Utilizing (serial) coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) to predict plaque progression and major adverse cardiac events (MACE): results, merits and challenges.

OBJECTIVES: To present an overview of studies using serial coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) as a tool for finding both quantitative (changes) and qualitative plaque characteristics as well as epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) volume changes as predictors of plaque progression and/or major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and outline the challenges and advantages of using a serial non-invasive imaging approach for assessing cardiovascular prognosis. METHODS: A literature search was performed in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library and Emcare. All observational cohort studies were assessed for quality using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). The NOS score was then converted into Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) standards: good, fair and poor. RESULTS: A total of 36 articles were analyzed for this review, 3 of which were meta-analyses and one was a technical paper. Quantitative baseline plaque features seem to be more predictive of MACE and/or plaque progression as compared to qualitative plaque features. CONCLUSIONS: A critical review of the literature focusing on studies utilizing serial CCTA revealed that mainly quantitative baseline plaque features and quantitative plaque changes are predictive of MACE and/or plaque progression contrary to qualitative plaque features. Significant questions regarding the clinical implications of these specific quantitative and qualitative plaque features as well as the challenges of using serial CCTA have yet to be resolved in studies using this imaging technique. KEY POINTS: • Use of (serial) CCTA can identify plaque characteristics and plaque changes as well as changes in EAT volume that are predictive of plaque progression and/or major adverse events (MACE) at follow-up. • Studies utilizing serial CCTA revealed that mainly quantitative baseline plaque features and quantitative plaque changes are predictive of MACE and/or plaque progression contrary to qualitative plaque features. • Ultimately, serial CCTA is a promising technique for the evaluation of cardiovascular prognosis, yet technical details remain to be refined.

Correlation between quantification of myocardial area at risk and ischemic burden at cardiac computed tomography.

Purpose: This study aims to investigate the correlation between myocardial area at risk at coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) and the ischemic burden derived from myocardial computed tomography perfusion (CTP) by using the 17-segment model. Methods: Forty-two patients with chest pain complaints who underwent a combined CCTA and CTP protocol were identified. Patients with reversible ischemia at CTP and at least one stenosis of ≥ 50% at CCTA were selected. Myocardial area at risk was calculated using a Voronoi-based segmentation algorithm at CCTA and was defined as the sum of all territories related to a ≥ 50% stenosis as a percentage of the total left ventricular (LV) mass. The latter was calculated using LV contours which were automatically drawn using a machine learning algorithm. Subsequently, the ischemic burden was defined as the number of segments demonstrating relative hypoperfusion as a percentage of the total amount of segments (=17). Finally, correlations were tested between the myocardial area at risk and the ischemic burden using Pearson's correlation coefficient. Results: A total of 77 coronary lesions were assessed. Average myocardial area at risk and ischemic burden for all lesions was 59% and 23%, respectively. Correlations for ≥ 50% and ≥ 70% stenosis based myocardial area at risk compared to ischemic burden were moderate (r = 0.564; p < 0.01) and good (r = 0.708; p < 0.01), respectively. Conclusion: The relation between myocardial area at risk as calculated by using a Voronoi-based algorithm at CCTA and ischemic burden as assessed by CTP is dependent on stenosis severity.