burn patients with inhalation injury: based on the respiratory SOFA score.

BACKGROUND: It is important to determine the severity of inhalation injury in severely burned patients. The oxygenation index PaO2/FiO2(PF) ratio is a key clinical indicator of inhalation injury. Sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) is developed to assess the acute incidence of critical illness in the population. We hope to provide an assessment of survival or prognostic factor for severely burned patients with inhalation injury based on the respiratory SOFA score. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study of all admissions to Department of Burn and Plastic Surgery at West China Hospital of Sichuan University from July 2010 to March 2021. Data was analyzed using Cox regression models to determine significant predictors of mortality. Survival analysis with time to death event was performed using the Kaplan-Meier survival curve with the log-rank test. All potential risk factors were considered independent variables, while survival was considered the risk dependent variable. RESULTS: One hundred eighteen severe burn patients with inhalation injury who met the inclusion and exclusion criteria were admitted, including men accounted for 76.3%. The mean age and length of stay were 45.9 (14.8) years and 44.3 (38.4) days. Flame burns are the main etiology of burn (74.6%). Patients with the respiratory SOFA score greater than 2 have undergone mechanical ventilation. Univariate Kaplan-Meier analysis identified age, total body surface area burned (TBSA), ICU admission and the respiratory SOFA score as significant factors on survival. Cox regression analysis showed that TBSA and the respiratory SOFA score were associated with patient survival (p < 0.001). In some patients with severe burns and inhalation damage, the survival probability drops to less than 10% (TBSA greater than 80%: 8.9% and respiratory SOFA score greater than 2: 5.6%). This study statistically found that the TBSA with the respiratory SOFA score model (AUROC: 0.955) and the rBaux score (AUROC: 0.927) had similar predictive value (p = 0.175). CONCLUSION: The study indicates that a high respiratory system SOFA score was identified as a strong and independent predictor of severely burned patients with inhalation injury during hospitalization. When combined with TBSA, the respiratory SOFA scores can dynamically assess the severity of the patient's lung injury and improve the predictive level.

Risk factors for ICU mortality in patients with hematological malignancies: a singlecenter, retrospective cohort study from Turkey.

BACKGROUND: Patients with hematological malignancies (HM) often require admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) due to organ failure, disease progression or treatment-related complications, and they generally have a poor prognosis. Therefore, understanding the factors affecting ICU mortality in HM patients is important. In this study, we aimed to identify the risk factors for ICU mortality in our critically ill HM patients. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of HM patients who were hospitalized in our medical ICU between January 1, 2010 and December 31, 2018. We recorded some parameters of these patients and compared these parameters by statistically between survivors and nonsurvivors to determine the risk factors for ICU mortality. RESULTS: The study included 368 critically ill HM patients who were admitted to our medical ICU during a 9-year period. The median age was 58 (49-67) years and 63.3% of the patients were male. Most of the patients (43.2%) had acute leukemia. Hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) was performed in 153 (41.6%) patients. The ICU mortality rate was 51.4%. According to univariable analyses, a lot of parameters (e.g., admission APACHE II and SOFA scores, length of ICU stay, some laboratory parameters at the ICU admission, the reason for ICU admission, comorbidities, type of HM, type of HSCT, infections on ICU admission and during ICU stay, etc.) were significantly different between survivors and nonsurvivors. However, only high SOFA scores at ICU admission (OR:1.281, p = 0.004), presence of septic shock (OR:17.123, p = 0.0001), acute kidney injury (OR:48.284, p = 0.0001), and requirement of invasive mechanical ventilation support during ICU stay (OR:23.118, p = 0.0001) were independent risk factors for ICU mortality. DISCUSSION: In our cohort, critically ill HM patients had high ICU mortality. We found four independent predictors for ICU mortality. Yet, there is still a need for further research to better understand poor outcome predictors in critically ill HM patients.

Serum Procalcitonin vs SOFA Score in Predicting Outcome in Sepsis Patients in Medical Intensive Care Unit.

Background: Sepsis is a dysregulated host response to infection that leads to acute organ dysfunction. The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score is one of the gold standard tests in assessing the patient's status during ICU stay and also to predict the clinical outcomes of the patients. Procalcitonin (PCT) is a more specific marker for bacterial infection. In this study, we compared PCT and SOFA scores in predicting morbidity and mortality outcomes in sepsis. Materials and methods: A prospective cohort study was conducted on 80 patients with suspected sepsis. Patients who were >18 years of age with suspected sepsis presenting to the emergency room within 24-36 hours of illness are included in the study. SOFA score was calculated, and blood was drawn for PCT at the time of admission. Results: The average SOFA score in survivors was 6.1 ± 1.93, whereas, in nonsurvivors, it was 8.3 ± 2.13. The average PCT level in survivors was 3.7 ± 1.5, whereas, in nonsurvivors, was 6.4 ± 3.13. Area under the curve (AUC) for serum procalcitonin was found to be 0.77 (p value = 0.001) with average procalcitonin level of 4.15 ng/mL with sensitivity of 70% and specificity of 60%. AUC of SOFA score was found to be 0.78 (p value = 0.001) with an average score of 8, having a sensitivity of 73% and specificity of 74%. Conclusion: Serum PCT and SOFA scores are significantly elevated in patients with sepsis and septic shock, indicating their utility in predicting the severity and also their ability to assess end-organ damage. How to cite this article: Shinde VV, Jha A, Natarajan MSS, Vijayakumari V, Govindaswamy G, Sivaasubramani S, et al. Serum Procalcitonin vs SOFA Score in Predicting Outcome in Sepsis Patients in Medical Intensive Care Unit. Indian J Crit Care Med 2023;27(5):348-351.

Diagnostic usefulness of serum procalcitonin in patients with bacterial sepsis.

Background: The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score is used for the diagnosis of sepsis and involves clinical and laboratory parameters that may not be readily and/or timely available in most resource-poor settings. Procalcitonin (PCT) has its level changed in response to bacterial sepsis and its measurement costs only a fraction of the total cost of investigations required to calculate SOFA score. This study aims to determine the diagnostic usefulness of PCT in bacterial sepsis. Materials and Methods: Ninety-nine participants were studied, divided into three groups: apparently healthy volunteers, those with bacterial infection without sepsis (SOFA score <2), and patients with bacterial sepsis (positive culture and SOFA ≥2). PCT level of each participant was measured and median group levels compared. Pearson's correlation was used to determine the correlation between serum PCT levels and SOFA scores in the sepsis group using a significance level of 5 percent (P < 0.05). Diagnostic usefulness of PCT was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC). Result: Positive correlation was found between serum PCT levels and SOFA scores among patients with sepsis r = 0.42, P = 0.016. At a concentration of ≥4.25 ng/ml, serum PCT as a surrogate for SOFA score had a sensitivity and specificity of 57.60% and 84.80%, respectively, for indicating sepsis. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.74 (95% CI {0.62 to 0.86}, P = 0.001). Conclusion: Serum PCT concentration was significantly higher in bacterial sepsis compared to bacterial infection without sepsis and healthy state. PCT concentration demonstrated positive correlation with SOFA score in bacterial sepsis and can be used as surrogate for sepsis screening/monitoring in resource-poor settings.

Prognostic significance of soluble CD25 in patients with sepsis: a prospective observational study.

OBJECTIVES: The diagnosis of sepsis is challenging, the need for sensitive and specific diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers has not been met. Soluble CD25 (sCD25) is a readily available biomarker reported to represent the severity of the disease. This study aimed to assess the association between sCD25 and mortality in patients with sepsis. METHODS: In total, 329 adult patients with sepsis were screened through a prospective, observational study. We investigated the severity scores and sCD25 levels at admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), defined by sepsis (sepsis-3). The prognostic value of sCD25 was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and binary logistic regression models in predicting unfavourable outcome. The correlations between variables and severity of disease were analysed by Spearman correlation tests. RESULTS: After entering the ICU, the sCD25 level and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score were significantly higher in nonsurvivors than in survivors. The prognostic values estimated by the ROC curves were 0.678 for sCD25 and 0.945 for SOFA score at ICU admission. sCD25 had a modest ability to predict poor outcome. Logistic regression showed that increased levels of sCD25 were independently associated with unfavourable outcome. Spearman correlation tests showed that sCD25 levels were positively correlated with disease severity. CONCLUSIONS: In sepsis patients, increased sCD25 levels were independently associated with poor clinical outcomes. Further research is needed to improve the understanding of the pathophysiology of this relationship.

Prediction models for carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales carriage at liver transplantation: A multicenter retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales (CRE) colonisation at liver transplantation (LT) increases the risk of CRE infection after LT, which impacts on recipients' survival. Colonization status usually becomes evident only near LT. Thus, predictive models can be useful to guide antibiotic prophylaxis in endemic centres. AIMS: This study aimed to identify risk factors for CRE colonisation at LT in order to build a predictive model. METHODS: Retrospective multicentre study including consecutive adult patients who underwent LT, from 2010 to 2019, at two large teaching hospitals. We excluded patients who had CRE infections within 90 days before LT. CRE screening was performed in all patients on the day of LT. Exposure variables were considered within 90 days before LT and included cirrhosis complications, underlying disease, time on the waiting list, MELD and CLIF-SOFA scores, antibiotic use, intensive care unit and hospital stay, and infections. A machine learning model was trained to detect the probability of a patient being colonized with CRE at LT. RESULTS: A total of 1544 patients were analyzed, 116 (7.5%) patients were colonized by CRE at LT. The median time from CRE isolation to LT was 5 days. Use of antibiotics, hepato-renal syndrome, worst CLIF sofa score, and use of beta-lactam/beta-lactamase inhibitor increased the probability of a patient having pre-LT CRE. The proposed algorithm had a sensitivity of 66% and a specificity of 83% with a negative predictive value of 97%. CONCLUSIONS: We created a model able to predict CRE colonization at LT based on easy-to-obtain features that could guide antibiotic prophylaxis.

Sepsis subphenotyping based on organ dysfunction trajectory.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis is a heterogeneous syndrome, and the identification of clinical subphenotypes is essential. Although organ dysfunction is a defining element of sepsis, subphenotypes of differential trajectory are not well studied. We sought to identify distinct Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score trajectory-based subphenotypes in sepsis. METHODS: We created 72-h SOFA score trajectories in patients with sepsis from four diverse intensive care unit (ICU) cohorts. We then used dynamic time warping (DTW) to compute heterogeneous SOFA trajectory similarities and hierarchical agglomerative clustering (HAC) to identify trajectory-based subphenotypes. Patient characteristics were compared between subphenotypes and a random forest model was developed to predict subphenotype membership at 6 and 24 h after being admitted to the ICU. The model was tested on three validation cohorts. Sensitivity analyses were performed with alternative clustering methodologies. RESULTS: A total of 4678, 3665, 12,282, and 4804 unique sepsis patients were included in development and three validation cohorts, respectively. Four subphenotypes were identified in the development cohort: Rapidly Worsening (n = 612, 13.1%), Delayed Worsening (n = 960, 20.5%), Rapidly Improving (n = 1932, 41.3%), and Delayed Improving (n = 1174, 25.1%). Baseline characteristics, including the pattern of organ dysfunction, varied between subphenotypes. Rapidly Worsening was defined by a higher comorbidity burden, acidosis, and visceral organ dysfunction. Rapidly Improving was defined by vasopressor use without acidosis. Outcomes differed across the subphenotypes, Rapidly Worsening had the highest in-hospital mortality (28.3%, P-value < 0.001), despite a lower SOFA (mean: 4.5) at ICU admission compared to Rapidly Improving (mortality:5.5%, mean SOFA: 5.5). An overall prediction accuracy of 0.78 (95% CI, [0.77, 0.8]) was obtained at 6 h after ICU admission, which increased to 0.87 (95% CI, [0.86, 0.88]) at 24 h. Similar subphenotypes were replicated in three validation cohorts. The majority of patients with sepsis have an improving phenotype with a lower mortality risk; however, they make up over 20% of all deaths due to their larger numbers. CONCLUSIONS: Four novel, clinically-defined, trajectory-based sepsis subphenotypes were identified and validated. Identifying trajectory-based subphenotypes has immediate implications for the powering and predictive enrichment of clinical trials. Understanding the pathophysiology of these differential trajectories may reveal unanticipated therapeutic targets and identify more precise populations and endpoints for clinical trials.

Prognostic Value of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) Score in Critically-Ill Combat-Injured Patients.

Background: Infection is a frequent and serious complication after combat-related trauma. The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score has been shown to have predictive value for outcomes, including sepsis and mortality, among various populations. We evaluated the prognostic ability of SOFA score in a combat-related trauma population. Methods: Combat casualties (2009-2014) admitted to Landstuhl Regional Medical Center (LRMC; Germany) intensive care unit (ICU) within 4 days post-injury followed by transition to ICUs in military hospitals in the United States were included. Multivariate logistic regression was used to determine predictive effect of selected variables and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate overall accuracy of SOFA score for infection prediction. Results: Of the 748 patients who met inclusion criteria, 436 (58%) were diagnosed with an infection (32% bloodstream, 63% skin and soft tissue, and 40% pulmonary) and were predominantly young (median 24 years) males. Penetrating trauma accounted for 95% and 86% of injuries among those with and without infections, respectively (p < 0.001). Median LRMC admission SOFA score was 7 (interquartile range [IQR]: 4-9) in patients with infections versus 4 (IQR: 2-6) in patients without infections (p < 0.001). Thirty-day mortality was 2% in both groups. On multivariate regression, LRMC SOFA score was independently associated with infection development (odds ratio: 1.2; 95% confidence interval: 1.1-1.3). The ROC curve analysis revealed an area under the curve of 0.69 for infection prediction, and 0.80 for mortality prediction. Conclusions: The SOFA scores obtained up to 4 days post-injury predict late onset infection occurrence. This study revealed that for every 1 point increase in LRMC SOFA score, the odds of having an infection increases by a factor of 1.2, controlling for other predictors. The use of SOFA score in admission assessments may assist clinicians with identifying those at higher risk of infection following combat-related trauma.