RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Although the association between multimorbidity (MM) and hospitalisation is known, the different effects of MM patterns by age and sex in this outcome needs to be elucidated. Our study aimed to analyse the association of hospitalisations' variables (occurrence, readmission, length of stay) and patterns of multimorbidity (MM) according to sex and age. METHODS: Data from 8.807 participants aged ≥ 50 years sourced from the baseline of the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSI-Brazil) were analysed. Multimorbidity was defined as ≥ 2 (MM2) and ≥ 3 (MM3) chronic conditions. Poisson regression was used to verify the association between the independent variables and hospitalisation according to sex and age group. Multiple linear regression models were constructed for the outcomes of readmission and length of stay. Ising models were used to estimate the networks of diseases and MM patterns. RESULTS: Regarding the risk of hospitalisation among those with MM2, we observed a positive association with male sex, age ≥ 75 years and women aged ≥ 75 years. For MM3, there was a positive association with hospitalisation among males. For the outcomes hospital readmission and length of stay, we observed a positive association with male sex and women aged ≥ 75 years. Network analysis identified two groups that are more strongly associated with occurrence of hospitalisation: the cardiovascular-cancer-glaucoma-cataract group stratified by sex and the neurodegenerative diseases-renal failure-haemorrhagic stroke group stratified by age group. CONCLUSION: We conclude that the association between hospitalisation, readmission, length of stay, and MM changes when sex and age group are considered. Differences were identified in the MM patterns associated with hospitalisation according to sex and age group.
Assuntos
Multimorbidade , Readmissão do Paciente , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Idoso , Brasil/epidemiologia , Estudos Longitudinais , HospitalizaçãoRESUMO
This study aimed to review and quantify the association between overweight and obesity in the risk of multimorbidity among the general population. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis in the databases of Pubmed, Lilacs, Web of Science, Scopus, and Embase. We included cohort studies that assessed the association between overweight and/or obesity with the risk of multimorbidity. The Newcastle-Ottawa assessed the studies' individual quality. A random-effect model meta-analysis was performed to evaluate the association between overweight and obesity with the relative risk (RR) of multimorbidity; the I2 test evaluated heterogeneity. After excluding duplicates, we found 1.655 manuscripts, of which eight met the inclusion criteria. Of these, seven (87.5%) evidenced an increased risk of multimorbidity among subjects with overweight and/or obesity. Overall, we observed an increased risk of multimorbidity among subjects with overweight (RR: 1.26; CI95%: 1.12; 1.40, I2 = 98%) and obesity (RR: 1.99; CI95%: 1.45;2.72, I2 = 99%) compared to normal weight. According to the I2 test, the heterogeneities of the meta-analyses were high. The Newcastle-Ottawa scale showed that all studies were classified as high quality. Further longitudinal studies are needed, including different populations and stratifications by sex, age, and other variables.
Assuntos
Multimorbidade , Sobrepeso , Humanos , Sobrepeso/complicações , Sobrepeso/epidemiologia , Obesidade/complicações , Obesidade/epidemiologia , Estudos LongitudinaisRESUMO
OBJETIVO: To describe the initial baseline results of a population-based study, as well as a protocol in order to evaluate the performance of different machine learning algorithms with the objective of predicting the demand for urgent and emergency services in a representative sample of adults from the urban area of Pelotas, Southern Brazil. METHODS: The study is entitled "Emergency department use and Artificial Intelligence in PELOTAS (RS) (EAI PELOTAS)" (https://wp.ufpel.edu.br/eaipelotas/). Between September and December 2021, a baseline was carried out with participants. A follow-up was planned to be conducted after 12 months in order to assess the use of urgent and emergency services in the last year. Afterwards, machine learning algorithms will be tested to predict the use of urgent and emergency services over one year. RESULTS: In total, 5,722 participants answered the survey, mostly females (66.8%), with an average age of 50.3 years. The mean number of household people was 2.6. Most of the sample has white skin color and incomplete elementary school or less. Around 30% of the sample has obesity, 14% diabetes, and 39% hypertension. CONCLUSION: The present paper presented a protocol describing the steps that were and will be taken to produce a model capable of predicting the demand for urgent and emergency services in one year among residents of Pelotas, in Rio Grande do Sul state.
Assuntos
Inteligência Artificial , Obesidade , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Masculino , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Brasil , Serviço Hospitalar de EmergênciaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Identify the incidence and predictive factors for readmissions of elderly hospitalized with fractures. METHOD: Prospective cohort study on 376 elderly people from a trauma referral large hospital in central Brazil. Data were collected from medical records of elderly people with radiological diagnosis of fractures. Readmission that occurs up to one year after the first discharge was defined the outcome variable. Pre- and post-admission characteristics were analyzed as predictive factors. Multiple analysis was performed using robust Poisson regression. RESULTS: The main cause of hospitalization was fracture of the femur (53.2%) and the most frequent trauma mechanism was fall from standing height (72.9%). The incidence of readmission was 20.7%, of which 30.5% were related to the fracture itself, with emphasis on Surgical Site Infection. The predictors of readmissions were: age range 60 to 69 years, COPD, delirium and fracture of the femur. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of readmissions was high, with various causes and associated conditions pre-admission (age range 60-69, presenting COPD) and post-admission (delirium). The monitoring of these factors in the hospital environment is essential for prevention of readmissions.
Assuntos
Delírio , Fraturas Ósseas , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica , Idoso , Seguimentos , Fraturas Ósseas/epidemiologia , Fraturas Ósseas/terapia , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Readmissão do Paciente , Estudos Prospectivos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de TempoRESUMO
In aging populations, multimorbidity (MM) is a significant challenge for health systems, however there are scarce evidence available in Low- and Middle-Income Countries, particularly in Brazil. A national cross-sectional study was conducted with 11,177 Brazilian older adults to evaluate the occurrence of MM and related clusters in Brazilians aged ≥ 60 years old. MM was assessed by a list of 16 physical and mental morbidities and it was defined considering ≥ 2 morbidities. The frequencies of MM and its associated factors were analyzed. After this initial approach, a network analysis was performed to verify the occurrence of clusters of MM and the network of interactions between coexisting morbidities. The occurrence of MM was 58.6% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 57.0-60.2). Hypertension (50.6%) was the most frequent morbidity and it was present all combinations of morbidities. Network analysis has demonstrated 4 MM clusters: 1) cardiometabolic; 2) respiratory + cancer; 3) musculoskeletal; and 4) a mixed mental illness + other diseases. Depression was the most central morbidity in the model according to nodes' centrality measures (strength, closeness, and betweenness) followed by heart disease, and low back pain. Similarity in male and female networks was observed with a conformation of four clusters of MM and cancer as an isolated morbidity. The prevalence of MM in the older Brazilians was high, especially in female sex and persons living in the South region of Brazil. Use of network analysis could be an important tool for identifying MM clusters and address the appropriate health care, research, and medical education for older adults in Brazil.
Assuntos
Multimorbidade , Neoplasias , Idoso , Brasil/epidemiologia , Doença Crônica , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , PrevalênciaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: An increase in body mass index (BMI) is strongly associated with the occurrence of multimorbidity, and overweight and obesity are contributing factors for the increase in morbidities. Thus, the present study aimed to evaluate the occurrence of multimorbidity and associated factors in Brazilian adults with and without overweight or obesity. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional population-based study with data from the National Health Survey (2013) including individuals aged 18 years or older. Multimorbidity was defined as having ≥2 diseases from the list of 15 morbidities on the self-reported questionnaire (self-reported medical diagnosis in life). BMI was categorized as: ≤24.9 kg/m2 (low weight and eutrophy), 25.0-29.9 kg/m2 (overweight), and ≥30.0 kg/m2 (obesity). Sex, age, and schooling were the covariates. Poisson regression was used for crude and adjusted analyses for the variables representing access to health services estimating the prevalence ratio (PR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: The total sample consisted of 59,402 individuals. The prevalence of multimorbidity was 25% overall and was higher among overweight (25.8%) and obese (32.5%) individuals. Obese women 60 years or older had a higher occurrence of multimorbidity (80%). In the adjusted analysis, a lower prevalence of multimorbidity was observed among those with higher educational levels in all BMI classifications: low weight/eutrophy, PR=0.66 (95% CI, 0.58-0.75); overweight, PR=0.62 (95% CI, 0.56-0.70); and obesity, PR=0.75 (95% CI, 0.67-0.85). CONCLUSION: A higher prevalence of multimorbidity was found among obese women who were 60 years of age or older. Schooling was an associated factor regardless of BMI.
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OBJECTIVE: The aims of this study were: 1) to estimate the prevalence of multimorbidity in 2013 and 2019 in adults aged 20-59 years; 2) to assess inequalities in the prevalence of multimorbidity in 2013 and 2019 according to educational level. METHODS: Data from two cross-sectional surveys from the Brazilian National Health Survey in 2013 and 2019 were used. Multimorbidity was assessed from 14 lifetime self-reported morbidities (except back problems) and defined using the cutoff point of ≥2 diseases. The prevalence of multimorbidity and individual morbidities were described according to gender, age, skin color, and education. For education, crude, and relative inequalities in prevalence of multimorbidity were calculated using the Slope Index of Inequality and the Concentration Index, respectively. RESULTS: The prevalence of multimorbidity increased from 18.7% (95%CI 18.0-19.3) in 2013 to 22.3% (95%CI 21.7-22.9) in 2019, being higher among women and adults between 30-59 years in both periods. Asthma/bronchitis, depression, and back problems were the conditions that increased the most in the study period. Absolute and relative inequalities by education status were observed in the study period, with worse multimorbidity profiles among the less educated. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of multimorbidity increased between 2013 and 2019. Inequalities in the prevalence of multimorbidity were observed according to educational level.
Assuntos
Multimorbidade , Adulto , Brasil/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Escolaridade , Feminino , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Prevalência , Fatores SocioeconômicosRESUMO
To measure the occurrence of protective behaviors for COVID-19 and sociodemographic factors according to the occurrence of multimorbidity in the Brazilian population aged 50 or over was the objective of this study. We used data from telephone surveys among participants of ELSI-Brazil (Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Aging), conducted between May and June 2020. The use of non-pharmacological prevention measures for COVID-19, reasons for leaving home according to the presence of multimorbidity and sociodemographic variables were evaluated. among 6,149 individuals. Multimorbidity was more frequent in females, married, aged 50-59 years and residents of the urban area. Most of the population left home between once and twice in the last week, increasing according to the number of morbidities (22.3% no morbidities and 38% with multimorbidity). Leaving home every day was less common among individuals with multimorbidity (10.3%) and 9.3% left home in the last week to access health care. Hand hygiene (> 98%) and always wearing a mask when leaving home (> 96%) were almost universal habits. Greater adherence to social isolation was observed among women with multimorbidity when compared to men (PR = 1.49, 95%CI: 1.23-1.79). This adherence increased proportionally with age and inversely with the level of education. The protective behavior in people with multimorbidity seems to be greater in relation to the others, although issues related to social isolation and health care deserve to be highlighted. These findings can be useful in customizing strategies for coping with the current pandemic.
Objetivou-se medir a ocorrência de comportamentos de proteção contra a COVID-19 e fatores sociodemográficos segundo a ocorrência de multimorbidade na população brasileira com 50 anos ou mais de idade. Foram utilizados dados de inquérito telefônico entre participantes do ELSI-Brasil (Estudo Longitudinal da Saúde dos Idosos Brasileiros), conduzido entre maio e junho de 2020. Avaliou-se o uso de medidas de prevenção não farmacológica para COVID-19, motivos para sair de casa segundo a presença de multimorbidade e variáveis sociodemográficas. Participaram do estudo 6.149 pessoas. Multimorbidade foi mais frequente no sexo feminino, em casados, na faixa etária 50-59 anos de idade e em moradores da zona urbana. A maior parte da população saiu de casa entre uma e duas vezes na última semana, percentual que aumentou segundo o número de morbidades (22,3% sem morbidades e 38% com multimorbidade). Sair de casa todos os dias teve menor ocorrência entre indivíduos com multimorbidade (10,3%), e 9,3% saíram de casa na última semana para obter atendimento de saúde. Higienização de mãos (> 98%) e sempre usar máscara ao sair de casa (> 96%) foram hábitos quase universais. Observou-se maior adesão ao isolamento social entre as mulheres com multimorbidade quando comparadas com os homens (RP = 1,49; IC95%: 1,23-1,79); esta adesão aumentou proporcionalmente com a idade e inversamente ao nível de escolaridade. O comportamento de proteção em pessoas com multimorbidade parece ser maior em relação aos demais, embora questões relacionadas ao isolamento social e cuidado em saúde mereçam ser destacadas. Esses achados podem ser úteis na customização de estratégias de enfrentamento atual da pandemia.
El objetivo fue medir la ocurrencia de comportamientos de protección contra la COVID-19 y factores sociodemográficos, según la ocurrencia de multimorbilidad, en la población brasileña con 50 años o más de edad. Se utilizaron datos de la encuesta telefónica entre participantes del ELSI-Brasil (Estudio Brasileño Longitudinal del Envejecimiento), realizado entre mayo y junio de 2020. Se evaluó el uso de medidas de prevención no farmacológica para la COVID-19, motivos para salir de casa, según la presencia de multimorbilidad y variables sociodemográficas. Participaron del estudio 6.149 personas. La multimorbilidad fue más frecuente en el sexo femenino, en casados, en la franja de edad 50-59 años de edad y en residentes de la zona urbana. La mayor parte de la población salió de casa entre una y dos veces en la última semana, porcentaje que aumentó según el número de morbilidades (22,3% sin morbilidades y 38% con multimorbilidad). Salir de casa todos los días tuvo una menor ocurrencia entre individuos con multimorbilidad (10,3%), y 9,3% salieron de casa en la última semana para obtener atención en salud. La higienización de manos (> 98%) y siempre usar mascarilla al salir de casa (> 96%) fueron hábitos casi universales. Se observó una mayor adhesión al aislamiento social entre las mujeres con multimorbilidad cuando se compararon con los hombres (RP = 1,49; IC95%: 1,23-1,79); esta adhesión aumentó proporcionalmente con la edad y fue inversamente proporcional al nivel de escolaridad. El comportamiento de protección en personas con multimorbilidad parece ser mayor respecto a los demás, a pesar de que las cuestiones relacionadas con el aislamiento social y cuidado en salud merezcan ser destacadas. Estos resultados pueden ser útiles en la personalización de estrategias de combate a la actual pandemia.
Assuntos
Infecções por Coronavirus , Multimorbidade , Pandemias , Pneumonia Viral , Adulto , Idoso , Betacoronavirus , Brasil/epidemiologia , COVID-19 , Feminino , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , SARS-CoV-2RESUMO
This study aimed to measure the occurrence of multimorbidity and to estimate the number of individuals in the Brazilian population 50 years or older at risk for severe COVID-19. This was a cross-sectional nationwide study based on data from the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Aging (ELSI-Brazil), conducted in 2015-2016, with 9,412 individuals 50 years or older. Multimorbidity was defined as ≥ 2 chronic conditions based on a list of 15 diseases considered risk conditions for severe COVID-19. The analyses included calculation of prevalence and estimation of the absolute number of persons in the population at risk. Self-rated health status, frailty, and basic activities of daily living were used as markers of health status. Sex, age, region of the country, and schooling were used as covariables. Some 80% of the sample had at least one of the target conditions, which represents some 34 million individuals. Multimorbidity was reported by 52% of the study population, with higher proportions in the Central, Southeast, and South of Brazil. Cardiovascular diseases and obesity were the most frequent chronic conditions. An estimated 2.4 million Brazilians are at serious health risk. The results revealed inequalities according to schooling. The number of persons 50 years or older who presented risk conditions for severe COVID-19 is high both in absolute and relative terms. The estimate is important for planning strategies to monitor persons with chronic conditions and for preventive strategies to deal with the novel coronavirus.
O objetivo deste trabalho foi medir a ocorrência de multimorbidade e estimar o número de indivíduos na população brasileira com 50 anos ou mais em risco para COVID-19 grave. Estudo transversal de base nacional com dados do Estudo Longitudinal da Saúde dos Idosos Brasileiros (ELSI-Brasil), conduzido em 2015-2016, com 9.412 indivíduos com 50 anos ou mais. A multimorbidade foi caracterizada como ≥ 2 condições crônicas com base em uma lista de 15 morbidades consideradas de risco para COVID-19 grave. As análises incluíram cálculo de prevalência e estimativa do número absoluto de pessoas na população em risco. Autoavaliação do estado de saúde, fragilidade e atividades básicas da vida diária foram utilizadas como marcadores da situação de saúde. Sexo, idade, região geopolítica e escolaridade foram usados como covariáveis. Cerca de 80% dos indivíduos da amostra apresentaram pelo menos alguma das morbidades avaliadas, o que representa cerca de 34 milhões de indivíduos; a multimorbidade foi referida por 52% da população em estudo, com maior proporção nas regiões Centro-oeste, Sudeste e Sul. Doenças cardiovasculares e obesidade foram as condições crônicas mais frequentes. Estima-se que 2,4 milhões de brasileiros estejam em risco grave de saúde. Desigualdades segundo a escolaridade foram observadas. O número de pessoas com 50 anos ou mais que apresentam morbidades de risco para COVID-19 grave é elevado tanto em termos relativos quanto absolutos. A estimativa apresentada é importante para planejar as estratégias de monitoramento das pessoas com morbidades crônicas e de prevenção no enfrentamento do novo coronavírus.
El objetivo de este trabajo fue medir la ocurrencia de multimorbilidad y estimar el número de individuos en la población brasileña, con 50 años o más, en riesgo de COVID-19 grave. Estudio transversal de base nacional, con datos del Estudio Brasileño Longitudinal del Envejecimiento (ELSI-Brasil), llevado a cabo en 2015-2016, con 9.412 individuos con 50 años o más. La multimorbilidad se caracterizó como ≥ 2 condiciones crónicas, en base a una lista de 15 morbilidades consideradas de riesgo para COVID-19 grave. Los análisis incluyeron el cálculo de prevalencia y estimación del número absoluto de personas en la población en riesgo. La autoevaluación del estado de salud, fragilidad y actividades básicas de la vida diaria fueron utilizadas como marcadores de la situación de salud. Sexo, edad, región geopolítica y escolaridad fueron usados como covariables. Cerca de un 80% de los individuos de la muestra presentaron por lo menos alguna de las morbilidades evaluadas, lo que representa cerca de 34 millones de individuos; la multimorbilidad fue referida por un 52% de la población en estudio, con mayor proporción en las regiones Centro, Sureste y Sur. Enfermedades cardiovasculares y obesidad fueron las enfermedades crónicas más frecuentes. Se estima que 2,4 millones de brasileños están en riesgo grave de salud. Se observaron desigualdades según la escolaridad. El número de personas con 50 años o más que presentan morbilidades de riesgo para la COVID-19 grave es elevado, tanto en términos relativos, como absolutos. La estimación presentada es importante para planear las estrategias de monitoreo de las personas con morbilidades crónicas y de prevención en el combate al nuevo coronavirus.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Multimorbidade , Atividades Cotidianas , Envelhecimento , Brasil/epidemiologia , Doença Crônica , Estudos Transversais , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Pandemias , Prevalência , Fatores de Risco , SARS-CoV-2RESUMO
The integration among levels of care is a continuous challenge even in consolidated and high performance health systems. The reform of public health system of Distrito Federal, based on the strengthening of primary health care associated to the reconfiguration of specialized attention (ambulatory and hospital) and of its of urgency and emergence network brought, as a challenge, the need for integration between these levels. Thus, became necessary to create an instrumentto perform the role of gatekeeper, leading to equanimous, transparent and safe access to specialized and hospital care. Thus, the Regulatory Complex in Health of Distrito Federal (CRDF) and its Regulatory Centers (CR) were created to carry out the regulatory process of access to care services, such as hospitalization, ambulatory care (procedures and specialized consultations), elective surgeries, complex procedures, sanitary transport, urgencies and transplants of patients of the Federal District and outside it. This article describes the process of the CRDF implementation and its CRs, aiming to reflect on the potential and challenges of its role as an instrument of integration among the levels of care.
A integração entre os níveis de atenção é um desafio contínuo mesmo em sistemas de saúde consolidados e de alta performance. A reestruturação do sistema público de saúde do Distrito Federal, baseado no fortalecimento da Atenção Primária à Saúde (APS), na reconfiguração da atenção especializada (ambulatorial e hospitalar) e de sua rede de urgência e emergência, trouxe como desafio a necessidade de integração entre esses níveis. Fez-se necessária a criação de um dispositivo que desempenhasse o papel de "gatekeeper" conduzindo o acesso equânime, transparente e seguro para a atenção especializada e hospitalar. Neste sentido, foi estruturado o Complexo Regulador em Saúde do Distrito Federal (CRDF) e suas Centrais de Regulação (CR), orientados para a execução de um processo regulatório de acesso para os serviços de internação hospitalar, ambulatorial (procedimentos e consultas especializadas), cirurgias eletivas, alta complexidade, transporte sanitário, urgências e transplantes de pacientes do Distrito Federal e de fora dele. Este artigo descreve o processo de implantação e de implementação do CRDF e de suas CR, de forma a refletir sobre as potencialidades e desafios de seu papel enquanto instrumento de integração entre os níveis assistenciais de saúde.
Assuntos
Prestação Integrada de Cuidados de Saúde/organização & administração , Reforma dos Serviços de Saúde , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde , Atenção Primária à Saúde/organização & administração , Assistência Ambulatorial/organização & administração , Brasil , Hospitalização , Humanos , Saúde PúblicaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The diagnosis, treatment and control of arterial hypertension are fundamental for a reduction in cardiovascular outcomes, especially in the elderly. In Brazil, there are few studies that specifically identified these rates in the elderly population. OBJECTIVE: To verify rates of prevalence, treatment and control of hypertension in elderly people living in the urban area of a Brazilian capital city. METHODS: A cross-sectional, population-based, randomized, cluster-based study with 912 non-institutionalized elderly individuals (≥ 60 years), living in urban areas in the city of Goiania, Midwest Brazil. Predictor variables were: age, gender, socioeconomic and lifestyle aspects. Blood pressure measurements were performed at home; patients were considered as having arterial hypertension when SBP and/or DBP ≥ 140/90 mmHg or when using antihypertensive drugs (dependent variable). Rates of hypertension treatment and control were evaluated. Variable association analyses were performed by multivariate logistic regression and level of significance was set at 5%. RESULTS: The prevalence of arterial hypertension was 74.9%, being higher (78.6%) in men (OR 1.4, 95% CI: 1.04-1.92); the treatment rate was 72.6%, with higher rates being observed in smokers (OR 2.06, 95% CI: 1.28-3.33). The rate of hypertension control was 50.8%,being higher in women (OR 1.57, 95% CI: 1.19-2.08). CONCLUSION: The prevalence rates were high. Treatment and control rates were low and associated with gender, age and lifestyle, indicating the need for early and individual interventions.
Assuntos
Avaliação Geriátrica/estatística & dados numéricos , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , População Urbana/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Anti-Hipertensivos/uso terapêutico , Pressão Sanguínea/fisiologia , Brasil/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Hipertensão/tratamento farmacológico , Hipertensão/prevenção & controle , Estilo de Vida , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , PrevalênciaRESUMO
Secondary Outpatient Care (SOC) is a subject seldom studied in the literature, but of great importance for the strengthening of Primary Health Care (PHC) and the structuring of the Health Care Network. After the increase of PHC coverage following the Family Health Strategy (FHS) model, through the "CONVERTE APS" project, the State Health Secretariat of the Federal District (SHS-DF) identified the need to organize this level of care throughout the Federal District. SHS-DF has, as its Health Care Planning basis, the knowledge experienced in one of its regions, in addition to the theoretical framework produced and systematized by the National Council of Health Secretariats (CONASS) in recent years, as well as successful experiences in other regions of Brazil and countries with public health systems. The strategies to be used include the following: diagnosis and organization of facility structures, creation of a regional managerial level for Secondary Care, personnel sizing, development of the legal framework for level of care regulation, creation of technical milestones, regulation of medical and non-medical consultations in health regions and matrix support as an education strategy, but also of connection between levels of care.
A Atenção Ambulatorial Secundária (AASE) é um tema pouco estudado na literatura, porém de grande importância no fortalecimento da APS e na estruturação da Rede de Atenção à Saúde. Após a ampliação de cobertura da APS no modelo de eSF, por meio do CONVERTE APS, a SESDF, identificou-se a necessidade de organização deste nível de atenção em todo o Distrito Federal. Assim, tem como laboratório a experiência de Planificação da Atenção à Saúde vivenciada em uma de suas regiões, além de todo arcabouço teórico produzido e sistematizado pelo CONASS nos últimos anos, assim como experiências positivas em outras regiões do Brasil e de países com sistemas públicos de saúde. Para isso tem-se como estratégias o diagnóstico e a organização das estruturas físicas, criação de nível gestor regional da Atenção Secundária, dimensionamento de pessoal, desenvolvimento de marco legal para regulamentação do nível de atenção, criação de marcos técnicos, regulação das consultas médicas e não médicas nas regiões de saúde e o matriciamento como estratégia educação, mas também de vinculação entre os níveis de atenção.
Assuntos
Assistência Ambulatorial/organização & administração , Saúde da Família , Atenção Primária à Saúde/organização & administração , Atenção Secundária à Saúde/organização & administração , Brasil , Humanos , Programas Nacionais de Saúde/organização & administração , Saúde Pública , EspecializaçãoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Multimorbidity is the co-occurrence of two or more diseases in the same individual. One method to identify this condition at an early stage is the use of specific markers for various combinations of morbidities. Nonetheless, evidence related to physiological markers in multimorbidity is limited. OBJECTIVE: The aim was to perform a systematic review to identify physiological markers associated with multimorbidity. DESIGN: Articles available on PubMed, Register of Controlled Trials, Academic Search Premier, CINAHL, Scopus, SocINDEX, Web of Science, LILACS, and SciELO, from their inception to May 2018, were systematically searched and reviewed. The project was registered in PROSPERO under the number CRD42017055522. RESULTS: The systematic search identified 922 papers. After evaluation, 18 articles were included in the full review reporting at least one physiological marker in coexisting diseases or which are strongly associated with the presence of multimorbidity in the future. Only five of these studies examined multimorbidity in general, identifying five physiological markers associated with multimorbidity, namely, dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate (DHEAS), interleukin 6 (IL-6), C-reactive protein (CRP), lipoprotein (Lp), and cystatin C (Cyst-C). CONCLUSIONS: There is a paucity of studies related to physiological markers in multimorbidity. DHEAS, IL-6, CRP, Lp, and Cyst-C could be the initial focus for further investigation of physiological markers related to multimorbidity.
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RESUMO Objetivo: To describe the initial baseline results of a population-based study, as well as a protocol in order to evaluate the performance of different machine learning algorithms with the objective of predicting the demand for urgent and emergency services in a representative sample of adults from the urban area of Pelotas, Southern Brazil. Methods: The study is entitled "Emergency department use and Artificial Intelligence in PELOTAS (RS) (EAI PELOTAS)" (https://wp.ufpel.edu.br/eaipelotas/). Between September and December 2021, a baseline was carried out with participants. A follow-up was planned to be conducted after 12 months in order to assess the use of urgent and emergency services in the last year. Afterwards, machine learning algorithms will be tested to predict the use of urgent and emergency services over one year. Results: In total, 5,722 participants answered the survey, mostly females (66.8%), with an average age of 50.3 years. The mean number of household people was 2.6. Most of the sample has white skin color and incomplete elementary school or less. Around 30% of the sample has obesity, 14% diabetes, and 39% hypertension. Conclusion: The present paper presented a protocol describing the steps that were and will be taken to produce a model capable of predicting the demand for urgent and emergency services in one year among residents of Pelotas, in Rio Grande do Sul state.
RESUMO Objetivo: Descrever os resultados iniciais da linha de base de um estudo de base populacional, bem como um protocolo para avaliar o desempenho de diferentes algoritmos de aprendizado de máquina, com o objetivo de predizer a demanda de serviços de urgência e emergência em uma amostra representativa de adultos da zona urbana de Pelotas, no Sul do Brasil. Métodos: O estudo intitula-se "Emergency department use and Artificial Intelligence in PELOTAS (RS) (EAI PELOTAS)" (https://wp.ufpel.edu.br/eaipelotas/). Entre setembro e dezembro de 2021, foi realizada uma linha de base com os participantes. Está previsto um acompanhamento após 12 meses para avaliar a utilização de serviços de urgência e emergência no último ano. Em seguida, serão testados algoritmos de machine learning para predizer a utilização de serviços de urgência e emergência no período de um ano. Resultados: No total, 5.722 participantes responderam à pesquisa, a maioria do sexo feminino (66,8%), com idade média de 50,3 anos. O número médio de pessoas no domicílio foi de 2,6. A maioria da amostra tem cor da pele branca e ensino fundamental incompleto ou menos. Cerca de 30% da amostra estava com obesidade, 14% com diabetes e 39% eram hipertensos. Conclusão: O presente trabalho apresentou um protocolo descrevendo as etapas que foram e serão tomadas para a produção de um modelo capaz de prever a demanda por serviços de urgência e emergência em um ano entre moradores de Pelotas, no estado do Rio Grande do Sul.
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INTRODUCTION: Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) is an important Brazilian public health issue that has as main etiologies, arterial hypertension and diabetes mellitus (DM). The precocious diagnosis is important, because it allows the implementation of preventive measures that retard or interrupt the progression to the most advanced stages of the CKD. OBJECTIVE: Identify the prevalence and the associated factors to the CKD among adults served by the Family Health Strategy (FHS). METHODS: Cross-sectional study with epidemiological, descriptive and observational design, realized with 511 adults older than 20 years, served by the FSH in a region of Goiania. CKD was defined as GFR < 60 mL/min/1.73m(2) and/or albuminuria ≥ 30 mg/g. The GFR was estimated by the Cockcroft-Gault equation and albuminuria by the ratio of albumin and urinary creatinine in the urine sample. The independent variables were age, sex, blood pressure, alcohol comsumption, DM, smoking and overweight/obesity. RESULTS: The CKD prevalence was 32,53%. While GFR < 60ml/min/1.73 m(2) occurred in 10,64% and albuminuria in 25,29% of the sample. The analysis identified a significant association between the ages ≥ 60 and GFR < 60ml/min/1.73 m2 (p < 0,001); as the albuminuria ≥ 30 mg/g the association was found in the male gender (p = 0,043), DM (p = 0,002) and alcohol consumption (p = 0,035). CONCLUSION: There was a high prevalence of CKD's early stages on FHS, taking in consideration the risk factors of age ≥ 60 years old, masculine gender, DM and alcohol consume. Therefore, a CKD screening and monitoring is suggested in adults who are served by the FHS.
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Insuficiência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Adulto , Albuminúria/epidemiologia , Brasil/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Saúde da Família , Feminino , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Adulto JovemRESUMO
ABSTRACT: Objective: The aims of this study were: 1) to estimate the prevalence of multimorbidity in 2013 and 2019 in adults aged 20-59 years; 2) to assess inequalities in the prevalence of multimorbidity in 2013 and 2019 according to educational level. Methods: Data from two cross-sectional surveys from the Brazilian National Health Survey in 2013 and 2019 were used. Multimorbidity was assessed from 14 lifetime self-reported morbidities (except back problems) and defined using the cutoff point of ≥2 diseases. The prevalence of multimorbidity and individual morbidities were described according to gender, age, skin color, and education. For education, crude, and relative inequalities in prevalence of multimorbidity were calculated using the Slope Index of Inequality and the Concentration Index, respectively. Results: The prevalence of multimorbidity increased from 18.7% (95%CI 18.0-19.3) in 2013 to 22.3% (95%CI 21.7-22.9) in 2019, being higher among women and adults between 30-59 years in both periods. Asthma/bronchitis, depression, and back problems were the conditions that increased the most in the study period. Absolute and relative inequalities by education status were observed in the study period, with worse multimorbidity profiles among the less educated. Conclusion: The prevalence of multimorbidity increased between 2013 and 2019. Inequalities in the prevalence of multimorbidity were observed according to educational level.
RESUMO: Objetivos: Os objetivos do presente estudo foram: 1) estimar a prevalência de multimorbidade nos anos de 2013 e 2019 em adultos de 18 a 59 anos; 2) avaliar as desigualdades na prevalência de multimorbidade em 2013 e 2019, de acordo com a escolaridade. Métodos: Foram utilizados dados de dois inquéritos transversais da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde de 2013 e 2019. A multimorbidade foi avaliada a partir de 14 morbidades autorreferidas a partir de diagnóstico médico na vida (exceto problema na coluna) e definida usando-se o ponto de corte de ≥ 2 doenças. As prevalências de multimorbidade e morbidades individuais foram descritas de acordo com sexo, idade, cor da pele e escolaridade. Desigualdades brutas e relativas nas prevalências conforme a escolaridade foram calculadas utilizando-se o Slope Index of Inequality e o Concentration Index, respectivamente. Resultados: A prevalência de multimorbidade aumentou de 18,7% (IC95% 18,0-19,3), em 2013, para 22,3% (IC95% 21,7-22,9), em 2019, sendo maior entre mulheres e adultos entre 30 e 59 anos em ambos os períodos. Asma/bronquite, depressão e problemas na coluna foram as condições que mais aumentaram no período. Desigualdades absolutas e relativas foram observadas, com prevalências superiores entre os menos escolarizados e sem diferença entre os anos. Conclusões: A prevalência de multimorbidade aumentou no período de 2013 a 2019. Desigualdades na prevalência de multimorbidade foram observadas de acordo com a escolaridade.
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Humanos , Feminino , Adulto , Multimorbidade , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Brasil/epidemiologia , Prevalência , Estudos Transversais , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , EscolaridadeRESUMO
O objetivo deste trabalho foi medir a ocorrência de multimorbidade e estimar o número de indivíduos na população brasileira com 50 anos ou mais em risco para COVID-19 grave. Estudo transversal de base nacional com dados do Estudo Longitudinal da Saúde dos Idosos Brasileiros (ELSI-Brasil), conduzido em 2015-2016, com 9.412 indivíduos com 50 anos ou mais. A multimorbidade foi caracterizada como ≥ 2 condições crônicas com base em uma lista de 15 morbidades consideradas de risco para COVID-19 grave. As análises incluíram cálculo de prevalência e estimativa do número absoluto de pessoas na população em risco. Autoavaliação do estado de saúde, fragilidade e atividades básicas da vida diária foram utilizadas como marcadores da situação de saúde. Sexo, idade, região geopolítica e escolaridade foram usados como covariáveis. Cerca de 80% dos indivíduos da amostra apresentaram pelo menos alguma das morbidades avaliadas, o que representa cerca de 34 milhões de indivíduos; a multimorbidade foi referida por 52% da população em estudo, com maior proporção nas regiões Centro-oeste, Sudeste e Sul. Doenças cardiovasculares e obesidade foram as condições crônicas mais frequentes. Estima-se que 2,4 milhões de brasileiros estejam em risco grave de saúde. Desigualdades segundo a escolaridade foram observadas. O número de pessoas com 50 anos ou mais que apresentam morbidades de risco para COVID-19 grave é elevado tanto em termos relativos quanto absolutos. A estimativa apresentada é importante para planejar as estratégias de monitoramento das pessoas com morbidades crônicas e de prevenção no enfrentamento do novo coronavírus.
El objetivo de este trabajo fue medir la ocurrencia de multimorbilidad y estimar el número de individuos en la población brasileña, con 50 años o más, en riesgo de COVID-19 grave. Estudio transversal de base nacional, con datos del Estudio Brasileño Longitudinal del Envejecimiento (ELSI-Brasil), llevado a cabo en 2015-2016, con 9.412 individuos con 50 años o más. La multimorbilidad se caracterizó como ≥ 2 condiciones crónicas, en base a una lista de 15 morbilidades consideradas de riesgo para COVID-19 grave. Los análisis incluyeron el cálculo de prevalencia y estimación del número absoluto de personas en la población en riesgo. La autoevaluación del estado de salud, fragilidad y actividades básicas de la vida diaria fueron utilizadas como marcadores de la situación de salud. Sexo, edad, región geopolítica y escolaridad fueron usados como covariables. Cerca de un 80% de los individuos de la muestra presentaron por lo menos alguna de las morbilidades evaluadas, lo que representa cerca de 34 millones de individuos; la multimorbilidad fue referida por un 52% de la población en estudio, con mayor proporción en las regiones Centro, Sureste y Sur. Enfermedades cardiovasculares y obesidad fueron las enfermedades crónicas más frecuentes. Se estima que 2,4 millones de brasileños están en riesgo grave de salud. Se observaron desigualdades según la escolaridad. El número de personas con 50 años o más que presentan morbilidades de riesgo para la COVID-19 grave es elevado, tanto en términos relativos, como absolutos. La estimación presentada es importante para planear las estrategias de monitoreo de las personas con morbilidades crónicas y de prevención en el combate al nuevo coronavirus.
This study aimed to measure the occurrence of multimorbidity and to estimate the number of individuals in the Brazilian population 50 years or older at risk for severe COVID-19. This was a cross-sectional nationwide study based on data from the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Aging (ELSI-Brazil), conducted in 2015-2016, with 9,412 individuals 50 years or older. Multimorbidity was defined as ≥ 2 chronic conditions based on a list of 15 diseases considered risk conditions for severe COVID-19. The analyses included calculation of prevalence and estimation of the absolute number of persons in the population at risk. Self-rated health status, frailty, and basic activities of daily living were used as markers of health status. Sex, age, region of the country, and schooling were used as covariables. Some 80% of the sample had at least one of the target conditions, which represents some 34 million individuals. Multimorbidity was reported by 52% of the study population, with higher proportions in the Central, Southeast, and South of Brazil. Cardiovascular diseases and obesity were the most frequent chronic conditions. An estimated 2.4 million Brazilians are at serious health risk. The results revealed inequalities according to schooling. The number of persons 50 years or older who presented risk conditions for severe COVID-19 is high both in absolute and relative terms. The estimate is important for planning strategies to monitor persons with chronic conditions and for preventive strategies to deal with the novel coronavirus.
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Humanos , Multimorbidade , COVID-19 , Brasil/epidemiologia , Atividades Cotidianas , Envelhecimento , Doença Crônica , Prevalência , Estudos Transversais , Fatores de Risco , Estudos Longitudinais , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2RESUMO
Objetivou-se medir a ocorrência de comportamentos de proteção contra a COVID-19 e fatores sociodemográficos segundo a ocorrência de multimorbidade na população brasileira com 50 anos ou mais de idade. Foram utilizados dados de inquérito telefônico entre participantes do ELSI-Brasil (Estudo Longitudinal da Saúde dos Idosos Brasileiros), conduzido entre maio e junho de 2020. Avaliou-se o uso de medidas de prevenção não farmacológica para COVID-19, motivos para sair de casa segundo a presença de multimorbidade e variáveis sociodemográficas. Participaram do estudo 6.149 pessoas. Multimorbidade foi mais frequente no sexo feminino, em casados, na faixa etária 50-59 anos de idade e em moradores da zona urbana. A maior parte da população saiu de casa entre uma e duas vezes na última semana, percentual que aumentou segundo o número de morbidades (22,3% sem morbidades e 38% com multimorbidade). Sair de casa todos os dias teve menor ocorrência entre indivíduos com multimorbidade (10,3%), e 9,3% saíram de casa na última semana para obter atendimento de saúde. Higienização de mãos (> 98%) e sempre usar máscara ao sair de casa (> 96%) foram hábitos quase universais. Observou-se maior adesão ao isolamento social entre as mulheres com multimorbidade quando comparadas com os homens (RP = 1,49; IC95%: 1,23-1,79); esta adesão aumentou proporcionalmente com a idade e inversamente ao nível de escolaridade. O comportamento de proteção em pessoas com multimorbidade parece ser maior em relação aos demais, embora questões relacionadas ao isolamento social e cuidado em saúde mereçam ser destacadas. Esses achados podem ser úteis na customização de estratégias de enfrentamento atual da pandemia.
El objetivo fue medir la ocurrencia de comportamientos de protección contra la COVID-19 y factores sociodemográficos, según la ocurrencia de multimorbilidad, en la población brasileña con 50 años o más de edad. Se utilizaron datos de la encuesta telefónica entre participantes del ELSI-Brasil (Estudio Brasileño Longitudinal del Envejecimiento), realizado entre mayo y junio de 2020. Se evaluó el uso de medidas de prevención no farmacológica para la COVID-19, motivos para salir de casa, según la presencia de multimorbilidad y variables sociodemográficas. Participaron del estudio 6.149 personas. La multimorbilidad fue más frecuente en el sexo femenino, en casados, en la franja de edad 50-59 años de edad y en residentes de la zona urbana. La mayor parte de la población salió de casa entre una y dos veces en la última semana, porcentaje que aumentó según el número de morbilidades (22,3% sin morbilidades y 38% con multimorbilidad). Salir de casa todos los días tuvo una menor ocurrencia entre individuos con multimorbilidad (10,3%), y 9,3% salieron de casa en la última semana para obtener atención en salud. La higienización de manos (> 98%) y siempre usar mascarilla al salir de casa (> 96%) fueron hábitos casi universales. Se observó una mayor adhesión al aislamiento social entre las mujeres con multimorbilidad cuando se compararon con los hombres (RP = 1,49; IC95%: 1,23-1,79); esta adhesión aumentó proporcionalmente con la edad y fue inversamente proporcional al nivel de escolaridad. El comportamiento de protección en personas con multimorbilidad parece ser mayor respecto a los demás, a pesar de que las cuestiones relacionadas con el aislamiento social y cuidado en salud merezcan ser destacadas. Estos resultados pueden ser útiles en la personalización de estrategias de combate a la actual pandemia.
To measure the occurrence of protective behaviors for COVID-19 and sociodemographic factors according to the occurrence of multimorbidity in the Brazilian population aged 50 or over was the objective of this study. We used data from telephone surveys among participants of ELSI-Brazil (Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Aging), conducted between May and June 2020. The use of non-pharmacological prevention measures for COVID-19, reasons for leaving home according to the presence of multimorbidity and sociodemographic variables were evaluated. among 6,149 individuals. Multimorbidity was more frequent in females, married, aged 50-59 years and residents of the urban area. Most of the population left home between once and twice in the last week, increasing according to the number of morbidities (22.3% no morbidities and 38% with multimorbidity). Leaving home every day was less common among individuals with multimorbidity (10.3%) and 9.3% left home in the last week to access health care. Hand hygiene (> 98%) and always wearing a mask when leaving home (> 96%) were almost universal habits. Greater adherence to social isolation was observed among women with multimorbidity when compared to men (PR = 1.49, 95%CI: 1.23-1.79). This adherence increased proportionally with age and inversely with the level of education. The protective behavior in people with multimorbidity seems to be greater in relation to the others, although issues related to social isolation and health care deserve to be highlighted. These findings can be useful in customizing strategies for coping with the current pandemic.