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1.
Eur J Nutr ; 57(4): 1313-1320, 2018 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28285430

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Iodine deficiency affects 30% of populations worldwide. The amount of thyroglobulin (Tg) in blood increases in iodine deficiency and also in iodine excess. Tg is considered as a sensitive index of iodine status in groups of children and adults, but its usefulness for individuals is unknown. The aim of this study was to determine the diagnostic performance of Tg as an index of iodine status in individual adults. METHODS: Adults aged 18-40 years (n = 151) provided five spot urine samples for the measurement of urinary iodine concentration expressed as µg/L (UIC), µg/g of creatinine (I:Cre), and µg/day (estimated UIE); the mean of the five samples was used as the reference standard. Participants also provided a blood sample for the determination of Tg, thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH), and free thyroxine (FT4). RESULTS: The median of UIC, I:Cre, estimated UIE, and Tg was 72 (range 16-350) µg/L, 90 (range 33-371) µg/g, 129 (range 41-646) µg/day, and 16.4 (range 0.8-178.9) µg/L, respectively. Using Tg cut-offs of >10, >11, >13, and >15 µg/L, the sensitivity and specificity for UIC, I:Cre, and estimated UIE ranged from 52 to 79% and 20-48%, respectively, below the acceptable value of ≥80%. Furthermore, receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves for Tg using the three measurements of urinary iodine were situated close to the chance line and the area under the curve ranged from 0.49 to 0.52. CONCLUSIONS: The results from this cross-sectional study indicate that Tg has low sensitivity and specificity to repeated measures of urinary iodine excretion. Further studies are still needed to investigate the usefulness of Tg as a biomarker of individual iodine status.


Assuntos
Testes Diagnósticos de Rotina/normas , Iodo/urina , Estado Nutricional , Tireoglobulina/sangue , Adolescente , Adulto , Biomarcadores/sangue , Biomarcadores/urina , Creatinina/urina , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Iodetos , Iodo/deficiência , Masculino , Nova Zelândia , Curva ROC , Tireotropina/sangue , Adulto Jovem
2.
Int J Sport Nutr Exerc Metab ; 28(1): 1-9, 2018 Jan 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28771064

RESUMO

Vitamin D insufficiency is common in athletes and may lower physical performance. Many cross-sectional studies associate vitamin D status with physical performance in athletes; however, there have been few prospective randomized controlled trials with adequate statistical power to test this relationship, and none in the southern hemisphere. Thus, a prospective double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled intervention trial was conducted involving 57 professional rugby union players in New Zealand. Participants were randomized to receive 50,000 IU of cholecalciferol (equivalent to 3,570 IU/day) or placebo once every two weeks over 11-12 weeks. Serum 25(OH)D concentrations and physical performance were measured at baseline, weeks 5-6, and weeks 11-12. Mean (SD) serum 25(OH)D concentrations for all participants at baseline was 94 (18) nmol/L, with all players above 50 nmol/L. Vitamin D supplementation significantly increased serum 25(OH)D concentrations compared to placebo, with a 32 nmol/L difference between groups at 11-12 weeks (95% CI, 26-38; p < 0.001). Performance in five of the six tests at study completion, including the primary outcome variable of 30-m sprint time, did not differ between the vitamin D supplemented and placebo groups (p > 0.05). Performance on the weighted reverse-grip chin up was significantly higher in players receiving vitamin D compared with placebo, by 5.5 kg (95% CI, 2.0-8.9; p = 0.002). Despite significantly improving vitamin D status in these professional rugby union players, vitamin D supplementation had little impact on physical performance outcomes. Thus, it is unlikely that vitamin D supplementation is an ergogenic aid in this group of athletes.


Assuntos
Desempenho Atlético/fisiologia , Colecalciferol/administração & dosagem , Suplementos Nutricionais , Futebol Americano/fisiologia , Fenômenos Fisiológicos da Nutrição Esportiva , Colecalciferol/sangue , Método Duplo-Cego , Humanos , Masculino , Nova Zelândia , Substâncias para Melhoria do Desempenho , Adulto Jovem
3.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 23(7): 1148-1154, 2017 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28628460

RESUMO

Legionella longbeachae, found in soil and compost-derived products, is a globally underdiagnosed cause of Legionnaires' disease. We conducted a case-control study of L. longbeachae Legionnaires' disease in Canterbury, New Zealand. Case-patients were persons hospitalized with L. longbeachae pneumonia, and controls were persons randomly sampled from the electoral roll for the area served by the participating hospital. Among 31 cases and 172 controls, risk factors for Legionnaires' disease were chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, history of smoking >10 years, and exposure to compost or potting mix. Gardening behaviors associated with L. longbeachae disease included having unwashed hands near the face after exposure to or tipping and troweling compost or potting mix. Mask or glove use was not protective among persons exposed to compost-derived products. Precautions against inhaling compost and attention to hand hygiene might effectively prevent L. longbeachae disease. Long-term smokers and those with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease should be particularly careful.


Assuntos
Legionella longbeachae , Legionelose/epidemiologia , Legionelose/microbiologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Comorbidade , Meio Ambiente , Humanos , Nova Zelândia/epidemiologia , Vigilância da População , Fatores de Risco , Fumar
4.
J Oral Maxillofac Surg ; 75(10): 2063-2069, 2017 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28586638

RESUMO

PURPOSE: The use of opioids in combination with nonopioids is common practice for acute pain management after third molar surgery. One such combination is paracetamol, ibuprofen, and codeine. The authors assessed the efficacy of codeine when added to a regimen of paracetamol and ibuprofen for pain relief after third molar surgery. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study was a randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial conducted in patients undergoing the surgical removal of at least 1 impacted mandibular third molar requiring bone removal. Participants were randomly allocated to a control group (paracetamol 1,000 mg and ibuprofen 400 mg) or an intervention group (paracetamol 1,000 mg, ibuprofen 400 mg, and codeine 60 mg). All participants were treated under intravenous sedation and using identical surgical conditions and technique. Postoperative pain was assessed using the visual analog scale (VAS) every 3 hours (while awake) for the first 48 hours after surgery. Pain was globally assessed using a questionnaire on day 3 after surgery. RESULTS: There were 131 participants (36% men; control group, n = 67; intervention group, n = 64). Baseline characteristics were similar for the 2 groups. Data were analyzed using a modified intention-to-treat analysis and, for this, a linear mixed model was used. The model showed that the baseline VAS score was associated with subsequent VAS scores and that, with each 3-hour period, the VAS score increased by an average of 0.08. The treatment effect was not statistically meaningful, indicating there was no difference in recorded pain levels between the 2 groups during the first 48 hours after mandibular third molar surgery. Similarly, the 2 groups did not differ in their global ratings of postoperative pain. CONCLUSION: Codeine 60 mg added to a regimen of paracetamol 1,000 mg and ibuprofen 400 mg does not improve analgesia after third molar surgery.


Assuntos
Acetaminofen/administração & dosagem , Analgésicos não Narcóticos/administração & dosagem , Analgésicos Opioides/administração & dosagem , Codeína/administração & dosagem , Ibuprofeno/administração & dosagem , Dente Serotino/cirurgia , Manejo da Dor/métodos , Dor Pós-Operatória/tratamento farmacológico , Extração Dentária , Dente Impactado/cirurgia , Método Duplo-Cego , Quimioterapia Combinada , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Adulto Jovem
5.
Int J Paediatr Dent ; 25(5): 349-57, 2015 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26146798

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Cost-utility analysis using the quality-adjusted life years (QALY) as an outcome measure to inform healthcare resource allocation is becoming more common. The Child Health Utility 9D (CHU9D) enables the calculation of utility values in children. Children were involved throughout its development to ensure it is child centred. AIM: To determine whether the CHU9D is responsive to the changing components of the dmfs+DMFS index score in children receiving dental care over a 1-year period. DESIGN: The study sample comprised children aged 6 to 9 years old who were enrolled in a split-mouth, placebo-controlled randomised controlled trial. All children had a comprehensive clinical examination including radiographs and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) was measured using the CHU9D at baseline and 1 year. Descriptive statistics was followed by bivariate analyses before effect sizes were calculated. A negative binomial model was fitted to assess whether the utility score predicted the components of decayed and filled teeth (combined primary and permanent teeth). RESULTS: Eighty (92%) children completed the CHU9D at baseline and follow-up. They presented with a mean baseline d3mfs+D3MFS of 6.7 (SD = 7.1), which rose to 7.3 (SD = 7.0) at follow-up. The mean CHU9D score improved from 0.88 to 0.90 from baseline to follow-up. No statistically significant relationships were found between caries status and the CHU9D score. CONCLUSION: The CHU9D was found to be unresponsive to the changing components of dental caries experience.


Assuntos
Saúde da Criança , Pesquisa em Odontologia , Saúde Bucal , Criança , Índice CPO , Cárie Dentária , Dentição Permanente , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Qualidade de Vida , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida
6.
Lancet Infect Dis ; 19(7): 770-777, 2019 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31196812

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Legionnaires' disease is under-diagnosed because of inconsistent use of diagnostic tests and uncertainty about whom to test. We assessed the increase in case detection following large-scale introduction of routine PCR testing of respiratory specimens in New Zealand. METHODS: LegiNZ was a national surveillance study done over 1-year in which active case-finding was used to maximise the identification of cases of Legionnaires' disease in hospitals. Respiratory specimens from patients of any age with pneumonia, who could provide an eligible lower respiratory specimen, admitted to one of 20 participating hospitals, covering a catchment area of 96% of New Zealand's population, were routinely tested for legionella by PCR. Additional cases of Legionnaires' disease in hospital were identified through mandatory notification. FINDINGS: Between May 21, 2015, and May 20, 2016, 5622 eligible specimens from 4862 patients were tested by PCR. From these, 197 cases of Legionnaires' disease were detected. An additional 41 cases were identified from notification data, giving 238 cases requiring hospitalisation. The overall incidence of Legionnaires' disease cases in hospital in the study area was 5·4 per 100 000 people per year, and Legionella longbeachae was the predominant cause, found in 150 (63%) of 238 cases. INTERPRETATION: The rate of notified disease during the study period was three-times the average over the preceding 3 years. Active case-finding through systematic PCR testing better clarified the regional epidemiology of Legionnaires' disease and uncovered an otherwise hidden burden of disease. These data inform local Legionnaires' disease testing strategies, allow targeted antibiotic therapy, and help identify outbreaks and effective prevention strategies. The same approach might have similar benefits if applied elsewhere in the world. FUNDING: Health Research Council of New Zealand.


Assuntos
Surtos de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Doença dos Legionários/diagnóstico , Doença dos Legionários/epidemiologia , Vigilância da População , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Criança , Notificação de Doenças , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Legionella pneumophila/isolamento & purificação , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Nova Zelândia/epidemiologia , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase , Adulto Jovem
7.
J Clin Hypertens (Greenwich) ; 20(10): 1360-1376, 2018 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30298972

RESUMO

This systematic literature review aimed to investigate whether 24 hour diet recall and diet records are reliable and valid ways to measure usual dietary sodium intake compared with 24 hour urinary assessment. We searched electronic databases Medline, Embase, Cinahl, Lilacs, Google Scholar and the Cochrane Library using pre-defined terms Studies were eligible for inclusion if they assessed adult humans in free-living settings, and if they included dietary assessment and 24 hours urinary collection for assessment of sodium intake in the same participants. Studies that included populations with an active disease state that might interfere with normal sodium metabolism were excluded. Results of 20 studies using 24 hour diet recall recall (including 14 validation studies) and 10 studies using food records (including six validation studies) are included in this review. Correlations between estimates from dietary assessment and urinary excretion ranged from 0.16 to 0.72 for 24 hour diet recall, and 0.11 to 0.49 for food diaries. Bland-Altman analysis in two studies of 24 hour diet recall showed poor agreement with 24 hours urinary sodium excretion. These results show that 24 hour diet recall and diet records inaccurately measure dietary sodium intake in individuals compared with the gold standard 24 hours urinary excretion. Validation studies of dietary assessment methods should include multiple days of assessment and 24 hours urine collection, use relevant food composition databases and Bland-Altman methods of analysis.


Assuntos
Dieta/estatística & dados numéricos , Hipertensão/urina , Sódio na Dieta/administração & dosagem , Sódio na Dieta/urina , Registros de Dieta , Feminino , Humanos , Hipertensão/dietoterapia , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Rememoração Mental/fisiologia , Estado Nutricional/fisiologia , Coleta de Urina/métodos
8.
Community Dent Oral Epidemiol ; 46(6): 615-623, 2018 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30160305

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To examine associations between periodontitis at ages 32 and 38 and a range of early cardiometabolic risk biomarkers at age 38. METHODS: Periodontal probing depth and bleeding on probing data collected during the age-32 and age-38 assessments in the Dunedin Multidisciplinary Health and Development Study were used to quantify periodontal inflammatory load. Retinal microvascular abnormalities, endothelial dysfunction, and metabolic syndrome data were collected during the age-38 assessment. Regression models were used to examine associations between these cardiometabolic risk markers and (1) the inflammatory load at age 38 and (2) the change in inflammatory load between ages 32 and 38. RESULTS: Periodontal inflammatory load was recorded for 890 Study members at age 32, 891 at age 38, and 856 at both ages. Retinal vessel data were available for 922, endothelial dysfunction data for 909 and metabolic syndrome data for 905 at age 38. Neither the inflammatory load of periodontitis at 38 nor the changes in inflammatory load 32-38 were found to be associated with any of the three cardiometabolic risk markers. CONCLUSIONS: Periodontitis was not associated with markers of cardiometabolic risk at this relatively early stage in the life course. It is possible that any influence of periodontitis on cardiometabolic health develops later in life, or periodontitis is not involved in the putative causal chain comprising systemic inflammation, cardiometabolic risk markers, and subsequent cardiovascular risk.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Periodontite Crônica/complicações , Síndrome Metabólica/etiologia , Adulto , Biomarcadores , Doenças Cardiovasculares/sangue , HDL-Colesterol/sangue , Estudos de Coortes , Endotélio Vascular/patologia , Feminino , Hemoglobinas Glicadas/análise , Humanos , Masculino , Síndrome Metabólica/sangue , Nova Zelândia , Índice Periodontal , Vasos Retinianos/patologia , Fatores de Risco , Triglicerídeos/sangue
9.
J Clin Hypertens (Greenwich) ; 19(12): 1214-1230, 2017 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29220554

RESUMO

Food frequency questionnaires (FFQs) are often used to assess dietary sodium intake, although 24-hour urinary excretion is the most accurate measure of intake. The authors conducted a systematic review to investigate whether FFQs are a reliable and valid way of measuring usual dietary sodium intake. Results from 18 studies are described in this review, including 16 validation studies. The methods of study design and analysis varied widely with respect to FFQ instrument, number of 24-hour urine collections collected per participant, methods used to assess completeness of urine collections, and statistical analysis. Overall, there was poor agreement between estimates from FFQ and 24-hour urine. The authors suggest a framework for validation and reporting based on a consensus statement (2004), and recommend that all FFQs used to estimate dietary sodium intake undergo validation against multiple 24-hour urine collections.


Assuntos
Hipertensão/urina , Inquéritos Nutricionais/métodos , Sódio na Dieta/urina , Coleta de Urina/métodos , Humanos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes
10.
J Clin Lipidol ; 11(5): 1268-1279.e1, 2017.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28673802

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Compared with prolonged sitting, regular activity breaks immediately lower postprandial glucose and insulin, but not triglyceride responses. Postprandial triglycerides can be lowered by physical activity but the effect is often delayed by ∼12 to 24 hours. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to determine whether regular activity breaks affect postprandial triglyceride response in a delayed manner similar to physical activity. METHODS: In a randomized crossover trial, 36 adults (body mass index 23.9 kg/m2 [standard deviation 3.9]) completed four 2-day interventions: (1) prolonged sitting (SIT); (2) prolonged sitting with 30 minutes of continuous walking (60% VO2max), at the end of Day 1 (SIT + PAD1); (3) Sitting with 2 minutes of walking (60% VO2max) every 30 minutes (RAB); (4) A combination of the continuous walking and regular activity breaks in 2 and 3 above (RAB + PAD1). Postprandial plasma triglyceride, nonesterified fatty acids, glucose, and insulin responses were measured in venous blood over 5 hours on Day 2. RESULTS: Compared with SIT, both RAB (difference: -43.61 mg/dL·5 hours; 95% confidence interval [CI] -83.66 to -2.67; P = .035) and RAB + PAD1 (-65.86 mg/dL·5 hours; 95% CI -112.14 to -19.58; P = .005) attenuated triglyceride total area under the curve (tAUC). RAB + PAD1 produced the greatest reductions in insulin tAUC (-23%; 95% CI -12% to -31%; P < .001), whereas RAB resulted in the largest increase in nonesterified fatty acids (tAUC, 10.08 mg/dL·5 hours; 95% CI 5.60-14.84; P < .001). There was no effect on glucose tAUC (P = .290). CONCLUSIONS: Postprandial triglyceride response is attenuated by regular activity breaks, when measured ∼24 hours after breaks begin. Combining regular activity breaks with 30 minutes of continuous walking further improves insulinemic and lipidemic responses.


Assuntos
Exercício Físico , Ácidos Graxos não Esterificados/sangue , Voluntários Saudáveis , Período Pós-Prandial , Triglicerídeos/sangue , Adulto , Estudos Cross-Over , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Fatores de Tempo , Adulto Jovem
11.
J Clin Endocrinol Metab ; 101(4): 1737-44, 2016 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26891118

RESUMO

CONTEXT: An inverse relationship between thyroglobulin (Tg) and urinary iodine concentration (UIC) has been found in children, potentially making Tg a viable blood marker of iodine status. The application of Tg in adults is unknown. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to determine the efficacy of Tg to assess iodine status in adults. DESIGN: This was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, clinical trial. SETTING: The study was conducted in Dunedin, New Zealand. PARTICIPANTS: Mildly iodine deficient adults (n = 112) aged 18­40 years participated in the study. INTERVENTION: Participants were supplemented with 150 µg of iodine as potassium iodate or placebo daily for 24 weeks. At baseline and 24 weeks, participants provided five casual urine samples for UIC determination; serum TSH and free T4 (FT4) was also measured. Tg was determined at baseline and 8, 16, and 24 weeks. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: A change in Tg concentration between the iodine-supplemented and placebo groups at 24 weeks. RESULTS: At baseline, the overall median UIC was 65 µg/L, confirming that participants were mildly iodine deficient (ie, median UIC between 50 and 99 µg/L). The overall median Tg was 16.6 µg/L; TSH and FT4 were within normal reference ranges. At 24 weeks, the median UIC of the placebo and supplemented groups was significantly different, 79 and 168 µg/L, respectively (P < .001). Tg in the iodine-supplemented group decreased by 12%, 20%, and 27% compared with the placebo group at 8 (P = .045), 16 (P < .001), and 24 weeks (P < .001); there were no significant changes in TSH and FT4. CONCLUSION: Improved iodine status as assessed by UIC was associated with a concomitant decrease in Tg concentration, demonstrating that Tg is a useful biomarker of iodine status in a group of adults.


Assuntos
Iodo/administração & dosagem , Iodo/deficiência , Tireoglobulina/sangue , Tireotropina/sangue , Tiroxina/sangue , Adolescente , Adulto , Suplementos Nutricionais , Método Duplo-Cego , Feminino , Humanos , Iodo/urina , Masculino , Resultado do Tratamento , Adulto Jovem
12.
J Cancer Epidemiol ; 2014: 315378, 2014.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24799901

RESUMO

Background. Non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) incidence rates have increased considerably in New Zealand. Methods. Incidence and mortality rates for NHL from 1981 to 2010 were calculated. Trends in age-specific rates were analysed and age-period-cohort models fitted to explore generation-specific changes in incidence and mortality. Results. NHL incidence increased by 67% for men and 74% for women between the 1981-1985 and 2006-2010 time periods in New Zealand. For women born about 1936 and men born about 1946, NHL incidence and mortality have diverged suggesting an improved prognosis for recent generations. Conclusion. The strong generation effects suggest that an exposure before 25 years of age is of major importance in determining the lifetime risk of NHL in New Zealand. NHL incidence rates in New Zealand will continue to increase in the future and probably more in females than males, as generations with increased risk age. Current hypotheses for the cause of NHL do not explain the trends observed. A decline in the prevalence of a protective factor may have also contributed to these trends. Examination of trends for subtypes of NHL and innovative testable hypotheses that may explain these trends are needed.

13.
J Periodontol ; 85(10): 1390-7, 2014 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24555730

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Smoking is a major risk factor for periodontal disease. Conventional oral epidemiology approaches have found strong, consistent associations between chronic smoking and periodontal attachment loss (AL) through ages 26, 32, and 38 years, but those statistical methods disregarded the data's hierarchical structure. This study reexamines the association using hierarchical modeling to: 1) overcome the limitations of an earlier approach (trajectory analysis) to the data and 2) determine the robustness of the earlier inferences. METHODS: Periodontal examinations were conducted at ages 26, 32, and 38 years in the Dunedin Multidisciplinary Health and Development Study. The number of participants examined at those three ages were 913, 918, and 913, respectively. A generalized linear mixed model with a quasi-binomial approach was used to examine associations between chronic smoking and periodontal AL. RESULTS: At ages 26, 32, and 38, smokers had 3.5%, 12.8%, and 23.2% greater AL than non-smokers. Regular cannabis use was associated with greater AL after age 32, but not at age 26. Males had more AL than females. Participants with high plaque scores had consistently greater AL; those who were of persistently low socioeconomic status had higher AL at ages 32 and 38, but not at age 26. The amount of AL in anterior teeth was less than in premolars and molars. Gingival bleeding was associated with higher AL at ages 26, 32, and 38. CONCLUSION: The smoking-periodontitis association is observable with hierarchical modeling, providing strong evidence that chronic smoking is a risk factor for periodontitis.


Assuntos
Periodontite/epidemiologia , Fumar/epidemiologia , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Algoritmos , Estudos de Coortes , Dispositivos para o Cuidado Bucal Domiciliar/estatística & dados numéricos , Placa Dentária/epidemiologia , Feminino , Hemorragia Gengival/epidemiologia , Humanos , Modelos Lineares , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Fumar Maconha/epidemiologia , Modelos Estatísticos , Nova Zelândia/epidemiologia , Perda da Inserção Periodontal/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Sexuais , Classe Social
14.
Aust N Z J Public Health ; 36(3): 223-8, 2012 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22672027

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To examine the potential for using multiple list sources and capture-recapture methods for estimating the prevalence of diagnosed diabetes. METHOD: A model-averaging procedure using an adjusted Akaike's Information Criterion (QAICc) was used to combine capture-recapture estimates from log-linear models obtained from simultaneously analysing four sources of data. The method was illustrated using four separate lists of patients with diabetes, resident in Otago, New Zealand. RESULTS: Eighteen candidate models with a QAICc weight of more than 0.01 were obtained. A total of 5,716 individuals were enrolled on one or more of the four lists, of whom 379 (6.6%) appeared on all four lists and 1,670 (29.2%) appeared on one list only. The model-averaged estimate of the total number of people with diagnosed diabetes was 6,721 (95% CI: 6,097, 7,346). The age-standardised prevalence was 3.70% (95% CI: 3.36-4.04%) for the total population and 4.45% (95% CI: 4.03-4.86) for adults aged 15+ years. CONCLUSIONS: Estimated diabetes prevalence was consistent with national survey results. Capture-recapture methods, combined with model averaging, are a cheap, efficient tool to estimate the prevalence of diagnosed diabetes. IMPLICATIONS: This method provides a relatively easy way to estimate the prevalence of diagnosed diabetes using routinely collected diabetes information, thus providing the opportunity to monitor the diabetes epidemic and inform planning decisions and resource allocation.


Assuntos
Coleta de Dados/métodos , Coleta de Dados/estatística & dados numéricos , Bases de Dados Factuais/estatística & dados numéricos , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Nova Zelândia/epidemiologia , Prevalência
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