Comparison among three predictive models for cancer-associated thromboembolism in a hispanic population.

In this study we aimed to evaluate and compare the overall performance of the Khorana, PROTECHT, and CONKO scores as predictive scores for the occurrence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) among ambulatory Hispanic patients with solid tumors. We included all outpatients with newly diagnosed solid tumors receiving systemic chemotherapy in Hospital San Juan Dios, San José, Costa Rica, from January to December 2021. For each patient the Khorana, PROTECHT, and CONKO scores were calculated at the beginning of treatment. The sixth-month cumulative incidence of VTE was estimated using the Fine & Gray competing risk model. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the performance of each predictive tool through the analysis of the c-statistic, sensitivity, and specificity. A total of 708 patients were included in the research. After a median follow-up of 8.13 months, the cumulative VTE incidence at six months was 4.45% (95%CI: 3.25-6.91%) for the overall population. At the conventional positivity threshold of 3 points, these scores classified from 17.7 to 32.5% of all patients as high-risk for VTE. Patients belonging to the high-risk category of the Khorana, PROTECHT, and CONKO scores had significantly higher risk of VTE in comparison to low-risk patients (Khorana score: Hazard Ratio (HR): 2.66; 95%CI:1.20-5.89; p = 0.042; PROTECHT score: HR: 3.44; 95%CI:1.63-7.21; p = 0.001; CONKO score HR: 3.68; 95%CI:1.72-7.85; p = 0.001). The c-statistic of the ROC curve was: 0.62 (95%CI: 0.52-0.72), 0.62 (95%CI: 0.52-0.73), and 0.65 (95%CI: 0.56-0.76) for the Khorana, PROTECHT, and CONKO scores, respectively; with similar sensitivity (range: 67-70%) and specificity (range: 52-62%) among them. For Hispanic patients with solid tumors the Khorana, PROTECHT, and CONKO scores accurately categorize their risk of VTE. However, the overall discriminatory performance of these models remains poor (c-statistic from 0.62 to 0.65) for predicting all patients at risk for thromboembolic events.

Using the Khorana risk score to predict venous thromboembolism and overall survival in a cohort of Hispanic patients with solid malignancies.

Background: The Khorana risk score (KRS) for prognosis of venous thromboembolism (VTE) has been rarely explored in Hispanic populations. Objective: To determine the value of the KRS for prediction of VTE and overall survival (OS) among Hispanic individuals with cancer. Methods: We retrospectively evaluated all outpatients with newly diagnosed solid tumours receiving systemic chemotherapy in Hospital San Juan Dios, San José, Costa Rica, from January to December 2021. The 6-month cumulative VTE incidence according to the KRS categories was estimated using the Fine & Gray competing risk model. A Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to compare OS among KRS categories. The Cox regression analysis was performed to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and its corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to identify the optimal cutoff value to predict VTE during follow-up. Results: A total of 708 patients were included in the analysis. After a median follow-up of 8.13 months, the cumulative incidence of VTE at 6 months was 1.56% (95% CI: 0.83%-6.82%), 4.83% (95% CI: 2.81%-7.66%) and 8.84% (95% CI: 4.30%-15.42%) for low-, intermediate- and high-risk Khorana score categories, respectively (Gray's p value: 0.0178). The optimal cutoff for the KRS to predict VTE was 2 (area under the ROC curve: 0.65; 95% CI: 0.55-0.756). The KRS was independently associated with overall mortality (HR: 1.83; 95% CI: 1.46-2.29; p < 0.001, for the comparison of 'high-risk' and 'low-risk' KRS). Conclusions: The KRS is a valid tool to predict VTE and mortality in a cohort of Hispanic outpatients with newly diagnosed solid tumours.