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1.
N Engl J Med ; 387(3): 227-236, 2022 07 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35767475

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Limited evidence is available on the real-world effectiveness of the BNT162b2 vaccine against coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) and specifically against infection with the omicron variant among children 5 to 11 years of age. METHODS: Using data from the largest health care organization in Israel, we identified a cohort of children 5 to 11 years of age who were vaccinated on or after November 23, 2021, and matched them with unvaccinated controls to estimate the vaccine effectiveness of BNT162b2 among newly vaccinated children during the omicron wave. Vaccine effectiveness against documented severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection and symptomatic Covid-19 was estimated after the first and second vaccine doses. The cumulative incidence of each outcome in the two study groups through January 7, 2022, was estimated with the use of the Kaplan-Meier estimator, and vaccine effectiveness was calculated as 1 minus the risk ratio. Vaccine effectiveness was also estimated in age subgroups. RESULTS: Among 136,127 eligible children who had been vaccinated during the study period, 94,728 were matched with unvaccinated controls. The estimated vaccine effectiveness against documented infection was 17% (95% confidence interval [CI], 7 to 25) at 14 to 27 days after the first dose and 51% (95% CI, 39 to 61) at 7 to 21 days after the second dose. The absolute risk difference between the study groups at days 7 to 21 after the second dose was 1905 events per 100,000 persons (95% CI, 1294 to 2440) for documented infection and 599 events per 100,000 persons (95% CI, 296 to 897) for symptomatic Covid-19. The estimated vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic Covid-19 was 18% (95% CI, -2 to 34) at 14 to 27 days after the first dose and 48% (95% CI, 29 to 63) at 7 to 21 days after the second dose. We observed a trend toward higher vaccine effectiveness in the youngest age group (5 or 6 years of age) than in the oldest age group (10 or 11 years of age). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that as omicron was becoming the dominant variant, two doses of the BNT162b2 messenger RNA vaccine provided moderate protection against documented SARS-CoV-2 infection and symptomatic Covid-19 in children 5 to 11 years of age. (Funded by the European Union through the VERDI project and others.).


Assuntos
Vacina BNT162 , COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Eficácia de Vacinas , Vacina BNT162/uso terapêutico , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Humanos , Israel/epidemiologia , SARS-CoV-2/efeitos dos fármacos , Eficácia de Vacinas/estatística & dados numéricos , Vacinas Sintéticas/uso terapêutico , Vacinas de mRNA/uso terapêutico
2.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(5): 1050-1052, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38666742

RESUMO

Although a vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 Omicron-XBB.1.5 variant is available worldwide and recent infection is protective, the lack of recorded infection data highlights the need to assess variant-specific antibody neutralization levels. We analyzed IgG levels against receptor-binding domain-specific SARS-CoV-2 ancestral strain as a correlate for high neutralizing titers against XBB variants.


Assuntos
Anticorpos Neutralizantes , Anticorpos Antivirais , COVID-19 , Imunoglobulina G , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , Imunoglobulina G/sangue , Imunoglobulina G/imunologia , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , SARS-CoV-2/genética , COVID-19/imunologia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Anticorpos Neutralizantes/imunologia , Anticorpos Neutralizantes/sangue , Anticorpos Antivirais/sangue , Anticorpos Antivirais/imunologia , Israel/epidemiologia , Glicoproteína da Espícula de Coronavírus/imunologia , Glicoproteína da Espícula de Coronavírus/genética , Vacinas contra COVID-19/imunologia , Masculino , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Feminino , Idoso , Testes de Neutralização
3.
N Engl J Med ; 385(23): 2132-2139, 2021 12 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34614329

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Reports have suggested an association between the development of myocarditis and the receipt of messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccines against coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19), but the frequency and severity of myocarditis after vaccination have not been extensively explored. METHODS: We searched the database of Clalit Health Services, the largest health care organization (HCO) in Israel, for diagnoses of myocarditis in patients who had received at least one dose of the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine (Pfizer-BioNTech). The diagnosis of myocarditis was adjudicated by cardiologists using the case definition used by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. We abstracted the presentation, clinical course, and outcome from the patient's electronic health record. We performed a Kaplan-Meier analysis of the incidence of myocarditis up to 42 days after the first vaccine dose. RESULTS: Among more than 2.5 million vaccinated HCO members who were 16 years of age or older, 54 cases met the criteria for myocarditis. The estimated incidence per 100,000 persons who had received at least one dose of vaccine was 2.13 cases (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.56 to 2.70). The highest incidence of myocarditis (10.69 cases per 100,000 persons; 95% CI, 6.93 to 14.46) was reported in male patients between the ages of 16 and 29 years. A total of 76% of cases of myocarditis were described as mild and 22% as intermediate; 1 case was associated with cardiogenic shock. After a median follow-up of 83 days after the onset of myocarditis, 1 patient had been readmitted to the hospital, and 1 had died of an unknown cause after discharge. Of 14 patients who had left ventricular dysfunction on echocardiography during admission, 10 still had such dysfunction at the time of hospital discharge. Of these patients, 5 underwent subsequent testing that revealed normal heart function. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients in a large Israeli health care system who had received at least one dose of the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine, the estimated incidence of myocarditis was 2.13 cases per 100,000 persons; the highest incidence was among male patients between the ages of 16 and 29 years. Most cases of myocarditis were mild or moderate in severity. (Funded by the Ivan and Francesca Berkowitz Family Living Laboratory Collaboration at Harvard Medical School and Clalit Research Institute.).


Assuntos
Vacina BNT162/efeitos adversos , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Miocardite/etiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Comorbidade , Atenção à Saúde , Ecocardiografia , Feminino , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Incidência , Israel/epidemiologia , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Miocardite/epidemiologia , Gravidade do Paciente , Estudos Retrospectivos , Distribuição por Sexo , Disfunção Ventricular Esquerda/epidemiologia , Disfunção Ventricular Esquerda/etiologia , Adulto Jovem
4.
N Engl J Med ; 384(15): 1412-1423, 2021 04 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33626250

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: As mass vaccination campaigns against coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) commence worldwide, vaccine effectiveness needs to be assessed for a range of outcomes across diverse populations in a noncontrolled setting. In this study, data from Israel's largest health care organization were used to evaluate the effectiveness of the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine. METHODS: All persons who were newly vaccinated during the period from December 20, 2020, to February 1, 2021, were matched to unvaccinated controls in a 1:1 ratio according to demographic and clinical characteristics. Study outcomes included documented infection with the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), symptomatic Covid-19, Covid-19-related hospitalization, severe illness, and death. We estimated vaccine effectiveness for each outcome as one minus the risk ratio, using the Kaplan-Meier estimator. RESULTS: Each study group included 596,618 persons. Estimated vaccine effectiveness for the study outcomes at days 14 through 20 after the first dose and at 7 or more days after the second dose was as follows: for documented infection, 46% (95% confidence interval [CI], 40 to 51) and 92% (95% CI, 88 to 95); for symptomatic Covid-19, 57% (95% CI, 50 to 63) and 94% (95% CI, 87 to 98); for hospitalization, 74% (95% CI, 56 to 86) and 87% (95% CI, 55 to 100); and for severe disease, 62% (95% CI, 39 to 80) and 92% (95% CI, 75 to 100), respectively. Estimated effectiveness in preventing death from Covid-19 was 72% (95% CI, 19 to 100) for days 14 through 20 after the first dose. Estimated effectiveness in specific subpopulations assessed for documented infection and symptomatic Covid-19 was consistent across age groups, with potentially slightly lower effectiveness in persons with multiple coexisting conditions. CONCLUSIONS: This study in a nationwide mass vaccination setting suggests that the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine is effective for a wide range of Covid-19-related outcomes, a finding consistent with that of the randomized trial.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Vacinação em Massa , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Vacina BNT162 , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19/imunologia , Feminino , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Imunogenicidade da Vacina , Incidência , Israel , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Resultado do Tratamento , Adulto Jovem
5.
N Engl J Med ; 385(12): 1078-1090, 2021 09 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34432976

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Preapproval trials showed that messenger RNA (mRNA)-based vaccines against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) had a good safety profile, yet these trials were subject to size and patient-mix limitations. An evaluation of the safety of the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine with respect to a broad range of potential adverse events is needed. METHODS: We used data from the largest health care organization in Israel to evaluate the safety of the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine. For each potential adverse event, in a population of persons with no previous diagnosis of that event, we individually matched vaccinated persons to unvaccinated persons according to sociodemographic and clinical variables. Risk ratios and risk differences at 42 days after vaccination were derived with the use of the Kaplan-Meier estimator. To place these results in context, we performed a similar analysis involving SARS-CoV-2-infected persons matched to uninfected persons. The same adverse events were studied in the vaccination and SARS-CoV-2 infection analyses. RESULTS: In the vaccination analysis, the vaccinated and control groups each included a mean of 884,828 persons. Vaccination was most strongly associated with an elevated risk of myocarditis (risk ratio, 3.24; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.55 to 12.44; risk difference, 2.7 events per 100,000 persons; 95% CI, 1.0 to 4.6), lymphadenopathy (risk ratio, 2.43; 95% CI, 2.05 to 2.78; risk difference, 78.4 events per 100,000 persons; 95% CI, 64.1 to 89.3), appendicitis (risk ratio, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.02 to 2.01; risk difference, 5.0 events per 100,000 persons; 95% CI, 0.3 to 9.9), and herpes zoster infection (risk ratio, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.20 to 1.73; risk difference, 15.8 events per 100,000 persons; 95% CI, 8.2 to 24.2). SARS-CoV-2 infection was associated with a substantially increased risk of myocarditis (risk ratio, 18.28; 95% CI, 3.95 to 25.12; risk difference, 11.0 events per 100,000 persons; 95% CI, 5.6 to 15.8) and of additional serious adverse events, including pericarditis, arrhythmia, deep-vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, myocardial infarction, intracranial hemorrhage, and thrombocytopenia. CONCLUSIONS: In this study in a nationwide mass vaccination setting, the BNT162b2 vaccine was not associated with an elevated risk of most of the adverse events examined. The vaccine was associated with an excess risk of myocarditis (1 to 5 events per 100,000 persons). The risk of this potentially serious adverse event and of many other serious adverse events was substantially increased after SARS-CoV-2 infection. (Funded by the Ivan and Francesca Berkowitz Family Living Laboratory Collaboration at Harvard Medical School and Clalit Research Institute.).


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19/efeitos adversos , COVID-19/complicações , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Miocardite/etiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Apendicite/etiologia , Vacina BNT162 , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Feminino , Herpes Zoster/etiologia , Humanos , Israel , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Linfadenopatia/etiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Miocardite/epidemiologia , Risco , Fatores de Risco , Adulto Jovem
6.
Blood ; 139(10): 1439-1451, 2022 03 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34662390

RESUMO

Evidence regarding the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccine in patients with impaired immunity is limited. Initial observations suggest a lower humoral response in these patients. We evaluated the relative effectiveness of the mRNA BNT162b2 vaccine in patients with hematological neoplasms compared with matched controls. Data on patients with hematological neoplasms after 2 vaccine doses were extracted and matched 1:1 with vaccinated controls. Subpopulation analyses focused on patients receiving therapy for hematological neoplasm, patients without treatment who were only followed, and recipients of specific treatments. The analysis focused on COVID-19 outcomes from days 7 through 43 after the second vaccine dose in these areas: documented COVID-19 infection by polymerase chain reaction; symptomatic infection; hospitalizations; severe COVID-19 disease; and COVID-19-related death. In a population of 4.7 million insured people, 32 516 patients with hematological neoplasms were identified, of whom 5017 were receiving therapy for an active disease. Vaccinated patients with hematological neoplasms, compared with vaccinated matched controls, had an increased risk of documented infections (relative risk [RR] 1.60, 95% CI 1.12-2.37); symptomatic COVID-19 (RR 1.72, 95% CI 1.05-2.85); COVID-19-related hospitalizations (RR 3.13, 95% CI 1.68-7.08); severe COVID-19 (RR 2.27, 95% CI 1.18-5.19); and COVID-19-related death (RR 1.66, 95% CI 0.72-4.47). Limiting the analysis to patients on hematological treatments showed a higher increased risk. This analysis shows that vaccinated patients with hematological neoplasms, in particular patients receiving treatment, suffer from COVID-19 outcomes more than vaccinated individuals with intact immune system. Ways to enhance COVID-19 immunity in this patient population, such as additional doses, should be explored.


Assuntos
Vacina BNT162 , COVID-19 , Neoplasias Hematológicas , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , Idoso , Vacina BNT162/administração & dosagem , Vacina BNT162/imunologia , COVID-19/imunologia , COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Feminino , Neoplasias Hematológicas/imunologia , Neoplasias Hematológicas/mortalidade , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade
7.
Nature ; 559(7714): 400-404, 2018 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29988082

RESUMO

The incidence of acute myeloid leukaemia (AML) increases with age and mortality exceeds 90% when diagnosed after age 65. Most cases arise without any detectable early symptoms and patients usually present with the acute complications of bone marrow failure1. The onset of such de novo AML cases is typically preceded by the accumulation of somatic mutations in preleukaemic haematopoietic stem and progenitor cells (HSPCs) that undergo clonal expansion2,3. However, recurrent AML mutations also accumulate in HSPCs during ageing of healthy individuals who do not develop AML, a phenomenon referred to as age-related clonal haematopoiesis (ARCH)4-8. Here we use deep sequencing to analyse genes that are recurrently mutated in AML to distinguish between individuals who have a high risk of developing AML and those with benign ARCH. We analysed peripheral blood cells from 95 individuals that were obtained on average 6.3 years before AML diagnosis (pre-AML group), together with 414 unselected age- and gender-matched individuals (control group). Pre-AML cases were distinct from controls and had more mutations per sample, higher variant allele frequencies, indicating greater clonal expansion, and showed enrichment of mutations in specific genes. Genetic parameters were used to derive a model that accurately predicted AML-free survival; this model was validated in an independent cohort of 29 pre-AML cases and 262 controls. Because AML is rare, we also developed an AML predictive model using a large electronic health record database that identified individuals at greater risk. Collectively our findings provide proof-of-concept that it is possible to discriminate ARCH from pre-AML many years before malignant transformation. This could in future enable earlier detection and monitoring, and may help to inform intervention.


Assuntos
Predisposição Genética para Doença , Saúde , Leucemia Mieloide Aguda/genética , Mutação , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Progressão da Doença , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , Feminino , Humanos , Leucemia Mieloide Aguda/epidemiologia , Leucemia Mieloide Aguda/patologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Genéticos , Mutagênese , Prevalência , Medição de Risco
8.
Clin Infect Dis ; 76(7): 1315-1317, 2023 04 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36366729

RESUMO

The correlation between anti-severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 antibody levels and infection was reported. Here, we estimated the role of pre-fourth dose levels using data from 1098 healthcare workers. The risk of infection was reduced by 46% (95% confidence interval, 29%-59%) for each 10-fold increase in prebooster levels. Prebooster antibody levels could be used to optimally time boosters.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Humanos , Vacinação , Imunização Secundária , Anticorpos Antivirais , Pessoal de Saúde
9.
Cancer ; 129(11): 1763-1776, 2023 06 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36929478

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: There is a paucity of information on health outcomes of adolescent and young adult (AYA) cancer survivors living outside North America and Europe. This study compared outcomes in AYA cancer survivors in Israel with individuals without cancer and similar demographics and access to health care, and to AYA cancer survivors living in the United States. METHODS: This study included 12,674 2-year survivors of AYA (aged 15-39 years) cancer diagnosed between 2000 and 2018 at Clalit Health Services (CHS) in Israel. CHS participants without cancer (N = 50,696) were matched 4:1 to survivors on age, sex, ethnicity, and membership duration. Poisson regression was used to determine incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for chronic conditions. The US Kaiser Permanente Southern California AYA cohort (N = 6778) was used to estimate weighted (age, sex) standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) for CHS survivors. RESULTS: CHS AYA cancer survivors were more likely to have any chronic condition (IRR, 1.6 95% CI, 1.5-1.7), compared with participants without cancer. Survivors had an increased risk across nearly all conditions examined, with especially elevated risks for osteoporosis (IRR, 4.7; 95% CI, 4.1-5.5) and cardiomyopathy (IRR, 4.2 95% CI, 3.4-5.3). Compared with the Kaiser Permanente Southern California cohort, CHS survivors had an overall lower (SIR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.65-0.72) incidence of developing any health condition, with noticeably lower incidence of hyperlipidemia (SIR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.64-0.75). CONCLUSION: AYA cancer survivors in Israel are at increased risk for developing chronic conditions compared with individuals without cancer, but the overall incidence was lower than in US survivors. These findings may allow for refinement of surveillance recommendations for AYA survivors, taking into consideration regional differences in sociodemographic characteristics and cancer care. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: The burden of chronic conditions was consistently greater in Israeli adolescent and young adult cancer survivors compared with individuals without cancer, with clear differences in risk of specific conditions by cancer diagnosis. However, the overall incidence of chronic conditions in Israeli survivors was generally lower than in US survivors.


Assuntos
Sobreviventes de Câncer , Neoplasias , Humanos , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Israel/epidemiologia , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Sobreviventes , Doença Crônica
10.
Lancet ; 398(10316): 2093-2100, 2021 12 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34756184

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Many countries are experiencing a resurgence of COVID-19, driven predominantly by the delta (B.1.617.2) variant of SARS-CoV-2. In response, these countries are considering the administration of a third dose of mRNA COVID-19 vaccine as a booster dose to address potential waning immunity over time and reduced effectiveness against the delta variant. We aimed to use the data repositories of Israel's largest health-care organisation to evaluate the effectiveness of a third dose of the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine for preventing severe COVID-19 outcomes. METHODS: Using data from Clalit Health Services, which provides mandatory health-care coverage for over half of the Israeli population, individuals receiving a third vaccine dose between July 30, 2020, and Sept 23, 2021, were matched (1:1) to demographically and clinically similar controls who did not receive a third dose. Eligible participants had received the second vaccine dose at least 5 months before the recruitment date, had no previous documented SARS-CoV-2 infection, and had no contact with the health-care system in the 3 days before recruitment. Individuals who are health-care workers, live in long-term care facilities, or are medically confined to their homes were excluded. Primary outcomes were COVID-19-related admission to hospital, severe disease, and COVID-19-related death. The third dose effectiveness for each outcome was estimated as 1 - risk ratio using the Kaplan-Meier estimator. FINDINGS: 1 158 269 individuals were eligible to be included in the third dose group. Following matching, the third dose and control groups each included 728 321 individuals. Participants had a median age of 52 years (IQR 37-68) and 51% were female. The median follow-up time was 13 days (IQR 6-21) in both groups. Vaccine effectiveness evaluated at least 7 days after receipt of the third dose, compared with receiving only two doses at least 5 months ago, was estimated to be 93% (231 events for two doses vs 29 events for three doses; 95% CI 88-97) for admission to hospital, 92% (157 vs 17 events; 82-97) for severe disease, and 81% (44 vs seven events; 59-97) for COVID-19-related death. INTERPRETATION: Our findings suggest that a third dose of the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine is effective in protecting individuals against severe COVID-19-related outcomes, compared with receiving only two doses at least 5 months ago. FUNDING: The Ivan and Francesca Berkowitz Family Living Laboratory Collaboration at Harvard Medical School and Clalit Research Institute.


Assuntos
Vacina BNT162 , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Imunização Secundária , Eficácia de Vacinas , Adulto , Idoso , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/virologia , Feminino , Humanos , Israel/epidemiologia , Masculino , Vacinação em Massa , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Prognóstico , SARS-CoV-2
11.
Euro Surveill ; 27(39)2022 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36177870

RESUMO

We assess the immunogenicity and efficacy of Spikevax and Comirnaty as fourth dose COVID-19 vaccines. Six months post-fourth-dose, IgG levels were higher than pre-fourth dose at 1.58-fold (95% CI: 1.27-1.97) in Spikevax and 1.16-fold (95% CI: 0.98-1.37) in Comirnaty vaccinees. Nearly 60% (159/274) of vaccinees contracted SARS-CoV-2. Infection hazard ratios (HRs) for Spikevax (0.82; 95% CI: 0.62-1.09) and Comirnaty (0.86; 95% CI: 0.65-1.13) vaccinees were similar, as were substantial-disease HRs, i.e. 0.28 (95% CI: 0.13-0.62) and 0.51 (95% CI: 0.27-0.96), respectively.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Seguimentos , Humanos , Imunoglobulina G , Israel/epidemiologia , RNA Mensageiro , SARS-CoV-2/genética
12.
Euro Surveill ; 27(30)2022 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35904058

RESUMO

This work evaluated neutralising antibody titres against wild type (WT) SARS-CoV-2 and four Omicron variants (BA.1, BA.2, BA.4 and BA.5) in healthcare workers who had breakthrough BA.1 infection. Omicron breakthrough infection in individuals vaccinated three or four times before infection resulted in increased neutralising antibodies against the WT virus. The fourth vaccine dose did not further improve the neutralising efficiency over the third dose against all Omicron variants, especially BA.4 and BA.5. An Omicron-specific vaccine may be indicated.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Vacinas , Anticorpos Neutralizantes , Anticorpos Antivirais , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , Humanos , Israel/epidemiologia , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Vacinação/métodos
13.
J Digit Imaging ; 35(4): 962-969, 2022 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35296940

RESUMO

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) prediction models are widely used in modern medicine and are incorporated into prominent guidelines. Coronary artery calcium (CAC) is a marker of coronary atherosclerotic disease and has proven utility for predicting cardiovascular disease. Despite this, current guidelines recommend against including CAC scores in CVD prediction models due to the medical and financial costs of acquiring it, and the insufficient evidence concerning its ability to improve existing models. Modern machine learning models are capable of automatically extracting coronary calcium scores from existing chest computed tomography (CT) scans, negating these costs. To determine whether the inclusion of CAC scores, automatically extracted using a machine learning algorithm from chest CTs performed for any reason, improves the performance of the American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology 2013 pooled cohort equations (PCE). A retrospective cohort of patients with available chest CTs prior to an index date (2012) was used to compare the performance of the PCE model and an augmented-PCE model which utilizes the CT-based CAC scores on top of the existing model. The PCE and the augmented-PCE predictions were calculated as of an index date (2012) using data from the electronic health record and existing chest CTs. The performance of both models was evaluated by comparing their predictions to cardiovascular events that occurred during a 5-year follow-up period (until 2017). A total of 14,135 patients aged 40-79 years were included in the study, of whom 470 (3.3%) had documented CVD events during the follow-up. The augmented-PCE model showed a significant improvement in c-statistic (0.64 ≥ 0.69, Δ = 0.05, 95% CI: 0.03 to 0.06), sensitivity (53% ≥ 57%, Δ = 4.7%, 95% CI: 0-9.0%), specificity (67% ≥ 70%, Δ = 2.8%, 95% CI: 0.9-5.1%), in positive predictive value (5% ≥ 6%, Δ = 0.9%, 95% CI: 0.4 to 1.4%), negative predictive value (97.7% ≥ 97.9%, Δ = 0.3%, 95% CI: 0.1 to 0.5%), and in the categorical net reclassification index (7.4%, 95% CI: 2.4 to 12.1%). Automatically generated CAC scores from existing CTs can aid in CVD risk determination, improving model performance when used on top of existing predictors. Use of existing CTs avoids most pitfalls currently cited against the routine use of CAC in CVD predictions (e.g., additional radiation exposure), and thus affords a net gain in predictive accuracy.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Doença da Artéria Coronariana , Calcificação Vascular , Cálcio/análise , Doenças Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico por imagem , Angiografia Coronária/métodos , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/diagnóstico por imagem , Humanos , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco/métodos , Fatores de Risco , Estados Unidos , Calcificação Vascular/diagnóstico por imagem
14.
Isr Med Assoc J ; 24(5): 310-316, 2022 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35598055

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The association between use of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone (RAAS) inhibitors and both SARS-CoV-2 infection and the development of severe COVID-19 has been presented in the recent medical literature with inconsistent results. OBJECTIVES: To assess the association between RAAS inhibitor use and two outcomes: infection with SARS-CoV-2 (Model 1) and severe COVID-19 among those infected (Model 2). METHODS: We accessed used electronic health records of individuals from Israel who were receiving anti-hypertensive medications for this retrospective study. For Model 1 we used a case-control design. For Model 2 we used a cohort design. In both models, inverse probability weighting adjusted for identified confounders as part of doubly robust outcome regression. RESULTS: We tested 38,554 individuals for SARS-CoV-2 who had hypertension and were being treated with medication; 691 had a positive test result. Among those with a positive test, 119 developed severe illness. There was no association between RAAS inhibitor use and a positive test. Use of RAAS inhibitors was associated with a decreased risk for severe COVID-19 (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.47, 95% confidence interval [95%CI] 0.29-0.77) compared with users of non-RAAS anti-hypertensive medication. The association remained significant when use of angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitors (adjusted OR 0.46, 95%CI 0.27-0.77) and angiotensin II receptor blockers (adjusted OR 0.39, 95%CI 0.16-0.95) were analyzed separately. CONCLUSIONS: Among individuals with hypertension using RAAS inhibitors, we found a lower risk of severe disease compared to those using non-RAAS anti-hypertensive medications. This finding suggests that RAAS inhibitors may have a protective effect on COVID-19 severity among individuals with medically treated hypertension.


Assuntos
Tratamento Farmacológico da COVID-19 , Hipertensão , Aldosterona , Angiotensinas/farmacologia , Angiotensinas/uso terapêutico , Anti-Hipertensivos/uso terapêutico , Humanos , Hipertensão/complicações , Hipertensão/tratamento farmacológico , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Antagonistas de Receptores de Mineralocorticoides/farmacologia , Renina , Sistema Renina-Angiotensina , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2 , Índice de Gravidade de Doença
15.
J Clin Immunol ; 41(6): 1154-1161, 2021 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34050837

RESUMO

HLA haplotypes were found to be associated with increased risk for viral infections or disease severity in various diseases, including SARS. Several genetic variants are associated with COVID-19 severity. Studies have proposed associations, based on a very small sample and a large number of tested HLA alleles, but no clear association between HLA and COVID-19 incidence or severity has been reported. We conducted a large-scale HLA analysis of Israeli individuals who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection by PCR. Overall, 72,912 individuals with known HLA haplotypes were included in the study, of whom 6413 (8.8%) were found to have SARS-CoV-2 by PCR. A total of 20,937 subjects were of Ashkenazi origin (at least 2/4 grandparents). One hundred eighty-one patients (2.8% of the infected) were hospitalized due to the disease. None of the 66 most common HLA loci (within the five HLA subgroups: A, B, C, DQB1, DRB1) was found to be associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection or hospitalization in the general Israeli population. Similarly, no association was detected in the Ashkenazi Jewish subset. Moreover, no association was found between heterozygosity in any of the HLA loci and either infection or hospitalization. We conclude that HLA haplotypes are not a major risk/protecting factor among the Israeli population for SARS-CoV-2 infection or severity. Our results suggest that if any HLA association exists with the disease it is very weak, and of limited effect on the pandemic.


Assuntos
COVID-19/genética , Genótipo , Antígenos HLA/genética , SARS-CoV-2/fisiologia , Adulto , Alelos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/imunologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Estudos de Coortes , Etnicidade , Feminino , Estudos de Associação Genética , Haplótipos , Teste de Histocompatibilidade , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Israel/epidemiologia , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Classe Social
16.
Can J Urol ; 28(1): 10536-10541, 2021 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33625344

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION Distal ureteral stones (DUS) are common in patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with renal colic. The majority of DUS will pass spontaneously and therefore conservative care is common. Follow up is imperative as some of these stones might not pass and potentially lead to complications. The aim of our study was to evaluate the rate of compliance with follow up and to find predictive variables for it. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively surveyed the medical records of all patients who had a non-contrast computed tomography (NCCT) at our ED between 01/03/16 and 31/5/17. We included patients with a DUS smaller than 10 mm that were treated conservatively. We obtained demographic, clinical, laboratory and imaging data. Compliance to follow up was evaluated by surveying the medical records and by calling the patients. We then compared the characteristics of patients who returned for follow up to those who did not. RESULTS: A total of 230 consecutive patients were included in our cohort: 194 (84%) patients were male and the average age was 46 y (21-82); 138 patients (60%) returned for a follow up visit while 92 patients (40%) did not. Univariate analysis revealed stone size and admission to hospital to be predictive of compliance to follow up while multivariate analysis revealed only hospital admission to be predictive of compliance. CONCLUSIONS: Only 60% of the patients with DUS treated conservatively return for a follow up visit. Hospital admission, which likely reflects appropriate patients counseling by a urologist and adequate follow up scheduling, was found to be associated with increased compliance with follow up.


Assuntos
Tratamento Conservador , Cálculos Ureterais/terapia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Adulto Jovem
18.
Clin Infect Dis ; 68(9): 1444-1453, 2019 04 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30307490

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: To date, no study has examined influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE) against laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated hospitalizations during pregnancy. METHODS: The Pregnancy Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Network (PREVENT) consisted of public health or healthcare systems with integrated laboratory, medical, and vaccination records in Australia, Canada (Alberta and Ontario), Israel, and the United States (California, Oregon, and Washington). Sites identified pregnant women aged 18 through 50 years whose pregnancies overlapped with local influenza seasons from 2010 through 2016. Administrative data were used to identify hospitalizations with acute respiratory or febrile illness (ARFI) and clinician-ordered real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR) testing for influenza viruses. Overall IVE was estimated using the test-negative design and adjusting for site, season, season timing, and high-risk medical conditions. RESULTS: Among 19450 hospitalizations with an ARFI discharge diagnosis (across 25 site-specific study seasons), only 1030 (6%) of the pregnant women were tested for influenza viruses by rRT-PCR. Approximately half of these women had pneumonia or influenza discharge diagnoses (54%). Influenza A or B virus infections were detected in 598/1030 (58%) of the ARFI hospitalizations with influenza testing. Across sites and seasons, 13% of rRT-PCR-confirmed influenza-positive pregnant women were vaccinated compared with 22% of influenza-negative pregnant women; the adjusted overall IVE was 40% (95% confidence interval = 12%-59%) against influenza-associated hospitalization during pregnancy. CONCLUSION: Between 2010 and 2016, influenza vaccines offered moderate protection against laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated hospitalizations during pregnancy, which may further inform the benefits of maternal influenza vaccination programs.


Assuntos
Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Vacinas contra Influenza/administração & dosagem , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Potência de Vacina , Adolescente , Adulto , Austrália/epidemiologia , Canadá/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Imunogenicidade da Vacina , Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H1N1/genética , Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H1N1/isolamento & purificação , Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H1N1/patogenicidade , Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H3N2/genética , Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H3N2/isolamento & purificação , Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H3N2/patogenicidade , Vírus da Influenza B/genética , Vírus da Influenza B/isolamento & purificação , Vírus da Influenza B/patogenicidade , Influenza Humana/diagnóstico , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Influenza Humana/imunologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Gravidez , RNA Viral/genética , Projetos de Pesquisa , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estações do Ano , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
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