Hepatic steatosis, metabolic dysfunction and risk of mortality: findings from a multinational prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and metabolic syndrome (MetS) are implicated in the aetiology of non-communicable diseases. Our study aimed to evaluate associations between NAFLD and MetS with overall and cause-specific mortality. METHODS: We used dietary, lifestyle, anthropometric and metabolic biomarker data from a random subsample of 15,784 EPIC cohort participants. NAFLD was assessed using the fatty liver index (FLI) and MetS using the revised definition. Indices for metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) were calculated. The individual associations of these indices with overall and cause-specific mortality were assessed using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs). As a subobjective, risk associations with adaptations of new classifications of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and metabolic and alcohol-related liver disease (MetALD) were also assessed. RESULTS: Among the 15,784 sub-cohort participants, a total of 1997 deaths occurred (835 due to cancer, 520 to CVD, 642 to other causes) over a median 15.6 (IQR, 12.3-17.1) years of follow-up. Compared to an FLI < 30, FLI ≥ 60 was associated with increased risks of overall mortality (HR = 1.44, 95%CI = 1.27-1.63), and deaths from cancer (HR = 1.32, 95%CI = 1.09-1.60), CVD (HR = 2.06, 95% CI = 1.61-2.63) or other causes (HR = 1.21, 95%CI = 0.97-1.51). Mortality risk associations were also elevated for individuals with MAFLD compared to those without. Individuals with MetS were at increased risk of all mortality endpoints, except cancer-specific mortality. MASLD and MetALD were associated with higher risk of overall mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings based on a prospective cohort suggest that individuals with hepatic steatosis or metabolic dysfunction have a higher overall and cause-specific mortality risk.

Factors and a model to predict three-month mortality in patients with acute fatty liver of pregnancy from two medical centers.

BACKGROUND: Acute fatty liver of pregnancy (AFLP) is an uncommon but potentially life-threatening complication. Lacking of prognostic factors and models renders prediction of outcomes difficult. This study aims to explore factors and develop a prognostic model to predict three-month mortality of AFLP. METHODS: This retrospective study included 78 consecutive patients fulfilling both clinical and laboratory criteria and Swansea criteria for diagnosis of AFLP. Univariate and multivariate cox regression analyses were used to identify predictive factors of mortality. Predictive efficacy of prognostic index for AFLP (PI-AFLP) was compared with the other four liver disease models using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. RESULTS: AFLP-related three-month mortality of two medical centers was 14.10% (11/78). International normalised ratio (INR, hazard ratio [HR] = 3.446; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.324-8.970), total bilirubin (TBIL, HR = 1.005; 95% CI, 1.000-1.010), creatine (Scr, HR = 1.007; 95% CI, 1.001-1.013), low platelet (PLT, HR = 0.964; 95% CI, 0.931-0.997) at 72 h postpartum were confirmed as significant predictors of mortality. Artificial liver support (ALS, HR = 0.123; 95% CI, 0.012-1.254) was confirmed as an effective measure to improve severe patients' prognosis. Predictive accuracy of PI-AFLP was 0.874. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) of liver disease models for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD-Na, integrated MELD (iMELD) and pregnancy-specific liver disease (PSLD) were 0.781, 0.774, 0.744 and 0.643, respectively. CONCLUSION: TBIL, INR, Scr and PLT at 72 h postpartum are significant predictors of three-month mortality in AFLP patients. ALS is an effective measure to improve severe patients' prognosis. PI-AFLP calculated by TBIL, INR, Scr, PLT and ALS was a sensitive and specific model to predict mortality of AFLP.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease is associated with increased all-cause mortality in the United States.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Recently, international experts proposed redefining non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) as metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), based on modified criteria. It is suspected that outcomes such as mortality may differ for these clinical entities. We studied the impact of MAFLD and NAFLD on all-cause and cause-specific mortality in US adults. METHODS: We analyzed data from 7,761 participants in the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and their linked mortality through 2015. NAFLD was diagnosed by ultrasonographic evidence of hepatic steatosis without other known liver diseases. MAFLD was defined based on the criteria proposed by an international expert panel. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to study all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality between MAFLD and NAFLD, with adjustments for known risk factors. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 23 years, individuals with MAFLD had a 17% higher risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.17; 95% CI 1.04-1.32). Furthermore, MAFLD was associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular mortality. NAFLD per se did not increase the risk of all-cause mortality. Individuals who met both definitions had a higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.13, 95% CI 1.00-1.26), while individuals who met the definition for MAFLD but not NAFLD had a 1.7-fold higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.66, 95% CI 1.19-2.32). Estimates for all-cause mortality were higher for those with advanced fibrosis and MAFLD than for those with advanced fibrosis and NAFLD. CONCLUSIONS: In this US population-based study, MAFLD was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality, while NAFLD demonstrated no association with all-cause mortality after adjusting for metabolic risk factors. LAY SUMMARY: Our findings provide further support for the idea that non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a part of a broader multi-system disease that also includes obesity, diabetes, high blood pressure, and high cholesterol. Therefore, re-defining NAFLD as metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) may help improve our understanding of predictors that increase the risk of death.

Liver failure in pregnancy: a review of 25 cases.

We retrospectively reviewed the medical records from 25 pregnant women with liver failure from May 2009 to July 2019. Data describing clinical symptoms and manifestations, routine blood analyses, coagulation, and liver and kidney function were extracted. Swansea criteria were assessed to identify variables with prognostic significance for maternal mortality. The results showed that acute fatty liver was the primary cause of liver failure and 8 (88.89%) patients died within 7 days. Swansea diagnostic criteria for assessing the severity of liver failure were consistent with Chinese guidelines and were more systematic and convenient. The incidence of postpartum haemorrhage was 76%, and the velocity of bleeding was approximately 600 mL per hour. Increased Swansea score, hepatic encephalopathy and decreased PWR were important prognostic indicators for mortality. Recovery during the 7 days postpartum period was an important determinant of maternal outcomes.Impact statementWhat is already known on this subject? Liver failure in pregnant women is a rare but potentially devastating disease with a high rate of short-term morbidity and mortality. There are limited reports about clinical predictors of maternal-foetal outcomes and the dilemmas faced in the term of delivery.What the results of this study add? The incidence of postpartum haemorrhage was 76% in pregnant women with liver failure, but the velocity of bleeding was approximately 600 mL per hour. Our study revealed the Swansea score and the ratio of hepatic encephalopathy were significantly higher and platelet-to-white blood cell ratio (PWR) was lower in women who died compared to those who survived. During treatment period, 8 (88.89%) patients died within 7 days.What the implications are of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? Swansea score, hepatic encephalopathy and PWR were important prognostic indicators for mortality in pregnant women with liver failure. Recovery during the 7 days postpartum period was an important determinant of maternal outcomes. Our findings may prompt researchers to conduct a large multicentre study to evaluate the prognostic indicators for mortality in pregnant women with liver failure.

Fatty liver, cardiometabolic disease and mortality.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: We discuss the findings of the most recent metanalyses on the association between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), cardiometabolic disease and mortality. RECENT FINDINGS: Recent metanalyses have shown that NAFLD is associated with incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and incident cardiovascular disease (CVD). Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, which can be diagnosed by liver biopsy only in tertiary care centers, is often associated with liver fibrosis, which has been shown by metanalyses to increase both cardiovascular and liver-related mortality. Hyperlipidemia, lipotoxicity and impaired insulin secretion are among the possible mechanisms underlying the association of NAFLD with T2DM and CVD. Metanalyses of the association between NAFLD and mortality in the general population, where risk stratification cannot be performed on the basis of liver biopsy, have given contradictory results. SUMMARY: To establish conclusively whether NAFLD adds to known prognostic factors of death in the general population will require a shared operational definition of NAFLD, purposefully designed cohort studies, and the use of clinically relevant measures of effect size.

Association between advanced fibrosis in fatty liver disease and overall mortality based on body fat distribution.

BACKGROUND: Studies on association between fatty liver disease and overall mortality have yielded conflicting results. We evaluated the impact of fatty liver disease and advanced fibrosis on overall morality with a focus on body size and abdominal fat distribution measured by computed tomography. METHODS: We performed a prospective cohort study including 34 080 subjects (mean age, 51.4 years; 58.6% men) who underwent abdominal ultrasonography and fat computed tomography, from 2007 to 2015. Fatty liver was diagnosed by ultrasonography, and advanced fibrosis was defined as high probability of advanced fibrosis based on three noninvasive methods, aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score, and fibrosis-4 score. Body size was categorized by body mass index into obese (≥ 25 kg/m2 ) or nonobese (< 25 kg/m2 ). Multivariate proportional Cox hazard regression analyses were performed. RESULTS: The prevalence of fatty liver disease was 37.5%, while the prevalence of advanced fibrosis in fatty liver disease was 1.8%. During a median follow-up of 87 months (interquartile range, 62-110), 296 deaths occurred. Fatty liver disease was not associated with higher overall mortality (multivariate-adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.77-1.34), while increased subcutaneous adiposity was associated with decreased mortality (HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.60-0.88). Advanced fibrosis resulted in a 3.5-fold increase in overall mortality (adjusted HR 3.52, 95% CI 1.86-6.65), which was more pronounced in the nonobese. CONCLUSIONS: While fatty liver disease did not impact overall mortality, subcutaneous adiposity was associated with reduced overall mortality. Advanced fibrosis was an independent predictor of increase in overall mortality.

Hepatic Steatosis in Lean Patients: Risk Factors and Impact on Mortality.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic impact of liver steatosis in obese patients is well established. Limited data on the risk factors for and impact of hepatic steatosis in lean patients are available. AIMS: Assess risk factors for liver steatosis in lean patients and investigate its impact on survival. METHODS: Patients without viral hepatitis and with a BMI ≤ 25 kg/m2 undergoing liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) by transient elastography were retrospectively identified. Clinical characteristics and laboratory test results were obtained at the time of LSM/CAP measurement. National death registry data were obtained in order to assess survival. RESULTS: Among n = 218 lean patients, n = 97 (34.5%) showed significant liver steatosis (CAP ≥ 268 dB/m), while n = 184 (65.5%) had no or just mild steatosis (CAP < 268 dB/m). Patients with steatosis had higher GGT (238.0(± 450.3) vs. 112.1(± 180.0) IU/mL; p = 0.013), AST (63(± 67.4) vs. 38.5(± 32.9) IU/mL; p = 0.001), ALT (59.1(± 58.8) vs. 44.3(± 52.7) IU/mL; p = 0.048) and triglyceride levels (120.1(± 80.3) vs. 96.1(± 58.2) mg/dL; p = 0.014), and showed a trend toward more severe fibrosis (LSM 15.6(± 19.5) vs. 12.0(± 15.7) kPa; p = 0.115). In multivariate binary logistic regression analysis, only serum uric acid levels were independently associated with liver steatosis (odds ratio 1.43 per unit mg/dL; 95% CI 1.001-2.054; p = 0.049). During a mean follow-up of 38.9(± 10.6) months, n = 14 patients (5.0%) died. In the absence of advanced fibrosis, survival after 1 year was similar in patients without (98.7%) and with (98.6%) significant steatosis. Patients with advanced fibrosis had worse 1-year survival without concomitant significant steatosis (84.8%) than patients with steatosis (95.8%; log-rank p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: High serum uric acid levels increase the risk of liver steatosis in lean patients. Liver fibrosis but not hepatic steatosis is a risk factor for impaired survival in lean patients.

Potential predictors for prognosis and postpartum recovery time of acute fatty liver of pregnancy.

BACKGROUND: Acute fatty liver of pregnancy (AFLP) is a potentially lethal condition of pregnant women with a high mortality rate. Potential predictors related to postpartum recovery time and prognostic factors of AFLP are still unclear. This study aimed to evaluate potential predictors for prognosis and postpartum recovery time of AFLP. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 76 AFLP patients in our hospital from 2002 to 2017 and investigated potential predictors using univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) was found to be associated with prognosis in AFLP patients (P = 0.005, OR = 26.844). The postpartum recovery time analysis showed that AFLP patients with a age < 25 had the shortest recovery time, but no significant difference (P = 0.134, OR = 5.952). The postpartum recovery time of patients with liver failure (LF) was significantly prolonged compared to those without LF (P = 0.036, OR = 10.052). Cryoprecipitate, and plasma infusion showed no significant effect on prognosis or recovery time. Artificial liver support therapy (ALST) had no effect on prognosis, but it might affect postpartum recovery time with no statistical significance (P = 0.128, OR = 5.470). CONCLUSION: HE is a potential predictor for prognosis of AFLP. LF is a potential predictor for postpartum recovery time.

Acute Fatty Liver of Pregnancy.

Acute fatty liver of pregnancy (AFLP) is a rare, but potentially fatal condition, characterized by hepatic failure typically in the third trimester of pregnancy that is associated with multiorgan involvement resulting in a number of clinical and laboratory abnormalities. The cornerstone of management of AFLP includes prompt recognition, preparation for delivery, and supportive care such as reversal of coagulopathy. Early diagnosis, prompted delivery, and supportive care have resulted in improved maternal morbidity and mortality. This review focuses on the epidemiology, etiology, clinical presentation, diagnosis, management, and resolution of AFLP.

Fatal diffuse pulmonary fat microemboli following reperfusion in liver transplantation with the use of marginal steatotic allografts.

Organ shortage is a major cause of delayed liver transplantation and increased waitlist time. The level of donor steatosis is a significant determinant in organ selection. Scarcity of organs has led some programs to expand their acceptable criteria for the percentage of steatosis. We report two cases of liver transplantation of steatotic donor organs that resulted in mortality within hours from transplantation. Postmortem analysis showed evidence of diffuse pulmonary fat microemboli likely originating from the donor organ, with marked preservation reperfusion injury. The mechanism of diffuse fat microemboli in this setting and possible relationship to other perioperative syndromes (transfusion-related lung injury, acute kidney injury, and postreperfusion syndrome) is discussed.

Outcomes of liver transplantation for acute fatty liver disease of pregnancy.

Acute fatty liver of pregnancy (AFLP) often resolves after pregnancy delivery but can progress to acute liver failure necessitating liver transplantation. We performed a retrospective review of the national Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) data to identify all women in the United States undergoing liver transplantation (LT) for acute liver failure (ALF) from AFLP from 1991 to 2015, and compared to outcomes in women of childbearing age undergoing transplant for ALF from acetaminophen and ALF from other etiologies. Women with AFLP were likely to be on life support at time of LT and had high rates of renal dysfunction (median Cr 2.1, IQR 1.2-2.3), and hyperbilirubinemia (median bilirubin 17.1, IQR 11.0, 19.9). Although their early and late LT survival outcomes were comparable to the other indications for LT, cumulative 5-year graft survival was numerically lower among AFLP patients (54%, 95% CI, 27-76) compared to APAP (70%, 95% CI, 63-77) and "Other ALF" (76%, 95% CI, 72-80) groups. In conclusion, although AFLP is a rare indication for LT, AFLP patients were as sick or sicker than other women of childbearing age undergoing LT for ALF. Worsened graft survival may be related to higher rates of rejection in the AFLP group.

Fatty liver haemorrhagic syndrome occurrence in laying hens: impact of production system.

Surveys were conducted with cage and alternative layer production systems to assess the prevalence of fatty liver haemorrhagic syndrome (FLHS). Commercial caged laying hens of different ages from three farms in Queensland were monitored for three months. The mortality rate of flocks ranged from 0.8% (the youngest flock) to 11.6% (the oldest flock). Six hundred and fifty-one birds were necropsied, and approximately 40% of hens died due to FLHS. Hens kept in cages in a controlled environment shed, were at a similar risk of developing FLHS to hens kept in naturally controlled sheds, however, the heavier birds in a flock were more likely to have the condition than lighter birds. In another study, layer flocks kept in cage, barn and free-range housing systems at the University of Queensland facility, were monitored for 50 weeks. Data from necropsies and performance records showed no significant differences in mortality rates between the housing systems (6.1%, 6.4% and 5.8%, for cages, barns and free-range, respectively), but the cause of mortality was different. In cages, 74% of necropsied hens died due to FLHS. In the other systems, only 0-5% of dead hens were diagnosed with the condition. These results are in agreement with previous Australian and overseas findings which have shown that FLHS is one of the main causes of hen death in caged flocks. Factors associated with husbandry practices in different production systems, such as restricted movement, increased production and temperature variations, influence hepatic lipid metabolism and predispose hens to FLHS.

Systematic review of the influence of chemotherapy-associated liver injury on outcome after partial hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases.

BACKGROUND: The impact of chemotherapy-associated liver injury (CALI) on postoperative outcome in patients undergoing partial hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) remains controversial. The objective of this study was to clarify the effect of CALI (sinusoidal dilatation (SD), steatosis and steatohepatitis) on postoperative morbidity and mortality by investigating a large data set from multiple international centres. METHODS: PubMed and Embase were searched for studies published between 1 January 2004 and 31 December 2013 with keywords 'chemotherapy', 'liver resection', 'outcome' and 'colorectal metastases' to identify potential collaborating centres. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed using binary logistic regression models, with results presented as odds ratios (ORs) with 95 per cent confidence intervals. RESULTS: A consolidated database comprising 788 patients who underwent hepatectomy for CRLM in eight centres was obtained. In multivariable analyses, severe SD was associated with increased major morbidity (Dindo-Clavien grade III-V; OR 1·73, 95 per cent c.i. 1·02 to 2·95; P = 0·043). Severe steatosis was associated with decreased liver surgery-specific complications (OR 0·52, 95 per cent c.i. 0·27 to 1·00; P = 0·049), whereas steatohepatitis was linked to an increase in these complications (OR 2·08, 1·18 to 3·66; P = 0·012). Subgroup analysis showed that lobular inflammation was the sole component associated with increased overall morbidity (OR 2·22, 1·48 to 3·34; P = 0·001) and liver surgery-specific complications (OR 3·35, 2·11 to 5·32; P < 0·001). Finally, oxaliplatin treatment was linked to severe SD (OR 2·74, 1·67 to 4·49; P < 0·001). CONCLUSION: An increase in postoperative major morbidity and liver surgery-specific complications was observed after partial hepatectomy in patients with severe SD and steatohepatitis. Postoperative liver failure occurred more often in patients with severe SD.

Loss of the Mono-ADP-ribosyltransferase, Tiparp, Increases Sensitivity to Dioxin-induced Steatohepatitis and Lethality.

The aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AHR) mediates the toxic effects of the environmental contaminant dioxin (2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin; TCDD). Dioxin causes a range of toxic responses, including hepatic damage, steatohepatitis, and a lethal wasting syndrome; however, the mechanisms are still unknown. Here, we show that the loss of TCDD-inducible poly(ADP-ribose) polymerase (Tiparp), an ADP-ribosyltransferase and AHR repressor, increases sensitivity to dioxin-induced toxicity, steatohepatitis, and lethality. Tiparp(-/-) mice given a single injection of 100 µg/kg dioxin did not survive beyond day 5; all Tiparp(+/+) mice survived the 30-day treatment. Dioxin-treated Tiparp(-/-) mice exhibited increased liver steatosis and hepatotoxicity. Tiparp ADP-ribosylated AHR but not its dimerization partner, the AHR nuclear translocator, and the repressive effects of TIPARP on AHR were reversed by the macrodomain containing mono-ADP-ribosylase MACROD1 but not MACROD2. These results reveal previously unidentified roles for Tiparp, MacroD1, and ADP-ribosylation in AHR-mediated steatohepatitis and lethality in response to dioxin.

The influence of steatosis on the short- and long-term results of resection of liver metastases from colorectal carcinoma.

UNLABELLED: We aimed to establish whether the presence of hepatic steatosis influences outcome after resection of colorectal liver metastases (CLM). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients operated between 1990 and 2014 were divided into four groups based on the degree of hepatic steatosis. The association between hepatic steatosis and outcome was analyzed, using a multivariate and a propensity score case-match analysis. RESULTS: No significant differences were observed between patients with and without steatosis in either mortality or morbidity in the complete series or after matching (3.2% vs. 3.5%/p = 0.845) (32.3% vs 31.4%/p = 0.802). Five-year survival in patients with and without steatosis were 56.5% and 46.5% respectively (p = 0.046). The steatosis had a significant protective effect in the univariate analysis (HR (95% CI) = 0.78 (0.62-0.99) p = 0.048), and was close to significance in the multivariate analysis (HR (95%) = 0.81 (0.63-1.03) p = 0.089). No significant differences were seen with regard to liver recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: The presence of steatosis does not predict short-outcome after resection of CLM, but appears to be a favorable prognostic factor for survival. This protective effect does not depend on a decrease in liver recurrence.

Extrahepatic complications of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a leading cause of chronic liver disease, and is strongly associated with the metabolic syndrome. In the last decade, it has become apparent that the clinical burden of NAFLD is not restricted to liver-related morbidity or mortality, and the majority of deaths in NAFLD patients are related to cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer. These findings have fuelled concerns that NAFLD may be a new, and added risk factor for extrahepatic diseases such as CVD, chronic kidney disease (CKD), colorectal cancer, endocrinopathies (including type 2 diabetes mellitus [T2DM] and thyroid dysfunction), and osteoporosis. In this review we critically appraise key studies on NAFLD-associated extrahepatic disease. There was marked heterogeneity between studies in study design (cross-sectional versus prospective; sample size; presence/absence of well-defined controls), population (ethnic diversity; community-based versus hospital-based cohorts), and method of NAFLD diagnosis (liver enzymes versus imaging versus biopsy). Taking this into account, the cumulative evidence to date suggests that individuals with NAFLD (specifically, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis) harbor an increased and independent risk of developing CVD, T2DM, CKD, and colorectal neoplasms. We propose future studies are necessary to better understand these risks, and suggest an example of a screening strategy.

Similar outcome after transplantation of moderate macrovesicular steatotic and nonsteatotic livers when the cold ischemia time is kept very short.

BACKGROUND: Livers with moderate (30-60%) macrovesicular steatosis have been associated with poor outcome after transplantation. Aim of this study was to examine the outcome after transplantation of livers with moderate macrovesicular steatosis when the cold ischemia time (CIT) is kept very short. METHODS: Postoperative outcome of 19 recipients of a moderate steatotic liver were compared with a matched control group of 95 recipients of a nonsteatotic liver graft (1:5 ratio). We studied graft/patient survival rates, incidences of primary nonfunction, postoperative complications (classified according to the Clavien-Dindo classification), first-week postoperative hepatic injury serum markers (AST/ALT), and liver function tests (PT time/bilirubin/lactate). In addition, we studied reversal of graft steatosis in follow-up biopsies. RESULTS: Median CIT in livers with moderate steatosis and in controls was below 8 h in both groups. Although short- and long-term patient/graft survival rates and results of liver function tests were similar, serum markers of hepatic injury and postoperative complications (especially grade IVa) were significantly higher in recipients of a moderate steatotic liver. Reversal of steatosis was seen in 9 of the 11 (82%) recipients with follow-up liver biopsies. CONCLUSION: Despite the association with severe postoperative complications, moderate macrovesicular steatotic livers can be used successfully for transplantation if the CIT is kept very short.

Simple noninvasive systems predict long-term outcomes of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Some patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) develop liver-related complications and have higher mortality than other patients with NAFLD. We determined the accuracy of simple, noninvasive scoring systems in identification of patients at increased risk for liver-related complications or death. METHODS: We performed a retrospective, international, multicenter cohort study of 320 patients diagnosed with NAFLD, based on liver biopsy analysis through 2002 and followed through 2011. Patients were assigned to mild-, intermediate-, or high-risk groups based on cutoff values for 2 of the following: NAFLD fibrosis score, aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio index, FIB-4 score, and BARD score. Outcomes included liver-related complications and death or liver transplantation. We used multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis to adjust for relevant variables and calculate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs). RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 104.8 months (range, 3-317 months), 14% of patients developed liver-related events and 13% died or underwent liver transplantation. The aHRs for liver-related events in the intermediate-risk and high-risk groups, compared with the low-risk group, were 7.7 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.4-42.7) and 34.2 (95% CI: 6.5-180.1), respectively, based on NAFLD fibrosis score; 8.8 (95% CI: 1.1-67.3) and 20.9 (95% CI: 2.6-165.3) based on the aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio index; and 6.2 (95% CI: 1.4-27.2) and 6.6 (95% CI: 1.4-31.1) based on the BARD score. The aHRs for death or liver transplantation in the intermediate-risk and high-risk groups compared with the low-risk group were 4.2 (95% CI: 1.3-13.8) and 9.8 (95% CI: 2.7-35.3), respectively, based on the NAFLD fibrosis scores. Based on aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio index and FIB-4 score, only the high-risk group had a greater risk of death or liver transplantation (aHR = 3.1; 95% CI: 1.1-8.4 and aHR = 6.6; 95% CI: 2.3-20.4, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Simple noninvasive scoring systems help identify patients with NAFLD who are at increased risk for liver-related complications or death. NAFLD fibrosis score appears to be the best indicator of patients at risk, based on HRs. The results of this study require external validation.