RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Mortality from malignant cutaneous melanoma increased alarmingly during the second half of the 20th century in Spain and other European countries. OBJECTIVE: The aim was to analyse sex- and age-specific trends in melanoma mortality in Spain in the period 1982-2016. METHODS: European age-standardized melanoma mortality rates during the period 1982-2016 were calculated from mortality figures provided by the National Statistics Institute. Joinpoint regressions were used to identify significant points of change in trends and to compute average annual per cent change (AAPC). Age-cohort-period models were fitted to explore the effect of these variables on mortality. RESULTS: During the period 1982-2016, age-standardized melanoma mortality rates increased in Spain from 0.90 to 1.80 deaths per 100 000 people in men and from 0.64 to 1.11 per 100 000 in women, rising noticeably from 1982 to 1995 in both sexes and in all age groups. From the mid-90s different trends were observed depending on sex and age: there was a decrease in mortality in the population younger than 45 years (AAPC -2 in both sexes) and aged 45-64 years (AAPC -1 among men and -0.2 among women), but in the group over 64 years rates continued to increase (AAPC 1.7 and 0.2, respectively, for men and women). The mortality sex ratio decreased in the younger population but increased in older individuals. A cohort effect was observed with lower mortality in the cohorts born after 1943 in men and 1956 in women. There was also a period effect with decreased mortality rates at the beginning of the 1990s. CONCLUSIONS: Melanoma mortality rates in Spain increased during the last decades of the 20th century; however, later they stabilized in women and began to decrease in younger cohorts and middle-aged men. Promotion of primary and secondary prevention measures should continue, with particular emphasis on males over 65 years.
Assuntos
Fatores Etários , Melanoma/mortalidade , Fatores Sexuais , Neoplasias Cutâneas/mortalidade , Adulto , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mortalidade/tendências , Espanha/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem , Melanoma Maligno CutâneoRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: The incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) in the western world has been rapidly increasing. The trends in obesity and other lifestyle-associated factors have been hypothesized to be important drivers of this increase. We tested this hypothesis by comparing changes in these factors with changes in EAC incidence over time between three western countries. METHODS: Data on EAC incidence trends were abstracted from the SEER-9 registry (1975-2009) for the United States, from multiple cancer registries (1980-2004) in Spain, and from Eindhoven Cancer Registry in the Netherlands (1974-2010). In addition, we collected trend data on obesity, smoking, and alcohol consumption. The trend data were analyzed using log-linear regression. RESULTS: In 1980, the EAC incidence was similar among the three countries ((0.46-0.63) per 100,000). EAC incidence increased in all, with the largest increase observed in the Netherlands, followed by the United States and Spain (estimated annual percentage of change=9.7%, 7.4%, 4.3%, respectively). However, this pattern was not observed in lifestyle factors associated with EAC. With regards to obesity, the United States clearly has had the highest prevalence rates both in the past and in the present. For alcohol, the highest consumption rates are seen in Spain. Smoking showed a reverse trend compared with EAC among all three countries in the last 20 years. CONCLUSIONS: International trends in EAC incidence do not match corresponding trends in lifestyle-associated factors including obesity. Our findings suggest that factors other than obesity must be the important drivers for the increase in EAC incidence.
Assuntos
Adenocarcinoma/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Esofágicas/epidemiologia , Esôfago/patologia , Estilo de Vida , Humanos , Incidência , Países Baixos/epidemiologia , Sistema de Registros , Fatores de Risco , Espanha/epidemiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
We do not know the precise figure for solid organ tumors diagnosed each year in Spain and it is therefore difficult to calculate whether there has been a decrease in cancer diagnoses as a consequence of the pandemic. Some indirect data suggest that the pandemic has worsened the stage at which some non-hematological neoplasms are diagnosed. Despite the lack of robust evidence, oncology patients seem more likely to have a poor outcome when they contract COVID-19. The antibody response to infection in cancer patients will be fundamentally conditioned by the type of neoplasia present, the treatment received and the time of its administration. In patients with hematological malignancies, the incidence of infection is probably similar or lower than in the general population, due to the better protective measures adopted by the patients and their environment. The severity and mortality of COVID-19 in patients with hematologic malignancies is clearly higher than the general population. Since the immune response to vaccination in hematologic patients is generally worse than in comparable populations, alternative methods of prevention must be established in these patients, as well as actions for earlier diagnosis and treatment. Campaigns for the early diagnosis of malignant neoplasms must be urgently resumed, post-COVID manifestations should be monitored, collaboration with patient associations is indisputable and it is urgent to draw the right conclusions to improve our preparedness to fight against possible future catastrophes.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Neoplasias Hematológicas , Humanos , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Hematológicas/complicações , Espanha/epidemiologia , Vacinação , Teste para COVID-19RESUMO
In recent decades, the possibility that use of mobile communicating devices, particularly wireless (mobile and cordless) phones, may increase brain tumour risk, has been a concern, particularly given the considerable increase in their use by young people. MOBI-Kids, a 14-country (Australia, Austria, Canada, France, Germany, Greece, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Korea, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Spain) case-control study, was conducted to evaluate whether wireless phone use (and particularly resulting exposure to radiofrequency (RF) and extremely low frequency (ELF) electromagnetic fields (EMF)) increases risk of brain tumours in young people. Between 2010 and 2015, the study recruited 899 people with brain tumours aged 10 to 24 years old and 1,910 controls (operated for appendicitis) matched to the cases on date of diagnosis, study region and age. Participation rates were 72% for cases and 54% for controls. The mean ages of cases and controls were 16.5 and 16.6 years, respectively; 57% were males. The vast majority of study participants were wireless phones users, even in the youngest age group, and the study included substantial numbers of long-term (over 10 years) users: 22% overall, 51% in the 20-24-year-olds. Most tumours were of the neuroepithelial type (NBT; n = 671), mainly glioma. The odds ratios (OR) of NBT appeared to decrease with increasing time since start of use of wireless phones, cumulative number of calls and cumulative call time, particularly in the 15-19 years old age group. A decreasing trend in ORs was also observed with increasing estimated cumulative RF specific energy and ELF induced current density at the location of the tumour. Further analyses suggest that the large number of ORs below 1 in this study is unlikely to represent an unknown causal preventive effect of mobile phone exposure: they can be at least partially explained by differential recall by proxies and prodromal symptoms affecting phone use before diagnosis of the cases. We cannot rule out, however, residual confounding from sources we did not measure. Overall, our study provides no evidence of a causal association between wireless phone use and brain tumours in young people. However, the sources of bias summarised above prevent us from ruling out a small increased risk.
Assuntos
Neoplasias Encefálicas , Telefone Celular , Glioma , Adolescente , Adulto , Neoplasias Encefálicas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Encefálicas/etiologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Criança , Campos Eletromagnéticos/efeitos adversos , Glioma/etiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Ondas de Rádio/efeitos adversos , Adulto JovemRESUMO
There is evidence for the influence of socioeconomic status (SES) on healthy behaviours but the effect of social mobility (SM) is not yet well known. This study aims to analyse the influence of origin and destination SES (O-SES and D-SES) and SM on healthy behaviours and co-occurrence, from an integrated gender and age perspective. Data were obtained from the controls of MCC-Spain between 2008-2013 (3,606 participants). Healthy behaviours considered: healthy diet, moderate alcohol consumption, non-smoking and physical activity. SM was categorized as stable high, upward, stable medium, downward or stable low. Binary and multinomial logistic regression models were adjusted. Those aged <65, with a low O-SES, D-SES and stable low SM are less likely to have healthy behaviours in the case of both women (physically active: OR = 0.65 CI = 0.45-0.94, OR = 0.71 CI = 0.52-0.98, OR = 0.61 CI = 0.41-0.91) and men (non-smokers: OR = 0.44 CI = 0.26-0.76, OR = 0.54 CI = 0.35-0.83, OR = 0.41 CI 0.24-0.72; physically active: OR = 0.57 CI = 0.35-0.92, OR = 0.64 CI = 0.44-0.95, OR = 0.53 CI = 0.23-0.87). However, for those aged ≥65, this probability is higher in women with a low O-SES and D-SES (non-smoker: OR = 8.09 CI = 4.18-15.67, OR = 4.14 CI = 2.28-7.52; moderate alcohol consumption: OR = 3.00 CI = 1.45-6.24, OR = 2.83 CI = 1.49-5.37) and in men with a stable low SM (physically active: OR = 1.52 CI = 1.02-1.26). In the case of men, the same behaviour pattern is observed in those with a low O-SES as those with upward mobility, with a higher probability of co-occurring behaviours (three-to-four behaviours: OR = 2.00 CI = 1.22-3.29; OR = 3.13 CI = 1.31-7.48). The relationship of O-SES, D-SES and SM with healthy behaviours is complex and differs according to age and gender.
Assuntos
Comportamentos Relacionados com a Saúde , Classe Social , Mobilidade Social , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Exercício Físico , Feminino , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores Sexuais , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Espanha , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: During recent decades, an increase in the incidence of certain oesophago-gastric cancer subtypes has been reported in some countries. This study sought to analyse oesophageal and gastric cancer incidence trends in Spain by sex, site and morphology for the period 1980-2004. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Oesophageal and gastric cancer cases were drawn from 13 Spanish population-based cancer registries. Time trends in sex- and age-standardised cancer incidence rates were analysed by subsite and histology over the study period, using change-point Poisson models. RESULTS: Age-standardised oesophageal cancer incidence rates failed to register a significant trend over the study period. Overall, gastric cancer decreased from 27.21 and 13.44 cases per 100,000 person-years in 1980-84 to 20.21 and 8.68 in 2000-04, among men and women, respectively. Whereas oesophageal adenocarcinomas increased by approximately 5% per annum in both sexes, gastric cardia cancer increased during the study period in males only, though this increase was less pronounced. Among men, oesophageal squamous cell cancer and non-cardia cancer rates declined steadily from the mid-1980s onwards. Over the same period, there was a marked decrease in the incidence of oesophago-gastric cancer presenting with unspecified subsite or morphology. CONCLUSIONS: Changes in the prevalence of the main risk factors for these tumours might only partly explain oesophageal and gastric cancer rate trends by subtype. Reclassification, however, would appear to account for most of the divergence in oesophageal and gastric cancer trends by subtype over the study period.
Assuntos
Neoplasias Esofágicas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Esofágicas/patologia , Neoplasias Gástricas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Gástricas/patologia , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Neoplasias Esofágicas/classificação , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sistema de Registros , Fatores Sexuais , Espanha/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Gástricas/classificaçãoRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Since the 1990s, there has been a downturn in mortality for specific types of tumour in Spain and other European countries. This article reports on the current situation of cancer mortality in Spain, as well as mortality trends over the period 1980-2007, and provides an overview of cancer mortality trends in Europe in recent years. METHODS: Data were sourced from the National Statistics Institute (Instituto Nacional de Estadística - INE) and the World Health Organization mortality database. Mortality trends were studied using change-point Poisson regression models. RESULTS: All-cancer mortality decreased in both sexes from 1980 to 2007, owing to the fact that the tumours responsible for the highest number of deaths registered declining trends from the mid-1990s onwards. In men, mortality due to stomach and prostate cancer fell by >3% per annum in the last 10 years of the study period. In women, the largest contributions to the fall in cancer mortality were due to breast and colorectal cancers. In contrast, female mortality due to smoking-related cancers rose significantly. Within the European context, Spain's estimated 2005 mortality rates were intermediate for men and low for women. CONCLUSION: Cancer control is progressing in the right direction in Spain. Further interventions directed to reduce tobacco-related cancer mortality remain a priority, particularly for women.
Assuntos
Mortalidade/tendências , Neoplasias/mortalidade , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Neoplasias da Mama/mortalidade , Neoplasias da Mama/prevenção & controle , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/mortalidade , Neoplasias Pulmonares/prevenção & controle , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias/prevenção & controle , Vigilância da População/métodos , Sistema de Registros , Fatores Sexuais , Espanha/epidemiologia , Taxa de Sobrevida/tendênciasRESUMO
Instead of looking at individual nutrients or foods, dietary pattern analysis has emerged as a promising approach to examine the relationship between diet and health outcomes. Despite dietary patterns being compositional (i.e. usually a higher intake of some foods implies that less of other foods are being consumed), compositional data analysis has not yet been applied in this setting. We describe three compositional data analysis approaches (compositional principal component analysis, balances and principal balances) that enable the extraction of dietary patterns by using control subjects from the Spanish multicase-control (MCC-Spain) study. In particular, principal balances overcome the limitations of purely data-driven or investigator-driven methods and present dietary patterns as trade-offs between eating more of some foods and less of others.
Assuntos
Comportamento Alimentar , Modelos Estatísticos , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Multicêntricos como Assunto , Espanha/epidemiologia , Inquéritos e QuestionáriosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Pleural cancer is a recognised indicator of exposure to asbestos and mesothelioma mortality. AIMS: To investigate the distribution of municipal mortality due to this tumour, using the autoregressive spatial model proposed by Besag, York, and Mollie. METHODS: It was possible to compile and ascertain the posterior distribution of relative risk on the basis of a single Bayesian spatial model covering all of Spain's 8077 municipal areas. Maps were plotted depicting standardised mortality ratios, smoothed relative risk (RR) estimates, and the distribution of the posterior probability that RR >1. RESULTS: There was a higher risk of death due to pleural cancer in well defined towns and areas, many of which correspond to municipalities where asbestos using industries once existed for many years, the prime example being the municipal pattern registered for Barcelona Province. The quality of mortality data, the suitability of the model used, and the usefulness of municipal atlases for environmental surveillance are discussed.
Assuntos
Neoplasias Pleurais/mortalidade , Amianto/efeitos adversos , Teorema de Bayes , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Neoplasias Pleurais/etiologia , Medição de Risco/métodos , Conglomerados Espaço-Temporais , Espanha/epidemiologia , Saúde da População UrbanaRESUMO
This research aimed to assess serum concentrations of a group of persistent organic pollutants (POPs) in a sample of adults recruited in four different regions from Spain and to assess socio-demographic, dietary, and lifestyle predictors of the exposure. The study population comprised 312 healthy adults selected from among controls recruited in the MCC-Spain multicase-control study. Study variables were collected using standardized questionnaires, and pollutants were analyzed by means of gas chromatography with electron capture detection. Multivariable analyses were performed to identify predictors of log-transformed pollutant concentrations, using combined backward and forward stepwise multiple linear regression models. Detection rates ranged from 89.1% (hexachlorobenzene, HCB) to 93.6% (Polychlorinated biphenyl-153 [PCB-153]); p,p'-dichlorodiphenyldichloroethylene (p,p'-DDE) showed the highest median concentrations (1.04ng/ml), while HCB showed the lowest (0.24ng/ml). In the multivariable models, age was positively associated with HCB, p,p'-DDE, and PCB-180. BMI was associated positively with p,p'-DDE but negatively with PCB-138. Total accumulated time residing in an urban area was positively associated with PCB-153 concentrations. The women showed higher HCB and lower p,p'-DDE concentrations versus the men. Notably, POP exposure in our study population was inversely associated with the breastfeeding received by participants and with the number of pregnancies of their mothers but was not related to the participants' history of breastfeeding their children or parity. Smoking was negatively associated with HCB and PCB-153 concentrations. Consumption of fatty foods, including blue fish, was in general positively associated with POP levels. Although POP environmental levels are declining worldwide, there is a need for the continuous monitoring of human exposure in the general population. The results of the present study confirm previous findings and point to novel predictors of long-term exposure to persistent organic pollutants.
Assuntos
Exposição Ambiental/estatística & dados numéricos , Poluentes Ambientais/sangue , Adulto , Dieta/estatística & dados numéricos , Exposição Ambiental/análise , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , EspanhaRESUMO
Mortality due to hematological tumors in towns near Spain's seven nuclear power plants and five nuclear fuel facilities during the period 1975-1993 was ascertained. The study was based on 610 leukemia-, 198 lymphoma-, and 122 myeloma-induced deaths in 489 towns situated within a 30-km radius of such installations. As control areas, we used 477 towns lying within a 50- to 100-km radius of each installation, matched by population size and a series of sociodemographic characteristics (income level, proportion of active population engaged in farming, proportion of unemployed, percentage of illiteracy, and province). Relative risk (RR) for each area and the trends in risk with increasing proximity to an installation were analyzed using log-linear models. None of the nuclear power plants registered an excess risk of leukemia-induced mortality in any of the surrounding areas. Excess risk of leukemia mortality was, however, observed in the vicinity of the uranium-processing facilities in Andújar [RR, 1.30; 95% confidence interval, 1.03-1.64] and Ciudad Rodrigo (RR, 1.68; 95% confidence interval, 0.92-3.08). Excess risk of multiplemyeloma mortality was found in the area surrounding the Zorita nuclear power plant. Statistical testing revealed that, with the single exception of multiple myeloma, none of the tumors studied showed evidence of a rise in risk with proximity to an installation. No study area yielded evidence of a raised risk of leukemia mortality among persons under the age of 25 years. More specific studies are called for in areas near installations that have been fully operational for longer periods. In this connection, stress should be laid on the importance of using dosimetric information in all future studies.
Assuntos
Leucemia Induzida por Radiação/mortalidade , Linfoma/mortalidade , Mieloma Múltiplo/mortalidade , Neoplasias Induzidas por Radiação/mortalidade , Reatores Nucleares , Centrais Elétricas , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Estudos de Coortes , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Risco , Espanha/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Spain registers a much lower rate of colorectal cancer incidence and mortality than do other European countries, yet the rises observed in the adjusted rates over recent decades led us to attempt to monitor the trends over time using Poisson log-linear models. Incidence data were furnished by the Zaragoza and Navarre population-based cancer registries, whereas mortality data corresponded to Spain as a whole. For trend evaluation purposes, we made use of invariant parameters from age-period-cohort models (net drift and curvature) and a restriction of the cohort-effect slope range. The results suggest the presence of a marked rise in incidence of colorectal cancer for both sexes and across all age groups in the provinces studied. The rise in mortality was less pronounced than the rise in incidence and seemed to coincide with a marked cohort effect present throughout the study period. Both in incidence and mortality, the increases were more pronounced among men. When studied jointly, incidence and mortality trends tend to be complementary, rendering an approach of this nature especially important in sites with better survival, such as the case in point.
Assuntos
Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Fatores Etários , Efeito de Coortes , Neoplasias Colorretais/mortalidade , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Modelos Estatísticos , Sistema de Registros/estatística & dados numéricos , Espanha/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Incidence trends in non-Hodgkin's lymphomas for the period 1973-1991 were studied using data from Spain's Zaragoza and Navarre registries. The overall rate of increase was 5.8% per year. Age-period-cohort models were used, also including sex and registry as explanatory variables. In these models, the variable period was categorized according to the observed changes in diagnostic availability during the length of the study. Non-Hodgkin's lymphomas increased with age, and rates were 31% lower in women. Incidence was almost 50% higher in Navarre, but differences in registry procedures might account for this discrepancy. The rise affects all adult age groups and seems to be the result of changes related not only to the period of diagnosis, mainly ascribable to improvements in diagnostic and coding practices, but also to the birth cohort. According to the model, the risk increased with on-coming generations at a rate of 1.5% per year. The AIDS epidemic in Spain is unable to explain this trend, although it may well exert a stronger influence in the future. Additional knowledge is required to understand the observed rise and to prevent the growing numbers of cases that are expected in years to come.
Assuntos
Linfoma não Hodgkin/epidemiologia , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Distribuição por Sexo , Espanha/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Patterns and trends in childhood cancer incidence for Navarre and Zaragoza registries were studied over the 15-year period, 1973-1987. Overall cancer rates and rates for 10 specific types of cancer were analysed using a log-linear Poisson model or, alternatively, a gamma-Poisson model whenever overdispersion was present, with age, sex, registry and period being used as predictor variables. Childhood cancer was 30% more frequent in boys than in girls, and, except for lymphomas and bone tumours, incidence decreased remarkably with age. Adjusted rates were high in comparison with other European countries, particularly in the case of non-Hodgkin's lymphomas. Cancer rates proved somewhat higher in Navarre, but this difference attained statistical significance solely in the case of central nervous system tumours (rate ratio = 1.75; 95% confidence interval 1.21-2.54). A significant rise in overall incidence was observed (11% 5-yearly increase) due mainly to the upward trend in central nervous system tumours. While the rise in these tumours coincides with the period which witnessed the spread of computerised tomography in Spain, the trend nevertheless held steady over the last 5-year period, when access to this diagnostic technique had already become generalised nationwide.
Assuntos
Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Fatores Etários , Neoplasias Ósseas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias do Sistema Nervoso Central/epidemiologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Linfoma/epidemiologia , Masculino , Neuroblastoma/epidemiologia , Fatores Sexuais , Neoplasias de Tecidos Moles/epidemiologia , Espanha/epidemiologiaRESUMO
PURPOSE: To analyze patterns and trends in gastric cancer mortality in the European Union (EU) over the period 1968-1992, paying special attention to changes associated with birth cohort. METHODS: Poisson log-linear models were used to quantify geographic differences and relative annual changes. To assess trends associated with birth cohort, invariant parameters from sex-specific age-period-chohort models (net drift and curvature), for each country, were used to choose a restricted slope range for cohort effect. RESULTS: Gastric cancer mortality declined throughout the EU. The male-to-female ratio stood at around 2 in all countries, yet showed a slight rise over time. Portugal reported the highest age-adjusted rates for men and women (45.63 and 23.31 per 100,000 person-years, respectively). The rate ratio between two extreme countries (Portugal/Denmark) exceeded 3. Quantitative intercountry differences were found in trend slopes, with a decrease of 5% per annum in Finland. Risk of dying associated with birth cohort decreased over successive generations. Small local rises in risk, in almost all countries among generations born around the 1940s, support the importance of diet early in life in the etiology of gastric cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the substantial decline in gastric cancer mortality witnessed in the EU, stress must be accounted for the wide differences among countries and the smaller decline in the youngest generations, particularly among women. This latter finding suggests a possible stabilization or even a rise in the rates in future, rendering it important for these trends to be monitored over the next few years.
Assuntos
Neoplasias Gástricas/mortalidade , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , União Europeia/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Modelos Lineares , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Distribuição de Poisson , Fatores de Risco , Distribuição por Sexo , Neoplasias Gástricas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Gástricas/epidemiologia , Taxa de SobrevidaRESUMO
To ascertain solid tumor mortality in towns near Spain's four nuclear power plants and four nuclear fuel facilities from 1975 to 1993, we conducted a mortality study based on 12,245 cancer deaths in 283 towns situated within a 30-km radius of the above installations. As nonexposed areas, we used 275 towns lying within a 50- to 100-km radius of each installation, matched by population size and sociodemographic characteristics (income level, proportion of active population engaged in farming, proportion of unemployed, percentage of illiteracy, and province). Using log-linear models, we examined relative risk for each area and trends in risk with increasing proximity to an installation. The results reveal a pattern of solid-tumor mortality in the vicinity of uranium cycle facilities, basically characterized by excess lung [relative risk (RR) 1.12, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.02-1.25] and renal cancer mortality (RR 1.37, 95% CI, 1.07-1.76). Besides the effects of natural radiation, these results could well be evincing the influence on public health exerted by the environmental impact of mining. No such well-defined pattern appeared in the vicinity of nuclear power plants. Monitoring of cancer incidence and mortality is recommended in areas surrounding nuclear fuel facilities and nuclear power plants, and more specific studies are called for in areas adjacent to installations that have been fully operational for longer periods. In this regard, it is important to use dosimetric information in all future studies.
Assuntos
Neoplasias/mortalidade , Centrais Elétricas , Lesões por Radiação/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Exposição Ambiental , Estudos Epidemiológicos , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mineração , Radiação Ionizante , Sistema de Registros , Medição de Risco , Espanha/epidemiologia , UrânioRESUMO
STUDY OBJECTIVE: To describe time trends in gastric cancer incidence in Zaragoza and Navarre, and to investigate time period and birth cohort as determinants of such trends. DESIGN: Cases from two registries were grouped into five year intervals and the following were calculated: age specific and sex specific incidence rates, and the male to female ratio. Log linear models including age, period of diagnosis, and birth cohort were fitted. SETTING: The Zaragoza Cancer Registry covers the province of Zaragoza, which has a population of 824,776 (403,755 men and 421,021 women). The Navarre Cancer Registry covers the province of Navarre which has 512,512 inhabitants (254,786 men and 257,726 women). In both cases population figures were based on the late census. PATIENTS: These comprised incident cases of gastric cancer reported to the Zaragoza Cancer Registry in 1963-87 and to the Navarre Cancer Registry in 1973-87. MAIN RESULTS: Navarre registered higher adjusted and cumulative rates than Zaragoza for both sexes. In both provinces, there were relative declines in the rates for men and women of 3% and 4% respectively per year. In Zaragoza, the risk of developing stomach cancer fell in generations born between 1888 and 1933, and rose in subsequent birth cohorts in both sexes, while in Navarre the cohort effect showed an approximately linear risk for both sexes. Both provinces recorded increases in risk associated with cohorts born between 1933 and 1943. CONCLUSION: The incidence rates of gastric cancer fell in both Zaragoza and Navarre. The reason for the greater incidence of gastric cancer in Navarre remains unknown. Trends in rates seem to be mainly linked to birth cohort. Increases in risk in generations born after 1933 may be ascribable to nutritional deficiencies in the early years of life.
Assuntos
Neoplasias Gástricas/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Efeito de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Sexuais , Espanha/epidemiologia , Fatores de TempoRESUMO
Log-linear Poisson mixed models were used to study provincial malignant brain tumour (MBT) mortality among children and adolescents in Spain (1975-1992) in order to investigate the influence of specific socio-economic factors and to produce smoothed estimators of standardised mortality ratios (SMRs). Interdependence between geographical units was taken into account by including provinces as random effect terms nested with the corresponding Autonomous Region (Spain's administrative divisions). MBT mortality showed a positive association with three variables: non-cancer-related infant mortality; percentage of provincial land surface area devoted to agriculture; and industrial/construction activity. According to the final model, SMRs increased by 4% with every 10% rise in the area devoted to agriculture, with a 4% excess risk predicted for every increase in non-cancer-related infant mortality of 1 per 1000 person-years, and a 7% excess risk for contiguous categories of industrial/construction activity. By smoothing extreme values caused by random variability, the regression model yielded a reasonable estimation of SMRs. While infant mortality may be linked to the quality of medical care available, the relationship seen between MBT mortality and agricultural area accords with the excess risk reported for farmers' offspring. Finally, industrial activity might be regarded as a risk factor or as a marker of other conditions also associated with these tumours.
Assuntos
Neoplasias Encefálicas/mortalidade , Adolescente , Adulto , Agricultura , Análise de Variância , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Demografia , Geografia , Humanos , Indústrias , Lactente , Mortalidade Infantil , Análise Multivariada , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Espanha/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Several studies have detected increases in malignant brain tumour incidence and mortality rates particularly among the elderly. We analyzed time trends in malignant brain tumors incidence in Zaragoza over the period 1973-1990 and Navarre over the period 1973-1991, two Spanish provinces that have been collecting data through their respective Cancer Registries for the last 20 years, using Poisson regression analysis of age, period of diagnosis and cohort. In general, age-adjusted rates showed a steady rise in both registries, except in the case of females in Navarre, for whom a decrease in risk was observed for the last period, 1988-1991. This increase is a reflection of the rise in incidence experienced by the elderly, since the cohorts successively register rates that are stable over time, and even downward in the case of females in Navarre. The risk run by generations born circa 1920-1930 was the highest encountered. Rates were higher in Navarre in both sexes and for all but the last period in females, when rates on the two registers stood level. Increasingly generalised use of CT scanning and magnetic resonance in the 1980s in Spain, coupled with better and more effective health care access for the elderly, are factors that may well have some bearing on these findings.
Assuntos
Neoplasias Encefálicas/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Neoplasias Encefálicas/diagnóstico , Efeito de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Distribuição por Sexo , Fatores Sexuais , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Espanha/epidemiologiaRESUMO
AIMS: To improve knowledge of the epidemiology of melanoma by comparing occupational risks of cutaneous melanoma (CM) by anatomic site in Swedish workers. METHODS: Male workers employed in 1970 and living in the country in 1960 were followed up from 1971 to 1989 using the Swedish Registers of Death and Cancer. A more specifically exposed subcohort included men reporting the same occupation in 1960 and 1970. For each location, occupational risk ratios (RRs) were extracted from Poisson regression models adjusted by age, period, town size, and geographical area. To diminish the influence of socioeconomic factors, intrasector analyses, comparing only jobs belonging to the same occupational sector, were performed. Risk patterns for different locations were compared. RESULTS: High RRs for different sites were found among workers exposed to UV sources (dentists, physiotherapists, and lithographers), and sun exposed workers (harbour masters, and lighthouse/related work). Risk excesses were seen in fur tailors, tanners/fur dressers, patternmakers/cutters, electrical fitters/wiremen, telephone/telegraph installers/repairmen, and some glass/pottery/tile workers. Results for lower and upper limbs were significantly correlated but somewhat independent of those found in thorax, the most frequent location. Correlation between head/neck and thorax was moderate. Specific risk excesses were found for rolling mill workers in head/neck, for chimney sweeps in upper limbs, and for aircraft pilots/navigators/flight engineers in lower limbs. CONCLUSIONS: High RRs in the trunk among occupations with UV exposure from artificial sources suggest an effect not restricted to exposed sites. An unusual distribution of cases and RRs in chimney sweeps, rolling-mill, or glass/pottery/tile workers suggests local effects of exposures. The not previously reported risk excess in this job and in fur related processes, and the RR in electrical fitters and telephone/telegraph installers deserve further investigation. Disparities between locations, as RRs in thorax and limbs, may reflect differences in aetiological mechanisms.